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    January 15, 2021

    Trump’s Job Approval Drops Below 30%

    It has been over a decade since we saw a President’s job approval rating, no matter how unpopular they might be, sink to a level below 30%.
    Donald Trump has managed to reach that level on his way out the door in a new poll from Pew Research.

    PRESIDENT TRUMP – JOB APPROVAL (Pew)
    Approve 29%
    Disapprove 68%

    This poll was done January 8th-12th. According to this page from ABC News and The Washington Post, they show President George W Bush getting down to 23% shortly before the 2008 election, but he rebounded a little before leaving office and has seen his retrospective job approval rise since he left office to get up to 47%. I don’t think we will see a similar uptick for Trump with the General Electorate at large.

    January 12, 2021

    The Impeachment Dam is Breaking Among Republicans

    The third-highest ranking Republican in the US House has said she will vote to impeach Donald Trump. From The Washington Post.

    Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.), No. 3 Republican in the House, said Tuesday she will vote to impeach President Trump, saying there has “never been a greater betrayal” by a president to his office and his oath to the Constitution days after a pro-Trump mob attacked the Capitol.

    From CNN, Mitch McConnell seems be signaling to his Republican colleagues on the US Senate side that Trump should be impeached as well.

    Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has indicated that he believes that impeaching President Donald Trump will make it easier to get rid of the President and Trumpism from the Republican Party, according to a source with knowledge of the matter.

    Not sure that is completely the case, but sticking with him in lockstep definitely doesn’t help in the broader electorate that you need to win at this point.

    January 8, 2021

    Trump Will Not Attend Inauguration

    So much to talk about but I think this by itself is a huge deal that an outgoing President will not attend the Inauguration of his successor.

    Disappointing as I feel like this is an important tradition regardless of the election outcome, but not surprising coming from Trump. Of course if Trump is impeached and removed from office before January 20th, I have no doubt Mike Pence respects this tradition and would attend as the sitting President.

    January 6, 2021

    Just Disgusting

    Part of me was glad I was blissfully unaware of what was happening today in DC until about ten minutes ago because I would have gotten no work done at all.

    This is stuff you watch in movies and say – that could never happen in real life. Yet here we are.

    January 5, 2021

    Georgia Election Night Thread

    It is 7pm and the polls are starting to close….

    January 4, 2021

    Two Additional Polls Show Close Race in GA

    We are lucky enough to get another pair of polls in addition to the ones we got earlier today that also put the race right at the break even line. We’ll start with a poll from Insider Advantage that pegs both races at a dead-heat tie.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (IA)
    David Perdue (R-inc) 49%
    Jon Ossoff (D) 49%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL -RUNOFF (IA)
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 49%
    Raphael Warnock (D) 49%

    This poll was done January 3rd among 500 likely voters. Meanwhile a poll done by Adam Geller for Preserve America puts both Democrats up by a single percentage point.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (AG)
    Jon Ossoff (D) 45%
    David Perdue (R-inc) 46%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL -RUNOFF (AG)
    Raphael Warnock (D) 46%
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 45%

    This poll was done January 2-3 among 500 likely voters.

    New Polls Show Close Races in GA

    Two polls out today showing results just on either side of the break-even line for the two races in Georgia to be decided (or at least votes starting to be counted) tomorrow, which is much closer than some polls we got late last week. We start with a new BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School poll that has both Republicans up by a single percentage point.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (BUSR/UNLV LBS)
    David Perdue (R-inc) 49%
    Jon Ossoff (D) 48%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL -RUNOFF (BUSR/UNLV BLS)
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 49%
    Raphael Warnock (D) 48%

    This poll was done December 30-January 3 among 550 likely voters. Meanwhile a poll done by Targoz Market Research for PollSmart MR is a little more favorable to the Democrats.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (Targoz)
    David Perdue (R-inc) 50%
    Jon Ossoff (D) 50%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL -RUNOFF (Targoz)
    Raphael Warnock (D) 51%
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 49%

    This poll was done December 30-January 3 among 713 likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 1:29 pm
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    January 2, 2021

    Ossoff Leads By 3%, Warnock Leads By 2% in GA

    While more and more Republican elected officials (which is rumored to now include 12 US Senators) tie themselves to the absurd attempt to overthrow the Election Results and thereby drag their own party further down, Gravis Marketing has joined the growing number of polling organizations these efforts are going to basically hand over control of the US Senate to Joe Biden’s party. and give Democrats total control of the Executive and Legislative branches of the US Government.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (Gravis)
    Jon Ossoff (D) 50%
    David Perdue (R-inc) 47%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL – RUNOFF (Gravis)
    Raphael Warnock (D) 49%
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 47%

    This poll was done December 29-30 among 1011 likely voters.

    December 30, 2020

    Ossoff Leads By 8%, Warnock Leads By 9% in GA

    As Donald Trump becomes more and more unhinged while Republican Senators and Congresspeople still inexplicably standing behind him, we have another poll today, this one from JMC Analytics, showing Democrats on the verge of winning the two US Senate seats in Georgia and giving Joe Biden’s party total control of Congress.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (JMC)
    Jon Ossoff (D) 53%
    David Perdue (R-inc) 45%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL – RUNOFF (JMC)
    Raphael Warnock (D) 54%
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 45%

    This poll was done December 28-29 among 500 likely voters.

    December 29, 2020

    Trafalgar Has Dems Surging, Now Leading Both US Senate Races in GA

    While Republican Senators and Congresspeople are twisting themselves in knots trying to figure out what position they are supposed to take now due to Donald Trump’s caving the COVD relief and Omnibus bills, we have conflicting poll data in the two completed after Christmas for the two US Senate races to be decided in a week in Georgia. The usually pro-Trump/GOP polling organization Trafalgar Group is out today with a poll that shows the two Democrats now ahead in both races.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (Trafalgar)
    Jon Ossoff (D) 50%
    David Perdue (R-inc) 48%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL – RUNOFF (Trafalgar)
    Raphael Warnock (D) 50%
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 49%

    This poll was done December 23-27 among 1022 likely voters. Just ten days ago, Trafalgar claimed Perdue was ahead by 2% and Loeffler was ahead by 6%!

    Meanwhile, there is a poll from a new group I have never heard of before called Open Model Project that claims both Republicans are ahead by 4%.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (OMP)
    David Perdue (R-inc) 50%
    Jon Ossoff (D) 46%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL – RUNOFF (OMP)
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 50%
    Raphael Warnock (D) 46%

    This poll was done December 21-27 among 1405 likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 1:51 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (86) | Display Comments On Separate Page