South Carolina Primary Election Night Thread

Will Biden win by more than 15%?

Will Tom Steyer edge out Bernie Sanders for 2nd place?

Can Elizabeth Warren and/or Pete Buttigieg reach the 15% viability threshhold?

Polls close at 7pm

Posted by Dave at 6:00 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (354)

354 Responses to “South Carolina Primary Election Night Thread”

  1. mRviTO says:

    · 3h
    Mike Bloomberg campaign says it’s buying 3 minutes of NBC, CBS airtime around 8:30 ET tomorrow to give brief address on coronavirus.

  2. Phil says:

    See, this is Sleepy Joe’s problem coming out of his South Carolina win. Michael Bloomberg. Bloomberg cuts into Joe’s numbers from here on out. He doesn’t hurt Bernie’s numbers at all. Just Biden.

    The day Bloomberg got in really complicated Joe’s path. I believe Joe can still get there on multiple ballots, but Bloomberg and his tens of millions prevents Joe from winning on the first ballot.

    As far as Steyer, I have no idea why he is running. No clue whatsoever.

  3. Phil says:

    FiveThirtyEight this morning final projection was:

    Biden 40
    Bernie 21

  4. Tina says:

    China Biden’s problem is no $. He is cash strapped going into Super Tuesday, in a few days.

    Ca newspaper suggests cccp will win the ca primary by 2 to 1.

  5. Tgca says:

    Cinco Bebe! Cinco!

  6. Tina says:

    Thao Nguyen
    · 1h
    south carolina exit poll shows black voters shrinking as a share of the dem primary electorate

    2016: 35% white / 61% black
    2020: 41% white / 55% black

    this is consistent with national trends showing non-whites moving away from dems…
    Show this thread

  7. Phil says:

    …or could just be some white Republicans jumping in to vote Bernie in order to sew chaos. That would lower the total black percentage of tonight’s vote.

  8. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Favorability in prelim #SCprimary2020 exits:
    Biden 75
    Steyer 55
    Warren 54
    Sanders 53
    Buttigieg 51
    Klobuchar 44
    Bloomberg (not on ballot) 25

  9. mRviTO says:

    Ap declared Joe Biden.

  10. DW says:

    NYTimes has called it for Biden

  11. DW says:

    Biden’s first ever primary win.

  12. Phil says:


    Joe needed it….and he got it.

    The question is, how much does it do for him Tuesday.

    It’s really the only question that matters.

  13. jason says:

    President Trump was told he is the first black president Thursday at a White House roundtable celebrating Black History Month featuring national conservative and Trump-supporting African-American personalities.

    “Mr. President, I don’t mean to interrupt, but I’ve got to say this because it’s Black History Month: man, you the first black president,” Former NFL safety Jack Brewer, a guest at the roundtable, told Trump.

    “Still president of the United States, absolutely,” Diamond & Silk added”

  14. jason says:

    Biden has 50% of the vote with 7% counted… are these inner city votes so far, seems too high.

  15. jason says:

    Steyer bought himself into 3rd.

    Good, I hope he stays in.

  16. Phil says:

    3rd and no delegates.

    I don’t know what the guy is trying to accomplish. Not a clue.

    As far as inner city votes, no. It’s across the state rural and city.

    Blacks like Joe I guess.

  17. Tina says:

    Ca could be Biden finishing with not very much.

  18. Phil says:

    Looks like the delegate count out of SC will be something like

    Biden 48
    Sanders 6

    Interestingly, this will actually give Biden the lead in total delegates after tonight and going into Super Tuesday.

  19. Bio mom says:

    He was Obama’s vp! And no African American remains in the field.

  20. Brandon says:

    Exit poll has been updated, 51-19 for Biden. Wow!

  21. Phil says:

    Buttigieg was polling consistently at 11 or 12 % in S.C. tonight. He is actually getting 7 tonight.

  22. Tina says:

    Will cccp even get any Sc delegates?

  23. BayernFan says:


  24. Phil says:

    Yes, Tina. He is viable in 6 or 7 districts. Ends up with 6, max most.

  25. Tina says:

    Until China gets sacked in Ca. Could be thirdor fourth for him.

  26. Tina says:


    Political Polls

    Sanders 30%
    Biden 21%
    Bloomberg 21%
    Warren 13%
    Buttigieg 9%
    Klobuchar 5%

    North Carolina:
    Sanders 27%
    Biden 25%
    Bloomberg 18%
    Warren 11%
    Buttigieg 10%
    Klobuchar 6%

  27. Tina says:

    Yup, look China is in trouble here in Ca

    Political Polls
    Sanders 34%
    Warren 14%
    Biden 14%
    Bloomberg 12%
    Buttigieg 9%
    Klobuchar 3%
    Steyer 3%
    Gabbard 1%

    (Poll Conducted Feb 26-28)

  28. Phil says:

    Super Tuesday

    Biden wins


    Demographically, the states with large black votes. – exception being Oklahoma. Bloomberg has a slim shot there.

    Bernie wins


    Plus Bernie gets a strong second to Klobuchar in Minnesota

    My own state of Texas is the one I just can’t get my arms around. Bernie with a slight lead but Joe will get a boost after tonight. Thing is, early voting ended yesterday and slightly over half of the votes have already been cast. If Bernie hangs on, a Loss in a giant state like Texas will blunt Joe’s comeback talking points.

  29. Phil says:

    …and if, as the polls show, Bernie beats Warren in her home state Tuesday, she is done as her money dries up. She will stay in because for Super Tuesday because she stands to get three or four dozen votes out of California.

  30. Tina says:

    Stunning how all 8 predominantly black precincts were counted quickly.

    Dave Wasserman
    Things looking a bit less dire for Sanders’s delegate viability as more Election Day vote (younger) rolls in…but this is the type of statement Biden win that makes Super Tuesday a lot more interesting.

  31. Victrc says:

    Maybe they can give Cleveland, philly, Chicago and east St. Louis a lesson in how to count votes.

  32. PresidentPaul! says:

    This state Rubber stamped Bush, McCain and Romney as the nominee.

    I think SC should be removed from the GOP primary until the end.

  33. Brandon says:

    Steyer is dropping out tonight, per reports. I hope all that money was worth 10% in SC.

  34. Phil says:

    Where do Steyer’s voters go on Super Tuesday. I think there might have been two dozen. LOL

  35. Tina says:

    Rambling and incoherent China is.

    Too late for him.

    Bed time.

  36. lisab says:

    sanders lack of support among african americans will hurt the dems this november

  37. Phil says:

    Agree, Lisa.

    Absolutely true. Trump’s percentage will rise a bit with the black vote – maybe goes from 8 to 11 or so. Not a lot but could make a difference in close midwestern states like Wisconsin and Michigan. Also, the black turnout might be down just a very very small amount. Maybe Sanders chooses Booker or Harris as a running mate should he be nominated.

  38. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    According to Nate Silver — total delegates awarded so far:
    Sanders, 48 delegates
    Biden, Buttigieg, Klobucher, 67 delegates
    Warren, 7

    Biden has passed Sanders to lead the popular vote total. Looking like a contested convention.

  39. 35. “Rambling and incoherent China is. Too late for him.”

    I don’t think Biden will have enough delegates to win outright. It would not surprise me if after some negotiation, a “compromise” candidate is chosen as the nominee.

  40. Phil says:

    Looks like Sanders will come out of SC with around 10 delegates to Biden’s 44. I guess, given the blowout Sanders should be happy he got that.

  41. Tina says:

    Steyer was dropping radio ads in

    Said he is the only one who could kick Donald’s arse..

  42. Phil says:

    Biden does take the lead in total popular vote. California will take care of that on Tuesday, however.

  43. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Steyer is now out.

  44. Bitterlaw says:

    If Biden gets the nomination, he will win PA.

  45. Phil says:

    I said California will put Sanders ahead in the popular vote Tuesday. Check that, I forgot it’s California. Read where it will be April before they finish counting. What a joke.

    Florida counted 9.3 million votes in five hours on election night 2016.

    California commies. LOL.

  46. Tina says:

    Steyer is jeb 2.O

    $250 million and no delegates.

  47. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The problem with Biden is Democratic leaders know mentally he would be awful in the general election. The Democrats are going to have nominate a different candidate, and given how crazy the Democratic convention will be, its likely to be very controverial. It could all break down easily.

  48. Victrc says:

    My 4 yo just came up to me and said. “We want President Trumo to win. YEAH! Not that old diaper wearing guy!”

    And no. That didn’t come from me. He got that on his own from watching the debate the other night. Lmao

  49. Tina says:

    Great point.

    The Columbia Bugle Flag of United States
    · Feb 28
    Larry Kudlow at CPAC

    “There is probably 6 million more Americans who could come back into the labor force. So while we are all in favor of legal immigration reforms based on merit, the fact remains that we have to take care of at least 6 million more Americans in the workplace.”

  50. Just Fill Out The Census says:

    Trump Sucks!

  51. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    50. That is a great thought, but how many of those 6 million are willing to work hard, particularly at menial jobs? A significant amount of younger Americans and others, including people from all demographic groups, don’t want certain jobs — this includes jobs such as farm work, gutting fish, and custodial work — its a long list.

    In saying this, most the workers of this type I know have legal papers, so are in the country lawfully. If you are working hard, our willing to work hard, getting immigration papers is not too onerous.

  52. Cash Cow TM says:

    The harsh reality is that the following candidates should cease their campaign?\:


    They have not a prayer to win the nomination.

    That leaves Biden, Bernie and Bloomy, otherwise known as fraud 1, 2, 3.

    Biden has no money.

    Bernie has no brain.

    Bloomy has no soul.

  53. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Thought Biden’s South Carolina victory speech was very good. He stayed on script and was animated.

  54. Phil says:

    A good speech for Biden is when he doesn’t drool all over himself.

    Very low bar.

  55. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    This is an insane video of police and rescue personnel within a few feet of flames that are shooting into the air from a California fire. You hae to admire their calmness and composure.×720/2LoSF63knafhPyXY.mp4?tag=10

  56. BayernFan says:

    Why isn’t tulsi doing well? She’s attractive. She’s articulate. She’s smart. She’s an active military. She’s plenty liberal. She’s female. She’s Hindu.

    Is it bc of what Hillary said about her?

  57. Phil says:

    She is not mean enough to Trump to suit Democrats. That’s pretty much it. Her Hate Trump Syndrome not nearly as pronounced so she must be brushed aside.

