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July 3, 2019

Biden Falls Into Third Place Among Dems in IA

We may in the process of seeing the early collapse of Joe Biden and eventual early withdrawal of Biden slowly building before our eyes. While ABC News and The Washington Post haven’t completely bought into it yet in their poll this morning, a lot of other national polls are showing the quick collapse of Biden and now we have a new Iowa poll from Focus on Rural America and David Binder Research that has Biden already falling into third place in the state of Iowa.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (FORA/DBR)
Elizabeth Warren 20%
Kamala Harris 18%
Joe Biden 17%
Bernie Sanders 12%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Cory Booker 2%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
john Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Michael Bennet 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Bill deBlasio 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 29-July 1 among likely Democratic caucus goers.

ABC/WaPo: Biden Still Leads Dem Field By Double Digits, Harris a Distant Third

ABC News and The Washington Post apparently are not buying in fully to what CNN and Quinnipiac University are selling showing Kamala Harris surging to within the margin of error of Joe Biden in the Democratic race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (ABC/WaPo)
Joe Biden 30%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Kamala Harris 13%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Julian Castro 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Michael Bennet 1%
Cory Booker 1%
John Hickenlooper1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 397 registered Democratic voters. If you remember yesterday, Quinnipiac University released a poll over the same exact June 28-July 1 time period and claimed Harris is within 2% of Biden. AS shown above, ABC News and The Washington Post has that spread at 17%!

July 2, 2019

Harris Moves To Within 2% of Biden Nationally, Within 8% in IA

Quinnipiac University is joining CNN in showing Kamala Harris surging and Joe Biden fading in the Democratic primary race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Joe Biden 22%
Kamala Harris 20%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Everyone Else 0%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 554 Democratic primary voters. Meanwhile in Iowa, Harris has also moved into second place here as well and is now within single digits of Biden according to USA Today and Suffolk University.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (USAT/Suffolk)
Joe Biden 24%
Kamala Harris 16%
Elizabeth Warren 13%
Bernie Sanders 9%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among likely caucus goers.

Posted by Dave at 9:36 pm
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July 1, 2019

Biden Collapses While Harris and Warren Surge in Latest CNN Poll

CNN released a new poll that shows Joe Biden, and to a lesser extent Bernie Sanders, collapsing among Democratic primary voters while Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are surging.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Joe Biden 22% (-10)
Kamala Harris 17% (+9)
Elizabeth Warren 15% (+8)
Bernie Sanders 14% (-4)
Pete Buttigieg 4% (-1)
Cory Booker 3% (0)
Beto O’Rourke 3% (-2)
Amy Klobuchar 2% (0)
Secretary Julian
Castro 1% (-1)
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-30 among 656 registered Democratic primary voters. The Hill and HarrisX meanwhile show a different picture showing Sanders hanging onto second place, but also showing Harris moving ahead of Warren.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (The Hill/HarrisX)
Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Kamala Harris 11%
Elizabeth Warren 9%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 2%
Julian Castro 1%
Kirstin Gillibrand 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Michael Bennet 1%
Andrew yang 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 29-30 among 440 registered Democratic primary voters.

June 29, 2019

Dems Leads Trump, Collins Still Cruising in ME

Gravis Marketing has released a new poll for the state of Maine showing Democrats ahead in the Presidential race while Susan Collins remains the lone New England Republican standing and in position to be re-elected.

PRESIDENT – MAINE (Gravis)
Joe Biden (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Kamala Harris (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

US SENATE – MAINE (Gravis)
Susan Collins (R-inc) 52%
Sara Gideon (D) 36%

This poll was done June 24th among 767 registered voters. If you remember, Trump did win a lone electoral vote in Maine last time around, but this poll did not break it down to that level at this time.

June 26, 2019

Roy Moore In Third Place Among GOP in AL

Let’s hope Republicans will not be as careless this time around in Alabama and nominate Roy Moore to be their standard bearer again next year. If a new poll from Cygnal, it looks like they may have learned something.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Cygnal)
Tommy Tuberville 29%
Bradley Byrne 21%
Roy Moore 13%
John Merrill 12%
Arnold Mooney 2%

This poll was done June 22-23 among 612 likely primary voters.

Sanders Leads Dems in NH, Falls To Third in IA and SC

There is only the top candidates listed in the attached article from Change Research that shows Bernie Sanders ahead of Joe Biden in the state of New Hampshire, but falling to third place in the states of Iowa and South Carolina.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Change)
Joe Biden 27%
Elizabeth Warren 20%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Pete Buttigieg 17%
Everyone Else in Single Digits

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Change)
Bernie Sanders 28%
Joe Biden 24%
Elizabeth Warren 21%
Pete Buttigieg 14%
Everyone Else in Single Digits

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (Change)
Joe Biden 39%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Everyone Else in Single Digits

This poll was done June 17-20 among likely caucus/primary voters in each state.

Posted by Dave at 8:14 am
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June 25, 2019

Biden/Sanders Both Lead Trump By 10% Nationally

Emerson College has put out a new poll today showing Joe Biden’s lead over Bernie Sanders standing at 7%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 34%
Bernie Sanders 27%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Kamala Harris 7%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Cory Booker 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Everyone Else >1%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Bernie Sanders (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Kamala Harris (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 52%
Donald trump (R-inc) 48%

This poll was done June 21-24 among 1096 registered voters and 457 Democratic primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:10 am
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June 20, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 3% in NC

Public Policy Polling has been relatively quiet this year, but they did release a new poll for the state of North Carolina today that shows Joe Biden up on Donald Trump by 3%.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Kamala Harris (D) 46%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
Elizabeth warren (D) 46%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 44%

GOVERNOR – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Roy Cooper (D-inc) 46%
Phil Berger (R) 39%

Roy Cooper (D-inc) 45%
Dan Forest (R) 41%

Roy Cooper (D-inc) 46%
Tim Moore (R) 38%

This poll was done June 17-18 among 610 registered voters.

June 19, 2019

Warren Jumps Ahead Of Sanders in National Primary Poll

Monmouth University came out with a new poll today that shows Elizabeth Warren passing Bernie Sanders for second place among Democrats.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 32%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Bernie Sanders 14%
Kamala Harris 8%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Cory Booker 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Bill de Blasio 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Julián Castro <1%
Kirsten Gillibrand <1%
Tim Ryan <1%
Everyone Else 0%

This poll was done June 12-17 among 306 registered Democratic primary voters. USA Today and Suffolk University, however, claim Bernie Sanders is still holding onto second place.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (USAT/Suffolk)
Joe Biden 30%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Elizabeth Warren 10%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Kamala Harris 8%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Julian Castro 1%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Bill de Blasio <1%
Amy Klobuchar <1%
Seth Moulton <1%
Marianne Williamson <1%
Everyone Else 0%

This poll was done June 11-15 among 385 Democratic primary voters.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS