2020 EV WATCH
Trump : 202
Biden : 336
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GOP : 49
DEM : 49
IND : 2
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    Biden Dominates Trump in HI

    We do not get polls from Hawaii too often so might as well take advantage of one we received today from Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now that shows Joe Biden should have no problem holding the birthplace of Barack Obama.

    PRESIDENT – HAWAII (Civil Beat/Hawaii News Now)
    Joe Biden (D) 56%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 29%

    This poll was done July 27-30 among 975 registered voters.

    Posted by Dave at 9:46 am
    Filed under: General | Comments (136)

    136 Responses to “Biden Dominates Trump in HI”

    1. Wobbles says:

      Biden at only 56% in HI?

      What was that suicide hotline number again?

    2. jason says:

      Brandon says:
      August 5, 2020 at 9:21 am

      Just got our power back on. Now I know how jason feels in Amish country.”

      Power?…sighhh… I bet Brandon has flushing toilets too…

    3. ssq says:

      Biden is ahead in Indonesia?

    4. Tina says:

      Reposting watch full clip.

      Trump War Room – Text TRUMP to 88022
      @TrumpWarRoom
      · 2h
      BIDEN: “No, I haven’t taken a test. Why the hell would I take a test? C’mon man. That’s like saying you, before you got in this program, if you take a test where you’re taking cocaine or not, what do you think huh? Are you a junkie?”

      https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1290971428813242368

    5. Phil says:

      Come on, Tina. That makes perfect sense.

    6. dblaikie says:

      Another data point. In the Arizona primary McSally/Mcarthy received 200000 more combined votes than Kelly. Again actual voting reveals GOP strength.

    7. Tina says:

      Phil, watch it to the end. Bizarre. There is more than that brief part.

    8. Tina says:

      More greenshoots

      Ism services highest level since February 2019

      ISM MANUF. highest in 14 months

      Both pre China virus.

    9. jason says:

      Biden stumbling when saying I will let the Americans decided on my mental huh fit huh ah fitness will make a great ad.

    10. jason says:

      Another data point. In the Arizona primary McSally/Mcarthy received 200000 more combined votes than Kelly. Again actual voting reveals GOP strength.”

      Have the mail in ballots been counted yet?

    11. Stonewall DW says:

      Zogby

      NC

      Biden 44
      Trump 40
      Jorgensen 4
      Hawkins 2

      PA

      Biden 44
      Trump 43
      Jorgensen 4
      Hawkins 2

      OH

      Biden 43
      Trump 41
      Jorgensen 4
      Hawkins 1

      FL

      Biden 43
      Trump 43
      Jorgensen 3
      Hawkins 2

      July 21-23, 2020

    12. jason says:

      I see Kobach did not only lose, he got crushed.

      Good riddance if it means the end to his political career.

    13. PresidentPaul! says:

      I think people became confused this morning. They are supposed to be buying gold.

      But they are buying Kohl’s instead. You don’t want to own Kohl’s.

    14. jason says:

      Jorgensen is not getting 4% anywhere, you read it here first. Certainly not in PA or OH or NC

      Gary Johnson, a much better known candidate got 2.3% in PA, 3% in OH, and 2.7% in NC.

    15. Stonewall DW says:

      Looking at the last ten polls of PA, including all pollsters, five out of the ten show PA within a 3 point race. The same cannot be said of MI or WI.

      This supports what I have been saying all along that while Trump should campaign in all three of these states, PA is the one that provides the easiest and best path to re-election.

      Assuming Trump can hold OH, IA, GA, AZ, FL and NC, that gets him to 260.

      Then getting PA pushes the total to 280, outside the range of faithless electors and other issues.

      Get PA, and it doesn’t matter if WI, MI, NH, and NV fall short.

    16. PresidentPaul! says:

      I’ve noticed anytime someone irritates biden, he usually says “come on man” followed up by some sort of insult or something dumb.

      All you have to do is irritate him a small amount, and you can get a sound bite.

    17. Stonewall DW says:

      “I will let the Americans decided on my mental huh fit huh ah fitness”

      It was worse than that…not only did he fumble his words, look at his facial expressions as he does so.

      It comes off like the boy with chocolate chip cookie crumbs all around his mouth denying he was in the cookie jar.

    18. Dylan says:

      Is there a single person in the world who still talks about or cares about anything in Bolton’s book or Mary Trump’s book?. . . . . .

