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Biden : 352
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    Trump Leads Biden By 1% in MI, Biden Leads Trump By 3% in FL

    The Trafalgar Group continues to give Donald Trump his best numbers in state after state and today they show Trump up on Biden by a single percentage point in the state of MichiganMichiganMichigan.

    PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (Trafalagr)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
    Joe Biden (D) 46%

    This poll was done October 11-14 among 1025 likely voters. Meanwhile in Florida, a new poll from Mason-Dixon has Biden up by 3% on Trump.

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Mason-Dixon)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

    This poll was done October 8-12 among 625 likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 12:36 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (793)

    793 Responses to “Trump Leads Biden By 1% in MI, Biden Leads Trump By 3% in FL”

    1. Wes says:

      I’m going to say Trump won’t lose Florida while carrying Michigan.

    2. Stonewall DW says:

      Wes, agreed, and I don’t see any way Trump loses Florida. Not with the Latino polling numbers being strong for Trump along with the surge in GOP registrations reducing the gap to a scant 134k, along with Covid dropping in importance to voters and possible vaccine forthcoming.

    3. Tina says:

      Will 538 silverfish re weight this one and give it a d grade?

    4. Florida Guy says:

      Michigan could be that weird protest vote. Even if Trump loses.

      -FloG

    5. Stonewall DW says:

      Democratic Party Platform:
      1) Anti-Police
      2) Pro-Looting
      3) Sieze retirement savings
      4) Sieze guns
      5) Pro-illegal immigration
      6) Rural America must bail out the failed Democrat cities
      7) If you are not a person of color, you are a racist whether you want to be or not.
      8) Pro-mutilation of young children
      9) Open prison doors and let them all go free
      10) End the free speech of anyone who dissents
      11) Anti-National Anthem
      12) Pro-Mail out ballots to all people: citizens, non-citizens, living, and dead.
      13) Pro-anarchy
      14) Pro-cancel culture
      15) Pro-rationing of gov’t controlled healthcare
      16) Pro-Force taxpayers to pay off student loan debt instead of the students who took the loans.
      17) Pro-“Green” new deal to devastate the economy with crippling regulations and destroy the energy industry.
      18) Pro-“Republicans are enemies of the state” (so aim your weapons at them carefully)
      19) Endless mob violence unless you vote Democrats into office
      20) Pro-never ending shut downs to keep everyone under government control
      21) Pro-send millions of jobs back to China
      22) Pro-never ending of jobless benefits
      23) Pro-living wage
      24) DC to become 51st state
      25) Anti-Peace in the middle east
      26) Pro-sex with minors
      27) Anti-vaccine until after the election.
      28) Pro-replacing lower court system with lynch mobs.
      29) Pro-Packing the SCOTUS with commies
      30) Promised to BAN fracking

      VOTE TRUMP to save Western Civilization

    6. MrVito says:

      Mason Dixon has Biden winning more crossover and winning registered unaffiliated voters.

      Even the vbm numbers currently flip both of those in modeling, so we’ll see…

    7. Hugh says:

      Mason Dixon. Yawn. How did they do in 2016? Call independents in Broward you get one answer in the panhandle another. I can get you any result you want if you pay me for it.

    8. MrVito says:

      TargetSmart FL

      95%RegistR modeled as R
      92%RegistD modeled as D

      Unaffiliated modeled 43-34 R
      Other modeled 49-32 R

    9. Ridin' with Biden says:

      “Hmmm… if he is blind why would you need a “look alike”.”

      ***

      Mr. Jason . Legally blind does not mean he is blind completely.

      “For you to be considered legally blind, you must have a visual acuity of 20/200 or worse in your better seeing eye with corrective lenses on it. So, your inability in seeing properly without glasses while you get up in the morning won’t have to do much with qualifying you as a legally blind person.”

      This “expose” has all the makings of a bad B movie. I may watch it as I’m partial to bad B movies.

    10. Baris says:

      “I can get you any result you want if you pay me for it.”

      Bingo! Oh wait. Nevermind, just send me money.

    11. Annie says:

      I’ll believe a Trafalgar poll over a Mason-Dixon poll any day.

    12. Transparent Dem Troll says:

      Just to be clear, all of the official DNC approved trolls assigned to work HHR have been fired, and we are currently training in replacements. Please be patient, as it takes time.

      The one left posting here as ProudObamacon, Baris, Ridin with Biden and Gator is now doing this as volunteer work and does not reflect upon the quality we strive to achieve.

      Thank you for your understanding.

    13. Gordon Allen says:

      The cross over vote in Florida is Democrat to Republican more than vice versa. I really believe some ” Republican” crossover votes are actually long time Democrat’s playing the game. Another problem with polls( today) are you assume honest answers. A significant assumption with knowledgeable strong Democrat’s.

    14. PresidentPaul! says:

      Hunter and Joe Biden Scandal Takes a Dark Turn — FBI’s Top Lawyer on Child Porn Involved in Case

      https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/hunter-joe-biden-scandal-takes-dark-turn-fbis-top-lawyer-child-porn-involved-case/

      I actually read about this days ago and I assumed the minor thing was a meme.

    15. John says:

      Hey Gropin w Biden,

      What happened to Willie’s Nasty Hoe?

      Trump is up in Michigan Pole.

      Poles not looking wonderful to you? You can go grope your grandkids

    16. Annie says:

      For a comparison, Trafalgar Group had Florida 48.4% Trump, 46.1% Biden, 1.8% Jorgensen, 1% Hawkins, 1.1% Someone else, and 1.6% undecided on October 14th.

    17. Robbie says:

      This may be getting out in front of things a bit early, but when it comes time for the prediction thread on election day, I hope everyone might consider filling out an electoral map on http://www.270towin.com so we can all see how each got to their outcome.

    18. Ridin' with Biden says:

      This is so hard but I’ll try.

      Must not feed John the Troll.
      Must not feed John the Troll.
      Must not feed John the Troll.

      Okay I think I can do it.

    19. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Biden crushed Rump in the ratings – just like their speeches at the DNC and RNC. Not a surprise, people are sick of Rump and ready to turn the chapter. Great polling all around. Sorry, “Big T,” Biden is going to crush you!

    20. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Mason-Dixon is the gold standard of Florida polls. If they have Biden up three, you can take that to the bank.

    21. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Now this is the America I know and love. Get ready for goosebumps!(GatorFool will hate this!)

      https://twitter.com/tafkag/status/1317046143939940353

    22. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      23 – that must be old because we can’t have games with crowds at this time due to the complete mismanagement of the Coronavirus from this president that have left hundreds of thousands of our fellow citizens dead.

    23. MrVito says:

      Mason Dixon hasn’t been a good standard for any poll in about a decade.

    24. Hugh says:

      Mason dixon final fl poll hrc 46 trump 42

    25. MrVito says:

      Trump is polling a point better in the RCP battlegrounds than this time in 2016.

    26. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #24- GatorFool
      Not everyone is a pansy or unpatriotic like you. (Thanks for the softball!)

    27. MrVito says:

      But it does mean the troll is likely “just fill out the census”

    28. MrVito says:

      Mitt Romney has pontificated from on high again.

    29. PhilS says:

      The flop-sweat on these morons is delicious.

      I think all of the crackhead’s and his pedophile dad should be visible. The cabal is panicked, as evidenced by the reactions of Facebook and Twitter.

      The losers have never heard of the Streisand effect.

    30. CrocodilePhilCollins says:

      Mason-Dixon is the compost standard of Florida polls. If they have Biden up three, you can take that to the outhouse.

      An old outhouse.

      Rotting inside.

      The kind that’s really cold to use in the winter.

    31. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Will Giuliani conduct all future interviews with tin-foil on his head? What a loon! Check out who is daughter just endorsed. At least old horse teeth produced a smart kid.

    32. MrVito says:

      Tim Pool
      @Timcast
      ·3h
      And Trump still beat Biden

      Trump 4.5M Streamed network views
      Biden 2.8M Streamed network views
      Quote Tweet

      Newsweek
      @Newsweek
      · 3h
      TikTok users watched Biden’s town hall on multiple devices to try and beat Trump’s ratings https://newsweek

    33. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Here is Mr. Guiliani making fun of Asians. He actually posted this video himself: https://www.thedailybeast.com/rudy-giuliani-posts-footage-of-himself-mocking-asians-to-youtube

      It’s no wonder the Russian disinformation campaign selected Mr. Guiliani to carry out their campaign against Mr. Biden.

      As they say, useful idiot that Mr. Guiliani.

    34. Annie says:

      24. Getting pretty fed-up with the liberal spin that Trump caused “200,000 covid deaths.” No, a novel virus caused those deaths. Unquestionably, Trump prevented the deaths of hundreds of thousands more people by closing travel from China in January, while putting in place a covid task force at that time. He warned of covid in the State of the Union, and as soon as the CDC’s tests and Chinese PPE was found inadequate, Trump teamed with private industry to produce new tests, ventilators, PPE, and medical equipment on a scale not done since WWII. Operation Warp Speed has led to the amazingly quick development of vaccines and new therapeutics. Everything Biden, who called travel bans xenophobic, states he would do…Trump did months ago. Biden would require a national mask mandate and more shutdowns, just as the economy is rebounding. By your way of thinking, Biden should be held responsible for the hundreds of thousands of people who died in the wars Obama perpetuated (and started), the mishandled swine flu pandemic, and the 307,000 dead American veterans who died as a result of the Obama-Biden administration’s mismanagement of the VA hospital system. Cuomo’s policy of sending covid patients into nursing homes, when Trump gave him field hospitals and a hospital ship was tantamount to a death sentence to many elderly people.

    35. MrVito says:

      NYMag: “NBC’s Trump event, meanwhile, aired mostly on tape delay out West, but the Peacock network also simulcast Trump’s town hall on MSNBC and CNBC. The early data doesn’t account for those viewers, so Trump’s 10.4 million should go up, perhaps by a lot. Biden’s own NBC town hall last week added almost 3 million viewers from cable, and that was off a much smaller base (about 4 million watched on the broadcast network).“

    36. MrVito says:

      I posted in the last couple days that Schweikert doesn’t know jack about Florida. Today I find out he thought early voting had started here yesterday…

      As I said.

    37. Stonewall DW says:

      Siena College/NY Slimes/Upchuck poll of Alaska Senate race has Sullivan +8, formally ending the fantasy of other pollsters saying the seat was in play.

    38. Stonewall DW says:

      Comparing Schweikert to Polaris isn’t a perfect fit either, but the comparison is MUCH closer to reality than comparing Richard Baris to Polaris.

    39. Annie says:

      35. Hidin’ with Biden
      “It’s no wonder the Russian disinformation campaign selected Mr. Guiliani to carry out their campaign against Mr. Biden.”

      Disinformation?? The corruption of the extended Biden family, especially through the selling of influence, has been a well-known, well-documented fact for decades. Good grief! Biden is even on video bragging how he threatened the Ukrainian government to fire the prosecutor investigating Burisma – or else no promised billion dollars. The influence-peddling doesn’t stop with Hunter and his dirty deals in Ukraine, China, and Russia, but encompasses Biden family members including James Biden with an Iraq deal, and the son-in-law’s deals in the Caribbean.
      You, sir, support a person who has sold out our country for profit for a good chunk of his political career. The “Hunter emails” is simply another proof, among many, of what the Bidens have been doing – and shows how Joe Biden not only knew, but participated in the crimes.

    40. Pitchaboy says:

      Mr. Vito: always to the point and with data.

    41. Yvgeney says:

      Annie, most excellent post. You are 100% accurate. These are facts that you must now share with your network of Americans.

    42. MrVito says:

      What else is new?

      FOX: Biden’s ABC town hall questioners include former Obama speechwriter, wife of former Pennsylvania Dem candidate

    43. Annie says:

      37. Mr.Vito…That is true. In California, I turned on NBC at 8pm ET (5 pm PT), and there was no town hall. NBC had moved it several hours later. I had to watch on MSNBC. I imagine those without cable might have not watched or went online.

    44. Annie says:

      I saw a clip of a young black man asking Biden at the ABC town hall about any message to black voters, considering the “you ain’t black” statement…Biden seemed to give a really strange, pandering response, “…as my buddy John Lewis said, it’s a sacred opportunity the right to vote, it can make a difference. If young black women and men vote, you can determine the outcome of the election.”

    45. MrVito says:

      45 Scott Adams said his cable labeled Biden’s town hall and labeled Trumps “local news”

    46. Tina says:

      Trump is in ft Meyers Florida.

      Here is dans twitter video

      https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1317159452412444675

    47. lisab says:

      Annie,

      you are trying to talk intelligently to someone born after the oj trial

      usually boys grow out of obnoxious behavior after middle school, once they start learning social skills, achieving things, having successes, relationships etc.

      and some … well …

    48. lisab says:

      transparent dem troll,

      we need better trolls asap

      you cannot just send us babies whose greatest life achievement is that they have seen all six star wars movies

    49. Tina says:

      Adam Housley
      @adamhousley
      What’s crazy…both October surprises as they are called…2016 Comey & now…can be entirely blamed on FBI headquarters and failure to properly investigate a laptop. They had Weiner’s in early Sep 2016 and they coulda had this one in early Sep 2019.
      9:30 AM · Oct 16, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
      2.3K

    50. NYCmike says:

      mnw says:
      October 16, 2020 at 12:01 pm

      I’m a, “We’re all coming back together, or none of us are coming back” kind of guy.

      -You must be a hockey fan!

    51. lisab says:

      btw,

      florida vbm still remains a problem for the dems

      looks like about 600,000 ballots won’t be returned

    52. Ridin' with Biden says:

      While the dueling Town Halls were airing, it appears that Ms Ernst imploded at the Iowa senatorial debate.

      Ms Greenfield would make a wonderful senator from Iowa, one of my favorite states to visit.

    53. Annie says:

      49. lisab…I visualize them as sitting in front of their laptops in their mom’s basements, brushing the potato chip crumbs off their round tummies.

    54. Pitchaboy says:

      RWB: Gator Boy trolls better than you do.

    55. lisab says:

      Annie,

      it is just sad they were even rejected by the other people on world of warcraft

    56. Bitterlaw says:

      Lisab – There were 11 Star Wars movies. Solo was ok. Rogue One was great.

    57. Country Dick Montana says:

      Annie, Pitch. We all know who it/they is/are, so simply scroll by. I have no idea what they get out of it. No money, no girlfriend, no life really. We are it for them. Friends and family all rolled into one.

      Sad really.

    58. Country Dick Montana says:

      “Rogue One was great.”

      Yes!! Solo wasn’t as bad as people made it out to be.

    59. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Mr. Pitch, I do believe you have me confused with Phyllis and John. They troll and a moderate should do something about their vile, disgusting messages.

    60. Annie says:

      “Rogue One was great.” I agree!

    61. PhilS says:

      61: Pedo Hoe not letting you ride him?

    62. PhilS says:

      Quit crying for the moderator. He or she is not your mommy.

    63. SoHope says:

      Rogue One was amazing. Solo was ok. The 3 sequels were horrible…only slightly better than the Star Wars Christmas special.

    64. Country Dick Montana says:

      And the prequels…were they really Star Wars Movies?

    65. Wes says:

      The producers of Solo apparently never watched the first three movies. There are occasional continuity errors. There’s something that may as well be set in an alternate universe.

    66. John says:

      RWB probably has a man bun. He needs to be pummeled.
      Scary to think traitors like him have the right to vote.

    67. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Hopefully future Giuliani interviews take place with him in handcuffs and a jumpsuit.

    68. MrVito says:

      Andrew Neil
      @afneil
      French teacher decapitated in Paris by enraged parent after he shows pupils cartoons of Mohammed in free speech class. Police shoot parent who refused to surrender. Prosecutors open terrorist cases

    69. John says:

      I hope Gropin w Biden votes by mail.

      The Notorious ACB will throw his ballot straight into the shredder where it belongs.

    70. Wes says:

      Empire Strikes Back is by far the greatest Star Wars movie. Star Wars is a solid homage to the pulp and comic strip SF of Edgar Rice Burroughs, E. E. Doc Smith, Isaac Asimov, Alex Raymond, and Frank Herbert as well as classic westerns and samurai movies.

      The rest of the movies range from passable to pure dreck.

    71. Annie says:

      For our Biden-loving trolls…please educate yourselves –

      https://www.hsgac.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/HSGAC_Finance_Report_FINAL.pdf

    72. Country Dick Montana says:

      ‘Empire Strikes Back is by far the greatest Star Wars movie.”

      Agree there.

    73. jaichind says:

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-16/trump-biden-town-hall-ratings

      Bloomberg claims Biden won the ratings war narrowly 13.9 to 13.1

    74. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      The polls today are a beautiful, beautiful thing. People say Biden may have the biggest electoral win in 50 years.

    75. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 3:09 pm
      The producers of Solo apparently never watched the first three movies. There are occasional continuity errors. There’s something that may as well be set in an alternate universe.

      – The only thing I cared about in Solo was Emilia Clarke.

    76. Yvgeney says:

      Annie, companya,

      Very excellent post linking to our document. Please continue to spread this link to your American friends. It is very important that they see this as ABSOLUTE TRUTH.

      https://www.hsgac.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/HSGAC_Finance_Report_FINAL.pdf

      Thanks you again companya Annie.

    77. Hugh says:

      Interesting Bloomberg does not mention if this is only for the 8 to 9 time slot

    78. Annie says:

      76. “People say…” People said Hillary had a 95% chance of becoming POTUS on election day 2016, too. You are incredibly naive.

    79. MrVito says:

      So, when adding in streaming, Trump had more.

      Kind of sad for Biden considering everyone probably tuned in to see if they would ask about Hunter.

    80. Wes says:

      I think Emilia Clarke was every red-blooded male’s favorite part of Solo, Robbie.

      It’s a shame Ron Howard directed such a trainwreck of a movie.

    81. lisab says:

      Lisab – There were 11 Star Wars movies
      ——————

      that’s sad ….

    82. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 3:23 pm
      I think Emilia Clarke was every red-blooded male’s favorite part of Solo, Robbie.

      – I even watched “Last Christmas” when it was on HBO this Summer simply because she was in it.

    83. MrVito says:

      There were only and will always only be three Star Wars movies.

    84. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      The next time bright fart publishes something that is true will be the first time.

    85. MrVito says:

      Just looked up Emilia Clarke. Meh.

    86. Robbie says:

      Here in Kentucky, the state treasurer completed an investigation of how Andy Beshear spent funds during the corona outbreak and found he used state law enforcement to prohibit and/or shutdown faith based activities in prohibition of the First Amendment.

      This should be grounds for impeachment and removal, especially since the Republican supermajorities are going to be larger after November, but the party has allowed Beshear to steamroll them all year so they’ll probably do nothing.

    87. Wes says:

      Let’s see. Fifty years ago was 1970.

      The two biggest electoral wins after that year occurred in 1972 (520) and 1984 (525). Both came when the sitting President carried 49 states. The two biggest after that occurred in 1980 (489) and 1988 (426).

      I have some ocean front property on K2 I want to sell GBJ if he seriously thinks Biden will get anywhere near those numbers.

    88. Annie says:

      My youngest son…one of those Gen Z people voting for Trump (I raised him right and right-thinking)…just forwarded a spoof of the “If you like Pina Coladas” song that made me laugh:

      “If you like subpoena coladas and getting caught in Ukraine…When your dad’s into children and you’re into cocaine.”

    89. Tina says:

      NBC Samantha Gore Gunthrie claims this is not happening.

      SV News?
      @SVNewsAlerts
      ·
      1h
      JUST IN:
      @USPS
      employee fired, federal charges possible after they dumped absentee ballots in Kentucky

    90. Wes says:

      Let me guess, Robbie. You also watched that steaming pile of fly excrement known as Terminator: Genisys because EC was in it too.

    91. Tina says:

      They again released the topics. Nothing on the economy.

      Yashar Ali ?
      @yashar
      · 57m
      The moderator of next week’s presidential debate (the final debate) @kwelkernbc has released the topics she has chosen:

      Fighting COVID-19
      American Families
      Race in America
      Climate Change
      National Security
      Leadership

      The debate will take place next Thursday in Nashville

    92. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Christopher F. Rufo ??
      @realchrisrufo
      · 3m
      ? I’ve obtained shocking new whistleblower documents. Story drops Monday in the New York Post. ?

    93. Yvgeney says:

      “If you like subpoena coladas and getting caught in Ukraine…When your dad’s into children and you’re into cocaine.”

      Well done, companya Annie. It’s imperative you educate the next generation of Amerikans to think the proper way!

      Remember, Freedom means no masks and to destroy all of the so called educated people.

    94. Ridin' with Biden says:

      While Republicans argue about ratings, make online threats, and peddle Russian fiction, it’s the Democrats who continue the deluge to the polls. Amazing! Vote Blue!

