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Biden : 336
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DEM : 49
IND : 2
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    Biden Leads Trump By 1% in TX, Graham Only Ahead By 1% in SC

    The two big items out of the polls Morning Consult released this morning for the state of Texas, South Carolina, Alabama and Kentucky is Biden showing a single-percentage-point lead in Texas and Lindsey Graham only ahead by a single-percentage point in South Carolina.

    PRESIDENT – ALABAMA (MC)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 58%
    Joe Biden (D) 36%

    PRESIDENT – KENTUCKY (MC)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 59%
    Joe Biden (D) 35%

    PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA (MC)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%
    Joe Biden (D) 44%

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (MC)
    Joe Biden (D) 47%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    US SENATE – ALABAMA (MC)
    Tommy Tuberville (R) 59%
    Doug Jones (D-inc) 35%

    US SENATE – KENTUCKY (MC)
    Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 53%
    Amy McGrath (D) 36%

    US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (MC)
    Lindsey Graham (R-inc) 44%
    James Harrison (D) 43%

    US SENATE – TEXAS (MC)
    Jon Cornyn (R-inc) 44%
    MJ Hegar (D) 38%

    These polls were done July 24-August 2 among likely voters in each state.

    Posted by Dave at 10:20 am
    Filed under: General | Comments (185)

    185 Responses to “Biden Leads Trump By 1% in TX, Graham Only Ahead By 1% in SC”

    1. Phil says:

      Oh no. Graham in big trouble in SC.

      LOL

    2. Wes says:

      It’s August. Are we celebrating Maxwell Day this year?

    3. Phil says:

      Have to. Something that epic cannot be allowed to be forgotten.

    4. Cash Cow TM says:

      I have seen no comments about the primary election in four states today.

      Who should I be rooting for or against?
      Any deadenders running? Witches? Avowed Marxists?

      Also, the woman communist squad member in MI…how the hell did she get $3MM in her campaign war chest? Who is funder her?

    5. Robbie says:

      Another good report from Florida today. The announced 5,446 new cases. Last Tuesday, the state reported 9,230 new cases. The caveat, of course, is Florida closed many of its testing sites last Thursday for the hurricane so there could be some catchup later in the week or next week. However, all of the doctor visit data and reports of covid like illnesses have dropped to early June levels. That’s a very promising sign the drop we’ve seen is real.

    6. Robbie says:

      Cash Cow TM says:
      August 4, 2020 at 10:53 am
      I have seen no comments about the primary election in four states today.

      Who should I be rooting for or against?
      Any deadenders running? Witches? Avowed Marxists?

      – No to Kris Kobach in Kansas.

    7. marc says:

      Until Biden campaign puts money into Texas huge and expensive markets these public polls aren’t reflecting what Biden internal polls are saying, but it Trump constitutes to sink his own campaign Texas will flip.

      Trump being at 49% in South Carolina shows how his behavior and disasterous reaction towards Corvid-19 has impacted this election.

    8. jason says:

      marc might want to consider remedial spelling and then come back to troll when he can spell disastrous.

    9. PresidentPaul! says:

      New NV law will let democrats go into Nevada nursing homes and fill out the ballots for Alzheimer’s patients.

      https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/08/new-nv-law-allows-democrats-enter-nursing-homes-vote-dementia-patients-without-signature-video/

      This gives new meaning to getting out the NSH vote that Hillary and McCain so shrewdly used against Ron Paul and bernie in Iowa.

    10. jason says:

      According to the WAPO, the Communist Party in China is doing very well, thank you.

      “After seven decades in power, the ruling party has faced potentially existential challenges over the past year, from pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong and an economic slowdown to a devastating coronavirus and, most recently, once-in-a-generation floods that have wreaked destruction across central China.

      But far from diminishing its stature at home, as some in the Trump administration appear to believe, the party’s response to some of these crises has helped solidify the support of existing and aspiring members — or at least neutralized grumbling.”

    11. PresidentPaul! says:

      Lady can’t change her own diaper, gets her nutrition through a feeding tube, and can’t speak at all after her 4 strokes, but she’s voting Biden!

    12. Phil says:

      Regarding the assignment Jason gave me in the last thread….all I can say is – and Scooter is complaining that he has to park cars?

    13. jason says:

      “The caveat, of course, is Florida closed many of its testing sites last Thursday for the hurricane so there could be some catchup later in the week or next week.”

      What?? LOL

      Robbie Fraudster, after weeks of denying increased testing resulted in more cases, now is whining that closed testing sites might result in fewer cases (which in his small limited and dishonest mind, is good for Trump).

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

    14. Phil says:

      Communists are good at, uh, “neutralizing grumbling”.

    15. jason says:

      Phil says:
      August 4, 2020 at 10:37 am

      Geez. I’d much rather park cars.”

      I warned you that you should read the A-hole Manual carefully.

      Junior A-holes don’t get to pick assignments.

      A-holes are governed by a strict hierarchy.

    16. jason says:

      Hillary and McCain so shrewdly used against Ron Paul and bernie in Iowa.”

      Translation: the only reason Ron Paul did not win the nomination was voters.

      Eliminate them, and voilá!

    17. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      August 4, 2020 at 11:11 am

      Robbie Fraudster, after weeks of denying increased testing resulted in more cases, now is whining that closed testing sites might result in fewer cases (which in his small limited and dishonest mind, is good for Trump).

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

      – In June, Jason said the increase in cases was merely a result of more testing. He was wrong. Cases were going up because corona was spreading more rapidly than it had in May. We didn’t go from about 20,000 cases a day in mid-June to a high of 78,000 in mid July because of more testing. That happened because cases increased again.

      The percent positive is a good indicator of spread and it was increasing even as testing was increasing. A sure sign of expansion. Now, we’re seeing the percent positive decreasing again even as testing has continued to expand to much higher levels. That’s a great sign cases are receding.

