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    Bullock Leads Daines By 2% in MT

    Earlier today, Public Policy Polling released a new poll in the state of Montana that shows the Republican-held US Senate seat is in danger of flipping to the Democrats.

    PRESIDENT – MONTANA (PPP)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
    Joe Biden (D) 42%

    US SENATE – MONTANA (PPP)
    Steve Bullock (D) 46%
    Steve Daines (R-inc) 44%

    US HOUSE – MONTANA (PPP)
    Kathleen Williams (D) 445
    Matt Rosendale (R) 44%

    GOVERNOR – MONTANA (PPP)
    Greg Gianforte (R) 46%
    Mike Cooney (D) 42%

    this poll was done July 9-10 among 1224 registered voters.

    Posted by Dave at 10:03 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (161)

    161 Responses to “Bullock Leads Daines By 2% in MT”

    1. Hugh says:

      Yeah right. I’m 1

    2. Tgca says:

      Dos Bebe! Dos!

    3. PresidentPaul! says:

      The great tech company vs car company debate.

      I think at this point it’s not a car company and not a tech company but just a bubble
      .

      Jim Bianco
      @biancoresearch
      · 4h
      Tesla’s market cap started the day by gaining “a GM” (+$35B) and ended the day by losing “a BMW” (-$42B)

    4. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      July 13, 2020 at 9:40 pm
      Attention:

      Robbie has new goalposts.

      Forget 15k a day idiocy.

      Now we need “3 states to get back to xxxx number by Labor Day” or we are all doomed.

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

      – You’re a damn fool. I was just being realistic about how long it might take for those three states to get back to their pre-spike levels.

      Again, the easiest way to know how poorly things going right now is to watch how quickly you go on the attack for innocuous comments.

    5. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      375. “I think Cruz is dumb drinking his coffee without a mask on that plane.”

      I think it would be dumber if he tried to drink it with his mask on.

    6. Robbie says:

      Josh Kraushaar
      @HotlineJosh
      !!

      Biden said he “was quite optimistic that the Democrats may get to 55 in the Senate, which would surely be a wake-up call for Republicans.”

      That would mean an 8-seat D pickup, likely incl seats in Iowa, Georgia, and Montana — and more.

      – This would definitely qualify as the nuclear winter scenario. I don’t think it’s remotely likely right now, but I also didn’t think Republicans would lose 8 Senate seats in 2008.

    7. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      For liberals there is no greater paradise than California. This is what the liberals will do to the whole country should Biden win:

      “Even before the pandemic, California topped the nation in the widest gap between middle and upper-middle income earners and has become progressively more unequal in recent years. But its greatest shame is the prevalence of poverty amid enormous affluence. California’s poverty rate, adjusted for cost of living, is the highest of any state and was higher in 2019 than in 2007.
      California’s political leaders like to talk about racial justice, but Latino and Black populations bear the brunt of the pain. And by some measures, such as minority home ownership, California remains far behind states such as Texas, Michigan, Arizona and Florida.
      Gov. Gavin Newsom and state lawmakers should stop trying to sell the myth of the California dream. On its current trajectory, this state is socially, fiscally and economically unsustainable.
      The biggest drivers of California’s poverty and staggering inequality are low-wage jobs and extraordinarily high housing costs. But it’s not too late to change course if state policies that help create these twin crises are rolled back.
      That means reforming business regulations and eliminating regulatory regimes that suppress development in the most populous counties. Instead of encouraging high density growth along the ultra-pricey coastal areas, we need an intensive, state-driven push for job development and housing creation in less costly peripheral regions.
      Since 2008, the state has created five times as many low-wage jobs as high-wage jobs, according to an analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers. The vast majority of jobs produced pay less than the median wage, and 40% pay under $40,000 a year. No metro area in California ranks in the top 10 in the U.S. for well-paying jobs for people without a college degree, but in 2019 four — Ventura, Los Angeles, San Jose and San Diego — were among the 10 worst in the country for non-college educated people looking for better paying jobs.
      State policies — particularly environmental regulations that have led to high energy prices and long approval processes to get development permits — have been key factors to constricting the creation of higher-paying jobs. California’s energy prices, now among the highest in the nation, hit not only the pocketbooks of working and middle-class Californians but have discouraged more jobs in manufacturing. And on July 1, the state gasoline tax rose again by 6%.”

      http://www.newgeography.com/content/006708-is-california-dream-finished

    8. Robbie says:

      Helen Aguirre Ferré
      @helenaguirrefer
      Trending in the right direction. Today, Florida has an 11.5% positivity rate for COVID meaning 88.5% of those testing for this virus are negative, the second day in a row it remains under 12%.

      – This is good news for Florida.

    9. lisab says:

      I don’t think it’s remotely likely right now, but I also didn’t think Republicans would lose 8 Senate seats in 2008.
      ————————————-
      Robbie says:
      November 3, 2008 at 8:54 pm

      I’m going to amend my numbers.

      51-47-1 Obama
      58-42 Democrats in the Senate
      Democrats gain 27 seats in the House

    10. Robbie says:

      I’ve never had a stalker so lisab’s infatuation with me is a new thing.

      And by the way, I was right. I didn’t Democrats would win eight seats. I thought they’d win seven seats.

    11. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      9. LOL Concerned troll needs a new script.

    12. Phil says:

      55 in the senate?

      So Democrats are going to hold Alabama (good luck with that)

      And then sweep Colorado, Maine, Arizona, North Carolina, Montana, Iowa, and both seats in Georgia.

