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September 24, 2017

Moore Leads Strange By 8% in AL

Gravis Marketing has come out with a new poll and it shows Roy Moore with an 8% lead over Donald Trump’s preferred candidate, Luther Strange.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (Gravis)
Roy Moore 48%
Luther Strange (inc) 40%

This poll was done September 21-22 among 559 likely voters.

2017 Week 3 NFL Picks

I spent the morning watching my Ravens get their posteriors handed to them in London. Before we get to the rest of this week’s games, a look at how I did last week.

WEEK 2 WINNING PICKS
Arizona beat Indianapolis
Carolina beat Buffalo
Tampa Bay beat Chicago
Baltimore beat Cleveland
Pittsburgh beat Minnesota
New England beat New Orleans
Kansas City beat Philadelphia
Oakland beat N.Y Jets
Denver beat Dallas
Seattle beat San Francisco
Atlanta beat Green Bay
N.Y. Giants beat Detroit

WEEK 2 LOSING PICKS
Cincinnati lost to Houston
Jacksonville lost to Tennessee
L.A. Chargers lost to Miami
L.A. Rams lost to Washington

A 12-4 week keeps on pace to remain in a tie for first among the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
ME 23-8
Louis Riddick 23-8
Matt Bowen 22-9
Seth Wickersham 21-10
Trey Wingo 21-10
Dan Graziano 20-11
Mina Kimes 19-12
Kevin Seifert 18-13
Mike Golic 18-13
Lisa Kerney 17-14

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 3 of the NFL season.

2017 WEEK 3 NFL PICKS
L.A. Rams at San Francisco
Baltimore at Jacksonville
Atlanta at Detroit
Cleveland at Indianapolis
Denver at Buffalo
Houston at New England
Miami at N.Y. Jets
New Orleans at Carolina
N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia
Pittsburgh at Chicago
Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Seattle at Tennessee
Cincinnati at Green Bay
Kansas City at L.A. Chargers
Oakland at Washington
Dallas at Arizona

Of course the entire day will be about who did and did not stand for the national anthem.

Posted by Dave at 11:35 am
Filed under: General | Comments (5) | Display Comments On Separate Page

September 20, 2017

Three Polls Show Close Gov Race in VA, Quinnipiac Disagrees

A slew of polls for the Virginia gubernatorial race have come out over the last week and we will start with Fox News, which shows the race as a dead-even tie among likely voters.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Fox News)
Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Ed Gillespie (R) 42%
Cliff Hyra (L) 1%

This poll was done September 17-18 among 507 registered voters. Among all registrered voters, Northam leads 42%-38%. Meanwhile, Suffolk University shows the race also as a dead-heat tie among likely voters.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Suffolk)
Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Ed Gillespie (R) 42%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

Thus poll was done September 13-17 among 500 likely voters. In this poll, Hyra voters are shown leaning 62%-23% in favor of Gillespie. Meanwhile, Mason-Dixon, which has the race at a single-percentage-point lead for Ralph Northam.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Mason-Dixon)
Ralph Northam (D) 44%
Ed Gillespie (R) 43%
Cliff Hyra (L) 2%

This poll was done September 10-15 among 625 registered voters. We do have one pollster who is going against the grain and that would be Quinnipiac University, which currently pegs the race as a double-digit lead for Northam.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Ralph Northam (D) 51%
Ed Gillespie (R) 41%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

This poll was done September 14-18 among 850 likely voters.

September 18, 2017

Strange Surges To Within Single Digits in AL

Is Donald Trump’s full endorsement of Luther Strange helping him out against Roy Moore? JMC Analytics, which a month ago claim Roy Moore had a 19% lead, is now showing the race down to single digits.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (JMC)
Roy Moore 47%
Luther Strange (inc) 39%

This poll was done September 16-17 among 500 likely voters.

September 17, 2017

Trump Endorses Strange in AL

Amidst his tweetstorm this weekend, Donald Trump went out an endorsed Luther Strange for the US Senate.

2017 Week 2 NFL Picks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a look back at how I did last week with my picks. My pick is listed first.

