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November 5, 2017

Gillespie Leads Northam By 3% in VA/ Northam Leads Gillespie By 3% in VA

We have two new polls to add to the gaggle of polls thus far in Virginia, one from Firehouse Strategies and Optimus that shows Ed Gillespie with a 3% lead and one from The New York Times and Siena College that shows Ralph Northam with a 3% lead.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (FH/Optimus)
Ed Gillespie (R) 40%
Ralph Northam (D) 37%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (NYT/Siena)
Ralph Northam (D) 43%
Ed Gillespie (R) 40%
Cliff Hyra (L) 2%

The FH/Optimus poll was done November 1-2 among 1600 voters. The NYT/Siena poll was done October 29-November 2 among 985 likely voters. A lot of undecided voters this late in the race in my opinion.

2017 Week 9 NFL Picks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look back at how I ended up last week.

2017 WEEK 8 WINNING PICKS
Baltimore beat Miami
Minnesota beat Cleveland
New Orleans beat Chicago
Cincinnati beat Indianapolis
New England beat L.A Chargers
Buffalo beat Oakland
Philadelphia beat San Francisco
Seattle beat Houston
Dallas beat Washington
Pittsburgh beat Detroit
Kansas City beat Denver

2017 WEEK 8 LOSING PICKS
N.Y. Jets lost to Atlanta
Tampa Bay lost to Carolina

An 11-2 week brings my season record to 72-47 and keeps me in the middle of the pack among to so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Louis Riddick 78-41
Matt Bowen 75-44
Mike Clay 73-46
Mike Golic 73-46
ME 72-47
Seth Wickersham 71-48
Dan Graziano 70-49
Kevin Seifert 71-48
Lisa Kerney 70-49
Mina Kimes 70-49

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 9 of the 2017 NFL season.

2017 WEEK 9 NFL PICKS
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets
Atlanta at Carolina
Baltimore at Tennessee
Cincinnati at Jacksonville
Denver at Philadelphia
Indianapolis at Houston
L.A. Rams at N.Y. Giants
Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Arizona at San Francisco
Washington at Seattle
Kansas City at Dallas
Oakland at Miami
Detroit at Green Bay

Posted by Dave at 8:19 am
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November 4, 2017

Two new VA Polls put Northam Up By 1% and 5%.

Some better news this evening on the polling front for Ralph Northam as two more polls are out and they give him between a 1% and 5% lead. These polls come from Trafalgar Group and Gravis Marketing.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Trafalgar)
Ralph Northam (D) 49%
Ed Gillespie (R) 48%
Cliff Hyra (L) 1%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Gravis)
Ralph Northam (D) 48%
Ed Gillespie (R) 43%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

The Trafalgar Group poll was done October 31-November 2 among likely voters. The Gravis Marketing poll was done October 30-November 3 among 1143 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 5:48 pm
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Gillespie Either Leads Or Is Tied With Northam in Three Polls in VA

And the pendulum continues to swing in Virginia as we have three new polls out showing a much stronger position for Ed Gillespie where he either is tied or in the lead. The three polls come from Roanoke College, Rasmussen Reports, and The Polling Company.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (RC)
Ed Gillespie (R) 47%
Ralph Northam (D) 47%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Rasmussen)
Ed Gillespie (R) 45%
Ralph Northam (D) 45%
Cliff Hyra (L) 2%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (TPC)
Ed Gillespie (R) 45%
Ralph Northam (D) 43%
Cliff Hyra (L) 2%

The Roanoke College poll was done October 29-November 2 among 781 likely voters. The Rasmussen poll was done October 31-November 3 among 875 likely voters. The Polling Company was done October 30-November 2 among 800 likely voters.

November 3, 2017

Northam Leads Gillespie By 4% in VA

Yesterday, Suffolk University came out with their final poll for the gubernatorial race in Virginia and they show a mini surge for Ralph Northam as he has opened up a 4% lead over Ed Gillespie.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Suffolk)
Ralph Northam (D) 47%
Ed Gillespie (R) 43%
Cliff Hyra (L) 2%

This poll was done October 30-November 1 among 500 likely voters.

November 1, 2017

Northam’s Lead Shrinks to 5% in VA

The Washington Post has released a new poll for the race in Virginia and claims the race is down to only a 5% lead for Ralph Northam after claiming Northam was up by 13% four weeks ago.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (WaPo)
Ralph Northam (D) 49%
Ed Gillespie (R) 44%
Cliff Hyra (L) 4%

This poll was done October 26-29 among likely voters. Although it was with a different polling company at the time, it is worth pointing out that the final poll The Washington Post released under their name in the 2013 gubernatorial race in Virginia claimed Terry McAuliffe was going to beat Ken Cuccinelli by 12%. McAuliffe only won by 2.6%.

October 30, 2017

Northam Holds 17% Lead Over Gillespie in VA

And back in the other direction we go. Quinnipiac University’s latest poll for the gubernatorial race in Virginia shows Ralph Northam with a huge 175 lead over Ed Gillespie.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Ralph Northam (D) 53%
Ed Gillespie (R) 36%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

This poll was done October 25-29 among 916 likely voters.

October 29, 2017

Another Poll Puts Gillespie In The Lead in VA

And back we go to the other side. More polls from Virginia, more volatility. GCS Research has released a new poll and it shows Ed Gillespie with a single percentage-point lead.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (GCS)
Ed Gillespie (R) 47%
Ralph Northam (D) 46%

This poll was done October 25-27 among 1255 likely voters.

2017 Week 8 NFL Picks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look back at how I did last week with my picks.

2017 NFL WEEK 7 WINNING PICKS
L.A. Rams beat Arizona
Minnesota beat Baltimore
Jacksonville beat Indianapolis
New Orleans beat Green Bay
Miami beat N.Y. Jets
Buffalo beat Tamp Bay
Tennessee beat Cleveland
Dallas beat San Francisco
Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati
L.A. Chargers beat Denver
Philadelphia beat Washington

2017 WEEK 7 LOSING PICKS
Kansas City lost to Oakland
Carolina lost to Chicago
N.Y. Giants lost to Seattle
Atlanta lost to New England

An 11-4 week keeps me in a 4th palce tie among the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Louis Riddick 66-40
Matt Bowen 64-42
Mike Clay 62-44
ME 61-45
Seth Wickersham 61-45
Mike Golic 61-45
Dan Graziano 60-46
Kevin Seifert 60-46
Lisa Kerney 60-46
Mina Kimes 57-49

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 8 of the 2017 NFL season.

2017 WEEK 8 NFL PICKS
Miami at Baltimore
Minnesota at Cleveland
Atlanta at N.Y. Jets
Carolina at Tampa Bay
Chicago at New Orleans
Indianapolis at Cincinnati
L.A. Chargers at New England
Oakland at Buffalo
San Francisco at Philadelphia
Houston at Seattle
Dallas at Washington
Pittsburgh at Detroit
Denver at Kansas City

Posted by Dave at 10:41 am
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October 27, 2017

Northam Leads Gillespie By 7% in VA

The polling yo-yo in Virginia continues as Christopher Newport University has come out with a new poll that completely contradicts the poll released yesterday by Hampton University and has Democrat Ralph Northam up by 7%.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (CNU)
Ralph Northam (D) 50%
Ed Gillespie (R) 43%

This poll was done October 20-25 among 812 likely voters.

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