      Yeah, ok.

      Hey, Robbie, why not add South Carolina and Texas and make it 57. Mine as well take Kansas as well and make it 58. Maybe Ann Coulter can finish Mitch off in your state to get to 59. May as well think big, right?

      Only you could find something that catastrophic on the Internet.

    13. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      10. I would not use the term “stalker”;the term “fact checker” is a better fit.

    14. Phil says:

      SD, what’s the Current virus situation in San Diego ad Orange Counties?

    15. Robbie says:

      Phil

      Did I say it was likely? No.

    16. Robbie says:

      SDC

      You weren’t around in 2008, right? My prediction was very controversial in this forum. In 2008, this forum believed the Bradley Effect and something called the delbov curve would save the day for McCain. The delbov curve was an early form of poll unskewing. In fact, quite a few in this forum didn’t believe Rasmussen that year.

    17. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      They have been running around 400-500 cases a day, but few death. About 8,000 or so tests a day, running about 6% positive. We actually don’t meet all the metrics the state uses to recommend more restrictive measures. San Diego County has had about 20,000 cases and 422 deaths.

      When Newsom closed restaurants; the mayor of San Diego and cities of San Diego County quickly permitted outdoor dining without a permit. You can even use parking spaces. A lot of San Diego Republican politicans are asking Newsom to rescind his ban on indoor dining.

      During this epidemic, am seeing a lot of Republican activity; it may help to revitalized the party in San Diego County.

    18. Phil says:

      No, just the idea that you brought it up at all was vintage concern troll.

    19. Robbie says:

      And just let me add an addendum to 6. I didn’t write it, but I should have been more specific since my lisab went back 12 years in the archives.

      When I said I didn’t believe Democrats would win 8 seats, I was talking about this time in the Summer. I didn’t think it was all that likely Libby Dole would lose. Nor did I think Norm Coleman would lose to Al Franken.

    20. Robbie says:

      Phil

      Should we ignore news that’s bad because it might trigger others?

    21. Phil says:

      Thanks, SD. Glad you are on this forum. I’ve learned a lot over the past four years about the situation in California both political and otherwise just reading your posts.

      If the test positive rate there is 6% that’s rather good…..half of what it is in Florida.

    22. Phil says:

      Not to nit pic but Coleman didn’t lose. It was flat ass stolen from him.

    23. Robbie says:

      If the nominee of the Democrat party is openly talking about winning 55 seats, it’s news. I think it’s highly unlikely even in a best case scenario for Biden, but it’s news. If Trump were ahead in the polls and talking about adding 5 or 6 senator seats, it would be news as well.

    24. Robbie says:

      Yes, Coleman was robbed on, what, the third recount?

    25. Cash Cow TM says:

      REDSKINS
      RED SKINS
      REDS KINS
      RED SINKS
      INKDRESS
      DESKIRNS
      SENDS RIK
      SEND KRIS
      KIND RESS
      DRESS KIN
      KIN DRESS
      KINDERSS
      SKINDERS
      KISSREND
      DINKERSS
      REND SKIS
      SKIS REND
      RIKS ENDS
      SEN. DIRKS (e+n)
      SEN. KIRDS
      NED RISKS
      RISK DENS
      DEN’S RISK
      DRINK ESS
      SES DRINK
      KISS REND
      DESINK_RS

    26. Tina says:

      CBS Los Angeles
      @CBSLA
      ·
      12m
      #BREAKING: The Orange County Board of Education has voted 4-1 to reopen schools next month with in-person instruction. Students and teachers can choose to attend classes without masks and no social distancing is required.

    27. Phil says:

      Very interesting, Tina. Talked to a sup of a small Texas school district. He said the Texas Education agency isn’t giving any guidance to school districts because Abbott can’t make up his mind.

    28. Tina says:

      I like Abbott, but some people I know say he is going a bit wobbly.

      Hope they are wrong.

    29. lisab says:

      When I said I didn’t believe Democrats would win 8 seats, I was talking about this time in the Summer.
      ————————————

      Robbie says:
      July 13, 2008 at 6:20 pm

      … The McCain campaign is total crap. Socialism is on the way. Sorry, but until I see something good, my view will be that McCain is doomed to a terrible defeat.

    30. FactsMatter says:

      OK, I will admit that Don Jr. makes sense once in a while.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=62&v=9HJlk_EH1_Y&feature=emb_logo

    31. Tina says:

      Slavitt is such a nice person.

      Greg Price
      @greg_price11
      ·
      1h
      I’m pretty sure that if Ron DeSantis had forced nursing homes in Florida to accept Covid patients and it led to over 6,000 deaths, Andy here wouldn’t be calling it a “meme.”

      It’s amazing what you can get away with when you’re a Democrat.

    32. PresidentPaul! says:

      I’m glad robbie knew that McCain was a Communist.

    33. lisab says:

      I’m glad robbie knew that McCain was a Communist.
      ————————————–

      in fairness … he was stating that mccain was going to lose, not win

    34. FactsMatter says:

      Mick Mulvaney, Trump’s former acting chief of staff, warned Republicans on Monday that there is still a COVID-19 “testing problem” in the country.

      “I know it isn’t popular to talk about in some Republican circles, but we still have a testing problem in this country. My son was tested recently; we had to wait 5 to 7 days for results. My daughter wanted to get tested before visiting her grandparents, but was told she didn’t qualify,” Mulvaney wrote in a CNBC op-ed. “That is simply inexcusable at this point in the pandemic.”