    95. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      “Big T” spent half of last night evading denouncing white supremacy and discussing Q conspiracy theories. And you all wonder why level-headed Americans are fleeing him in droves.

    96. Annie says:

      78. Are you loco?

    97. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Annie/John/MikeS (all same person) are sure grumpy today. Sorry your conspiracies didn’t pan out.

    98. Tina says:

      CNBC
      @CNBC
      · 1h
      Trump administration strikes coronavirus vaccine deal with CVS and Walgreens for seniors https://cnb.cx/3j2fQGR

    99. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 3:31 pm
      Let me guess, Robbie. You also watched that steaming pile of fly excrement known as Terminator: Genisys because EC was in it too.

      – I plead the Fifth!

    100. Tina says:

      Pfizer vaccine not ready until mid November?

      Does Toneee have stock in Pfizer?

    101. Annie says:

      97. “peddle Russian fiction”…You must be one of the most in denial people I have ever come across! That, or simply really stupid.

    102. Baris says:

      You will all love my Arizona poll. I’m still trying to find the right voters out in the desert, but I know I’ll find them. If I don’t, I’ll just add them to the poll anyway because I know they exist.

      Please remember to make my poll go viral so together we can change the narrative.

      Send me money too. I want to poll Oregon next. I have a funny feeling that Trump is doing very well there.

    103. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      101 – more last minute pandering. Pushing an unsafe vaccine on seniors isn’t going to win them back. They’ve already fully embraced Biden.

    104. Tina says:

      John Cardillo
      @johncardillo
      ·
      1h
      .
      @JoeBiden
      advising cops to shoot bad guys in the leg was ignorant, dangerous, and contradicted pretty much every ounce of training doctrine ever conceived.

      One of the dumbest things ever uttered by a candidate for any office.

    105. Yvgeney says:

      “97. “peddle Russian fiction”…You must be one of the most in denial people I have ever come across! That, or simply really stupid.”

      Most Excellent, companya Annie. You must not appear to be friendly with me. That will jeopardize our plan. Good work, companya.

    106. Tina says:

      Debra Heine
      @NiceDeb
      ·
      4h
      Giuliani: Hunter Biden’s Attorney Contacted Computer Repairman After NY Post Story Broke, Wanted Hard Drive Back

    107. Annie says:

      Yvgeney aka Gator aka Hidin’ with Biden…Try growing-up just a little bit. It would be a shame for you to be so intentionally ignorant from craddle to grave.

    108. Wes says:

      If you’re really into British actresses, Robbie, Emily Blunt and Emma Watson actually are more attractive than Emilia Clarke (though Clarke is definitely attractive).

    109. Ridin' with Biden says:

      “Giuliani: Hunter Biden’s Attorney Contacted Computer Repairman After NY Post Story Broke, Wanted Hard Drive Back”

      ***

      I’ve already read this. Any new musings from Mr. Guiliani besides this? Highly disappointing.

      I was so looking forward to some good fiction reading while I sitting at the beach.

    110. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      I’ve gained new respect for Sen. Sasse. Should lock up NE-2 for Biden as well.

    111. Robbie says:

      Tina says:
      October 16, 2020 at 3:37 pm
      Pfizer vaccine not ready until mid November?

      – This is really disappointing because the FDA actively chose to delay any approval until after the election. Their decision wasn’t based on science. It was based on political calculus. They didn’t want to be seen giving Trump a boost just before election day.

      The net effect of the FDA’s last minute rule changes is more people who otherwise wouldn’t die will die because vaccination was delayed.

    112. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 3:41 pm
      If you’re really into British actresses, Robbie, Emily Blunt and Emma Watson actually are more attractive than Emilia Clarke (though Clarke is definitely attractive).

      – Only one of them was Daenerys Targaryen.

    113. Tina says:

      Agreed but Pfizer is the best candidate out there, all kidding aside on who owns stock in it.

      And another hit with the rendezivir not working so well with those more severe. Fallaci pushed thst one, but it’s a who study.

    114. PresidentPaul! says:

      New Biden Email Obliterates Burisma ‘Debunking’ Over Fired Prosecutor; Giuliani Teases More Devastating Releases

      https://www.zerohedge.com/political/new-biden-email-obliterates-burisma-debunking-over-fired-prosecutor-giuliani-teases

    115. Annie says:

      Wes –
      I think a lot of people know Emilia Clarke from her in “Game of Thrones” as Daenerys. I thought she was good in the rom-coms “Me Before You” and “Last Christmas,” too.

    116. Wes says:

      I didn’t think Clarke was all that attractive as Daenerys, Robbie. I know they were trying to make her look like the character in Martin’s books–which I’m absolutely NOT afan of–but I just never thought she looked right in the role. Her acting was fine. Her look was underwhelming. Of course I mostly blame the makeup department for that. The actress herself is definitely pleasing to look at.

    117. Robbie says:

      Tina says:
      October 16, 2020 at 3:52 pm
      And another hit with the rendezivir not working so well with those more severe. Fallaci pushed thst one, but it’s a who study.

      – I thought it was pretty clear in early May there was not a lot of data that supported Remdesivir. I think Viceroy Fauci vouched for it because he wanted to convince the public there was something that would help.

      In the end, it appears it’s steroids that have made a big difference.

    118. NYCmike says:

      Steroids are amazing! Probably saved my son’s life when born preemie.

    119. Ridin' with Biden says:

      “Giuliani Teases More Devastating Releases”

      ***

      I can’t wait.

      Mr. Giuliani really disappointed last time. I’ll give him a second chance.

    120. Tina says:

      Cotto indicates a surprise in Ga Ev.

      No details yet.

    121. Annie says:

      107. “@JoeBiden advising cops to shoot bad guys in the leg…”

      Someone should tell Biden that shots to legs can be as deadly as shots to the torso if there is vascular damage. A victim of a leg wound can bleed out within seconds to a few minutes. Vascular damage can also result from shattered bone fragments acting like shrapnel.

    122. Tina says:

      Steroids yup.

      And hope you are not covid positive and transferred to a ny nursing home.

    123. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 3:57 pm
      I didn’t think Clarke was all that attractive as Daenerys, Robbie. I know they were trying to make her look like the character in Martin’s books–which I’m absolutely NOT afan of–but I just never thought she looked right in the role. Her acting was fine. Her look was underwhelming. Of course I mostly blame the makeup department for that. The actress herself is definitely pleasing to look at.

      – I never read the GoT books so my whole understanding of the story was the show. How Daenerys was portrayed in the books was apparently different than on the show. That’s why I hated her ending. Season 8 did not follow what happened in seasons 1 through 7, at least in my opinion.

    124. NYCmike says:

      “They again released the topics. Nothing on the economy.”

      -Every single question should have an answer that ends up speaking about how a good economy can help with the problem/issue being discussed…….tall order for Trump to do that.

    125. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 4:02 pm
      Clarke looks better here than in Game of Thrones:

      https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.reddit.com/r/EmiliaClarke/comments/f8nwda/love_that_dress_emilia_clarke_as_qira_in_solo_a/

      – I agree. In some GoT seasons, I thought she looked ok. In some GoT seasons, I thought she looked great. In season 7, I thought she looked great. But she is definitely prettier with her natural hair color.

    126. Tina says:

      Nope, it will be do you condemn q anon. ( I don’t even know what it is).

      Do you condemn this group.

      Look for the moderator to interrupt.

      Same old sheot from the corrupt debate commission.

    127. Tina says:

      Here is cottos update

      ried
      @CottoGottfried
      ·
      5s
      In Georgia — the biggest turnout reports today for in-person early voting are in GOP areas. Not sure what the actual numbers are, but GA is trending in the precise direction which DJT needed. Very, very good omen for the election there.

    128. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      I’m sad to report that everyone here has lost touch with reality. It is tough to watch it.

    129. Wes says:

      Well, Martin has never finished–and probably never will finish–the series. I gave up after the third book because Martin kept lying for years about the release date for the fourth book. (He really made me go from thinking the series was interesting to outright hating it.) In the first three seasons, Daenerys is portrayed largely the same as in the first three books. I can’t speak for season four or five since I absolutely refuse to ever read another book in the series. Seasons Six, Seven, and Eight are pure fanfic. Martin has shown exactly no inclination to write the remaining two books and complete the literary story–though he has repeatedly lied over the past decade and claimed to be nearly done with the sixth book.

    130. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Undercover Huber
      @JohnWHuber
      ·
      17m
      Before the censors step in, these emails showing Hunter getting high ranking Communists an off the books WH meeting with “the big guy” were provided by a former Hunter Biden business associate who agreed to them being published & aren’t related to the NY Post story or Laptop ?

    131. Robbie says:

      I read the other day, the doctor’s name escapes me now, that almost every patient’s immune system is able to fight off the corona virus. The problem arises when the person’s immune system goes into complete overdrive. That’s where steroids have really helped.

      My guess is had we better understood that ventilators hurt and steroids helped, the death toll in March, April, and May would have been lower.

      And were we counting deaths as the WHO suggests (just those from pneumonia), or death toll would be just 45% of what it currently is because the CDC says 45% of corona deaths have been from pneumonia.

    132. Tina says:

      Trump rally in Ocala, Florida has started.

      De Santiago is speaking.

    133. Annie says:

      Wes –
      It was pretty obvious that the writers of the tv series just wanted to finish-up fast by season 8.

    134. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 4:09 pm
      Well, Martin has never finished–and probably never will finish–the series. I gave up after the third book because Martin kept lying for years about the release date for the fourth book. (He really made me go from thinking the series was interesting to outright hating it.) In the first three seasons, Daenerys is portrayed largely the same as in the first three books. I can’t speak for season four or five since I absolutely refuse to ever read another book in the series. Seasons Six, Seven, and Eight are pure fanfic. Martin has shown exactly no inclination to write the remaining two books and complete the literary story–though he has repeatedly lied over the past decade and claimed to be nearly done with the sixth book.

      – I’m looking forward to “House of the Dragon” when it comes out on HBO in 2022. They better resurrect my girl as part of that spinoff. Her ending makes me so mad I have never watched any of the Season 8 episodes a second time.

    135. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Oh come on:

      The purported Antifa shooter turned out to be a security guard protecting a reporter

      The grand “unmasking’ turned out to be a splendid dud that even Mr. Barr had to throw in the towel.

      The Hunter Biden “expose” turned out to to be a script for a bad B movie.

      Every moderator is biased against Mr. Trump. He and his family should have been allowed to spread their Covid onto Mr. Biden.

      The entire debate commission is biased.

      The polls are wrong.

      The Russians are wonderful people.

    136. Robbie says:

      Annie says:
      October 16, 2020 at 4:12 pm
      Wes –
      It was pretty obvious that the writers of the tv series just wanted to finish-up fast by season 8.

      – They tried to 15 episodes into six and it was crime.

    137. Ridin' with Biden says:

      “Trump rally in Ocala, Florida has started.”

      ***

      Splendid! When does the Georgia rally start? I still can’t believe Mr. Trump chose to spend precious remaining time in Georgia!

      How Splendid indeed!

    138. WizardofCozz says:

      Huge GoT fan, I started getting upset with the direction of the writers when they just completely butchered the North in the Battle of the Bastards. One of my favorite side characters from the books was the Great Jon Umber, and he was a really fun character in season 1, and then they have his son side with Ramsay which would have never happened.

      And I agree Robbie, Danaerys’s ending was absolutely atrocious, if you are going to have her turn heel in the story then have it make sense. Like the whole time I’m agreeing with her and then everyone just randomly turns on her. It was horrible writing.

    139. Wes says:

      Of course given Martin’s and the show’s proclivity for severing male characters’ members, I’m surprised A Song of Ice and Fire has such a large male fan base.

      I do have to say Martin made me hope an asteroid would hit the planet Westeros and Essos are set on and destroy it. Literally no character in the franchise has any remotely redeeming qualities. It’s a battle between those who are evil and those who are diabolical.

    140. jason says:

      Trolls seem worried…..

    141. Tina says:

      They say at least 15,000 in Ocala

    142. CharlesAreld says:

      ????????? ?? ????????? ???????. ???????????? ??????? ? ?????? ??????. ???????? ????? ????????5 ?????? ?? ???? ??????? ?? ????????? ????????.
      ?????????????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????.?????? ????????? ? ????????? ??? ????????

    143. Robbie says:

      WizardofCozz says:
      October 16, 2020 at 4:19 pm
      Huge GoT fan, I started getting upset with the direction of the writers when they just completely butchered the North in the Battle of the Bastards. One of my favorite side characters from the books was the Great Jon Umber, and he was a really fun character in season 1, and then they have his son side with Ramsay which would have never happened.

      – Great Jon Umber didn’t appear after Season 1 because of a scheduling conflict. The two dopes who wrecked the show in Season 8 just wrote him out because of the scheduling conflict.

      As for Daenerys, she went from someone who wanted to free the slaves and fell in love with Jon Snow to someone who firebombed a city because of the bells that rang to signal she had won. Bizarre.

    144. Tina says:

      Did Joe call a lid today?

      Serious question.

    145. PresidentPaul! says:

      Hunter Biden Business Associate Flips From Prison, Releases Emails Detailing China Influence-Peddling Operation

      https://www.zerohedge.com/political/hunter-biden-business-associate-flips-prison-releases-emails-detailing-china-influence

    146. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Okay I’ll admit I’m worried. I’m worried we won’t win Georgia. Gosh Darnit.

      We will have to settle for Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nebraska-2. I also have a good feeling about Florida and North Carolina.

    147. Tina says:

      Jordan Schachtel
      @JordanSchachtel
      ·
      38m
      The real Biden problem was always the fact that the entire family is beholden to China. Forget about Ukraine & all of the shady stuff that happened there. China is the important player in this saga. With Biden in the WH, China sets the agenda for relations with the United States.

    148. PhilS says:

      Humpin’ Biden

      Worry about NY and Delaware.

    149. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 16, 2020 at 4:20 pm
      Of course given Martin’s and the show’s proclivity for severing male characters’ members, I’m surprised A Song of Ice and Fire has such a large male fan base.

      I do have to say Martin made me hope an asteroid would hit the planet Westeros and Essos are set on and destroy it. Literally no character in the franchise has any remotely redeeming qualities. It’s a battle between those who are evil and those who are diabolical.

      – What’s amazing is how people still care about the show all this time later even after the dumpster fire ending. I’m not sure any character got a good ending other than Briene of Tarth and I couldn’t stand her. Bran the Broken was a perfect symbol for the miserable ending.

    150. PhilS says:

      Where is Biden today? Are you te=wo done ridin’ each other?

    151. PresidentPaul! says:

      Narcos is a better show than GOT.

    152. lisab says:

      hunter biden was in business with

      whitey bulger

    153. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Breaking news!

      Hunter Biden shot JFK.
      Hunter Biden invented Covid-19.
      Hunter Biden is Jack the Ripper.

      Annie can look into this for us?

    154. PhilS says:

      How come you are so pathetic, Humpin; Biden?

      Did mommy take your crayons?

    155. Stonewall DW says:

      John, that AZ poll came out yesterday. And its a bit dated…it ended on 10/2.

    156. NYCmike says:

      “It was pretty obvious that the writers of the tv series just wanted to finish-up fast by season 8.”

      -The Wire got it right for any dramatic series.

      5 seasons and wrap it up!

    157. Robbie says:

      NYCmike says:
      October 16, 2020 at 4:38 pm
      “It was pretty obvious that the writers of the tv series just wanted to finish-up fast by season 8.”

      -The Wire got it right for any dramatic series.

      5 seasons and wrap it up!

      – The Americans had a great ending as well. So did Homeland. They showed how to end great series. GoT took a dump.

    158. Ridin' with Biden says:

      The AZ poll: “When you include undecided voters who say they’re leaning toward a particular candidate, Trump’s lead shrinks to a single point. While we expect a strong turnout among registered voters, we did model outcomes for a low turnout election, and Trump leads by one point in that scenario.”

      It’s an online poll with 10% undecided and a low turnout model. They expect a strong turnout but released a poll of a low turnout scenario only. Golly gee, I wonder why? Wonder what the strong turnout poll would show?

      Even in a trash poll like this one, Mr. Kelly leads Ms. McSally by 9. Welcome Senator Kelly!

    159. Sy says:

      The GoT tv series was a first class gymnast doing the best routine in history and all she had to do is stick a routine landing to clinch her place in history.

      And then she fell on her face.

    160. Robbie says:

      Sy says:
      October 16, 2020 at 4:43 pm
      The GoT tv series was a first class gymnast doing the best routine in history and all she had to do is stick a routine landing to clinch her place in history.

      And then she fell on her face.

      – Perfect metaphor.

      In all honesty, had Jon and Daenerys gotten any kind of good/happy ending, I think the ending would have been received far better.

      Instead, Daenerys was killed by her lover and the heir to the melted iron throne wanders the North with the Wildlings while Bran rolls around as king.

      Ugh. I still get pissed thinking about it and it’s been 18 months.

    161. Stonewall DW says:

      Updated Trump campaign event map

      WI: 51 (+4) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      PA: 28 (-3) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      TX: 28 (+11)
      MN: 22 (-13)
      OH: 15 (-4)
      ME: 14 (+12)
      FL: 14 (+1) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      AZ: 12 (-) 2 TRUMP VISITS
      MI: 11 (-8) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      NH: 10 (+7)
      IA: 8 (-6) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      NV: 8 (+2) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      CO: 7 (+6)
      NM: 6 (-)
      NC: 5 (-) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      GA: 2 (-) TRUMP VISIT THIS WEEK
      VA: 2 (-)
      NE_02: 2 (-)

    162. lisab says:

      this is the problem with this country

      11 star wars movies and only one notebook

    163. Michealhuple says:

      ?????? ??????? ???????? ????? ??????????????? ?????????????? ??????? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? Vavada. ?????? ???????? ??????? ????????? — ??????????? ????? ????? ?????? ??????. ?????? ?????? ??????, ????????????? ????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ????? ????????, ?????? ?? ???????? ?????????? ????? ?????????, ??????????? ?? ??????? ?????? ???????????? ???????? ????????????. ???????: ???????? ???? ???????? ??????????. ???????? Max Iniquitous ??????? ???????????? ? ???????????? ? ?????????? ?????, ??????? ?????? ?????? ?? ?????? YouTube. ???? ?? ???????? ?????? ????, ?? ???? ????????? ??????? ?????????????. ?? ????????? ???????? ??????, ???????????? ??????? ?????? ? ??????????? ??????????? ????????? ?????????, ? ??? ??????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ??????. ??? ???????? ? ??????????? ????????? ?????????? ???? ?????? ???, ??????? ??????? ????????????? ???? ?? ???????? ??????.
      ???????? ?????????? ????????? ?? ?????? ?? ???? ?????? ??????. ?? ???????? 100 ????????? Space Wars, 100% ????? ?? ?????? ???????. ????? ??????? ???, ?????? ????? ??????? ????????! ??????? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ???????? “?????? ?????? ??????”. ???????? ??????? ???????: ?????????, ????????? ???????????? ?????? ??????? ??????. ????????? ?????????. ???????? ???????, ??? ????????? ?? ????? ????????, ?????????? ? ????????? ??????? ?? 50000? ?? ??????? Max Black. ?????? ? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ??????? ? ??????? ?????, ????????? ???????? ??????! ????????????? ??? ???????!
      ??????, ??? ????? ??????? ????? ???????? ?? ????????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ?? ???????? ?????, ? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???? ?????????? ??????? ??????? — ???????, ?????????????, ??????? ?????? vavada ?????? ?? ???????. ??, ?????? ?????? ?????? — ???????. ??????? ???????? ? ?????? — 36 ????? ??????. ????? ?????? ????????? ??????, ???????? ??? ????????, ???????? ?????????? ?????????? ??????????? 56 ???????, ?? ???????? ?? ???????. ? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?? ???? ???, ??????? ???? ?????? ? ????????, ?????????? ????? ??? ?????? ????.

    164. Robbie says:

      Rough day for the coronabros sports media. It appears Nick Saban’s positive test was a false positive.

      Just think of how many lives and livelihoods have been ruined because of the ridiculous “test, test, test” mantra that produce false positives about 50% of the time.

    165. NYCmike says:

      “Just think of how many lives and livelihoods have been ruined because of the ridiculous “test, test, test” mantra that produce false positives about 50% of the time.”

      -The question I like to ask: “Is anybody actually sick, or did we just get a positive test result?”.

      The media avoids that question like the Wuhan plague itself.

    166. NYCmike says:

      Of course, the one who does actually get sick is Christie Kreme himself, who now can’t stop yapping about wearing masks.

