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November 18, 2018

Michelle Obama Leads Trump by 7%

In a potential match up between Donald Trump and Michelle Obama in 2020, Obama leads Trump by a 7% margin according to a new poll by Rasmussen Reports.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Michelle Obama (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

This poll was done November 12-13 among 1000 likely voters. Of course, it should be noted that one day before the Election two weeks ago, Rasmussen Reports claim Republicans had a lead in the Generic Ballot US House test, only to see Republicans lose by more than 7%. As far as I can tell, the gang at Rasmussen Reports has yet to explain why they were so far off….

Posted by Dave at 9:16 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (24) | Display Comments On Separate Page

November 13, 2018

O’Rourke Jumps To 3rd in 2020 Democratic Primary Race for President

We have a new poll from Politico and Morning Consult that shows Joe Biden still leading Bernie Sanders in a 2020 primary race. Jumping to third place in this new poll is the losing candidate in the Texas Us Senate race, Beto O’Rourke.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Morning Consult/Politico)
Joe Biden 26%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Beto O’Rourke 8%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Kamala Harris 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Michael Bloomberg 2%
Andrew Cuomo 1%
Gavin Newsom 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Sherrod Brown 1%
Howard Schultz 1%
Eric Garcetti 1%
Eric Holder 0%
Deval Patrick 0%
John Delaney 0%
Michael Avenatti 0%

This poll was done November 7-9 among 733 registered primary voters.

November 8, 2018

Biden Leads 2020 Primary Field

Next!

We have a new poll for the Democratic primary race for President from Harris and Harvard and it shows Joe Biden starting the new election cycle with a lead over Bernie Sanders for the right to take on Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Harvard/Harris)
Joe Biden 25%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Hillary Clinton 12%
Elizabeth Warren 4%
Kamala Harris 4%
Michael Bloomberg 4%
Corry Booker 3%

This poll was done November 5-6 among 680 registered primary voters.

November 7, 2018

Post Election Day Thread

Election Night is over
Democrats win the US House
Republicans gain in the US Senate
Villanova beats Morgan State 100-77
Larry Hogan easily wins a second term in Maryland although it seems like the rest of the Republican Party in Maryland got wiped out

I’ve said it many times over the past couple years, but I hope this upcoming cycle to get much more engaged on this site than I have been over the past few years and get back to what it was in the past.

November 6, 2018

Election Night Thread

Villanova University’s NCAA Basketball Title defense starts tonight again Morgan State University at 7pm on Fox Sports 1….

Oh, and there are a bunch of elections tonight too….

Election Day Morning Thread

Provide your Election Day anecdotal evidence of voter turnout that everyone will project to mean whatever they want it to mean….

November 5, 2018

Election Eve Thread

Time to get those final predictions in. I’m going with:

Senate – GOP picks up ND and MO, loses NV and AZ. Everything else stays as is and GOP maintains control with 51 seats.
House – Democrats end the night with 221 seats and gain control 221-214.
Larry Hogan wins another term as Governor in Maryland

October 31, 2018

US Senate Outcome On Edge in Slew Of Polls

Indiana and Tennessee seem to be heading towards the current parties in power while Nevada and Arizona appear to be in danger of flipping to the Democrats while North Dakota nad Missouri are on teh verge of flipping to Republicans in a slug of polls released today by Fox News, CNN and NBC News/Marist.

US SENATE -ARIZONA (Fox News)
Martha McSally (R) 46%
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 46%

US SENATE – ARIZONA (CNN)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 51%
Martha McSally (R) 47%

US SENATE – INDIANA (Fox News)
Joe Donnelly (D-inc) 45%
Mike Braun (R) 38%
Lucy Brenton (L) 5%

US SENATE – INDIANA (NBC News/Marist)
Joe Donnelly (D-inc) 45%
Mike Braun (R) 42%
Lucy Brenton (L) 7%

US SENATE – MISSOURI (Fox News)
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 45%
Josh Hawley (R) 45%

US SENATE – NEVADA (CNN)
Jacky Rosen (D) 48%
Dean Heller (R-inc) 45%

US SENATE – NORTH DAKOTA (Fox News)
Kevin Cramer (R) 51%
Heidi Heitkamp (D-inc) 42%

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (Fox News>
Marsha Blackburn (R) 50%
Phil Bredesen (D) 41%

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (NBC News/Marist)
Marsha Blackburn (R) 51%
Phil Bredesen (D) 46%

Feel free to go to the respective links above for the news organizations releasing these polls to get the dates.

October 29, 2018

Braun leads By 3% in IN, Sinema Leads By 3% in AZ, Nelson/Scott Tied in FL

Yesterday, CBS News and YouGov released polls in Indiana, Florida and Arizona that show a seemingly conflicting numbers if you are looking for a singular swing in the direction of one party or another.

US SENATE – INDIANA (CBS News/YouGov)
Mike Braun (R) 46%
Joe Donnelly (D-inc) 32%
Lucy Benton (L) 3%

US SENATE – ARIZONA (CBS News/YouGov)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%
Martha McSally (R) 44%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (CBS News/YouGov)
Rick Scott (R) 46%
Bill nelson (D-inc) 46%

These polls were done October 23-26 among likely voters.

October 24, 2018

Nelson Leads By 4% in FL, Gillum Leads By 5% in FL, Menendez Leads By 5% in NJ

Gravis Marketing has come out with a new poll for the state of Florida (man we are getting a lot of polls in Florida) that shows what most other recent polls are showing, mid-single digit leads for both Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum.

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Gravis)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 49%
Rick Scott (R) 45%

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Gravis)
Andrew Gillum (D) 51%
Ron DeSantis (R) 46%

This poll was done October 22-23 among 773 likely voters. Meanwhile in New Jersey, Bob Menendez is hanging onto a 5% lead himself in his bid for another term according to a new Rutgers-Eagleton poll.

US SENATE – NEW JERSEY (Rutgers)
Bob Menendez (D-inc) 51%
Bon Hugin (R) 46%

This poll was done October 12-19 among 496 likely voters.

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