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April 29, 2019

Biden Lead Trump in TX

Emerson College has put out a poll showing Donald Trump behind Joe Biden in a potential 2020 General Election in the state of Texas.

PRESIDENT – TEXAS – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 23%
Beto O’Rourke 22%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Julian Castro 4%
Andrew Yang 3%
Kamala Harris 3%
Amy Klobuchar 3%
John Delaney 1%
Cory Booker 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Kirsten Gillibrabd 1%
Tim Ryan 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%

PRESIDENT – TEXAS (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 50%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Bernie Sanders (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 53%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 54%
Kamala Harris (D) 46%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 54%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 46%

US Senate – TEXAS (Emerson)
John Cornyn (R-inc) 29%
MJ Hegar (D) 12%

Not sure why they push people to get the presidential race to add up to 100%, yet in the US Senate race they do the opposite and include so many undecided voters. This poll was done April 25-28 among 799 registered voters.

April 23, 2019

Biden Increases Lead in Dem Primary to 7%

Compared to last month, Joe Biden has gained in the Democratic primary with his lead increasing from 3% last month to 7% today in the latest poll from Monmouth University.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 27%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Kamala Harris 8%
Elizabeth Warren 6%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 2%
John Hickenlooper 2%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Bill de Blasio 1%
Andrew Yang <1%
Terry McAuliffe <1%
Kirsten Gillibrand <1%
Jay Inslee <1%
Julian Castro <1%
Seth Moulton <1%
Eric Swalwell <1%
John Delaney 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Steve Bullock 0%
Michael Bennet 0%

This poll was done April 11-15 among 330 registered Democratic primary voters.

April 22, 2019

Sanders/Biden Tied in IA, Sanders Leads By Double Digits in NH

Gravis Marketing put out a new poll for the state of Iowa for the Democratic caucuses and it shows Bernie sanders and Joe Biden in a tie for first with Pete Buttigieg 5% behind in third. Nobody else hits double digits.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Gravis)
Bernie Sanders 19%
Joe Biden 19%
Pete Buttigieg 14%
Kamala Harris 6%
Elizabeth Warren 6%
Beto O’Rourke 5%
Cory Booker 4%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
John Delaney 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Kirsten Gllibrand 1%
Jay Inslee 0%
Julian Castro 0%

this poll was done April 17-18 among 590 likely caucus goers. Meanwhile in the other early state of New Hampshire, the University of that state has Bernie Sanders opening up a double-digit lead on Joe Biden.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (UNH)
Bernie Sanders 30%
Joe Biden 18%
Pete Buttigieg 15%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Kamala Harris 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Amy Klobuchar 3%
Andrew Yang 2%
Tim Ryan 2%
Wayne Messam 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Eric Swalwell 1%
John Delaney 0%
Julian Castro 0%
Jay Inslee 0%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (UNH)
Donald Trump (inc) 76%
John Kasich 10%
William Weld 5%
Larry Hogan 1%

This poll was done April 10-18 among 241 likely Democratic primary voters and 208 likely Republican primary voters.

April 15, 2019

Sanders Leads Biden By 5% Nationally

Most national polls seem to agree with other that Joe Biden holds a lead over Bernie Sanders, but it appears Emerson College sees a different Democratic electorate and has Sanders with a 5% lead over Biden.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Bernie Sanders 29%
Joe Biden 24%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Bet O’Rourke 8%
Kamala Harris 8%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Julian Castro 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Cory Booker 2%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
John Delaney 1%
Jay Inslee 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Kirsten Gllibrand 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Kamala Harris (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Pete Bbuttigieg (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%

This poll was done April 11-14 among 914 registered voters.

April 11, 2019

Buttigieg hits 3rd Place in IA and NH

We have a new poll from Saint Anselm College for the state of New Hampshire that shows Pete Buttigieg moving into third place among Democrats.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Saint Anselm)
Joe Biden 23%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Elizabeth Warren 9%
Kamala Harris 7%
Beto O’Rourke 6%
Cory Booker 4%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
John Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Jay Inslee 0%

This poll was done April 3-8 among 698 registered primary voters. Meanwhile in Iowa, Monmouth University shows Buttigieg hitting there as well.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 27%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Kamala Harris 7%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Beto O’Rourke 6%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Julián Castro 2%
John Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Steve Bullock <1%
Bill de Blasio <1%
Tulsi Gabbard <1%
Jay Inslee <1%
Michael Bennet 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Terry McAuliffe 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%

Do they actually read off everyone of those names in each poll? This poll was done April 4-9 among 351 likely caucus goers.

April 7, 2019

Warren Only in 3rd Place Among Dems in MA

Democrats should have no problem retaining the state of Massachusetts at the presidential level according to a new poll from Emerson College.

PRESIDENT – MASSACHUSETTS (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 69%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 31%

Bernie Sanders (D) 64%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 36%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 63%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 37%

PRESIDENT – MASSACHUSETTS – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Bernie Sanders 26%
Joe Biden 23%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Beto O’Rourke 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Julian Castro 1%
John Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
Jay Inslee 0%

This poll was done April 4-7 among 761 registered voters.

April 1, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 13% Nationally

Public Policy Polling has come out with a new national poll showing all the Democrats tested ahead of Donald Trump nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (PPP)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Bernie Sanders (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Cory Booker (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Kamala Harris (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

This poll was done March 27-28 among 846 registered voters.

March 31, 2019

Trump Leads All Dems Except Biden in NV

Emerson Polling moves onto the state of Nevada and it shows Donald Trump might be able to pick up this state that he lost in 2016.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Bernie Sanders (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Kamala Harris (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 54%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 48%

PRESIDENT – NEVADA – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 26%
Bernie Sanders 23%
Beto O’Rourke 10%
Elizabeth Warren 10%
Kamala Harris 9%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Andrew Yang 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Julian Castro 1%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Jay Inslee 0%

This poll was done March 28-30 among 719 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 1:54 pm
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March 29, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 5% Nationally, Biden Leads Dems By Double Digits

Rasmussen Reports has put out a new poll for the straight head-to-head match up between Donald Trump and Joe Biden and it shows Biden holding a 5% lead over Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done March 17-21 among 5000 likely voters. At the primary level, Harris and Harvard have anew poll showing Joe Biden leading Bernie Sanders by 18%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Harris/Harvard)
Joe Biden 35%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Beto O’Rourke 7%
Elizabeth Warren 6%
Kamala Harris 5%
Cory Booker 4%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Michael Bloomberg 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Kristen Gillibrand 1%
Michael Avenatti 1%

For some inexplicable reason, they also had a primary poll that included 2016 loser Hillary Clinton, which showed Clinton at 11% in the primary almost all at the expense of Joe Biden’s share of the vote. This poll was done March 25-26 among 263 likely primary voters.

March 28, 2019

Biden Dominates Dems and Trump in PA

Next to his true home state of Delaware, Pennslyvania is pretty much like one for Joe Biden and the latest poll from Emerson College shows that he would dominate the primary race there as well as start out with a double-digit lead in a state Donald Trump won just over two years ago.

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Bernie Sanders (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Kamala Harris (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 39%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 11%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Beto O’Rourke 5%
Kamala Harris 5%
Cory Booker 4%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
Andrew Yang 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Amy Klobuchar 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Jay Inslee 0%

Interestingly, this is the first state poll Emerson has released in quite a while to not include Howard Schultz in a three-way race. This poll was done March 26-28 among 808 registered voters.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS