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May 17, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 11% Nationally

Fox News is falling into line with just about everyone else showing Joe Biden dominating the Democratic field and well ahead of Donald Trump in the General Election.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Fox News)
Joe Biden 35%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Elizabeth Warren 9%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Kamala Harris 5%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Julian Castro 2%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
John Delaney 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Mike Gravel 0%
Michael Bennet 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Fox News)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 38%

Bernie Sanders (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 43%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Kamala Harris (D) 41%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 40%

This poll was done May 11-14 among 1008 registered voters and 469 Democratic primary voters.

May 15, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 11% in PA

Quinnipiac University has put out a new poll for the state of Pennslyvania showing Joe Biden now ahead of Donald Trump by double digits.

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden 39%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Kamala Harris 8%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Cory Booker 5%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
Julian Castro 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
John Delaney 0%
Andrew Yang 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Michael Bennet 0%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Bernie Sanders (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Kamala Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 44%

This poll was done May 9-14 among 978 registered voters and 431 registered primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 2:19 pm
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May 13, 2019

Biden Leads Dems By 8% Nationally, McSally Ahead of Kelly By 1% in AZ

Emerson College came out with a new national poll today and it shows Joe Biden ahead by 8% in the Democratic primary and all the top six Democrats either ahead of or tied with Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Biden 33%
Sanders 25%
Warren 10%
Harris 10%
Buttigieg 8%
O’Rourke 3%
Castro 2%
Gillibrand 2%
Yang 1%
Gabbard 1%
Gravel 1%
Bennet 1%
Booker 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Moulton 1%
Hickenlooper 1%
Swalwell 0%
Williamson 0%
Ryan 0%
Inslee 0%
Messam 0%
Delaney 0%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Beto O’Rourke (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Kamala Harris (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%

This poll was done May 10-13 among 1006 registered voters and 429 likely primary voters. Meanwhile in Arizona, OH Predictive Insights released additional numbers for the US Senate race showing Mark Kelly a single percentage point behind Martha McSally.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (OHPI)
Martha McSally (R-inc) 45%
Mark Kelly (D) 44%

This poll was done May 1-2 among 600 likely voters.

May 12, 2019

Biden Crushing Democratic Field in SC

Joe Biden is dominating a new Democratic primary poll in South Carolina from the Post and Courier and Change Research.

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (Change Research)
Joe Biden 46%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Kamala Harris 10%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Cory Booker 4%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Stacey Abrams 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Michael Bennet 0%
Julián Castro 0%
John Delaney 0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%

This poll was done May 6-9 among 595 likely primary voters.

Buttigieg In 3rd Place in IN, Trump Leads Harris By 5% Nationally

While you are letting your mothers and mothers of your children sleep in, take a look at the new poll from the home state of Pete Buttigieg and We Ask America.

PRESIDENT – INDIANA – DEM PRIMARY (WAA)
Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 23%
Pete Buttigieg 20%
Kamela Harris 3%
Elizabeth Warren 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Cory Booker 1%
Amy Klobuchar <1%
Someone else <1%

This poll was done April 29-May 5 among likely primary voters. Late last week, Rasmussen Reports released a new heads up poll between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Kamala Harris (D) 42%

This poll was done April 28-May 9 among 5000 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 8:04 am
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May 9, 2019

Biden Doubles Up On Sanders in NH, Trump Crushing Hogan in MD

Monmouth University has put out a new poll for the Democratic primary race in New Hampshire that shows Joe Biden doubling up on Bernie Sanders in the one early state that Sanders probably has to win if he hopes to keep up with Biden in the primary contest. If Sanders can’t prevail in his neighboring state of New Hampshire he is likely toast.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Monmouth)
Joe Biden 36%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Pete Buttigieg 9%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Kamala Harris 6%
Cory Booker 2%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
John Hickenlooper 1%
Tim Ryan 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Steve Bullock <1%
John Delaney <1%
Tulsi Gabbard <1%
Kirsten Gillibrand <1%
Marianne Williamson <1%
Michael Bennet 0%
Julián Castro 0%
Bill de Blasio 0%
Mike Gravel 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%

