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Biden : 352
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    In AK, Trump Only Leads Biden By 1% and Sullivan Only Leads Gross By 1%

    The state of Alaska could be the next trouble for Republicans this year if a new poll from Harstad Strategic Research is to be believed. Not only is Donald Trump’s lead single percentage point, the incumbent Republican US Senator is also only a single percentage point.

    PRESIDENT – ALASKA (Harstad)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
    Joe Biden (D) 46%

    US SENATE – ALASKA (Harstad)
    Dan Sullivan (R-inc) 46%
    Al Gross (D) 45%

    This poll was done September 20-23 among 602 likely voters. Meanwhile in Nebraska, Trump is now trailing Joe Biden in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District which would cost him a single electrical vote that he had won in 2016 according to a new poll from Siena College and The New York Times.

    PRESIDENT – NEBRASKA – CD2 (Siena/NYT)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

    This poll was done September 25-27 among 420 likely voters. Also from Siena and NYT is a poll for Pennsylvania that has Biden up 9% on Trump.

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Siena/NYT)
    Joe Biden (D) 49%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

    This poll was done September 25-27 among 711 likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 7:19 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (421)

    421 Responses to “In AK, Trump Only Leads Biden By 1% and Sullivan Only Leads Gross By 1%”

    1. JeffP says:

      First! It will never happen again. But what the heck.

      Ballot harvesting being exposed!

    2. Ben says:

      I live in NE-02. No way is Biden leading. No way. It’s R+4 here. Just not happening.

    3. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Mr. Wissing
      Are we now posting internal polls like the Alaska one you posted? It’s a poll for the Democrat/Independent Senate candidate. Shameful!

    4. Tina says:

      Garbage in and out.

      We need real poles.

    5. Pitchaboy says:

      You can’t even blame high turnout model for this. Unless dems are counting reindeer votes.

    6. NYCmike says:

      Looking at Alaska Presidential numbers, Trump and Romney got a little more than 160K, while McCain 2008 and Bush 2004 were up near 190K. Even Bush 2000 was closer to 170K.

    7. NYCmike says:

      When did Oregon start mail-in ballots?

    8. Erol Hosdil says:

      Oregon has been doing this for a few decades.

    9. marc says:

      So David gonna post internal polls and not call them internal polls?

      SMH Never Trump lovers are gonna still be never Trump lovers. Just like I tell Michael Steele no matter how many of your old friends you stabe in the back, the libs will never like you.

    10. Hugh says:

      Our revenge will be sweet. No one believes these polls.

    11. Hugh says:

      After trump wins who should he fire first? My top two are fauci and Wray. And it will be glorious!!

    12. Boog says:

      It is crazy. Everyone, even the dems, know that these polls are BS. How long do we all have to play along with this absurd kabuki?

    13. Robbie says:

      CNN
      @CNN
      The federal style of government in the US can act against the country’s best interest in a pandemic, says Dr. Anthony Fauci.

      “You have to respect some of the differences but there are some things that you really want to do in common.”

      – And now we have Pandemic Overlord Fauci offering political commentary. I guess he wishes we were more like China. Does this man actually work, or is he just a CNN commentator?

    14. Justin says:

      Three national polls out today showing Biden’s lead down to five. Even if accurate, that’s getting very close to the margin Trump needs to pull off an electoral college win.

    15. Phil says:

      The most dangerous place on the planet is if you happen to wander into the space between a television camera and Fauci.

      He’s as big a camera hog as was MCCain….and that’s saying something.

    16. Justin says:

      15 little man syndrome

    17. MichiganGuy says:

      “So David gonna post internal polls and not call them internal polls?

      SMH Never Trump lovers are gonna still be never Trump lovers. Just like I tell Michael Steele no matter how many of your old friends you stabe in the back, the libs will never like you.”
      .
      Be careful you guys. Bitter and Jason are Dave’s henchmen. They will not tolerate any dissent. Bitter and Jason to say go make your own blog in 3.2.1.

    18. Tina says:

      And Ohio is done

      David Chapman
      @davidchapman141
      ·
      3m
      Trump +4 among Likely Voters
      Quote Tweet

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      · 30m
      OHIO
      Trump 50% (+2)
      Biden 48%

      @SurveyMonkey/@axios, RV, 9/1-25
      https://public.tableau.com/profile/surveymonkey#!/vizhome/Bidenvs_TrumpDashboard9_21/Biden-TrumpDashboard

    19. Robbie says:

      It really seems like Pandemic Overlord Fauci has really stepped up his program of corona fear over the last few days.

      The question is why? Does he actually believe the fear porn he’s pushing even though it hasn’t come true in the last seven months?

      Or is Fauci worried his time in the spotlight is coming to an end with the likelihood a vaccine will be approved in the next 6 to 8 weeks?

      One other possibility is Fauci’s pissed Trump hired Dr. Atlas and no longer listens to him.

    20. Marv says:

      I was thinking about the RAS Daily Tracker and figure that it will take until at least Thursday until President Trump makes it back to 50%, maybe even Friday.

      The head to head number Wed will probably Biden leading by >2 points.

      Anyone else?

    21. Phil says:

      I think it’s both, Robbie.

      This guy is a piece of work.

    22. Marv says:

      Tina,

      Good news about Ohio, thanks.

      You here tomorrow night?

    23. Marv says:

      Phil,

      Do you plan to make the trip to Tuscaloosa?

    24. MrVito says:

      Denny Burk
      @DennyBurk
      ·
      52m
      Replying to
      @laralogan
      and
      @seanmdav
      It’s worse than this. The activists have been shaking down business owners almost all summer, creating a social justice rating system and threatening those who don’t comply.
      Quote Tweet

      Denny Burk
      @DennyBurk
      · Jul 31
      This article in the Louisville Courier-Journal is really disturbing.

      Protesters are demanding that Louisville business owners submit to their demands, which include undergoing “diversity training” and admitting their complicity in gentrification.

    25. Tina says:

      Marv, I don’t do debates.

      It’s bad on my blood pressure.

      I just cannot stomach thr R candidate having to battle both the Drat and the “neutral moderator.”

    26. Robbie says:

      Michael Biesecker
      @mbieseck
      EXCLUSIVE: @realDonalTrump #SCOTUS nominee Amy Barrett hasn’t said if she is a member of People of Praise. But records uncovered by @AP shows she and her family have been involved with the secretive religious community for decades.

      – The group’s so secretive that they have a Facebook page. Ant-Catholic bias is alive and well when the person in a conservative.

    27. Wes says:

      Actually, Phil, the worst place in Washington to be is between Schumer and a camera.

    28. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      September 28, 2020 at 10:06 pm
      I think it’s both, Robbie.

      This guy is a piece of work.

      – At the start of all of this, I listened to him. But by mid April, it was clear the man was all over the map and often doing all he could to contradict any positive message Trump offered.

      If Trump loses the election, one of the key moments will likely be his decision not either remove Fauci from the task force or not layering over Fauci early in the process.

    29. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      September 28, 2020 at 10:15 pm
      Actually, Phil, the worst place in Washington to be is between Schumer and a camera.

      – That’s usually the case, but Fauci is racking up three or four interviews a day. He’s practically a paid CNN commentator at this point.

    30. MrVito says:

      Just don’t get between Nadler and his Lucky Charms.

    31. Marv says:

      Tina,

      Yep, the Debates irritate me too. I’ll be watching tomorrow night to see if Biden can make it through the full 90 minutes and watch President Trump land a few punches.

    32. Tina says:

      Dumb and dumber are trending.

      (Jeff Daniels and Nicole Bush bot Wallace.

    33. Tina says:

      Don’t be concern that the fib knew about the voter fraud shenanigans by Mullah Omar. Only Republican candidates can be investigated per Justice Policy 2215

    34. Phil says:

      No Marv, going to stay home and watch on television.

    35. NYCmike says:

      I don’t think Fauci will be that much of a factor at the end of this campaign.

      That said, once it is over, get rid of him if that is allowed. If Biden wants him back, let him be responsible for hiring him.

    36. Tina says:

      You cannot fire a bureaucrat. It’s hard to do.

      He is not a political appointee subject to the whim of the officeholder or campaign.

      With that said, he will need to weigh his monetary option.

      Writing a trump bashing book may give him the cherry on his ice cream sundae.

    37. Marv says:

      Phil,

      I’ll be watching Abilene Christian @ Army and Navy @ Air Force. They are on back to back on the CBS Sports Network.
      There isn’t much social justice commentary on Service Academy games.

    38. Tina says:

      What a struggle for her to answer.

      Steve Guest
      @SteveGuest
      · 3m
      Tonight, Kamala Harris refused to answer MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell’s question about packing the court.

      Here’s what Harris said last year via: “I’m open to this conversation about increasing the number of people on the United States Supreme Court”
      https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/443841-harris-open-to-adding-seats-to-supreme-court…

    39. DW says:

      New poll of Illinois has Trump down only 40 to 53. Real excitement out there for Biden in a dark blue state

    40. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      How can anyone doubt the accuracy of a Siena/NYT poll? They were so accurate in 2016… ah, never mind.

      “POSTED BY: SIENA COLLEGE RESEARCH INSTITUTE NOVEMBER 6, 2016 Clinton Carries 17-Point Lead Over Trump Into Final Days; Now Leads 51-34 Percent, Tightening a Little from 54-30 Percent Three Weeks Ago”

    41. MrVito says:

      Tulsi Gabbard Hibiscus
      @TulsiGabbard
      ·
      16m
      Project Veritas offers further evidence of the need to ban ballot harvesting. It’s not a partisan issue. It’s been abused to help both R & D candidates, including in North Carolina & California. Please help by telling your congressional rep to pass our bipartisan bill HR8285.
      Quote Tweet

      Tulsi Gabbard Hibiscus
      @TulsiGabbard
      · Sep 18
      Banning ballot harvesting is not a partisan issue. It’s been used & abused in states like North Carolina and California & is ripe for fraud.

      That’s why I intro’d HR8285, the Election Fraud Prevention Act w/ @RodneyDavis – to protect the integrity of our elections & our democracy

    42. Bitterlaw says:

      I was watching the Kennedy-Nixon debates. I think the first question tomorrow should be about Quemoy and Matsu.

    43. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      45. Biden will respond that they were both his closes friends.

    44. Tina says:

      James O’Keefe
      @JamesOKeefeIII
      · 20m
      BREAKING: Omar Connected Harvester SEEN Exchanging $200 for General Election Ballot.”We don’t care illegal.”…”We are taking the money and we’ll vote for you” “@IlhanMN is the one who came up with all this”

      #CashForBallots

      https://twitter.com/JamesOKeefeIII/status/1310768777345347584

    45. Big E says:

      If he is only down 13 in Illinois then WI, PA, MN and MI will all be at least a 3 point Trump victory

    46. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      45. And that neither of them gave Hunter Biden any money.

    47. Tina says:

      Hunters mistress?

      Jason Miller
      @JasonMillerinDC
      Very intriguing guest list for Tuesday night in Cleveland!
      7:38 PM · Sep 28, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
      71

    48. MrVito says:

      Nathan McDermott
      @natemcdermott
      ·
      23m
      I just got my New York mail-in ballot today and the security envelope I’m supposed to put it in and sign has some other guy’s name and address on it.

      Gothamist is already reporting other cases, so this is looking to be a widespread problem.

    49. Bitterlaw says:

      A blog by Michigan Guy would so interesting. Reweighting the polls to R+87 to get Trump a 538-0 EC win would great.

    50. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      @Jim_Jordan
      The media promised that President Trump’s tax returns would reveal deep ties to Russia.

      Didn’t happen!

      Know whose finances would reveal deep ties to Russia? Hunter Biden.

    51. MichiganGuy says:

      More lies from Bitter. What a hypocrite. He gets mad when people make stuff up about him but, it’s fine for him to do it to others. In 2016, it was a D+3. Now Bitter wants us to believe the polls that say D+8 or more. LOL I have no problem with polls showing D+3 or 4 anything more than that is just showing the pollsters bias. I believe most in here would agree with me.

    52. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1310776268561043456?s=20

      Project vertitus video: man full with car full of ballots. You pay the men to fill out the ballots

    53. Bitterlaw says:

      Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. I never said I believed the polls Dave posts. I just accept that Dave can post what he wants. I still think it is hilarious that in the 16 years I have beer here, I have never seen a post challenging a poll for being too optimistic towards a Republican.

    54. Waingro says:

      Boom.

      Susquehanna Wisconsin Poll
      Biden 48% (+2)
      Trump 46%

    55. Dump Trump says:

      “And Ohio is done”

      Is Tina really serious about Ohio being “done” because Mr. Trump has a 2 point lead in a Survey Monkey poll? Online poll done from September 1 – 25? Does that mean Missouri is in play?

      If Ohio is even being discussed as done or not done, that’s not great for Mr. Trump. He won Ohio by 8 points in 2016. If he’s really winning, then Ohio would not even be a topic.

      I think that Mr. Trump will win Ohio but by 3 to 5.

    56. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      A problem with current polling methodology is how it is weighted, so that it reflects the demographics of the general population or those likely to vote: the Siena poll as an example: “The data was weighted by party, age, race/ethnicity, education, region, gender.” This may result in an excellent poll of a balanced demographic group of voters. The problem is it might not represent the actual voters who turn out and vote.

      Certain demographic groups historically have a low turnout, such as young voters. Likewise, as an example, in California Latino voters have a low turnout. It was one reason that Newsom beat Villaraigosa, and why San Francisco politicians dominate the state Democratic Party.

      Making it even more nebulous is that each polling company has its own formula for how it conducts demographic weighting. Each claims their formula is special for marketing purposes. It really comes down to making an educated guess.