  58. jason says:

    Biden’s win didn’t hurt the betting odds for Bernie winning the nomination… he actually gained a point to 57%

  59. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    If Biden’s keepers have sense, they would limit his speaking engagements to speeches he reads, and limit participation in future debates. Biden should give speeches he has rehearsed many times; no rambling discussions with voters. Just shake hands and exchange pleasantries. Rumbles that Obama might endorse Biden exist, but no actual evidence it will take place.

    I still believe the old Bolshevik will run under the Democratic Socialist ticket if he does not get the Democratic nomination. Comrade Bernie serves as an independent in the Senate, the revolution and far leftist Marxism is what matters to him. He is the U.S. version of Jeremy Corbyn.

  60. Phil says:

    Watch Texas Tuesday. A Bernie victory here puts a real stop to the Biden comeback kid narrative.

    Honestly, I’m not sure how my state turns out – and I usually have a pretty good handle on all things political in the Lone Star State.

  61. Phil says:

    I have a hard time believing Sanders would be willing to hand Trump the election by running third party in November. The Democrats, Never Trumpers and MSM would trash the hell out of him. He doesn’t want that.

  62. Wes says:

    SDC, Bernie has already filed for reelection to the Senate. He wins only because VT Dems back him over their official candidates.

    That certainly won’t happen again if Bernie goes Indy.

  63. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Phil, your looking at a “chaos” scenario to help Trump be re-elected. I am concerned over Sanders and Marxists elements taking over the Democratic Party.

    In Hungary after World War II, the communists took over using what was know as the “salami tactics.”

    “Salami tactics was used all over Eastern Europe after WWII to bring non-Stalinist nations under Soviet control. Matchas Rakoshi (Written Mátyás Rákosi) gained control of Hungary by slowly convincing other parties to cut out more right-wing elements. After most right-wing politicians had been expelled, he moved onward, convincing parties that centrist views were too close to fascism and suffer from corruption. Then they moved on to the left wing, attempting to expel everyone except the most die-hard Stalinist elements.”

    Sanders is an evil person; same with his ally OAC and the other Marxists. They want a socialist state, and to then suppress any opposition to it. They need to be stopped from getting control of the Democratic Party.

  64. Phil says:

    The only difference between Bernie and the others in the Democratic Party is that Bernie doesn’t wear a mask. The socialists already have control of the party. Modern Democrats just won’t say it.

    As far as any Democrats trying to stop Bernie, it is not because of ideological differences they have with him. Rather, it’s only because they don’t believe Bernie can win the election because he’s openly Marxist. Differences center only around his lack of electability.

    The party is gone, SDC. Long gone. You see it all around you in your home state. The John Kennedy’s and Hubert Humphreys who would have been appalled by modern Democrats and their ideology are long since dead.

  65. jason says:

    So we went from Klobuchar to Bloomberg to Biden as flavor of the day.

    But Biden will now have a target on his back, and as I pointed out before, he might be the best GE candidate for the Dems but also the most likely to self destruct.

    In most of the states coming up the AA vote is not 60% of the Dem primary voters like SC.

  66. jason says:

    Super Tuesday betting odds after SC primary results.


    CA 97% (+1)
    TX 68% (-1)
    CO 94% (NC)
    MA 79% (+1)
    MN 49% (-3)
    ME 90& (-1)
    VT 99% (NC)
    UT 95% (+1)

    AL 96% (+3)
    VA 67% (-3)
    TN 75% (-1)
    AR 69% (-2)
    OK 54% (+3)
    NC 71% (+1)

  67. jason says:

    Sanders is an evil person; same with his ally OAC and the other Marxists.”

    Biden is a lot more corrupt than Bernie.

    Bernie is also honest about being a communist, while Biden pretends to be a moderate.

    If the election was based on character I would pick Bernie over Biden any day.

    However, I give them a tie on hypocrisy.

  68. dblaikie says:

    No matter what happens the real winner on Super Tuesday is going to Trump. Why? Because the top tier of dem contenders are woefully lacking. One is an angry Socialist who will incinerate the Dem. Party. Another is a senile old man who even at his sharpest is not all that sharp. And then we have a billionaire who has the personality of a wet dish rag. No matter who wins Trump will eat them alive.

  69. Wes says:

    Terry McAuliffe and Bobby Scott endorsed Biden. The Establishment have found their man.

  70. Wes says:

    I wouldn’t be overly confident about that, Db. To use the immediate past presidential election as an example, most people thought Hillary would win because Trump’s salacious past and erratic behavior would undermine his ability to outmaneuver her.

    That didn’t happen.

    Trump needs a lot of things to continue going his way to ensure Americans will stay the course with him.

    If Wall Street has weeks like last week shortly before the election, Trump won’t have his strongest argument for re-election and will have a tough time against an energized opposition that’s already generated insanely high turnout rates even when Trump had no impediment to making the claim of being a strong steward of the economy.

  71. Tom says:

    Does anyone know what the turnout in SC was compared to 2016?

  72. dblaikie says:

    Wes, I am not over confident, I know that Trump could still lose. But the truth is that the dems have put up candidates who rival Sharon Angle in lack of ability.

  73. Tina says:

    Will have to see if Major Nuissance endorses China Biden in Ca.

    His wife endorsed Pocahontas.

  74. Tina says:

    No, this is happening way too often.

    Igor Bobic
    “I can hardly wait to debate him on stage. We’ll see see who’s sleepy,” Biden says of Trump on Fox News Sunday, before mistakenly calling Chris Wallace ‘Chuck’.

    “No, this is Chris,” Wallace says

    “I just did these back to back,” Biden explains apologetically (he also taped MTP)

  75. Tina says:

    Both commies and one senile.

    Karen Tumulty
    A year ago, the Democrats were fielding the most diverse presidential field ever. Now, the race has come down to three white guys whose ages go all the way from 77 to 78.

  76. Tina says:

    China is in trouble here

    Larry Schweikart Retweeted

    Thao Nguyen
    good news for biden: he’s staged a huge comeback in south carolina

    bad news for biden: he’s polling below the 15% threshold for statewide delegates (144 / 415 total) in california

    even worse news for biden: millions of californians have already voted

  77. Victrc says:

    Good morning all. I hope y’all hve a wonderful Sunday.

    To the comment “the Dems have found their man” you are absolutely correct.

    Had a long call with my friend whose very senior in the party apparatus and they have their plan in place. They’ve abandoned Bloomberg and bekieve Biden is the guy who can win when paired with an Aa female running mate after watching the AA vote crush it for him yesterday.

    The female candidate they are going to pair him with is NOT Kamala. They think she would be a drag on the ticket as she doesn’t inspire anyone, not even her home state contingency nor the AA community. The plan for her is the SC, where she would lurch the court to the extreme far left.

    The current person they believe will push Biden over the top….Stacy Abrams. Yes, I was surprised to but get this. They believe that not only will it get Obama to endorse, but she will:

    Flip GA and N.C. to Biden
    Guarantee MI by driving up AA vote
    Flip the Ga and N.C. senate races to the D side meaning they pick up ME, NC, GA, CO and AZ (there was another race he said but I was too much in shock by now)

    They are going to semi quarantine Biden after she’s announced and only have him out in very scripted events, with Abrams being the main campaigner, leaving the AA community to believe that she’ll be the President more than he.

    All their eggs are in the AA basket after last nights win.

    Take it with a grain of salt, but I can tell you that there’s an important wing of the party that believes this is the road to victory.


  78. Tina says:



    John Ocasio-Nolte
    “The Democrat presidential race is now down to two pushing-80 white guys: Jurassic Marxist and Joe Biden, the guy who just spent two weeks lying about how he was arrested in South Africa.”

  79. Phil says:



    Stacy Abrams VP. Joe Biden 78 on Inauguration Day. That’s old and this guy’s mental faculties are fading fast.

    President Stacy Abrams. Let that one soak in.

    As far as the Senate races, kind of wondering why you were in shock. Why on earth would you be in shock about that plan?

  80. Phil says:

    …..and yeah, thanks to a selfish Collins, the Georgia senate race is in play. Nice going congressman.

  81. Tina says:

    Jurassic Marxist,


  82. Tina says:

    They need to keep China off air. This is a disaster and flapper is a friendly.

  83. Victrc says:

    Phil. I’m not sure I said I was in shock. I knew they had something planned for her which is why she was keptnout if the senate race, in more surprised they think she can swing N.C. and GA by herself. She lost the gov race in then most conducive environment she could ask for. I don’t see how that’s going to translate into flipping N.C. and GA

    Guess it’s just me

  84. Phil says:

    Victrc, your friend’s assessment actually makes a lot of sense from the Democratic prospective.

    Of course, we are just guessing at this point on VP. Abrams flipping NC and Georgia? I agree with you. She indeed did not win in Georgia in the best Democratic Party environment possible in 2018. As far as NC, Barack Obama himself didn’t even win the state in 2012, so I fail to see how she wins it as a VP nominee. I would love for Wes to weigh in on it, however. I don’t see her as the vote getting beast the MSM makes her out to be.

  85. Victrc says:

    Phil. Agreed. And I’d love to get Wes take on it

  86. Phil says:

    Nate Silver’s latest this morning.

    Chances for:

    Brokered convention – 60%

    Sanders win on first ballot – 25%

    Biden win on first ballot – 14%

    Bloomberg win on first ballot – less than 1%

    Other candidates win on first ballot – forget it.

    As of this morning Silver has Super Tuesday going the following way –

    Biden wins in Alabama, Tennessee, Virginia, North Carolina, Arkansas, Oklahoma

    Sanders wins in California, Colorado, Utah, Maine, Massachusetts, and Vermont

    Amy wins narrowly in Minnesota with Sanders a strong second.

    He has Texas leaning Sanders narrowly. This is the one I just can’t call. Keep in mind that half the Texas ballots are already in.

    Super Tuesday pretty much has it pegged exactly the way I called it last week.

    At the end of Super Tuesday he has Sanders with around 39% of the total delegates selected so far and Biden at 29%. Roughly, a lead of about 150 delegates.

  87. Phil says:

    Bernie’s problem is Florida in two weeks.

    He is going to get shut out. No poll has him viable above 15% there even before last night. Biden will sweep there. Bloomberg will get some there providing he stays in. That’s a lot of delegates and enough to put Biden on top at that point.

    Bernie needs to hope Bloomberg stays in after what will be a disastrous Bloomberg Super Tuesday or else Bernie is looking at defeats to Biden in Ohio and Illinois and maybe Michigan over the next few weeks. Missouri as well. He also will likely get swept in Georgia.

    As I said last week we will probably see Sanders national polling lead vs Biden cut down to nothing. Neck and neck.

    Guess I’m going out on a limb with all this, but that’s what makes politics fun. Bernie needs to see Bloomberg stay in the race and at least somewhat competitive. Maybe he will but I’m just not seeing it at this point.

  88. PresidentPaul! says:

    Pocahontas wanted to run the Crazy train this election but she found out that Bernie was to the left of her. She’s been pissed off that someone is crazier than her this whole time.

    That’s why she always refuses to shake Bernie’s hand during the debates.

  89. John says:

    According to the betting site Bovada via the Washington Times Stacy Abrams is on the short list as Sanders’ vp…

  90. PresidentPaul! says:

    Why Bernie Sanders’ Communist Misadventures Still Matter

  91. Victrc says:

    Book it. The left sees Abrams as the next Obama and think she will save this election for them.

    Problem I see is that as more and more people get to know her they will sss she’s extremely far left and not they lieable.

  92. Bitterlaw says:

    A political chess set. Seriously.

  93. Wes says:

    I don’t get the Abrams fascination personally. She made it close only because Republicans picked a fairly weak opponent for her. Even then she couldn’t win (though combined with Karen Handel’s lazy campaigning, Abrams did have an effect on the GA-6 House race).

    After the election, Abrams tried—and failed miserably—to force a runoff and whined about “voter suppression” despite a complete lack of evidence for such.

    She might spike black turnout with her victim schtick, but the sore loser thing won’t help her, and she’s highly likely to motivate the Trump coalition.

    Were I the Democrats, I would pair Biden with Cory Booker. He’s far from perfect but has a decent track record as Mayor and isn’t obviously offensive to more moderate voters as Abrams would be.

    I really get more of a Sarah Palin vibe than anything else out of Abrams. That’s not a good thing.

  94. jason says:

    I don’t think Klobuchar will win MN.

  95. Phil says:

    Was, the effect on NC in the GE on Trump’s prospects and especially on Cunningham’s prospects in the senate race?

  96. Victrc says:

    Wes. 100% spot on. I think she’s going to scare away as many voters as she brings but they are committed to having a woman and an AA on the ticket and it’s either her or Kamala and Kamala has shown she can’t motivate anyone

    I shudder at her on the SC

    I also don’t see how Abrams is going to get enough more AA to the polls to make up for her negatives

  97. jason says:

    VIRGINIA BEACH, Va. (AP) — Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaign said Sunday that it raised more than $46.5 million in February, a show of financial strength after the Vermont senator finished a distant second behind Joe Biden in South Carolina’s primary.”

  98. jason says:

    Maximum Security wins the world’s richest horse race, the Saudi Cup, $20 million prize.

  99. jason says:

    Predictit for President today:

    Trump 54% (+2)
    Sanders 33% (+2)
    Biden 14% (-1)
    Bloomberg 4% (-2)
    Hillary 3% (+1)
    Warren 2% (+1)

  100. jason says:

    Biden at 6-1 might not be a bad bet considering it will drop considerably if he does well on Super Tuesday.

  101. jason says:

    On the other hand Bernie at 3-1 is a horrible bet.

  102. Tgca says:

    Abrams will ensure white working class folks, especially men will abandon Biden. She is a bitter loose cannon. She will draw much negativity to his campaign. Picking her is an act of desperation and it shows.

    I also doubt she will rally AA men. There’s a difference between an AA candidate like Obama, who inspired both AA men and women and Abrams who is not inspiring.

    It would be like Bernie picking the equivalent of AOC or Warren. These are “squeaky wheels” that get the oil but they are not folks who widen the party tent because they don’t have large cross appeal.

  103. jason says:


    “President Trump is opening 15 urban campaign field offices in an aggressive bid to improve his performance with black voters, who for decades have been an overwhelmingly Democratic constituency.

    Sleek and situated in retail shopping districts to generate foot traffic, this unique collection of regional “community centers” is a critical component of the Trump campaign’s multimillion-dollar strategy to double in 2020 the 8% support the president received from black voters nearly four years ago. Senior Trump campaign officials unveiled office design mock-ups and fresh “Black Voices for Trump” merchandise during a Wednesday briefing for reporters.

    “You’re never going to get the votes you don’t ask for,” said Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and close adviser. “Last time, it was, ‘What the hell do you have to lose?’ Now, we’re going to show them what they’ve gained from President Trump and what more they can gain if they get four more years.”

    Five offices are slated for Florida: Tallahassee, Jacksonville, Orlando, Tampa, and Miami. In North Carolina, branches are opening in Charlotte, Raleigh, and Greensboro. Others will be located in Atlanta, Detroit, Columbus, Cleveland, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Milwaukee. The hubs, among 330 field offices across the country, mark a departure from the typical ramshackle, strip-mall field office outpost.

    With Democrats embroiled in a bitter presidential primary and some leading contenders having trouble winning over black voters, the Trump campaign is confident there is a serious opportunity for the president to exceed the Republican Party’s usual vote share with this crucial bloc.

    Trump has retired the ad hoc “What the hell do you have to lose?” pitch to black voters from 2016 and replaced it with a sophisticated targeting operation with tailored messaging and policy appeals. Top Trump campaign aides said the strategy is already paying dividends, with internal data showing that the president enjoys the support of approximately 20% of black voters.

    “We test when you hear the president directly versus hear him through a media filter. Sometimes, the difference in approval [among black voters] is 40-50 points,” Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale said.”

  104. Phil says:

    Biden at 6-1 would make you a boat load of money. Better jump on it while you can because in two weeks he’ll be even money – at worst.

  105. Phil says:

    Yes, any bet on Bernie is a horrible bet. Period.

  106. jason says:

    Biden really has nothing new to offer to blacks. Nada. Zilch.

  107. jason says:

    Oh, I would take him at 15-1.

  108. Phil says:

    I meant to say Biden will be even money in two wks to get the nomination.

    Sorry about that. The GE is a different proposition.

  109. Wes says:

    Phil, I don’t think Abrams helps Dems in NC at all. She might cause an uptick in black voters, but moderate and conservative whites would trend even further GOP than is currently the case because of her.

    This state is bifurcated between the exurbs and rural areas and the liberal urban centers with the moderate-to-conservative suburbs holding the balance of power. That split enabled Dems to win big here in 2008 because Obama spiked black turnout, increased urban turnout, and undermined Republicans in the suburbs. Even then, all the major races but the Senate race were close.

    Since then the only major non judicial race Dems have won was the governorship in 2016 thanks to that stupid bathroom bill that made Pat McCrory collateral damage. Abrams carries none of the benefits Obama had and certainly won’t help Biden make up ground outside the black-Majority and urban counties Dems need to carry big to win.

    I’m not worried.

    As far as NC-Sen, Tillis has no obvious vulnerabilities, and Cunningham will have a hard time competing with him in spending. Unless Tillis has a George Allen moment, I’m not overly concerned about that race.

    Unfortunately the State Supreme Court gave us a Dem gerrymander, so Republicans are locks to lose at least two House seats here. Of course Tarheels have a chance to remove Dem Justices from office, so that can be corrected after the election.

  110. Phil says:

    As Jason has said repeatedly, Biden has the best chance to beat Trump and also has the best chance to implode.

  111. Phil says:

    Thanks as always, Wes.

  112. jason says:

    Biden on the Sunday shows.

    With Chris Wallace:

    At the end of his interview w/ Chris Wallace, Joe Biden boasts that he’s not “sleepy,” then thanks “Chuck” for the questions

    “It’s Chris, but anyway.”

    “No, I just did Chuck. I tell you what, man, these are back-to-back, anyway, I don’t know how you do it early in the AM”

  113. jason says:

    On ABC:

    .@JoeBiden, in describing how his administration’s response would differ from Trump’s, refers to Ebola as a “transpandemic disease that existed”

  114. Hugh says:

    After Super Tuesday the narrative will be pretty much the same as before SC. Biden’s gain is only because Bloomberg has busted far worse than anyone thought possible so he is all that’s left who has a scintilla of hope to beat Bernie and trump. All Bloomberg did was knock out the rest of the field.

  115. jason says:

    Even the viruses are going trans now….

  116. Phil says:

    Biden gaff after gaff….can the MSM ignore them all for the next eight months?

    Probably not, but they’ll sure as hell try.

  117. jason says:

    Must be a miracle…

    “Facebook Fact-Checkers Admit Trump Never Said Coronavirus Was ‘a Hoax”

  118. jason says:

    Will be interesting if the other Dems bring it up.

    So far he wasn’t much of a threat.

  119. jason says:

    CNN headline

    “The threat Sanders poses to Texas Democrats”

    You can’t make this sh-t up…

  120. Phil says:

    CNN right on cue with that headline. MSM all in on nominating Biden. Whatever it takes.

    Bernie doesn’t have a chance.

  121. jason says:

    Not so sure. This will p-ss a lot of people off.

  122. lisab says:

    Trump Criticized For Breaking With Longstanding American Tradition Of Remaining In Middle Eastern Countries Indefinitely

    “Occupying a country on the other side of the globe and staying there forever is an American pastime,” said a CNN host. “For Trump to pull out when we haven’t even been there a decade yet is a disgusting display of his selfishness and unwillingness to conform to the standards of presidential decorum.”

    “Has he no respect for our ways of life?” the host concluded gravely.

    In a rare moment of unity, pundits on Fox News agreed. “We just need another 20 or 30 years in Syria, and we can accomplish our goals,” said a morning host on the right-leaning news station. “He didn’t even really give our soldiers a chance to settle in.”

    “This is America, for goodness’ sake—land of the free and home of messing with other countries’ affairs. I don’t like criticizing the president, but he’s way off on this one,” he added.

  123. jason says:

    Phil, I don’t think Biden is going to win TX. At least the bettors don’t think so

    Sanders 78% (+9)
    Biden 27% (-7)

    Is there a new poll out?

  124. lisab says:

    Sanders calls himself an ‘existential threat to the corporate wing of the Democratic Party’

  125. jason says:


    Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) holds a 15-point lead in Texas over his closest rival in the 2020 Democratic primary, former Vice President Joe Biden, according to an NBC News/Marist poll released on Sunday.