      Jason, when he could no longer deny cases were increasing, also said the increasing number of cases would have no effect of people’s habits. Except they did. Mobility data decreased for a time, restaurant reservations declined, airline ticket sales declined, stores in certain areas closed again(Apple stores for example), movie theaters delayed their reopening plans, and so on and so forth.

      It’s a great sign Florida’s number of new cases is dropping. All of the hospital data and doctor visits confirm that. All I’m saying is there might be some catchup later this week in their numbers that doesn’t reflect the true direction of their case trajectory.

    18. jason says:

      Jason still thinks COVID-19 is a hoax and Trump is winning in a landslide. Don’t talk to me about incident spelling mistake when you don’t even live in the world of reality you clown. Go drink some bleach.

    19. Scooterboy says:

      From last thread.

      Phil says- “ Geez. I’d much rather park cars.”

      Not much fun being the Junior A-hole, is it?

      Now go get that photographic evidence like you’ve been instructed to do.

      Oh yeah……GFY !!!!!

    20. Gordon Allen says:

      I still think this arguing about Coronavirus is like arguing about the placement of deck chairs on the Titanic. Slower,or faster,the virus will spread until it burns out largely naturally. A reliable vaccine ( a big if) and better therapeutics ( ongoing) certainly are great but no government edict is going to STOP the virus. The WHO , which I rarely quote, itself said today ” there is no silver bullet”
      Nobody blamed Wilson, Eisenhower,or Johnson for the pandemics in their time,or their ” inadequate handling” of them. Only in our nauseous politicized
      world today can this become a political issue ( it appears the only issue the Democrat’s have).
      No President could have stopped This given the initial lack of information and knowledge,and everyone here knows that.

    21. Phil says:

      20

      Absolutely spot on.

    22. mnw says:

      Tina

      CNBC: “Oil Falls As Cornovirus Cases Overshadow Demand Recovery”

      But, uh, oil is UP almost 1.5%, headline notwithstanding.

      All good news is actually bad news, you see– when properly analyzed by lefty experts!

    23. jason says:

      jason says:
      August 4, 2020 at 11:34 am

      Jason still thinks COVID-19 is a hoax and Trump is winning in a landslide. Don’t talk to me about incident spelling mistake when you don’t even live in the world of reality you clown. Go drink some bleach.”

      So marc is the scumbag here stealing handles.

      And of course, if marc troll can ever find a post where I called Covid a hoax or said Trump would win in a landslide I will donate $1000 to his candidate Biden’s campaign.

    24. Stonewall DW says:

      “Trump being at 49% in South Carolina shows how his behavior and disasterous reaction towards Corvid-19 has impacted this election.”

      This statement is absolute garbage.

      1) Look at the South Carolina polls from 2016:
      Hillary 42% / Trump 46% – Gravis – 8/15/-17/2016
      Hillary 43% / Trump 45% – Feldman – 8/8/-21/2016

      2) The media always loves to portray SC as being in play. I remember well in 2004 election night coverage NBC announcing that SC was “Too close to call” (Bush went on to win it 58/41), and then the late Tim Russert looked over at Brokaw and said, “Well Tom if South Carolina is too close to call, it means it will be a long night for the president” to which Tom nodded assent.

      Then at 7:02 pm in the 2016 election night coverage, Chris Wallace of Fox News was ‘astonished’ that SC was too close to call. Wallace suggested there could be a changing map tonight, saying Democrats could flip some states in the deep south. Of course Trump went on to win SC 55/41.

      Trump supposedly polling right now at 49% in SC means he is well on his way to a likely 56/43 type win, maybe more.

    25. mnw says:

      I suspect the astonishing increase in first-time firearm purchases are an important clue, electionwise. No way to prove it. Could be millions of people are suddenly arming up because they’re afraid of… Trump, I guess.

    26. jason says:

      Jason, when he could no longer deny cases were increasing, also said the increasing number of cases would have no effect of people’s habits. ”

      Another pathological liar, should get a room with marc troll.

      I post the cases here every night, so where would I have “deny” cases were increasing?

      Even in the midst of the so called surge, economic activity in almost every state increased, not decreased.

      This despite the obvious attempt by the MSM aided by useful idiots like Robbie to scare people into going into hiding.

      And of course I never said it would have “no effect on people’s habits”, what I said is increasing cases were a natural result of reopenings, especially among younger people.

      I also disputed Robbie Fraudsters contention that people were traveling less, when you can just look at the TSA postings and see that people are traveling more by the day by air.

      And by car too, gas consumption is rising meaning people are driving more.

    27. jason says:

      ould be millions of people are suddenly arming up because they’re afraid of… Trump, I guess.”

      LOL

      Yeah, that could be it, although Trump has been President for 3 1/2 years.

      Or it could be that they think the idea of defunding the police is scary.

      I go with option B.

    28. jason says:

      Jason still thinks COVID-19 is a hoax and Trump is winning in a landslide. ”

      So marc, how about a little bet.

      You find a post where I called COVID-19 a hoax or that I said Trump will win in a landslide and I will retire from HHR.

      If you don’t, you go back to whatever left wing cesspool you came from and never come back.

      Deal?

    29. mnw says:

      I’m not kidding here. I think this would be an astonishingly effective Trump TV ad. The KEY to it is… NO voiceover & NO tagline at the end– just juxtapose the 2 videoclips, & let the viewer ponder it:

      1st clip is Beto O’Rourke addressing screaming crowd of admirers: “Hell, YES, I’m gonna take your guns!” (crowd goes crazy)

      2nd clip is Biden, commenting about O’Rourke’s endorsement of Biden: “I’m going to ask Beto to be my gun control advisor!”