    57. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      A new Susquehanna Research Poll shows Trump down 3 in Florida. I cannot open the crosstabs page , but this poll is incongruous because Trump leads with FL Hispanics ,Statewide, by 2 yet he is down 3 overall.

      https://amgreatness.com/2020/09/28/new-poll-biden-leads-trump-in-tight-florida-race-trump-ahead-with-hispanics/

    58. jaichind says:

      62. Assuming similar 2016 turnout and same vote share for Blacks Asians and Others for this poll topline numbers to come out this way the Trump lead over Biden among Whites would have to be around 51-37. In 2016 Trump won Whites 64-32 in FL. White it might be reasonable to expect Trump did lose some ground among Whites in FL I find it hard to believe it will be this much. And we also have the fact that Trump most likely gained ground with Blacks since 2016 which would implied a even greater loss for Whites in this poll.

    59. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #63- jai
      Agreed. Susquehanna is a great pollster in the Rust Belt States. Florida may be “out of his lane”. Did Sus poll FL in 2016?
      Here is the key paragragh on Hispanics voting in FL:

      “Trump outperforms Biden with Hispanics with 43 percent viewing him favorably compared to 40 percent for Biden. And Trump is winning more Hispanic support than Biden, topping him 45-43 percent. This is consistent with a Nevada poll released over the weekend by the Center for American Greatness and with Florida polling conducted by NBC News.”

    60. Gordon Allen says:

      In other words Susquehanna has Trump doing better in Wisconsin than in Florida.Uh

    61. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Here is a new Washington Post/ ABC Poll of Pennsylvania which provides the identical result of the NYT/Siena PA Poll; Biden +9. The PID is D+5. Biden is +23 with females in PA. Realistic?

      https://www.langerresearch.com//wp-content//uploads//1216a32020StateBattlegrounds-PA.pdf

    62. jaichind says:

      The patter is clear now. Polls that have Trump way behind in battleground states tend to have massive losses for Trump from 2016 among White suburban women, especially college educated. Either this is real and 2020 election night will be a short affair or this is a combined effect of failing to weight for education/region plus the hidden Trump vote effect. I tend to believe the latter but there is a realistic chance it is former.

      Most of these polls that have Trump way behind in battleground states also have Trump doing worse in LV than RV which goes against all metrics of enthusiasm (yard signs, rallies, registrations). This gives me even more reason to believe the latter argument.

    63. DW says:

      That’s a lot of undecided in that Florida poll.

    64. DW says:

      The only way to ban ballot harvesting is to ban sending out ballots to every registered voter

    65. Gordon Allen says:

      Help me out on the math. If Trump leads by 14 among whites,and 2 among Hispanics,which collectively account for 84%( the census estimate for blacks is 16%) what percentage of the Black vote would Trump be getting to yield a 3% Biden lead? Keep in mind Desantis got 17% of the Black vote in 2018 according to exit polls.
      Barris and Trafalgar claim the MSM poll women largely in the metropolitan areas,and basically ignore rural area. I think this glaringly shows up in polls like that for PA( absurd on their face because that would translate into a 10%+ national Biden lead. They’re not even trying to be accurate.

    66. Stonewall DW says:

      White suburban women simply won’t move that much. Many of them were all in for the first woman president in 2016. Granted, they have moved against Trump some, but no way in the catastrophic numbers suggested in some polls or we would see it more uniformly in all polls. The uneven choppiness of polls we are seeing is more likely the testimony of the shy Trump vote, which will vary based on location (Rural vs suburban vs urban).

    67. jaichind says:

      70. In 2016 Trump lost Blacks which made up 14% of the electorate 84-8. I assume the same in my reverse engineering of the Susquehanna FL poll and if you do the same you do get a Biden lead of the Trump lead with Whites are down to 51-37. But yes, that is how the Dems win since the 1980s despite the GOP winning the White vote almost all the time and with good margin, the Black and to some extent Hispanic vote.

    68. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #70-GA
      Here is the 2016 FL exit poll information on race. According to this information, Trump carried the Caucasian vote by 32% in 2016, but lost the Latino vote by 27%.

      White
      62%- % of total vote
      32% 64% 4%
      black
      14%
      84% 8% 8%
      latino
      18%
      62% 35% 3%
      asian
      2%
      n/a n/a n/a
      other race
      4%
      58% 36% 6%

    69. Todd McCain says:

      Well that explains it…Trump won whites by 32 points in Florida in 2016.

    70. jaichind says:

      71. There is a reverse argument that Trump did better than expected with White women BECAUSE Hillary CLinton is a White women. I am sure the concept of a first women President might have motivated young White women to turnout for Clinton but perhaps at a primordial level many of these White women are looking for an Alpha Male that can protest them as a leader. This time around with Biden being NOT a women they might swing back, especially for social acceptance.

      Still, I agree the swing should not be as large as what the polls suggest but one cannot be 100% sure. One way or another I think what Trump has to do is to project strength as his brand. COVID-19 damaged this but now the SC nomination fight helps him as it projects him as someone making deceive decisions despite controversies.

    71. Tina says:

      They are prepping their masses.

      (((Harry Enten)))
      @ForecasterEnten
      · 3h
      This is a simple chart plotting the distribution of Clinton’s margin in the September national polls in 2016 (blue) and Biden’s in 2020 (red). What should stand out here is a. Biden’s lead is clearly bigger (7 vs. 2ish). b. But also those averages comes with a margin of error.

    72. Todd McCain says:

      Trump didnt really begin to make his move until late October. Remember that Access Hollywood tape him on Oct 7, I believe.

    73. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #74- Todd
      Two other recent FL Polls(ABC and YouGov) show Trump +23 and +22 with the Caucasian vote. They also show Trump down about 15 with Hispanics.

    74. Todd McCain says:

      The WAPO polls are nuts; how can Trump be simultaneously up 4 and 1 in FLA and AZ but be down 9 in PA — They are giving Biden these unprecedented margins in the Philly burbs.

    75. Tina says:

      We will get people’s pundit poll of Florida today.

      Trump 2 to 3, per Barris yesterday.

    76. StonewallDW says:

      Biden protect women? That’s funny…hilarious. He might grope them, but how in the world could he protect them?

    77. Phil says:

      Baris has repeatedly warned that Trump supporters should not expect any solace from the public polls through the election. He says over and over every day that the polling industry is corrupt. Pollsters want to be paid. They only get hired by the big entities like the three networks, CNN, NYT, Washington Post etc etc if they continue to grind out the results these leftist institutions demand.

      It’s really very simple. They are not catching Trump support among working class whites and, as he says, the pollsters know it. They aren’t even trying. Add to that you have the likes of Nate Silver (or as Baris calls him, Nate fraud) “reading” these polls and handing out “A” ratings to the likes of Marist and the whole thing is what it is. Example? How about the day after Fox came out with ridiculous leads for Biden in three states, he suddenly raised the Fox rating from a B to an A. See how this works?

    78. Todd McCain says:

      One thing I will say: Brad Parscale really bungled this campaign financially during the spring and summer months. Biden is overwhelming Trump almost everywhere on TV; 4/5-1 in some states. How did a 1B campaign become so cash strapped…..

    79. dblaikie says:

      Well folks can calm down about Rasmussen. They tweeting his approval is up this morning. I bet 1 or 2 points.

    80. Todd McCain says:

      ActBlue on the other hand has more money than they know what to do with…raised almost 400M this month. The GOP needs to figure out the money situation; will be now the 3rd cycle in a row getting massively out fundraised.

    81. Gordon Allen says:

      One thing I think I can guarantee in a nutty world is that Trump won’t lose 84-8 in the Black vote in Florida. I think at least 13-15% is doable for Trump if Desantis got 17%.

    82. Marv says:

      RAS Twitter page indicates that Trump approval is up.

    83. Stonewall DW says:

      82 – in addition to that, Baris said the University pollsters, of which there are some good ones, lose their funding to continue if they get a bad grade from Silver.

    84. Stonewall DW says:

      Both Baris and Barnes said they see actual evidence of the shy Trump vote. I have heard same from actual door to door canvassers.

      My favorite anecdote is the one I shared here last week….a white woman in smaller “bedroom” city within a commuting distance of a large city in an upper mid-west battleground state. She wanted to tell the canvassers who she was voting for but was afraid to say. After five reassurances that nothing was being written down or recorded, she finally shared that even though she normally votes Dem, she was voting for Trump, and she was afraid because she is a teacher and if anyone found out, she could lose her job and face persecution.

    85. Hugh says:

      The reason DeSantis did so well with black voters versus Gilliam and why trump will in FL is charter schools. Many black parents love their charter schools and are single issue voters relating to charter schools. I think that will play out even more this year.

    86. Marv says:

      RAS

      47/52
      -9

    87. Tina says:

      Marv, others

      Looks like Ras got a bad Sunday.

    88. Stonewall DW says:

      So Trump improves from -7 to -5 on Job Approval. The day to watch will be Thursday when that awful Sunday sample drops off.

    89. Marv says:

      Tina,

      Yep, horrible Sunday. Statisticians probably have a name for something like this.

    90. Marv says:

      DW,

      I’d like to take the jet out to Colorado Springs this weekend to watch the Navy @ Air Force game, unless you need it.

    91. Stonewall DW says:

      Thanks Marv, its all yours. I won’t need it until mid-October.

    92. Marv says:

      DW,

      Where are you going?

    93. Hugh says:

      Losing suburban women versus 2016 is a theory. Until
      We moved to Florida we always lived in suburbs and all all friend mostly live in suburbs. I don’t know anyone who is switch their votes from trump I do know 4 people switching from either an independent to trump or hrc to trump. DRI and crosstabs mean nothing anymore. In the traditional way because the result desired is baked into the process for making the calls. You want to show trump losing college educated women call younger women for that demographic. You want to show trump losing independents call near large versus rural and smaller cities. A child can figure out this game. What I know is that trump was an azs clown in 2016 and he is one in 2020. No change there. I also know in the big issues except healthcare he is on the more popular side. Immigration China trade taxes. I also know Biden is a much weaker candidate thaN hrc. I also know that trump ground game is far better this time and Biden has none. There will be no or much less souls to the polls. It will be harder to register and organize the college vote. So tell me how does this translate to a Biden win?? Oh that’s right trump is bleeding white suburban women because they like him so much more in 2016. Ha ha

    94. Stonewall DW says:

      99 – thought I would take a little vacation. Always enjoy hiking, so am thinking the four corners area, Monument Valley, the San Juan mountains in CO.

    95. Marv says:

      DW,

      Sounds like fun. Mrs Marv and I will head to HI this spring again.

    96. jason says:

      Does anyone actually know a suburban white woman that switched from Trump to Biden?

      I know several who voted for HRC and will vote for Biden. Several who did not vote for either and will now vote for Trump.

      I actually haven’t met a single person who voted for Trump and will now vote for Biden. Or that voted for HRC and now will vote for Trump, to be honest.

    97. Marv says:

      jason,

      I know several women who voted for Hillary and now won’t say
      for whom they intend to vote.

    98. jason says:

      Big headlines on CNN and MSBNC…I am sure

      “A group of 70 senior government officials who worked with various Republican administrations dating back to Richard Nixon endorsed President Trump for re-election on Monday, citing his accomplishments on foreign policy and national security.

      In an open letter, 70 former officials, including governors, senators, national security advisers, military generals and ambassadors from the Trump, George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush, Reagan, Nixon and Ford administrations, lauded the president for pursuing a “strong foreign and national security policy in America’s interests.”

      “We also believe that a president’s duty and loyalty are owed, first and foremost, to the American people, and not the international community, which is consistent with strengthening our alliances and friendships,” the letter said. “For all of these reasons, we have concluded, that Donald J. Trump should be re-elected as President of the United States.”

    99. Tina says:

      With this, I agree with the socialist son here:

      Bill Kristol
      @BillKristol
      · 52m
      If it’s too nerve-wracking to watch tonight’s presidential debate, what do you recommend watching instead? #AskingForAFriend

    100. Chicon says:

      103 – I’ve not met a Trump to Biden switcher. I have met several Clinton to Trump voters, though. They all live in central Wisconsin, where the conversion of Obama voters is continuing apace. Dunno if it will be enough, but it is happening.

    101. Stonewall DW says:

      103 – jason, that is what I have been saying about recent POTUS elections where an incumbent is running for re-election. The states just don’t move that much. Indiana moved quite a bit in 2012 because Obama didn’t pursue it like he did in 2008. Tennessee moved a lot in 2004, because Al Gore was the candidate in 2000. But otherwise states move in the low single digits for the most part, as to the gap between candidates.

      And I too know of no one who has abandoned Trump having voted for him 4 years ago. I know of plenty of never-Trumpers who are now voting for him but did not four years ago.

      The media/polling is playing the same game they did 4 years ago. Pretend the Trump base doesn’t exist, and then marvel on election night about how this group was there all along, hiding in plain sight.

    102. Gordon Allen says:

      Most of us have the experience of of knowing no one switching from Trump to Biden. In our gated community which personifies upper suburbia I know of not one woman; there’s one who voted for Hillary I’m working on.
      Maybe we ky the wrong people?

    103. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      So if we are to believe recent polling, here are the States trump has a better chance of winning than the PA Biden +9 polls released yesterday:

      CO,MN,VA,NV & NH

    104. jason says:

      I won’t be watching the debate.

      If there is a poll out I will vote that Trump won however because that is probably what I would have thought if I watched the debate.

    105. jason says:

      I hope those internals are not accurate, -23 with suburban woman would be a killer.

      Encouraging was that Trump has a big lead with same day voters which are 2/3 of the electorate.

      Biden has a huge lead like 83-17 with mail in voters.

    106. Stonewall DW says:

      Thinking again of the comments of Barnes yesterday on Baris’ show. One thing that occurred to me was a name that Barnes never once mentioned.

      Mitch McConnell.

      Barnes as basically stuck re-living the Bork hearings. Whoever Trump nominated they were going to raise the same questions they will raise against Barrett. The difference is we have Mitch McConnell.

    107. Tina says:

      lie Kelly ??
      @julie_kelly2
      ·
      5m
      Fox News reporting Biden Team wants a break every 30 minutes tonight. And Team Trump wants inspection for ear pieces.