    35. VictrC says:

      Pure Garbage

      Were up to nearly 800K tests a day, over 5.5M tests per week.

      Our babysitter’s boyfriend felt bad in the morning, went got tested and had the results back in two hours. She went and got tested that night at 8pm, results back at 10pm.

      They both got re-tested again two days later, same wait time for test results.

      BTW, he is in high risk category with Asthma, but was better in just three days. Said other than the massive headache he’s had worse asthma attacks.

      So, we’ve now off of Muh Russia again, and back to muh testing. Guess testing more than 5.5M people a week is now not enough. Go figure.

    36. lisab says:

      Grant Masaru Imahara

      the asian guy on mythbusters

      dead at 49

      rip

    37. PresidentPaul! says:

      I’ve had a couple days where I felt like I had some allergy stuff going, and I pondered going to one of these drive through testing things for covid-19, but then I thought well I basically feel fine. If this thing comes back incidentally positive idk what the ramifications will be as far as time off work and quarantine etc etc so I have avoided those tests. Plus sticking that thing all the way through your nasal cavity into the back of your throat is very unpleasant.

    38. lisab says:

      i hope you feel better bunu

    39. PresidentPaul! says:

      If I really want to find out I’ll just get the antibody test months on down the road. See I had it and I’m over it. Nothing to do here.

    40. PresidentPaul! says:

      Biden announces new plan to waste 2 trillion dollars. Money printers goes brrrr.

      zerohedge
      @zerohedge

      ·
      6h
      BIDEN TO CALL FOR $2T IN CLEAN ENERGY SPENDING OVER FOUR YEARS Brrrrrrrrrrr

    41. FactsMatter says:

      PresidentPaul! says:
      July 14, 2020 at 3:27 am
      I’ve had a couple days where I felt like I had some allergy stuff going, and I pondered going to one of these drive through testing things for covid-19, but then I thought well I basically feel fine. If this thing comes back incidentally positive idk what the ramifications will be as far as time off work and quarantine etc etc so I have avoided those tests. Plus sticking that thing all the way through your nasal cavity into the back of your throat is very unpleasant.
      __________________________________

      Nice backass mentality you loser. This shows exactly why Covid will continue to spread. But the important thing is putting yourself first, it’s the Repug way.

    42. PresidentPaul! says:

      Robin Masters
      @Robin_Blue19
      · Jul 12
      Japan has had less than 1000 Covid deaths. It is 12 times more densely populated than the US, and they have more elderly per capita than any other nation. They never did a complete lockdown. How did they do it? Virtually everyone wears a mask. So simple. We look ridiculous.

      Pretty sure Vietnam and Madagascar had zero deaths.

      I knew Trump needed to ban the fat people

    43. PresidentPaul! says:

      #41
      So everyone who has the smallest amount of allergies need to go waste some test kits?

    44. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #8 Robbie
      In order to get to 55, then Doug Jones(D) must retain his Alabama Senate seat or if he loses, which is a probability, the Democrats would have to snatch nine seats.
      Can you name the 9 seats in order of turnover probability?
      Here is my guess although it gets difficult after NC:

      CO
      AZ
      MT
      ME
      NC

      KS (if Kobach wins primary)
      IA
      Loeffler seat in GA
      Alaska
      Perdue seat in GA

      The last five are very long shots and KS is off-the-table if Marshall wins in KS Republican primary, which polls show he will.

      Sorry, but I don’t see it at 55 and at best the Donkeys will grab 52, but probably 51 if they have a good night. I hope and think that the GOP could hold the Senate this year.

    45. Hugh says:

      Robbie. A well known hard core republican thinks th gop will pick up 30 seats. That too must be news. Right?? I said it it must be news. Also the chances of the gop picking up 30 seats is possible. The chances of the dems picking up 55 is impossible. Go get a life

    46. Hugh says:

      That well known republican is named hugh

    47. Hugh says:

      Oops misread Robbies post. Still get a life.

    48. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Robbie
      You and I both may be incorrect in our MT Senate race forecasts. A just-released Daily Kos/Civiqs Montana Senate Poll shows Republican Steve Daines +2.(It also shows Trump with a slim 4 pt. lead.)

      https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_MT_banner_book_2020_07_ba6t8k.pdf

    49. jason says:

      I’ve never had a stalker so lisab’s infatuation with me is a new thing.”

      Translation: Robbie upset lisab pointing out he has the same shtick every election cycle and is a lying fraud.

      Sounds like Podesta whining about his emails being released but never actually contesting that they were real and accurate.

    50. jason says:

      9. LOL Concerned troll needs a new script.”

      So does MSNBC. But it won’t happen.

      No, not a coincidence.

    51. Scooterboy says:

      M. Joseph Sheppard-“According to sources this appears to be the final for the New York State Democratic Presidential primary.

      If correct it is an appalling result for Biden“

      Biden: 67.59%

    52. jason says:

      Again, the easiest way to know how poorly things going right now is to watch how quickly you go on the attack for innocuous comments.”

      Things are going poorly?

      I thought Robbie said Biden is ahead and now Dems are picking up 9 seats.

      Guy is never happy….

    53. Scooterboy says:

      Rasmussen- Only 54% Think Biden Capable of Debating Trump

    54. jason says:

      You’re a damn fool. I was just being realistic about how long it might take for those three states to get back to their pre-spike levels.”

      Realistic?

      AZ went from 4877 cases to 1357 in ten days, roughly the same count as June 5.

      Why it would take until Labor Day is MSM fed garbage designed to promote the MSM’s “lets shut down everything again” and “COVID out of control memes”.