    19. Waingro says:

      New Monmoth poll of Iowa among registered voters:

      Trump 48%
      Biden 45%

      Ernst 48%
      Greenfield 45%

      https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_ia_080520/

    20. Phil says:

      Senate looking better by the day.

    21. Stonewall DW says:

      MONMOUTH – IOWA

      July 8-11, 2016

      Hillary 42
      Trump 44

      July 30-Aug3, 2020

      Biden 46
      Trump 48

      Posting both 2020 and 2016 so you have the context.

    22. Phil says:

      Wow. The tail end of that Biden clip is brutal when he tries to get the word “fitness” out. Stutters around and the pained look on his face as he struggles.

    23. Stonewall DW says:

      25 – that’s what I was saying. Can you imagine the media feast if Reagan had done that in August 1984?

    24. PresidentPaul! says:

      I really don’t think this election has anything to do with dumb stuff biden says or whatever law and order slogan trump can do.

      It just comes down to getting a stimulus plan done for mainstreet voters (as opposed to just more QE) because the unemployment benefits are going off a cliff, the jobs market is not rebounding, and spending will tank.

      It’s just another deflation election alla 1929 and 2008.

      Hopefully the republicans learn from there mistakes.

      If we could get a stimulus deal with pelosi followed by unilaterally suspending payroll taxes after the deal is made, I think this is the best outcome.

    25. Phil says:

      Something the media cannot cover up when it is said live in front of 70 million people.

      Quite a box Biden is in. If he debates he is exposed. If he doesn’t it looks like he is hiding his cognitive decline.

      Screwed either way.

    26. Tina says:

      I think the Russians manipulated that Biden segment.

      Jebot

    27. Pitchaboy says:

      IA and OH will be comfortable holds. His internal polling is likely showing improvement as his body language is showing more confidence than last month.

    28. The Godfather says:

      Rasmussen

      Biden 48%
      Trump 45%
      Other 3%
      Undecided 3%

      Last week 48/42 Biden

    29. Stonewall DW says:

      If that CA-Berkeley poll was correct, showing Biden getting 67% in California, then Trump can win losing popular vote by 3 points.

    30. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      August 5, 2020 at 11:17 am
      Senate looking better by the day.

      – Very much so.

      The NRSC may need to drop a fixer into NC like they did for Roberts in 2014. Tillis’ seat is looking more and more important.

    31. Tina says:

      Psycho Sally Yates is being destroyed.

      I think the Republicans took their Grow a cet pills.

    32. parimachysu says:

      ??? ?? ?????? ? ???????? ?? ?????? ???????????? ??????? https://parimatch.su/https://parimatch.su/

    33. Robbie says:

      I think the results in Kansas were some of the most promising for the party in some time. Primary voters ignored the “send a message” candidate and they tossed out Watkins from his House seat.

      Had this primary been held in 2018, I think Kobach would have won. The populist fervor was still quite strong then. It doesn’t feel nearly as strong now and the usual suspects who lined up behind Kobach weren’t able to help him.

      If what happened last night in Kansas is a trend, I think it will pay dividends in 2022 primaries.

    34. Tina says:

      Psycho lied saying Flynn was trying to “neuter” Russian sanctions.

      Flynn never tried to neuter the sanctions at all.

      Somebody should cuff her.

    35. Tina says:

      Phil, we are clearly looking better in the senate and for President,

      The Biden basement strategy is not working. A majority think he is not well mentally.

    36. Robbie says:

      The day’s early, but plenty of positives from today’s new case reports. The majority of states that have reported so far have come in under their totals from last Wednesday. Arizona, Alabama, Maryland, Virginia, and several others all showed improvement. Florida apparently is delivering it’s report today by carrier pigeon. Still no update.

    37. jason says:

      “I really don’t think this election has anything to do with dumb stuff biden says or whatever law and order slogan trump can do.”

      Wow, even the Paulbot is seeing the light.

      Yep, despite the fact Trump is disliked by a lot of people and Biden is mentally impaired, the election will not be about that.’

      But it won’t be about stimulus checks either. I thought Paulbots believed in fiscal responsibility (yeah, I know, Ron Paul was one of the biggest porkers in US congress history).

      The election is going to be about the economic system, heritage and culture. About defunding the police and law and order.

      I can see glimmers of this in the most recent polls.

    38. Tina says:

      Goober is embarrassing himself again.

    39. jason says:

      The Biden basement strategy is not working. A majority think he is not well mentally”

      This number will keep growing, even without MSM coverage.

      You can imagine how many times they would play over and over the clip of Trump if he had trouble saying “fitness” in the context of talking about it.