    108. Tina says:

      Trump agrees to the inspection for ear pieces.

      China Biden says no and wants breaks every 30 min

    109. Tina says:

      It would appear that camp trump is not being pushed around like camp Rino

      Wants drug test

      No breaks

      Inspection for ear pieces

    110. dblaikie says:

      I have one burning question about tonight’s debate. What will old Joe say first: “Common man” or “Scranton?”

    111. Robbie says:

      What’s the over/under on how many self serving interviews Anthony Fauci will give today? Will he be providing debate analysis on CNN tonight?

    112. dblaikie says:

      Oh I had.a Biden moment. Of course I meant, “Come on man!” I need a rest.

    113. Tina says:

      BOOOM

      Consumer confidence surges to highest level since start of coronvirus pandemic
      Published: Sept. 29, 2020 at 10:22 a.m. ET
      By Jeffry Bartash
      3
      Consumer confidence index jumps to 101.8 in September from 86.3

      https://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-confidence-surges-to-highest-level-since-start-of-coronvirus-pandemic-2020-09-29

    114. Stonewall DW says:

      “Biden Team wants a break every 30 minutes tonight”

      Confirms the rumor that Biden’s dementia meds have made him incontinent. Come on man! Just put a bag on him and get it done.

    115. Tina says:

      I will be listening in to this mornings Flynn Hearing.

      One can call in using different numbers.

      Judge Obama Sullivan should dismiss, but being the corrupt crook, will drag it on.

    116. PresidentPaul! says:

      Warning Signs Flash Ahead of Covid’s Second U.S. Winter “Hospitalization, death rates no longer declining as cases rise. New Yorkers, school children seeing increases in infections”

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-28/warning-signs-are-flashing-ahead-of-covid-s-second-u-s-winter?srnd=premium&sref=IRovmk9E

      Also Germany has officially entered deflation (in addition to falling gdp.) The german 10 year is falling even more negative today.

      Market had a nice rally friday and falling volume friday. Again had a rally monday on falling volume. A rather bearish sign especially as vol remains high.

      The “rotation” trade continues to be a sucker’s game as financials continue to get monkey hammered.

      Dollar has resumed its fall today finally, at least for now, giving the world a reprieve.

    117. dblaikie says:

      Well folks I always have had my doubts about this debate. I wonder if there are no breaks will Joe pull out? Probably too late.

      However if Joe gets his breaks Trump will nail him.

    118. PresidentPaul! says:

      Every time I see Tina post I think of el-erian. T.I.N.A.

      There is no alternative.

    119. Tina says:

      No breaks,

      The longer it goes on, China Biden May run into issues,

      There was a pattern there in the previous debates.

    120. MrVito says:

      During the breaks, will Joe go have the cut man take his vitals and the cornerman tell him how to punch Trump better?

    121. Marv says:

      dblaikie,

      Biden said no to ear piece checks and Trump said no to breaks.

    122. PresidentPaul! says:

      They need some interference device to block Biden’s earpiece.

    123. PresidentPaul! says:

      If Biden can have electronics on him why can’t Trump bring some?

    124. MrVito says:

      So in both cases Biden says yes to cheating.

    125. PresidentPaul! says:

      Trump Campaign Releases “17 Questions Joe Biden Must Answer In The Debate”

      https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-campaign-releases-17-questions-joe-biden-must-answer-debate

      You said the N-word 13 times during a 1985 Senate nomination fight, when you were quoting something attributed to someone else. Do you think that was appropriate to do? Is that the only time you’ve said the N-word?

    126. Marv says:

      I’m not an expert on this stuff, but how can Biden’s ear piece be blocked without also blocking the Secret Service ear pieces?

    127. Tina says:

      Well, you ask where trump,campaigns money went?

      Parscale is under investigation for stealing $40 million from the campaign. Very sad, if true.

      https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8782463/Brad-Parscale-investigation-stealing-40M-Trumps-2020-campaign.html

    128. PresidentPaul! says:

      Michael Flynn Sham Hearing Continues Today 11:00am

    129. PresidentPaul! says:

      #134
      Who cares what the secret service thinks.

    130. Marv says:

      #137

      I think that there is a fairly strong likelihood that the US Secret Service would prefer that their ear pieces not be interfered with.

    131. PresidentPaul! says:

      3138

      F em. Order them not to attend then.

      Do they do follow orders right?

    132. dblaikie says:

      Marc, I know. My question is if the debate commission stands firm about no breaks, will the Biden babysitters accept it.

    133. PresidentPaul! says:

      Biden is essentially cheating in advance if he’s wearing an ear piece. I don’t think it should be allowed.

    134. Stonewall DW says:

      If Biden drops out because he can’t get 30 minute breaks, then the optics are awful. Its in fact bad just that he has asked for these breaks. He has re-enforced to the American public his lack of physical and mental fillness– I mean his physical and mental fillne–FITness.

    135. Waingro says:

      Link to stream of General Flynn hearing with wacko Judge Sullivan: https://www.twitch.tv/toresays

    136. Robbie says:

      Here’s a great example of how bad the IHME model is that Pandemic Overlord Fauci likes.

      In Kentucky, we’ve “reported” about 1,100 deaths since March. The IHME model two weeks ago said we would have a total of 4,000 deaths by January 1, 2021. That would be another 2,900 deaths in 90 days.

      To put it in perspective, Kentucky would need to record more than 30 deaths a day to achieve that prediction. Only twice since March, though, has the state reported more than 20 deaths in a day.

      The fact the press continue to quote that model is journalistic malpractice. The fact Fauci continues to reference that model shows how dishonest he’s become.

    137. Marv says:

      dblaikie,

      I thought the rules had already been established and that both campaigns requested changes today. (ear pieces and breaks)

    138. Stonewall DW says:

      Maybe the Biden team angling for a way out today indicates that his memory care physicians failed to get the right combo of meds to do the job.

    139. Todd McCain says:

      135. Well if that is true; shame on the campaign for not keeping a closer eye on this guy.

    140. PresidentPaul! says:

      FXHedge
      @Fxhedgers

      KUDLOW SAYS WHITE HOUSE IS READY TO MAKE A DEAL ON ASPECTS OF CORONAVIRUS RELIEF THAT HAVE BIPARTISAN SUPPORT pump.. nice try

      This is a new low for American politics when the dem leader is and has been opposing policies her party strongly supports in order to hurt the the US economy and therefor her political opposition.

    141. jason says:

      Biden can wear a hearing aid.

      Just make sure it is really a hearing aid.

    142. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris: FL poll, Trump’s lead has grown in the final results.

      He says not same electorate as 2016 in FL. Different electorates. He says there could be a political re-alignment in FL going on, and polls are missing it.

    143. jaichind says:

      121. Consumer Confidence at 101.8 for Sept 2020 is now higher than Sept 2012 (68.35) and even Sept 2004 (96.7) and only lower than Sept 1996 (111.8). So 2020 is shaping up to be between 2004 and 1996 from a consumer sentient point of view.

    144. Waingro says:

      #150, looks like he has it Trump +1.5% ??

    145. jason says:

      ere’s a great example of how bad the IHME model is that Pandemic Overlord Fauci likes.”

      Zzzzz…… more lies.

      What Fauci has actually said about models.

      “Whenever the models come in, they give a worst-case scenario and a best-case scenario. Generally, the reality is somewhere in the middle. I’ve never seen a model of the diseases that I’ve dealt with where the worst case actually came out. They always overshoot,” Dr. Anthony Fauci”

    146. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris thinks Trump will win Florida +3. Trump doing better among those who have degrees.

      Trump doing worse (-1 versus +10 in 2016) among FL suburban voters. To make up for it the rural numbers for Trump are huge.

    147. Stonewall DW says:

      50/42 Trump is up in Duval county.

    148. jaichind says:

      155. In 2016 Duval it was Trump 48.5-47.1

    149. Chicon says:

      150 – in which direction?

    150. Stonewall DW says:

      Biden doing slightly better in Tampa Bay area than Hillary, but a lot of undecided there.

    151. Stonewall DW says:

      Trump doing significantly better in FL urban areas according to Baris.

    152. Stonewall DW says:

      150,000 to 160,000 vote win for Trump in Florida.

      Trump +1.6 in final results of poll, though he said more are trickling in. Rounds up to 2 point lead.

    153. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris says he has 7% undecided, but he thinks there are few truly undecided. They are just not saying.

      Biden up by 4 among women in FL. Trump up among men by about 9.

    154. Robbie says:

      I enjoy watching Jason continually defend Overlord Fauci. Fauci’s been wrong every step of the way, but his army of fans continue to treat his every word as if he’s Moses delivering the Ten Commandments.

      You’d think a doctor who advocates for pseudoscience like lockdowns would be scorned.

      You’d think a doctor who said on March 8 that masks don’t provide protection only to reverse would be marginalized.

      You’d think a doctor who suggested we should all wear protective goggles would be laughed at.

      You’d think a doctor who touted T-cell cross reactivity in August only to flip a month later when involved in a fight with Rand Paul would be marginalized.

      You’d think all of these major flip flops would give people reason to see Fauci for the fraud he is, but his army of devotees won’t have it. They’ll do whatever they need to defend him and help boost the book deal he’s angling for in the coming months.

      Will the “Fauci for president” crowd still love him when he calls for another pseudoscience lockdown this winter because some arbitrary statistic he decided was important on that day dictated one?

    155. Stonewall DW says:

      “Every state we poll, Biden is just a generic democrat who is not Donald Trump.” Baris

    156. Stonewall DW says:

      64% of Florida voters in Baris’ poll says that shy Trump voters exist.

    157. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris showing now how the older the voters get, the more voters believe there are shy Trump voters.

    158. jaichind says:

      What is sad about this entire COVID-19 and lockdown episode, the total number of people in 2020 that will die is en route to be lower than or roughly equal to 2019. A large number of COVID-19 deaths are people that were likely to pass away within the few months or couple of years. The lockdown clearly reduced more dangerous activity so it became a wash.

      This entire 2020 COVID-19 lockdown response will go down in history years from now as one of the larger public policy flops.

    159. Chicon says:

      It would be interesting to hear Baris ask if the interviewee knows anyone who has switched from Trump to Biden.

    160. Chicon says:

      How often does Baris do the podcast?

    161. jason says:

      Btw IHME admits they are an outlier. They say none of the other models including MIT and Imperial College show the year end surge they are predicting.

    162. Gordon Allen says:

      If Barris thinks Trump will win Florida by 3 I thank him as that is exactly my prediction,and has been all along. I think 350,000 votes. BTW I think the ” shy” Trump vote is hidden in the suburban vote( shh don’t let the neighbors know).

    163. Stonewall DW says:

      168 – I think its weekdays. The time varies though. It started at 11 today, was 1 pm yesterday

    164. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris now ripping Silver’s argument, “how could there be a shy Trump vote if people are willing to put up a sign in the yard and attend rallies but not talking to a pollster”

    165. MichiganGuy says:

      *BOOM*

      “Philadelphia Firefighters, Paramedics Union Endorses Trump’s Reelection”
      .
      https://m.theepochtimes.com/philadelphia-firefighters-paramedics-union-endorses-trumps-reelection_3518816.html

    166. PresidentPaul! says:

      Manchin called the bruising Kavanaugh confirmation fight, which erupted into controversy after allegations from a woman that the nominee sexually assaulted her when the two were in high school, a “fiasco.”
      “That vote cost, I think, a few of our colleagues their jobs,” he said

      Joe Donnelly, Claire McCaskill, and Heidi Heitkamp

      Will Kavanaugh be the reason that the GOP controls the senate after the 2020 election if they do?

    167. jason says:

      Every point Robbie makes against Fauci above is either a fabrication, lie, taken out of context or unwarranted criticism, starting with the “overlord” BS.

      I don’t want him as President. I want him to continue to have an influential role in the task force as behooves someone of his experience and knowledge.

      But in the end, the President has to weigh the various recommendations and decide what course he wants to take. Certainly the President will have recommendations contrary to what Fauci thinks, that is why he has a task force, not a Czar or overlord.

      That seems what has happened to date.

    168. Stonewall DW says:

      Roughly half of voters in FL are uncomfortable to tell strangers their political views/how they will vote.

      And 1/3 of the electorate is uncomfortable telling pollsters how they will vote.

    169. jason says:

      ow could there be a shy Trump vote if people are willing to put up a sign in the yard and attend rallies but not talking to a pollster”

      Huh, Silverhack, those are not the shy Trump voters.

    170. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris: The urban voter is the most willing to participate in poll data collection and talking to pollsters.

      Rural and suburban voters do NOT want to talk to pollsters.

    171. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris saying much more interesting than the 2 point lead in the FL poll is the data showing the shyness of the electorate.

    172. Waingro says:

      I would love to see Baris analyze Pennsylvania next.

    173. jason says:

      Robbie Fraud was enabler in chief of the lockdowns here for months, nobody represented the MSM narrative here more than he did. There was not one alarmist, fake, or dishonest view by the MSM on COVID that he was not willing to rush here to post. He was the poster child for the gullible, sycophantic MSM toady on COVID.

      I actually opposed lockdowns beyond the first month continuously here. I attended rallies against Wolf and his lockdowns in PA and wrote about them. I railed against the absurd policies of Whitmer and Cuomo and Newsome in dozens of posts. To paint me as someone favoring lockdowns is absurd.

      Robbie is a pathological liar. Nobody was more of a useful idiot for the lockdown crowd than he has been.

    174. Stonewall DW says:

      To me, the biggest thing from Baris today is what he said about Trump absolutely killing it in rural areas–much more so than 2016. That tells me the rural areas across all the battlegrounds will be even more juiced than 2016.

      These are the voters most apt to be missed in media polling.

    175. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 11:39 am
      Every point Robbie makes against Fauci above is either a fabrication, lie, taken out of context or unwarranted criticism, starting with the “overlord” BS.