      Nothing else. Just the 2 clips. Then freeze frame the 2 men at the end for a few seconds. Then fade to black.

      I suspect Trump’s people may be way ahead of me on this.

    30. marc says:

      Jason thought it was all a hoax

    31. Bitterlaw says:

      Wes says:
      August 4, 2020 at 10:42 am
      It’s August. Are we celebrating Maxwell Day this year?

      August 12th. A date that will live forever deep in the A-holes. It has the same meaning for us as Independence Day does for the country. (at least those who don’t hate America).

    32. Wes says:

      Mnw, under federal law, Trump has to claim to have approved the ad. That means he has to do a voiceover at some point in the ad.

    33. NYCmike says:

      Trump should approve it right at the beginning.

    34. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      What do you believe was in the Building that exploded in Beirut, Lebanon today? See Video. The explosion is massive.

      https://twitter.com/Yunki2110/status/1290695136868028418

    35. Tina says:

      It was just fireworks.

      -Jebot

    36. Tina says:

      Yikes! China Biden pronounced Yosemite as ‘yo-Semites’ at a virtual town hall event this morning.

    37. phoenixrisen says:

      36 — Wow! Either ammunition, explosive powder packed, or fireworks of industrial grade as you can see what looks to be fireworks exploding above the building

    38. Country Dick Montana says:

      Quite the shockwave from that. Wonder how extensive the damage is from that.

    39. dblaikie says:

      I would say this deserves a boom. Gallup claims a over 80% of Americans believe in media bias and a large majority believe it is intentional. Expect this poll to be buried, deep, deep and deeper still. Here is the link: https://thefederalist.com/2020/08/04/poll-more-than-8-in-10-americans-say-media-is-biased-to-blame-for-political-division/#.XymB0q5bjhg.twitter

    40. Annie Gegan says:

      #9- Saw this happen in California in 2016. My family votes routinely at a large senior assisted living home, or did until this year. In 2016, while standing in line to vote, there was a big hullabaloo by seniors living in the facility when each one wanted to sign the roster and get their ballot to vote. The poll worker announced to each one that “you requested an absentee ballot and have voted.” One WWII vet went ballistic, and shouted that he never sent for an absentee ballot. The poll worker told him he could fill out a complaint form, and if he needed help, they’d fill it out for him. He told them he was perfectly lucid, and demanded to know what was going on. They said he was not getting a ballot to vote that day. When my husband came there to vote later in the say, he witnessed a similar scene. The senior living facility obviously requested absentee ballots for all their residents, and filled them out for them, too. That’s California, land of ballot harvesting and absentee ballot fraud…coming to your state soon, if Democrats get their way.

    41. Tina says:

      Fallacy is wrong again.

      Gestetner
      @YossiGestetner
      · Aug 1
      On 7/31/20, Fauci said Europe closed 95% and the US closed only 50% which is why the US still has cases and Europe a decrease.

      Um, “Europe” did not operate in unison. Secondly, Sweden closed less than most US states. Their recent case count is flat. Spain/Belgium are spikinkg.

    42. Annie says:

      If Cornyn is up that high in polling, then it’s very doubtful that Biden will win in Texas over Trump.

    43. NYCmike says:

      “Fallacy is wrong again.”

      -No need to write “again”.

      Similar to how Fauci is unable to say “protest”.

    44. mnw says:

      Wes

      When I said “no voiceover,” I excluded the “authorized by” from that category. I took that for granted.

      The single most effective ad I ever saw in my rather lengthy life was Thune’s ad, “In His Own Words,” against Daschle, which consisted of nothing whatsoever except supercuts of Daschle talking! “Now, I’m a D.C. resident… I’m 100% pro-choice… I’m opposed to abortion… I’m a D.C. resident… We need common sense gun control!… There is no-one who supports the Second Amendment more than I do… I’m a D.C. resident…”

      I knew Thune would win after I saw that. The ONLY time you hear anything except Daschle is the “authorized by”

      That ad is still available for your viewing pleasure, I think, on Youtube.

    45. Robbie says:

      There continues to be plenty of positives in today’s new case reports. Most of the Southern states continue to show improvement, FL especially. Week over week, the nation as a whole is doing well. Barring any unexpected surprises out of TX, GA, or CA, we should once again come in under last week’s national total.

      As the outbreaks wane in the South, it does appear the upper Midwest is beginning to see some small increases. Most likely, corona is just finding the last group of susceptible people before it peters out for the initial wave that began in late February.

      If corona shifts to a more seasonal cold/flu pattern and doesn’t really re-emerge until November or so, we could be in position to kill it off when it does return thanks to the coming availability of vaccines and high quality treatments like monoclonal antibodies that are soon to be ready.

    46. NYCmike says:

      https://twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1290415123400515584

      -Robbie will attack the messenger instead of answering the question.

    47. Robbie says:

      Pitch

      If you view this thread, help me understand what it means if a vaccine is 90% effective.

      Is that derived from how many in the placebo group get corona as opposed to those who get the vaccine?

      For instance in a 30,000 person study, 15,000 get the vaccine and 15,000 get the placebo.

      If 100 in the placebo group get corona and just 10 in the vaccine group get it, is that how 90% is determined initially?

      Of course in the case of the measles vaccine that has been around for decades, the 97% effective rate simply means just 3 out 100 who get the vaccine eve become infected. But we’ve had decades to measure that.

    48. NYCmike says:

      If only Robbie had cared this much about the flu vaccine, we could have saved 30-50K people a year!

    49. Chicon says:

      51. 90% effective means 90 effective.

    50. Robbie says:

      NYCmike says:
      August 4, 2020 at 2:56 pm
      If only Robbie had cared this much about the flu vaccine, we could have saved 30-50K people a year!

