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October 2, 2018

Dems Leads US Senate Races in MO/NV, Menendez Only Leads By 2% in NJ, Cramer Up 10% in ND

Yesterday, CNN released two polls for the states of Nevada and Missouri that shows Democrats with leads in these competitive races.

US SENATE – NEVADA (CNN)
Jacky Rosen (D) 47%
Dean Heller (R-inc) 43%

US SENATE – MISSOURI (CNN)
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 47%
Jash Hawley (R) 44%

These polls were done September 25-29 among likely voters. On the flip side, there are two new polls that will give Republicans cheer starting in New Jersey with a new poll from Stockton University that claims scandal-plagued Democratic Senator Bob Menendez is down to a 2% lead.

US SENATE – NEW JERSEY (Stockton)
Bob Menendez (D-inc) 45%
Bob Hugin (R) 43%

This poll was done September 19-27 among 532 likely voters. Meanwhile in North Dakota, NBC Valley News has Republican up by double digits over the incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp.

US SENATE – NORTH DAKOTA (NBC Valley News)
Kevin Cramer (R) 51%
Heidi Heitkamp (D) 41%

This poll was dne September 17-27 among 650 likely voters.

September 30, 2018

Hawley leads McCaskill by 2% in MO

Considering we only have six weekends, including this one, until Election Day, I am surprised at the lack of polling releases this weekend. We did get a new poll from a group called Missouri Scout that claims Republican Josh Hawley is ahead by 2% over Claire McCaskill.

US SENATE – MISSOURI (MO Scout)
Josh Hawley (R) 48%
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 46%

This poll was done September 26-27 among likely voters.

September 28, 2018

Hogan Leads Jealous By 15% in MD

It is always nice during these slow periods of political news to get a new poll and we have one today for the gubernatorial race in Maryland from Mason-Dixon Polling.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Mason-Dixon)
Larry Hogan (R) 52%
Ben Jealous (D) 37%

This poll was done September 24-26 among 625 likely voters. Anything else happening today?

September 25, 2018

Nelson leads Scott in Two Polls in FL, Sinema Leads by 3% in AZ, Tester Leads by 4% in MT

Earlier this morning, Quinnipiac University released a new poll for the US Senate race in Florida that shows one of the largest leads ever for Democrat Bill Nelson in his bid for another term.

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 53%
Rick Scott (R) 46%

This poll was done September 21-24 among 888 likely voters. Meanwhile this evening, Marist College’s latest poll has the race for the US Senate a little bit closer.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Marist)
Andrew Gillum (D) 48%
Ron DeSanits (R) 43%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Marist)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 48%
Rick Scott (R) 45%

This poll was done September 16-20 among likely voters. This morning, Marist College also released a poll for the US Senate race in Arizona that gives the Democratic candidate the same 3% lead.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (Marist)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 48%
Martha McSally (R) 45%

This poll was done also done September 16-20 among likely voters. In another race Republicans are hoping to pick off a US Senate seat, Gravis Marketing shows the Republicans trailing in the state of Montana.

US SENATE – MONTANA (Gravis)
Jon Tester (D-inc) 49%
Matt Rosendale (R) 45%

This poll was done September 15-22 among 710 likely voters.

September 24, 2018

Gillum Leads By 4%, Nelson/Scott Tied in FL

The University of North Florida has put out a new poll for the state of Florida that shows what most other polls are showing, a small lead for Andrew Gillum and a dead heat race for the US Senate.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (UNF)
Andrew Gillum (D) 47%
Ron DeSanits (R) 43%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (UNF)
Rick Scott (R) 45%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%

This poll was done September 17-19 among 605 likely voters.

September 23, 2018

Democrats Lead Generic Ballot for US House

this morning we had polls from both NBC News/Wall Street Journal and Fox News showing Democrats with high single-digit leads in the Generic Congressional Vote.

US HOUSE – GENERIC BALLOT (NBC/WSJ)
Democrat 51%
Republican 43%

US HOUSE – GENERIC BALLOT (Fox News)
Democrat 49%
Republican 42%

Of course the only thing that matters this week is the Supreme Court hearing….

September 19, 2018

Dems Lead Senate Races in AZ and TX, GOP Leads Senate Races in FL and NV

Reuters, Ipsos and the University of Virginia have released polls for a bunch of states including these four races below that show three seats flipping, Arizona, Florida and Texas.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%
Martha McSally (R) 44%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA)
Rick Scott (R) 46%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%

US SENATE – NEVADA (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA)
Dean Heller (R-inc) 46%
Jacky Rosen (D) 43%

US SENATE – TEXAS (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA)
Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 45%

These polls were done over various periods between September 5th and 14th among likely voters.

Hogan Leads By 22% in MD, Cruz Up By 9% in TX

As promised, Goucher College released the second part of their new poll and it shows Republican Larry Hogan with a 22-point lead over Democrat Ben Jealous in the very-Democratic state of Maryland.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Goucher)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 54%
Ben Jealous (D) 32%

US SENATE – MARYLAND (Goucher)
Ben Cardin (D-inc) 56%
Tony Campbell (R) 175
Neil Simon (I) 8%

This poll was done September 11-16 among likely voters. Meanwhile in Texas, Quinnipiac University released a poll showing Ted Cruz with a 9% lead over Beto O’Rourke.

US SENATE – TEXAS (Quinnipiac)
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 54%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 45%

This poll was done September 11-17 among 807 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 6:32 am
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September 18, 2018

Dems Lead US Senate Races in AZ, TN, NV, WV, GOP Leads in MO

CNN apparently released a couple new US Senate polls for Tennessee and Arizona that show Democrats up in both by the mid-single digits.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (CNN)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 50%
Martha McSally (R) 43%

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (CNN)
Phil Bredesen (D) 50%
Marsha Blackburn (R) 45%

Both polls were done September 11-15 among likely voters. Meanwhile, Gravis Marketing has a third Republican-held seat showing a Democrat in the lead in the state of Nevada.

US SENATE – NEVADA (Gravis)
Jacky Rosen (R) 47%
Dean Heller (R-inc) 45%

This poll was done September 11-12 among 700 likely voters. One of hte GOP hopes for a pick up was in West Virginia, but that is looking more and more unlikely according to Emerson College.

US SENATE – WEST VIRGINIA (Emerson)
Joe Manchin (D-inc) 45%
Patrick Morrisey (R) 33%

This poll was done September 13-15 among 825 likely voters. One bright spot for Republicans, a new poll from Trafalgar Group shows a potential pick up in Missouri.

US SENATE – MISSOURI (Trafalgar)
Josh Hawley (R) 47%
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 44%

This poll was done September 11-13 among likely voters.

Tomorrow we are supposed to get a new General Election match up poll for my home state of Maryland from Goucher College.

September 12, 2018

US Senate Polls From ND, TN, MO, IN and AZ Give GOP +1 Seat Pickup

Two posts in one day! How about that?!

Fox News released some new Senate race polls for the states of North Dakota, Tennessee, Missouri, Indiana and Arizona that shows basically a net +1 pickup for Republicans in these five states.

US SENATE – NORTH DAKOTA (Fox News)
Kevin Cramer (R) 48%
Heidi Heitkamp (D-inc) 44%

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (Fox News)
Marsha Blackburn (R) 47%
Phil Bredesen (D) 44%

US SENATE – MISSOURI (Fox News)
Claire McCaskill (D) 44%
Josh Hawley (R) 41%

US SENATE – INDIANA (Fox News)
Mike Braun (R) 45%
Je Donnelly (D-inc) 43%

US SENATE – ARIZONA (Fox News)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%
Martha McSally (R) 44%

All these polls were done September 8-11 among likely voters.

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