    Sanders has the support of 34 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, who will cast ballots in the Lone Star State on Super Tuesday, compared to Biden’s 19 percent.

    Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has 15 percent support and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, (D-Mass.) has 10 percent, according to the poll. Former South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) trail with 8 percent and 3 percent, respectively.”

  126. BayernFan says:

    why should we care what gamblers think? they don’t know any more than anyone else. They don’t control anything.

  127. Skippy says:


    You keep saying Klobuchar won’t win Minnesota but the reality is she has already won Minnesota with all the early voting which has been going on in this state.

    Klobuchar and Warren will probably both stay in the race all the way to the convention. Eventually most of Klobuchar’s delegates will go to Biden and Warren’s will go to Sanders in the 2nd round of voting in Milwaukee.

  128. Tina says:

    The Reckoning ? Retweeted

    Donald J. Trump
    A Poll in today’s New York Post says that 77% of “U.S. adults have confidence in their government’s ability to handle the Coronavirus (Number One), compared to other health threats.” 64% for Zika, 58% for Ebola. Others way down on list. Our professionals are doing a great job!

  129. jason says:

    You keep saying Klobuchar won’t win Minnesota but the reality is she has already won Minnesota with all the early voting which has been going on in this state.”

    She already won?

    You have the numbers?

  130. jason says:

    Eventually most of Klobuchar’s delegates will go to Biden”

    She won’t have a lot of delegates to give Biden.

  131. jason says:

    So MN is already decided, this is why I come here, for insights and news you can’t find anywhere else.

  132. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    130. Warren and Sanders do not get along well, and Warren has gone out of her way to indicate she is not a Marxist. I could see her delegates serving as short of a “wild card” at the convention. She could leverage them to get some of the policy changes she wants.

  133. Skippy says:


    Amy won’t have many delegates to give to Biden eventually but she will have a handful. Minnesota gives out more delegates than MA for example and Warren won’t win MA come Tuesday. I’m expecting on Wednesday morning the delegates will have Sanders leading with Biden 2nd, Bloomberg 3rd and Klobuchar 4th.

  134. Skippy says:


    You are sensitive chap aren’t you sir.

  135. jason says:

    The reason I think Klobuchar might not win is because nobody in MN must still believe she is going to win the nomination.

    So anyone voting for her knows they are wasting their vote.

    Maybe there just won’t be that many people willing to do that.

    FWIW, Klobuchar is favored at Predicit at 58% and 538 at 56%.

  136. jason says:

    You are sensitive chap aren’t you sir.”

    Zzzzz… another attempt to besmirch my reputation.

    Will fail like all the rest of them.

  137. jason says:

    Amy won’t have many delegates to give to Biden eventually but she will have a handful.”

    Handful is a good description.

    Of 147 delegates chosen so far, she has 7.

    The fact is, I have stated since all this started that Klobuchar was not going anywhere and so far that is what she has done, gone nowhere.

    And it is not that I think she is a bad candidate, I actually think she could be a good GE candidate for the Dems. Butshe is boxed in by Mayor Butt, Biden and Bloomberg in the “I am not as crazy as Bernie and Fauxcahontas” lane.

  138. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Warren going to fight it out to the convention. Should please those in favor of a chaos strategy:

    “Warren advisers believe she can remain in the hunt by collecting a significant number of delegates on Super Tuesday and then again on March 10 — they are optimistic about California, Colorado, Texas, Michigan and Washington — even if they don’t win any states outright. Campaign manager Roger Lau said earlier this month that Warren was “poised” to finish second in eight Super Tuesday contests and in the top three in all 14.

    The team is also more openly discussing what they have been talking about internally for weeks. Their path to victory is likely at a contested convention and not by outright winning a majority of pledged delegates, which they believe no other candidate will achieve, either.”

    Warren is not the type to ever forgive Sanders for calling her a liar.

  139. lisab says:

    Southbay Costco Sells Out Of Water, Toilet Paper As Fears Over Coronavirus Mount

  140. Phil says:

    Warren will have at least double the delegates as Klobuchar on wednesday. The reason? She’ll get delegates out of California in addition to what she gets out of Massachusetts. Amy will be shut out in California completely.

  141. Phil says:

    I finally did talk my wife into voting for Bernie on Tuesday. I voted early, but she has been putting off the decision. Early voting ended on Friday. I will take her to the polls early Tuesday morning. Nice to see I still have some pull with her. LOL. Still working on my sister but that one is up hill.

  142. Skippy says:

    “Our new CALIFORNIA poll:
    Sanders 35%
    Bloomberg 16%
    Biden 14%
    Warren 12%
    Buttigieg 7%
    Klobuchar 5%
    Steyer 3%
    Gabbard 3%”

    Warren is fading in Cali.

  143. Skippy says:

    Pete Buttigieg has just dropped out of the race.

    Yep. Klobuchar will be going to the convention with the 4th most delegates.

    Any questions Jason?

  144. John says:

    #101. Sure, Maximum Security won but was more impressed with the female Midnight Bissou whom lost by a half a length despite having to go to the inside whereas the deeper surface was.

  145. Phil says:

    Yes, Warren is fading in California. No doubt. She was second a week or two ago. I suspect she will meet the 15% threshold in a limited number of districts but that is about it.

  146. Sheeple,Jr. says:

    BREAKING: Buttigeg says bye-bye to his Presidential hopes! Good–he was a pedantic irritant way in over his head.

    w Tweets
    Carla Marinucci
    New! BREAKING @PeteButtigieg
    to announce he is out of the presidential race, his staff now hearing the news in campaign call, sources tell us.

    11 posted on 3/1/2020, 6:14:10 PM by TigerClaws

  147. jason says:

    Yep. Klobuchar will be going to the convention with the 4th most delegates.”

    You mean in last place?

    I believe it.

  148. jason says:

    Unless Warren or Bloomberg drop out, Klobuchar most likely will be 5th.

    But still last.

  149. jason says:

    Nice to see I still have some pull with her. LOL. Still working on my sister but that one is up hill.”

    Phil is a Texas stud, what can you say.

  150. jason says:

    Southbay Costco Sells Out Of Water, Toilet Paper As Fears Over Coronavirus Mount”

    People are morons, what can you say….

  151. jason says:

    But just in case, I better load up on 50lbs of bacon.

  152. jason says:

    Of course, if things really got bad, I suppose I could eat my dear sweet darling llama Lupita.


    I’d rather pilfer a cow from Amos and get exiled by the Bishop.

    Cash Cow, in Quechua “pilfer a cow” means raid the neighbor’s vegetable garden, so don’t have a cow.

  153. John says:

    Mayor Pete Buttigieg is out. Tucker Carlson called it last week.

  154. John says:

    Did I miss something? Tom Steyer is also out as well?

  155. jason says:

    Steyer quit after coming in third.

    I don’t know what his expectation was.

  156. Phil says:

    Yeah, I haven’t a clue what Steyer thought he was doing. Neither does anyone else.

  157. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    After the Minnesota primary, I could see Klobuchar bowing out. Sanders needed a good showing in South Carolina, and he did not get it. Its going to be a brokered convention. Maybe that is when Obama gets involved?

  158. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Second choice of Buttigieg supporters in latest national Quinnipiac poll:
    Klobuchar 26%
    Warren 26%
    Biden 19%
    Sanders 11%
    Bloomberg 9%
    Don’t know 2%

    Mayor Pete’s withdrawal may help some of the other candidates get over 15% of the vote on super-Tuesday.

  159. jason says:

    Maybe. But a lot of votes are already in.

  160. Tina says:

    This is so predictable.

    Donald J. Trump
    · 58m
    Pete Buttigieg is OUT. All of his SuperTuesday votes will go to Sleepy Joe Biden. Great timing. This is the REAL beginning of the Dems taking Bernie out of play – NO NOMINATION, AGAIN!

  161. jason says:

    Karen Tumulty:

    “A year ago, the Democrats were fielding the most diverse presidential field ever. Now, the race has come down to three white guys whose ages go all the way from 77 to 78.”

    Really…234 years there…

  162. jason says:

    In CA in 2016 there were about 8 million primary votes cast for both parties.

    So far about 3.5 million ballots have been received, probably more in the pipeline.

  163. Victrc says:

    Sanders was born closer to the mid term elections if 1862 than 2020

    Bidenwas born closer to before the Gettysburg address than Election Day 2029

    Bloomberg was born closer to before the 13th amendment ending slavery was passed than Election Day 2020

  164. Phil says:

    Yes. California will have those votes counted by mid April.

    No, I’m not kidding one bit. That’s the word.

  165. mRviTO says:

    So Bernie got 15-16 delegates out of that rout?

    Best he could hope for I guess.

  166. mRviTO says:

    Supposedly he just needs to net about 100 from overseas ballots to get to a 38-16 split.

  167. Phil says:

    Thanks a lot, Chuck.

    It’s Chris, but that’s ok.

    So this senile gaff machine is the one who is going to save the Democratic Party from Bernie Sanders. Ok, great choice.

  168. Scooterboy says:

    NBC POLL has Thom Tillis trailing Cunningham by 5 points.

  169. DW says:

    Did Biden ask ‘Chuck’ Wallace to STAND UP?

  170. Sheeple,Jr. says:

    The other NC Poll released today by ECU has Tillis(R) +2 in the 2020 NC Senate race.

  171. Phil says:

    So we have two 78 year olds and a 77 year old who might be more senile than the older two left as possible Democratic nominees.

    Here’s a thought. How about a dark horse enter the race. Enter Governor Moonbeam. He’s just 82. He’ll fit right in.

  172. PresidentPaul! says:

    China creates Uighur slave camps to keep Nike, Apple, and Dell factories going.

    Great reporting by anna fifield at WashPost

  173. PresidentPaul! says:

    Bye Pete

    Jeffrey Gundlach

    When I first heard that the Mayor of South Bend was running for President I laughed out loud. Then I heard him speak and was impressed. Then I heard him speak more and became unimpressed.

  174. Bitterlaw says:

    Steyer and Mayor Pete dropped out to help anti-Bernie voters pick abetted, more viable candidate. Democrats play to win.

  175. John says:

    Just heard or read – don’t know where I got this – about the projections/predictions AFTER super Tuesday.
    Presently, Sanders leads in the delegate count 58-50.
    After Tuesday I gathered that if SANDERS had a LEAD of….
    0-150 delegates then Biden will have a very decent chance to have the most delegates going into the DNC convention or if not will be voted as the nominee in the second ballot.
    151-299 delegate lead for Sanders after Tuesday then Biden has a 50-50 chance regarding the aforementioned scenario.
    300 or more delegate Sanders lead…forget it – Sanders is the Democrat nominee.

  176. Phil says:

    Sanders will have about a 150 delegate lead after tomorrow according to 538.

    Currently, 538 gives it a 64% chance that everyone will come up short on the first ballot. Sanders with a 23% chance of having a first ballot victory. Biden has a 12% chance of winning on the first ballot.

    Silver currently projects that at the end of the process the delegate totals look like the this:

    Sanders 1620, 41%
    Biden 1390, 35%
    Bloomberg 640, 17%
    Warren 270, 6%
    Klobuchar. 75. 2%

    Once the super delegates kick in on the second ballot I’m afraid it’s over for Bernie. The super delegates are establishment types who want to stop Sanders.

  177. Victrc says:


    Just ran calculations of all the states on Super Tuesday taking into account early voting included Butt and Styer, and that some votes would move to others.

    Based on that, current polling data and trends I can see the following delegate win count on Tuesday

    Sanders – 631
    Biden – 384
    Bloomberg – 169
    Warren – 174
    Klobuchar 38

    Which would leave Sanders with a lead of 305 Delegates after Super Tuesday


    I have Sanders winning California with Biden and Warren collecting Delegates as well. Currently its
    Sanders 225
    Biden 87
    Warren 103
    That could change if Bernie blows it out of the water as the latest polls suggest, and he could win most of the delegates. If that happens, forget it.

    I have Sanders winning Texas closely, by about 4%, meaning the delegate split is
    Sanders 92
    Biden 75
    Bloomberg 61

    The big key is how big will Bernie win in CA.

  178. VictrC says:


    I agree no one will have the votes to win on the first ballot. You’re 100% correct there, Not Biden, even with Butt, Steyer and even if Warren and Klobuchar bow out. Not Sanders either.

    But…if Sanders wins big in CA and carries Texas on Tuesday, Does ok in NC and VA, he is going to come out of Super Tuesday with a BIG lead, well over 300 delegates, and if he sweeps CA, over 500 delegate lead.

    Going to piss off a lot of people if they take it from him

  179. Phil says:

    I agree that the Sanders people will be super pissed when the establishment takes it away from Sanders in Milwaukee. His small donors just kicked in over 46 mill last month. Those people are devoted and will not be going quietly into the night and then just quietly fall in behind Biden…especially after what happened last cycle.

    I do think you are being a little optimistic on Sanders delegate totals for Tuesday. 538 has Sanders just beating Biden by around 188 – 122 delegates in California. They have Sanders net Tuesday margin over Sanders at about 130 delegates.

  180. VictrC says:

    ill go check out the calculator at 538. I used 270 to win calculator which lets you adjust some percentages on the custom side, to adjust if you think the polls are off.

    I think that they are wrong on CA. They are hoping Biden comes in about 20% and Bernie stays under 31%, but I think they are underestimating his support. Look at the latest poll there today

  181. Tina says:

    Phil, that projection for ca appears off. China is in trouble here.

    The mayor cheat exit will not do very much.

  182. Phil says:

    Emerson Poll from Texas released today taken Saturday and Sunday showing:

    Sanders 31
    Biden 26
    Bloomberg 16
    Warren 14

  183. Messy says:

    179. If 538 is right, then Biden will win on the second ballot with the Supers piling on big time.

    I was at the ’16 DemCon in Philly and the Bernie bros. rioted in the press tent.

    Now for the fun question: will Weld or Rocky DLF breach 10% anywhere? Five?

  184. Messy says:

    As to Texas or California, millions have already voted. I wonder how that’ll add to the mix.

  185. Victrc says:

    Messy, that is why I don’t understand why Mayor Pete dropped out. I know his play, he’s trying to curry favor with Biden in hopes of a cabinet position, but how much affect will he have on Ca Texas or any other large delegate state. Little to none I think.

  186. VictrC says:

    You know its a quiet day when Messy has the most posts.

  187. Waingro says:

    Stick this one in the garbage dumpster. D+5 with 35% “independents” who support Cunningham by double digits. This same sample has Bernie and these “independents” beating Trump.

    Reid Wilson
    Verified account

    Follow Follow @PoliticsReid
    NC SEN poll (NBC/Marist):
    Cal Cunningham (D) 48
    Sen. Thom Tillis (R) 43

    Tied among indy men, Cunningham leads by 21 among indy women, by 23 among suburban women.

  188. Waingro says:

    This one sounds more reasonable. But I think in the end Tillis will win this by about 5 points and possibly double digits if the Communist is on the ballot.

    Reid Wilson
    Verified account

    Follow Follow @PoliticsReid
    NC SEN poll (East Carolina University:
    Sen. Thom Tillis (R) 44
    Cal Cunningham (D) 42

    NC GOV:
    Gov. Roy Cooper (D) 49
    Lt. Gov. Dan Forest (R) 41

  189. jason says:

    Biden would be the second most corrupt nominee in History after Hillary.

    There should be some good oppo research on him, and it won’t take a billion dollars.

  190. Victrc says:

    Jason. The problem is that he’s been packaged as whistle as snow Joe. Above corruption and if you challenge they thenbyou are challenging Obama since his only redeeming quality is that he’s supposed to be an extension of Obama.

  191. jason says:

    I know. The MSM would do everything they can to pretend he is not a corrupt, senile, creepy old man.

    But they couldn’t save Hillary, who was repackaged too.

  192. VictrC says:

    Good point, and this time, thanks to the primaries, the public has been able to see just how far left the Dems have gone.

    Remember how toxic the public option was when Obamacare was rammed down Americans throats without any votes from the opposition, well, now that is considered the default fallback option if they don’t get socialized medicine.


  193. Phil says:

    Wife is balking again at voting for Sanders in the morning. Told her to sleep on it and do what she wants. Like all women she always does. LOL.

  194. Phil says:

    BTW, I saw two late night 60 second ads on a couple of Houston stations for Tom Steyer.

    ‘I will take on Donald Trump and beat him head to head blah blah blah”

    Hey Tom. I know you are worth 34 billion dollars, but you really ought to cancel those ads. I don’t think they’ll do a whole lot since you dropped out two days ago. Maybe cancel the ads and send the money to St Judes or something else that might do some real good. Just a suggestion.

    Money to burn I guess, and he’s sur doing it.

  195. Phil says:

    538 now says Biden has a 53% chance of winning the Texas Primary. Outside of the one poll released this morning showing Bernie up 5 pts I have no idea what they are basing that on.

  196. NYCmike says:

    Which states do I have to make incorrect predictions for tomorrow?

  197. Tina says:

    There are calls to quarantine senator Murphy and John Kerry since they met with Iranian mullahs infected with the corona virus

  198. Phl says:

    I will be releasing my state by state super Tuesday predictions this evening. I do so as a courtesy to my fellow hedgehoggers so you can all go the other way and make some real $$ on the Predict markets.

    You are all welcome.

  199. NYCmike says:


    weren’t you pretty close with South Carolina?

  200. NYCmike says:

    -John Kerry should be quarantined as well, no?

    I believe a comment from several days ago made light of this.

  201. Victrc says:

    Klobuchar out!!

    Endorsed Biden.


  202. Tina says:

    Fix is in against cccp.

  203. Phil says:

    It’s over.

  204. John says:

    Bernie Sanders is scheduled to hold a massive rally tonight in St. Paul with Ilhan Omar as a speaker. Sanders also released a list of dozens of Minnesota elected officials, activists and others that endorsed him.
    Klobuchar, on the other hand, will be in Texas to endorse Biden.
    This is getting good.

  205. Phil says:

    This might be the deadest on this thread I’ve ever seen this site.

    I think everyone is just sick of politics.

  206. Victrc says:

    So Biden decides to finally come to Texas the day before the election and thinks Klobuchar’s 3% is going to push him over the hump

    I wonder if Sanders people are going to appreciate the obvious backroom deal that has been cut with Butt and Klobuchar. It’s oretty obvious there is one because there is no other sense for them to drop out the day before Super Tuesday

    Fix is in against Bernie two elections in a row

  207. jason says:

    In the straw poll over a DKOS, neither Sanders or Biden are very popular.

    Warren is getting the lion share of the votes.

    I voted for Bernie

  208. NYCmike says:

    “I voted for Bernie”

    It’s all your fault!


  209. GF says:

    206- We should call Skippy’s house and see if he’s ok, I know he had a lot riding in her.

    This is real! This is happening!

  210. jason says:

    I am not so sure Klobuchar and Butt getting out is so great for Biden. The fact is they weren’t getting a lot of votes.

    And if only Sanders and Biden are left standing at the end, and Sanders has more delegates, it will be tough to deny him the nomination.

    Now if Bloomberg bows out, and says he will spend $2 billion to get Biden elected, THAT would be great for Biden.

  211. jason says:

    Skippy got tangled up in his own narrative. It happens.

    Klobuchar was the candidate of the “country club Dems”. She had zero appeal to any minorities or blue collar voters.

    She wasted precious debate time arguing with other non-contenders.

    She had her fifteen minutes getting 20% of the vote in NH.

    But she has a chance at VP if Biden is the nominee.

  212. Phil says:

    Probably pushes Biden past Bernie here in Texas. She didn’t have much support but it will cause enough voters from other candidates to bow to the inevitability of Biden and fall in line behind the party nominee – and that includes a chunk of Bloomberg voters.

    Frankly, all this the very day before Super Tuesday is so patently orchestrated it makes you pretty cynical of politics – if you weren’t pretty cynical already.

    I was really interested in watching the election results tomorrow. Now I couldn’t give a sh*t.

  213. NYCmike says:

    “Frankly, all this the very day before Super Tuesday is so patently orchestrated it makes you pretty cynical of politics – if you weren’t pretty cynical already.”


    It seems kind of foolish. Why wait so long? Won’t their names still be on the ballot tomorrow? Many people already voted, and a lot of others won’t hear about them dropping out before they vote.

  214. Phil says:

    Should be interesting to see what Bloomberg does. He can’t be happy. He either folds too or he decides to make a fight of it and goes hard after Biden to try and capture the anti Sanders mantle. Doubt he does that, however. He’ll get crucified for “dividing the party” plus he knows it’s a long shot.

    Warren won’t leave in any event. Her ego won’t let her plus she wants to be the darling of the left. If she dropped out and enforced Bernie there still might be at least a little suspense to the race. That’s not going to happen however.

  215. Phil says:

    endorsed Bernie

  216. Phil says:

    Yes, orchestrated.

    Orchestrated over the last 36 hours. Absolutely

  217. Phil says:

    Gonna go hit some golf balls, and forget about politics for awhile.

  218. Paul says:

    I was getting set to reluctantly jump on the Bernie Train. Now, it might be Biden after all.

  219. Victrc says:


    Great idea. I’ll be heading there soon. Good to see another golfer in Texas on here. I played in the city fourball champs this weekend and say we had the honor of playing in a 30mph crosswind!!

  220. NYCmike says:

    “playing in a 30mph crosswind!!”

    -I hope your caddy wasn’t too close if you had to take a piss in the woods!

  221. PresidentPaul! says:

    If it’s a divided convention than any delegates Bloom wins will matter.

  222. PresidentPaul! says:

    Biden was smart enough to stay on good terms with some of the “lesser” candidates during these debates rather than getting in constant cat fights when possible.

  223. jason says:

    Hillary will have to go to an “in person deposition”

    “A federal judge has ordered former Secretary of State and failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton to sit for a sworn deposition in order to answer more questions regarding her use of a private email server during her tenure a the State Department. D.C. District Court Judge Royce C. Lamberth granted a request from conservative watchdog group Judicial Watch, arguing that her past statements on the matter were insufficient, Fox News reports.

    “As extensive as the existing record is, it does not sufficiently explain Secretary Clinton’s state of mind when she decided it would be an acceptable practice to set up and use a private server to conduct State Department business,” Lamberth said. According to Lamberth, Clinton’s previous written responses to questions “were either incomplete, unhelpful, or cursory at best. Simply put her responses left many more questions than answers.”
    udge Lamberth specifically ordered an in-person deposition because using written questions now “will only muddle any understanding of Secretary Clinton’s state of mind and fail to capture the full picture, thus delaying the final disposition of this case even further.”

    The State Department has been pushing for the discovery phase of the case to come to a close, but Lamberth said he is not ready to do so, saying that “there is still more to learn.”

    Given that the settlement attempts and records search took place after Clinton left office, the judge ruled that the deposition should focus on whether she intentionally tried to use her private server to evade FOIA and her understanding of the State Department’s record management requirements.

    According to Fox News, “Lamberth also granted Judicial Watch’s request to depose former Clinton chief of staff Cheryl Mills, IT specialist Paul Combetta involved in deleting Clinton’s emails, as well as Brett Gittleson and Yvette Jacks, who were State Department officials familiar with Clinton’s private email server.”

  224. jason says:

    Bibi wins!

  225. Greymarch says:

    Texas is the most important state tomorrow. It’s not even close. Not because of the delegates from TX, but because of expectations. Sanders will get more delegates than anyone else tomorrow. That’s baked into the expectations. If Biden wins TX though, that will get all the press. Bernie getting more delegates will be a side note. If you want Trump to face Sanders, then you really, really, really want Sanders to win TX tomorrow.

  226. John says:

    The race for the White House is now white hot. Just in the last few hours both Buttigieg and Klobuchar have dropped out and both will be at Joe Biden’s rally in Dallas tonight to endorse him.
    At the same time both The Nation and Democracy For America have come out and endorsed Bernie Sanders within the past couple of hours with Bernie Sanders holding a massive rally in St. Paul, MN with Ilham Omar as a speaker.
    Meanwhile, President Trump will hold a massive rally in Charlotte, NC in the 10,000 Bojangles Center.
    Grab you popcorn.

  227. Tina says:

    Down up almost 1300 or a bit over 5%.

  228. Tina says:

    Tomorrow is Super Thursday.

    China Biden.

  229. Tina says:

    Steve Guest
    · 1h
    This is a direct quote from Joe Biden:

    “We hold these truths to be self-evident. All men and women created by the you know, you know the thing.”

  230. Cash Cow TM says:


    Rabid Cow at Texas Rodeo May Have Infected Attendees…

    Chained-up monkey forced to lift weights and do sit-ups for tourists…

    Monkey brain horror as government spends $100 million on experiments…

  231. Victrc says:

    This is the person the Dems want to be their nominee for President


  232. Phil says:

    Coherence is overrated.


  233. dblaikie says:

    First of all I want to say that my heart goes out to those people, especially the elderly or those with underlying conditions who are dealing with this virus. But to tell the truth I am starting to smell a media rat!

    In 2009 we had a terrible pandemic — the Swine Flu. World wide over 200,000 people died. In America there were over 13000 deaths. Where was all the hand wringing then? Where were the accusations that Obama was dropping the ball? Where was non-stop, never ending media coverage? Where was the finger pointing that Obama was dropping the ball. How much media coverage was there in 2009 when there were 6 deaths in America and 3000 across the globe?

    This is bad virus. Every one who succumbs to this Virus is one too many. But I smell a media rat!!

  234. CG says:

    Maybe because this is a new one we haven’t seen before?

    Maybe because Trump’s first instinct was to say things about the situation and make assurances that were not true?

    He just needs to stop talking about it period. Either let Pence (aka the guy you all were insistent should not be President) talk or better yet, let the scientists and doctors give the appropriate updates.

  235. CG says:

    January 22

    “We have it totally under control,” Trump told CNBC. “It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”

  236. dblaikie says:

    CG your post is stupid. Address the content which questioned no hype with the Swine Flu and the never ending hype with this virus. If you can get beyond your TDS deal with the question.

  237. CG says:

    Swine flu got plenty of coverage and Obama was criticized politically for his response to Ebola in 2014.

    This just seems to be a different situation. Yes, maybe there is too much media “hype” but Trump does not help by acting like a buffoon. That had adverse effect on the markets last week and of course that becomes a story itself.

  238. dblaikie says:

    The same Trump that gives you TDS is also the same person who had the guts to ban travel to China in January. For that people like you labeled him xenophobic. Go figure?

  239. Hugh says:

    CG you’re blinded by your disdain for trump. He has performed well in spite of the media bs

  240. SweatyToothedMadman says:

    CG’s an apologist for Mitt, Jeb, Ryan, and the discredited GOP establishment.

    Be gone, hag!

  241. NYCmike says:

    “He just needs to stop talking about it period. Either let Pence (aka the guy you all were insistent should not be President) talk or better yet, let the scientists and doctors give the appropriate updates.”

    -More advice from the guy who predicted Hillary with over 350 Electoral College votes……

    1) If he stops speaking about it, he gets crucified by the media for being Bush-41-like, and it also allows them to craft the narrative. Trump has to, and I am sure he will, keep using the “bully pulpit” to reassure the American people that we are ok, and the government will do all they can to ASSIST us in any way possible to limit the exposure of the virus to those who are already weak in one way or the other.

    2) Who wouldn’t want Pence to become President in 2025?

  242. NYCmike says:

    “CG” is a fan of Bloomberg and Steyer…….they make the JEB!2016 campaign look competent.

  243. Scooterboy says:

    I’ve refrained from criticizing CG here, but his comment in 242 definitely proves he has TDS.

  244. Tina says:

    “He needs to stop talking about it.”

    Why? So you can continue to politicize it?

  245. Tina says:

    Jebots failed again.

    M.Joseph Sheppard
    So far so good;

    Morning Consult (D+5 Poll)
    Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Donald Trump doing in handling the spread of coronavirus ?

    49% Approve Disapprove 37% DK/No Opinion 14%

  246. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    Adios Tingles!

  247. Scooterboy says:

    Not sure if these were posted.

    Elucd Results

    Sanders: 31%
    Biden: 20%
    Bloomberg: 14%
    Warren: 13%
    Butt: 7%
    Klobuchar: 5%
    Undecided: 11%

    Sanders 34%
    Warren 14%
    Butt 10%
    Biden 10%
    Bloomberg 9%
    Klobuchar 5%

    North Carolina
    Sanders 26
    Biden 25
    Bloomberg 15
    Warren 12
    Butt 6
    Klobuchar 6

  248. PresidentPaul! says:

    Matthews got push out because he wasn’t respecting his white male privilege again?

  249. Cash Cow TM says:

    Has Obumbler come out yet and endorsed Biden (or anyone?)?

  250. Scooterboy says:

    Again, not sure if this has been posted.

    New IDP/TIPP National Poll

    Sanders overtakes Biden

    Sanders 23
    Biden 20
    Warren 17
    Bloomberg 13

    Biden 49
    Trump 46

    Warren 48
    Trump 46

    Sanders 49
    Trump 47

    Bloomberg 48
    Trump 45

  251. Scooterboy says:

    Beto O’Rourke is endorsing Biden

  252. Scooterboy says:

    Atlas Intel Poll


    Sanders 35
    Biden 25
    Bloomberg 16
    Warren 9
    Butt 5

    Klobuchar 3
    Gabbard 1


    Sanders 34
    Biden 26
    Warren 15
    Bloomberg 15
    Gabbard 1

    Butt 3
    Klobuchar 1

  253. Phil says:



    Born to run.

    Has there ever been anyone in the history of American politics who soared as high or as quick and then crashed as suddenly or fell as far?

  254. lisab says:

    chris matthews just hired by fox news

  255. jason says:

    Either let Pence (aka the guy you all were insistent should not be President)”


    Who said he shouldn’t be President?

    If he runs in 2024 I may well vote for him. If he had run in 2016 I certainly would have considered supporting him.

    But I supported him being elected President. I don’t support any coups to install him as President.

  256. jason says:

    Has there ever been anyone in the history of American politics who soared as high or as quick and then crashed as suddenly or fell as far?”

    Well there was “juggernaut, front runner, clear the field, suck up all the money” Jeb.

    But maybe Jeb just gets the most money ever wasted for the fewest number of delegates in history prize.

  257. jason says:

    Well, now you guys know how it feels to have a corrupt, partisan media.

    @BernieSanders supporters have started booing reporters at rallies. One yelled at us in the pen as he exited in LA yday. Not at the same level but starting to feel Trumpian. And Sanders and some top surrogates have been going after “the corporate media” with increasing disdain.”

  258. dblaikie says:

    Here is a fact for a little perspective: 80,000 Americans contracted the flu yesterday. 170 are expected to die.

  259. Bitterlaw says:

    If I get coronavirus, I am going to off on all of you.

