Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Sununu Leads Hassan in NH for 2022 US Senate Race

Sunday, February 28th, 2021

We have a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows Republicans could have a chance of picking up a much needed US Senate seat in 2022 if Chris Sununu is willing to run for the US Senate in New Hampshire and, more importantly, Republican primary voters are willing to give him the nomination despite his willingness to mildly criticize Trump about January 6th insurrection.

Chris Sununu (R) 48%
Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 46%

Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 48%
Kelly Ayotte (R) 43%

Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 52%
Don Bolduc (R) 39%

Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 53%
Corey Lewandowski (R) 34%

This poll was done February 18-22 among 1676 likely General Election voters.

Trump Dominates GOP Field for 2024, Trump Jr In 3rd place.

Sunday, February 21st, 2021

This is a few days old but I need something for a new post. We have a new national 2024 primary poll from Morning Consult and Politico that shows Republicans still can’t seem to move on from the man who cost them the Presidency and Congress and thereby wish to be in the minority for year to come.

Donald Trump 53%
Mike Pence 12%
Donald Trump Jr. 6%
Nikki Haley 6%
Mitt Romney 4%
Ted Cruz 4%
Marco Rubio 2%
Mike Pompeo 2%
Josh Hawley 1%
Tom Cotton 1%
Tim Scott 1%
Kristi Noem 1%
Larry Hogan 1%
Rick Scott 0%

This poll was done February 14-15 among 645 Republican primary voters.

Yang Leads Dem Primary Race in NYC By Double Digits

Thursday, February 11th, 2021

Someone pointed out on Twitter that we are now over three weeks since Joe Biden became President and yet look what name is still dominating the political news day after day. I don’t even need to say it.

With the 2020 election finally fading away, we can start looking ahead and yesterday we got a new poll from Fontas Advisors and Core Decision Analytics showing none other than Andrew Yang with a dominating lead in the Democratic primary race for mayor in New York City.

Andrew Yang 28%
Eric Adams 17%
Scott Stringer 13%
Shaun Donovan 8%
Maya Wiley 8%
Kathryn Garcia 2%
Ray McGuire 2%
Dianne Morales 2%

This poll was done January 20-25 among 842 likely Democratic primary voters. Other than Yang, I have no earthly idea who any of the other candidates listed even are.

Super Thread Sunday!

Sunday, February 7th, 2021

That should get around the trademark restrictions I think….

Another Open Thread!

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2021

Yup, this is about all I have energy for at the moment….

Open Thread!

Thursday, January 28th, 2021

Here you go!

Hawley Job Approval Underwater by Double Digits in MO

Saturday, January 23rd, 2021

Whether he wants to be known for it or not, Republican US Senator Josh Hawley has become one of the leading faces of Republicans who tried to overturn the 2020 Presidential election and it now appears to be hurting him in his own home state according to a new poll from Morning Consult. In Texas, Ted Cruz is also down but at least is still above water in his job approval in Texas.,

Approve 36%
Disapprove 49%

Approve 45%
Disapprove 44%

These polls were done January 18th among 743 registered voters in MO and 2201 registered voters in TX. The positive thing is both Senators are not up for re-election until 2024 although one or both may decide the run for President anyway.

Inauguration Day is Here

Wednesday, January 20th, 2021

Today is the day we finally exit the Trump Presidency and enter the Biden Presidency.

Trump’s Job Approval Drops Below 30%

Friday, January 15th, 2021

It has been over a decade since we saw a President’s job approval rating, no matter how unpopular they might be, sink to a level below 30%.
Donald Trump has managed to reach that level on his way out the door in a new poll from Pew Research.

Approve 29%
Disapprove 68%

This poll was done January 8th-12th. According to this page from ABC News and The Washington Post, they show President George W Bush getting down to 23% shortly before the 2008 election, but he rebounded a little before leaving office and has seen his retrospective job approval rise since he left office to get up to 47%. I don’t think we will see a similar uptick for Trump with the General Electorate at large.

The Impeachment Dam is Breaking Among Republicans

Tuesday, January 12th, 2021

The third-highest ranking Republican in the US House has said she will vote to impeach Donald Trump. From The Washington Post.

Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.), No. 3 Republican in the House, said Tuesday she will vote to impeach President Trump, saying there has “never been a greater betrayal” by a president to his office and his oath to the Constitution days after a pro-Trump mob attacked the Capitol.

From CNN, Mitch McConnell seems be signaling to his Republican colleagues on the US Senate side that Trump should be impeached as well.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has indicated that he believes that impeaching President Donald Trump will make it easier to get rid of the President and Trumpism from the Republican Party, according to a source with knowledge of the matter.

Not sure that is completely the case, but sticking with him in lockstep definitely doesn’t help in the broader electorate that you need to win at this point.