    167. lisab says:

      1.5 billion fund hunter and whitey bulger

      “nothing to see here, move along, move along”

    168. Sy says:

      “Ugh. I still get pissed thinking about it and it’s been 18 months”

      I found it so unbelievable how self-absorbed the author is. I mean this tv series had millions and millions of devoted fans AROUND THE WORLD FOLLOWING FOR 10 YEARS. He had to have HIS ending.
      And poof… just like that… billions of future revenues down the drain.

      If I had my ways, I would have Jon and Daenerys abdicate the throne and explore the west with Arya and the dragons.

    169. Baris says:

      I have a much better AZ poll coming out soon.

      Believe me, you will love it.

      I need just a little more money to get it done. Donate please.

    170. eriepa says:

      177-I’d love to donate but all my money has gone to the Clinton Foundation and all I got was a lousy t shirt.

    171. Scooterboy says:

      Barnes: “ Georgia polls showing it close assumed Democrats would have at least a 20 point lead in the early vote by this point. Their actual lead, according to Democratic voter file sources, is about 4 points.

    172. Transparent Dem Troll says:

      177 is another reason “Proud Obamacon/Ridin/Gator/Baris” got fired. We have high standards for our trolls, and at a minimum we expect them to keep up with what’s going on. He should have known that the AZ Big Data Poll is already paid for, and that the data collection is just getting started, so it won’t be out soon–it will probably be Tuesday of next week.

      This is what comes of hiring teenage workers. I warned my boss about it, but with the great economy brought about by Trump, it was miserably hard getting good help.

    173. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Sublime!

      #MIsen:
      Peters (D-inc) 50% (+7)
      James (R) 43%

      @Harris_X_
      /
      @thehill
      , LV, 10/12-15

      MICHIGAN
      Biden 54% (+11)
      Trump 43%

    174. phoenixrisen says:

      #181 — I agree that it would be for Biden but his campaign scrambling to get resources to Michigan says otherwise. Wisconsin is in the bag for Trump looking at VBM and registration numbers.

    175. PhilS says:

      Humpin’ Biden,

      The election is over. You need to figure out how Pedo Joe is going to stay out of jail. His crackhead son has dad’s pedo pics on his laptop, and they’re being released next week

    176. Sy says:

      181.

      Biden’s black knight wouldn’t be riding off to MI to rescue him if the lead is 11 pts.

    177. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      DOUBLE BOOM!

      HarrisX Poll, which is one of the best, shows Biden up double digits in Michigan and and six in Pennsylvania.

      TRIPLE BOOM

      With Kelly running away in the senate race in Arizona.

      Life is GOOD.

    178. Scooterboy says:

      Baris- “ IBD/TIPP and @Rasmussen_Poll both fell from Biden +8 to Biden +5, and that’s the danger zone for Joe Biden in the Electoral College.

      That’s the conventional wisdom anyway. Again, Team Biden would not be “irresponsible” enough to knock and mobilize in Michigan if they were +10.

    179. Annie says:

      168. I think Samwell Tarly’s part of the story ended well…He became the Grand Maester, had Gilly and the baby Sam…

    180. PresidentPaul! says:

      Twitter criticised after it removes viral video of awkward Biden comment

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZegrMukB9EE&feature=emb_title

    181. Scooterboy says:

      Cotto: In Texas, per TargetSmart, GOPers have expanded their combined VBM/in-person early voting lead to eight points. This is entirely due to robust in-person EV among Republicans. Dems, who led strongly in the miniscule VBM count, are now being left by the wayside.

    182. SoHope says:

      One Questioner At Biden Townhall A Former Speechwriter For Obama Administration, Another The Wife Of Former Dem PA Candidate

    183. Tina says:

      Obumbler scrambles to Pa

    184. OHIO Joe says:

      The Harris polling company also said that Mr. Kerry would beat Bush. That really worked out.

    185. LivintheDream says:

      One wonders whether Obama will actually go to PA next week as that puts him in the position of having to answer questions about Biden’s use of office. As long as Obama stays at home, the press will leave him alone.

    186. Country Dick Montana says:

      What if this Biden Crime Family is just the tip of the iceberg? Does anyone think that a whole bunch of other DEMS don’t have their hand in that pie? Maybe even some of their enablers in the press too?

      I wonder just how high up and just how wide this web of corruption reaches.

      That is probably why they are going nuts right now.

    187. Tina says:

      Well, he has to go.

      There is a newspaper article from a Chicago paper saying that blacks are not energized fo vote.

    188. Tina says:

      The Ocala rally.

      Two vets introduced.

      100 and 105 years old.

    189. lisab says:

      i am in a big restaurant just south of minneapolis

      they have fox news and a trump rally on

      in minnesota!

    190. Tina says:

      thebradfordfile™
      @thebradfordfile
      ·
      31m
      It’s like Joe Biden ran a separate state dept while vice president, and Hunter was in charge of accepting foreign aid.

    191. Tina says:

      The Ocala rally is quite big and loud.

      This must be the loudest rally yet.

    192. lisab says:

      kerry’s son is also mixed up with hunter

    193. Tina says:

      While the Biden’s got Rich, our country got robbed.

    194. Annie says:

      194. Biden did tell the Ukrainian government to give Obama a call while he was threatening to withhold the $1 billion if they didn’t fire the prosecutor.

    195. lisab says:

      the worst part is that they have all the emails

      every single one will be asked to flip on hunter

    196. Tina says:

      Lisab, a whistleblower you mean?

      Jack Posobiec ??
      @JackPosobiec
      ·
      1h
      BREAKING: Hunter Biden’s former business partner Bevan Cooney has flipped. He was jailed over a bond scheme, and has connected with journalists
      @MatthewTyrmand
      and
      @PeterSchweizer
      . Turned over access to his Gmail account.

    197. dblaikie says:

      The Harris poll has been wrong and left since the 1960’s.

    198. Annie says:

      197. lisab – There’s been a huge boat rally for Trump at San Francisco, too. Trump rallies in Beverly Hills… Never thought I’d ever see this!

    199. Annie says:

      200. lisab – Kerry’s step-son was in on that China scheme.

    200. Stonewall DW says:

      One of the things I have been pointing out is the bad polling from 2016 against actual results. Some suggest that maybe pollsters have corrected their problems, but that’s clearly not the case. Look at Democrat primary polling where they are just as bad.

      Consider these clunkers:

      IOWA:

      Monmouth had Biden +2 and Suffolk had Biden +6.
      David Binder (D) had Buttigieg +2.
      Three others had Sanders +7

      In the end it was Sanders +3.4.

      Buttigieg was second, and Biden a distant fourth.

      NEW HAMPSHIRE:

      Suffolk and UMass-Lowell were Sanders +8, Emerson, Univ of NH were both Sanders +7

      Turned out to be Sanders + 1.3. They were way off the margin.

      NEVADA:

      The polling from November through January all had Biden ahead.

      Then right at the end Data for progress went Sanders +19 and Emerson Sanders +13, and they were glad they did because the final was Sanders +16.4.

      SOUTH CAROLINA:

      Change Research had a tie between Biden and Sanders.
      These all had it between Biden +2 and Biden +5: Post and Courier, YouGOv, Marist, UMass-Lowell, and Winthrop.

      East Carolina U had it Biden +8 and Data for Progress was Biden +9

      Emerson was Biden +16
      Monmouth was Biden +20
      And the winner was Trafalgar Group, Biden +21

      Because the final result was Biden +28.5

      CALIFORNIA had a few polling winners, but most over estimated Sanders.

      TEXAS:

      Emerson, YouGov, Marist, CNN, Univ of Houston, Dallas morning news and Texas Tribune all had Sanders winning between 2 and 15 points.

      Biden won by 4.5.

      I could go on, but the point is clear. Polling is broken.

    201. John says:

      The entire Dem machine is going down.

      The sex trafficing and pedaphhilea ring. Exposed now to the world.

    202. Country Dick Montana says:

      That time of the week when I park the truck and give my undivided attention to Mrs. CDM (and the chores she has ready.)

      I leave you all to the trolls, which hopefully lisaB can keep under control. Should be an interesting weekend. See you all Monday.

    203. NYCmike says:

      But shouldn’t we all be worried about Q-Anon!?!?

    204. Greymarch says:

      Please stop using the crowd-size of Trump rallies to convince others Trump is doing well. It proves nothing, either way.

      Romney had OUTRAGEOUSLY LARGE crowd sizes the last few weeks of his campaign. How did that work for Romney?

      Statistics. Metrics. Math. Science. Use those to discover who is currently winning, and who will win.

      Trump has a reasonable chance of winning this election. Stating crowd-sizes for his rallies reeks of desperation.

    205. Tina says:

      Yup, trust the science.

    206. NYCmike says:

      “Stating crowd-sizes for his rallies reeks of desperation.”

      -I don’t worry about crowd size.

      I also don’t freak out about others doing it, as it worked 4 years ago.

      Stay focused, stay relaxed, vote (Early & Often)!

    207. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Breaking – Trump Advisors Brace for Loss

      Everyone see that article?

    208. DW says:

      Enthusiasm is one of many metrics. Like Biden getting 0 turnout

    209. Tina says:

      Kendall Karson
      @kendallkarson
      · 19m
      DETROIT (AP) — Absentee ballots must arrive by Nov. 3 to be counted, the Michigan Court of Appeals said Friday, blocking a 14-day extension that had been ordered by a lower court and embraced by key Democratic officials.

    210. DW says:

      Voter registration is another

    211. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      AP: The FBI is investigating whether emails that were published by the New York Post related to Joe Biden’s son, Hunter, are connected to a possible Russian operation to spread disinformation, according to a person familiar with the matter.

    212. JamesT says:

      The Russians are everywhere!

      Man, do people not even realize how foolish they sound?

    213. PhilS says:

      “Greymarch says:
      October 16, 2020 at 6:49 pm
      Please stop using the crowd-size of Trump rallies to convince others Trump is doing well. It proves nothing, either way.

      Romney had OUTRAGEOUSLY LARGE crowd sizes the last few weeks of his campaign. How did that work for Romney?

      Statistics. Metrics. Math. Science. Use those to discover who is currently winning, and who will win.

      Trump has a reasonable chance of winning this election. Stating crowd-sizes for his rallies reeks of desperation.”

      Get some meds. Everyone in the crowd is voting. And Romney never had outrageously large crowds. The only large crowd was one that John Boehner arranged for him in West Chester. About 15,000. If you have to lie, lie aboiiuty something nobody can check.

    214. MrVito says:

      Problem for Romney was Obama also had massive crowd sizes.

    215. PhilS says:

      #221: What can you say. The dems get the stupid trolls that they paid for.

    216. PhilS says:

      Hey Pedophile Gator,

      Russia is so 2015. Try something different, maybe your stupid pedo brothers will buy that.

    217. JeffP says:

      I swear the trolls that respond and post like they are like 3-4 year olds.

    218. Robbie says:

      Greymarch says:
      October 16, 2020 at 6:49 pm
      Please stop using the crowd-size of Trump rallies to convince others Trump is doing well. It proves nothing, either way.

      Romney had OUTRAGEOUSLY LARGE crowd sizes the last few weeks of his campaign. How did that work for Romney?

      – I agree with Greymarch on this. Just days before the 1984 election, Mondale held a rally with an estimated size of 100,000 people. A few days later, he lost 49 states.

    219. Scooterboy says:

      Robert Barnes- “ When the incumbent faced no serious opposition within his own party in the primary era since 1912, the incumbent has won how often? A perfect 11 for 11, a 100% winner. Bet Trump

    220. PhilS says:

      You agree with everything not Jeb.

      What’s new?

    221. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Our own FBI is investigating it as Russian hoax. I guess you all don’t support law enforcement after all…

    222. mnw says:

      223 Vito

      VERY good point.

      Also, I could be wrong, but as I recall, Romney had only about half as many rallies as Trump.

      As well, Trump uses those who request tickets to his rallies to build his ground game in a way that is new, I believe.

    223. Scooterboy says:

      Jack Posobiec- “ Been sitting on a this all for a week now as we are getting everything prepared for release.

      We’re almost ready.

      Hold fast.

    224. Tina says:

      Let’s not mention crowd size.

      Stay indoors..

      No debates.

      Jebot Nation

    225. Scooterboy says:

      Jack Posobiec- “ If you think Ukraine was the only Eastern European country Hunter was involved in, think again

      Hi Moscow

    226. PhilS says:

      The largest crowd Romney drew was 14,000. And the was after weeks of advance notice “In the past week alone, Romney’s campaign says at least three of its rallies have, per the campaign’s crowd counts, exceeded 10,000 people: an Oct. 4 event with country singer Trace Adkins in Fishersville, Va., which was Romney’s largest event ever at 14,000 people; a rally last Sunday in Port St. Lucie, Fla., that drew 12,000; and one in Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio, that fire marshals estimated also drew 12,000.”

      Meanwhile,

      “Compared with the numbers at Obama’s rallies, Romney’s events are still generally smaller: Obama’s rally at Ohio State University earlier this week, for example, attracted 15,000 people, and an event at the University of Wisconsin last week drew, per university officials, about 30,000.”

      So, large crowds do signify victory.

      And Obama had the advantage of running against milquetoasts.

    227. Tina says:

      No an unnamed source named McCabe, Lisa page, or Pete the chest is investigating the Emails from Russia.

      All from his or her basement in Pjs.

    228. PhilS says:

      Hey Pedophile Gator.

      Russia hoax died. Get a new hoax.

      Meanwhile the crackhead son and the pedophile dad are headed to suicide in jail.

    229. Tiba says:

      Trumps third campaign event (ok one was unofficial) has begun in Macon, Ga.

      Another large crowd,

      Meanwhile, did the competitor call a lid?

    230. JeffP says:

      170 lisab true…most movies are for the mindless.

      Used to live and went to college in Minneapolis in the late eighties one of my favorite places. I wonder if Trump will visit again soon.

    231. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Oh snap

      Alabama Senate Polling:

      Jones (D): 48%
      Tuberville (R): 47%

      FM3 Research / October 14, 2020 / n=801 / MOE 3.5% / Telephone

    232. PhilS says:

      “Biden falsely claims union endorsement during ABC town hall”

      Pedophile Biden’s whole life has been built on lies.

      “”The boilermakers overwhelmingly endorse me, okay?” Biden responded. “So the Boilermakers Union has endorsed me because I sat down with them, went into great detail with leadership, exactly what I would do, number one.”

      The International Boilermakers Union, however, made it clear on its website that it has not endorsed anyone. The Local 154 endorsed President Trump in a September message from business leader John Hughes.”

    233. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      240 RIP V Jordan

    234. MrVito says:

      Josh Caplan
      @joshdcaplan
      · 52m
      DETROIT (AP) — Absentee ballots must arrive by Nov. 3 to be counted, the Michigan Court of Appeals said Friday, blocking a 14-day extension that had been ordered by a lower court and embraced by key Democratic officials.

    235. PhilS says:

      Hunter in his own words.

      ““For f–ks sake hallie for the first time [in] 17 days talks to me to say im an embarrassment. To MY family,” Hunter wrote.
      He then admitted, “Well dad, the truth is as you and hallie point out — I am a f–ked up addict that cant be…Trusted relied upon nor defended.”

    236. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Oh my goodness so it is true! Mr. Trump really is holding a rally in Georgia.

      This is the most amazing news and confirms that Mr. Biden is clearly ahead. Splendid!

    237. PhilS says:

      While you and pedo Joe are jumping each other.

    238. PhilS says:

      How was ridin’ Biden today?

      Fun as always?

      Does your mommy know?

    239. PhilS says:

      Do you only ride Biden, or do you get to ride Harris sometime?

    240. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Holy Smokes! Yes this is an internal poll but holy smokes. If we can take out Mr. Graham that would be the most delicious icing on the most scrumptious cake.

      Obama level turnout among our South Carolinian African American friends.

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      ·
      2h
      #SCsen:
      Harrison (D) 47% (+2)
      Graham (R-inc) 45%
      Bledsoe (C) 3%

      brilliant corners/
      @harrisonjaime
      (D) Internal Poll, LV, 10/11-16
      https://jaimeharrison.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/10.16-Poll.pdf

    241. PhilS says:

      Ridin’ Biden,

      You are sunk to this level? Is Pedo Joe riding you this bad?

    242. PhilS says:

      Are you eve voting for Pedo Joe, or just using him for riding’?

    243. PhilS says:

      Is this the best lie Hsrrison can tell himself? If you are lying to yourself, why don’t you say you are ahead by 50?

      Nobody believes either, so go big.

      You losers have no imagination.

    244. PhilS says:

      “More than 370K Pa. mail-in ballots not accepted because most were duplicates”

      Ha ha ha ha

      Maybe Pddo Joe should rush resources to PA now.

    245. Chicon says:

      Well, Trump is consistently a few points ahead in AZ lately, yet McSally lags behind. Like Dead Arse Tillis, running away from Trump in a state he’s leading might not be a good play.

    246. JamesT says:

      Doesn’t post 250 completely destroy the Democrat/media narrative?

      Claim in the poll:
      “ Obama level turnout among our South Carolinian African American friends.”

      Reality:
      The opposite, per all available data. Chicago Tribune, TargetSmart et al.

    247. Phil says:

      Did everyone get that “internal poll’’ from the troll showing Jones hanging on in Alabama?

      Must be Jones’ impeachment of Trump vote or maybe his opposition to Barrett – both hugely popular positions in Alabama. LOL

      To be an effective troll you have to post things that are at least vaguely believable. That one sure ain’t it. Try again.}m

      Hey, Soros. Send better trolls.

    248. George says:

      Trump is so energized and having a great time at this huge Georgia rally. He must know things are looking very good for him.

    249. Tina says:

      Trump on Oprah:

      She used to be my friend before I got into politics.

      She would come down to Mar a Lago a lot.

      She loved the key lime pie.

    250. Tina says:

      Baris

      Trump heading to a 5-7 point win in Arizona.

    251. John says:

      Big Dem Pac pulls out of Colorado. Hick on his own.

      Red landslide in the making.

    252. Scooterboy says:

      Baris says McSalley is running about 5 points behind Trump.

      Trump 5-7 point win in Arizona would be pretty huge.

    253. Baris says:

      Told ya. I can make it 8 points but that might be pushing it. I think I’ll stick somewhere in the 5 point range for now.

      Make my poll go viral. Together we’ll change the narrative.

    254. Tina says:

      Folks, China Biden melting down here. His nose is quite Red.

      https://twitter.com/my3monkees/status/1317241404037488640

    255. Scooterboy says:

      Bernard Kerik-“ personally had the opportunity to review the hard drive belonging to Hunter Biden. If the @FBI and @TheJusticeDept arrested Paul Manafort, then Hunter, James, and @JoeBiden belongs in handcuffs? AND THAT, is just for starters. #China

    256. JeffP says:

      Yeah…FOX News Mike Emmanuel a very respected reporter verifies Hunter emails legit from person involved and the BIG GUY that got 10 million set aside from Commie China was the one and only former VP JOE BIDEN.

      Trump will be all over this now.

    257. JeffP says:

      Trump could get McSally over the line with 6-7 point win.

    258. PhilS says:

      Hunter should debunk all this iif he got the chance. Let Hunter speak.

      Ha ha ha ha

    259. JeffP says:

      The swamp corruption and media’s lies are being magnified to new heights now. Too obvious even for the casual follower of the news.

    260. JeffP says:

      Tucker had a whole bunch more to share on this story too.

    261. Boog says:

      Let me just go ahead and coin this phrase now: “Red Wall.”

      We may be hearing it come election night.

    262. Annie says:

      Mark Kelly looks like Uncle Fester on the Addams Family.

    263. MrVito says:

      John James fires back after Biden calls him a disaster: ‘Don’t forget your place in Black America’

      https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2020/10/john-james-fires-back-after-biden-calls-him-a-disaster-dont-forget-your-place-in-black-america.html

      Taylor DesOrmeau
      @TDesOrmeau
      · 5h
      Biden on Republican Senate candidate John James:

      “Talk about a disaster, there’s a disaster.”

    264. Annie says:

      Maybe the Senate should subpoena Hunter and his dad to come in for a talk?

    265. Robbie says:

      I see David Perdue went full George Allen today.

    266. John says:

      Kamala mala lama – stupid ass hoe

      Willie’s Nasty Hoe to be exact

    267. Tina says:

      Bo Erickson CBS
      @BoKnowsNews
      I asked Joe Biden: What is your response to the NYPost story about your son, sir?

      He called it a “smear campaign” and then went after me. “I know you’d ask it. I have no response, it’s another smear campaign, right up your alley, those are the questions you always ask.”

      https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1317275294194085888

    268. John says:

      The election is over. The red landslide is taking over the pedophilea party.

    269. MrVito says:

      Mike Roman
      @mikeroman
      ·
      Oct 15
      A supporter received ballots for 18 people who do not live at the house he rents in Las Vegas! He doesn’t know any of them. This is a mess!