  260. Phil says:

    Hi. I’m Joe Biden and I’m running for the Senate, uh, I mean President, uh, hell. You all know the deal.

  261. Scooterboy says:

    This poll is laughable, but I’ll post it anyway for your amusement.

    Saint Leo University Poll


    Bloomberg 52
    Trump 36

    Biden 51
    Trump 40

    Sanders 49
    Trump 40

    Warren 44
    Trump 42

  262. jason says:

    You can’t make this sh-t up.

    But then, Biden, Mayor Butt and Klobuchar are also “centrists”.

    “Matthews, a former speechwriter for President Jimmy Carter, has hosted “Hardball” on MSNBC since 1999 and remained a centrist voice on the cable news channel’s prime-time programming, which often features commentary that is further to the left.”

  263. Scooterboy says:

    This same pollster in 267, has Bloomberg leading Trump Nationally by 16 points.

  264. lisab says:

    matthews to join the five starting in april

  265. Bitterlaw says:

    Matthews was a centrist for MSNBC. He was not anywhere close to being a centrist compared to normal people. Both can be true.

  266. Cash Cow TM says:

    More ads on TV (Washington DC metro area airwaves) with the voice of Obama saying great things about Biden and sounding very much like an endorsement.

    Ad run and paid for by Biden campaign.

  267. Cash Cow TM says:


    Mrs. Walt and her gal pals will be going to Philly for the flower show on Wed. morning and returning home on Thursday evening.

    Walt says if they get in trouble, can he get you to bail them out of jail–he says he will pay you back.

  268. Bitterlaw says:

    Cash Cow – I am always happy to help. I know Walt has been married hundreds of times but this one is a keeper.

  269. Bitterlaw says:

    You all realize the “Biden is senile” message will not work because the media will portray him as intelligent and strong, right? If he messes up at a debate, that would hurt him. Otherwise, tweets about his misstatements and confusion will only be read by people who were never going to vote for him.

  270. jason says:

    Hey Bitter, can’t you read between the lines?

    Cash Cow is asking you to escort the ladies to the show, don’t be dense.

    You will be easy to spot in a sweater and the A-hole pin, offer to meet them there.

  271. jason says:

    ou all realize the “Biden is senile” message will not work because the media will portray him as intelligent and strong, right?”

    Well, the MSM tried to portray Hillary as honest, but it got through to most of the electorate that she was corrupt.

    I think Biden is VERY vulnerable to the senile charge, not to mention creepy and corrupt.

    The MSM is still powerful, that is why he went from being washed up to viable in less than a week.

    But, fortunately, not all powerful.

  272. Tina says:

    What a disaster.

    Quote Tweet

    Benjy Sarlin
    · 15m
    Biden hugging Beto going “You’re going to take care of the gun problem for me!” is a thing you will see in a Republican ad someday

  273. Bitterlaw says:

    I am not going. I do not own a sweater. GFY.

  274. jason says:

    I have always said Biden is the best candidate the Dems have against Trump.

    But he is an extremely risky candidate that could implode at any time.

  275. jason says:

    Biden hugging Beto going “You’re going to take care of the gun problem for me!”

    Like I said….

  276. Phil says:

    You realize that the media won’t allow ANYTHING AT ALL negative to get out there. Covering for Biden’s senility is nothing out of the ordinary. They do that for everything. He could piss on Mother Teresa and you’d never see it in the media.

    Nothing new here, bitter. Just standard operating procedure.

  277. Tina says:

    Looks like Jason copies my post.

  278. Tina says:

    Remember y all the skateboarder campaigned on seizing guns, even with force.

  279. Cash Cow TM says:

    From Facebook:

    “More people in America have died from being acquaintances of Hillary Clinton than from coronavirus.”

    I read that and milk squirted out my…well you know…

  280. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    About 155 people die of influenza everyday in the U.S. In the last three months, about 14,000 have died.

  281. Generic Ballot +11 Dem. Tillis behind by 5 according Marist (A+ pollster).

    Trump is toast. Cue all the wacko conspiracy theories from Tina and Co. about how the dems somehow caused all of this in 3 … 2 … 1 …

  282. Phil says:

    The election is Eight months away.

  283. Victrc says:

    In the Dems minds it’s already over. Primaries, General. Done Biden in the White House, Senate with 53 D’s sitting, SC replaces Ginsburg and Thomas so a liberal court. And therein Endeth the Republic.

  284. VictrC says:

    It took us 232 years to build up this great nation into what it was, and in less than 20 year the Dems are going to tear it apart, take away everything that made it great and dismantle it.

    Crazy and Sad.

  285. Tina says:

    Matthews retirement sent a tingle up my leg.

  286. jason says:

    Pretty good analysis on how Bernie still is the favorite for the nomination.

    We shall see.

  287. SweatyToothedMadman says:

    Happy Super Tuesday! Primary day – so I look forward to exercising my franchise at our local polling station.

    Bernie will do very well today – CA, TX, CO, MN and elsewhere. Mad Cow Joe will compete with Mini Mike for the southern states.

    Re: Phil, I agree that the establishment media will continue to cover for Joe’s senility – but if he’s end up on the debate stage w/ Trump in the fall, Joe will be laid bare for all to see.

    Not going to be pretty.


  288. Phil says:

    There is a series of polls this morning and as you would expect, Biden is surging everywhere.

    He has overtaken Sanders by a couple of points in Texas. Turned Virginia and NC into 2 to 1 wipeouts. Bernie is still up in California but now only by only five. Alabama and Tennessee were always going to be bad for Bernie but now he is looking at Biden getting 50% in each state. Polls in Maine and Utah show Bernie still leading in Colorado, Maine and Utah but Biden a strong second now in each. Poll out of Minnesota is showing Sanders will now win there with Biden moving up to second. Nothing out of Oklahoma and Arkansas this morning. Massachusetts poll this morning showing Warren a two point lead over Sanders (essentially tied).

    Bottom line is that Biden is actually going to come out of Super Tuesday with the most delegates.

    It’s Trump and Biden in November folks. Done.

  289. Phil says:

    Real Clear Politics has all the polls I referred to up on their site if anyone is interested Btw.

  290. Sheeple,Jr. says:

    … and Sanders’ supporters are “cheated” again by the Democrat Party machine that hundres of thousands either vote Trump, third party or not at all.
    It’s all good!

  291. SweatyToothedMadman says:

    #294, Phil: Not so fast… You seem to be discounting early voting where Bernie will have a decided edge, especially in CA and TX. Going to be a good night for the Bern.

    If you’re Biden, how in the hell can you justify your candidacy if you can’t win the mega states?

    Respectfully, it is *far from done*. Keep passing the popcorn!

    It’s Trump versus somebody in November. And Trump wins. Done.

  292. Phil says:

    They have now posted a poll from Arkansas and one from Oklahoma showed Biden ahead in both states. Not a lot of delegates at stake in either state, however.

    I think I’m most disappointed by the Texas polling. I had hoped Bernie could have hung on here although after SC and the drop outs I knew it would be close if he did manage a win.

  293. Phil says:

    I don’t see how Bloomberg stays in after tonight. He has no path and Bernie has essentially been stopped which was supposedly his reason for being a candidate – as the anti Bernie option. Biden clearly has that one nailed down. I know money is no object with Bloomberg, Maybe he stays in just in case Uncle Joe’s mental decline becomes so obvious it finally can’t be ignored and he becomes the only available option.

  294. jason says:

    Phil, I think Bernie still wins TX.

    Half the vote is already in.

    Biden would have to be ahead by a lot in the other half to win.

  295. Phil says:

    One last thought. There is no enthusiasm for Biden. None. Everyone knows he will be a president who will be controlled by the Washington business as usual crowd. As a candidate he’s nothing but a place holder for the portion of the country that hates Trump. His GE campaign is built around one theme – I’m not Trump. No ideas and no underlying themes. Period. The question in November simply is this: Is that enough? We will see.

  296. Victrc says:

    These are the polls that Phil was referring to and were done yesterday after butt and Klobuchar dropped out and endorsed Biden. How funny that had they stayed in Biden would have been dead in the water, but their combined 10% or so is now boosting Biden.

    California Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Sanders 32,
    Biden 25,
    Warren 16,
    Bloomberg 17,
    Buttigieg 5,
    Klobuchar 3,
    Gabbard 2

    Sanders +7

    Texas Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Sanders 28,
    Biden 30,
    Bloomberg 20,
    Warren 15,
    Buttigieg 4,
    Klobuchar 3,
    Gabbard 1,
    Biden +2

    Minnesota Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Sanders 32,
    Biden 27,
    Warren 21,
    Bloomberg 16,
    Klobuchar 2,
    Gabbard 1,
    Buttigieg 0
    Sanders +5

    Virginia Democratic Primary Change Research
    Biden 45,
    Sanders 25,
    Warren 13,
    Bloomberg 10,
    Klobuchar 4,
    Biden +20

    Virginia Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D)
    Biden 39,
    Sanders 24,
    Warren 17,
    Bloomberg 18,
    Klobuchar 0,
    Gabbard 1,
    Buttigieg 0
    Biden +15

    North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary Civitas (R) Biden 45,
    Sanders 18,
    Bloomberg 11,
    Warren 7,
    Klobuchar 3,
    Buttigieg 3,
    Biden +27

    North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary Data for Progress (D)
    Biden 36,
    Sanders 27,
    Bloomberg 18,
    Warren 14,
    Klobuchar 2 ,
    Buttigieg 3,
    Gabbard 1
    Biden +9

    Vermont Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Sanders 57,
    Warren 16,
    Biden 16,
    Bloomberg 8,
    Gabbard 2,
    Buttigieg 1,
    Klobuchar 0
    Sanders +41

    Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary Data for Progress (D)
    Warren 28,
    Sanders 26,
    Biden 26,
    Bloomberg 15,
    Buttigieg 2,
    Klobuchar 1,
    Gabbard 1,
    Steyer 0
    Warren +2

    Maine Democratic Presidential Primary Change Research Sanders 43,
    Biden 24,
    Warren 16,
    Bloomberg 10,
    Sanders +19

    Maine Democratic Presidential Primary Data for Progress (D) Sanders 34,
    Biden 25,
    Warren 20,
    Bloomberg 18,
    Klobuchar 1,
    Buttigieg 1,
    Gabbard 1,
    Steyer m
    Sanders +9

    Tennessee Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Biden 34,
    Sanders 27,
    Bloomberg 20,
    Warren 15,
    Klobuchar 2,
    Buttigieg 2,
    Gabbard 1
    Biden +7

    Alabama Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D)
    Biden 47,
    Sanders 22,
    Bloomberg 18,
    Warren 12,
    Gabbard 2
    Biden +25

    Colorado Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Sanders 32,
    Warren 21,
    Biden 18,
    Bloomberg 16,
    Buttigieg 8,
    Klobuchar 4,
    Gabbard 2
    Sanders +11

    Arkansas Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Biden 36,
    Sanders 23,
    Bloomberg 22,
    Warren 15,
    Buttigieg 2,
    Klobuchar 1,
    Gabbard 1
    Biden +13

    Oklahoma Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Biden 35,
    Sanders 28,
    Bloomberg 19, m
    Warren 16,
    Buttigieg 0,
    Klobuchar 0
    Biden +7

    Utah Democratic Primary Data for Progress (D) Sanders 29,
    Biden 23,
    Warren 19,
    Bloomberg 17,
    Buttigieg 7,
    Klobuchar 3,
    Gabbard 2, m
    Steyer 0
    Sanders +6

  297. Messy says:

    I was invited to a very ritzy watch party at a very ritzy club. Free booze and everything.