      Innocuous my ass.

    55. Chicon says:

      Friends of mine here in the People’s Republic of Illinois have a 20 year old son who was notified that a friend tested positive for The Vid.

      I saw my friends last night and asked if they had the results. Positive. I expressed sympathy. They said don’t worry about it – the son filled out the form and went around the corner to get the swab, but left because the line was long. Never did the swab, but got a letter three days later letting him know he had the thing.

    56. jason says:

      Rasmussen- Only 54% Think Biden Capable of Debating Trump”

      I would answer that question yes just because I want the debates to happen.

    57. jason says:

      Has the debate format changed or are they still run by flaming moonbats who give the Dems the questions beforehand and run interference for the Dem during the debate?

    58. Tina says:

      Trump at 47 in ras.

      Small business confidence rises to over 100 (people pundit).

    59. Tina says:

      Trump administration

      First lethal injection death of death row inmate since early 2000s

      A white supremacist.

    60. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #58- Tina
      Could be good news for Trump this week since Rasmussen(less) is doing a weekely Biden/Trump national horserace poll released every Wednesday and taken on Sundays, Mondays and Tuesdays of each week.

    61. Tgca says:

      10

      Ooooh! Lucky you. I’ve never had a stalker. Always wanted one. I guess they’re afraid they might get shot.

      I knew someone who had a stalker once. Broke in his house and stole all his clothes.

      All I can say is get an alarm on your home Robbie and don’t give LisaB the code.

    62. Tgca says:

      Geez! You guys debate the same things over and over.

      How about a new topic?

      Maybe, one of Jadon’s past favs.

      Is Chuck Connors circumcised?

    63. Robbie says:

      lisab says:
      July 14, 2020 at 12:36 am
      When I said I didn’t believe Democrats would win 8 seats, I was talking about this time in the Summer.
      ————————————

      Robbie says:
      July 13, 2008 at 6:20 pm

      … The McCain campaign is total crap. Socialism is on the way. Sorry, but until I see something good, my view will be that McCain is doomed to a terrible defeat.

      – Is this supposed to be a strike against me? Seems like I was had a pretty good sense of things. McCain was defeated by more than 10 million votes and by 7.2 percentage points. And his loss opened the door for Obamacare (which we still have) and Dodd/Frank.

    64. Robbie says:

      Sheeple,Jr. says:
      July 14, 2020 at 8:03 am
      #8 Robbie

      Sorry, but I don’t see it at 55 and at best the Donkeys will grab 52, but probably 51 if they have a good night.

      – I agree with you. I don’t see any way Democrats get to 55 Senate seats. I guess if Trump only got 38% or 39% of the popular vote, but I don’t see that happening either. For Democrats to get 55 seats, there would have to be some sort of apocalyptic scenario we’re not even considering.

    65. Robbie says:

      Hugh says:
      July 14, 2020 at 8:06 am
      Robbie. A well known hard core republican thinks th gop will pick up 30 seats. That too must be news. Right??

      – Ok. Who is it? I’m willing to read their thoughts.

    66. Robbie says:

      Sheeple,Jr. says:
      July 14, 2020 at 8:25 am
      Robbie
      You and I both may be incorrect in our MT Senate race forecasts. A just-released Daily Kos/Civiqs Montana Senate Poll shows Republican Steve Daines +2.(It also shows Trump with a slim 4 pt. lead.)

      https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_MT_banner_book_2020_07_ba6t8k.pdf

      – I think Montana will be a lot like Missouri in 2016. Blount was in trouble, but Trump won the state by a wide enough margin that it carried Blount over the line as well. I think that’s the likely scenario here as well. If Trump wins the state by 8-10, Daines likely wins as well.

    67. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      July 14, 2020 at 9:06 am
      I’ve never had a stalker so lisab’s infatuation with me is a new thing.”

      Translation: Robbie upset lisab pointing out he has the same shtick every election cycle and is a lying fraud.

      – Was I right in 2008? Yep.

    68. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      July 14, 2020 at 9:14 am
      Again, the easiest way to know how poorly things going right now is to watch how quickly you go on the attack for innocuous comments.”

      Things are going poorly?

      I thought Robbie said Biden is ahead and now Dems are picking up 9 seats.

      Guy is never happy….

      – I haven’t made any prediction on the Senate, but I definitely think Biden is ahead and by a good sized margin.

    69. dblaikie says:

      Had to watch a father and a grandmother on Fox and Friends grieve over the loss of his little baby who was shot in a baby carriage. Facts matter and crime is up over 130% in NYC since the defund the police movement began. In fact it is up in all the deep blue dem cities. Facts matter and yes there will be consequences for this total collapse of leadership.

    70. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      July 14, 2020 at 9:22 am
      You’re a damn fool. I was just being realistic about how long it might take for those three states to get back to their pre-spike levels.”

      Realistic?

      AZ went from 4877 cases to 1357 in ten days, roughly the same count as June 5.

      – Be weary of one day moves. With a delay in test results of a week or so and big backlogs, we don’t know how meaningful a single day move is. For instance, Florida’s big pop up to 15,300 included testing that accounted for nearly two days worth of tests.

      If we see over the next few days the number in Arizona is consistently lower than it was last week, then I think we can be much more optimistic the decrease is real and not just a function of test result backlogs being cleared in piecemeal fashion.

    71. dblaikie says:

      As you all know I don’t trust polls and to be consistent I won’t trust this one. But maybe it shows a trend. In Ras. Trump has gone from -10 to -4 in approval. If this continues the next Trump/Biden update on their tracking will show a much closer race. Take it for what it is worth — a poll.