      However, the Dem base is going to prefer the VP as President anyway, they are not worried about Biden.

      But Indies might worry about a radical VP pick, one can hope.

    40. Gordon Allen says:

      Rasmussen clearly fears biting the bullet with a Trump lead. None of the days polled had Trump approval at less than 48%.The mean appears to be around 49-50 this period.Yet he gets 45% in a matchup with Biden who was invisible last week.
      So now the gap between Trump’s approval rating and match up numby is reaching 4-5%??. Sorry,that’s not believable. At all. I understand not wanting to stick your head out as a commercial enterprise,but this might be symptomatic of something larger at work.

    41. Tina says:

      So far, this appears to be one of the best treatment options

      The Wall Street Journal
      @WSJ
      · 12h
      Hospitalized Covid-19 patients who received transfusions of blood plasma rich with antibodies from recovered patients reduced their mortality rate by about 50%, researchers running a large national study said https://on.wsj.com/2DxFHYc

    42. jason says:

      Another issue suburban voters might consider more important than Trump’s tweets.

      “Prepare to be shocked. Most Americans want to maintain local control over the communities they live in. Recently the Trump administration ended an Obama-Biden era regulation called Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing. This regulation withheld federal grants from communities that did not agree to push low-income housing into neighborhoods to promote diversity.

      When the Trump administration announced the move, woke Twitter considered it out of touch. They assumed suburban families would be eager to give up local control of their communities on everything from zoning to drawing school districts. Under the AFFH, all of this would be subject to the federal bureaucracy. HUD would also be able to control the placement of transportation and business districts.

      The Biden housing proposal goes even further to mandate compliance by withholding highway repair dollars from communities that refuse to obey. While many suburbs could forego grants, the road repair funds will be much more difficult to function without.

      According to a new Rasmussen poll, 83% of likely voters say the federal government should not play a role in deciding where people can live. Under the AFFH rule, Biden has vowed to distribute low-income housing in a way that will force people to relocate. Necessarily, people requiring reduced rent will need to go where the housing is located.

      The guise for the policy is to promote diversity. According to Stanely Kurtz, appearing on “Life, Liberty, and Levin,” this is a pure pretext. As my colleague Jeff reported after the show:

      Kurtz, senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, told Levin that former President Obama and the progressive wing of the Democratic Party view suburbs as fundamentally unjust communities that prevent taxation from flowing into the urban cities they surround. This echoes what many have observed about progressive taxation policies—that they seek to redistribute wealth from people who have fled America’s cities for a better quality of life.

      Unfortunately for Joe Biden and the radical left, 65% of Americans say diversifying neighborhoods is not their job. Even a majority of Democrats, at 56%, take this position.”

    43. Phil says:

      Forced diversification of the suburbs plus all the riots and looting aren’t exactly winners that play with suburbanites.

      Seems obvious to me.

      …..but what do I know.

    44. Tina says:

      Trump War Room – Text TRUMP to 88022
      @TrumpWarRoom
      ·
      6m
      Asked whether he’s taken a cognitive test, Joe Biden said, “I’ve been tested.”

      That was a lie. Now he admits he has not taken a test. Why not?

    45. Waingro says:

      #41, Tina, how so?

    46. Waingro says:

      Ted Cruz is absolutely destroying Sally Yates right now.

    47. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      According to a just-released Mommoth University Poll, Trump by 2 and Ernst by 1 take the lead in Iowa.

      https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_IA_080520/

    48. Waingro says:

      #50, actually scroll up. It’s 3 point leads for both Trump and Ernst. You must be looking at the high turnout model.

    49. gurumachine says:

      ??? ?? ?????? ? ???????? ?? ?????? ???????????? ??????? https://1win.guru/https://1win.guru/

    50. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #51
      I took the data from Real Clear Politics of Likely Voters. The 3 pt margins for Trump and Ernst are among Registered Voters.
      Dave should now move his Senate scorecard on the top left of the HHR to 50/48 GOP!

    51. Stonewall DW says:

      In Mid-June, the Winston Group had Trump’s Job Approval at 39/50. Their approval as of mid-July is 41/48.

    52. Waingro says:

      #53, that’s a mistake by RCP then. The other models are based on “likely turnout”, not likely voters. They are just skewing from the same set of RV respondents.