    Do any of you think that Trump will pass a million on the republican side?

  298. Messy says:

    Klobuchar will become the first withdrawn candidate to win a primary since Dean won Vermont in ’04.

  299. Sheeple,Jr. says:

    #303- Messy the Moron
    You’re still drunk. Go away until you get sober.

  300. Phil says:

    Victrc, thanks for posting those. I was far too lazy to do so.

    Jason, good point about all of that early vote in Texas that has already been cast. Early voting ended on Friday before the S.C. primary. That vote will be heavy for Bernie. 1,080,000 votes were cast early in the Democratic Primary. That vote will be released when the polls close at 7 tonight. The other half was cast today and will be counted last as the evening wears on. Expect Bernie’s lead to shrink as the night wears on and we will just have to see if if it declines enough to put Biden up. This is what happened in 2008 when Obama banked all his early vote and had his lead wiped out by midnight by Hillary’s Election Day vote. She had been closing on Obama in the week or so before the election.

  301. Phil says:

    Klobuchar isn’t winning Minnesota, Messy.

    You truly are drunk.

  302. Chicon says:

    Any reports on the early exits?

  303. Big Joe says:

    Happy Super Tuesday !

    So much going on the last few days that I haven’t had a chance to process much at all. I’ll check back in tonight but it sure sounds like Grampa Joe is back in the game big time.

    Big Joe

  304. PresidentPaul! says:

    Buy gold not Stonks

  305. Chicon says:

    I always stay away from the stonks.

  306. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    Im all in on stank futures

  307. PresidentPaul! says:

    Gold is going bananas with this rate cut.

  308. jason says:

    Gold is for people who are bananas.

  309. PresidentPaul! says:

    Japanese central bank owns over 80% probably now 90% of the Japanese ETF’s to prop up japanification.

    Would love to buy Stonks once Powell starts buying.

  310. jason says:

    I was invited to a very ritzy watch party at a very ritzy club. Free booze and everything.”

    Those socialists sure know how to live…

  311. jason says:

    Bunu’s posts stink.

  312. John says:

    Total construction spending jumped had its highest jump in two years for January according to the Dept. of Commerce…
    The 30 year mortgage rate dropped to its lowest level (3.23%) in over eight years according to the Mortgage News Daily
    Personal income rose more than forecasts in January

  313. jason says:

    Elections have consequences.

    WASHINGTON, March 3 (Reuters) – The U.S. Supreme Court on Tuesday widened the ability of states to use criminal laws against illegal immigrants and other people who do not have work authorization in the United States in a ruling involving identity theft prosecutions in Kansas.

    “In the decision, the justices upheld the authority of states to prosecute immigrants for identity theft when applying for a job. The court found that Kansas did not unlawfully encroach on federal authority over immigration policy in charging three men accused of using other people’s Social Security numbers.”

  314. Diogenes says:

    Containment is impossible. Stocks and Other assets are already overvalued from the Republican tax cuts which were only passed so they could pay off donors and delay the next recession so Trump could get re-elected.

    Powell trying to save Trump’s presidency with an unprecedented .5% rate cut. Little effect.

    Expect at least a 30% devaluation and global recession at best.

    The coronavirus will be a pandemic that will affect and hurt billions of lives.

    It doesn’t matter if the Dems nominate Karl Marx. Trump is toast.

  315. Phil says:

    Well, Aren’t you the optimist

  316. NYCmike says:

    Diogenes having that opinion gives me hope that optimism for Trump is correct.

    That said, Don’t Get Cocky, Kid!

    Get out and vote for Trump! If you can vote twice, do it for Diogenes!

  317. Phil says:


  318. Brandon says:

    Kamala Harris will reportedly endorse Biden too. Definitely circling the wagons here.

  319. NYCmike says:

    Alabama = Biden 40%
    Arkansas = Biden 35%
    California = Sanders 35%
    Colorado = Sanders 33%
    Maine = Sanders 35%
    Massachusetts = Sanders 33%
    Minnesota = Sanders 33%
    North Carolina = Biden 40%
    Oklahoma = Biden 35%
    Tennessee = Biden 35%
    Texas = Sanders 35%
    Utah = Sanders 33%
    Vermont = Sanders 50%
    Virginia = Biden 45%

  320. mRviTO says:

    Bloomberg is in because he wants to be president…. forget all the other excuses he has given for running. He may very well be third in delegates after today, and I don’t think he is going to drop a billion dollars and drop out. I’m sure he figures he can get a lot of support from superdelegates by waving his clout and money around.

  321. NYCmike says:

    “Bloomberg is in because he wants to be president…”

    -I’ll add this: and because his ego is telling him “If Trump can do it, you most certainly can!”.

  322. mRviTO says:

    The clock seriously seems to be ticking on Joe’s mental faculties, and if Obama hasn’t endorsed soon, you seriously have to wonder why.

    Perhaps he is hoping to swoop in at the convention and crown the next candidate. On the other hand, maybe he is tired of endorsing losing candidates.

  323. mRviTO says:

    Medium Buying
    UPDATE: The Bloomberg campaign is placing post-Super Tuesday TV ad spending. Booking schedules for 3/4-3/5

  324. Scooterboy says:

    “The clock seriously seems to be ticking on Joe’s mental faculties “

    I totally agree……but will enough of the voters see what you’re seeing? They definitely won’t have it pointed out to them by the media.

  325. mRviTO says:

    Joe apparently gave some tribute to Pete where he compared him to Beau…. said he’d never done anything like it before.

    Apparently, he did it for Conor Lamb.

  326. Big Joe says:

    But stonks always go up.

    Big Joe

  327. mRviTO says:

    Boris Johnson got a stocking majority last year.

  328. mRvITO says:

    Switching words is fun.

  329. mRviTO says:

    The stocking majority breaks it down.


  330. jason says:

    This rate cut will make the economy go gang busters as soon as the coronavirus subsides…and it will.

  331. jason says:

    Vegan jogger in Berkeley offended by the odor of cooked meat coming from homes.

    “Quite honestly the odor is offensive and I’m hoping our community can have some empathy for its #plantbased neighbors by closing their windows if they are cooking meat and only putting vegetables on their bbq.”

    Some of the comments are great.

    “As a carnivore bbq chef, it’s always hard for me this time of year when the weather starts warming up and vegan runners start running by my windows.”

    “I would roast an entire goat right outside just to spite him”

    “Honestly would cook more bacon on purpose”

  332. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    El Bloombito keepin it real

  333. mRviTO says:

    But can he pronounce Bexar County?

  334. Victrc says:

    Lol. Bexxxar, no wait. Behhhar. No wait. What? Bear? Is someone trying to make me look bad wtf

    Lol. That video, in just one minute, exemplifies why Dems are relunctantku returning to Biden. The worst candidate for President since Dukakis, who btw, beat him like a drum.

  335. PresidentPaul! says:

    Corona not going away. Ppl are asymptomatic for 2 weeks. There are incubators all over the USA right now.

    This is just the calm before.

  336. PresidentPaul! says:

    Last year we had an emergency 50 point rate cut was before 08 crisis.

    10 year treasury yield: 0.988

    (Gold not Stonks)

  337. PresidentPaul! says:

    The Fed’s move Tuesday echoed a 50 basis point rate cut it made in October 2008 as markets melted down in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and another it made earlier that year.

    What “good” news will come to make ppl want to buy more tomorrow or later this week?

  338. jason says:

    What “good” news will come to make ppl want to buy more tomorrow or later this week?”

    You are a moron.

    The first reaction are from moron saying OMG it must be bad the Feds cut the rate 50 basis points.

    Then the more rational people say hey wait a minute the effects of that rate cut will be a lot bigger and be around a lot longer than Coronavirus.

  339. jason says:

    Well, the first conclusion is if you are under 50 your chances of dying are close to 0.

    I am not under 50.

  340. PresidentPaul! says:

    Repo markets were crashing as usual last night.

    This panic rate cut that had to be done so fast that Powell couldn’t even wait 2 weeks for the next meeting makes everyone want to know what does Powell know that the rest of us do not.

  341. PresidentPaul! says:

    Bloomberg said in Fox town hall he’s going to combat the Coronavirus by going to a Chinese restaurant tomorrow.

  342. PresidentPaul! says:

    San Francisco’s no arrest policy has anarchic results (much like their policy of forcing homeowners to allow ppl to camp in their yard)

  343. PresidentPaul! says:

    Market gonna close red despite 120B in repo last night and 50bp cut.

    We need more cocaine. That’s weak sauce.

  344. Cash Cow TM says:


    Orphan monkeys forced to serve beers and play with kids in ‘bar jobs’…

  345. dblaikie says:

    The best way to combat the Coronavirus is to not panic. The media is disgusting with this. Where were the nervous nellies in 2009? President Obama never declared a national emergency until there were a thousand deaths! Now we have 9 and the media acts like the sky is going to fall in.

    I will go out onto a limb now. By June this whole thing will be shown to be an overreaction in the extreme. Please understand no one wants to get this virus. It is great that the CDC is moving with all speed to find an effective vaccine or treatment for those at risk. But this is not the Black Plague!!

  346. NYCmike says:

    No early exit polls from Lord Arsehat yet?