    72. dblaikie says:

      It sure seems meaningful when a huge backlog of cases from April and May drives up the numbers. The media can hardly wait to report that without an once of context. Yes Robbie we need to be wary of one day moves — both ways. But the data is revealing a big trend in Arizona cases and fatalities are going down. But the media won’t report that. How is this for being optimistic Robbie — Arizona reached its peak on June 28 and it has been trending down in cases ever since. How many more days do you need?

    73. mnw says:

      “Planned Parenthood Backs Biden With 5-Figure Ad Campaign In Battleground States”

      My tax dollars at work! Thanks, GOPe!

    74. Robbie says:

      dblaikie says:
      July 14, 2020 at 10:24 am
      It sure seems meaningful when a huge backlog of cases from April and May drives up the numbers. The media can hardly wait to report that without an once of context. Yes Robbie we need to be wary of one day moves — both ways. But the data is revealing a big trend in Arizona cases and fatalities are going down. But the media won’t report that. How is this for being optimistic Robbie — Arizona reached its peak on June 28 and it has been trending down in cases ever since. How many more days do you need?

      – Yes, I agree with you. I just want to be weary of one day moves. Yesterday’s number in AZ was a big improvement. I definitely think the state’s past its peak, but whether it’s dropping as quickly as yesterday indicated is what I want to avoid for the reasons I listed earlier.

    75. Robbie says:

      Florida checks in at 9261 new cases. The positivity was 15%, but it was lower than last Tuesday.

    76. Tina says:

      Amy Kaufeldt
      @Fox35Amy
      · 4h
      ERRORS FOUND: Florida’s positivity rate is skewed. #FOX35 went through #COVID19 test reports & found many clinics reporting 100% positivity. @orlandohealth admits their number is wrong, saying it shows 98% positive, but it’s actually 9.4%. @fox35orlando https://fox35orlando.com/news/orlando-health-confirms-state-covid-19-report-has-errors

    77. Chicon says:

      68 – no, you would just dismiss the source because you don’t like the content. It is what you do.

    78. Robbie says:

      Christian Fromhertz
      @cfromhertz

      $MRNA *MODERNA SAYS PHASE 3 VIRUS VACCINE TRIAL TO BEGIN ON JULY 27

      – Moderna, Pfizer, and AstraZeneca will all be involved in Phase 3 trials in August. It’s not a stretch to think we could have preliminary data that could lead to emergency approval for all of them by the November timeframe.

    79. Country Dick Montana says:

      ” It’s not a stretch to think we could have preliminary data that could lead to emergency approval for all of them by the November timeframe.”

      Forgot to add “and by that time Trump and the GOP Senate is toast and Biden and the Democrats will get all the credit for stopping Covid.”

    80. Hugh says:

      TOTAL FAILURE: New York State and Governor Cuomo Had the Worst Coronavirus Death Ratio in the World – Higher than Any State and Higher than ANY NATION!

    81. jason says:

      Be weary of one day moves.

      LOL

      He is never weary about one day moves if they are going up, he is quicker than a fly on horse crap to post it here.

      Translation: I am hoping against hope that the one day move down is an outlier. Please, God.

    82. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      July 14, 2020 at 11:26 am
      Be weary of one day moves.

      LOL

      He is never weary about one day moves if they are going up, he is quicker than a fly on horse crap to post it here.

      Translation: I am hoping against hope that the one day move down is an outlier. Please, God.

      – This why you should be weary of one day moves.

      Arizona just announced 4273 new cases.

    83. jason says:

      It’s not a stretch to think we could have preliminary data that could lead to emergency approval for all of them by the November timeframe.”

      Forgot to add “and by that time Trump and the GOP Senate is toast and Biden and the Democrats will get all the credit for stopping Covid.”

      Heh, everyone reads Robbie like a book now.

      Not that it is that hard.

    84. jason says:

      Arizona just announced 4273 new cases.”

      So what?

      AZ is now 12 days past the peak.

    85. jason says:

      He is never weary about one day moves if they are going up, he is quicker than a fly on horse crap to post it here.”

      “Arizona just announced 4273 new cases.”

      LOL

    86. jason says:

      Make that 14 days, the peak was July 1.

    87. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      July 14, 2020 at 11:32 am
      He is never weary about one day moves if they are going up, he is quicker than a fly on horse crap to post it here.”

      “Arizona just announced 4273 new cases.”

      LOL

      – Bless your heart.

      If I was never weary of one day moves that show increases, why was I quick to point out Florida’s big move to 15,300 was almost certainly the clearing of a big backlog of cases?

    88. Paul says:

      Trump is at 47% approval on Rasmussen. Perhaps the worm has turned.

      Time for Biden to pick Condaleeza Rice for veep to change the narrative.

    89. Paul says:

      Deaths today will likely around 1100 if the trend I’m seeing holds. If it is under, that would be very good.

    90. jason says:

      why was I quick to point out Florida’s big move to 15,300″

      Ah yes, you could have stopped there.

    91. jason says:

      Paul and Robbie are on the “Hoping for More Deaths” team.

      What a great duo.

    92. NYCmike says:

      https://www.bariweiss.com/resignation-letter

      -First time in a while, other than the Tom Cotton op-ed, where I believed what the person was writing was true.

    93. Country Dick Montana says:

      “Deaths today will likely around 1100 if the trend I’m seeing holds. If it is under, that would be very good.”

