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MO: Blunt/Carnahan TiedWe have a new poll in the US Senate race to replace Republican Kit Bond from Scott Rasmussen. US SENATE – MISSOURI (Rasmussen) This poll was done September 21st among 500 likely voters.
117 Responses to “MO: Blunt/Carnahan Tied” |
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First!
this is good news after previous polls
Blunt wins easily.
Carnahan captures 84% of the state’s Democratic vote, while Blunt nets 85% of the GOP vote. Voters not affiliated with either party prefer Blunt by eight points.
…..
Obama’s approval is 44%.
Today is another milestone. Obama give his UN address to the world. His latest greatest speech in the history of mankind. My leg is already starting to tingle….
palin’s speech
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/24/us/politics/24palin.html?_r=1
whatever happened to obama’s global poverty bill ? where the us pledges a percentage of gdp to help feed the poor and hungry ?
#6. Must have been good if even the NY Times is giving it praise.
Chekote should be ripping her speech in the next 5 minutes
No. I glad she showed up.
That is good news. not from the Show Me state. but, I would think that after his sons rather diasterous tenure as Guv and the fact that he has been around for a long time that Carnahan would be a strong favorite. After all the Carnahan brand should be stronger than the Blunt brand. But then again Obama is starting to be a millstone around the Dem’s neck. I think next year around this time the MSM is gong to have a laot of egg on their face for foisting the one on us.
Will Missouri EVER run out of Carnahans?
She [Palin} didn’t sound at all like a far-right-wing conservative. She seemed to be positioning herself as a libertarian or a small-c conservative,” he said, adding that she mentioned both Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher. “She brought up both those names.”
Good for her. This is the direction the GOP needs to go.
NEW YORK/ZURICH (Reuters) – Swiss bank UBS AG, which suffered massive client withdrawals after a high-profile U.S. tax fraud probe, has cut around 200 jobs at its U.S. wealth management arm, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.
#14
Not surprising. The only reason Switzerland existed was for its “private” banking industry.
RAS 50/49
Letterman bounce. I guess Obama can pull above 50 anytime he appears on Letterman, Leno, the food channel.
Always nice to have that kind of weapon in your arsenal. I see why he does it.
Ras today: 50/49; -6
Letterman bounces wear off of course – at which time he makes another tv appearance and up it gores again ….. Rinse, recycle, rinse recycle and so on and so on…
It keeps him above water while he remakes America. Clueless Americans.
Phil, It’s going to take a few more months of massive job losses and high unemployment.
And that’s exactly what’s coming.
Bottom line is, he’s ALL OVER TV with GLOWING coverage and he can only pull 50%.
And he’s only at 51% in the NBC poll with a heavy Dem sample.
Howard,
Good point. That is another way to look at it. Glowing, syrupy, sugar coated coverage and he’s at 51%.
Not too great.
Still, I get frustrated with the clueless, young man or woman on the street whose knowledge of what goes on politically around them comes from Letterman, John Stewart, and the NBC Nightly News as they blindly follow the media’s Mr Cool.
Phil, Also, don’t forget Gallup showed us only Clinton was lower at this point in his term.
Only Clinton.
We knocked him down hard and fast.
The failing economy will continue to take it’s toll.
#12, just like NY will never run out of Cumos.
#16, Phil, I wouldn’t be suprised if first lady appeared on the Food Network.
David
Don’t worry. It’s coming.
I find POTUS appearing on Late Night TV demeaning to the office.
Well, who knows if Bush would have been lower or not without 9/11.
Moe Lane:
The President is going to speak the same day as Iran’s Ahmadinejad, Libya’s Gadhafi and Zimbabwe’s Mugabe; you have to wonder whether Syria’s al-Assad and/or North Korea’s Il-sung had scheduling conflicts.
The lawsuit filed in August by two board members accuses ACORN founder and former chief organizer Wade Rathke of either concealing or failing to properly report that his brother Dale embezzled around $948,000 from New Orleans-based ACORN and affiliated charitable organizations in 1999 and 2000.
#
Well, who knows if Bush would have been lower or not without 9/11.
Comment by Brandon — September 23, 2009 @ 9:59 am
We can only go with what is known.
Bush wasn’t pissing off Independents at this point, or even just before 9/11.
Obama has alienated them and that’s why his numbers have fallen.
That and some R’s have sobered up.
Here is HuffPuff’s take on the Palin speech:
Palin Hong Kong Speech Blames Government For Financial Crisis; Some Walk Out In Disgust
One word: Predictable.
Palin spoke out against government intervention in the economy. “We got into this mess because of government interference in the first place,” Palin said, according to the Wall Street Journal. “We’re not interested in government fixes, we’re interested in freedom,” she added.
And if Palin said that, SHE IS ABSOLUTELY RIGHT! More….