    53. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Here are just-released polls from Zogby Analytics for PA(B+1), FL(Tied at 43%), NC (B+4) and OH(B+2).
      I’ve read the NC write-up and some of the data is iffy. The others, not yet.

      https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/950-the-zogby-poll-trump-and-biden-neck-and-neck-in-florida-ohio-and-pennsylvania-biden-up-by-four-percent-in-north-carolina-trump-winning-big-with-swing-voters

    54. Tina says:

      Goober keeps defending psycho Yates.

      Goober is with the coup plotters.

      But will go to hannity and act all big and tough.

    55. Waingro says:

      #57, Tina, I’ve been watching. I respectfully disagree with your take. He’s grilling her pretty good right now.

    56. Waingro says:

      Cruz, of course, was much tougher though and left no meat on the bones of Yates.

    57. We vyd.jbod.davidwissing.com.zln.fh unhappy [URL=http://www.hangzhour.com/home.php?mod=space&uid=91630 – administration[/URL – <a href=”http://www.hangzhour.com/home.php?mod=space&uid=91630″>swimming,</a> http://www.hangzhour.com/home.php?mod=space&uid=91630 phase-contrast [URL=https://oldtimer.by/reviews/index1.php?WEB_FORM_ID=2&RESULT_ID=76381&formresult=addok – anathema,[/URL – <a href=”https://oldtimer.by/reviews/index1.php?WEB_FORM_ID=2&RESULT_ID=76381&formresult=addok”>fibrosing</a> https://oldtimer.by/reviews/index1.php?WEB_FORM_ID=2&RESULT_ID=76381&formresult=addok securely, plasticity.

    58. Waingro says:

      #60, Spam Alert, Dave.

    59. Waingro says:

      Joel Pollak
      @joelpollak
      ·
      2m
      .
      @LindseyGrahamSC
      nails
      @SallyQYates
      again — this time, getting her to admit that it’s important to get to the bottom of who lied to the FISA court, after she just cast doubt on Durham’s investigation (and motives) in talking to
      @CoryBooker
      #yatesHearing

    60. Tina says:

      Yeah, but he kept saying “she did nuffin wrong.”

    61. NYCmike says:

      “Cruz, of course, was much tougher though and left no meat on the bones of Yates.”

      -More “grandstanding”, or was he “showboating”?

    62. footazenit says:

      ??? ?? ?????? ? ???????? ?? ?????? ???????????? ??????? http://zenitbet.futbol/http://zenitbet.futbol/

    63. Tina says:

      China Biden announces Aunt Jemima as his running mate. Yikes

    64. Robbie says:

      Data Johnson and Johnson released about it’s vaccine trial in monkeys was quite promising.

      Twelve monkeys were given the vaccine and then exposed to coronavirus. Eleven showed no infection. The other shows only mild symptoms of a cold.

      Most importantly, the Johnson and Johnson vaccine can be given with just one dose.

      It’s a shame they aren’t as far along as Moderna, Pfizer, and AstraZeneca. A one-shot vaccine would be a game changer and make mass vaccination far easier.

      Still, JNJ expects to have data on Phase 3 by the end of the year. Hopefully, they are already beginning production in anticipation of approval.

    65. Tina says:

      We need more China Biden translation

      mp War Room – Text TRUMP to 88022
      @TrumpWarRoom
      · 37m
      “the way China will respond is when we gather the rest of the world that in fact [unintelligible] in in fr- in in in in open trade and making sure that we’re in a position that the world uh that that we deal with WHO the right way that in fact that’s when things begin to change”
      Show

      https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1291062194004688898

    66. JohnJ says:

      “Twelve monkeys were given the vaccine and then exposed to coronavirus. Eleven showed no infection. The other shows only mild symptoms of a cold.”

      Congressional black caucas?

    67. Tina says:

      Ivan Pentchoukov
      @IvanPentchoukov
      ·
      1h
      Yates confirms that VP Joe Biden was present at the White House meeting with Obama and Comey about
      @GenFlynn
      . The special counsel memo of her interview did not include this fact.

    68. Robbie says:

      Trump should consider initiating in a PR campaign that encourages the use of the vaccines that are likely to be approved by the end of the year. Not only would it be the proper thing to do, but it would probably help his re-election chances. A vaccine is essentially hope and optimism for a return to normal. That kind of message is never a bad one to make.

      Just as importantly, Trump’s seal of approval through PSA’s might be able to move the needle with the segment of his core support who are either vaccine-skeptical or anti-vaxxers. Even convincing a small portion of them to participate would be a great service to the country.

    69. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Its interesting how the polling numbers have changed in a relatively short period of time; they went from Trump badly trailing Biden to a close race.