      You would probably be pretty close. The last 4 Tuesdays average 130% above Monday’s total.So 465 yesterday would be around 1070 today.

    94. FactsMatter says:

      Gravis Marketing has just published a poll showing Biden leading Trump 53% to 43% in Florida, the biggest lead yet and over 50% for Biden.

      One of the key findings of this poll is from a question about who is responsible for the recent uptick in coronavirus cases in Florida.

      Responsible for Covid-19 Cases Uptick?

      Donald Trump 33%

      Protesters 24%

      Ron Desantis 21%

      No One 10%

      Local Officials 7%

      Gravis reports 56% think that the state was opened from lock down too quickly, and 73% support the wearing of masks.

    95. Paul says:

      Gravis is just shilling for the Demo-Marxists.

    96. NYCmike says:

      Paul and FactsMatter should be happy with the Gravis poll.

      Why don’t both of you go and enjoy the day?

      Robbie will be here to “worry” soon, so he will cover your “6”.

    97. FactsMatter says:

      It is Gravis, an outfit that leans to the right. They are often hired by Trump’s favorite cable network OANN for their polling.

    98. FactsMatter says:

      Retired astronaut Mark Kelly (D) holds a 9-point lead over Sen. Martha McSally (R) in Arizona, a state critical to Democrats’ hopes of reclaiming control of the U.S. Senate.

      Kelly leads McSally by a 52 percent to 43 percent margin, according to a new survey conducted by the Phoenix-based firm OH Predictive Insights. Kelly leads by 27 percentage points among independent voters, by 19 points among women and by 40 points among voters who call themselves moderate.

    99. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

      Trump will win FL. The debates are a long way off.

    100. Country Dick Montana says:

      Fun facts:

      Trump states:
      30 states
      57% of population
      34% of Covid deaths (46.4K)
      248 deaths per million

      Clinton States:
      21 (includes DC)
      43% of population
      66% of Covid deaths (89.3K)
      634 deaths per million

      New York Nursing Home deaths: 6300
      All Florida deaths: 4409
      All Texas deaths: 3340

    101. NYCmike says:

      https://pjmedia.com/columns/stephen-green/2020/07/14/insanity-wrap-5-the-world-turned-right-side-up-n639558

      -Go down to the bottom.

      You would think that FactsMatter would argue in favor of Newton, and the concept of gravity……..but then, he/she may be accused of “racism”.

      And, Robbie is still “undecided”.

    102. Country Dick Montana says:

      I think most on this site assume that McSally will lose to Mr. Gabby Giffords. The sympathy vote will probably be too much to overcome.

    103. NYCmike says:

      FactsMatter should go to the beach. Your job is done for the day.

      I am very “worried” now.

    104. Phil says:

      Biden endorses end of the filibuster.

      It has begun.

    105. FactsMatter says:

      Fun fact, Republicans are lying POS!

      Average deaths per year from pneumonia in FL, TX and GA between FEB-MAY.

      FL: From 2015-2018 they averaged appx 940/yr. In 2020 they claim 4259.

      TX: From 2015-2018 they averaged appx 1000/yr. In 2020 they claim 4217.

      GA: From 2015-2018 they averaged appx 490/yr. In 2020 they claim 1368.

    106. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      So what is wrong with the Gravis Poll. Let me count the ways. This may be the worst poll of the cycle.

      1- A one day poll; Monday, July 13th
      2- Here are the 2016 Florida Exit Polls for Race

      clinton
      trump
      other/no answer
      white
      62%
      32% 64% 4%
      black
      14%
      84% 8% 8%
      latino
      18%
      62% 35% 3%
      asian
      2%
      n/a n/a n/a
      other race
      4%
      58% 36% 6%

      3- Compare 2016 and this poll:

      a) In 2016, Trump carried Whites by 32 pts. In this poll, Trump is -1
      b) In 2016, Trump received 8% of the FL Black vote. In this poll, he receives 19% of that vote
      c) In 2016, Trump lost the composite Latino vote by 27%. In this poll, he carries the Latino vote by 2%.

      In sum, Trump has crashed with White voters, but has spiked with Black and Latino voters.

      This is the biggest piece of manure poll so far this year. Even Paol Harris and Robbie would agree with this assessment. FactsMatter should be embarrassed for shilling for this poll.

    107. jason says:

      Time for Biden to pick Condaleeza Rice for veep to change the narrative.”

      Hmmm…. what a great idea.

      We will have either Trump or Condi as President.

      I could live with that.

      You would have as much chance of that happening as Robbie voting for a Republican that was actually on the ballot.

    108. jason says:

      “Gravis reports 56% think that the state was opened from lock down too quickly,”

      Considering the MSM propaganda 24/7, I am actually surprised it is that low.

    109. PresidentPaul! says:

      I don’t doubt that Trump is down 10% national, but I think he’s probably down by about 3% on average in these swing states that matter for the elect college.

    110. jason says:

      If polls were predictive in FL you would have the methhead communist Gillum as Governor and Skeletor as Senator.

      Neither could lose according to Robbie and the MSM (I know, I repeat myself) and yet we have a great governor in FL and not a methhead communist.

      Hard to see any R presidential candidate losing the white vote in any swing state. Or getting 20% of the black vote or winning the Latino vote.

      But even if all is true, it is a snapshot in time.

    111. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #98- FM
      Why not mention that McSally(R) has started to moderately close the gap from OH’s last poll and her opponent has some very real ethical problems to overcome.

      Why not comment about your buddies at the Daily Kos showing Daines(R) surging ahead in the Montana Senate race?