      – This is the problem with Fauci fans. When his words are repeated, they bristle that he’s been taken out of context or the words are lies. Nope.

      What Fauci understands, and people like Scott Gottlieb have determined this as well, is it’s wise to be on every side of every issue while at the same time playing pattycake with the media. And so long as they offer just enough comments to undermine Trump and whatever positive news there may be, the press will never hold them accountable for their missteps.

      Fauci’s a fraud who crave attention and control. He’s the highest paid person in the federal government due to his near 40 years in his job. He’s using his position to burnish his image (the truth teller to Trump’s lies) and juice whatever book deal you can bet he’s already negotiating.

      Sadly Trump can’t easily fire him due to the rules that currently exists, but Trump, as soon as the election is over and regardless or result, should publicly remove him from the corona task force and recommend it’s time for him to retire from his cushy government post. If Biden wants to hire back the old fool, so be it. And come January 21, Fauci and Biden can discuss another pseudoscience lockdown.

    176. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris seems like a nice guy, but honestly, he should have started at 1 pm today and done more show prep to avoid the rambling while trying to analyze the data live.

      But I guess he has 100 viewers according to the page, so maybe doesn’t matter.

    177. Waingro says:

      Wacko Sullivan is about to lay the hammer on Flynn…..

    178. jason says:

      But by the same token, what Robbie does with Fauci is take his comments out of context, not post the whole quote, or just outright lie about what he said. I have continuously posted actual quotes to debunk the lies.

      I go back and check every statement that Robbie alleges Fauci said. Sports, lockdowns, schools, etc. In the end it always comes down to a dishonest portrayal of what Fauci actually stated.

      Yesterday, Robbie made up some quote that Fauci wanted another national shutdown.

      I posted what he really said.

      WE ARE NOT TALKING ABOUT SHUTTING ANYTHING DOWN.

      – Dr. Fauci”

    179. Marv says:

      Waingro,

      Keep us posted.

    180. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 11:48 am
      Robbie Fraud was enabler in chief of the lockdowns here for months,

      – A lie. An absolute lie. Show me the posts.

      I have said since mid to late April (I didn’t post from mid March to mid April) the lockdowns were the worst thing this country has done to itself.

      The lockdowns were a failure and nothing more than pseudoscience. Two weeks to slow the spread was one thing. We’re now on week 28 of slow the spread and, if your boy Fauci has his way, we’ll probably approach week 100 to slow the spread.

      Fauci and Birx sold Trump a pack of lies. They panicked and fell for the lies of the Chinese that their lockdown worked. Even today, Birx continues travel the country demanding governors shut down bars even though there’s no science to back it up. Birx apparently doesn’t care if the bar owners go bankrupt. At least they won’t get a cold.

      Thank goodness for governors like DeSantis. He’s all but told Fauci to stick it. But just you watch. Fauci will come for DeSantis because no one dares countermand Fauci. No one dares ignore the man who said masks didn’t work on March 8 only to flip and say masks are great and we should probably wear goggles as well.

    181. jason says:

      This is the problem with Fauci fans. When his words are repeated,”

      Zzzzz…

      I don’t mind if they are repeated, as long as they are repeated in context, accurately and completely.

      But as a fraud and chief lockdown enabler useful idiot here, you never do that.

    182. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 12:01 pm
      WE ARE NOT TALKING ABOUT SHUTTING ANYTHING DOWN.

      – Dr. Fauci”

      – Now, it’s Jason doing exactly what he accused me of doing. Taking Fauci out of context.

      Here’s what pandemic overlord Fauci actually said.

      “When pressed on what it would take for another shut down, Fauci said he didn’t want to “go there.”

      “Obviously, if things really explode you’d have to consider that. But we want to do everything we possibly can to avoid an absolute shutdown,” he said.”

      In other words, Fauci didn’t rule it out. He didn’t 100% take a lockdown off the table because he thinks he can use the threat of one to cajole people into listening to his awful advice.

    183. jason says:

      A lie. An absolute lie. Show me the posts.”

      You toed the MSM line here for months. Probably hundreds of posts you were attacked on.

      Culminating in the arbitrary, artificial, bogus and asinine “15k cases a day” or doomsday idiocy.

      You were the MSM toady here, and their meme was lockdowns to damage the economy, same as yours.

    184. jason says:

      In other words, Fauci didn’t rule it out.”

      LOL

      That is all you have? Of course he will not rule it out, that would be irresponsible.

      But what he actually said in answer to the question was:

      WE ARE NOT TALKING ABOUT SHUTTING ANYTHING DOWN.

      – Dr. Fauci”

      Clear as a bell except for a fraud.

    185. Florida Guy says:

      Florida will not be the problem for Trump. No support for Biden in Florida’s once blue counties like Pasco and Flagler. Rural won’t be an issue either, but if you ever watch a race come in in Wisconsin or Michigan, you know some of those counties have small margins and no more than 15,000 voters. Trump will get iced in the cities. As always it comes down to the suburbs and exurbs.

      -FG

    186. Tina says:

      Ebony Bowden
      @ebonybowden
      · 7m
      NEW: Joe Biden’s campaign agreed to an inspection for electronic ear pieces at tonight’s debate several days ago but are now declining, a source familiar tells me.

    187. Ron N says:

      Will these bogus polls hurt Dems in turn out in Dem heavy cities. If he’s going to win so big why stand in line. Not die heart Dems but avg votes may not want to do a 3-4 hour line to vote because it’s a done deal.

    188. Tina says:

      toddstarnes
      @toddstarnes
      ·
      50m
      Word on the street is that
      @JoeBiden
      got tonight’s debate questions in advance – per
      @KXEL1540

    189. Chicon says:

      FG – WI cities are not large enough to automatically swamp suburban counties. They might, but not necessarily.

    190. jason says:

      pandemic overlord Fauci”

      When you start the statement with a lie, it is hard to believe anything else.

      Fauci is not any overlord. He is a member of the president’s task force on COVID. No more, no less.

      As such, he is entitled to his views and recommendations.

      But in the end, the buck stops with Trump.

      And Trump deserves credit for not making the task force a partisan entity.

      On July 15, Peter Navarro, who I consider a moron, wrote an op-ed critical of Fauci. Both Pence and Trump attacked it, said Fauci was a valued member of the team, and Trump went out of his way to dispel any problem with Fauci.

      “He made a statement representing himself,” Trump told reporters of Navarro before leaving the White House for a trip to Georgia on Wednesday. “He shouldn’t be doing that. No, I have a very good relationship with Anthony.”

    191. Waingro says:

      So the Flynn hearing ended up having massive tech issues. They ha to go on recess.

      Wacko Sullivan pontificated for 30 minutes, clearly indicating he was going to lay the hammer and deny the request to dismiss. Then the DOJ started to speak and the feed went dead.

    192. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris saying the bogus polls are based on historic turnout levels, where the new increase goes overwhelmingly for Biden.

      This against the reality in polling that there is a HUGE gap in enthusiasm favoring Trump, and the GOP is killing it in new voter registration.

    193. Chicon says:

      Starting the statement with a lie is a favored tactic of the A-holes.

    194. jason says:

      Starting the statement with a lie is a favored tactic of the A-holes.”

      That is a lie.

    195. jason says:

      A-holes prefer to start statements adroitly and accurately pointing out the inadequacies of others.

    196. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris saying voters overwhelmingly say they want judges to use judicial restraint, not judicial activism.

    197. Stonewall DW says:

      Only 36% of FL voters say Trump’s SCOTUS pick should not get a hearing.

    198. jason says:

      NYT debunks Robbie’s theory that Birx is for unlimited lockdowns.

      “Dr. Deborah Birx, White House coronavirus task coordinator, played a key role in pressuring the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to release guidance for schools to reopen despite surging coronavirus cases earlier this summer, documents obtained by The New York Times showed.

      According to a July 19 email obtained by the Times, Birx asked CDC Director Dr. Robert Redfield to incorporate a document from the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, a small agency in the Department of Health and Human Services which suggested that the coronavirus was not a big issue for kids “as background in the introduction section” of CDC guidance on schools reopening.

      The document suggested that there were “very few reports of children being the primary source of Covid-19 transmission among family members have emerged” and claimed that asymptomatic children “are unlikely to spread the virus.”

      A White House official told Business Insider that Redfield and Birx “have known each other for close to 40 years,” and dismissed the Times’ reporting she “pressured” the CDC head.

    199. Stonewall DW says:

      Despite all the piling on of bad polling, Trump can get to 258 EVs using ONLY individual polls from inaccurate media/university pollsters not friendly to the GOP.

      First the lean Trump states:

      IA: 50/44 – Trump +6 – Monmouth University
      OH: 50/45 – Trump +5 – Morning Consult
      GA: 48/41 – Trump +7 – Landmark Communications

      That gets Trump to 203 (Without NE_02 or ME_02)

      Now the tossup states that tilt to Trump:

      FL: 51/47 – Trump +4 – ABC News/Wash Post (232 EVs)
      NC: 49/47 – Trump +2 – East Carolina Univ. (247 EVs)
      AZ: 49/48 – Trump +1 – ABC News/Wash Post (258 EVs)

      Then for the true tossups, to get Trump over 270, here is where we would need the honest pollsters who actually are accurate to get over the top, for example:

      MI: 47/46 – Trump +1 – Trafalgar Group (274 EVs)

    200. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 12:07 pm
      A lie. An absolute lie. Show me the posts.”

      You toed the MSM line here for months. Probably hundreds of posts you were attacked on.

      – In others words, just your opinion on what I may have said rather than facts.

    201. jason says:

      Babylon Bee says 9th Circuit reverses RBG’s death, calling it an “affront to Democracy”.

    202. Phil says:

      Not surprised on Blix, Jason.

      It’s been clear for a long time Fauci is much more pro locking things down than Blix.

      Full lock down from Fauci? No, but definitely for opening things up at a much slower pace. You can see that in every interview he does.

    203. Robbie says:

      I think Phil can back me up and attest that I have been critical of lockdowns since April when I resumed posting.

    204. Tina says:

      Francis Brennan
      @FrancisBrennan
      ·
      2m
      ABC News’ Martha Raddatz on what she discovered during her 6,000-mile road trip across America:

      “There wasn’t a whole lot of enthusiasm for Joe Biden.”

      https://twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/status/1310983332369440769

    205. jason says:

      In others words, just your opinion on what I may have said rather than facts.”

      No, the facts are you toed the MSM narrative here for months. You swallowed their narrative hook, line and sinker. You couldn’t wait to regurgitate it here every day.

      There must be literally dozens if not hundreds of posts calling you out on it, not just from me.

      MSM enablers like you is what fueled shutdowns, because governors felt they had enough public support to enact them.

    206. Robbie says:

      When I’m not mocking Fauci or Dr. Scarf, the person who deserves plenty of criticism is the idiot who runs the CDC, Dr. Redfield.

      Never in my wildest dreams did I think I’d hear a medical professional suggest a mask is better than a vaccine.

      It’s hard to imagine a comment that could do more harm for the cause of vaccinations in general than that.

      He’s another Trump should fire, win or lose, after election day.

    207. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris now showing the data about the undecided in their FL poll, and clearly there are strong hints they are for Trump, but afraid to say.

    208. Stonewall DW says:

      214 – she didn’t get the memo that its just fly-over country and doesn’t matter.

    209. jason says:

      I think Phil can back me up and attest that I have been critical of lockdowns since April when I resumed posting.”

      Zzzzzzz…..

      Red herring, were you ever critical of the MSM narrative?

      How about that asinine and arbitrary 15K a day case count required to save the country? How did that work out for you?

    210. Phil says:

      Redfield is another hack.

    211. Phil says:

      Blix is more balanced as far as i can tell.

    212. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 12:47 pm
      In others words, just your opinion on what I may have said rather than facts.”

      No, the facts are you toed the MSM narrative here for months. You swallowed their narrative hook, line and sinker. You couldn’t wait to regurgitate it here every day.

      There must be literally dozens if not hundreds of posts calling you out on it, not just from me.

      – Laughable and wrong. I have consistently opposed these unconstitutional lockdowns since I started posting again in mid to late April.

      I was not opposed to the original “two weeks to slow the spread” plan, but I will admit I was completely naive about the intentions Fauci and the governors clearly had about what came afterwards.

    213. jason says:

      When I’m not mocking Fauci or Dr. Scarf”

      Dang, you have time left over?

      Oh right, you are not working, the chickens came home to roost.

    214. Tina says:

      The Doj is now presenting information to Judge Obumbler Sullivan about the crooks in Fib and Justicr thst we’re out to get Trump through flynn

    215. Tina says:

      Lol, we cannot call pete the cheat to the stand because he and Mccrap lied.

      Will Chamberlain
      @willchamberlain
      ·
      3m
      Now the US Attorney is going in on Strzok

      Pointing out that if they were to bring this case, they would have to call Strzok to the stand to prove Flynn’s false statement, and that Strzok isn’t credible

    216. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris closes out by saying that Trump’s lead in FL is small, but solid. Would be hard for Biden to overturn.

    217. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 12:52 pm
      When I’m not mocking Fauci or Dr. Scarf”

      Dang, you have time left over?

      Oh right, you are not working, the chickens came home to roost.

      – Yet again, Jason suggests not supporting much of Trump’s poor behavior during his term made me deserving of losing my job.

      You’re a miserable human being, but I’ve known that since 2008 when you and your buddy, Howard Dean, used to run roughshod through this forum attacking anyone who said McCain was performing poorly and would likely lose to Obama.

    218. Tina says:

      Kohl is a career gubment official, not a political appointee.
      Says the Flynn case needs dismisal

      37
      203
      632

      John M. Reeves
      @reeveslawstl
      ·
      2m
      3) Kohl is doing an outstanding job showing how Flynn is innocent, how the FBI case agents themselves did not think Flynn was lying, and that Comey himself was “not sure” if Flynn was lyning. “This creates a problem for our office,” Kohl then states.
      2
      23
      59
      Show

    219. Tina says:

      Judge Obama Sullivan is wrong here.