      Over the coming weeks hopefully the COVID-19 cases and death rate will continue to fall. Trump needs to resist the Democrats and Fauci’s call for a second lockdown.

    70. marc says:

      I suspect in 2022 in effect in primary will be on the Democrats, nominating far left candidates like they have in solid blue districts.

    71. lisab says:

      PresidentPaul! says:
      August 5, 2020 at 10:40 am

      I think people became confused this morning. They are supposed to be buying gold.

      But they are buying Kohl’s instead. You don’t want to own Kohl’s.

      ———————————————-

      kohl’s has an agreement with amazon and has made a fortune as amazon has taken off

    72. marc says:

      The far left younger guard have waited for 20 years for leadership change in the Democrats especially in these safe districts, the dynamics in the House Democrat caucus is tenuous, the leadership and chairmen of committees are in their 70’s and 80’s. Those who have waited for them to retire are now in there 50’s and then you have the new brand far left socialist types like AOC, Omar and a bunch who just knocked off old Democrats this year in the primaries, ready to seize power.

    73. vkusfoota says:

      ??? ?? ?????? ? ???????? ?? ?????? ???????????? ??????? https://footballvkusnee.ru/https://footballvkusnee.ru/

    74. Stonewall DW says:

      Ok, here is the rest of the quote from Biden today as linked above:

      “If he [Trump] can’t figure out the difference between an elephant and a lion, I don’t know what the hell he is talking about. ‘Cause you watch that–look, come on, man, I-I-I-I know you are trying to goad me, but, I mean uh, I’m so forward to looking to have an opportunity to sit with the
      president or stand with the president in debates.
      They’ll give me plenty of time–and by the way as I joked with him, you know…it…I-I shouldn’t say it…I am gonna say something I don’t uh–I-I probably shouldn’t say. Anyway, I am uh, [looks down nervously] I am very willing to let the American public judge my physical and mental fillne–[Blinks hard]–my
      physical as well as my mental [still with eyes shut] fillne–FITness [opens eyes]”

      This is bad at so many levels. First when Andropov’s thoughts get lost, he uses a ‘safe’ technique of either pretending to interrupt himself, or claim he was going to say something that he shouldn’t say, when really he cannot remember what he was going to say.

      “I’m so forward to looking…” illustrates the many times his sentence structure gets scrambled on the trip from his brain to his mouth.

      And looking down nervously is a defense mechanism against the lost train of thought, so as to disguise the “lost” look on his face.

      And what a horrible moment for a full meltdown on the closer, “I am very willing to let the American public judge my physical and mental fillne–my
      physical as well as my mental fillne–FITness.”

      The media went nuts when Dan Quayle didn’t immediately object to the spelling ‘potatoe’ but they will give this a pass.

    75. PresidentPaul! says:

      FXHedge
      @Fxhedgers

      TRUMP TO ORDER IRS TO CANCEL ALL PAYROLL TAXES IF CONGRESS FAILS TO AGREE ON STIMULUS DEAL – FOX BUSINESS

      idk why he doesn’t do it even if they pass a stimulus also

    76. PresidentPaul! says:

      Pelosi is pumping a new bill to change the mandate of the federal reserve to put them in charge of fixing inequality rather than focusing on controlling inflation and unemployment.

      This is another reason why the senate is actually more important than the presidency at this point.

      In the past we’ve always been able to arrive at the Washington consensus no matter what. For example even though Obama in 2016, we were able to achieve fiscal austerity with the tea party movement within two years.

      BUT there is a good chance that the dems open the flood gates and just start buying elections since about half the country isn’t working anyways. If the Washington consensus is not reachieved in the 2022 midterms, we could move to the Argentine consensus (a country that is about to default yet again)

    77. lisab says:

      from the hawaii poll above biden is underperforming hillary in a bluer than blue state by 6 points

      trump is polling only 1% less than his actual result in 2016

      i think biden will underperform hillary by a lot

      not including mail in ballots where anyone from any country can vote of course, but among actual voters that pull a lever

      there is a huge enthusiam gap

    78. PresidentPaul! says:

      Nancy’s son may have made millions of Ukraine scams

      Nancy Pelosi’s son, Paul Pelosi Jr., is involved in oil importing from Ukraine and his company, Viscoil, is under investigation for securities fraud. And Nancy Pelosi appeared in a promotional video for the company! In 2015, Pelosi used the Air Force to fly her entire family to Ukraine at a cost of over $185,000. Nancy Pelosi’s legislative aide, Ivanna Voronovych, is from Ukraine and is connected to the Ukrainian Embassy, the Ukrainian military, the Ukrainian government and Ukrainian party life. Pelosi and Schiff are also both connected to a Ukrainian arms dealer.