      – I care about this because I care about seeing the country get back to normal. I know you’ve convinced yourself we don’t need a corona vaccine to get our February 2020 lives back, but you’re wrong. More than 50 million people have filed for unemployment since March. About 1.4 million make new unemployment claims every week right now.

      If you think normal means mandatory mask rules, no in-person school, restaurants banned from indoor dining, bars closed, hotels sitting empty, airlines on the brink of collapse, and all of the other crap we’re experiencing right now, then you’re on another planet.

    51. Robbie says:

      Chicon says:
      August 4, 2020 at 3:28 pm
      51. 90% effective means 90 effective.

      – I was asking how it’s computed in the trial process. Unless they expose everyone who gets the vaccine to the virus (a challenge trial), they will have to compute it from other data. I’m curious how they do it.

    52. Tina says:

      Looks like trump will do an e.o. On suspending payroll tax collection.

      There is a $1 trillion of unspent stimulus too.

    53. Country Dick Montana says:

      “If you think normal means mandatory mask rules, no in-person school, restaurants banned from indoor dining, bars closed, hotels sitting empty, airlines on the brink of collapse, and all of the other crap we’re experiencing right now, then you’re on another planet.”

      All of that courtesy of a full blown government take over of the the economy. If they would get out of the way, isolate/quarantine the sick and protect the vulnerable we could have normal.

    54. Linda Swanson says:

      My family votes routinely at a large senior assisted living home, or did until this year. In 2018, while standing in line to vote, there was a big hullabaloo by seniors living in the facility when each one wanted to sign the roster and get their ballot to vote. The poll worker announced to each one that “you requested an absentee ballot and have voted.” One WWII vet went ballistic, and shouted that he never sent for an absentee ballot. The poll worker told him he could fill out a complaint form, and if he needed help, they’d fill it out for him. He told them he was perfectly lucid, and demanded to know what was going on. They said he was not getting a ballot to vote that day. When my husband came there to vote later in the say, he witnessed a similar scene. The senior living facility obviously requested absentee ballots for all their residents, and filled them out for them, too. That’s California, land of ballot harvesting and absentee ballot fraud…coming to your state soon, if Democrats get their way.

    55. Country Dick Montana says:

      43 and 58 look kind of ‘spammy’. Is it real conservatives cutting and pasting from another site, or does SuzyQue have sisters?

    56. NYCmike says:

      “If you think normal means mandatory mask rules, no in-person school, restaurants banned from indoor dining, bars closed, hotels sitting empty, airlines on the brink of collapse, and all of the other crap we’re experiencing right now, then you’re on another planet.”

      -As a “devout Roman Catholic”, you really have an odd way of dealing with changes in daily routines.

      Try imagining yourself living in sub-Saharan Africa and not knowing where your next meal is coming from……..and then what we are having to deal with isn’t much of an arduous task……

    57. Stonewall DW says:

      58 – ballot harvesting is easy for them. Its not that they didn’t cheat years ago. I recall back in the 1980s a relative who worked at a NY polling place, and observed how the nursing home patients would be brought in by the workers to vote, and some of them were obviously long gone mentally–and had no idea where they were and what they were doing, and so the worker would help them into the booth, and of course help them vote.

    58. NYCmike says:

      All I know is that I was supposed to see Billy Joel in May, then it got moved to November, now postponed indefinitely…..if anyone should be acting like a priss like Robbie is it should be me!

    59. Tina says:

      Ny slimes says no debates.

    60. NYCmike says:

      Correction:

      “Ny slimes/Robbie says no debates.”

    61. Ugandan says:

      Nate Silver is starting to some major hedging.

    62. Ugandan says:

      Nate Silver is starting to do some major hedging.

    63. Wes says:

      Mikey listens to Billy Joel. Why am I not surprised?

      He can’t handle real music like Danzig and Black Label Society.

    64. PresidentPaul! says:

      Amazing market for those of us who are pet rock investors

      Silver up another over 7% in past 24 hours

      Sure, that’s normal.

    65. Chicon says:

      68 – how so, Sock?

    66. NYCmike says:

      “He can’t handle real music like Danzig and Black Label Society.”

      -Now that you have shared the names of these bands with me, I’ll gladly check them out.

      At first glance, I prefer Black Label to Danzig, but that is only looking at a couple of songs.

      Cheers.

    67. Tina says:

      Yikes! China Biden pronounced Yosemite as “yo-Semites” at a virtual town hall event held in his basement today.

    68. PresidentPaul! says:

      First day in school in Georgia. No masks or distancing. Gearing up to spread the coronavirus

      https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1290754572747767809?s=20

    69. Wes says:

      Sock, Chicon? You must have me confused with Vito. He’s the sock–as he’ll readily tell you.

    70. Pitchaboy says:

      In that example it would be a 90% reduction in risk

    71. Stonewall DW says:

      “Yikes! China Biden pronounced Yosemite as “yo-Semites” at a virtual town hall event held in his basement today.”

      That’s a racist dog-whistle for anti-semites out there.

      At least if Gov. Desantis had said that, this is what the left would say of him.

    72. PresidentPaul! says:

      I was right about silver’s ability to become much more of a bubble than the others considering how small of market it is.

      If the hoodies start buying it, it has much more bubble potential.

    73. lisab says:

      new joe biden slogans are out … wish i was kidding

      laying low with joe

      and

      hidin with biden

    74. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://twitter.com/TPMacroResearch/status/1290672923842355201?s=20

      Solar stocks gearing up for the next ponzi run up
      for the presidential cycle. Last time they ran was 07-08 when Obama took power.

    75. Chicon says:

      78 – I was responding to post 68, which on my screen is a post by Ugandan.

    76. Wes says:

      My mistake, Chicon. I looked at the screen fast, misread the number, and thought you were responding to my needling of Mikey.

      Mea culpa.

      Of course Vito is still the resident sock.

    77. Chicon says:

      No worries, Wes.

      I was wondering in my earlier post if Vito had perhaps morphed into Ugandan or Ugandan Attorney.

    78. NYCmike says:

      Needling? more like Gnat-ling.

      Silly me, I thought you were giving out band suggestions.

    79. jason says:

      The shock wave on that Beirut explosion was massive.

    80. Robbie says:

      California looks like it’s going to come in well under last Tuesday total. Maybe by 2,500 or so.

      Texas, on the other hand, is not playing ball. In fact, it might exceed last Tuesday’s case total.

      Phil, are we seeing some backlog clearing in your state?

    81. Robbie says:

      Pitchaboy says:
      August 4, 2020 at 5:19 pm
      In that example it would be a 90% reduction in risk

      – So basically they just compare the placebo results to the vaccine results for statistical differences?

    82. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      44. “Gestetner
      @YossiGestetner
      On 7/31/20, Fauci said Europe closed 95% and the US closed only 50% which is why the US still has cases and Europe a decrease.

      Um, “Europe” did not operate in unison. Secondly, Sweden closed less than most US states. Their recent case count is flat. Spain/Belgium are spiking.”

      Using Fauci’s logic, Sweden by remaining open should have a raging epidemic now.

      From Worldometer: 7 day moving average of deaths in Sweden as of August 3rd: 0 (zero)

      From Newsweek:
      “New COVID-19 cases in Sweden vs. Europe in past 14 days
      Source: World Health Organization (as of August 2)
      1. Sweden: Down 46 percent
      2. The Netherlands: Up 205 percent
      3. Belgium: Up 150 percent
      4. Spain: Up 113 percent
      5. France: Up 72 percent
      6. Germany: Up 59 percent
      7. Finland: Up 160 percent
      8. Denmark: Up 81 percent
      9. Norway: Up 61 percent
      10. U.K.: Up three percent”

      The simple dichotomy that Fauci uses to base the spread of the virus on the intensity of a nation’s lockdown appears to have issues; there likely are a lot of complex circumstances at play.

    83. Phil says:

      LOTS of backlog clearing in Texas.

    84. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Despite the push for a second lockdown by some, particularly the left, it appears most nations have adopted what amounts to a hybrid Swedish approach — enforce social distancing, require masks in public, avoid crowds, and protect vulnerable populations (which Sweden failed at).

      The Nordic countries did not push masks, despite the fact they are viewed as very beneficial elsewhere. Scandinavians tend to be standoffish from other people.

    85. Tina says:

      Ian Miller
      @ianmSC
      ·
      25m
      Hospitalizations fell slightly from yesterday

      8/4: 52,649 (-102)

      8/3: 52,751

      7/28: 56,617 (-7% week over week decline)

      Florida, Georgia & Texas fell, CA & AZ were essentially flat. Those 5 are 55.6% of the national total

    86. PresidentPaul! says:

      I think Pelosi wants to leave for recess without a stimulus package in place so that she can just have chaos and deflation going into the election.

    87. lisab says:

      The shock wave on that Beirut explosion was massive.
      —————————–

      actually that was robbie’s head exploding when he found out the hurricane caused the number of reported cases to go down

    88. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      August 4, 2020 at 7:26 pm
      LOTS of backlog clearing in Texas.

      – That’s what I figured. A new case total of 11,000 doesn’t match all of the hospitalization data coming from your state.

      All in all, we’re still going to be about 10,000 cases lower than last Tuesday. A great sign of improvement.

    89. Phil says:

      One thing you should be aware of regarding Harris County where we are seeing the most cases – about 1400 per day. Lena Hidalgo is a left wing loon who barely was elected in 2018 and became County Judge. She is running the show there. Completely. Has called every school superintendent of every school district and threatening each of them not to open schools to in person Instruction.

      I wouldn’t trust the Harris County numbers as far as I could throw a house.

    90. Robbie says:

      California is dropping like a rock. On July 22, the state reported more than 12,000 cases. Today, 13 days later, it looks like they’ll finish with about 5,300 new cases. The last time they reported a case load that small was late June. LA County looks much better than it did a week ago, but the rest of the state is really falling.

    91. PresidentPaul! says:

      Jack Dorsey’s earnings were leaked. SQ basically made more one one quarter (2q) than wallstreet had estimated for the entire year.

      https://twitter.com/Dogetoshi/status/1290795607116976129?s=20

    92. Tina says:

      But Dr. fallacy assured us all was good in Europe.

      They locked down their economies at 1000%.

      They heart masks.

      (Fallacy should look at what is happening in Asia among Japan, Philippines, Australia, etc.)

    93. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Regardless of what we do, the virus is going to demand its bucket of blood before it goes away. No matter what approach was followed, the virus got through. Its cousins are waiting in the wings to make their future appearance. Virology research need sufficent funding to get on top of this type of virus fast.

    94. NYCmike says:

      https://news.yahoo.com/governor-cuomo-begs-wealthy-yorkers-150935434.html

      -Let’s see how well Cuomo does now that the radicals have control of both chambers. He doesn’t have the Senate Republicans to rely on anymore.

      Hopefully, the Republican Party of NY can start to organize a coherent message to possibly take back the Senate and the Governors mansion…….time will tell if my family sticks around to see it happen.

    95. PresidentPaul! says:

      Bloomberg: SQ is a monster! Square Revenue Surges 64% on Cash App, Online Orders

      Cathie finds her second TESLA in her #2 holding SQ

    96. Tina says:

      Michael Ahrens
      @michaelahrens
      ·
      42m
      Rough day for Biden’s field operation:

      Axios: Trump is registering more new voters than Democrats in key states

      Politico: Trump’s campaign knocks on a million doors a week. Biden’s knocks on 0.

