Archive for the ‘2010 Senate -CA’ Category

Thursday Morning Tidbits (w/ CA and KS Polls)

Thursday, July 8th, 2010

The big news in the polling/internet world is another national polling aggregator site, Pollster.com, has joined a left-wing website, HuffingtonPost.com. This is on the hells of FiveThirtyEight.com joining the liberal newspaper The New York Times. Both polling sites tended to be liberal anyway, so it is really no surprise to see them link up with other liberal news sites.

Some CNN producer who decided to praise a Hezbollah leader who died was fired. It makes you wonder, how many others at CNN have these same views but are smart enough to keep it to themselves?

Last night we got the second half of the Field Poll showing Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer barely ahead of Republican Carly Fiorina.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Field Poll)
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 47%
Carly Fiorina (R) 44%

This poll was done June 22-July 5 among 1005 likely voters. Yesterday evening, Rasmussen put out a poll showing that no matter who wins the Republican nomination for the US Senate in Kansas, the seat should easily remain in Republican hands

US SENATE – KANSAS (Rasmussen)

Jerry Moran (R) 60%
David Haley (D) 22%

Jerry Moran (R) 59%
Lisa Johnston (D) 23%

Jerry Moran (R) 60%
Charles Schollenberger (D) 23%

Jerry Moran (R) 60%
Robert Conroy (D) 23%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 54%
David Haley (D) 26%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 52%
Lisa Johnston (D) 32%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 54%
Charles Schollenberger (D) 29%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 53%
Robert Conroy (D) 29%

This poll was done June 30th among 500 likely voters.

Spain versus Dutch for the World Cup.

LeBron is telling us where he is going at 9pm tonight on ESPN.

Your turn….

Thursday Morning Tidbits (w/ CA, OH, NM and CT Polls)

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

So what is the over-under on the number of questions that our supposedly “mainstream” media will ask Barack Obama tonight about Joe Sestak’s claim Obama offered him a bribe to leave the US Senate race in Pennsylvania? If the number is 1, I’ll take the under…those reporters don’t want to lose their access or tickets to the next White House State Dinner or anything….

Let’s jump right into the polling from last night. We have yet another poll from California showing the woman of the Republican Party dominating their respective primary races. This time it comes from Magellan Strategies.

GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (Magellan)
Meg Whitman 54%
Steve Poizner 19%

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Magellan)
Carly Fiorina 44%
Tom Campbell 21%
Chuck DeVore 14%

Once is an anomaly, twice is a coincidence, three times is a trend. This poll was done May 24th among 649 likely voters. We had an internal campaign poll from Public Opinion Strategies for Steve Chabot in Ohio showing him ahead of the sitting Democratic Congressman Steve Dreihaus by double digits.

US HOUSE – OHIO – CD 1 (POS)
Steve Chabot (R) 53%
Steve Dreihaus (D-inc) 39%

This poll was done May 12-13 among 400 likely voters. There was a poll by a political blogger in New Mexico, Joe Monahan, that claims Susana Martinez has a double-digit lead in the Republican gubernatorial primary.

GOVERNOR – NEW MEXICO – GOP PRIMARY (Dialing Services LLC)
Susana Martinez 41%
Allen Weh 30%
Doug Turner 9%
Pete Domenici Jr. 8%
Janice Arnold-Jones 4%

This poll was done May 25th among 771 likely voters. And this poll is backed up by a poll from Survey USA that show similar results for the Republican primary as well as showing Martinez as the only Republican leading the presumed Democratic candidate Diane Denish.

GOVERNOR – NEW MEXICO – GOP PRIMARY (Survey USA)
Susana Martinez 43%
Allen Weh 33%
Doug Turner 8%
Pete Domenici Jr. 8%
Janice Arnold-Jones 3%

GOVERNOR – NEW MEXICO (Survey USA)
Susana Martinez (R) 49%
Diane Denish (D) 43%

Diane Denish (D) 49%
Janice Arnold-Jones (R) 35%

Diane Denish (D) 46%
Pete Domenici Jr (R) 40%

Diane Denish (D) 50%
Doug Turner (R) 36%

Diane Denish (D) 47%
Allen Weh (R) 42%

This poll was done May 23-25 among 1405 likely voters and 464 Republican primary voters. This morning, we have a new poll from Quinnipiac University for the state of Connecticut that completely contradicts last week’s poll from Scott Rasmussen.

US SENATE – CONNECTICUT (Quinnipiac)
Richard Blumenthal (D) 56%
Linda McMahon (R) 31%

The article also indicates Tom Foley and Ned Lamont leading the gubernatorial primaries for each party. This poll was done May 24-25 among 1159 registered voters.

PPP released numbers for the US Senate race in California yesterday, so I expect to see numbers for the gubernatorial race in California today. On the flipside, Scott Rasmussen had some gubernatorial numbers from California, so expect to see some US Senate numbers at some point from California today.

In case you are the last person on earth to know, here is a link to the Live Feed of the oil pipeline break from BP. My guess is BP has had more people visit their website in the past week than they had in the history of their website before last week….

One reason to never get that noise that might concern you in your car or truck fixed…it’s a cheap version of LoJack

Enjoy your Thursday…and for those in the neighborhood, don’t forget about the Howard County Republican Club meeting later tonight….

CA: Whitman Barely Leads Poizner, Campbell Up Double Digits

Monday, May 10th, 2010

We have new numbers from Survey USA for the primary races in California showing Meg Whitman losing her lead while Tom Campbell is, thankfully, moving into a double-digit lead over Carly Fiorina.

GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (Survey USA)
Meg Whitman 39%
Steve Poizner 37%
6 Other People 10%

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Survey USA)
Tom Campbell 35%
Carly Fiorina 24%
Chuck DeVore 15%
Tim Kalemkarian 3%

This poll was done May 6-9 among 548 likely voters. I continue my plea to California Republicans to do whatever they can to make sure Carly Fiorina is never the US Senate nominee.

CA: Boxer Struggling Against Top Republicans

Wednesday, April 14th, 2010

Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer is still struggling against the top Republicans in the latest poll from Scott Rasmussen for the state of California.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Rasmussen)
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 43%
Tom Campbell (R) 41%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 42%
Chuck DeVore (R) 39%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 42%
Carly Fiorina (R) 38%

This poll was done April 12th among 500 likely voters.

CA: Whitman Leads Brown By 3%

Monday, April 5th, 2010

We will start out this new work week with a new poll from The Los Angeles Times and USC done by a bipartisan pair of polling firms for the races in California showing Republican Meg Whitman ahead of Democrat Jerry Brown in the race to replace Arnold Schwarzenegger as Governor.

GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA (LA Times/USC)
Meg Whitman (R) 44%
Jerry Brown (D) 41%

GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (LA Times/USC)
Meg Whitman 60%
Steve Poizner 20%

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (LA Times/USC)
Tom Campbell 29%
Carly Fiorina 25%
Chuck DeVore 9%

No polling of direct US Senate match ups other than the poll claims Barbara Boxer leads a Generic Republican 48%-34%. This poll was done March 23-2-30 among 1515 registered voters.

CA: Whitman Leads Brown, Campbell Leads Boxer

Thursday, March 25th, 2010

We get another poll from California today showing Republicans with chances at winning both the gubernatorial and US Senate races. This time it comes from the Public Policy Institute of California.

GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA (PPIC)
Meg Whitman (R) 44%
Jerry Brown (D) 39%

Jerry Brown (D) 46%
Steve Poizner (R) 31%

GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (PPIC)
Meg Whitman 61%
Steve Poizner (D) 11%

In US Senate race, we see a chance for Republicans to pick off a US Senate seat.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (PPIC)
Tom Campbell (R) 44%
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 43%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 44%
Carly Fiorina (R) 43%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 46%
Chuck DeVore (R) 40%

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (PPIC)
Carly Fiorina 24%
Tom Campbell 23%
Chuck DeVore 8%

I am still fearful the Republicans in California will end up nominating Fiorina and give away what should be a good chance at a hard-to-get US Senate seat. I am still spinning my head from that awful speech she gave at the 2008 Republican National Convention…30 minutes of my life I wish I could get back. This poll was done March 9-16 among likely voters.

CA: Campbell Leads Boxer By 1%

Thursday, March 18th, 2010

Could the US Senate from California fall into GOP hands thanks to the massive unpopularity of Barack Obama? That is what a new Field Poll is suggesting this morning.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Field Poll)
Tom Campbell (R) 44%
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 43%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 45%
Carly Fiorina (R) 44%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 45%
Chuck DeVore (R) 41%

Even better news for Republicans is it appears they may not make the mistake of nominating Carly Fiorina.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (Field Poll)
Tom Campbell 28%
Carly Fiorina 22%
Chuck DeVore 9%

This poll was done March 9-15 among 748 likely voters.

CA: Campbell Within 2% Of Boxer

Tuesday, March 16th, 2010

The big poll news today is the latest poll for the California US Senate race from Scott Rasmussen that shows Republican Tom Campbell within 2% of Senator Barbara Boxer.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Rasmussen)
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 43%
Tom Campbell (R) 41%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 46%
Chuck DeVore (R) 40%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 46%
Carly Fiorina (R) 40%

This poll was done March 11th among 500 likely voters. Public Policy Polling has primary election numbers on the US Senate race in North Carolina.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Richard Burr (inc) 58%
Brad Jones 5%
Eddie Burks 4%
Larry Linney 1%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (PPP)
Elaine Marshall 20%
Cal Cunningham 16%
Ken Lewis 11%
Susan Harris 4%
Marcus Williams 2%
Ann Worthy 0%

This poll was done March 12-15 among 420 Democratic and 311 Republican likely primary voters. Speaking of US Senate primaries, Scott Rasmussen released numbers for the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania showing Arlen Specter ahead of Joe Sestak by double digits.

US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA – DEM PRIMARY (Rasmussen)
Arlen Specter (inc) 48%
Joe Sestak 37%

This poll was done March 15th among 481 likely voters.

CA: Boxer Barely Ahead In Senate Race

Monday, February 15th, 2010

If the news from Indiana wasn’t bad enough for the Democrats, Scott Rasmussen has a new poll showing Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer struggling in her race for re-election to the US Senate.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Rasmussen)
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 46%
Carly Fiorina (R) 42%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 47%
Chuck Devore (R) 42%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 45%
Tom Campbell (R) 41%

This poll was done Feburary 11th among 500 likely voters.

AZ: Hayworth Within 2% Of McCain

Friday, November 20th, 2009

New numbers from Scott Rasmussen for the state of California has Barbara Boxer stuck at 46%, but still with a double-digit lead over the top two Republicans.

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Rasmussen)
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 46%
Carly Fiorina (R) 37%

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 46%
Chuck Devore (R) 36%

I continue my plea to California Republicans, please pick anyone besides Carly Fiorina. I am still trying to wake up from the speech she gave at the 2008 convention. This poll was done November 17th among 500 likely voters. And speaking of the 2008 convention, Rasmussen shows that the man who headlined that convention may have trouble getting the nomination for his own US Senate seat in Arizona.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (Rasmussen)
John McCain (inc) 45%
JD Hayworth 43%
Chris Simcox 4%

This poll was done November 18th among 570 likely voters.