    270. Tina says:

      Trump must have done 6 plus hours of speeches today.

    271. Smack says:

      Biden sure acting grumpy for being 11 points ahead nationally and having Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin all locked up.

      HA!!!

    272. phoenixrisen says:

      Biden angrily yelling on his speeches and snapping at reporters who ask him about the NY Post story means only one thing. He is seeing his polling numbers in free fall plummet

    273. Smack says:

      Phoenixrisen,

      Joe knows more is coming out…that is what’s killing him right now. His son left the Trump campaign a gold mine of information which is being collaborated as we speak.

    274. Tina says:

      There are multiple whistleblowers against Hunter

    275. Tina says:

      How much did the big man aka pop aka the person who knew corn pop get from China?

    276. JeffP says:

      Damn! Twitter is now disputing the Fox News story on email verification and the BIG GUY. This is unfreaking believable.

    277. phoenixrisen says:

      Spiro Agnew was prosecuted for far, far less

    278. Tina says:

      Maybe wrong Wray will investigate if the garage door pull is tied to the laptop?

    279. Chicon says:

      This will spiral to the extent that FB and Twitter won’t be able to contain it.

      Also, there’s a lot of the internet and media outside of Facebook and Twitter – I’m not on either and I’m fully aware of the Hunter stories.

      The info will get out. The impact? We’ll see.

    280. Tina says:

      The covering up by twitter and the jebots is worse.

      It’s always the coverup that is worse.

    281. JeffP says:

      282 Tina…that is no small task.

    282. brent says:

      i think TRUMP should go to oregon and set it on fire once again so american can remember what antifa and blm are

    283. dblaikie says:

      Well we have definitive data about Pennsylvania. It seems that the Biden Campaign is sending Barak Obama to the State. The state is officially up for grabs.

    284. jaichind says:

      After this blowup plus the 2016 Anthony Weiner – Clinton email fiasco I think the Dems should have a new rule: All Dem politicians and their family members are not allowed to use laptops.

    285. Bitterlaw says:

      Watching Goldwater’s 1964 Convention speech. Solid substance. Not a riveting speaker.

    286. Bitterlaw says:

      CCC

    287. JeffP says:

      And to think MORE is coming out…what if there is evidence BIG GUY Biden got paid off by Russia too?

      This is big. Probably the biggest October surprise ever. Bigger than Podesta Wikileaks emails.

      Pompeo has the 33K Clinton lost emails too.

    288. jaichind says:

      In the end I doubt there will be any smoking gun from the Hunter Biden laptop/email blowup although there will be plenty of embarrassing stuff coming out as well as stuff that contradicts what Biden have said before.

      I still think what makes this a big deal is the twitter and FB attempts to contain and coverup this story. The coverup is always worse and plays to the Trump narrative as an underdog fighting against an entrenched system.

    289. Bitterlaw says:

      Db- Trump very narrowly won PA in 2016. Saying it is up for grabs is actually a step backwards for Trump.

    290. JeffP says:

      302…it’s pretty bad. Selling access to China? Tucker laid it out…there are more details.

    291. MrVito says:

      Don’t forget Debbie DumDum’s laptop and the Pakistanis….

    292. Tina says:

      Hunter Biden is a middleman.

      Trump

    293. Scooterboy says:

      Remember those polls showing Texas was in play?

      Real American Politics- “ I feel off my chair after I saw the early voting data in Texas. Republicans are vaporizing democrats there

    294. lisab says:

      wait … i know how to implement the stimulus

      AND

      ave robbie’s job!!!!!

      what if trump promises to pay the airfare for everyone who wants to leave the country if trump wins!

      win – win!

    295. mnw says:

      307 Scooterboy

      And RCP has MO as a “toss up” too.

      They’re the experts, so… they must be right. Guess that 18% Trump won MO by in ’16… all switched to Biden?

    296. Annie says:

      299. I still like hearing Reagan’s speech from 1964.

    297. Bitterlaw says:

      My firm is not in good shape. I may have to start hanging out with Robbie soon.

    298. Robbie says:

      If you listen closely, the can hear the eunuch brigade warming up their calls for new lockdowns. We recorded 71,000 new cases of corona today the limp wristed people whose jobs aren’t in danger if there are lockdowns are starting to squawk.

      Nothing will happen before election day, but watch for states governed by Democrats to issue destructive new restrictions after the election is over and don’t be surprised when new stay-at-home orders are issued in certain places.

      I would not be surprised to see the stock market sniff this out soon and possibly sell off.

    299. Robbie says:

      Bitterlaw says:
      October 16, 2020 at 10:56 pm
      My firm is not in good shape. I may have to start hanging out with Robbie soon.

      – In Kentucky, Andy Beshear has told everyone who has lost their jobs that they should know they took one for #TeamKentucky. Nasuseating.

    300. Annie says:

      288. Tina – Devon Archer’s conviction in defrauding the Oglala Sioux tribe out of bond sale proceeds stands since a ruling last week. I wonder if he’ll cut a deal, too, and turn over evidence about Hunter.

    301. Tina says:

      Annie,

      The walls are closing in.

    302. Bitterlaw says:

      Robbie – I disagree. If Trump wins, there will be no new lockdowns. Dem Governors and Mayors need to open up fully so businesses can be taxed. If Biden wins, the media will give him credit for curing COVID and stop reporting cases.

    303. Phil says:

      As far as cases go the rise in cases is nothing compared to what is happening in Europe over the last two to three weeks. Russia, Spain, France, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands, Switzerland – you name it. They are getting crushed.

    304. Annie says:

      Tina, I just hope that this information sinks in with the American people who are still voting, so they know the truth about Joe Biden’s decades-long corruption. The media are working overtime to keep voters in the dark. Those of us who have followed Biden’s career for decades always knew about the influence-peddling, the plagiarism, the racism, etc – and that people still think he should be POTUS is shocking. Even Obama said Biden shouldn’t run…Old, demented Joe is a very compromised individual.

    305. Tina says:

      But remember when Fallacimswid to look to Europe.

      Every call he makes he is wrong.

    306. Tina says:

      Most strictest lockdowns with stringent mask requirements are getting crushed in Europe.

    307. Scooterboy says:

      Benny- “ Joe Biden SNAPS at CBS reporter who had the balls to ask about the breaking stories that detail his corruption.

      Attacks the reporter personally.

      The walls are caving in.

      Biden is not capable of withstanding this.

      And it’s about to get much worse”

    308. Bitterlaw says:

      Annie – The only people who care about Hunter Biden were never going to vote for Trump. Never. The people voting for Biden know he is corrupt. The do not care. He is the only way to get rid of Trump and they accept it. They know they will get rid of Biden before the end of his first term.

    309. Bitterlaw says:

      From the stories I reading the Daily Mail, the pubs were certainly not locked down until tonight.

    310. Smack says:

      Bevan Cooney, a former associate of Hunter Biden, has verified the emails found on Hunter Biden’s laptop which had Bevan Cooney’s email as part of the email trains are authentic.

      Bevan Cooney is serving a 30 month prison term. Cooney has given evidence to FOX NEWS …FOX NEWS has confirmed Cooney is telling the truth.

    311. Tina says:

      Looks like France and Italy =40,000 cases.

    312. Tina says:

      Cooney is one of several whistle blowers.

      Imagine Comedy and Comedy’s Protege (Wrong Wray), in their rush to cover up,corruption, cause Hillary and Biden to lose.

    313. lisab says:

      My firm is not in good shape. I may have to start hanging out with Robbie soon.
      ———————————

      i just had this vision …

      “on november 3, bitterlaw was asked to remove himself from his place of business. that request came from his boss. deep down, he knew she was right, but he also knew that someday, he would return to her.

      with nowhere else to go, he appeared at the home of his hhr friend, robbie. sometime earlier, robbies’s boss had thrown him out, requesting that he never return. can two furloughed men share an apartment without driving each other crazy?”

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af1h4ibpKJA

    314. John says:

      I hope Rudy has good security.

    315. Annie says:

      322. Bitter – Let’s hope that those people – the ones who don’t give a d*mn about our country – are in a voting minority. I hope that the uninformed Democrats and unaffiliated voters who genuinely care about the USA will think twice before giving Biden their vote.

    316. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Florida margin continues to expand for Democrats. It is reaching the point of no return of Republicans.

      North Carolina, PA, NH, and IA continue to look amazing.

      WI, AZ, MN, NV, all heading blue as well.

    317. lisab says:

      actually, fl sucks for the dems

      looks like they will leave 500,000 to 700,000 votes on the table

      the dems are not returning their ballots

    318. lisab says:

      goodness gracious gator

      for the last time

      the london underground is NOT a political movement

    319. BayernFan says:

      Actually, the data show that the GOP is killing the Dems in VBM and EV everywhere but maybe NC and PA (where the GOP plans to vote on Election Day as usual.

      In fact, the GOP has surged ahead of the Dems in MI today by two points.

    320. WalterBam says:

      ?????? ??????? ???????? ?? ??????????????? ?????????????? ??????? ?? ????? ?????? ?????? Vavada. ???? ???????? ??????? ????????? — ???????????? ????? ????? ?????? ??????. ?????? ?????? ??????, ????? ????????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ????? ????????, ????? ?? ???????? ?????????? ????? ?????????, ??????????? ?? ??????? ?????? ???????????? ???????? ????????????. ???????: ???????? ??????? ???????? ??????????. ???????? Max Ebon ?????? ???????????? ? ???????????? ? ?????????? ?????, ??????? ?????? ?????? ??? ?????? YouTube. ???? ?? ???????? ?????? ????, ?? ???? ????????? ??????? ?????????????. ?? ????????? ???????? ????, ???????????? ??????? ?????? ? ??????????? ??????????? ????????? ?????????, ? ??? ??????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ??????. ??? ???????? ? ??????????? ????????? ?????????? ???? ?????? ???, ??????? ??????? ????????????? ???? ?? ???????? ??????.
      ???????? ?????????? ????????? ?? ?????? ?? ???? ?????? ??????. ?? ???????? 100 ????????? Space Wars, 100% ????? ?? ?????? ???????. ????? ??????? ???, ?????? ????? ??????? ????????! ??????? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ???????? “?????? ?????? ??????”. ???????? ??????? ???????: ?????????, ????????? ???????????? ?????? ??????? ??????. ????????? ?????????. ???????? ???????, ??? ????????? ?? ????? ????????, ?????????? ? ????????? ??????? ?? 50000? ?? ??????? Max Black. ?????? ? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ??????? ? ??????? ?????, ????????? ???????? ??????! ????????????? ??? ???????!
      ??????, ??? ????? ??????? ????? ???????? ?? ????????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ?? ???????? ?????, ? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???? ?????????? ??????? ??????? — ???????, ?????????????, ??????? ?????? vavada ?????? ??????????? ????. ??, ?????? ?????? ?????? — ???????. ??????? ???????? ? ?????? — 36 ????? ??????. ????? ?????? ????????? ??????, ???????? ??? ????????, ???????? ?????????? ?????????? ??????????? 56 ???????, ?? ???????? ?? ???????. ? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?? ???? ???, ??????? ???? ?????? ? ????????, ?????????? ????? ??? ?????? ????.

    321. jaichind says:

      I live in a high income suburb in the Greater NYC area. This area has been trending Dem for several cycles now and voted 2 to 1 Clinton back in 2016. Both in 2012 and 2016 there were no yard signs for either candidate although there are some yard signs for local races. All my neighbors/friends in 2016 were Obama-Clinton, Romney-Clinton, or McCain-Obama-Clinton voters in group environment although I can tell some of them were hidden Trump voters.

      This time around there are a bunch of yard signs mostly going for Trump 2 to 1. There are also a lot of local election signs which heavy lean toward GOP local candidates often with the USA flag which one can read as the hidden Trump vote.

      What I can get from this is: The enthusiasm gap for Trump is real. But also that there are a lot more signs also means turnout will rise relative to 2016 which would still be a net plus for the Dems here.

      If this replicated in the wealthy suburbs outside Philly then Trump will need to make up this loss (due to higher turnout of Dem vote) in the rest of PA in the form of higher Trump enthusiasm which is clearly real.

    322. Todd McCain says:

      Target Smart Data has almost in unison itched towards the GOP in every state.

    323. Tina says:

      Yup Todd, The Cotto Twitter feed mentioned it.

    324. Pitchaboy says:

      Jai, you are unrelenting in your approach. You find a good thing for Trump but somehow find a way to see a cloud in that silver lining. Democrats will do better this time in the suburbs as that vote is driven by hatred of Trump among educated young snobs. This will be balanced out by DJT getting more AA share and a depressed AA turnout. They do not hate him and do not care about SLO Jo. This is why Obama has been unleashed.

    325. jaichind says:

      I am looking over the targetsmart data. Various mainstream sources say that VBM numbers show that there will be a turnout surge (which is the only way these pro-Biden polls could end up being true.) But I do not see it. As a ratio of the VBM and early vote it seems new voters are a lot smaller percentage of the number than 2016. So most of this surge in VBM and early vote seems like cannibalization of the election day vote.

    326. jaichind says:

      339. Well, I think we are saying the same thing. That Trump will lose some ground in the upscale suburbs but most likely make it up elsewhere. My point is he better make it up elsewhere to have a chance in PA.

    327. PhilS says:

      Obama has been unleashed?

      He is planned to make his first appearance for Biden in Philadelphia on Oct 21. Nobody knows what that means. Rally? I thought Biden doesn’t do rallies. Speech?

      Didn’t Obama/Michelle also “unleash” for Hillary in Philadelphia in 2016, in widely reported final push? Didn’t help much, as I recall.

      Obama, besides being lazy, doesn’t want much to do with this pedophile loser.

      Just because fawning media headlines say “unleash” doesn’t mean much.

    328. PhilS says:

      And going beyond Obama, any campaign that depends on someone else’s charisma to pull it through will lose.

      Charisma is not transferable.

    329. jaichind says:

      RCP betting odds average has already shifted back to around early Oct levels so the impact of Trump getting COVID-19 has been wiped out. Now it is about wiping out the impact of the first debate which I think it is more about Biden not having a complete meltdown.

    330. PhilS says:

      And lastly on this topic, the only announced event for Obama is the Philly event on Wed.

      There is nothing else planned. I will be very surprised if Obama,a will do any barnstorming for Biden. Heck, even Biden doesn’t do any barnstorming for Biden, why would anyone else.

      Obama is only doing this one thing so he doesn’t get any whispered blame after the sad pedophile loses.

    331. Gordon Allen says:

      If Obama is in fact being sent to PA that’s really good evidence that Biden is worried. By the way while President Obama showed zero coattails in elections without him on the ballot; if anything negative results.

    332. jaichind says:

      I agree that if Obama is going to PA then the Biden camp is concerned about Black enthusiasm in Philly. The same thing took place in 2016 and in the end the Dems did get the turnout they needed in Philly. It just was they were swamped by a massive Trump rural turnout.

    333. Bitterlaw says:

      In the Philadelphia suburbs, many upscale voters are willing to vote against their own interests to get rid of Trump for one simple reason – they are wealthy enough to not care. Nobody likes paying taxes but they can afford it if it means getting rid of Trump.

    334. PhilS says:

      That’s not any different from most recent elections. Trump lost the Philly suburbs by a greater margin than Bush, Dole, McCain, and Romney.

      Yet he won PA unlike those losers.

    335. PhilS says:

      Here’s Biden campaign in its own words:

      “Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden’s campaign manager warned against trusting inflated national polling numbers released this week, which showed Biden in a double-digit lead over incumbent candidate President Trump.

      “Please take the fact that we are not ahead by double digits,” Jen O’Malley said Friday, according to a New York Times reporter. “Those are inflated national public polling numbers.”

      Anyone relying on public polls as indicator of race status is a fool.

    336. SoHope says:

      Maybe I’m letting the fact that I couldn’t vote for Trump in 2016 but have decided to vote for him now blind me but I’m having a hard time believing all these suburban 2016 Trump voters turn Biden are actually real.

    337. PhilS says:

      Keep in mind that PA has had a net voter registration change of 200,000 in favor of GOP since 2016.

      That is real data, unlike fake polls.

    338. Smack says:

      Voting in Florida yesterday did not go good for Democrats. They only gained 15-16 thousand votes and if this is the trend for last 2 weeks before election Biden will not get what he needs in early voting in the Sunshine State to defeat President Trump in Florida.

    339. Bitterlaw says:

      I don’t know who will win PA. I don’t know if the rural and exurbs counties can increase their numbers from 2016. I hope they can but I will defer to the other PA posters who live in those areas.

    340. PhilS says:

      “Anyone relying on public polls as indicator of race status is a fool.”

      And I meant to add, this goes for both sides.

    341. Bitterlaw says:

      SoHope- I don’t know any 2016 Trump voters who will vote for Biden. I do know voters who sat out 2016 who will vote for Biden.

    342. Scooterboy says:

      Not sure if this was posted

      Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election #USSen #MIpoll conducted Oct 11-15 shows James’ expanding lead:
      48.0% @JohnJamesMI,
      46.6% @GaryPeters,
      2.8% Other,
      2.5% Und. See Report: thetrafalgargroup

    343. PhilS says:

      Just to keep PA 2016 in mind.

      1) Trump lost Philly suburbs (22%) by 42-55, and Philly city (12%) by 15-83 He won Northeast (16%) 55-42, Central (22%, same size as Philly suburbs) 62-34, and West (28%) 54-42. The bulk of registration change from 2016 has been in non-Philly areas.

      2) Overall, Trump lost urban areas (27%) 26-70, and won suburban areas (53%) 52-44 and rural areas (19%) 71-26. Philly suburbs are not the only suburbs in PA. The other PA suburbs swamped Philly suburbs in 2016

    344. Chicon says:

      Bitter, you also know voters who (effectively) sat out 2016 and will vote for Trump in November.

    345. Wes says:

      Can you go with him, Bunu?

    346. Hugh says:

      In Florida for in person EV many red counties will not open on the 19th. So don’t be disappointed in the first week results

    347. SoHope says:

      I know a lot of ben shapiro types that sat out 2016 that are now nominally Trumpish. Its easy to write in or vote libertarian if there was a zero change trump would win.

    348. Messy says:

      2012 all over again…ahhh1

    349. PhilS says:

      And to point out further, among PA suburbs, Philly suburbs were 22% of total votes (Trump -13%), overall suburbs were 53% of total (Trump +8%), therefore Trump crushed Hillary in non-Philly PA suburbs (Trump +23%), (which were 31% of overall votes).

      So, if there is negligible loss of voters who voted for Trump in 2016, and there is 2-3% increase in net GOP registrations, there would have to be massively increased Dem turnout for Biden to win. Lower enthusiasm and lack of ground game would argue against that, but who knows.

    350. DW says:

      Polling of PA does not show slippage for Trump in the philly suburbs

    351. PhilS says:

      It’s 2012 all over again all right, with Trump in the role of Obama. It’ll be the same result.

    352. Scooterboy says:

      If this data is correct, Trump is killing it in Arizona and it doesn’t appear that Trump is losing the suburban women vote as badly as everyone is predicting.

      Baris- “ In Maricopa County, the voter file is now nearly R+5. Our raw collection from tonight is 71% female, D+1 and still Trump and Biden are dead even at 48.4%.

      I’ll leave you to figure out what that means.”

    353. jaichind says:

      I think the best way to compare RCP averages between now and 2016 is to do a non-USC RCP average comparison between 2016 and 2020 since USC completely revamped their methodology. Doing so I think Trump is only running about 1% behind his 2016 gap for mid Oct.

    354. SoHope says:

      The question is is this 2008 or 2016?
      Polls are showing crazy huge Dem turnout ala Obama in 2008.

      They this the same with Hillary in 2016.

      So is Biden Obama or Hillary?
      We shall see.

    355. mnw says:

      364 Messy

      Please help me with this:

      Are you a male or female poster?

      This has been the subject of a longstanding dispute between me & another poster here. By “longstanding,” I mean “at least a couple of years.”

      I recall you once posting that u r male, & that your screen name was a nickname derived from your Polish last name– Mazerowski (appx). Is my recollection correct?

    356. Pitchaboy says:

      Biden is no Obama.

    357. Chicon says:

      Mnw – Messy is a troll; any response will be properly viewed as unreliable.

      Can you handle never knowing the answer?

    358. Chicon says:

      Pitch – agree. Not sure I’d want Obama out there trying to convince uncertain (especially AA) voters to pick me if I were Joe. It might highlight for them that indeed Biden is in fact no Obama.

    359. Gordon Allen says:

      What does everyone think of the margin favoring Trump head head on viewership? It looks like 65/35 w 7,000,000″ voting”? I would think most people would watch their desired candidate,or one they were learning towards. That’s a pretty large polling sample ( and I know not ” scientific”)

    360. mnw says:

      I would be curious to know how the SCOTUS ACB confirmation is effecting the election, if in fact is.