      Leslie McAdoo Gordon
      @McAdooGordon
      ·
      1m
      There he goes. He questions the “propriety” of the letter.
      “One must wonder” what the public would think. “Someone who doesn’t represent someone.” THAT IS WRONG. Just because you have not entered your appearance DOES NOT mean you don’t represent them.

    220. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris saying Trump got 40.8% to 59.2 in Miami-Dade County in his poll.

      In 2016 it was 34/63 in Miami-Dade.

      Ballgame in FL.

    221. Phil says:

      Stonewall, Florida, Ohio, and NC are going Trump. Arizona looks better by the day.

      I’ll say it again. Pennsylvania is the ballgame. Nothing could be more clear cut to me.

    222. Tina says:

      See new Tweets
      Tweet

      TheLastRefuge
      @TheLastRefuge2
      ·
      2m
      WTF? Judge Sullivan now threatening
      @SidneyPowell1
      with a BAR referral due to her letter to AG Bill Barr introducing herself to the DOJ during the transition of counsel.

      Sullivan questions the propriety

      Unreal !!

    223. Tina says:

      Obama Sullivan is imploding.

      Wants conversations between trump and Powell.

      That is an exl I’ve privilege and not constitutional.

      This “judge” is deep state hack.

    224. Tina says:

      John M. Reeves
      @reeveslawstl
      ·
      1m
      I want to make clear that there was absolutely NOTHING unethical about
      @SidneyPowell1
      writing that letter to General Barr. And I am VERY disturbed by Judge Sullivan just assuming, with no evidence, that
      @SidneyPowell1
      did NOT represent
      @GenFlynn
      at the time she wrote the letter.

    225. Tina says:

      Fireworks

      Powell wants Sullivan’s recusal.

      Sullivan defending his pathetic self.

    226. Tina says:

      Oh my, Pre debate fireworks

      Tim Murtaugh – Download the Trump 2020 app today!
      · 34m
      Joe Biden’s handlers several days ago agreed to a pre-debate inspection for electronic earpieces but today abruptly reversed themselves & declined. Biden asked for multiple breaks during the debate, which President Trump doesn’t need, so we have rejected that request.

      Statement:

      https://twitter.com/TimMurtaugh/status/1310983330909884421/photo/1

    227. Stonewall DW says:

      When I see these national polls:

      Biden +5 – Monmouth
      Biden +5 – HarrisX
      Biden +2 – Harris Poll
      Biden +6 – ABC/WashPost

      there is simply no way Biden is ahead 9 points in PA and 8 points in WI and MI.

    228. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris droned on for two hours. But the most important thing he said was in the first few minutes.

      He said in his poll of FL, Trump was absolutely killing it, incredibly so, in the rural areas. Way outpacing the incredible 2016 numbers.

      This is good news for rural areas of all battleground states.

    229. Chicon says:

      238 – good to see. Some have had anecdotal evidence of this for months now, so it is good to see the data match.

    230. Phil says:

      Baris does go on and on forever, Stonewall…..but this is a good thing. He is the ONLY pollster that attempts to cut through the BS on modern day polling and he does it with pure numbers.

      If you listen to him daily, he has one reoccurring theme. That is, the bias that is going on is catastrophic to the polling industry. He does it with pure statistics. In other words, he shows his work.

    231. Phil says:

      Also, he is a pollster….unlike Nate fraudster, who is nothing more than a poll reader and one with a partisan filter.

    232. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris says that as a pollster you have to work very hard to reach every demographic critical to getting accurate results. Most joke pollsters refuse to do that work and just get the easy results, and urban voters are the most willing to participate.

    233. Stonewall DW says:

      ARIZONA – Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.

      SEP 25-28, 2020
      500 LV

      Biden 47%
      Trump 47%

    234. Stonewall DW says:

      same poll has McSally off 3

    235. jaichind says:

      All Susquehanna polls links to crosstabs are non-functional.

    236. NYCmike says:

      McSally may do a fly-by on space boy!

    237. StaceyBum says:

      ????? ??????? ???????????? ?????, ??????? ?? ??????????? ????? ????????? http://magicflames.de/index.php?option=com_easybookreloaded ????????? ?????????, ?? ?????????? ? ??????????? ?????? ???? ??????. ?????????? ????? ????????? ?????? ?????????? ?????? ????? ??????, ??????? ?? ?????????? ??????? ??? ????? ? ?????????? ??????????? ???????????? ?????? ???? ????? CMS.

      ?????????? ????? ??? ????????? ???????? ??????????? ???? ????????? ????? ????????? ?????? ???? ?????. ??????????? ????? ?????? ??????????? ????????? ?????? ??????????? ? SEO, ??????? ?????????? ????????? ?? ???-??????? ???????????? ? ??????????? ?????????? ????????? ??????. ??????????? ?????? http://magicflames.de/index.php?option=com_easybookreloaded

    238. Stonewall DW says:

      Lets play which one is not like the others!

      ARIZONA polls

      Trump/Biden

      47/47 – Susquehanna
      46/45 – Data for Progress
      49/48 – ABC News/Washington Post
      47/49 – Data Orbital
      46/47 – IPSOS
      47/47 – Monmouth
      48/50 – Gravis

      40/49 – NY Slimes/Upchuck/Siena College

    239. Big E says:

      Debate prep must have really gone bad for Biden since his campaign is requesting breaks and not allowing for electronic device checks. Its sounds like even if he had the questions in advance, he still cannot remember the answers. I expect him to melt down after 25 to 30 minutes.

    240. jaichind says:

      Wait. The debate is already only 90 minutes and there are going to be breaks on top of that ?

    241. Phil says:

      ….and if anyone thinks Baris is not the real deal, let me give you his final results from 2016. The first number is the final Baris poll number and the second is the final margin.

      Florida Trump +2 — Trump +1.2
      Iowa Trump +6 — Trump +9.5
      Michigan Trump +1 — Trump +0.3
      NC Trump +3 — Trump +3.6
      Pennsylvania Trump +1 — Trump +0.7
      Ohio Trump +3 — Trump +8.1
      Va. Clinton +1 _ Clintom +5.4
      Wisconsin tie Trump +0.3
      NH Trump +0.7 Clinton +0.3

      He only significant miss was Virginia although he got the winner right. He said the other day he knows what he did wrong there and that Virginia is not a swing state. In the cases of Ohio and Iowa he actually underestimated the Trump final margin.

      Baris puts in the work to reach the real electorate across an entire state.

    242. Greymarch says:

      The thing is…why wouldnt Biden let a third party inspect their ears? He just gave Trump the excuse the president needs if the debate goes poorly for Trump. I dont see how Biden not letting a third-party inspect his ears helps him. Now everyone will suspect Biden has a mic in his ear.

    243. Tina says:

      Wow judge Obama Sullivan is telling the doj what it should have done.

      This is a clear separation of powers issue.

    244. Phil says:

      I guess my point is that he doesn’t work for NBC or the NYT and won’t skew his results to get their business. Refreshing.

    245. Tina says:

      He agreed to the Device inspection, as did trump.

      Now wants to change it.

    246. Phil says:

      …maybe because Biden’s side has something to hide.

    247. Tina says:

      I hope the Jebot is hapoy at the way flynn is being treated by the judge from the turd world.

    248. Tina says:

      Sullivan is touting every conspiracy book

    249. Tina says:

      Paging the Supreme Court

      Will Chamberlain
      @willchamberlain
      ·
      3m
      Reminder John Gleeson is not a party to this case

      He’s a private citizen who just wants to see General Flynn in jail

      We don’t have private prosecutors in this country

      And it’s Judge Sullivan who’s responsible for this spectacle, it’s a disgrace to the judiciary

    250. Waingro says:

      LOL.

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      GEORGIA
      Biden 50% (+3)
      Trump 47%
      .
      #GAsen:
      Ossoff (D) 49% (+1)
      Perdue (R-inc) 48%

      @QuinnipiacPoll
      , LV, 9/23-27
      https://poll.qu.edu/georgia/release-detail?ReleaseID=3676

    251. Gordon Allen says:

      Biden wanting 30 minute breaks,and refusing to accept ear inspection for listening device sure doesn’t look good ( to put it mildly).

    252. Tina says:

      Queen peen iAc cannot pole their arse from their elbow.

      Complete junk.

    253. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Good old Quinnipiac, which never shows a GOP candidate with a lead maintains its purity with a Biden +3 Georgia Poll & Perdue(R) down 1 in the Senate race.
      There is so much wrong with the crosstabs, I do not have time to discuss now, but they consider the PID D+2 and NO Democrat crossovers when in 2006, 13% of Democrats cast ther ballots for The Donald.

      Also, Sus has arizona even and Trump down 2 in Wisconsin.

    254. Tina says:

      8
      12
      120

      Jack Posobiec
      @JackPosobiec
      ·
      26m
      Judge Sullivan is now making accusations about Trump’s tweets in the Flynn case

      Sullivan also admits he doesn’t understand how to tweet

    255. Phil says:

      Quinnipiac continues to beclown themselves.

      I guess we should see Biden pouring resources into Georgia just any day now.

      Uh, not.

      If this was even remotely accurate we would have seen by now Biden’s campaign making a play for the state.

      We haven’t.

    256. jaichind says:

      If I understand correctly the Biden camp actually agreed to a device check a few days ago but are now reneging on it now. I assume it is a ploy where if they refused a few days ago then that fact will work its way through the new cycle. But refusing last minute will give it no time for that fact to work its way through the news cycle. And by tomorrow the news will be all about debate zingers for anyone to care.

    257. Waingro says:

      Yeah, QPac has Dems voting 98% to 0 for Biden. 51-42 “independents” voting for Biden. Trash City.

    258. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Some additional polls; NH,NC and TX.
      Texas
      SEP 18-25, 2020
      A/B
      University of Massachusetts Lowell
      882 LV Biden
      46%
      50%
      Trump Trump +4
      President: general election Texas
      SEP 18-25, 2020
      A/B
      University of Massachusetts Lowell
      882 LV Biden
      46%
      More Trump +3
      President: general election N.C.
      SEP 18-25, 2020
      A/B
      University of Massachusetts Lowell
      921 LV Biden
      48%
      49%
      Trump Trump +1
      President: general election N.C.
      SEP 18-25, 2020
      A/B
      University of Massachusetts Lowell
      921 LV Tie More EVEN
      President: general election N.H.
      SEP 17-25, 2020
      A/B
      University of Massachusetts Lowell
      657 LV Biden
      53%
      44%
      Trump Biden +9
      President: general election N.H.
      SEP 17-25, 2020
      A/B
      University of Massachusetts Lowell
      657 LV Biden
      52%
      More Biden

    259. Hugh says:

      Instead trump will bring up Biden’s 180 and combine it with Biden using teleprompters for interviews. It will not be a good look for Biden. Truth is no matter how trump performs all he has to do is show the contrasts between him and Biden. If he does great and Biden is a drooling idiot better yet.

    260. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      What we’ve all been awaiting. A North Dakota Poll!

      election N.D.
      SEP 12-16, 2020
      B/C
      DFM Research
      500 LV Biden
      37%
      56%
      Trump Trump +19

      If this were a Quinnipiac Poll, Trump would be down by 2 pts. LOL

    261. jaichind says:

      Its pretty sad but perhaps going forward all candidates should go through a metal detector (like at airports) before starting a debate since a device could be implanted surgically.

    262. lisab says:

      I actually haven’t met a single person who voted for Trump and will now vote for Biden. Or that voted for HRC and now will vote for Trump, to be honest.
      ——————–

      bitterlaw knows 17 million suburban housewives who will gladly lose 10% of their income to vote against trump …

      oh wait … they lost 20% … nevermind …

    263. Tina says:

      Wacko Gleason is given more time thst Flynn’s counsel.

      Gleason is not a party to the matter.

    264. lisab says:

      I know several women who voted for Hillary and now won’t say
      for whom they intend to vote.
      ————————-

      there were MANY women who would have crawled through fire to vote for hillary

      biden not so much …

      not that they will vote for trump now, but some will probably just not vote or will vote 3rd party

      not many … but some

      i doubt MORE women will vote for biden than trump

    265. Phil says:

      The Quinn Geoprgia poll is the first poll I have ever seen where there is zero Democratic crossover vote for any Republican candidate.

      Ever

    266. lisab says:

      i think the recent upswing in polls for biden has nothing to do with the taxes … i doubt anyone cares that was thinking of voting for trump

      i think it is so that if biden does have a gaffe tonight, a gaffe that cannot be ignored, the polls will be able to come down to biden up by 5 points, and the pollsters will say, yes, the gaffe had an effect … biden is now only ahead by 5%

      but since trump was getting close to the margin of error in some states, if biden has a gaffe, they would have had to make the states tied or even trump ahead … and they cannot have that

      but … i don’t think biden will have a major gaffe tonight

      Q: what is your favorite color?

      Biden: blue … no green … no blue … ummmmmm … i like swimming naked with secret service agents …

      cnn commenter: GREAT ANSWER! WOW!

    267. lisab says:

      I’m not an expert on this stuff, but how can Biden’s ear piece be blocked without also blocking the Secret Service ear pieces?
      ———————————–

      distance and frequency, plus the secret service probably has frequency hopping, off-commercial frequencies ear pieces

      trump will be closer to biden, and biden probably would be using commercial ear pieces using commercial frequencies

      so in theory they could try to block biden’s electronics … my hubby has one for knocking out wifi in public spaces …

    268. PresidentPaul! says:

      “FXHedge
      @Fxhedgers
      ·
      14m
      WHITE HOUSE COUNTER OFFER TO DEMOCRAT STIMULUS BILL $1.5-$1.6 TRILLION – FBN”

      This is what is dumb about this. You’re basically throwing a reelection campaign because you’re mad Pelosi wants an extra 500 billion.