      We also know that Ukraine was involved in helping the Clinton campaign fabricate evidence against Paul Manafort to smear the Trump campaign. We also know that the firm the DNC used to “inspect” the DNC email server, Crowdstrike, is funded by anti-Russian Ukrainian Oligarchs and run by a man who used to work for Mueller at the FBI! Many believe Crowdstrike backed up Hillary’s server and hid the DNC server in Ukraine!

    79. zenitushpa says:

      ??? ?? ?????? ? ???????? ?? ?????? ???????????? ??????? https://zenit-bets.ru/https://zenit-bets.ru/

    80. PresidentPaul! says:

      Pelosi and spouse laughing their way to the bank using insider trading call options
      Nancy Pelosi and husband get rich off insider trading

      unbelievable level of corruption on the left.

    81. Tina says:

      Hope Bobby Kennedy is wrong.

      Kevin Shipp
      @Kevin_Shipp
      ·
      3h
      Fauci owns half of COVID vaccine patent, invested $500 million of taxpayer dollars. Rampant corruption.

    82. PresidentPaul! says:

      JUST IN: White House warns there’s likely no deal with no agreement by Friday http://hill.cm/M5hIAiE

      https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1291097663069454336

      (Pelosi looking to take the country off a cliff to defeat Trump)

    83. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      85. Fauci does not own half the vaccine patent, the government owns half the patent because it loaned a private company the money to develop it, and gets a share of the profits. It is nice to see the government not just giving away money.

      Robert Kennedy, Jr., fervently opposes vaccines, and often appears unhinged about the issue.

    84. Robbie says:

      Tina says:
      August 5, 2020 at 3:37 pm
      Hope Bobby Kennedy is wrong.

      Kevin Shipp
      @Kevin_Shipp
      ·
      3h
      Fauci owns half of COVID vaccine patent, invested $500 million of taxpayer dollars. Rampant corruption.

      – I’m willing to bet this is not true. I’m no fan of Fauci, but this is only slightly less loony than the idea Bill Gates wants to use a vaccine to track us.

    85. Tina says:

      Dow closes at 27,201.52.

    86. Stonewall DW says:

      Morning consult has Trump up 55/38 in Indiana.

    87. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      I am critical of Fauci over his support of lockdowns and some of his other COVID-19 related actions, but that does not mean I do not respect his expertise and long tenure of government service.

    88. Stonewall DW says:

      “I am very willing to let the American public judge my physical and mental fillne–my
      physical as well as my mental fillne–FITness.”

    89. Tina says:

      That tweet about fallacy seeemed far fetched.

    90. Robbie says:

      Robert Costa
      @costareports

      Just asked @tedcruz if he’d support McConnell for another term as leader.

      Cruz: “In the 8 years I’ve been here, nobody has run against him” and he’s won by acclamation. “I have no indication it’ll be any different next time.”

      – You can already see Cruz positioning himself for the post-Trump era. He’s reverting back to his “send a message” style.

      Didn’t say ‘yes’ or ‘no.’

    91. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://twitter.com/breakingmkts/status/1291119537383976961?s=20

      Breaking Market News (@breakingmkts)
      U.S. HOUSE SPEAKER PELOSI SHE FEELS “OPTIMISTIC” AFTER TALKS WITH WHITE HOUSE

    92. PresidentPaul! says:

      Cruz will make a good presidential candidate in 2024.

      Not necessarily my favorite, but certainly much better than the vast majority of stablishment ones who will run.

    93. NYCmike says:

      “……but that does not mean I do not respect his expertise and long tenure of government service.”

      -SDC,

      I don’t know about this……the words “expertise” and “long tenure of government service” tend to, usually, NOT go hand in hand.

    94. Chester says:

      Rand Paul off his meds again: ““I am very upset with my colleagues. They went 8 years. They should apologize now to President Obama for complaining he was spending and borrowing too much. He was a piker compared to their borrowing and what they’re doing now.””

    95. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://twitter.com/freezerohedge/status/1291029349173301250?s=20

      Biden calls black report a coked up junkie.

    96. Stonewall DW says:

      The end of that exchange is the better part:

      “I am very willing to let the American public judge my physical and mental fillne–my physical as well as my mental fillne–FITness.”

    97. Tina says:

      Agreed the end is the best part, Dw.

    98. Stonewall DW says:

      I mean for goodness sake, the man CLOSED his EYES to concentrate on the words, and FILLNESS came out a second time before he could finally correct it to FITNESS.

    99. Stonewall DW says:

      BOOM

      AUG 2-5, 2020

      HarrisX
      2,850 RV

      Biden 43%
      Trump 40%

      National matchup

    100. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      A The Hill/ HarrisX Poll has Biden’s lead over the Donald down to 3% from 7% a couple of weeks ago.

      https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/510762-what-americas-thinking-august-5-2020

    101. Stonewall DW says:

      Prior HarrisX national was:

      Trump 38
      Biden 45

    102. Hugh says:

      It’s going to get ugly for joe.

    103. PresidentPaul! says:

      Maxine Waters and Elizabeth Pocahontas Warren (the new treasury secretary!) just sponsored bill to change mandate of Fed Reserve to Race inequality.
      Joe Biden just called for #Fed to pay more attention to race gaps
      You know along with defunding the police and defunding prison and the rest of it.

    104. Waingro says:

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      ·
      26m
      National GE:
      Biden 43% (+3)
      Trump 40%

      @Harris_X_
      /
      @thehill
      , RV, 8/2-5
      https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/510762-what-americas-thinking-august-5-2020

    105. Robbie says:

      Phil

      We’re going to have to have a talk about the number of cases coming out of Texas right now.

      I’m holding you personally responsible! (I’m kidding, of course)

    106. PresidentPaul! says:

      #111

      You sure you’re voting Trump? Secretary Warren is a pretty scary concept.

    107. Waingro says:

      Trump now at -6.4% to Biden on RCP. Race definitely tightening.

    108. Hugh says:

      If the election was tomorrow it would be close and Biden will have a chance. Unfortunately for Joe Dementia it’s not tomorrow. It’s going to be a major beat down. In another month everyone but the worst partisans on the left will know he is not all there. Which by the way the Bernie bro’s will be even more upset that the party pushed Bernie out for a drooling fool. Let’s not get into the massive family fraud of the Biden’s. I can guarantee it will be a huge topic how a cokehead got on boards and got a significant carried interest on a Chinese investment fund.

    109. PresidentPaul! says:

      #114

      Totally depends on whether the stimulus is passed. Consumer spending needs to stay up and we’re approaching the cliff.

    110. lisab says:

      That tweet about fallacy seeemed far fetched.
      ———————————————–

      actually i heard yesterday he is invested in one of the vaccines

      but not half owner or half a patent owner

    111. Phil says:

      Cases in most of the state are actually coming down. I know it doesn’t seem that way. However, if you really look at the places in Tx where it is most rampant it is in the counties on the border plus the southern Texas metropolitan San Antonio area. Almost half the state fatalities today were in Hidalgo (45) and Cameron (45) counties. Now, part of the high fatality rate today in those counties was backlog from the last ten days so today looks worse than it is. However, in South Texas it’s just going to have to burn itself out much like it did in NY.

    112. lisab says:

      snowflakes and tds people will naturally support biden

      but

      will more or less african americans support trump compared to 2016?

      will more or less hispanics support trump compared to 2016?

      will more or less women support trump compared to 2016?

      i think trump will do better with all three groups. i knew women who were willing to crawl over broken glass on fire to vote for hillary as the first woman president

      i am not sure many people would cross the street to vote for biden.

      i know that if warren is named as vp or as part of the cabinet i will vote for trump.

    113. lisab says:

      btw,

      someone in my apartment building left a note on everyone’s door today that says,

      “you must wear a mask immediately upon leaving your apartment by order of the police”

      but … i do not think that is by order of the police, i think a karen is just posting that on everyone’s door.

    114. PresidentPaul! says:

      so…..jk rowling was right?

    115. Bitterlaw says:

      I am seeing about 4 Biden ads for each Trump as. That means Biden is worried about the Philadelphia region OR Biden is going all out to run up the score here and beat the rest of the state.

      The most potentially damaging ad features a woman whose mom died in a nursing home from Covid. She blames Trump for inaction and failed leadership. Trump better hit back at Gov. Wolf sending patients back to make care facilities into killing fields.

    116. jason says:

      Robbie Fraudster still thinks the MSM is unbiased, but many others are waking up.

