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September 12, 2018

Scott Leads in FL, McSally Leads Two Polls in AZ, Heller Trails in NV

Haven’t heard from Survey USA is a while, but today they are out with a new poll in Florida that shows Democrat Andrew Gillum up in the gubernatorial race while Republican Rick Scott leads the US Senate race.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Survey USA)
Andrew Gillum (D) 47%
Ron DeSantis (R) 43%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Survey USA)
Rick Scott (R-inc) 46%
Bill nelson (D) 44%

This poll was done September 7-9 among 634 likely voters. Meanwhile in Arizona, a new poll from OH Predictive Insights has Republican Martha McSally ahead in a bid to keep Jeff Flake’s old seat in Republican hands.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (OHPI)
Martha McSally (R) 49%
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 46%

This poll was done September 5-6 among 597 likely voters. This mimics a poll done by Gravis Marketing released earlier int eh week that had McSally also ahead.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (Gravis)
Martha McSally (R) 49%
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 48%

This poll was done September 5-7 among 882 likely voters. The news is not as good in Nevada whre teh incumbent Republican Dean Heller is currently trailing in his bid for another term according to Suffolk University.

US SENATE – NEVADA (Suffolk)
Jacky Rosen (D) 42%
Dean Heller (R-inc) 41%

This poll was done September 5-10 among likely voters.

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September 9, 2018

GA Gov Race Tied, Dems Lead Senate Races in IN and TN

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution has a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Georgia that has race basically tied at 45%.

GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (AJC)
Brian Kemp (R) 45%
Stacey Abrams (D) 45%

This poll was done August 26-September 4 among likely voters. I am sure also concerning to Republicans are two new US Senate polls from NBC News and Marist College for Indiana and Tennessee showing Republicans losing in both states.

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (NBC/Marist)
Phil Bredesen (D) 48%
Marsha Blackburn (R) 46%

US SENATE – INDIANA (NBC/Marist)
Joe Donnelly (D-inc) 49%
Mike Braun (R) 43%

The TN poll was done August 25-28 and the IN poll was done August 26-29, both among likely voters.

September 4, 2018

Gillum Leads By 2% in FL, Nelson/Scott Tied in FL, McCaskill/Hawley Tied in MO

So it has been a busy news days apparently. We also have a new poll from Gravis Marketing that shows tight races for both the US Senate and Governor in the state of Florida.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Gravis)
Andrew Gillum (D) 47%
Ron DeSantis (R) 45%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Gravis)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 47%
Rick Scott (R) 47%

This poll was done August 29-30 among 1225 likely voters. Meanwhile, NBC News and Marist College are showing a similar 47-47 tie in the state of Missouri.

US SENATE – MISSOURI (NBC/Marist)
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 47%
Josh Hawley (R) 47%

This poll was done August 25-28 among 568 likely voters.

August 31, 2018

Gillum/Nelson Lead in FL, Manchin Leads By 6% in WV

Florida Republicans that are giddy at the thought of running against Andrew Gillum might have to temper their enthusiasm based on a new poll from Public Policy Polling that shows Gillum up by 5% on Ron DeSantis. Meanwhile, the poll also has Bill nelson up by a single-percentage point on Rick Scott.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (PPP)
Andrew Gillum (D) 48%
Ron DeSantis (R) 43%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (PPP)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 46%
Rick Scott (R) 45%

This poll was done August 29-30 among 743 likely voters. Meanwhile in West Virginia, Harper Polling shows Democrat Joe Manchin with a 6% lead in his bid for another term.

US SENATE – WEST VIRGINIA (Harper)
Joe Manchin (D-inc) 47%
Patrick Morrisey (R) 41%

This poll was done August 23-26 among likely voters.

August 28, 2018

Cruz Only Leads By 1% in TX, Walker Trails in WI

We’ll knock a few polls out at once today. Emerson College came out with a new poll showing Republican Ted Cruz with only a single-percentage-point lead in Texas although the poll does have an obscene number of undecideds at this point.

US SENATE – TEXAS (Emerson)
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 38%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 37%

This poll was done August 22-25 among 550 likely voters. Suffolk University has come out with a poll for the state of Wisconsin that shows Scott Walker trailing in his bid for another term as Governor.

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Suffolk)
Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 50%
Leah Vukmir (R) 42%

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Suffolk)
Tony Evers (D) 46%
Scott Walker (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done August 18-24 among 500 likely voters. Republicans looking for some good news might like this new poll from WPA Intelligence that claims Republican Matt Rosendale holds a lead over the incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester.

US SENATE – MONTANA (WPA)
Matt Rosendale (R) 47%
Jon Tester (D-inc) 45%

This poll was done August 20-22 among 600 likely voters.

August 26, 2018

Open Thread

The final open thread before Labor Day.

August 15, 2018

Donnelly Leads Braun By 12% in IN, Blackburn Leads Bredesen By 4% in TN

An intersting contrast in two new US Senate polls and what it means for November. The Trafalgar Group has released a new poll for the state of Indiana that shows Democratic incumbent Joe Donnelly with a comfortable double-digit lead over Republican Mike Braun.

US SENATE – INDIANA (Trafalgar)
Joe Donnelly (D-inc) 51%
Mike Braun (R) 39%

This poll was done July 31-AUgust 7 among 1420 likely voters. Meanwhile, Gravis Marketing has better news for Republicans in Tennessee, where their new poll shows Marsha Blackburn with a 4% lead over Phil Bredesen.

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (Gravis)
Marsha Blackburn (R-inc) 48%
Phil Bredesen (D) 44%

This poll was done August 9-11 among 620 likely voters.

August 14, 2018

Hogan Leads Jealous By 16% in MD

Last week, Democrat Ben Jealous was claiming he was only trailing Republican Governor Larry Hogan by 9% in the state of Maryland. Today, Gonzales Research is showing a much larger deficit for Jealous.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Gonzales)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 52%
Ben Jealous (D) 36%

This poll was done August 1-8 among 831 likely voters.

August 12, 2018

Hawley/McCaskill Tied in MO

A new poll from Missouri Scout claims the US Senate race in Missouri is tied in one of the seats Republicans hope to pick up to offset potential losses elsewhere.

US SENATE – MISSOURI (MO Scout)
Josh Hawley R) 47%
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 47%

This poll was done August 8-9 among likely voters.

August 10, 2018

Jealous Claims He Is Trailing Hogan By Only 9% in MD

The Democratic candidate for Governor in Maryland is at the point where he is releasing a poll showing himself down by 9% to try and claim he has a chance against Larry Hogan in November. His poll was done by Garin-Hart-Young Research Group.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Garin-Hart-Yang)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 49%
Ben Jealous (D) 40%

This poll was done July 10-14 among 601 likely voters.

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