      I know a majority supports confirmation, but I don’t know if the hearings & vote will move the ball.

      Also, I fear the new Hunter Biden revelations have been so effectively censored by the MSM that low information voters will literally never know about them. The story went down the memory hole faster than any other news story I’ve ever seen. Pravda would’ve envied the smooth, seamless MSM operation. Nicely done!

    361. mnw says:

      Chi

      You are right. But I did find the Messy post to which I referred to be persuasive at the time. It made sense.

      The only way a male would choose “Messy” as a screen name is if it really WAS a nickname like that.

      RE: The Blues:

      The SC champion team is but a fading memory now. That’s the nature of pro sports today– never get too attached to your favorite players.

    362. jaichind says:

      375

      except Bloomberg claims it is a tie. I am almost certain the methodology is biased in some way but did not look into it.

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-16/trump-biden-town-hall-ratings

    363. PresidentPaul! says:

      The kavanaugh nomination swung a couple senatebraces to the GOP.

    364. jaichind says:

      377. I think the Biden camp with the MSM are effectively shifting the Hunter Biden emails into a discussion on Russian interference. I think the GOP is better off attacking the censorship attempts by FB and Twitter than try to attack more on the details. I agree the Giuliani approach of letting out into on Hunter Biden emails drip by drip can better demonstrate the MSM bias.

    365. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://youtu.be/8bXgULtz6cI

      The hunter tapes

    366. Pitchaboy says:

      The attack should be on Slo Joe and his corrupt empire. It will turn off some indies leaning towards him. Show them for the stinkers they are, Russia or not. Release the compromising pictures and videos.

    367. Pitchaboy says:

      More damning info will drip in. Going after FB and Twitter is no win. Everyone knows inherent bias. They need to know the depth of Biden corruption.

    368. Phil says:

      384

      Exactly right, pitch.

    369. Chicon says:

      We’ve just seen – with Covid – how awful modeling can be. Now we’re seeing modeling by TargetSmart regarding the reading of the VBM/EV tea leaves. I’m looking for reasons to rely on TS’s data projections – can anyone help?

    370. Hugh says:

      381. That’s ridiculous in my humble opinion

    371. Pitchaboy says:

      Hugh: Jai is a Yankee Indian. They are 99% D.

    372. Chicon says:

      378 – I’m sure you enjoyed the heck out of that Stanley Cup run. I did with the Hawks’ run. Now it is a return to irrelevancy!

      Of course, I won’t need to wallow in the mediocrity if they do the SJW thing going forward.

    373. Phil says:

      Should have my COVID Test results by Monday. Pretty sure I have it. Fatigue, sinus infection like symptoms, shortness of breath and some fever. Can’t imagine where I picked it up, however. Taking zinc and vitamin D as per doctor’s suggestion.

    374. Pitchaboy says:

      CRP and ferritin elevation: surrogate markers of infection. If shortness of breath worsens: rapid test in the ER.

    375. Hugh says:

      Sounds like there may be a third mistress for family man Cunningham!

      Chump chump!!

    376. SoHope says:

      Are you in a vulnerable group Phil?

    377. Robbie says:

      Bitterlaw says:
      October 16, 2020 at 11:10 pm
      Robbie – I disagree. If Trump wins, there will be no new lockdowns. Dem Governors and Mayors need to open up fully so businesses can be taxed. If Biden wins, the media will give him credit for curing COVID and stop reporting cases.

      – I’m not saying they’ll be widespread, but I think it’s growing more and more likely Democrats run states will implement them in some way. They shouldn’t, but they will.

      You can already hear the murmurs on Twitter as press members pass around charts of daily cases and tweet “My God”. As soon as the election is over, watch for anchors and hosts on CNN and MSNBC to start to wonder whether new lockdowns are needed.

      Right now, I think Biden’s going to win and he’s going to want to establish that “he means business” on corona. So I expect he and Pandemic Overlord Fauci are going to call for something akin to the ridiculous nonsense we’re seeing in Great Britain, talk of a “circuit breaker” shutdown.

      Obviously, Republican states, if Biden and Viceroy Fauci call for a shutdown, won’t go along with him, but Democrats states will. The net result will be a stock market decline, a crippling of airlines and hotels, and a big hit to the economy.

      Anyone who doesn’t think Pandemic Overlord Fauci isn’t angling for another shutdown hasn’t been paying attention to his actions over the last seven months.

    378. janz says:

      It seems like Hunter Biden’s financial arrangement with the Chinese was similar to a Concierge service, in finessing access to the WH, on behalf of the Chinese, for a huge chunk of money – money which apparently was then shared with “the big guy,” his father a Joe. What a scheming family the Biden family is appearing to be!

      Also, Phil, wishing you the best outcome with the “symptoms” described, whether or not they turn out to be COVID related.

    379. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      October 17, 2020 at 10:36 am
      Should have my COVID Test results by Monday. Pretty sure I have it. Fatigue, sinus infection like symptoms, shortness of breath and some fever. Can’t imagine where I picked it up, however. Taking zinc and vitamin D as per doctor’s suggestion.

      – Sorry to hear this, but I’m sure you’ll come through this well.

    380. Phil says:

      I suppose I am, SoHope because of my age (68) but other than that I don’t have any other outstanding health issues. My concern is my wife’s exposure. She is a bit older than me and has several serious health issues. I’ve been staying in a separate part of the house but she was exposed to me before I came down with symptoms when we were in the car together when we went down to vote. We were wearing masks but I don’t put a lot of faith in that.

    381. MrVito says:

      Most FL counties begin In person voting Monday

      Tuesday: Sumter, Liberty

      Wednesday: Gilchrist, Dixie

      Thursday: Baker, Columbia, Hardee, Highlands

      Saturday: Bay, Glades, Gulf, Hamilton, Suwannee, Union, Walton

      So, all the late starters are heavy Trump in the north, panhandle, or south central

    382. MrVito says:

      In FL

      GOP returned 41% of vbm
      Dem returned 46% of vbm

      This gap remained steady (actually shrank a point) all week.

    383. Robbie says:

      I’ve always been both intrigued and baffled by the incubation period of this version of corona. We have been told it can be up to 14 days. This apparently came from officials in China, but how many other upper respiratory illnesses have that kind of lengthy incubation period?

      I was always under the impression colds and flus generally had a 2 to 4 day incubation period. In 2018, I picked up my parents from the airport on a Saturday evening after they had been on a cruise. By Sunday afternoon, my Dad had come down with the flu. About 48 hours later, I had the flu. Thankfully, neither of us had a serious case.

      Given the amount of community spread that existed in Wuhan and now here in the US, can a 14 day incubation period really be trusted? I assume this 14 day metric came from contract tracing, but is that even worth it with an airborne illness?

    384. Pitchaboy says:

      Vast majority get symptoms by 5 to 7 days. We let our quarantined nurses and docs back in after 7 days.

    385. Phil says:

      Looks like another increasingly huge day of cases throughout Europe – and I mean throughout. They are really being hit…..and the masks aren’t doing much If you take a look at yesterday’s numbers in Spain, UK, France, Switzerland, Belgium, Italy and now really taking off in Eastern Europe as well. Russia getting rocked. All these numbers dwarfing what they faced during ther peak in late spring.

    386. Gordon Allen says:

      Mr Vito. Two of the strongest Republican counties are here in SW Florida in Lee and Collier counties. 62-64% Trump vote in 2016. We’ll do better this year. Just putting a plug in for the home team.

    387. Jeff G. says:

      I’m not sure how much to read into VBM return rates. My wife and I (in the Durham, NC, area) have spoken to people who had second thoughts about trusting VBM and will do in-person early voting instead. No doubt a substantial portion of unreturned ballots will be of people who just don’t bother voting at all, but a lot of them will vote in person instead.

    388. Robbie says:

      Today is day 215 of “15 days to slow the spread”.

    389. jaichind says:

      403. The death rate in Europe continue to be low and well below March-April levels.

    390. Robbie says:

      Pitchaboy says:
      October 17, 2020 at 11:47 am
      Vast majority get symptoms by 5 to 7 days. We let our quarantined nurses and docs back in after 7 days.

      – Would you say the incubation period for this corona is basically in line with other comparable upper respiratory illnesses like rhinoviruses and influenzas?

    391. Robbie says:

      jaichind says:
      October 17, 2020 at 11:56 am
      403. The death rate in Europe continue to be low and well below March-April levels.

      – Treatment knowledge is better and the illness is now appearing in much younger people who are far less at risk.

    392. Tina says:

      During a commercial break at the trump townhall.

      Lady that speak Spanish is cheering trump.

      https://twitter.com/Pismo_B/status/1317109598126366721

    393. Phil says:

      Combination of better treatment methods and younger demographic getting it make the proportion of deaths to cases much less. Add to that nursing homes and other long term care facilities better protected….

    394. mnw says:

      My 17-yr-old is a Covid “case”– he got tested because someone in one of his classes was positive; my son tested positive; completely asymptomatic; stayed home for a couple of weeks as required, & then went back to school. The End. Never saw a doctor or nurse, of course.

      HIOW MUCH SENSE DOES IT MAKE TO CALL SOMEONE LIKE HIM A “CASE”?

      Of course, it looks like a line drive in the box score, though.

    395. Phil says:

      Been keeping up with the numbers of college players held out so far this season – not a one hospitalized anywhere.

    396. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      The Rump – Sasse fighting today is a clear indicator of a party in shambles. Sad to see it.

    397. Tina says:

      Adam Housley
      @adamhousley
      You biggest concern should be that the FBI has known about for more than a year and had it for almost as long and did nothing. There would have been no “October Surprise”.

    398. Big E says:

      Phil–Take care of yourself.

      Just completed early voting for Harris County. A lot more voting locations for Harris Counnty this year. There were five locations near my house intead of 2. Busy but no lines. Took longer since we no longer have straight party ticket option. Hopefully will result in the ouster of Comandate Hildago and the end of covid restrictions for the Houston area.

    399. Tina says:

      Phil, take care and stay safe.

    400. Bitterlaw says:

      Phil – A-holes are strong. Good luck.

    401. Pitchaboy says:

      Slightly longer than flu and cold.

    402. Robbie says:

      Pitchaboy says:
      October 17, 2020 at 12:23 pm
      Slightly longer than flu and cold.

      – Ok.

    403. CharlesAreld says:

      ????????? ?? ????????? ???????. ???????????? ??????? ? ?????? ??????. ???????? ????? ????????5 ?????? ?? ???? ??????? ?? ????????? ????????.
      ?????????????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????.?????? ????????? ? ????????? ??? ????????

    404. Robbie says:

      Nick Saban has been cleared to coach Alabama tonight after receiving three consecutive negative tests.

      How many lives and livelihoods have been harmed by false positive PCR tests.

      As I understand it, PCR tests were never meant to diagnose infectiousness, just the presence of some part of the virus. Yet, here we are.

    405. Baris says:

      I’m working hard for you in Arizona.

      Found all the right voters from AZ4 and AZ5. I’ll be including them in the sample for sure.

      You will love the Arizona poll. Please start teasing it to your network. Trump up 5-7. Build the narrative with me.

    406. Robbie says:

      Everyone should watch this video from March 12 when science hadn’t lost its mind. Just a few days later, we got the BS Imperial College model and the world panicked.

      https://twitter.com/BBCNews/status/1238151926379880449?s=20

    407. Robbie says:

      Donald J. Trump
      @realDonaldTrump
      ….practically nothing. Both Senators became totally unelectable, couldn’t come even close to winning their primaries, and decided to drop out of politics and gracefully “RETIRE”.
      @SenSasse could be next, or perhaps the Republicans should find a new and more viable candidate?

      – We’re 17 days from an election in which Trump trails and this is how he’s spending his time.

      Should Sasse have made the comments? Nope. Should Trump be wasting his time on this? Unless he wants to be a Senator from Nebraska, nope.

    408. Tina says:

      China Biden calls a lid.

      Terrible week for him as the presstitutes and jebots do full frontal for him.

    409. MrVito says:

      I’m pretty sure he’s spending his time at 3 campaign events over multiple states per day.

    410. Tina says:

      Phil.

      Some Tx Ev numbers.

      I think Trump wins by more than in 2016. What do you think?

      https://twitter.com/bishop_gains

    411. MrVito says:

      Biden clearly lashes out badly when pushed… it’s a sign of his progressive decline, and why no one in media or his campaign will allow it to happen.

    412. Robbie says:

      MrVito says:
      October 17, 2020 at 12:53 pm
      I’m pretty sure he’s spending his time at 3 campaign events over multiple states per day.

      – He’s a cat that’s easily distracted by a laser pointer.

      There is absolutely no reason to waste a single moment of his time on an issue like this.

      Every moment of the last 17 days of this election should be focused solely on Joe Biden and nothing else.

    413. mnw says:

      It worries me when I agree with Robbie.

    414. MrVito says:

      Probably sent the tweet while he was taking a dump… reminded him of Sasse.

    415. Chicon says:

      The Great Sasse Debacle is another nothingburger. If you’re “worried” about it, you need to take a day off from the election because you’re over-analyzing, imo.

    416. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Expect more lashing out and desperation from Rump through Nov 3. He knows he’s getting his clock cleaned.

      Btw, amazing how quickly the Hunter Biden story went away. Called it.

    417. MrVito says:

      If you look at NBC, it has update Target Smart numbers that are not on the site yet.

      GA went from +9D to +4D on TS site to now +2D on the NBC update.

      TX went to +11R

      After the Biden Model was applied, WI went to +9D and Ohio went about +4D as I recall.

      NBC updated numbers shows it now +2D in WI and +6R in OH

    418. jason says:

      “In a blow to local Democrats, judges in the swing state of Michigan ruled Friday that absentee ballots must reach county and local clerks offices by Nov. 3 in order to count in the general election.

      The decision by a three-judge Court of Appeals panel means that ballots arriving later than 8 p.m. on election day won’t be counted, even if they were postmarked by Nov. 2.

      The decision reverses a lower court ruling that would have allowed an extra two weeks, so long as the ballots were postmarked before election day.

      Also reversed are provisions that would have let intermediaries deliver ballots to clerks’ offices.

    419. MrVito says:

      They have MI still +2R

    420. Tina says:

      Ohio looks like a high single to low double digit loss to,China Biden,

    421. Tina says:

      Nobody cares about sassehole.

    422. Hugh says:

      Biden is running out of swing states. Chump chump!!!

    423. Tina says:

      These signs are appearing throughout S. Ca.

      Biden =swamp thing.

      https://twitter.com/3sidedstory/status/1317496630216511488

    424. Phil says:

      Tina, Trump won by 9 in Texas last time. I suspect about the same amount this cycle. No enthusiasm for Biden here among Democrats and indies that I’ve been able to detect….and I’ve looked for it. Just not there.

    425. PhilS says:

      “Robbie says:
      October 17, 2020 at 12:45 pm
      Donald J. Trump
      @realDonaldTrump
      ….practically nothing. Both Senators became totally unelectable, couldn’t come even close to winning their primaries, and decided to drop out of politics and gracefully “RETIRE”.
      @SenSasse could be next, or perhaps the Republicans should find a new and more viable candidate?

      – We’re 17 days from an election in which Trump trails and this is how he’s spending his time.”

      Moron, Trump can do multiple t things at a time, unlike you.

      He’s having two rallies today, isn’t he?

      And he does not trail. So get a new storyline. Idiot.

    426. MrVito says:

      Im curious whether there is some disconnect with those NBC numbers and he new model that TS applied… seems like too big a shift.

    427. PhilS says:

      And when Trump starts following Robbie loser’s advice, that’s the time to worry.

    428. jason says:

      Biden is a pathological liar…

      “During the event, ABC host George Stephanopoulos asked about Biden’s stance on fracking which has varied all over the place, depending on who’s asking/the audience. Stephanopoulos said that Biden’s last stated position, that he doesn’t want to ban fracking, was questioned by the Boilermakers Local 154 member Sean Stefee because it was inconsistent with Biden’s stated goal of ending the use of fossil fuels.

      That challenged Joe. Challenged Joe tends to either get very angry and/or lie his head off.

      “The boilermakers overwhelmingly endorse me, okay?” Biden claimed. “So the Boilermakers Union has endorsed me because I sat down with them, went into great detail with leadership, exactly what I would do, number one.”

      Except that wasn’t true. At all.

      The International Boilermakers Union, however, made it clear on its website that it has not endorsed anyone. The Local 154 endorsed President Trump in a September message from business leader John Hughes.

      “It is with great honor that I write this letter to endorse your campaign as you run for re-election of the President of the United States,” Hughes said. “I am happy to support your administration as you have proven to be a true friend of the Boilermakers, and I wish you the best of luck in your campaign.”

    429. Hugh says:

      So help me out. Did dem run targetsmart change their methodology to help keep the Biden narrative? I mean that would fit everything dems do.

    430. Tina says:

      Phil, not sure if you saw the Ev numbers from the twitter feed. I linked to.

    431. Tina says:

      Their minions have attacked ice cube for providing assistance with trumps platinum plan for blacks.

      Retweeted

      Ice Cube
      @icecube
      ·
      1h
      A lot of energy being spent on telling me to stay in my lane. Zero energy spent on telling Biden/Harris they need to do way more for Black people to sure up the vote. Smh

    432. MrVito says:

      “Did dem run targetsmart change their methodology to help keep the Biden narrative?”

      Just OH, MI, WI… but that’s fine, because the numbers they had looked a bit unrealistic anyway. It did not change MI at all, so I’m guessing it is because those numbers were early and vbm which somehow evened it out.

      The rural areas got more R and the suburban got more D when they did that.

    433. Phil says:

      Saw it, Tina. Thanks.

    434. PhilS says:

      Trump’s schedule:

      Today – MI, WI
      Sunday – NV
      Monday – 2 rallies in AZ
      Tuesday – PA
      Wednesday – NC

      And kicking morons like Sasse in the nuts in passing.

      What’s not to like!

    435. Robbie says:

      Can you spot the fraud?

      March 10, 2020
      Dr. Tom Frieden
      @DrTomFrieden
      I shared key actions to protect ppl from #COVID19 including:

      -Protect all who are vulnerable
      -Stop all non-essential visits to nursing homes
      -Accelerate work on effective treatments and vaccines
      -Cancel large gatherings
      & more

      October 17, 2020
      Dr. Tom Frieden
      @DrTomFrieden
      The idea of protecting the vulnerable without controlling the spread of Covid is a delusion. It’s a foolish idea, not scientifically supported, and would result in millions of preventable deaths globally.

    436. Robbie says:

      mnw says:
      October 17, 2020 at 1:00 pm
      It worries me when I agree with Robbie.

      – I’m now re-evaluating my position. Ha!

    437. Gordon Allen says:

      No worries. I’ve mentioned the 1948 ” popcorn poll” that correctly picked Truman over Dewey- as opposed to the public polls. HOLD FOR IT…. The Pennsylvania cookie poll went for Trump!! Game over.

    438. Tina says:

      The crowd in Michigan is quite large.

      I know we are told not to post this here.

      But I don’t

    439. MrVito says:

      Wanted to slip this in again for those that missed it.

      Gallup Party ID
      D 47
      R 44

      September 14-28

    440. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      The new “leaked” texts show what a great and loving father Mr. Biden is. You all think this will hurt him?

    441. Scooterboy says:

      Ice Cube- “ A lot of energy being spent on telling me to stay in my lane. Zero energy spent on telling Biden/Harris they need to do way more for Black people to sure up the vote. Smh

    442. MrVito says:

      Good to know the emails aren’t “Russian disinformation” anymore.

      So Biden really is a corrupt scumbag.

    443. Hugh says:

      461. Exactly. Biden is in trouble. Chump chump!!

    444. Smack says:

      Gatorbillyjoel,

      BRRRAAAHHHHAWAAA!!

      Yes, Joe Biden is a loving Father who also was head of Biden Crime Family.

      The old Russian conspiracy taking point seems to have been dismissed.

      LOL!!!

    445. rrutyeyge says:

      ??????? ?? ????
      _________________
      ????? ?? ??????? ????? ?? ??????? ????????? pin up ???? ???????????, ?????-?? ?????????? ?????? ?? ?????? ??????.

    446. Tina says:

      Give me my cut.

      China Biden

    447. MrVito says:

      .465

      You want it in cash or crack?

    448. PhilS says:

      “‘Democratic Party Left Us’: Rural MN Switching to Trump Chris McGreal, The Guardian

      Even a lefty rag like The Guardian is bowing to reality.

    449. PhilS says:

      “Team Biden warned in internal memo that ‘Donald Trump can still win this’ despite polls”

      Wait, what? 15+ margin is not enough?

      Despite polls? Ha ha ha

      Trump is walking away with this election, and Pedo Joe will not even know.

    450. SoHope says:

      Why is it not news that Joe was likely a 10% silent parter in a Chinese company set up with hunter and a disappeared Chinese businessman?

    451. Wes says:

      Currently Democrats are up by 286,000 ballots in NC. That’s about where they’ve been in every recent election except 2008. I guess rumors of the NCGOP’s imminent demise are grossly exaggerated.

    452. Chicon says:

      469 – because that news item would hurt Biden’s electoral chances.

    453. Wes says:

      For the record, Dems won early voting in NC by 675,000 ballots in 2008. They haven’t come close since.

    454. Chicon says:

      Wes, does NC register by party? If not, where do you get the information on how many of the cast ballots are D, R, or I?

    455. marc says:

      I am growing more and more confident in a clear cut Trump victory, it’s crazy how everything is like 16, the Democrats have learned nothing

    456. Wes says:

      For some reason, Hal won’t let me post the link, Chicon.

      It’s carolina elections.com/vote tracker/

    457. PhilS says:

      This election is not like 2016.

      It resembles 2012, with Trump in Obama’s position.

    458. Chicon says:

      Thanks, Wes.

    459. Wes says:

      If you scroll through the back elections, Chicon, you’ll see Democrats have always led the final early vote tally in NC by ~300k votes since 2008. That’s why I’m not worried about this election. They’re nowhere near matching their 2008 tally.

      Good news for Trump and Tillis. Unfortunately I doubt Forest benefits.

    460. Wes says:

      I should say between 250k and 300k votes for complete accuracy.

    461. Wes says:

      I will say in my fairly liberal section of NC, I’ve seen many more pro-GOP signs than pro-Dem ones. Dan Forest even has some amusing three-sign arrangements saying Run Forest Run. I don’t expect Republicans to win this area though.

    462. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      459. “The new “leaked” texts show what a great and loving father Mr. Biden is. You all think this will hurt him?>”

      This has to be about the dumbest comment a troll has made on this board. You cannot be born this dumb; it requires practice.

    463. Will says:

      Wes,

      In my area, I’m seeing a lot of Biden Signs. I suspect these are not Rep households. Probably profs at UNCW. Most homes don’t have signs. ?Shy Trump voters who don’t want to talk about things?

      New Hanover county is a bellwether. I know no previous Trump supporters who now support Biden. I know some never-Trumpers who are voting Trump.

      We will see

    464. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Rump only up 6 in Missouri?! Heartland (Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska) is trending purple. May not be enough, but great sign for Iowa and the rest of the Midwest.

    465. Tina says:

      Chad Pergram
      @ChadPergram
      · 45m
      McConnell: Working families have spent months waiting for Speaker Pelosi’s Marie Antoinette act to stop. They should not have to wait any longer. Next week, Senate Republicans will move to break this logjam.

    466. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      THe ouse intelligence committee chairman Adam shift on described revelations from a slew of emails in a laptop allegedly belonging to Hunter Biden as being part of a snare coming from the Kremlin I made claims the revelations are part of a Russian disinformation campaign. we know that this whole smear on Joe Biden comes from the Kremlin, chef said on CNN. That’s been clear for well over a year now that they’ve been pushing this false narrative about this vice president and his son.

    467. Annie says:

      357. Really happy to see John James pulling ahead in the Trafalgar Group poll! I have a soft spot in my heart for all West Pointers (my dad was a 1951 graduate)

      Wishing Phil and his wife a safe and swift recovery.

      Tina, the “swamp thing” sign made me laugh!

    468. Hugh says:

      Adam the top troll is doing what he can To help Biden but Biden is so dirty and enough people understand it to turn this into a landslide for trump. Chump chump!

    469. Tina says:

      Annie, we are getting quite funny with the signage in Ca.

      Also, many peaceful protests throughout the stats

    470. PhilS says:

      The Pedo G is relying on Russia hoax to save the pedo Joe.

      Couldn’t be funnier.

      The Biden Crime Family is looking at 30 years jail time after Nov 3.

    471. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      485. So was it Kremlin agents who forced Hunter Biden to take cocaine? Did they also coerce him into signing lucrative personal contracts with the Ukraine and China? Does every addict now get to claim that Putin made him do it? Did his “great and loving father” ever do any sort of an intervention to try and stop his son’s downward spiral? Biden allowing his son to introduce him to the Ukraine president does not count as an intervention.

    472. PhilS says:

      The morons don’t realize that they cried wolf too many times during the Russia hoax. Maybe they would have saved some for now.

    473. PhilS says:

      The starting question is, how did this crack-head pimp get a commission in the Navy (where he was dishonorably discharged in less than a month.)?

    474. Scooterboy says:

      492. Yep. Following the Russian Hoax story, nobody is going to fall for that angle again. They better try something else.

    475. PhilS says:

      You will be trying to lick Pedo Joe’s balls to console him, Pedo G.

    476. Bitterlaw says:

      Unfortunately, I think the Hunter Biden revelations are like the Reverend Wright revelations with Obama. They only matter to those already voting for Trump and will be ignored by Biden’s voters.

    477. Trump says:

      Cruisin to reelection

    478. Hugh says:

      Ohio gone Georgia gone Michigan gone. Soon Wisconsin Florida Arizona and nc gone.

      Vbm a disaster for dems. Their cowardly voters too afraid to vote in person. Getting killed in court. It’s getting funny

      Chump chump!!

    479. mnw says:

      I would be willing to place a significant high dollar bet with the troll in 483 that Trump carries my home state of MO by more than 12 points.

      Loser gives the money to the charity of the winner’s choice.

      Back to you Gatorbillyjoel? How much?

      I doubt he has a pot to pis* in, or a window to throw it out of, though.

    480. Trump says:

      Change it to:

      Cruisin to LANDSLIDE

    481. PhilS says:

      “Former President Barack Obama will head to Philadelphia on Wednesday to campaign on behalf of the Biden-Harris ticket, his first appearance on the trail thus far.

      With just two weeks until the election, Obama will rally support in a battleground state that President Trump won by less than a percentage point in 2016.

      Current polls show Democratic opponent Joe Biden leading Trump by more than five percentage points, according to a Real Clear Politics average. ”

      Yup, that is why Obama is ambling his way to Philadelphia. Because it is in the bag for Pedo Joe.

    482. Jeff G. says:

      My wife and I cast our votes for Trump today in NC early voting. We were never even slightly tempted to trust our votes to VBM.

    483. Annie says:

      488. Tina…Up here in NorCal, not a single political sign, other than for local races. And, I live in the People’s Republic of Davis! I did see one tiny Biden bumper sticker that was about 4″ x 6″. Just the one…

    484. PhilS says:

      The VP candidate can’t be bothered to show up (because blacks hate her), but “but her husband, Doug Emhoff, will hold a rally in Philadelphia on Saturday.”

      When was the last time a spouse of a VP candidate make any difference?

      What a bunch of losers!!

    485. BillW says:

      Business Insider is a liberal rag run by a radical Democrat.

      Try again BJ.

    486. PhilS says:

      “Try again BJ”

      The Pedo has to go with what he has.

      While another liberal rag, The Guardian, is throwing the towel in Minnesota.

      “‘Democratic Party Left Us’: Rural MN Switching to Trump” – Chris McGreal, The Guardian

    487. Annie says:

      500. mnw… What part of MO are you from? My family has roots in SE Missouri.

    488. SoHope says:

      My mom cast her mail in vote straight republican. Im helping to track it. Ill be voting in person on election day.

    489. MrVito says:

      And, on cue, TargetSmart has altered their data again.

      LOL

    490. Gordon Allen says:

      I didn’t know what Sasse said earlier. Trump was TOTALLY justified in bashing Sasse,after the latter’s ignorant comments two weeks before the election. Does ANYONE think President XI is happy with Trump ? Stupid cubed. Another Jeff Flake ” conservative,”with the same date ahead of him. How anybody- except a moron or committed liberal could opine like Sasse at this time escaped rstional analysis. He’s a Jeff Flake / Bill Kristol “conservative.”

    491. Wes says:

      Thoughts on the outcomes here in NC, So hope?

    492. Annie says:

      My husband and I, with our adult sons, plan on delivering our mail-in ballots already filled out to one of the “voting assistance sites” in our town when they open Nov 1st. There’s no in-person voting here this election.

    493. OHIO Joe says:

      President Trump securing the Italian vote. Chomp Chomp.

    494. PhilS says:

      I am looking forward to Obama’s first foray into the campaign.

      They haven’t announced any details, but it will extremely interesting see what they do. Trump-style rally with thousands, or Biden-style babbling with 20.

      If he does the former, the question will be, if Obama, then why not Pedo Joe?

      I don’t think the low-IQ Joe campaign thought this through.

    495. SoHope says:

      It feels like the polls are just off…just like they were for Hillary.
      Principled conservatives have had 4 years to make peace with the icky feeling of being nominal Trumpsters. I think he does better with republican turnout than he did in 2016

    496. SoHope says:

      I’m not really the guy to predict. Didn’t think Trump had a chance in heck but his dominated. This feels like that. Gaining my vote, me hearing that a gay hillary voting acquaintances is voting Trump and not seeing any groundswell for Biden with young voters or AA’s. it makes me think Trump has NC in the bag but who knows?

    497. Steant1965 says:

      Mr. Vito: did Target Smart say what they did. I just noticed how Michigan numbers changed? I guess now the left will say believe their numbers.

    498. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      497. “Unfortunately, I think the Hunter Biden revelations are like the Reverend Wright revelations with Obama. They only matter to those already voting for Trump and will be ignored by Biden’s voters.”

      Respectfully have to disagree. Am seeing this as a very close election, and it will be decided by voters who not completely decided, and who may not be happy with either candidate. Hunter Biden’s conduct became a major issue when the Democrats focused on it in their impeachment attempt. If the allegations are true about the Joe Biden meeting, then it could have an impact.

    499. OHIO Joe says:

      12 more years!

    500. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      National Polll:

      Biden 51% (+15)
      Trump 36%

      @APNORC, Adults, 10/8-12

      A 11 point shift towards Biden since September 14

    501. mnw says:

      508 Annie

      I’m from the Sedalia area, in west central MO, about 45 miles ESE of KC. I still have a vacation home in the Ozarks (Camden County).

      I don’t have a lot of personal experience of SE MO, though.

    502. OHIO Joe says:

      You are correct San Diego, if Hunter Biden was not an issue, the Dems would not be in panic mode.

    503. MrVito says:

      Wait to see if there is a screwup with their upload….. for example Waukesha went back up to 73-9 R and Oakland dropped back to only +8.8D

    504. SoHope says:

      Lol #522
      I would bet my bank account Biden doesn’t get a 15% win

    505. OHIO Joe says:

      Even the Biden campaign is on record as not believing the APNORC.

    506. mnw says:

      522 So… how much do you want to bet for your charity of choice, GBJ?

      Folks? He’s a FAKE. He’ll never put his money (if he has a dime to his name) where his big fat MOUTH is.

    507. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Minnesota has 1/3 of the vote in and a 20%+ point Dem lead. Still think you have a shot?

    508. Annie says:

      Sedalia is sort of between my relatives in the Kansas City area and my cousins in Rolla. My dad’s family is from a small farming town called Texas Bend, by Charleston.

    509. Hugh says:

      Polls show dems supposed to vote by mail 2 to 1’over republicans. Chump chump!!

    510. Annie says:

      522. A national poll with “adults” means next to nothing as a predictor of possible outcome. We already know that Beijing Biden will be crowned King of California and New York.

    511. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Target smart showing great movement in Michigan and Wisconsin. It was nice to get everyones hopes up for a few days.

    512. Hugh says:

      Dem org changes method. I don’t care. It’s not going as scripted and we are winning! Chump chump.

    513. George says:

      How much are AOC & the squad and Bernie and Elizabeth Warren getting paid to go silent and disappear until the election is over? How much is Obama being paid to make just one campaign appearance for Biden? What a farce of a campaign Biden is running.

    514. LindaRit says:

      ?????? ???????????? ??????? ?? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ????????????? ????? ??? ?? ?????????? ? ??????? ?????? ????????, ? ????? ? ????????? Covid-19.
      ????????? ?????, ???? ???????? ?????? ?????? ???? ?? Covid-19, ????????, ??? ????????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????? ?????? ? ????????? ??? ???? “?????????????????? ????????”.
      ?? ??????? ????, ?????????? ???????, ?????????? ??????????? 26 ????????, ???????? ????????????? ????.
      ??????? ????? ?????????????? ?? Covid-19.
      ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ??? ????????? ????????? ???????????, ????? ??? ?? ????? ?? ????, ??? ?? ???????????? ? ?????????? ?? ?????????? ??? ???????? ?? ????????????? ???????.
      ?-? ????? ????????? ????????? ? ????? ?????, ??? ???????, ??? ?????? ? ???????????????? Covid-19, ? ?????????? ???????? ??????? ????? 213000 ??????? ? ???. ?? ??????? ? ???????????? ????????? ???????, ???? ????????????? ???????, ??? ??? ???? ?? ?????????? ?????? ?????????? ????.
      ??????????? ????????, ??? ?-? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?? ???? ?????, ? ????? ABC News / Ipsos ???????, ??? ???? 35% ??????????? k.,zn ??, ??? ????? ????????? ? ????????.
      ?????? ????????????? ?????? ????? ????????? ???? ????? ??????? ? ??? ?????????? ?? ?????????? ? ????? ???? ??? ???????? ?????????.
      ???????? ?? ????????????? ??????? ??????? ? ????????? ? ???????, ??? ??? ???????? ???????? «?????????????? ????? ?? ??? ????».
      ?-? ????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???????? ???????? ???????? 15 ??????? ???????????, ????? ???????? ????? ??????????????? ????????????.
      ???????? ???????, ??? ??? ??? ????????? ? 3-? ? ????????? ????????????? ??????? ? ????????, ???? ????????, 22 ???????.
      ? ???????? ?????? ???????????, ??? ???????? ???? ?? ??????? ?? ????????? ? ???????, ? ??????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ? ???, ??? ?? ????????? ?? ???????. ????????????? https://rctrust.top

    515. mnw says:

      Gatorbillyjoel

      Are you willing to put your money where your mouth is, regarding your assertion that Biden is within 6 pts in MO? Or not?

    516. Phil says:

      It’s postings as ridiculous as Trump is up 6 in Mo. that made me long ago decide to scroll past the troll’s posts. Why do y’all continue to engage with this fool. I get why he’s here. He’s paid to be.

    517. Scooterboy says:

      Lol.

      Robert Barnes- “ If you can’t find Hagan in the Senate, it’s because this is the near millionth time @NateSilver538 got North Carolina wrong.”

    518. mnw says:

      Phil

      I just want to establish that he doesn’t believe his own BS, & that he’s too chickenbleep to respond.

      This is the first time I’ve ever tried to engage with him.

    519. Pitchaboy says:

      Target smart indeed shows SLO Joe leading returns in MI while Barnes has data otherwise. Not sure where these guys get their info from.

    520. Pitchaboy says:

      Brad Blakeman on FNC: very optimistic on DJT, James and cautiously optimistic on McSally.

    521. Phil says:

      I have engaged with the troll in the past as well. I get it…just no more. Trolls being fed useless polls of “adults” to throw around on conservative sites like ours Is standard stuff for the left. They are predictable. Just ignore.

    522. Phil says:

      I like where James is sitting right now in Michigan.

      Great candidate.

    523. CharlesAreld says:

      ????????? ?? ????????? ???????. ???????????? ??????? ? ?????? ??????. ???????? ????? ????????5 ?????? ?? ???? ??????? ?? ????????? ????????.
      ?????????????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????.?????? ????????? ? ????????? ??? ????????

    524. JeffP says:

      I am so excited about James leading. I wonder if the AA vote in Michigan will help Trump too.

    525. JeffP says:

      Annie…Tina and lisab are very funny…they always bring a smile to my face with their posts and comments.

    526. JeffP says:

      These trolls are real bad…and then there is the question mark guy…and the spam link person. I wish they were blocked.

    527. Annie says:

      547. JeffP…Agreed! They make me smile, too –

    528. MrVito says:

      In TargetSmart data, I see 2.7 million non-college whites who are first time/infrequent voters (26% of them).

      1.2 million college whites
      450K Black
      500K Latino

    529. phoenixrisen says:

      Jeff, things are looking very promising in Michigan seeing the registrations in the key bellweather counties of Kent, Oakland, Marquette, Oakland, And Macomb. Rural Michigan in the Upper and Lower Peninsula will go heavy red. Ottawa will be heavy red as usual.

    530. Chicon says:

      TargetSmart is moving outside the Circle of Trust. Not at University of Washington level, but trending the wrong way.

    531. Steant1965 says:

      Just playing around with NC and it looks like R’s are outvoting D’s in first-time voter and infrequent voter. That can’t be good for D’s. I would think they need to outpace the R’s in that department to be really competitive. Fingers crossed.

    532. MrVito says:

      So, right now in MI, if they didn’t mess up the upload, non-college whites are R+4 and college whites are R+6…

    533. John says:

      There is a bakery in Hatboro, Pa that has a special gift of knowing who is going to in the presidential election.
      Lochel’s Bakery with their selling on cookies for Biden (red) and Trump (blue) have declared a winner….
      Trump by a landslide.
      Perhaps their biggest landslide ever.
      https://hotair.com/archives/karen-townsend/2020/10/17/can-pennsylvania-bakery-predict-presidential-election-outcome/

    534. MrVito says:

      They have non college whites more Dem than college whites in Macomb and Oakland.

    535. Chicon says:

      Vito, they also show that there’s more vote from the cities and burbs than 2016. Suggests that the rural vote has plenty of room for a big show on 11/3. If the data is trustworthy.

    536. Chicon says:

      From People’s Pundit Twitter

      Voter in Janesville: “He [Trump] is the last guy I’d vote for. This time, I’d crawl across 20 miles of broken glass to vote for him.”

      I think this is the crux of the race, and why I think Trump will likely prevail. A trend that started in 2016 will go full bore this time.

    537. MrVito says:

      557 yeah… the GOP was down in counties like Marquette and within 8 in Oakland. the first time he screwed with the data, the GOP was ahead in all the swing counties, but down 18 points in Oakland. Both times the total was R+2. Now it’s reversed again and the total spread went to +5D.

      That’s some mighty special sauce.

    538. MrVito says:

      Similar anomalies happened in WI when he jimmied the data. WOW counties went from killing it, to meh, to killing it again… WI3 went Red and then back again. All the while he moved the data from D+2 to D+10.

    539. MrVito says:

      Just to be clear, those things didn’t happen from actual voting… those happened from what he called the “Biden Model”. And then I don’t know what the second one is… Biden Model on Roids?

    540. Trump says:

      Cruisin to LANDSLIDE

    541. Chicon says:

      Barnes on Twitter….

      Are there *any* non-polling, historically validated data points favoring Biden?

      I’d be curious if Robbie could answer this query? Anyone else?

    542. Pitchaboy says:

      I thought Targetsmart is based on real returned votes.

    543. Chicon says:

      Vito, messing with the model during the event is no bueno.

    544. MrVito says:

      Real returned votes don’t tell you their partyID.

    545. Chicon says:

      Pitch – so did I. But few states have registration by party available to the world. So, TargetSmart says that they use modeling and Big Data to predict whether a voter is an R, D, or I. Changing the numbers between receiving data dumps from the state is highly suspicious, imo.

    546. Pitchaboy says:

      Then it is nothing more than educated guesswork. I will wait for real returns.

    547. PhilS says:

      They are just making it up. As always.

      99% chance of Hillary being president. 99%. On Nov 8, 2016.

    548. Chicon says:

      From the TargetSmart page…..

      “Speaking of partisanship, we are often asked how we know who these candidates are supporting. In short, we don’t. The secrecy of the ballots is always protected. We don’t know how someone votes, we just know if they voted. That said, by relying on a combination of partisan voter registration, in those states offering voters that opportunity, and modeled partisanship, we have a good sense of the probability that a voter is supporting one party or another.”

      Educated guesswork indeed.

    549. PhilS says:

      Remember, the 99% Hillary win was also based on “a good sense of probability”.

    550. MrVito says:

      NBC is borrowing the TargetSmart methodology, but apparently without these additional changes, so you can see the difference the massaging made.

    551. MrVito says:

      Without the special sauce

      WI D+2
      MI R+2
      OH R+6

      With the special sauce

      WI D+10
      MI D+5
      OH R+2

      Supposedly these were the three states that were changed… but after people started talking about how good Texas was looking, now it is R+7 compared to NBC R+11

    552. PhilS says:

      It is the Nate Silver Secret Sauce.

      “Trump has less than 5% chance of getting the GOP nomination.”

      Based on a “good sense of probability”.

      People don’t focus on the states and margins because it’s not sexy, but most polls were 2-3-4-5 times standard deviations away from actual results.