      Fox: Trump campaign makes voter-registration gains in 3 key battleground states

    97. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Decision Desk calls the GOP Senate primary race in Kansas for Roger Marshall.
      Good news for the Republicans!

    98. phoenixrisen says:

      Looks like Marshall will win in Kansas for the GOP Senate nomination

    99. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Looks like Roger Marshall has defeated Kris Kobach for the Kansas Republican Senate nomination. This should ensure the Republicans retain the seat in November.

    100. Robbie says:

      Great news from Kansas.

      Roger Marshall won the Senate primary.

      Hopefully, this is the end of Kris Kobach.

    101. mnw says:

      I love Kobach, but I’m glad Marshall won.

      Gingrich wrote an insightful analysis of that race which convinced me Marshall would be the better choice. From what Newt wrote, I don’t think Marshall is too GOPe, but only time will tell.

      St. Louis Circuit Attorney (elected prosecutor) Kim Gardner, the Soros creature, seems to be cruising, based on the absentees– 56/44. There were a LOT of absentees, too. The caucasian percentage of the City of St. Louis population is estimated at… 44%, according to the Census Bureau.

      Coinkydink?

    102. Robbie says:

      Another promising day of declines in new cases of coronavirus. We finished the day with a bit more than 54,000 cases. That was down 11,000 from last Tuesday. The seven day moving average has dropped 8,000 in the last seven days and about 10,000 since the peak seven day moving average 10 days ago.

    103. PresidentPaul! says:

      There are defense elections and then there are tea party elections.

      This is probably not the election for Kobach, but that’s not to say there won’t be an election for him.

    104. Robbie says:

      Several states are really seeing nice declines.

      California is down more than 50% from its peak 13 days ago and has dropped like a rock recently.

      Florida is down 65% from its July 12 peak and has seen a further drop of almost 50% from the plateau of just under 10,000 from last week.

      Georgia appears to have peaked and begun a decline, at least that’s what its seven day moving average suggests.

      Arizona is down about about 70% from its peak day of cases and its seven day moving average has decreased by 45% or so.

      South Carolina also looks to be on the decline. Its daily graph is almost a perfect bell curve.

    105. PresidentPaul! says:

      NYC Judge Orders Election Officials to Count Thousands of Mail-in Ballots Previously Declared Invalid For Not Having Postmarks

      https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/08/nyc-judge-orders-election-officials-count-thousands-mail-ballots-previously-declared-invalid-not-postmarks

      This means you can just send in lots of bogus ballots from all over and they will get counted.

      One of the cool things is most of them even came in after the election.

      So if it was a semi-close election, you could just fix the problem by sending them after the fact.

    106. Phil says:

      Congrats Senator Marshall. Kansas no longer in play.

      Suck on that, Schumer.

      Nice week.

      Kansas not in play
      Montana looking good
      Georgia seats looking good.

      Finish off fluke Jones in Alabama
      Firm up Jodie in Iowa
      Split Maine and NC…..and we’re home.

      Filibuster stays.
      No DC statehood
      No green new deal
      no citizenship and voting rights for illegals
      no $$ for mail in voting fraud in future elections

      The republic is saved…for at least a little longer.

    107. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      August 4, 2020 at 10:38 pm
      Congrats Senator Marshall. Kansas no longer in play.

      Suck on that, Schumer.

      Nice week.

      Kansas not in play
      Montana looking good
      Georgia seats looking good.

      Finish off fluke Jones in Alabama
      Firm up Jodie in Iowa
      Split Maine and NC…..and we’re home.

      – I was listening to a clip from Erick Erickson’s show today. He said he doesn’t believe Democrats will try to end the filibuster unless they get 55 or 56 Senate seats. Just passing along what he said.

      But I don’t want to bury the lead. Marshall’s win was a biggie.

    108. Trump says:

      Yo! Semites.

    109. Marc says:

      The Georgia seats are not in play because unless the Democrat can get to 50% on Election Day, they will lose the runoff elections in January. Ever since the put that runoff rule to screw Republicans out of a majority in the state legislature during the 90’s, no Democrat has won a statewide runoff , the two Georgia seats up could determine who controls the Senate though.

      Glad that Marshall won, this this ends Kobach electoral career. He need to find a nice position at a conservative think tank and craft immigration and voting policyb

    110. mnw says:

      Kim Gardner has won in STL, appx 60/40.

    111. marc says:

      Phil what do you mean Split Maine and North Carolina? You talking about winning one?

      Tillis is seriously underperforming Trump, which ever presidential candidate wins the state I think Senate race will go the same. Same for Montana.

    112. Wes says:

      Unlike Republicans in Delaware and Virginia, Kansas Republicans like winning Senate races rather than throwing winnable seats away on grifters’ vanity runs. They knew Kobach was a disaster waiting to happen after his train wreck of a run for Governor wherein despite having his opponent’s vote split two ways and carrying three of four CDs in the state, he still lost 43-48.

      They knew Marshall was the man to hold the seat and went with him. They’re not hellbent on giving Schumer another ersatz moderate to serve as his lackey in the Senate as West Virginia is.

      That’s the end of Kris Kobach’s political career and feels like the beginning of a swing toward the GOP in the upcoming Senate elections.

    113. Wes says:

      Personally, Phil, I want Republicans to hold both Maine and North Carolina rather than lose either.

    114. marc says:

      Ummm unless Martha can recover her numbers in Arizona and Corey effectively use Hicks lackluster campaign against him, Republicans are still set to lose seats. The liberal prognosticators like Cook and Sabato are predict 4 to 5 seats

    115. Wes says:

      Let’s not forget Democrats tried to mccaskill the KS Senate race by claiming Kobach was the only true conservative running on the GOP side. They knew Kobach would endanger the seat and likely help them recapture the Senate.

      Republicans in KS saw through the rise.

    116. Wes says:

      Let’s see…

      Dems are guaranteed to lose AL.

      To pick up 4-5 seats, they’d have to sweep AZ, CO, NC, ME, and one or both GA seats.

      Cook and Sabato must be smoking some black lotus.

      At this time in 2016, the election gurus were predicting dire losses for the GOP in the Senate too with IN, NC, PA, and WI supposedly about to flip.

      That didn’t quite happen.

    117. Phil says:

      Yes, win one of the two. Maine looks tough for Collins but she has a chance. She’s got a good base over a long period of time.

      Tillis? I don’t know what the hell is going on there. Wes says Tillis comes on in the end and wins by a comfortable five points.

      I never bet against Wes’ predictions in any NC race….and yes, I want to win both.

    118. Chicon says:

      Tillis is running a crap campaign so far. He needs to hire Wes to spice up his race.

      McSally is a deadender.

    119. Tina says:

      And more good news.. the replacement for the pro China Representative and loon.

      MLive
      @MLive
      · 43m
      Republicans call West Michigan congressional race for Peter Meijer https://bit.ly/3fnWudy

    120. marc says:

      This is why Trump behavior matters, if he was marginally competent with the COVID-19, Jodie Ernest would be running away with Iowa right now but now she’s in a struggle like Kim Reynolds was in 2018.

      I think voters in AZ just don’t like Martha McSally, why didn’t Jon Kyle just stay in the seat so we could run someone fresh.

    121. Phil says:

      Yeah, the mysterious five million dollar PAC that tried to trash Marshall. The funding for it isn’t required to be revealed before the end of the month. Politico has practically admitted it had ties to Schumer. Big surprise.

    122. Tina says:

      P-Mil
      @P_Mil_DMD
      ·
      1h
      UPDATE
      Arizona Primary Turnout as of 6:30 local time SO FAR
      Maricopa County (returned mail in vote+early vote+election day)
      This does not include ballots dropped off
      R-345,851
      D-318,700
      R+4.08%
      Maricopa 2016 was R+2.84%

    123. marc says:

      This upcoming Senate will likely be voting on Ginsberg and Breyer replacements if Biden is President and dozens and dozens of Clinton appointed district and circuit judges from the 90’s

    124. marc says:

      Thankfully Trump and McConnell have gotten to replace most of the Reagan and H.W Bush appointments.

    125. Tina says:

      Did the confederate cooler, cheeseburger, and tax lien target him too, Phil?

    126. Wes says:

      I’d like NC to have better polling, but saying Tillis is running a “crap campaign” isn’t a realistic assessment. Both Tillis and Cunningham are running base campaigns right now. I actually see more Tillis ads than Cunningham ads. Tillis is attacking Cunningham on tax increases and use of state funds for self-aggrandizement while Cunningham’s attacking Tillis on healthcare.

      Yes, Cunningham’s leading in polls, but realistically this isn’t the blowout the polls are indicating. Let’s not forget either Deborah Ross was leading at this time in 2016 on those same issues with the same criticisms of Richard Burr. Two years before that, Kay Hagan had, according to one pollster, an 89% chance of holding her seat.

      If I become seriously worried about this race–and I’ll tell you if I do–then you need to worry. If not, quit with the handwringing.

    127. Phil says:

      Not overtly in the primary, Tina. They are blatantly running attack ads against Tillis and Collins.

    128. Phil says:

      My motto regarding NC is always – I worry about NC when Wes worries.

      I don’t even look at PPP polling out of NC (supposedly their home state). It’s always skewed. They had Hagan winning, Obama beating Romney there, Clinton beating Trump.

    129. Wes says:

      Honestly I’m expecting NC to repeat its 2016 split: GOP for President and Senator and Dem for Governor.

      I’d absolutely love to see Cooper lose, but much as I like Dan Forest, I don’t see it happening. Cooper wins by anywhere from 51 to 53-46.

    130. jason says:

      Kobach the deadender lost?

      NYC must be in mourning.

    131. jason says:

      Filibuster stays.
      No DC statehood
      No green new deal
      no citizenship and voting rights for illegals
      no $$ for mail in voting fraud in future elections

      The republic is saved…for at least a little longer.”

      Best way to ensure this is not to hope for this or that in the Senate, it is for Trump to win.

    132. Wes says:

      NC has split ballots between President and Senate exactly once in its history–in 1968, before the GOP was more than a rump party based primarily in Western NC. Since then, Tarheels have always realized a Senator from the same party as their chosen would-be President is the best way to achieve what they’re voting for.

      Even uberpopular Governor Jim Hunt saw a wide lead over Jesse Helms evaporate in 1984 en route to a four-point loss to Helms.

      Cal Cunningham’s no Jim Hunt, and Trump will take NC by a somewhat reduced margin from 2016. Tillis is going back to Washington in January.

    133. Tina says:

      Phil, I don’t get that.

    134. Wes says:

      Jason, without the Republicans holding the Senate, a Trump victory means exactly nothing. Let’s at least try to work for both–even if you know I’m not exactly shy about saying Trump is in a seriously poor position to win nationally.

    135. jason says:

      I think Trump is more important than the Senate, because he would have veto power and of course Biden as President can do plenty of damage even without a Dem senate.

      But of course, we want both to happen.

      As far as Trump’s position, I give him the same chance of winning as the GOP keeping the senate, about 50-50.

    136. Chicon says:

      Wes, I trust your opinion on Tillis winning. But if he is running a good campaign, why is he running behind Trump (at least right now).

    137. Wes says:

      That assumes Trump would veto liberal legislation. Even some Trump supporters on here have said he’ll move left after the election.