      “The poll noted an increase in the percentage of Americans who see too much bias in ostensibly objective reporting as a “major problem.” According to the poll, 73 percent of Americans share that belief, up from 65 percent in 2017.

      Meanwhile, a stunning 84 percent of Americans agree that “the media is to blame for political division in this country,” though the same percentage also believe the media “can serve as a healing force.”

      In perhaps the most stunning findings, almost 80 percent of Americans say news organizations they don’t trust are “trying to persuade people to adopt a certain viewpoint” while just 12 percent say media outlets are trying to report “accurately and fairly but are unable to do so.” Nearly three-quarters of those polled (74 percent) are worried that the owners of media companies are “influencing coverage.”

      More than half of Americans polled (54 percent) say they believe reporters are “misrepresenting the facts” and another 28 percent believe reporters are “making [facts] up entirely.” More than three-quarters (78 percent) of Americans believe “misinformation” that is shared on social media is “the leading problem with news today.”

    117. Robbie says:

      Bitterlaw says:
      August 5, 2020 at 7:19 pm
      I am seeing about 4 Biden ads for each Trump as. That means Biden is worried about the Philadelphia region OR Biden is going all out to run up the score here and beat the rest of the state.

      – Both campaigns have money to burn and I suspect the Biden campaign doesn’t want a repeat of 2016 when Black turnout wasn’t as high in the Philly area as the Hillary campaign hoped.

    118. jason says:

      “you must wear a mask immediately upon leaving your apartment by order of the police”

      Probably someone that supports defunding the police.

    119. Tina says:

      Is it Biden ion air or the confederate cooler, cheeseburger, and tax lien club?

      Maybe some other third party.

    120. jason says:

      Biden running a lot of ads in my area where he is going to be decimated.

      There are Trump signs everywhere, on houses, barns, fields, businesses.. just like in 2016.

      Philly wasn’t Hillary’s problem. She got the same margins Obama did, almost half a million votes.

      It was not even in the Phila burbs, she did well there too, in some places even better than Obama.

      But the margins in the smaller counties, and there are a lot of them, were horrific for her. Places like Erie Co. that went for Obama by 20k votes went to Trump.

      My county, York, went for Romney by 40k votes. For Trump, 60k votes.

      Those kind of margins ate into Hillary’s 500k lead out of Philly in a big hurry.

    121. Tina says:

      Peoples_Pundit
      @Peoples_Pundit
      Voter file by party for Maricopa County remains nearly R+5, or a D/R/I-O split of 30.89/35.24/35.65.

      Point being, the speculated trend is not supported by underlaying data, nor the result last night, which was not ideal for Democrats.

      Republicans have more muscle to flex.

    122. jason says:

      Biden is spending money in PA, not because he has cash to burn, but because it will be competitive.

    123. Phil says:

      Just so I’m clear, no universal mail out of ballots in Pa. Right?……..because if the Republican legislature was dumb enough to authorize it they have cut Trump’s throat as well as their own.

    124. Phil says:

      I might add that as of this last weekend, Nevada is now off the table.

    125. NYCmike says:

      https://sports.yahoo.com/juan-soto-returns-to-the-nationals-lineup-but-still-doesnt-believe-he-actually-had-coronavirus-184001088.html

      -I liked this kid last year, now I like him even more.

      Trust, but verify.

      Still waiting for ANY Marlins players/personnel to say they are really sick (of course, I hope I have to keep waiting for a long time!).

    126. NYCmike says:

      “I might add that as of this last weekend, Nevada is now off the table.”

      -Phil making this proclamation gives me great hope!

    127. Robbie says:

      It looks like we’ll finish today with about 54,000 new cases. That’s basically the same as yesterday. Interestingly enough, last Tuesday and Wednesday were essentially the same at 65,000 new cases. So these last two days saw a drop of 22,000 new cases compared to last week and we accomplished that with Texas actually seeing increases each of the last two days versus the same two days last week.

    128. NYCmike says:

      https://sports.yahoo.com/gregg-popovich-touts-nba-bubble-vs-us-leadership-as-league-reports-zero-covid-19-cases-214307792.html

      -Popovich is just making a clown out of himself now.

      Yeah, make the whole country, and every citizen, stay in a bubble…….GREAT PLAN, POP!

      Sounds like Robbie-level reasoning.

    129. NYCmike says:

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tubBx97lwHM

      -From a year or more ago – F U Jeff Daniels!

      I saw that play this year, but with Ed Harris instead of Daniels.

      Great play, just like the movie and the book!

      To compare that to today – F U Daniels!