2017 WEEK 1 NFL PICKS WINNERS
Atlanta beat Chicago
Baltimore beat Cincinnati
Buffalo beat NY Jets
Philadelphia beat Washington
Pittsburgh beat Cleveland
L.A. Rams beat Indianapolis
Carolina beat San Francisco
Green Bay beat Seattle
Dallas beat N.Y. Giants
Minnesota beat New Orleans
Denver beat L.A. Chargers

2017 WEEK 1 NFL PICKS LOSERS
New England lost to Kansas City
Arizona lost to Detroit
Houston lost to Jacksonville
Tennessee lost to Oakland

As usual, I will be comparing my picks to the people who are paid by ESPN to be “experts”, which after Week 1 shows me tied for first place.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
ME 11-4
Louis Riddick 11-4
Matt Bowen 10-5
Dan Graziano 9-6
Mina Kimes 9-6
Seth Wickersham 9-6
Trey Wingo 9-6
Kevin Seifert 8-7
Mike Golic 7-8
Lisa Kerney 6-9

I watch ESPN so little nowadays that I honestly did not know who four of these people even are. Without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season.

2017 WEEK 2 NFL PICKS
Houston at Cincinnati
Arizona at Indianapolis
Buffalo at Carolina
Chicago at Tampa Bay
Cleveland at Baltimore
Minnesota at Pittsburgh
New England at New Orleans
Philadelphia at Kansas City
Tennessee at Jacksonville
Miami at L.A. Chargers
N.Y. Jets at Oakland
Dallas at Denver
San Francisco at Seattle
Washington at L.A. Rams
Green Bay at Atlanta
Detroit at N.Y. Giants

Go time….

Posted by Dave at 11:46 am
Filed under: General | Comments (1) | Display Comments On Separate Page

September 15, 2017

Strange Within 1% of Moore in AL

We have another new poll in the US Senate race in Alabama and it shows a much closer race, similar to the close race this same pollster Voter Surveys and Consulting, LLC showed a few weeks ago.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (VSC)
Roy Moore 41%
Luther Strange (inc) 40%

This poll was done September 9-10 among 604 likely primary voters. It should be noted this poll is paid for by a pro-Strange group.

September 11, 2017

Moore Leads Strange By 14% in AL

Emerson College has released their view of the primary runoff in Alabama and it shows Roy Moore with a double-digit lead over Luther Strange.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (Emerson)
Roy Moore 40%
Luther Strange (inc) 26%

Clearly Emerson was not pushing anyone too hard with 34% still undecided 15 days before the election. This poll was done September 8-9 among 416 likely voters.

September 10, 2017

2017 Week 1 NFL Picks

I may not have time for much in the political world thee days, but continuing an annual tradition of picking NFL games. Without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 1 of the 2017 NFL season.

2017 WEEK 1 NFL PICKS
Kansas City at New England
Arizona at Detroit
Atlanta at Chicago
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Jacksonville at Houston
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
Oakland at Tennessee
Philadelphia at Washington
Pittsburgh at Cleveland
Indianapolis at L.A. Rams
Carolina at San Francisco
Seattle at Green Bay
N.Y. Giants at Dallas
New Orleans at Minnesota
L.A. Chargers at Denver

So glad football is back for another year.

September 8, 2017

Moore Leads Strange By 16% in AL, Schuette Strong in MI

We finally have another new poll in the US Senate in Alabama, this one coming from some polling outfit called Southeast Research, and it shows Roy Moore with a double-digit lead over Luther Strange in the Republican primary runoff.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (Southeast)
Roy Moore 52%
Luther Strange (inc) 36%

This poll was done August 29-31 among 401 likely voters. Meanwhile, EPIC-MRA released a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Michigan to replace the outgoing Rick Snyder.

GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (EPIC-MRA)
Bill Schuette (R) 37%
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 37%

Bill Schuette (R) 43%
Geoffrey Fieger (D) 33%

Nothing on the US Senate race, at least in this release. This poll was done August 27-September 1 among 600 likely voters. For comparison, EPIC-MRA’s final poll of the 2016 Presidential race released 5 days before the election showed Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 4%. Donald Trump ended up winning in Michigan.

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