      Then there’s 2022 when Senate Republicans won’t have a 3-1 class of Democrats up to save their majority. At worst, the Senate is just as important as Trump.

      That’s one reason Marshall’s victory tonight was critical.

    138. jason says:

      July 28 deaths 1330
      July 28 cases 65069

      August 4 deaths 1362
      August 4 cases 54504

      IHME

      Projected Actual
      August 1 970 1123 +153
      August 2 982 467 -515
      August 3 992 568 -424
      August 4 999 1362 +363

    139. jason says:

      Both are hugely important.

      But if I had to pick, I would take the Presidency.

      Biden would rule by decree like Obama and even if he wouldn’t get the most liberal SCOTUS picks and judges, he would still get liberals.

    140. Phil says:

      Senate seats supposedly in play according to Cook.

      Colorado
      Arizona
      NC
      Maine
      Montana
      Georgia 1
      Georgia 2
      Iowa
      Alabama

      Colorado and Arizona probably gone.

      Georgia 1 Purdue wins
      Georgia 2 looks like D candidates don’t even make the runoff

      NC and Maine best chances for D pickups. Hoping Republicans can win one of those.

      Montana I see no reason to lose with Trump winning by double digits at the top of the ticket

      Iowa with Trump winning the state I think Jodi hangs on.

      Alabama? Forget it. Jones is a dead man walking.

      I think odds are Republicans hang on 51-49.

    141. Phil says:

      At one time about six weeks ago Democrats were giddy about winning all of the above plus Kansas (if the primary broke right) minus Alabama which Schumer never really believed was in play.

      That would have been a nice 54-46 Senate majority used to transform just about everything from two more Permanent Democratic senators from DC, Green new deal, mail in voting $, voting rights for illegals……hell, Republicans would be lucky to ever win a national election.

      Got to keep the Senate at a minimum.

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    143. Wes says:

      Honestly, Chicon, NC Senate races are a cause celebre for liberal targeting. In 1996, Dems poured tons of money into this state to try to help Harvey Gantt beat Jesse Helms because Helms looked vulnerable.

      Except in 2010, Republicans have always looked weak in Senate polling here. Despite this, Dems have won exactly twice–in 1998 and 2008–while Republicans have won all other contests.

      That’s the nature of Senate politics here in NC. It’s the reason I’m not buying into these laughably large leads Cunningham currently enjoys. If Trump looked certain to lose here as McCain did in ’08, then I’d be sounding alarm bells. That’s not the case though, so I rest easily at night expecting Tillis to hang on.

    144. mnw says:

      Rep. Lacy Clay (D-MO; STL) had an unexpectedly close call tonight from a Squad-type challenger. REALLY close.

      The Squad candidates have been doing quite well of late. Any incumbent DEM in a minority-majority district has to be worried. Clay is AA of course, which means even elderly AAs are endangered now, as I read it.

    145. Wes says:

      Apropos of nothing while not even looking for anything regarding ME-Sen, I found this tidbit Steve Daines would be wise to use against Steve Bullock:

      https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.lawofficer.com/montana-man-accused-of-more-than-60-child-sex-abuse-crimes-gets-one-year-sentence/%3famp

      How would this hurt Bullock, you ask?

      Simple.

      He appointed the judge who gave this scumbag such a light sentence for child rape.

    146. Wes says:

      MT-Sen, I mean.

    147. wheelz91 says:

      Lacy Clay was more than a close call . He lost!!!!!

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    151. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Wes and Others”
      So who wins the TN GOP Primary tomorrow?

      As for last night’s results, Republicans did themselves a world of good in Kansas with the defeats of Kobach in the Senate and Watkins in KS CD-2.

      How about the other States?

    152. PresidentPaul! says:

      If i had to choose between the senate and trump, id take the senate.

      The world is bankrupt. If you can stop the spending, biden becomes jimmy carter.

      But dem prez and dem senate is worst case scenario.

    153. mnw says:

      The Squad is giddy today! Rep. Lacy Clay lost, & a Squad member-to-be now represents Ferguson, Mo, inter alia. Bernie is ecstatic– he said so.

      Clay was an old time civil rights guy from the ’60s. Biden said that he considered himself to be a “transitional figure,” & he’s right! He’s leading the transition from the old DEM party to the new Squad DEM party.

      Prosaecutor Gardner won re-nomination easily in STL, btw.

    154. Phil says:

      Yeah, Clay’s opponent isn’t an absolute loon. Defund the police etc. welcome to the New Democratic Party. At some point Democrats are going to scare the hell out of the suburbs.

    155. Wes says:

      I’m hoping Hagerty wins the primary, Sheep.

    156. Wes says:

      Isn’t the TN primary Thursday?

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    158. PresidentPaul! says:

      lumber up another 2.4% overnight
      oil 2.1%
      coffee up 1.4%
      natural gas up $2.25
      silver FOMOfutures booming overnight

      This is all normal

    159. Brandon says:

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    161. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #178- Wes
      Yes, tomorrow

    162. Tina says:

      Omg, watch the entire segment

      Trump War Room – Text TRUMP to 88022
      @TrumpWarRoom
      ·
      2h
      BIDEN: “No, I haven’t taken a test. Why the hell would I take a test? C’mon man. That’s like saying you, before you got in this program, if you take a test where you’re taking cocaine or not, what do you think huh? Are you a junkie?”

      https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1290971428813242368

    163. Stonewall DW says:

      Zogby

      NC

      Biden 44
      Trump 40
      Jorgensen 4
      Hawkins 2

      PA

      Biden 44
      Trump 43
      Jorgensen 4
      Hawkins 2

      OH

      Biden 43
      Trump 41
      Jorgensen 4
      Hawkins 1

      FL

      Biden 43
      Trump 43
      Jorgensen 3
      Hawkins 2

      July 21-23, 2020