      Just give her what she wants at this point.

    269. Tina says:

      FOOL NELSON
      @FOOL_NELSON
      ·
      5m
      BREAKING: In late July 2016, U.S. intelligence agencies obtained insight into Russian intelligence
      analysis alleging that
      @HillaryClinton
      had approved a campaign plan to stir up a scandal against
      @realDonaldTrump
      by tying him to Putin and the Russians’ hacking of the
      @DNC
      . Collision symbol

    270. Stonewall DW says:

      And the GA poll by Quinnipiac will trigger a new Thread…”

      Biden leads in another state Trump won in 2016…

      …you know the drill.

    271. Gordon Allen says:

      What did Shakespeare say” Will no one relieve me of…” Will anyone relieve me/us of these relentless and totally useless college polls that are churned out in record numbers? Please

    272. PresidentPaul! says:

      Radical Judge Sulivan now threatening Sidney Powell with Bar referral

      https://twitter.com/TheLastRefuge2/status/1310988164165701635?s=20

    273. Phil says:

      Richard Baris sys you will get no relief from these absurd polls through the election.

      They are intended to drive a narrative and depress the Trump vote.

    274. MyronSoymn says:

      ??????? ???? ???????, ??? ??????, ????????????? ? ????? ???????? ????????????? ?????? ?????????, ? ?????? ???????, ? ????????? ??????? ? ?????????, ???? ????? ?? ????????? ??? ??????????????? ??????? ? ???????? ??? ??? ????????? ????. ?????? ????? ????? ????????, ??????? ? ?????? ?????? ?? ??????? ? ?????? ? ?? ???????? ???????????, ? ????? ? ???? ?????? ????????????? ??????. ? ???????? ???????, ? ??? ????? ?????? ? ???????? ???????, ???? ? ???????? ???????? ????????????? ? ????????????? ????????? ??????????? ????????? ?????.
      ?? ????, ???????, ???????? ???????????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ??????????? ????? ??????????? ??????????? ????????????? ? ?????????? ??????, ??????? ?? ??????? ???????? ????. ??????, ???? ?? ???????? ?????????, ??????? ?? ?????? ? Ultra HD alias ? HD, ???????? ? ????????? ?????????? ????? ??????? ? ???????? ? ??? ????? ????? ? 10—15 ???. ???? ?? ???????? ???????????? ?????????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????? ? Ultra HD, ??, ?????????? ????????, ????????? ? ? 50 ??????? ??????, ??? ???? ??????? ???????????? ????????-???????.
      ??????????? ????? ? ???????? ??????????? ???????? ????? ?????????? ? ????, ??????, ?????? ?????, ????? ????????????? ???????, ???? ?? ??????????? ?????-?? ???????????? ?????????, ??????? ????????? ???? ??????? ???????? ? ???? ??????????? ??? ??????????? ??????. ???????, ???-?? ?????? ??????? «?????????». ???? ?? ?? ??????????? ????? ???? ????? ??? ??????, ??????????? ??????? ??????? ??????????? ???????? ????????? ??? ?????? ??????????? ? ????????? ? ???, ??????? ?????????? ????????.
      ? ???????? ??, ??????????? ? ??????? ??????. ???? ??, ? ???????, ?? ??????????? ?????????, ????????????? ?????? ? ????? ?????? ??????????????? ???????? ????????? ????????? ? ????????, ??????? ??????????? ???????? ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???????? ????? ????????? ?????????? ?? ??????? ??????, ? ???????? ? ??????? ????????? ?????????????? ???????? ????? ???????-???, ???????????? ?? ???????????????? ????????? 25—45 ???, ?? ??? ????????? ??????, ????????? ????????? ??? ??? ????? ????? ?????? ???????? ??????? ?????????????, ??????? ?? ?????? ?????????? ????????????? ??? ????? ?????????? ??????, ???? ???? ???????.
      ?????? ???????????? ??????? ??????? ????????? ??-??????, ??? ? ???????? ????, ??? ??????????? ???????. ??-??????, ????? ???????????????? ?? ?????????? ????? ???? ??????, ?? ?????? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ????? ???? ??????? ????, ?????? ???????? ? ????????? ????? ??? ?????????, ???? ???? ????????? ????????? ??????????? ????? ?????????? ???????????? ?? ????? ????. ???? ????? ?????????? ?????????? ???????? ?????????????? ? ????? ?????? ?? CDN-?????????? ? ???????????? ??? ???? ???????????. ???????? ??????? ? ????? ??????? ????????? ? ????????? ????? ???? ???? ? ? ????????? ??????? ??? ?? ?????? ?????????? ?? ???? ??????????? ????????.
      ?????? ?????? — ???????? ? ???????? ????????. ??????????, ???? ??????????? ?????? ???????? ? Stuffed HD. ? ???????, ?? ????????, ? ? ??? ???? ???????????? ? ???????? HD ????? Full HD. ?? ??????????? ???? ??? ?????????????? ? CDN-?????????, ? ?? ??????????? ???? Loud HD ?? ?????? ????????? ??????? — ? ????? ??????? ???????, ? ??? ???????????? ???????, ? ????? ????????, ? ????? ???????? ??????????????? ???????. ?? ?????? ??? ?????-???? ?????????????? ?????? ? ?????? ? ????? ??????? ?? ????????? ? Full HD, ? HD, ? SD, ? LD — ???? ?????????? ?????????????? ??? ??????????? ????????? ????????? ? ?? ??????????. ?? ????????, ? ???? ???????, ? ??? ????? ??????????????? ????????, ?? ????????? ???? ????????? ??????? ??? ? ???????? ????????, ??????? ? ??????????, ???? ?? ????? ?????? ???????? ?????, ????? ????????? ????????????????? ???????. ??? ???? ??????? ??????? — ?????????? ?????????, ??????? ??????? ????????????? ????????? ??? ??????????? ??????????? ???????????? ? ??????? ?? ????? ?????????????? ??????????, ????????????????? ??????? MPEG-4. ? ???? ?????? ??? ??????? ????? ? ??????? MPEG-2, ????? ?????????? ????? ??????????. ?????????? ???????? ??????? ?????????? ? ??????????????? ??????????? ????????.
      ??????????, ??????? ?????????? ???????? — ??? ??????????? ????? ? ??????????????? ????? ??????. ? ????? ???????? ?????????????? ? CDN-???? ?? ?????? ??????? ??????????? ?????????, ?? ????????? ?? ??????? ? ??????????????. ?? ??????????? ??????? ???? ??? ?????????????? CDN-????????? ???? ?????????? ????? ? ??????? ????????. ?????? ??? ?????????????? ???? ??????????? ?????? ? ?? ???????, ??????? ????? ? ??????????? ??? ????? ?????????: ???????????, ?????????, ??????????, OTT-?????????. ? ????? ?????? ??????? ??? ???????? 5—10 ?????. ?????? ????????? ??????? ????? ???????, ??? ?????? ??? ??????? ???????????????? ?????? ?? ?????? ?????? ????????? ? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ?? ???????.
      ??????????? ? ????????-??????? ????????????? ????????? ? ??? ???????, ???? ??? ???? ???????? ??????????? ????????? ????? ????????? ? ????? ????? ????????? ?? ?????????????? ??????????? ????????, ? ?? ?????? ?????? ???? ?????????? ????????????? ? ?????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ????????, ????????????? ??????????????. ????? ??????????, ????????, ???????? ???????? ???????????? ? ??????????? ???????????, ??????? ?????? ?????????? ?????????? ?????????, ??? ? ??? ?? ????????? ??? ??????, ??????? ????? ??????????? ???????? ????????? ???? ??????. ????? ???? ??????? ?? ??????????? ? ??????????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ????????, ????????? ???????? ??? ??????.

    275. Florida Guy says:

      Quinnipiac is the worst college pollster. And that is saying a lot. After their spectacular FL errors in 2018, they shoulda sat this one out.

      -FG

    276. Gordon Allen says:

      President Paul: I think Kudlow is right and we don’t need the 1.5 Trillion more debt. By the time it would pass and the money injected into the economy the election will be over. Is some big the 2.2 Trillion earmarked for you ??

    277. Tina says:

      Judge Wacko Gleason

      Leslie McAdoo Gordon
      @McAdooGordon
      Replying to
      @McAdooGordon
      “Since when does it matter if the investigation” is predicated. Meaningless administrative things. This is really the wrong way to look at it. The entire criminal justice system rests on the premise that we only investigate allegations of crime; we don’t investigate people.
      12

    278. Tina says:

      Bubu what is in piglosis bill that you like so much?

    279. PresidentPaul! says:

      UFC stars following Dana’s lead campaigning for Trump.

      Ariel Helwani
      @arielhelwani

      ·
      4h
      Jorge Masvidal will join Donald Trump Jr. on a day long “Fighters Against Socialism” bus tour across Florida this Saturday. They will hold 3 rallies in Tampa, Orlando and Miami. Their final rally will be at the American Top Team gym where they expect numerous fighters to join.

    280. Tina says:

      Here is the bombshell letter from Ratcliffe to granite

      https://twitter.com/FOOL_NELSON/status/1311016321275043842/photo/1

    281. Tina says:

      Basically, shows that Obiden approved the Russian hoax.

    282. PresidentPaul! says:

      287
      Not only do I think the stimulus is needed, but next year we’re going to need even more stimulus.

      In fact my view of the dollar has been revised based on the US election. I think the reason the dollar was strengthening was because of expectations of either Trump winning or the GOP winning the senate and causing divided government.

      If Biden wins, I think we have ongoing loose monetary, and I think fiscal will be peddle to the metal. We could see massive dollar devaluation next year assuming Biden wins which means equities and metals to the moon.

      Obviously a closely divided senate would keep things in check

    283. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Jack Posobiec
      @JackPosobiec
      ·
      1m
      BREAKING: According to handwritten notes, Brennan briefed Obama on Hillary’s approval of a proposal to attack Trump in the 2016 election by tying him to Putin

    284. PresidentPaul! says:

      Coming out of 08 crisis was the slowest economic recovery in the history of the USA. The economy was still finding it’s footing all the way into 2012 and 13.

      I think the present scenario is going to be infinitely worse. It’s japanification.

      The only way out is dollar devaluation, but the only way to achieve that is loose monetary and start spending.

    285. PresidentPaul! says:

      its footing

    286. Tina says:

      China Biden knew that muh Russia was a hoax.

      Biden also set up Flynn.

    287. Gordon Allen says:

      PP. You perpetually ignore 32% growth rate in 3rd quarter. The only thing keeping us from insanely explosive growth is the continued restraint imposed by lockdowns. Lift them and our worry will be too explosive growth and possible inflation.
      The turnaround time for stimulus money affecting the election has come and gone.

    288. Tina says:

      Mike morell testified it was true.

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      5m
      BREAKING: On July 26, 2016, U.S. intel authorities learned that Russian intel knew of Hillary Clinton’s plans to cook up a scandal alleging that Trump was working with Russia. Obama was personally briefed on Russia’s knowledge of Clinton’s plans.

    289. Country Dick Montana says:

      Thank goodness I was here today for the FREE daily economic synopsis. I am sure that Mnuchin and Powell were here too. Hopefully they are listening and act accordingly.

    290. PresidentPaul! says:

      #299
      We have a jobs report this week, which will clarify my view that there is no recovery. I’ve also explained the math behind recoveries that is deceiving which is as follows. If you go from fall 50% from 100 of something you fall to 50 of something. If you then have a 50% increase\growth of that same something, you nominally have a value of 75 somethings (if you want to go back to 100 you’d need a 100% increase not a 50% increase)

    291. PresidentPaul! says:

      Donald Trump Jr.
      @DonaldJTrumpJr

      ·
      3m
      OMG

      JUST DECLASSIFIED: The Russia hoax was Hillary’s plan, and the Obama-Biden White House was briefed on it.

      https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1311024198056198145?s=20

      Will the fake news ignore the Russian Hoax now that we know it was a hoax?

    292. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      11m
      BREAKING: On July 26, 2016, U.S. intel authorities learned that Russian intel knew of Hillary Clinton’s plans to cook up a scandal alleging that Trump was working with Russia. Obama was personally briefed on Russia’s knowledge of Clinton’s plans.

    293. PresidentPaul! says:

      What’s a bank to do when all its assets are in Hong Real estate?
      HSBC turning out to be one of the worst money launders among the bunch

    294. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Sean Davis’s Tweets

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      13m
      Today’s declassification confirms that from the beginning, the FBI knew its anti-Trump investigation was based entirely on Russian disinformation. Brennan and Comey were personally warned. They responded by fabricating evidence and defrauding the courts. https://judiciary.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/09-29-20_Letter%20to%20Sen.%20Graham_Declassification%20of%20FBI's%20Crossfire%20Hurricane%20Investigations_20-00912_U_SIGNED-FINAL.pdf

    295. JeffP says:

      These people are as corrupt as hell. I hope several of them go to prison. How can this not be some sort of conspiracy crime or even worse?

      BIDEN CANNOT WIN…THEY CANNOT REGAIN THIS TYPE OF POWER. MSM NEEDS TO BE DESTROYED.

    296. Stonewall DW says:

      And the info is just in time for the debate tonight. Trump himself will have to do the work of the news media.

    297. PresidentPaul! says:

      Brennan is a member of the US Communist Party that’s why the dems selected him to run the corrupt CIA.

      Trump appointed an even more evil person: Gina Haspel to run it.

    298. Stonewall DW says:

      Oct 7-11, 2016 UMASS-Lowell had NH:

      Hillary 45/ Trump 39/ Johnson 9/ Stein 2

      Hillary +6

      This time they are saying Biden +8

      Interesting the same pollster in 2016 had NH tighten to a tie for their final poll.

      So this poll today has not at all shaken my belief that NH is very much in play.

    299. PresidentPaul! says:

      Only reason Haspel got the job is she destroyed evidence of war crimes against Federal law. She should have gone to jail instead she got a promotion.

    300. JeffP says:

      I guess we know why Durham is investigating the Clinton Foundation now. Of course it was the Clintons idea. Obama and Biden played along and helped with Comey, Brennan, etc…sick I hope they rot in hell.

    301. Tina says:

      Obama Sullivan rocked as is judge Wacko Gleason

      Leslie McAdoo Gordon
      @McAdooGordon
      ·
      3s
      Oh, Mooppan says he doesn’t know of any cases where the FBI was wondering about getting someone fired because those cases wouldn’t be brought by DOJ. !!

    302. PresidentPaul! says:

      That Flynn commercial that was on twitter for Trump was so good. Can’t seem to find it anymore.

    303. Stonewall DW says:

      Crooked judges, crooked Democrat party, crooked Obama, crooked Hillary–and crooked media refusing to point these things out…

      We are watching the end of western civilization right before our eyes.

    304. PresidentPaul! says:

      Don’t forget big tech working with the dems on all of this…

    305. Waingro says:

      Flynn hearing FINALLY ends. Takes everything “under advisement”. PARDON HIM.

    306. PresidentPaul1 says:

      Sen Feinstein was pushing for a national mask mandate previously, and here we have her walking around the airport on Friday without a mask.

      https://youtu.be/DgIHvdDGycw

      it was a setup!

    307. PresidentPaul! says:

      I’m not sure I’d pardon him. That makes him look guilty.

      I can see Flynn running for president in 4 years.

    308. Todd McCain says:

      Warnock is obviously consolidating DEM support and that race seems to be going to a run-off. I am hoping Loeffler comes out of the runn-off; she can self-fund.

    309. Waingro says:

      More LOL.

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      #GAsen Special Election:
      Warnock (D) 38%
      Collins (R) 25%
      Loeffler (R-inc) 21%
      Lieberman (D) 5%
      Tarver (D) 2%
      .
      Runoff:
      Warnock (D) 49% (+5)
      Collins (R) 44%
      .
      Warnock (D) 49% (+10)
      Loeffler (R-inc) 39%

      @Civiqs
      /
      @dailykos
      , LV, 9/26-29
      https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/9/29/1981768/-Warnock-surges-to-Georgia-Senate-special-election-lead-Dems-all-looking-good-Civiqs-poll

    310. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris also said today he has polled OH twice recently and polls showing a close race or Biden lead he said are junk. Trump wins OH, period.

    311. Waingro says:

      #322, need Baris to poll PA or MI. Or maybe WI.

    312. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris said he was going to poll and was asking listeners for ideas. Sounded like the choices were AZ, PA and NH.

    313. Waingro says:

      #324, forget NH. I would be fine with AZ, but PA is more key to find out the actual state of this race.

    314. PresidentPaul! says:

      #325
      Is Trump more likely to PA or Wisconsin do you think?

    315. PresidentPaul! says:

      Jack Posobiec
      @JackPosobiec
      ·
      3m
      BREAKING: DOJ admits in court Flynn never should have been prosecuted. Says charges were always unprovable.

    316. Waingro says:

      #326, PA between those two. But I think PA v. MI is a closer call.

    317. MrVito says:

      Burgess Everett
      @burgessev
      · 54m
      Senate Majority Whip Thune says if Dems force procedural votes during ACB confirmation on Senate floor then the GOP will just confirm more judges if Senate forced to be in session

      “There’s a price to pay” for those tactics, he says

    318. PresidentPaul! says:

      So if Trump wins Florida, Ohio and Wisconsin is there a path to 270 without states assuming losing PA and Mi?

      Seems like this might be one of those win Maine 1 vote and control Nebraska

    319. Gordon Allen says:

      Trump will win NH from everything I saw and heard. Polling is indeed broken and corrupt. It’s effect still to by determined.

    320. Waingro says:

      #331, yeah, assuming he holds AZ and ME-2, he would still win the EC under that scenario. If he loses ME-2 AND NE-2 than Biden would win 270-268.

    321. Stonewall DW says:

      If Trump wins FL, OH, NC, and AZ, then WI alone is enough to get to 270.

    322. PresidentPaul! says:

      And NH win would replace the need to worry about ME or NE I would assume as well.

    323. PresidentPaul! says:

      Personally if if Biden wins the election, but it’s close enough that the senate GOP somehow manage to maintain control, I’d be lukewarm happy enough with the outcome of the election.

    324. Justin says:

      If Trump wins NH, he has easily won the Maine district.

    325. Tina says:

      Bubu wants his Biden stimulus and piglosis ice creams.

    326. SoHope says:

      so I’m supposed to believe a guy who thought Carter would beat Reagan?

    327. Wes says:

      I don’t think Trump loses if he carries WI. It’s still a Lean D state despite GOP gains there since 2010. I tend to assume Trump wins with enough room to spare if WI picks him over Biden.

    328. Wes says:

      I don’t know if he predicted the 1980 outcome, So hope. The article doesn’t say. Anyway I was just pointing him out as one of the quadrennial prognosticators who supposedly have called every presidential race correctly ad infinitum.

    329. Stonewall DW says:

      Just to illustrate the absurdity of the ABC News/Washington Post polls, consider they have Trump improving his standing in FL from a 1 point 2016 win to a 4 2020 point win, while at the same time they show his 1 point 2016 win in PA translate to a 9 point loss.

      The states just don’t move like that on an incumbent POTUS.

    330. Wes says:

      DW, Indiana flipped that way against Obama in 2012.

    331. MrVito says:

      What is catch that the revelation of a plot by the Clinton’s wouldn’t be the big story right now?

    332. Stonewall DW says:

      Wes, and every time I hear one of those stories, I bring up the fact that in one life of one pundit, he has only analyzed a tiny database of elections.

      For instance, if you have been at this for the last 40 years, it means you started with Reagan-Carter, but you have only predicted 10 elections. And lets be honest, not all these were hard to predict. 1984 and 1996 were easy. 1988 wasn’t that hard either, but lets stick with 8.

      Now consider the average NCAA men’s basketball tournament bracket pool. After 8 games have been played, check the standings and there will still be hundreds with a perfect record, because the database of games is small, and the pool of players is large.

      Simple statistics.

      There a thousands of professors, experts and pundits, and only 8 elections that they had to guess on. So there will always be several hundred with a perfect record.

      But it has absolutely NO predictive value.

    333. Stonewall DW says:

      Wes, I have explained IN in 2012 as well as TN in 2004.

      Obama made a particular effort to flip IN in 2008, and he barely succeeded. He made no effort to hold it in 2012, so it reverted back to its normal voting pattern.

      In 2004, Bush ran against a northeast liberal instead of Tennessee native Al Gore, so the state went from a narrow Bush win to a blowout against Kerry.

      But if you look state by state, there is very little movement in the margins both in 2012 and 2004, elections where the POTUS was running for re-election.

      The ABC/WashPost poll of FL and PA are simply not compatible. There is no data that warrants such a shift.

    334. PresidentPaul! says:

      Behind the scenes on why Doc REALLY got fired (not because the clippers lost to Denver)

      (hint hint -Paul George was cheating on Doc’s daughter)

    335. Wes says:

      Oh, I know, DW. Most of them lost their perfect predictive status in 2016. It’s just another curiosum seeing at least one new one dredged up every four years.

    336. Pitchaboy says:

      One of two things will happen. Guys like me and DW will turn out as Polaris Redux or MSM pollsters will have a day of reckoning. We shall see.

    337. Stonewall DW says:

      Just to be clear, I am not at all suggesting Trump is a lock to win. He could lose. The media corruption, the Dem Party corruption and cheating will be intense. Right now, I am seeing Trump holding IA, GA, and OH, along with NC, FL and AZ. That’s 260.

      Its getting the next 10 EVs where Trump still has work to do. I think he can, but its not a given.

      I was heartened today by the news Baris shared that Trump’s polling in rural florida is much stronger than 2016 where he did extraordinarily well. That is good news for rural areas of other battleground states, just like it was in 2016

    338. Wes says:

      I read the article Pitchaboy posted. The guy mentioned started predictions in 1996 but claims to have predicted 25 of 27 presidential elections accurately.

      It would be easy to predict every presidential election going back to 1912 after the fact.

      Of course he’s just like the other guy I linked to. They both have their predictive models. One will be right. One will be wrong. They’re just two more of the same crop we get every four years.

    339. Robbie says:

      I don’t know whether we’re about to see another substantial rise in corona cases nationally as we did in late June and July, but we’ve been trending ever so slightly upward recently.

      Today, though, we’re already 4,500 cases higher than last Tuesday and TX and CA still haven’t reported. Given the vagaries of reporting, it’s hard to know whether the rise is real or a function of haphazard reporting.

    340. Scooterboy says:

      Baris- “ Roy Cooper ad praises @VP @Mike_Pence record on healthcare as governor of Indiana.”

      Incredible.

    341. Robbie says:

      I’ve shied away from commenting on the presidential race since late July. I know many here are optimistic about Trump’s chances. Needless to say, I’m not where many of you are.

      I think Trump, thankfully, got past the miserable doldrums of the Summer where everything that could go wrong did. I think his base support is as strong as it’s ever been, but I do question his standing in the suburbs. His default action seems to be to play to base rather than branch out.

      Right now, I’m more interested in the Senate. I’ve still got my fingers crossed Republicans can hold onto the majority there, but they have to run the table on a lot of races that never should have been as competitive as they seem to be right now.

    342. Stonewall DW says:

      just a quick note on the Susquehanna poll of FL showing Biden +3 with a lot of undecided.

      Applying what Baris said today about FL against that poll, and I am guessing that the large number of undecided are not really undecided, but will heavily move toward Trump.

      Baris’ own poll had 7% undecided, but while examining the many profile questions, it was clear to him that many hidden Trump voters were saying undecided.

      He also mentioned that you have to work hard to reach all the needed demographics. Susquehanna, while being a good pollster, might have shorted itself on that tough to reach rural vote.

    343. Tina says:

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      · 2m
      Christopher Steele worked for a sanctioned Russian oligarch in 2016.

      Fusion GPS worked for the same oligarch and a sanctioned Russian energy company.

      Steele’s “primary sub-source” was himself a Russian intelligence asset.

      The CIA/FBI knew all this and still went along with it.

    344. Pitchaboy says:

      Slightly off the mark Wes. His model does not use opinion polls. It uses actual votes in prior election and more importantly, in primaries. If you plug those numbers in he is correct in 25/27 elections. He categorically states DJT wins and wins big in EC.

    345. Robbie says:

      I was disappointed to see longtime strategist for the Chamber of Commerce Scott Reed resigned. The Chamber endorsed 20 or so Democrats and that was a bridge too far for him. The Chamber is clearly betting the next few years will see Democrats in command of the levers of government.

      Reed was a strategist on Dole’s 1996 campaign and he played a big role in 2014 in helping Thad Cochran stave off Chris McDaniel’s challenge. Reed got Brett Favre to make a commercial for Cochran and that helped turn the tide in the runoff.

    346. Pitchaboy says:

      Undoubtedly DJT will lose votes in the suburbs. And equally undoubtedly, will pick up votes in rural areas. You can feel it in PA. Question is if the two balance each other out. I think personally he gains more in rural PA than he loses in Chester and Delaware counties.

    347. Phil says:

      Stonewall, it’s going to be a balance between Trump’s losses in the suburbs vs his gains in rural and working class areas. This is a realignment and is why this election is so hard to call.

      Want to see how Pennsylvania is going? Look at how much Trump gains in Erie and Lackawanna Counties vs how much he loses in Montgomery, and Chester Counties. That’s the ballgame in a nutshell.

    348. Phil says:

      Pitch and I on the same page. Great minds think alike.

    349. Tina says:

      The chamber for Chinese Commerce went too far left.

    350. Tina says:

      Regarding the obiden hillary russian collision today, Ratcliffe issues an additional statement

      https://twitter.com/ChuckRossDC/status/1311055073162788868

    351. Robbie says:

      Pitchaboy says:
      September 29, 2020 at 5:33 pm
      Undoubtedly DJT will lose votes in the suburbs. And equally undoubtedly, will pick up votes in rural areas. You can feel it in PA. Question is if the two balance each other out. I think personally he gains more in rural PA than he loses in Chester and Delaware counties.

      – Definitely. The rural areas are primed for Trump. The question is how primed the suburbs are for Biden.

      I still believe the suburbs are Republican. They were huge for us in 2014 and they came through just enough in 2016. They abandoned the party in 2018, though, and polls suggest the same in 2020.

      The question will be whether the suburbs had a quick, fast realignment to Democrat since 2016, or whether the suburbs just don’t care for Trump personally. I still believe it’s mostly the latter.

      If Biden does win, the answer on the suburbs will come in 2022. If they remain a Democrat are, then crap. My guess is they’ll snap back. maybe not all the way, but they’ll move back towards Republicans.

    352. Stonewall DW says:

      Phil, and as Baris pointed out part of the realignment also involves Trump doing better in urban areas. Those numbers in Miami-Dade were astonishing. Of course that area is totally different from Detroit or Philly. But this is a very difficult election to poll, which is why we should go with the pollsters who go the extra mile to get good data instead of those who just throw together what their subscribers wish to see.

    353. Tina says:

      And the jebots fell for this.

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      9m
      The only campaign that inarguably colluded with Russian agents and intelligence assets and worked with them to meddle in the 2016 campaign was the Hillary Clinton campaign.

      Those facts are why corrupt media and Democrats are losing their minds right now. They got busted.

    354. Phil says:

      According to Baris, former Democratic Governor of Pa Ed Rundell has told people in private Democrats will need “Expanded mail in turnout” to carry the state. They will need more ballots. LOL

    355. Tina says:

      Ratcliffe basically shot down a presstitute claim that:

      SSIC (most corrupt committee in congress) were briefed on the obiden, Russian collusion. They weren’t.