    112. jason says:

      but I think he’s probably down by about 3% on average in these swing states that matter for the elect college.”

      Dang, could Paul be smarter than the average troll?

      Nah….

    113. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

      FactsMatter says:
      July 14, 2020 at 1:20 pm
      Fun fact, Republicans are lying POS!

      Why no blue states in your list – you know – where all the corpses are?

    114. jason says:

      Fun Facts:

      Democrats control the county health systems in all the major cities in FL, TX and AZ where the vast majority of deaths occurred so if anyone is “lying” about statistics it is them.

    115. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

      @114

      Those facts don’t matter, Jason. Only Facts Matter’s facts matter.

    116. Country Dick Montana says:

      “Fun fact, Republicans are lying POS!”

      oooh. I will tell you what. The difference between Trump States and Clinton states is about 43,000 deaths. I will spot you all of the “missing” deaths you site. That would be 7400.

      Clinton States: 89.3K (62%)
      Trump States: 53.8K (38%)

      OK FactsMatter, get off of the xBox and go find the 35,500 difference. Back it up with links.

      And calling us POS’s rePugs, reThugs and all the other stuff really is immature.

    117. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Here are the crosstabs for the Gravis Florida Poll as discussed in above #106. The last data point to consider is that Trump’s FL approval rating is 49% yet he receives merely 43% of the vote. Absolutely ridiculous!

      https://www.gravismarketing.com/gravis-marketing-florida-poll-results/

    118. Country Dick Montana says:

      Oh and FactMatter revised:

      Clinton States: 634 deaths per million
      Trump States: 288 Deaths per millio

    119. NYCmike says:

      “I could live with that.”

      -jason,

      I was thinking the same thing.

      Not sure of Condi’s politics, but at least she is competent. I would think that she would be a fierce proponent of the 1st and 2nd Amendments, much more so than Biden, who is a useful tool of the left, and not much more.

    120. jason says:

      Fun Facts for Facts Matter:

      New York 19.5 million 32400 deaths
      New Jersey 9.0 million 15600 deaths
      Total 28.5 million 48000 deaths (35% of US)

      Texas 29 million 3300 deaths
      Florida 22 million 4400 deaths
      Total 41 million 7700 deaths (5.5% of US)

      So TX + FL with 12 million people more than NY and NJ had less than 1/6th of the deaths.

      Now that is a FACT for you.

    121. jason says:

      Not sure of Condi’s politics, but at least she is competent.”

      She would be great.

      I am sure she believes in free trade and in the value of our strategic alliances around the world.

    122. Country Dick Montana says:

      Math is hard!!

    123. Country Dick Montana says:

      If one looks at the I-95 corridor (MA,RI,CT,NY,NJ,PA,DE,MD and DC)that is about 85,000 deaths. And remember studies have been done the show that about 2/3’s of the cases are a strain that originated in NYC. And Cuomo has the nerve to threaten tho fine anyone from specific states who don’t quarantine.

    124. Hugh says:

      My favorite is that 99% of these registered voters are likely voters. That’s logical.

    125. Gordon Allen says:

      I think the black and Hispanics number has some validity. Desantis got 17% of black vote( against a black) and I recall something like 45% of the Hispanic vote. The 32%
      on the white vote differential might be true if they polled only Broward and Palm Beach county,or only unemployed people/ retired people at home by the phone,and people not actually working during the day. Otherwise inexplicable; btw they mustn’t have polled the people not wearing masks that I come across every including me ( most of the time).

    126. lisab says:

      At least 17 people shot in NYC on Monday as gun violence continues to soar

      Covid 19 now has the ability to operate firearms without people involved in places where firearms are illegal!! WOW

    127. FactsMatter says:

      4 months after the pandemic really started to hit the US our daily cases are more out of control than ever. A complete lack of leadership unwilling to listen to experts and believe in science. Compared to where Asia and the EU are at we look like a 3rd world country thanks to our incompetent Republican leadership.

    128. Gordon Allen says:

      Is there anything COVD can’t do?I even hear it can have people die twice?!

    129. Country Dick Montana says:

      You find those other 35,000 deaths yet? Didn’t think so.

      And I will agree with you, if we had leadership from Blue State governors we would not have nearly the number of deaths.

    130. FactsMatter says:

      Past 2 weeks in Miami-Dade County

      Hospitalizations up 67%

      ICU Admissions up 67%

      Ventilator Use up 128%

      SO MUCH WINNING!

    131. Country Dick Montana says:

      Miami- Dade County? That is a bastion of conservative politics for sure.

    132. Country Dick Montana says:

      130 being a facts and data guy myself I would love to see a link to that data.

    133. Tina says:

      Yup j a of 49 gives him only 43.

      Barris will love that one.

    134. Gordon Allen says:

      SE Florida has been the epicenter of COVD for months; the fact that’s where all the Democrat’s and people from the liberal northeast live,and can vote twice,is just a coincidence. Don’t want to rile ” FACTS” up too much ,any more than usual.

    135. lisab says:

      Redskins officially change their name to Washington Thinskins

    136. Hugh says:

      125. Good point. My daughters in Manatee County and she says nobody’s wearing mask anywhere except for where they absolutely have to. Including they don’t wear them to grocery stores. I live in Fort Lauderdale. And most people out and about even in crowded areas near the beach where there are not required to wear a mask they are not wearing a mask. So I’m not sure who these people are either. I also noticed in that poll that Hillary Clinton won the last election in Florida.