She also criticized the U.S. Federal Reserve’s intervention in the economy over the last year and praised the conservative economic policies of former U.S. President Ronald Reagan and former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, according to another attendee who declined to be named because he didn’t want to be seen as speaking on behalf of his company.
“She was careful not to be over-critical … but she said she saw the fiscal situation is going out of control,” said Gregory Lesko, managing director of New York-based Deltec Asset Management.
Again, Palin is absolutely 100% correct in her assessment of the causes and remedies vis a vis the financial crisis.
Cameron Sinclair, another speaker at the event, said Mrs. Palin emphasized the need for a grassroots rebirth of the Republican Party driven by party leaders outside Washington.
This is exactly why the GOP establishment hates her. Those b@atards are way too comfortable in DC.
Canada and Germany plan to walk out on Iamadinnerjacket. I am curious to see if our delegation walks out should he start denying the Holocaust.
#31
Depends on which grassroots. Here in Texas the grassroots are infested with Paulians. I don’t think that the direction we need to go.
Packed Ballroom
Palin, 45, spoke to a full house in the main ballroom of Hong Kong’s Grand Hyatt hotel. Reporters were kept out of the investor forum organized by CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, the regional brokerage unit of Paris-based Credit Agricole SA.
“It was a great speech,” Jonathan Slone, CLSA’s chief executive officer, said. “People got a lot of information” and “are now fully informed on Sarah Palin’s views.”
Bloomberg
Oh no! The ghosts again!
“Infested” I didn’t realize I was infesting anything. Who knew?
Nice article on Yahoo regarding the tweeters in congress. During an O speech, Rep. Barton (R-TX), sent the following:
“Aggie basketball game is about to start on espn2 for those of you that aren’t going to bother watching pelosi smirk for the next hour.”
A staffer sent a follow up “disregard” but who cares. I expect most were watching the game already.
#36
So you agree with Ron Paul that America is an imperial power? That crap is what Chavez and other anti-American pols preach all over the world.
31…I concur. We need to send a message to the GOP leaders in Washington. I wonder if any of them noticed the turnout on 9/12?
#39
I am sure they did.
That’s one reason I could never have voted for Paul for President, Chek. While I strongly oppose the Iraq War and feel Bush was misguided in launching it, I don’t see it as an imperialist grab but as a misguided overreach in response to a legitimate threat. For Paul to denigrate the country by attaching the opprobrium of imperialism to it is unacceptable. Good news out of Missouri though.
Nope.
He is my congressman however and Paul is dead right about federal deficits and big government. You need to clarify what you mean about “Paulians”
There’s domestic policy and there is foreign policy.
Again, Palin is absolutely 100% correct in her assessment of the causes and remedies vis a vis the financial crisis.
Comment by Chekote
RED ALERT!!RED ALERT!!~~~Chekote says something constructive about palin.How can that be???
If Paul were less radical on the foreign policy front and had a bit more charisma and a bit less age on him, Phil, then he’d be a formidable contender in national GOP politics.
I’m not sure the split in Missouri – D/R/I, but it would seem that the sample here favored the Dems. Both are retaining the same amount in their base, and Blunt is up by 8 with indies, indicating (to me at least) that Blunt can win big if the D’s and R’s come out in the same amount on election day 2010.
The Republicans should have a bit more turnout on election day since they have a slightly larger electoral base in Missouri. The Democrats ousted Jim Talent in 2006 because of depressed GOP turnout in the subrubs, exurbs, and rural areas. The only reason they won the governorship last year despite Obama’s being the first President since 1956 to win the White House without caryring the state was because of Matt Blunt’s missteps as Governor. It would seem with the general decline in Dem electoral prospects and increased enthusiasm in the GOP base to block Obama, the Republicans would have a higher turnout in 2010 in Missouri than the Dems.
Wes
Paul is right on several fronts when it comes to domestic issues. However, I do find him a little too clever by half his tactic of loading up the bills with “pork” for his district and then voting against them knowing full well that they will pass. Paul is another “bacon” politician. Also he is anti-semitic. I dealt with some of the Paulians in my precint meeting. They were convinced that Bush was secretly working with Canadian and Mexican officials to dissolve the USA and create a North American Union. Their evidence? The Tran-Texas Corridor.
Phil:
If Ron Paul is right about some things, he is way wrong on a whole bunch of other ones. The bozo votes with the Democrats about half the time, is a truther and wants to return to the gold standard amid a few of his very quirky stands. No thanks for me, ever.
He also brought up the military industrial complex as the cabal that got the Iraq War going, Chek. He’s a bit of a loon, but there are worse in Congress.
Wes,
There is discussion about Bush at NM. You might want to join the conversation:
Latimer: Aides Pretended to be Stupid to Get on Bush’s Good Side
#49
WOW! Gary and I agree on Ron Paul.