      Thst is russian disinformation. It’s not.

    356. Tina says:

      More fraudulent ballots for sure, Phil.

    357. jason says:

      I don’t know whether we’re about to see another substantial rise in corona cases nationally as we did in late June and July, but we’ve been trending ever so slightly upward recently.”

      We had to have the MSM narrative from the lockdown enabler in chief.

    358. Tina says:

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      1m
      Not only did the FBI use Russian disinformation to attack Trump and spy on his campaign, it refused to investigate the Clinton camp’s actual collusion with Russian agents and intelligence assets, EVEN AFTER the FBI was warned about it on September 7, 2016.

    359. Robbie says:

      I will continue to say that, if Biden wins, look for a big 2022 comeback for Republicans, especially in the suburbs. That’s small consolation if Trump loses, but it’s the way things usually work.

      Obviously, it’s impossible to predict 2022 with any certainty without knowing what happened in 2020, but, if Biden’s president, the party is going to be well positioned to win lots of governors races and state legislative seats.

      Don’t discount that corona restrictions, especially in blue states like PA, MI, and CA will almost certainly still be in effect. Couple exhaustion of dumb, overbearing restriction with an economy that probably will still suck and you have the recipe for some surprising flips.

    360. Tina says:

      Yup, more concern about corona.

      With all the concern, you think it would pool his. Ones to sue his shut down governor or something.

      Sue to reopen

    361. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 5:43 pm
      I don’t know whether we’re about to see another substantial rise in corona cases nationally as we did in late June and July, but we’ve been trending ever so slightly upward recently.”

      We had to have the MSM narrative from the lockdown enabler in chief.

      – It’s cute you’ve decided to claim I was a lockdown enabler when I was one of the most ardent opponents of the lockdowns in April.

      It’s a very Trumpian tactic. It won’t work, though.

      Why not just stick to cheering the fact I’m losing my job Thursday.

    362. Tina says:

      No, trump should declassify it.

      atherine Herridge
      @CBS_Herridge
      · 57m
      NOW: @LindseyGrahamSC tells @CBSNews that he is working to declassify notes cited in @DNI_Ratcliffe letter to the fullest extent possible + he questions whether the Sept 2016 “investigative referral” to FBI about an alleged effort by the Clinton campaign to distract from
      Show this thread

    363. Phil says:

      Yes, Trump is doing better with minorities then he did in 2012 – again, it’s class. Working class blacks and working class Hispanics is where he is ticking up. The minority uptick is why he is doing better in the cities.

    364. Tina says:

      No wonder Bj looked so pale.

      Hans Mahncke
      @HansMahncke
      ·
      16m
      The structure of
      @DNI_Ratcliffe
      ‘s letter is a thing of beauty.

      1. Russian IC thought that Hillary concocted a scandal that Trump was working with Russia.

      2. Hillary did actually concoct the scandal.

      3. Oh and Hillary was also referred to the FBI for concocting the scandal.

    365. Wes says:

      Pitch, 21 of those 27 elections occurred before his predictions. It’s easy to make a prediction after the fact. The fact remains that he’s just another one of the same crop we see every four years.

      I put about as much stock in his predictions as I put in those of the guy I linked to.

    366. jason says:

      Note Robbie doesn’t comment how the “scandals” he was so anxious to regurgitate here for years are now showing to be complete BS and an astounding violation of the law.

      Instead he talks about a non-existent new COVID surge (his favorite meme) and about how the suburbs just LOVE socialism and hate Trump.

      Zzzzzz,,,,,,,,

    367. Stonewall DW says:

      Another great point by Baris, is the Dem/media/university polling firm models are calling for a HUGE increase in voting. HUGE…and the vast majority of it votes for Biden.

      This against the fact that GOP is outstripping the Dems in so many key states in new voter registration, and enthusiasm for Slow Joe is non-existent, while enthusiasm for Trump is off the charts.

    368. Phil says:

      Nobody here wants you or anyone else to lose your job.

    369. jason says:

      Why not just stick to cheering the fact I’m losing my job Thursday.”

      Karma is a bit-h.

    370. Robbie says:

      Tina says:
      September 29, 2020 at 5:45 pm
      Yup, more concern about corona.

      With all the concern, you think it would pool his. Ones to sue his shut down governor or something.

      Sue to reopen

      – To ignore the issue that has dominated life like no other story is folly. If Trump loses, it will be because of corona. Corona has destroyed our economy, created civil unrest, and potentially changed the way our state and local officials govern.

      It’s a huge story and the fallout will be with us for a long time. Just choosing to believe it’s no longer and issue might seem nice, but it doesn’t work. Newsom will have your state shutdown in some form into his second term that begins in early 2023.

      An entire generation of education has been harmed. We can’t diminish what’s happened.

    371. Tina says:

      Every other week it’s a new Covid surge.

      Are we on surge 3 or 4.

      In all seriousness, it’s like a third or fourth issue now.

      But muh corona

    372. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      September 29, 2020 at 5:49 pm
      Nobody here wants you or anyone else to lose your job.

      – Phil, I give you comment that immediately followed yours.

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 5:50 pm
      Why not just stick to cheering the fact I’m losing my job Thursday.”

      Karma is a bit-h.

    373. Phil says:

      Wes, I see Cunningham is a little confused as to what constitutes BBQing.

    374. jason says:

      It’s cute you’ve decided to claim I was a lockdown enabler when I was one of the most ardent opponents of the lockdowns in April.”

      Cute but accurate:

      I don’t know whether we’re about to see another substantial rise in corona cases nationally”

      That is lockdown enabling, parroting MSM memes.

      You claim to think the IHME model is wrong, but yet you repeat their narrative here.

      GFY, fraud.

    375. Tina says:

      You need to blame your lock down Governor for shutting down school and wrecking the economy.

      Again, corona is only a third or fourth issue now,

      Further proof, consumer confidence was at a 2020 high because fears of the China virus waned.

      You are the only one who posts stupid posts here about case numbers, etc.

    376. jason says:

      – Phil, I give you comment that immediately followed yours.”

      I never said I wanted anybody to lose their jobs.

      I said in your case the chickens have come home to roost, and there is a certain karma here hard to ignore.

      But how is this, I hope your man Biden gives you the handouts you so much crave.

    377. Tina says:

      And what am I doing?

      Voting for trump

      Giving money to recall Governor Nuissance.

      I am not happy with the situation. I won’t fly anytime soon or go on vacation. But it’s clear that your Drat governors locked down for political purposes.

    378. Tina says:

      And I am sorry that you lost your job.

      You may be able to steady a new career. Real estate is booming. Can you get your re credential?

    379. Phil says:

      The latest IHME model has cases down about ten percent on Election Day and daily deaths down from from the present 785 per day to around 595. Not a huge difference but opposite a surge.

    380. Robbie says:

      Tina says:
      September 29, 2020 at 5:53 pm
      You need to blame your lock down Governor for shutting down school and wrecking the economy.

      Again, corona is only a third or fourth issue now,

      Further proof, consumer confidence was at a 2020 high because fears of the China virus waned.

      You are the only one who posts stupid posts here about case numbers, etc.

      – I do blame my governor and have done so here in this forum since April. Also, I have never blamed Trump for corona either.

      To ignore the effect corona has had on this election is folly. Had it not happened, Trump would, at worst, be in a 1 or 2 point race either way and the Senate would not be in danger of turning over as it is now.

    381. jason says:

      We can’t diminish what’s happened.”

      Sure we can. Because what has happened that is negative is largely driven by the MSM that you and millions of other useful idiots enable.

      For one, we can stop parroting left wing talking points about COVID here ad nauseam.

      Without the MSM that you venerate so much spreading lies and stoking fears, we would not have had the support for lockdowns that we saw.

      And a sure fire way to avoid it happening again, is to stop giving them credence.

      I know, in your case it is hopeless.

    382. Chicon says:

      396 – that means somewhere between up 30% and down 30%.

    383. jason says:

      o ignore the effect corona has had on this election is folly.”

      BS.

      What is folly is to believe anyone who supported Trump is now going to vote for Biden because of the pandemic.

      Now, if you want to make the point the election might be stolen due to mail in ballots, and that only is happening because of COVID, you may have a point.

    384. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 6:01 pm
      o ignore the effect corona has had on this election is folly.”

      BS.

      – Disney just announced they are laying off 28,000 people due to corona. Just BS, right.

    385. jason says:

      ad it not happened, Trump would, at worst, be in a 1 or 2 point race either way”

      LOL

      This from the guy who has been saying for years Trump had no chance of being re-elected and was going to lose in a landslide.

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

    386. Tina says:

      Consumer confidence rebounded in September by the most in more than 17 years as Americans grew more upbeat about the outlook for the economy and job market, though sentiment remained below pre-pandemic levels.

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-29/consumer-confidence-in-u-s-posts-biggest-gain-in-17-years

    387. Tina says:

      You don’t seem to understand about Disney.

      Most of the layoffs are here in Ca.

      Disney officials (largely leftists) have begged Nuissance to reopen, as have Orange County officials.

      Nuissance is not answering them.

      To this day, while they reopened their Downtown Disney, their hotels remain closed, as do the parks.

    388. jason says:

      Disney just announced they are laying off 28,000 people due to corona. Just BS, right.”

      Yes BS, to think these people will now switch to Biden because Disney laid them off.

      Can you tell me anything actually different that Biden has proposed that would get us back to normalcy faster than what Trump is proposing?

      This should be good…

    389. jason says:

      Consumer confidence rebounded in September by the most in more than 17 years as Americans grew more upbeat about the outlook for the economy and job market, though sentiment remained below pre-pandemic levels.”

      You will NEVER see Robbie post something like that.

    390. jason says:

      Here is how it works.

      California DEM governor shuts down entire CA economy, while in most other states everything closed in CA is operating.

      Disney is forced to lay off 28,000 employees.

      Robbie says Trump will lose election because people lost their jobs and blame Trump.

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

    391. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      September 29, 2020 at 6:09 pm
      Robbie says Trump will lose election because people lost their jobs and blame Trump.

      – Where have I said this? Nowhere.

      If Trump loses, he’ll have lost because everything that could go wrong did go wrong in 2020 and none of it was his fault.

      Your ability to lie about me is boundless.

    392. jason says:

      Trump has been out there from the get go encouraging people to go back to work, open schools, you name it. The opposite of Newsome.

      Anyone who doesn’t recognize that and instead votes for Biden’s “universal mask mandate” deserves to live under socialism.

    393. jason says:

      Robbie says Trump will lose election because people lost their jobs and blame Trump.

      – Where have I said this? Nowhere.”

      Hello? LOL

      “To ignore the effect corona has had on this election is folly. Had it not happened, Trump would, at worst, be in a 1 or 2 point race either way ”

      “Disney just announced they are laying off 28,000 people due to corona. Just BS, right.”

    394. jason says:

      If Trump loses, he’ll have lost because everything that could go wrong did go wrong in 2020″

      So you think people will blame him and vote for Biden, just like I said.

      Otherwise, why would he lose?

    395. Tina says:

      Ariel Helwani
      @arielhelwani
      · 7h
      Jorge Masvidal will join Donald Trump Jr. on a day long “Fighters Against Socialism” bus tour across Florida this Saturday. They will hold 3 rallies in Tampa, Orlando and Miami. Their final rally will be at the American Top Team gym where they expect numerous fighters to join.

    396. Cash Cow TM says:

      All the media crowing about polls showing Biden will win in a cakewalk will fuel post election violence if Trump wins.

      Based on what you guys here point out about big flaws in polls in 2020… it is certainly not being discussed in media at all.
      _—————————–
      if the debate actually does happen tonight, Trump will no doubt say some bizarre things, the media will bash him on their fact checking.

      Other predictions… moderators will tippytoe around Biden’s declining mental and physical condition….

      Biden will perform better than most expect…(even though I hope he has major breakdown showing his inept condition)

      Everyone will say Biden won the debate…

      I will be shocked if moderators questions and demeanor show a lack of bias…

      If they ask Trump about why he is so opposed to mail-in absentee ballots, I bet he will fail to give a coherent answer nor explain how some states mailing out ballots to everyone whether they request them or notis insane and

    397. Tina says:

      We will soon be having daily rallies or almost as well as multiple campaign stops.

    398. jason says:

      Can you tell me anything actually different that Biden has proposed that would get us back to normalcy faster than what Trump is proposing?

      This should be good…”

      Still waiting…..

      Checking the left wing trash dumps where you get all your talking point?

    399. jason says:

      Based on what you guys here point out about big flaws in polls in 2020… it is certainly not being discussed in media at all.”

      Well, duhhhh…

    400. jason says:

      if the debate actually does happen tonight, Trump will no doubt say some bizarre things, the media will bash him on their fact checking.

      Other predictions… moderators will tippytoe around Biden’s declining mental and physical condition….

      Biden will perform better than most expect…(even though I hope he has major breakdown showing his inept condition)

      Everyone will say Biden won the debate…

      I will be shocked if moderators questions and demeanor show a lack of bias…”

      No question on any of this.

      This is the MSM ruled news environment we live under.

    401. Cash Cow TM says:

      (continued)….and fraught with huge potential fraud issues..

    402. Tom says:

      I can only hope that Trump gets a chance to point out that one of the chief architects of shipping millions of jobs to China not wants to spend billions of taxpayers dollars to bring them back.

    403. NYCmike says:

      “I will continue to say that, if Biden wins, look for a big 2022 comeback for Republicans, especially in the suburbs. That’s small consolation if Trump loses, but it’s the way things usually work.”

      -You really are thick-headed.

      The Democratic Party will make so many changes to the way elections are held that there will NOT be “a big 2022 comeback for Republicans”.

    404. Pitchaboy says:

      If suburbia does what Robbie suggests: vote down Trump and snap back to R in 2022, they will fully deserve Biden and the communists. DJT’s agenda has fattened up suburbia. He has been great for their retirement accounts.