    137. Hugh says:

      Lots of New Yorkers we have condos in South Florida but the residence has a New York vote here. They know their vote does not matter up north. It is unbelievably frustrating. The only thing that saves us is a have to go through the bother of getting a Florida license.

    138. lisab says:

      Ozzy Osbourne hired to interpret Joe Biden’s speeches

    139. Country Dick Montana says:

      The mask wearing question is silly. Personally, if I want to make a statement I would say that I am NOT wearing a mask, or that I am AGAINST wearing them. Some stranger asks for my opinion on them and the easy answer is, yeah I support it.

      And like the voting for Trump answer, if you tell a stranger that things needed to open faster, then you might as well tell them how you are voting. The easy answer again (while you are waiting in line to have a sit down dinner at the local eatery)is things opened too fast.

    140. Gordon Allen says:

      Tina re 143. I think that’s the shy Trump voter effect. You can’t have a job approval of 49%and get only 43% in a head to head unless you’re running against God. BTW a JA of 49% in Florida does sound about right. In fact,as I’ve said,much of the poll by Gravis is believable except for the drop in the white vote. I believe that’s where the shy vote is found

    141. lisab says:

      Governors Reinstate Lockdowns To Combat Recovering Economy

    142. lisab says:

      And like the voting for Trump answer, if you tell a stranger that things needed to open faster, then you might as well tell them how you are voting.
      —————————-

      yeah … the robbies and karens are taking names

    143. lisab says:

      Bernie Tests Negative For President

    144. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

      @143. ha.

      And Biden just tested negative for knowing where he was 30 minutes ago.

    145. lisab says:

      And Biden just tested negative for knowing where he was 30 minutes ago.
      —————————–

      yeah the dems must be getting desperate

      on one hand the keep saying how great he is doing, so they cannot replace him

      and then he cannot read off a teleprompter

    146. lisab says:

      Local Leaders in NYC Ask NYPD to ‘Bring Back Anti-Crime Unit,’ Shootings Up 277%

    147. NYCmike says:

      FactsMatter – best way to avoid dying from Wuhan-Covid-19 is to remain unborn.

      Support your local Planned Parenthood abortion clinic!

      Resist!

    148. lisab says:

      guy throws red paint on blm “mural” outside trump tower

      de blasio now has nypd trying to find him so they can charge him with hate crime

    149. Stonewall DW says:

      Here is a drop of a bunch of polls that spell extremely bad news for Trump’s chances. Ouch this one hurts. No idea how he can possibly win. Really rough day. Trump down now in AZ, GA, IA, MI, NC, OH, PA, and WI. Conventional wisdom is a poll here or there can be wrong, but how can ALL of these be wrong?

      ARIZONA

      OH Predictive Insights

      Trump 42
      Hillary 47

      June 20, 2016

      GEORGIA

      Atlanta Journal-Constitution

      Trump 40
      Hillary 44

      August 1-4, 2016

      IOWA

      NBC/Marist

      Trump 39
      Hillary 42

      July 5-10, 2016

      MICHIGAN

      Gravis Marketing

      Trump 41
      Hillary 48

      July 7-8, 2016

      NORTH CAROLINA

      NBC/Marist

      Trump 38
      Hillary 44

      July 5-11, 2016

      OHIO

      Quinnipiac

      Trump 42
      Hillary 44
      Johnson 8

      PENNSYVANIA

      NBC/Marist

      Trump 36
      Hillary 45

      July 5-10, 2016

      WISCONSIN

      Marquette

      Trump 41
      Hillary 45

      July 7-10, 2016

    150. lisab says:

      ny requires a qurantine for visitors from the following states

      Alabama
      Arkansas
      Arizona
      California
      Florida
      Georgia
      Iowa
      Idaho
      Kansas
      Louisiana
      Minnesota
      Mississippi
      New Mexico
      North Carolina
      Nevada
      Ohio
      Oklahoma
      South Carolina
      Tennessee
      Texas
      Utah
      Wisconsin

    151. Gordon Allen says:

      Yes they can. Obviously Republicans have stopped answering pollsters almost completely,and / or lie

    152. lisab says:

      idaho has had 102 deaths from covid … total

    153. Gordon Allen says:

      Looking at the list EVERYONE ( but Gravis) has a left-wing bent. Trump 49% in Georgia ?C’mon. The Gravis Michigan poll is at least halfway credible,but his Florida poll with a 49% JA and 43% vote head to head shows a glaring shy voter issue. Just have to accept there’s no solution to the poll question until November comes closer.

    154. Gordon Allen says:

      Typo. 40% in Georgia. Silly.

    155. Stonewall DQ says:

      Ma….!

    156. NYCmike says:

      “ny requires a qurantine for visitors from the following states”

      -That is to outfit them with proper body armor to help avoid being murdered….oops, I mean to keep them from spreading the virus that Super Governor Cuomo saved us from.

    157. Stonewall DW says:

      Gordon, take a closer look at the polls in that list.

    158. Missed the dates AND names. Shows how little attention I pay to polls. Still my bad.

    159. Stonewall DW says:

      But the point was made. I actually considered first swapping Biden for Hillary and 2016 for 2020.

      I don’t for a minute think that pollsters ‘learned’ from 2016 and have improved their product. They know exactly what they are doing. They are not trying to find out how people will vote, they are telling people how to vote.

    160. Gordon Allen says:

      You made a good point. My lesson; look before you open your mouth.

    161. NYCmike says:

      “My lesson; look before you open your mouth.”

      Robbie’s lesson: link to msm story as quickly as possible. Never worry about verifying.