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August 26, 2017

NV: Heller Trails By 8% in Primary Race

JMC Analytics have put out a primary poll for the US Senate race in Nevada and it shows another Republican incumbent US Senator might be on his way out during the primary.

US SENATE – NEVADA – GOP PRIMARY (JMC)
Danny Tarkanian 39%
Dean Heller (inc) 31%

This poll was done August 24-25 among likely primary voters.

August 24, 2017

AL: Strange Within 4% Of Moore

And here we start with the wild swings in polls in Alabama. A new poll that has come through Mitch McConnell’s Super PAC done by a pollster named Jan van Lohuizen has Luther Strange within 4% of Roy Moore.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (JvL)
Roy Moore 45%
Luther Strange (inc) 41%

This poll was done August 21-23 among likely voters. Since it did come through Mitch McConnell and McConnell is openly supporting Luther Strange, you do need to take that into account.

AL: Second Poll Shows Moore Over 50% in Runoff

We have a second runoff poll out for the race in Alabama and this new poll from Opinion Savvy gives us almost identical results we saw earlier this week that has Roy Moore with a solid lead over the incumbent Luther Strange.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (OS)
Roy Moore 50%
Luther Strange (inc) 32%

This poll was done August 22nd among 494 likely voters.

August 23, 2017

Trump Trails Gaggle Of Democrats in 2020

Public Policy Polling has a new poll out and in it, we get some 2020 General Election matchups.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (PPP)
Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 38%

Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Mark Cuban (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 38%

Cory Booker (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

Richard Blumenthal (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

John Delaney (D) 38%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 38%

Kamala Harris (D) 39%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

This poll was done August 18-21 among 887 registered voters. I guess if you a re a Trump fan and want the positive headline, you could state Trump tied with only declared Democratic candidate”, although being tied with a candidate that I would

August 22, 2017

VA: Northam Leads Gillespie By 7% in VA

Roanoke College has released a new poll in the gubernatorial race in Virginia and it has Democrat Ralph Northam with a 75 lead over Republican Ed Gillespie.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Roanoke)
Ralph Northam (D) 43%
Ed Gillespie (R) 36%
Cliff Hyra (L) 4%

This poll was done August 12-19 among likely voters.

August 20, 2017

Moore Dominating Strange in AL Runoff

The first post-primary runoff poll is out in Alabama and it shows Roy Moore with nearly a 20% lead over the incumbent Luther Strange. The latest numbers from JMC Analytics.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (JMC Analytics)
Roy Moore 51%
Luther Strange (inc) 32%

This poll was done August 17-19 among 515 likely voters.

August 15, 2017

Alabama Election Night Thread

Democrats and Republicans will start the process of selecting who will they will ultimately put up to finish the remainder of the term for the current sitting US Senator Luther Strange.

Top two in each party make it to the runoff election to be held on September 26th and a General Election on December 12th.

The results from the Associated Press can be found here.

Polls close at 8pm.

August 14, 2017

AL: Moore Leads In One Poll, Strange Leads in Another

We are getting some final polls for the US Senate primary race in Alabama and they are giving us somewhat conflicting numbers for the top two although the order really does not matter until a runoff since it involves the same two people. Trafalgar Group is currently showing Roy Moore with a huge double-digit lead.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Trafalgar)
Roy Moore 38%
Luther Strange (inc) 24%
Mo Brooks 17%
Everyone Else 6% or less

This poll was done August 12-13 among 870 likely voters. Meanwhile, Emerson College has the incumbent Luther Strange in the lead.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Emerson)
Luther Strange (inc) 32%
Roy Moore 29%
Mo Brooks 15%
Trip Pittman 10%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done August 10-12 among 603 likely voters.

August 11, 2017

Moore/Strange Lead AL GOP Primary Race

I come back from a week plus long vacation with no Internet and find out the United States is on the brink of war with North Korea. Meanwhile, there is a primary election for the US Senate seat in Alabama currently occupied by Luther Strange and two polls show him trailing the front runner Roy Moore although both are in position to make the runoff.The polls come from Cyngal and L2 and from Strategy Research.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Cygnal/L2)
Roy Moore 31%
Luther Strange (inc) 23%
Mo Brooks 18%
Trip Pittman 7%

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Strategy Research)
Roy Moore 35%
Luther Strange (inc) 29%
Mo Brooks 19%
Trip Pittman 9%
Everyone Else 1% or less

Both these polls were done August 9th among likely voters.

The primary election is August 15th.

August 3, 2017

Democrats Surge Against GOP in Generic Ballot/ Trump At All-Time Low

Morning Consult and Politico, which have actually had the more favorable polls for Republicans and Donald Trump since January, are now reporting the following:

Republicans trail Democrats by 7 percentage points on the generic congressional ballot, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, the Democratic Party’s greatest advantage on the generic ballot since the poll began asking the question this past spring.

The margin is 44%-37% according to the article. Meanwhile, Quinnipiac University is showing Donald Trump down to an all-time low in job approval.

PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP – JOB APPROVAL (Quinnipiac)
Approve 33%
Disapprove 61%

This poll was done July 27-August 1.

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