Gary, if we were on the gold standard, then the dollar would have a much higher value than it has now. Obama also wouldn’t be able to print fiat currency as he’s doing because the amount of money in circulation would have to be exactly equivalent to the US gold reserves. That’s not really a far-fetched idea.
Amazingly, Chek, there are those among us–Tim V being most prominent among them–who feel Bush wasn’t an out-of-touch failure in the White House.
#50
Wes, it very hard to beat Maxime Waters. Still, Ron Paul is not the direction the GOP needs to go. He is right about the spending and the ever expanding federal government. However, there are others who make similar points but don’t have all the Paul “baggage”.
Wes
If we were on the gold standard our economy would not have grown as much and our standard of living will be considerably less than it is today. In any case, going back to the gold standard is just not feasible. There ain’t enough gold out there.
Mo will be a classic battle between rural Republican Mo and urban Democratic St Louis plus Kansas City.
It will be determined by base turnout and whether Blunt can do better than Talent did in the St Louis suburbs.
Talent barely won in 2002 in a GOP year and barely lost in the Democratic year of 2006 – both off year elections.
I expect it to be a close race and on election night watch the surrounding counties of St Louis. That will tell the tale. I think we win a close one.
Agreed, Phil.
He also brought up the military industrial complex as the cabal that got the Iraq War going.
We went into Iraq because after 9/11 we weren’t going to take any chances that someone like Hussein with a long history of funding terrorism was going to give his WMDs to AQ to attack us.
test
Amazingly, Chek, there are those among us–Tim V being most prominent among them–who feel Bush wasn’t an out-of-touch failure in the White House.
Comment by Wes
Wes,
I don’t ever recall saying Bush was anywhere near perfect. What I DID say was that I was tired of your Bush-bashing.
The federal government would have to spend much less money on the gold standard, Chek. With gold backing the dollar, the federal government is limited as to what it can print. Even in the depths of the Panics of 1837 and 1893 and the early years of the Great Depression, inflation never reached the heights it achieved under Roosevelt and Carter because the federal government simply couldn’t overprint money.
Oh well. Got stuff to do. Later.
So Chekote, One Palin speech changes your mind about her ?
I react to politicians only as they deserve, Tim.
48 – I was surprised when I ran into a Paul supporter who turned out to be anti-semitic.
I like our chances defending senate seats in NH and Mo. Ohio, not so much. Ohio is not showing the same trends as other states. It’s not polling well early although that could change. However, I’ll take two out of three especially since 6 months ago it looked like we could get swept.
We take Colorado and Nevada I’m reasonably sure. Dems lose their 60 vote threshold and that didn’t at all look like the case in January and February.
And we get 30 House seats making it much tougher for Obama to get his statist agenda.
Phil, regarding Ohio, there are a few things you must keep in mind about the race:
1) the state’s economy
2) the name recognition of the Dems versus Portman
3) the divisive primary the Dems will have
4) Portman’s own campaign skills
5) Obama’s declining popularity
6) Portman’s fundraising versus that of the Dems
Each of these factors tilts toward the GOP, not the Dems. For a virtually unknown Congressman to poll a few points shy of 2 statewide officeholders 14 months out of an election is not a reason to panic.
What is this, thug day at the UN? I mean really, Qaddafi, Amadinejad, etc. You know I really don’t trust anyone who’s name ignores the “u after every q” rule in their name.
#70 Whose name ignores the “u after every q” rule.
Obviously that makes me racist.
Not panic time yet in Ohio. It’s waay early. Obama is just a lot more stubborn than other states. Taft effect I would guess.
And yes, it’s thug day at the UN. Obama must be in heaven.
Will US join Canada in walking out during the Iranian whacho speech.
Of course not. Iran wouldn’t like it. We can’t rub our enemies the wrong way.
some have called WND “World Nut Daily”, but read this one and tell me who the nut is:
http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=110720
It’s amazing no Hoovers were ever elected to office again after Herbert lost in 1932, but the GOP kept electing Tafts–all but one of whom were horrible politicians–despite the fact that William Howard Taft failed every bit as much as Hoover and got only a handful of electoral votes in his half-hearted reelection bid.
Despite my antipathy toward Bush, at leats he didn’t coddle terrorist states, unlike Obama.
#73
I call it “Weird Nuts Daily” but I do worry about the reaction of this administration to a crisis. Every President takes advantage of crisis but these guys have some weirdo beliefs.
78…yeah…its one thing that they would force sterilizations, but then claim it was constitutional!
We are talking PEOPLE, citizens, not pets.
Castro praises Obama.
What a surprise.
LOL
Satan praises Manson.
LaHood referred to criticism Obama received for appearing Sunday on five television news shows to promote his health-care overhaul. The secretary also indicated that even the president’s bully pulpit is no match for the cacophony over the airwaves from the political right.
“He can’t even compete with all this stuff that people are saying about him, so the idea that he did five interviews on Sunday, that’s just minuscule compared to the kind of trash talk that goes on all week prior to that,” LaHood said.
Columbus Dispatch
Yep, how dare talk radio criticize “the one”.
When Obama is criticized it’s either racist or “trash talk”. Everyone got that?
I wonder how the press would react if the next foreign leader to speak after Obama got up and said, “Satan was just here”
I need a backrub!
NBC poll = 51% w/ D+ ?????
Eph,
D+12 or +13
PPP(D)
Obama 52/44
So Obama is at around 47% against Huckabee, 48% against Romney and 52% against Palin.
Good news from MO. Maybe Nate Silver will now be willing to take MO down from his “Most Likely Senate Seat to Turnover” rating. Frankly, I’d put NV, CT, CO, and OH above MO. DE and AR, too, if things play out right.
TB,
So Obama is below 50% using reasoned data.
so eph, what do you make of the new pro-palin chek ?
so eph, what do you make of the new pro-palin chek ? timv
Political schitzoid personality.
Have we heard recently from Hoeven in ND? I hope he runs. If he does, he wins. ND should have at least one R Senator.
eph, you are ALSO D Q ? 6 ghosts aren’t enough for ya ?
#87 Tommy_Boy
Tommy, may we have a link to PPP(D) with Obama 52/44?
Thanks.
94. Nope. Dave banned one of my IP’s b/c of that. I’m going to hold off on the ghosts for a bit.
91. As the Zen Master said…we’ll see
Folks,
Obama drop off in Gallup: 51(-2)/41(+2)
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Here, Marv,
PPP: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_9231210.pdf
??????
Brandon,
http://www.economist.com/world/unitedstates/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14416740
#99 DrJay
Thanks
Gallup
87% with private insurance satisfied with quality of health care
All of this focus on healthcare costs could translate into substantial public support for healthcare reform if Americans believed it would help to contain their own costs. But according to the new poll, Americans are much more likely to believe their own costs would get worse rather than better — 42% vs. 22% — if a healthcare bill passes this year.
The balance of opinion is also negative in perceptions of healthcare reform’s impact on their own healthcare coverage, insurance company demands, and quality of care.
when is obama going to pay my mortgage ?
??????
FoxNews.com
Breaking News Sources: Ex-DNC Chairman Paul Kirk to Take Late Kennedy’s Senate Seat
105. LOL!
RAS has Iowa numbers coming out at 5.
107- H/T IP
Arizona Gov(PPP)
Goddard 46%
Brewer 36%
Goddard 45%
Martin 37%
Goddard 52%
Symington 29%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AZ_923330.pdf
The new MA law is a complete and utter disgrace. I predict we will have a cascade effect. Is your state legislature dominated by Reps, but the voters have just elected a Dem, meaning turnover in the governor’s mansion? No problem! Quickly change the law to strip the governor from appointments, effective the date Governor Dem comes in. Governor Dem ousted in the next election? Change the law back as soon as Governor Republican takes office.
I’m surprised the MA law just didn’t come out and say, “If the governor is a Republican, a special election shall be called within 100 days of the Senator’s death or resignation. If the governor is a Democrat, the governor shall appoint a replacement to serve out the rest of the Senator’s term.”
MSM Fair and Balanced?
NY State Senator beats up girl friend, no mention by AP he is a Democrat:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090921/ap_on_re_us/us_senator_assault;_ylt=AvmeFXudg.xSpEuHjsUeyL08KbIF
CA Assemblyman boasts of sexual exploits, AP identifies him as a Republican
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/09/10/politics/main5300945.shtml
when is a tax not a tax ?
Democrats insist the financial punishment for Americans who don’t get health insurance is a “penalty.” Republicans, and the Baucus bill itself, call it a “tax.” Orin Hatch went so far as to say it might be unconstitutional and asked for a formal ruling from the Congressional Research Service. Baucus says it’s constitutional.
110. Brandon,
Thanks!
Brewer shot herself in the foot over the budget talks. I doubt she will even run. The GOP is luke warm at best.
#113–
Part of me thinks Obama would be better off to just come out and admit he’s raising taxes on middle- and working-class Americans. Only the most dimwitted won’t see through this smokescreen, and they’re all hard-core Obama voters, anyways.
ALERT! ALERT! ALERT!
Barky will raise taxes and doesn’t care what we / you think because those who voted for him have no idea what he is doing and / or why he is doing it. They would / will vote for him no matter what he does and he knows it.
There is only one way to take our country back; find folks who care more about the country than they do the job; find folks who care about hearing the opinions of constituents; folks haven’t been poisened by the system and who can resist the kool-aid no matter what side it comes from.
#14 – They will be cutting more in the CT office come late october I’m told, don’t know how many but internal rumors are it’s another three digit number.