This poll was done May 2-7 among 376 likely primary voters. Meanwhile on the Republican side, Gonzales Research released some results of poll that they did for my home state of Maryland and it shows I am firmly in agreement with 24% of my fellow Republicans in supporting Larry Hogan over Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – MARYLAND – GOP PRIMARY (Gonzales)
Donald Trump (inc) 68%
Larry Hogan 24%

Hogan’s job approval rating in Maryland still stands at a staggering 76% among all voters while Trump only is at 39% approving of his job. Yet more Republicans still believe following Donald Trump instead of Larry Hogan is the best course of action to winning in Maryland even after getting basically wiped out in the 2018 elections at every level below Hogan. Just absolutely mind boggling and suicidal and likely to never change. This poll was done April 29-May 4.

May 8, 2019

Edwards Leads Primary Race in LA, but Below 50%

We have a new poll in the gubernatorial race in Louisiana from JMC Analytics that shows incumbent Jon Bel Edwards leading the two Republicans in both the jungle primary and runoff.

GOVERNOR – LOUISIANA – PRIMARY (JMC)
Jon Bel Edwards (D-inc) 38%
Ralph Abraham (R) 23%
Eddie Rispone 7%

GOVERNOR – LOUISIANA – RUNOFF (JMC)
Jon Bel Edwards (D-inc) 40%
Ralph Abraham (R) 36%

Jon Bel Edwards (D-inc) 41%
Eddie Rispone (R) 28%

This poll was done April 25-29 among 650 likely voters. For a compilation of polls in this race, click here.

May 7, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 5% in AZ

A poll by OH Predictive Insights shows Joe Biden as the only Democrat who is currently leading Donald Trump in the state of Arizona.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (OHPI)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 42%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 40%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
Kamala Harris (D) 39%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 37%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Bernie Sanders (D) 37%

This poll was done May 1-2 among 600 likely voters.

May 2, 2019

O’Rourke Leads Trump By Double Digits Nationally

We have the new head-to-head numbers from that CNN poll and it shows the strongest Democratic candidate to take on Donald Trump is not Joe Biden, but Beto O’Rourke.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN)
Beto O’Rourke (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Bernie Sanders (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Kamala Harris (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%

This poll was done April 25-28 among 1007 registered voters.

April 30, 2019

Biden Surges Nationally and in NH

CNN came out with a new poll this morning that showed Joe Biden blowing away the Democraic field nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Joe Biden 39%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Pete Buttigieg 7%
Beto O’Rourke 6%
Kamala Harris 5%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Julian Castro 1%
Kirstin Gillibrand 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Bill de Blasio <1%
Tim Ryan <1%
Michael Bennet 0%
Steve Bullock 0%
John Delaney 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Seth Moulton 0%

This poll was done April 25-28 among 411 likely voters. Quinnipiac University has similiar numbers today as well showing Biden opening up a huge lead.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden 38%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Bernie Sanders 11%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Kamala Harris 8%
Beto O’Rourke 5%
Cory Booker 2%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 0%
John Delaney 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Kirstin Gillibrand 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Seth Moulton 0%

This poll was done April 26-29 among 419 Democratic primary voters. Meanwhile in New Hampshire, Suffolk University is showing Biden moving ahead of Sanders in one of Sanders’ better early states.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Suffolk)
Joe Biden 20%
Bernie Sanders 12%
Pete Buttigieg 12%
Elizabeth warren 8%
Kamala Harris 6%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Cory Booker 3%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
John Delaney 1%
Julian Castro 0%
Jay Inslee 0%
John Hickenlooper 0%
Kirstin Gillibrand 0%
Eric Swalwell 0%
Marianne Williamson 0%
Tim Ryan 0%
Wayne Messam 0%
Seth Moulton 0%
Michael Bennet 0%
Steve Bullock 0%
Mike Gravel 0%

This poll was done April 25-28 among 429 likely primary voters. We’ve seen many an early front runner fall in both parties, but I am sure every other Democratic candidate would trade spots with Joe Biden right now in the polls if they could.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS