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    August 1, 2021

    Elder Leads Field To Replace Newsom if Recall Succeeds

    Could Larry Elder become the next Governor of California? A new poll from the University of California at Berkeley shows almost an even split between Yes and No for recalling Governor Gavin Newsom. If the Yes should prevail, Larry Elder has the inside track to become the next Governor of California.

    GOVERNOR RECALL – GAVIN NEWSOM (UC – Berkeley)
    No 50%
    Yes 47%

    GOVERNOR RECALL – CALIFORNIA – REPLACEMENT (UC – Berkeley)
    Larry Elder (R) 18%
    John Cox (R) 10%
    Kevin Faulconer (R) 10%
    Kevin Kiley (R) 5%
    Kevin Paffrath (D) 3%
    Caitlyn Jenner (R) 3%

    This poll was done July 18-24 among 2783 likely voters.

    July 22, 2021

    Can GOP Gain US Senate Seat in NH?

    More from the University of New Hampshire poll we got yesterday that shows if Republicans are hoping to regain control of the US Senate year, one of their hopes may lie in the opportunity to take down Maggie Hassan in the state of New Hampshire.

    US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
    Chris Sununu (R) 49%
    Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 48%

    Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 49%
    Kelly Ayotte (R) 45%

    Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 51%
    Don Bolduc (R) 41%

    This poll was done July 15-19 among 1540 likely voters.

    July 21, 2021

    Trump Dominates GOP Field in NH

    Donald Trump has a huge lead in what still might be one of the early primary states in 2024. A new poll from the University of New Hampshire for the state of New Hampshire.

    PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (UNH)
    Donald Trump 47%
    Ron DeSantis 19%
    Nikki Haley 6%
    Mike Pence 5%
    Kristi Noem 2%
    Ted Cruz 2%
    Josh Hawley 0%
    Tom Cotton 0%
    Mike Pompeo 0%

    This poll was done July 15-19 among 770 likely primary voters.

    Posted by Dave at 8:01 pm
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    July 18, 2021

    McAuliffe Leads Youngkin By 5% in VA

    Another poll from the race in Virginia that actually gives Terry McAuliffe the largest lead he has seen in a public poll to date. This poll comes from Spry Strategies.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Spry Strategies)
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 46%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 41%

    This poll was done July 6-9 among 600 likely voters.

    July 16, 2021

    DeSantis Leads Trump-Less GOP Field

    A new poll from Fabrizio Lee and Associates shows Ron DeSantis dominating the Republican field in the Presidential primary when Donald Trump is not included in the list of choices.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (FLA)
    Ron DeSantis 39%
    Mike Pence 15%
    Ted Cruz 7%
    Nikki Haley 4%
    Mitt Romney 3%
    Tim Scott 2%
    Kristi Noem 2%
    Mike Pompeo 2%
    Marco Rubio 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    Larry Hogan 1%
    Rick Scott 1%
    Josh Hawley <1%
    Chris Christie <1%

    This poll was done July 6-8 among 800 registered voters.

    July 14, 2021

    Youngkin Within 2% Of McAuliffe in VA

    We have another poll this election cycle that shows a tight contest in the race for Governor in Virginia. This one comes from The Trafalgar Group.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Trafalgar)
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 47%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 45%

    This poll was done July 8-10 among 1104 registered voters. As part of the DC market, we manage to see quite a number of election ads for Virginia election races and I have to say, Youngkin has been all over it with mostly positive ads where I am sure he is trying to define himself before the Democrats can. His biggest challenge may be distancing himself far enough away from Trump….

    July 5, 2021

    Abbott Leads O-Rourke By Double Digits in TX

    The Dallas Morning News and The University of Texas Tyler released a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Texas that Greg Abott’s toughest challenge may come from the actor Matthew McConaughey.

    GOVERNOR – TEXAS (UT-Tyler)
    Greg Abbott (R-inc) 39%
    Matthew McConaughey 38%

    Greg Abbott (R-inc) 45%
    Beto O’Rourke (D) 33%

    This poll was done June 22-29 among 1090 registered voters.

    June 25, 2021

    DeSantis Leads GOP Field for President If Trump Chooses Not To Run

    A majority of Republicans have clearly learned nothing from the result of the 2020 Presidential election as should he run again in 2024, Donald Trump would get 55% of the Republican primary vote while no other candidate would even reach double digits in a new poll from McLaughlin and Associates.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (McLaughlin)
    Donald Trump 55%
    Ron DeSantis 9%
    Mike Pence 8%
    Candace Owens 4%
    Ted Cruz 4%
    Nikki Haley 3%
    Mitt Romney 3%
    Marco Rubio 1%
    Tim Scott 1%
    John Kasich 1%
    Liz Cheney 1%
    Mike Pompeo 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    Rick Scott 1%
    Kristi Noem 0%

    Should Trump decide not to run and let his son run instead, Donald Trump Jr jumps to third place overall among Republicans while Ron DeSantis takes the top spot.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (McLaughlin)
    Ron DeSantis 24%
    Mike Pence 19%
    Donald Trump Jr 15%
    Ted Cruz 6%
    Mitt Romney 5%
    Nikki Haley 4%
    Ivanka Trump 4%
    Candace Owens 3%
    Liz Cheney 2%
    Marco Rubio 2%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Mike Pompeo 1%
    Tim Scott 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    John Kasich 1%
    Rick Scott 1%

    This poll was done June 16-20 among likely voters. Meanwhile, Echelon Insights has a similar result for the Republican primary if Donald Trump decides not to run.

    PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Echelon Insights)
    Ron DeSantis 21%
    Mike Pence 14%
    Donald Trump, Jr 7%
    Nikki Haley 6%
    Ted Cruz 6%
    Mitt Romney 4%
    Marco Rubio 3%
    Tim Scott 2%
    Tucker Carlson 1%
    Greg Abbott 1%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Rick Scott 1%
    Liz Cheney 1%
    Chris Christie 1%
    Mike Pompeo 0%
    Larry Hogan 0%
    Tom Cotton 0%
    Ben Sasse 0%
    Josh Hawley 0%

    This poll was done June 18-22 among registered primary voters.

    June 23, 2021

    Murphy Leads Ciattarelli By 15% in NJ, DeSantis Leads in Re-Election Bid in FL

    Jack Ciattarelli still has an uphill climb if he is hoping to take the gubernatorial seat in New Jersey away from the incumbent Phil Murphy according to a new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University.

    GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (FDU)
    Phil Murphy (D-inc) 48%
    Jack Ciattarelli (R) 33%

    This poll was done June 9 -16 803 among registered voters. Meanwhile better news for Republicans in the state of Florida is a new poll from The Listener Group that has Ron DeSantis ahead of both Nikki Fried and Charlie Crist.

    GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (TLG)
    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 55%
    Charlie Crist (D) 45%

    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 60%
    Nikki Fried (D) 39%

    This poll was done June 21st among 716 likely voters.

    June 15, 2021

    McAuliffe Leads Youngkin By 4% in VA

    We have another new poll in the newly joined race for Governor in Virginia, this time from JMC Analytics, that shows Glenn Youngkin still holding Terry McAuliffe under 50%.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (WPA)
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 46%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 42%

    This poll was done June 9-12 among 550 likely voters.