      E.g. MO polls ranged from -1% to 15% Trump margin, and Trump won by 19. Which means every poll was garbage.

    553. MrVito says:

      Look for GA to change tomorrow LOL.

    554. Pitchaboy says:

      So the sauce always works in one direction.

    555. Chicon says:

      573 – the fact that the “model” changed makes BOTH sets of numbers highly suspect, imo.

    556. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      States with actual voter registration show Democrats with massive leads and running away with it. States with no registration and using the modeling show smaller Democrat leads. Whatever model they are using is clearly off. Democrats lead either way.

    557. phoenixrisen says:

      So Vito, the special sauce consists of enthusiastic Democratic turnout vs depressed or stagnant GOP base and no special sauce is enthusiastic GOP turnout and depressed or stagnant Democratic turnout. The reality from the ground via registration and VBM clearly favors the latter. What I am clearly seeing is bending of the data by MSM pollsters and Silver to keep up the “Trump’s loss is inevitable” like what was seen in 2016. Problem for them is he has no scandal and there is a major October surprise of a massive criminal scale working against Biden that makes Hillary’s for now look like small potatoes and the GOP is going to drip out every other day to keep in the news and PR cycle until Election Day which will kill Biden’s chances with swing voters. These BS stories about the GOP and Trump campaign staff bailing out on him is a replay of 3016. The parallels are so striking. As of today Trump’s winning margin looks to be larger given the great diminishment of Never Trumper and libertarian voters with AA and Hispanics voting in higher numbers for Trump. I just don’t see how Biden pulls this off. The fundraising advantage Biden has had in the last couple of months is really worthless as TV ads have reached diminishing returns and Biden has no ground game in a lot of states compared to Trump’s which was meticulously built over the years of his term. You just cannot build a ground game that fast as they take so much time structuring and getting operational.

    558. Chicon says:

      Florida registers by party. So far, the D/R/I split is 49.5/29.9/19.4. In 2016 it was 39/33/23. So, more D votes as a percentage so far this year. However, R’s made a large gain in registrations; and historically new registrants vote at a very high percentage. This strongly suggests that there is a very large pool of R’s who will vote but have yet to do so.

      #noworries

    559. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Chance Of Winning The Election:

      Biden 88%
      Trump 11%

      Electoral votes:
      Biden 357
      Trump 181

      @jhkersting Forecast

    560. Chicon says:

      The “model” for D/R/I in FL so far is 54/39/7. The registration D/R/I in FL so far is 49.5/30/19. Why the difference?

    561. phoenixrisen says:

      gator, the raw data via registration says the Dems get crushed. I mean, look at the Florida registration numbers alone. Wisconsin is lost for Biden as the WOW counties registration alone are going to wipe out whatever Dane County comes in at and then what is left is heavy red rural Wisconsin. Same goes for Michigan a.k.a Wayne County vs. the rest of the state and in Pennsylvania with urban Philly vs. the Philly suburbs (Bucks county) vs. the rest of the state. It’s just not there for Biden.

    562. phoenixrisen says:

      – 581 assumes the faulty high D turnout and depressed R turnout like the MSM pollsters have been doing for months. The reality on the ground says something else

    563. Boog says:

      So they have to change the model because the R numbers are too strong.

      What does that tell you?

    564. lisab says:

      i bought a new thesaurus today, but it is just terrible. also, it is terrible.

    565. MrVito says:

      Not enough D.

      WASHINGTON, D.C. — Major partisan differences in when U.S. registered voters plan to vote have emerged this year that did not exist in prior years. Sixty-two percent of Democratic registered voters plan to vote early or indicate they have already voted, compared with 28% of Republican voters

    566. eriepa says:

      Jack Kersting is 19 years old and is now being used as an expert forecaster by the left.

    567. Chicon says:

      585 – it tells me that both sets of numbers are suspect.

    568. jaichind says:

      581. The RCP odds average has Trump now at above 38% which puts him back where he was in early Oct. He will most likely cross 40% soon.

    569. Tina says:

      FOOL NELSON
      @FOOL_NELSON
      ·
      Oct 16
      Anna Makanju,
      @Facebook
      ‘s public policy and legal expert leading efforts to ensure election integrity, was
      @JoeBiden
      ‘s senior policy advisor for Ukraine. She should recuse herself from the
      @nypost
      stories. https://atlanticcouncil.org/expert/anna-makanju/

    570. MrVito says:

      “ Texas poll watcher Raymond T. Stewart, a retired police officer, submitted a sworn affidavit Thursday that was provided to the Harris County District Attorney’s Office. That affidavit, exclusively obtained by NATIONAL FILE, alleges that a Houston precinct judge and staff illegally used a stack of driver’s licenses in their possession to allow people to vote illegally in the 2020 election at a drive-through voting window created by the Coronavirus pandemic.”

      https://nationalfile.com/exclusive-texas-poll-watcher-testifies-on-2020-voter-fraud-in-houston-has-photos/

    571. MrVito says:

      “ Hunter Biden is facing fresh questions over business dealing in yet another nation — Kazakhstan.

      Between 2012 and 2014 — when his father Joe Biden served as Vice President — Hunter Biden worked as a go-between to Kenes Rakishev, a Kazakh oligarch with close ties to the country’s longtime kleptocratic leader Nursultan Nazarbayev, The Daily Mail reported.”

    572. Bitterlaw says:

      On CSPAN-3, they are showing JFK being grilled by Houston ministers about whether he was beholden to Rome. 2 observations. First, this was filmed 60 years ago but it sounds a lot like the grilling Democrat Senators gave Judge Barrett this week. Second, JFK was a disgrace to his faith and I am ashamed that he was the first and only Catholic President.

    573. Chicon says:

      Bitter, who are we to judge?

    574. phoenixrisen says:

      LOL!!!! MSNBC and USAToday trying to peddle Hunter Biden’s emails showing Joe’s corruption as Russian disinformation. There is desperate and there is insanely desperate. They just crossed the insanity threshold.

    575. PhilS says:

      They are so pathetic they can’t even get new hoax out.

      At this level, you would expect better lies.

    576. PhilS says:

      Then again, Joe’s career is built on plagiarism, so why not another borrowed hoax?

    577. PhilS says:

      I am wondering why Joe is not going with, “Hunter’s account is hacked.” That’s another fall back for these idiots.

    578. Hunter Biden says:

      Whats up. Is this my fan club?

    579. Cash Cow TM says:

      Mr. Vito,

      Unread thru the whole article and the alleged voter corruption in Harris Co. About made me throw up.

    580. PhilS says:

      You have to give credit where credit is due. Joe is a good family man.

      Crime family, but nevertheless.

    581. Cash Cow TM says:

      ***I read*** thru the whole article you posted in link above…

      SICKENING!

    582. Chicon says:

      597 – the fact that they acknowledged the emails at all means that news of them has spread enough that they feel they have to address them.

    583. Bitterlaw says:

      Chicon- JFK was a serial adulterer. He violated his marriage vows repeatedly. He was married in the Catholic Church and broke those vows repeatedly.

    584. Tina says:

      Can anybody explain how China Biden’s income increased so significantly from 2016 to 2017?

      He went from 280,000+ to about $17 million in 2017.

    585. Tina says:

      If somebody tied a noose (aka garage door rope) around the laptop, would the corrupt Fib investigate?

    586. Chicon says:

      Agreed, Bitter, but doesn’t your faith tell you that it is God’s place to judge others? Personally, I’m ok with judging him.

    587. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Ae you guys already shifting to a vote fraud argument? Gotta lay the foundation for that crushing defeat, I suppose.

    588. PhilS says:

      Pedo Gator,

      You are repealing Russia hoax.

      Is Pedo Joe not doing you enough?

    589. PhilS says:

      Where’s your buddy Humpin’ Biden?

      Under the lid with Joe?

    590. Greymarch says:

      #610: Agreed. After Trump wins PA by 77K votes, just like he defeated your corrupt god-queen hero Hilary, Biden’s built the case for how the “mail-in ballots” didnt get fully counted, so he deserves to be president.

      Good luck with that, shmuck.

    591. John says:

      How’s Stutterin’ Pedo Joe and Willis’s Nasty Hoe?

      uh uh uh where am i uh uh buh guh come on man gu ga ga uh

    592. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      I miss Ridin’ – without him, the common sense around here is seriously lacking.

    593. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Speaking of Riding with Biden, JLo and A-Rod endorsed Mr. Biden this weekend.

    594. Wes says:

      JFK became an overrated President because of his assassination. He was overall average. Ted Kennedy though was one of the most despicable human beings ever to exist. I’d trade both the JFK and the RFK assassinations in if I could see Ted Kennedy die by a bullet.

      Yes, I said it.

    595. Wes says:

      Oh, no!

      Two left-wing Hollywood elites endorsed Biden.

      That should move exactly zero votes in Biden’s direction.

    596. Wes says:

      You know, for all their anti-rich rhetoric, Dems certainly bask in rich liberals’ endorsements.

    597. Wes says:

      By the way, didn’t Trump sign a tax bill that raised taxes on the rich by reducing the threshold for the SALT deductions? The rich promptly voted for Democrats in 2018 in revenge for this.

      I guess Democrats are the real party of the 1%.

    598. MrVito says:

      Nothing says Main Street like a guy who lost millions over steroids and a woman who insures her a$$.

    599. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      I bet you didn’t mind A-Rod when he was a Republican. Another person that has walked away from Republicans due to Rump.

    600. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Racist Sonny Perdue can’t even give the dignity to a black woman to pronounce her name correctly. Kamala Harris deserves respect and Georgia voters will punish him accordingly.

    601. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Ridin probably left because you all have had to resort to cookie polls as your last hope that Rump can win. He likely felt sorry for you all. I think you all deserve the crushing loss for making out country endure the last four years.

    602. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Sounds like some of y’all don’t like it when minorities like A-Rod and J-Lo achieve success.

    603. Wes says:

      I bet I never cared what party A-Rod was part of. I notice you tried to deflect rather than address what I said.

      Nothing says Main Street like a former community organizer who uses the courts to disqualify his opponents for political office, bails out his billionaire buddies (who contributed the lion’s share of their political money to him) on Wall Street, and demands $400,000/speech post presidency.

      I swear the Democrats are so clearly the party of the Average Joe.

    604. Wes says:

      Who said anything about their race–or, more specifically, ethnicity?

      That was you.

      Only a racist sees racism wherever he looks.

    605. Wes says:

      By the way, a black friend of mine told me he’s voting for Trump because he expects Biden to raise his taxes. That’s obviously not the norm here in NC, where Biden will get at least 87% of the black vote.

      I thought it was interesting he concluded Trump would be better for his financial interests than Biden and decided to act accordingly.

    606. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Lets again travel down memory lane back to October 17, 1996. There was no need for trolls back then. NeverTrump sentiment prevailed and we were certain that Trump was doomed:

      Todd McCain says:
      October 17, 2016 at 1:07 pm
      Monmouth:
      HRC:50
      DJT: 38
      Eeeeeeeeeeek.

      Cash Cow TM says:
      October 17, 2016 at 1:13 pm
      Walt’s son says he killed one possum last night (I think it was the little one, “Gary Johnson”). He says he also mortally wounded the big fat one (“Hillary”) who turned on him twice and hissed at him.
      That just leaves one left (“Donald Trump”).
      Is this an omen?

      SanDiegoCitizen says:
      October 17, 2016 at 1:23 pm
      4. “BLUTAH”
      Don’t know how you can say that; Utah will be the only state voting this year for a real Republican.

      Greymarch says:
      October 17, 2016 at 1:23 pm
      Newest national Monmouth poll: HRC 50, Trump 38:
      https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_101716/
      My prediction so coming true: Trump won’t break 40%. This will be a Mondale/McGovern type of landslide for Hillary.

      MD says:
      October 17, 2016 at 1:28 pm
      Portman said Trump is a disgrace. Kind of kills your theory. They are caught in the middle.
      Election is over for POTUS

      Todd McCain says:
      October 17, 2016 at 1:31 pm
      Polls are just all over the freaking place……
      DJT down 12, leading in Ohio, up 1, down 7, down 4.
      Trump is down; who really knows how much.

      Cory (Clinton 347 / Trump 191) says:
      October 17, 2016 at 1:43 pm
      Polls are not all over the place.
      Clinton is up about 7 points on Trump nationally. So, you’d expect to see polls ranging from Clinton up by 2 or 3 to Clinton up by 11 or 12. That’s what you’re seeing.
      Clinton is up by a point or two in Ohio. You’d expect polls ranging from Trump up 3 to Clinton up 6. Pretty much what you’re seeing.
      Corey says:
      October 17, 2016 at 2:32 pm
      I’ve been saying 52-38 for months now.

      MD says:
      October 17, 2016 at 2:58 pm
      I think Trump has close to a 0% chance of winning DW. You can never say 0 on reality but this is as close to that as we are likely to see for some time.
      What that tells me about Clinton is that they are running over in resources to deploy and want to maximize those. They must have numbers that indicate putting even more money and people to the states you mentioned won’t make a difference. Therefore, you take the opportunity to expand.

      Robbie says:
      October 17, 2016 at 3:03 pm
      National surveys are always leading indicators and in the last ten days Trump has tanked. Just look at NBC/WSJ and Monmouth. This does not bode for the battleground states where high quality Republican Senate candidates are fighting for their political lives….Trump’s headed for a large defeat (maybe 8 points) and in an era of polarization, that’s going to be lethal for Republicans.

      Robbie says:
      October 17, 2016 at 3:12 pm
      My current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:
      – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
      – Clinton snags GA, AR, and NC
      – Clinton wins 1 electoral vote from NE
      – Trump wins 1 electoral vote from ME

    607. SoHope says:

      Ooooo wow! Kidd Rock and James Woods just endorsed Trump!
      Not just now what whatever.

    608. Wes says:

      I’m as thrilled to know Kid Rock and James Woods endorsed Trump as I am to watch moss growing on a tree, So hope.

    609. SoHope says:

      My father’s brother’s nephew’s cousin’s former roommate just endorsed Trump!
      What does that make us?

    610. SoHope says:

      #630 was said sarcastically

    611. Wes says:

      Absolutely nothing, SoHope, which is what you are about to become.

    612. SoHope says:

      May the Schwartz be with you

    613. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Make sure to tune in to CNN tomorrow. It should be a great program. I’d say you all might learn something, but that would require being able to think logically.

      https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/10/16/politics/donald-trump-criticism-from-former-administration-officials/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

    614. PhilS says:

      This is all you have left, Pedophile G.

      Criticism from former administration officials? Can you get any lower?

      Where’s Pedophile Joe? Done with you tonight?

      Make sure to watch this.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yl4UtpahWjM

    615. jaichind says:

      PA VBM numbers does not look good but, I think this has been pointed out before:

      Philly+Allegany make up around 51% of the VBM vote so far while in 2016 Philly+Allegany make up around 22% of the overall PA vote.

    616. jaichind says:

      Something similar in MI but not as dramatic Wayne+Washtenaw make up 20.4% of the VBM vote but in 2016 made up 15.7% of the total MI vote.

    617. Steant1965 says:

      If these PA numbers were thought meaningful by the two campaigns, Obama would not be rallying in Philly. That itself demonstrates that the Biden campaign has not yet locked up the black/urban vote. Otherwise, Obama would be used in a different place. Doesn’t mean I wouldn’t wish to see something different in these VBM numbers, but the fact that the left is also saying to ignore them gives me comfort.

    618. jaichind says:

      WI numbers. Dane+Milwaukee is 32.7% of the VBM so far but in 2016 Dane+Milwaukee is 25.2% of the total vote.

    619. jaichind says:

      In FL the VBM seems balanced. Miami-Dade+Broward+Palm Beach VBM number seems to match 2016 numbers which is around 26% of the FL total.

    620. Pitchaboy says:

      Everything looks bad Jai. You have done your trolling for the day. Enjoy the rest of it.

    621. jaichind says:

      In the rustbelt the VBM numbers weighted toward Dem areas the seems the narrative could be
      a) High Dem enthusiasm surge
      b) Dem push for VBM cannibalize the election day vote which shows up more in Dem heavy areas in relative VBM numbers

      The MSM polls will say a) since that is consistent with their polls. Those of us that think the MSM polls underestimate Trump will tend to think it is b)

    622. PhilS says:

      He is an idiot.

      What was the vbm three weeks before the elections in 2016 in each of these states?

    623. PhilS says:

      This guy is dumber than a small rock, and he hopes you are the same.

    624. Hugh says:

      When the majority of dems plan to vbm and the majority of reps plan to vote in person these blue areas need to have huge vbm margins compared to 2016 or this race will be over before Election Day starts.

    625. Steant1965 says:

      Why are these numbers meaningless? Just look at the numbers in MN from the Iron Range. Those numbers are definitely going to show more D’s voting because the folks who live there are registered D’s, including the D’s mayors of those towns. So when we look at those numbers, they don’t tell us who the D’s are voting for. One would think if the D mayors endorsed Trump then many of the D’s who live there are also voting for Trump.

    626. Pitchaboy says:

      Jai is Gator Boy sans the humor.

    627. Tina says:

      Per Cotto/gottfriied twitter feed, he likes what the gop are doing in Ohio, Texas, and Georgia.

      He is not happy with NC. Ds lead early voting/vbm by 23. He did point out this advantage by Ds in 2012 and 2016. For some reason, he is negative on gops chances here.

    628. Tina says:

      (I don’t agree with Cotto on Nc) ***

    629. Pitchaboy says:

      Nate Siilverhack knows D have no ground game. They need huge margins by Election Day. D plus 31 VBM reflects huge numbers bi-coastal. 2016 cannot be compared to 2020. 2016 had no VBM or very little of it and had a far better D ground game.

    630. PresidentPaul! says:

      I’m just hoping for some form of divided government, and if democrats do win, a margin that hopefully won’t lead to chaos.

      Of course they vote so party line on everything that a slim majority might be the same as 70 dem senators.

    631. MichiganGuy says:

      * BOOM *

      #654 “changes of voter registration (change in registered D, R, D-R), is a significant variable in predicting the voting outcomes, a critical observation which virtually no existing polls takes into account since it would indicate that Republicans have a high likelihood of winning virtually all battleground states!

    632. Wes says:

      Tina, Cotto should compare the raw numbers in NC against the past. Dems currently are ahead by 286k ballots in NC. That’s within the 250k-300k range they’ve enjoyed every cycle since 2010. (In 2008, Dems won early voting by 675k votes.) Since Dems are getting only the early voting advantage they’ve gotten in years when Republicans won, I don’t think Cotto should be pessimistic.

    633. Tina says:

      This is a nice close.

      Donald J. Trump
      @realDonaldTrump
      Joe Biden is the living embodiment of the corrupt political class that enriched itself while draining the economic life and soul from our Country. For the last 47 years, Joe Biden shipped away your jobs, shut down your factories, threw open your borders, and ravaged our cities…
      7:25 PM · Oct 17, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
      40.9K
      Retweets
      2.1K
      Quote Tweets
      135.9K
      Likes

      Donald J. Trump
      @realDonaldTrump
      ·
      10h
      Replying to
      @realDonaldTrump
      …while sacrificing American blood and treasure in endless foreign wars. Joe Biden is a corrupt politician — and the Biden family is a criminal enterprise. This makes Crooked Hillary Clinton look like amateur hour!

    634. Tina says:

      Wes, I agree. Thanks

    635. dblaikie says:

      Well the first day of early in person voting is mostly in for except for Washoe and Nye Counties. Now in the VBM vote the Dems have a 37000 vote lead. So keep that in mind.

      Today Clark County (Las Vegas) had 27000 and the dems won by a close 2000 votes. However in 2016 39000 votes were cast in Clark and the dems won by 10000 votes. The cow counties are going to be about the reddest place in America and on the first day Trump was better than 3 to 1. Right now because of that the GOP is 1500 ahead in early in person voting. That could climb higher when Washoe and Nye county report.

      Take aways so far. Well the huge story is that the weakness in this cycle of the Culinary Workers is laid bare. If the GOP continues to win in this early in person vote it will be a first. So far good for the GOP.

    636. Tina says:

      You mean Eric Ciaramella? Can we name him, or does Souter 2.0 still object?

      Jordan Schachtel
      @JordanSchachtel
      Replying to
      @JordanSchachtel
      Sitting on the evidence would have been one thing, but it appears someone inside the IC tried to preemptively delegitimize Hunter laptop information.

    637. MichiganGuy says:

      “Biden Campaign Says They’re Not Ahead by Double-Digits. Those are inflated national public polling numbers.”
      .
      https://politicalwire.com/2020/10/16/biden-campaign-says-theyre-not-ahead-by-double-digits/
      .
      Even the Biden camp knows the pollsters are lying and inflating their numbers.

    638. dblaikie says:

      A further observation about Nevada. In the past Sunday’s during in person early voting were huge for the Dems because of many AA Churches scheduling “souls to the polls” events. However, and this is in many places in the Country, the closed Churches in Nevada are going to deeply effect that vote. Just another way these blue Governors are hurting themselves.

    639. Waingro says:

      IBD with some fairly significant tightening in its daily tracker today. Trump now down 5.7 in HTH. And 5.0 in the 4 way.

    640. Tina says:

      Ned Ryun
      @nedryun
      ·
      3h
      Just over 2 wks out from Nov. 3, all the indicators I look at show Trump winning; voter registration data, S&P up 200pts since Aug 3, Norpoth’s primary strength model. Tack on to that the strength of the GOTV game for Reps (I’m usually very unimpressed but not this year). . .

    641. MrVito says:

      NBC s numbers now have Georgia EV as 47-47 and Texas as 52-39 R.

    642. Hugh says:

      The Biden crime family is running out of battleground states to win.

      Chump chump!!

    643. Brandon says:

      Yeah, the IBD/TIPP poll is now the tightest it’s been since tracking started. A 5 point Biden lead nationally is right on the edge where Trump can realistically win the electoral college. If that narrows to 3 or less, game is on.

    644. Pitchaboy says:

      Mr. Vito: What are NBC numbers for WI, MI.

    645. Smack says:

      Lack of a Biden ground game and weakness of Democratic ground game to register new voters in multiple swing states will be the story of the night on November 3rd.

      These EV numbers for Biden are not good enough. Democrats needed a larger advantage in the first few days of EV because GOP always chip away in the last 10-12 days of EV before Election Day.

      Ground game, ground game, ground game….where were you Biden? Where were you Democrats?

      Why did you spend all your time trolling on message boards and not hitting the pavement?

    646. MrVito says:

      Same as last night, Pitch.

    647. PresidentPaul! says:

      So if Trump wins the states he’s supposed to win Fl, ohio, arizona, nc etc, then he needs to win a random state in the midwest, but Wisconsin is smaller so that one won’t actually get him across line.

      Whereas Minnesota, Michigan, Pa etc would indeed.

    648. MrVito says:

      Wisconsin has the same number as Minnesota.

    649. MrVito says:

      That’s why FOX effectively had Trump winning far earlier than everyone else when they called Wisconsin.

    650. Tina says:

      13
      122
      145

      John Cardillo
      @johncardillo
      ·
      15m
      Had one of my most vocal Dem friends, who criticizes Trump daily, tell me last night he’s voting for him despite his disapproval of Trump’s style,

      Reason: Trump has been great for his business.

    651. Brandon says:

      He needs Michigan or Pennsylvania. Without either of those two it’s pretty much impossible.

    652. MrVito says:

      Romney states+OH/FL/IA+Wisconsin+ either lone congress district in play

      Is a tie.

    653. Tina says:

      Looks like the race has changed in the last 7-10 days.

      Trump beats China virus. He actually looks even better post treatment.

      Folks focusing on the economy as the #1 issue, as China Virus falls to 3rd.

      Stock market gains. (401k 3rd quarter statements).

      Corruption and grift by Hunter and Where’s my cut (pop).

    654. Tina says:

      The corruption charge looks legit.

      Emails and photos not refuted by China Biden.

      Hunters lawyer request the retturn of the laptop. If it’s fake, why did his attorney make the request?

      How did China Biden go from $396,000 in income in 2016. (Good portion as his veep,salary to almost $17,000,000 in 2017. Doubt book sales accounted for the difference. Remember at the end of the administration, obumbler offered to help him “keep his home.”

    655. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Tina
      Next week a 30+% 2020 3rd Quarter GDP number to add to your list in #679.

    656. PresidentPaul! says:

      Maybe Biden can pardon him.

    657. Tina says:

      I did not realize that Kamala is off the campaign trail officially.

      Due to quarantining.

      But she was a lousy veep pick.

      Ugly, ineffective, nasty, and mean,

    658. Tina says:

      Trump

      Vegas last night. To church there in Vegas

      Tonite Rally in Carson City.

    659. jason says:

      Looking forward to another Sunday where I won’t have to watch millionaire self entitled football players, coaches and owners tell me how racist I am, nor will I have to watch the flag being disrespected or listen to the Black National Anthem as a symbol of “unity”.

      Bitter to say I want to be praised for not wanting to support a Marxist organization like BLM in 3, 2, 1…..

    660. Brandon says:

      #678. You’re right. My bad.

    661. jason says:

      Robbie says:
      October 17, 2016 at 3:12 pm
      My current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:
      – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
      – Clinton snags GA, AR, and NC”

      AR? Wow.

      Trump 684k
      Hillary 380k

    662. jason says:

      He needs Michigan or Pennsylvania. Without either of those two it’s pretty much impossible”

      I know there are other possible routes, but I agree that without PA is is going to be very difficult.

    663. Hugh says:

      Sounds like a lot more is coming out on the Biden crime family.

      Landslide! Chump chump!!

    664. Brandon says:

      Unless he meant Arizona?

    665. jason says:

      Corey says:
      October 17, 2016 at 2:32 pm
      I’ve been saying 52-38 for months now.”

      True, he did say that for months.

    666. jason says:

      Can anybody explain how China Biden’s income increased so significantly from 2016 to 2017?

      He went from 280,000+ to about $17 million in 2017.”

      He invested well in Trump’s booming economy.

    667. jason says:

      Brandon says:
      October 18, 2020 at 10:14 am

      Unless he meant Arizona?”

      Well, he certainly meant OH.

      Trump 2.8 million 51%
      Hillary 2.3 million 43%

      He certainly meant IA

      Trump 801k
      Hillary 653k

    668. jason says:

      5 point Biden lead nationally is right on the edge where Trump can realistically win the electoral college.”

      I think he wins it easily if it gets to 3 points, carrying everything he got in 2016 plus possible MN, NH, and NV.

      But getting to 3 pts will be a challenge.

    669. Tina says:

      Retweeted

      Steve Herman
      @W7VOA
      ·
      10h
      On
      @POTUS
      Sunday schedule:

      9:00AM International Church of Las Vegas service
      Las Vegas, NV

      12:30PM Roundtable with supporters
      Newport Beach, CA

      1:00PM Fundraising committee reception
      Newport Beach, CA

      4:00PM Make America Great Again rally
      Carson City, NV

    670. jason says:

      Let’s hope more Never Trumpers realize what the stakes are here…

      “I enthusiastically voted for Gary Johnson in 2016. I wrote articles opposing Donald Trump’s Presidency and welcomed the title of never-Trumper. I was a part of the system. I thought Donald Trump was the enemy, even up until the point I was filling out my 2020 ballot. My ballot this year, for some reason, had down-ticket races first and Presidential last. I was excited to fill out my ballot for some of my very close friends running for office. It wasn’t until I got through the ballot and realized I hadn’t voted for President. Except that I did. I had voted for another four years of Donald Trump and Mike Pence without even thinking about it. That was the moment I unplugged.

      I realized Donald Trump isn’t the enemy. The media-created system is. Donald Trump is simply the tool for fighting it. That… That’s why I voted for Donald Trump. That’s why I want another four years of disruption because I refuse to be part of the system that perpetually divides Americans. The system knows we all hate that division so it embedded code to convince us to think that if we maybe vote for a particular candidate that the division will go away.

      But remember when that division really took off though: During Barack Obama’s presidency. And now his heir apparent is waiting in the wings. Why would we think for a single second that electing Biden would make it better? What they are engaging in is ideological gaslighting. They are making you think that your anger at them is unjustified and that voting for someone other than Donald Trump is the cure. You’d be crazy to think that Trump leaving office fixes this. It doesn’t. In 2008, it was Vote for Obama or you’re a racist. Now it is Vote for Biden or you are filled with hatred. Same message, different time.

      If you’ve read this far, you’re probably expecting some football spiking ending to this realization. There really isn’t one. All I realized is that no matter what the media says about Donald Trump, it probably contains some truth. I just don’t care anymore because, for them, it was never about the truth in the first place. It was about control. Do I love Donald Trump? Gosh No. But I am starting to believe that he’s the only thing standing between us and the media’s efforts for total ideological annihilation.”

      https://www.redstate.com/scotthounsell/2020/10/18/the-red-pill-ballad-of-the-recovering-never-trumper/

    671. SoHope says:

      I dont think it’s narrow without PA.

      If he gets AZ NC OH FL and either ME-2 or NE-2 he only needs one of these routes
      PA
      WI
      MN
      MI
      VA
      NV + NH

    672. Pitchaboy says:

      If he gets to 3 in MSM, he is likely even. Believe MI will seal the deal.

    673. Bitterlaw says:

      Once again, Jason feels a need to proclaim he will not watch football. Nobody asked if he was watching. Nobody said they were watching. Only Jason knows his motivation for his post.

    674. MrVito says:

      So, Trump supporters were beaten on both coasts last night.

      MSM yawns.

    675. Bitterlaw says:

      I get 10-15 emails per day from the Trump campaign. I have clicked unsubscribe at least 10 times. I want him to win but it is getting really annoying.

    676. MrVito says:

      In other news….

      Catturd ™
      @catturd2
      ·
      3h
      We hit the #1 trend in the USA – 5th Sunday in a row

      #FartingIsBipartisan

    677. SoHope says:

      I’ve watched no NFL either. Making my absence known to our benevolent sports overlords that they are killing the goose that laid the golden egg. But its easy for me. The Panthers suck @ss this year.

    678. MrVito says:

      Joe Concha
      @JoeConchaTV
      · 3h
      Don’t even want to know why #FartingIsPartisan [sic] is trending *unless* the Swalwell mystery was solved.

    679. Tina says:

      Yikes

      The Dirty Truth (Josh)
      @AKA_RealDirty
      ·
      9m
      .
      @MariaBartiromo
      Says an FBI agent that’s been investigating child pornography for five years has suspended the Hunter Biden laptop.

    680. Tina says:

      Per Sen Johnson.

      Rumors are three laptops

      One from Hunter (we all know)

      One from hunters psychiatrist

      One from D. archer

    681. Chicon says:

      701 – says the guy who has mentioned 1842 times that he voted against Hillary despite hating Trump. Why so often? Virtual signaling. HHR’s King of Virtual Signaling calling out someone for virtual signaling.

      I love this place.

    682. Robbie says:

      Daily Mail US
      @DailyMail
      Steve Bannon says President Trump will run again in 2024 if he loses

      https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8852433/Steve-Bannon-says-President-Trump-run-2024-loses-upcoming-election.html

      – Since it comes from Steve Bannon, it’s probably not worth the time, but can we all agree this would be a bad idea?

      If Joe Biden, at 78 years old, is too old to run in 2020 (he is), then wouldn’t Trump at 78 years old in 2024 be too old to run as well?

    683. PhilS says:

      Can we all agree that you are stupid? Trump 2024 even after he wins in 2020.

    684. PhilS says:

      After he names Ivanka and Dob Jr to the SC in his second term, the SC will give hime 2024 and 2028.

    685. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 18, 2020 at 10:13 am
      Robbie says:
      October 17, 2016 at 3:12 pm
      My current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:
      – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
      – Clinton snags GA, AR, and NC”

      AR? Wow.

      Trump 684k
      Hillary 380k

      – What’s humorous about this comment is it’s been copied here many time, but the dopes like Jason who repost it failed to scroll several comments down and see I mistyped and meant AZ and not AR and corrected myself.

      Nice try.

    686. MrVito says:

      No, the humorous thing is it is believable.

    687. Gordon Allen says:

      Heh. Suppose Trump wins all his 2026 states, PLUS Minnesota,New Hampshire,and Nevada?? He’s in better shape to do that than win the states he did in November 2016
      None seem out of reach unless you confirm to the public polls. I think Biden being up in the only poll I’ve seen by 5 in Oregon says a ton. His lead is lily some ice; a mile wide and an inch thick.

    688. Chicon says:

      711 – No. Joe is not too old because he’s 78. He’s too old because he’s senile. If Trump can still do what he has done over the past several weeks in four years he will not be too old.

      However, he is going to win.

      BTW, did you want to take a shot at the question I posted last night? Here it is again…

      Are there *any* non-polling, historically validated data points favoring Biden?

    689. PhilS says:

      “Electoral College: With 16 Days to Election Trump Running Ahead of 2016 Polls”

      Everyone, including the low-IQ Biden campaign, knows what the situation is.

      “Biden Campaign Cautions: We’re Not Ahead by Double Digits”

    690. Robbie says:

      Robbie says:
      October 17, 2016 at 3:24 pm
      Yes, I made a typo in 98.

      I meant AZ and not AR.

      Apologies.

      – Nice try, Jason.

    691. Tina says:

      Lara Logan
      @laralogan
      · 48m
      Journalist question of the day: why was the FBI sitting on evidence while people were trying to impeach the President of this country?

    692. MrVito says:

      Nate Silver says you are ahead by double digits, Joe.

    693. MrVito says:

      “ Journalist question of the day”

      Rhetorical question of the day.

    694. Robbie says:

      And here is me responding to Jason four years ago that I made a typo.

      Robbie says:
      October 17, 2016 at 3:25 pm
      jason says:

      October 17, 2016 at 3:18 pm

      Clinton is going to win Arkansas?

      Ok, let’s make a bet on it.

      I will give you two to one odds it won’t happen.

      Hillary wins Arkansas you get $200. She loses the York Co. SPCA dogs get $100.

      – A typo. I meant AZ as the map I attached showed.

    695. Tina says:

      Steve Guest
      @SteveGuest
      ·
      14m
      CBS’s Ed O’Keefe on Face The Nation: “[Joe Biden] will not be seen again after today until Thursday night.”

      REMINDER: Joe Biden and his campaign have not disputed the authenticity of the bombshell emails which detail the extensive corruption of the Biden family.

    696. Tina says:

      Did China Biden call a lid today?

    697. Chicon says:

      Cotto sounding like a child on Twitter about NC-GOP blowing it. Although he did say he doubts Biden and Cal will win.

      Thoughts, Wes?

    698. Tina says:

      OAN is releasing more Mob Biden emails tonight.

    699. PhilS says:

      Pedo Joe seems to have called a lid for 5 days.

      He is mentally and physically unable to continue. Campaign is in freewill.

    700. Chicon says:

      Tina, sounds like they called a lid for the week.

    701. Tina says:

      China owned Twitter has locked the account of Dr. Scott Atlas.

      I understand he has a different opinion on the virus than Dr Wrong rendezivir,

    702. Tina says:

      Chicon, I don’t get the lids. This is the 2nd day in a row, and it sounds like it’s going through Thursday.

      But it’s muh mean tweet that is the only “concern.”

    703. PhilS says:

      I think Pedo Joe wants to get all his child molesting done before going to jail.

    704. Chicon says:

      Time to amend section 230, which was enacted to ensure a free exchange of ideas in the internet. It was passed to prevent providers from assessing all the content they publish. Well, now they are examining content and preventing a free exchange of ideas. If they want to get into the content examination business, do it fairly or pay the price.

    705. Bitterlaw says:

      Chicon – Hating Trump is not a virtue. Just a fact. By the way, Alston Jeffries is a complete bust.

    706. PhilS says:

      Repeating you hate Trump every other post, a million times since 2015, is virtue-signaling.

    707. Tina says:

      Seems like debate 3 is already compromised (no surprise).

      https://twitter.com/KurtSchlichter/status/1317850397214609413

    708. Phils says:

      It gives you some sort of catharsis? Make you feel better about your own life?

    709. Chicon says:

      Alshon is a strange case. Plays pretty well, then gets hurt. Mixed in with being a bit erratic in the effort area as well as self-centered. I wasn’t too upset he left the Bears even though I was better than their remaining receivers.

    710. phoenixrisen says:

      Updated EV numbers (ballots returned) via NBC News voting results tracker based on party registration:

      MI: GOP 41 Dem 39 Ind 20
      PA: GOP 17 Dem 75 Ind 8
      WI: GOP 38 Dem 40 Ind 22
      FL: GOP 30 Dem 49 Ind 21
      NC: GOP 24 Dem 47 Ind 29
      NV: GOP 25 Dem 50 Ind 25
      MN: GOP 29 Dem 48 Ind 23

      So, what I can glean from these numbers is Democratic voters are quite Covid conscious(?) than the GOP voter is? The glaring problem for the Biden campaign is the large gains in GOP voter registrations across the battleground states, most notably Florida and Pennsylvania by the Trump campaign. The Biden campaign is in huge trouble in Michigan and Wisconsin. Biden campaign scrambling to get resources to Michigan was a huge telltale sign of the trouble but it would appear to be too late.

    711. CharlesAreld says:

      ????????? ?? ????????? ???????. ???????????? ??????? ? ?????? ??????. ???????? ????? ????????5 ?????? ?? ???? ??????? ?? ????????? ????????.
      ?????????????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????.?????? ????????? ? ????????? ??? ????????

    712. MrVito says:

      Florida GOP has turned in 42% of requested ballots, Dems 47%.

      Again, gap narrowed by tenths of a percent… No real change.

    713. Bitterlaw says:

      So PhilS admits he was here in 2015. Thanks for confirming what we already knew. You changed your handle to return a few weeks ago.

    714. Smack says:

      Too many people on Twitter and here are comparing current state EV votes/percentages vs Final 2016 EV total votes/percentages.

      To get the precise comparison you need to evaluate percentages of EV by political party 16 days from election in 2016 vs today’s numbers which are 16 days away from election.

      Pretty much in every state the DEM advantages in EV will continue to shrink and until Election Day.

      Dems EV numbers/percentages right now would look good for them if it was day before election…but it’s not.

      Biden is in deep trouble.

    715. John says:

      Assorted presidential predictions….
      According to Ryan Detrick of LPL Financial, a indicator that has predicted the last seven elections based upon a formula involving the stock market and the value of the US dollar.
      So far they have Trump on pace to winning reelection.
      https://fortune.com/2020/10/16/stock-market-prediction-trump-biden-polls-2020-closer-race-polling/

    716. NYCmike says:

      ” But its easy for me. The Panthers suck @ss this year.”

      -Actually, I think the Panthers are one of the most intriguing teams in the NFL.

      New coach. Lost best player to injury for last 3 games. New quarterback. Still winning more games than losing.

      That said, I don’t watch much. Mainly only look at fantasy with my nephews and highlights.

    717. dblaikie says:

      Well here is the new update from Nevada. We are still missing the Washoe County vote. As of now the Clark County vote shows a 32000 dem lead. In total the dem lead is 40000 votes. This is the combination of vote by mail and one day of early in person voting.

      Now here is the bottom line in 2016 the dem lead in early voting for Clark County was 73000. That is called in Nevada circles the “Clark County Fire Wall”. In the past you needed to get above 70000 votes to feel confident that the State will go blue. With that cushion the cow counties cannot make up the difference. However this year the cow counties may produce even more GOP votes. In addition Washoe County in 2016 went for Hillary by 3000 votes and I believe that will change. If that is true the vote needed for the firewall will go up. So far the cow counties after one day are huge — between 3 to 1 and 4 to 1 GOP.

    718. MrVito says:

      Sort of Interesting…

      RCP did not show Trump ahead in final average in AZ, FL, NC, or ME2 until November.

      AZ 11/1
      NC 11/2
      FL 11/7

    719. mnw says:

      Question for NYC, or any non-troll:

      I need a favor. Please tell me how do you jump from the first comment to the most recent comment at HHR, WITHOUT having to scroll down?

      A lot of blogs have a button at the top of the comments to do that.

      Also, & this is less of an irritant, but I also have trouble not cutting comments off at the right-hand margin– no matter how much I tinker with the screen.

    720. phoenixrisen says:

      #744 — Exactly. Trying to be completely objective, the big thing that I cannot get by for Biden is the voter registration numbers the GOP gained by substantial margins in the battleground states and the utter fallacy of digital contacts to
      do registration claiming the GOP is Covid irresponsible rather than person to person door knocking and face-to-face guidance to get registrations done. Voter registration is indicative of voter intensity and enthusiasm for the candidate. Obama blew the doors off McCain in 2008 and it was sort of blah for both sides in 2012 (that was a weird election), then in 2016 both sides were energized but indies were turned off by Clinton. That will likely be the post election story of 2020.

    721. phoenixrisen says:

      db, so I assume Ralston is a little freaked right now?

    722. NYCmike says:

      Right hand margin issue has to do with links posted earlier in thread……nothing we can do about it, as far as I know, except wait on Wissing to pity us enough!

      As for most recent comments, my computer has a square toggle on side you can drag down to bottom. On the phone it is not as easy.

    723. Scooterboy says:

      Not sure why Cotto is freaking out about NC. Wes is right, the numbers out of NC are pretty much in line with where they have been in previous elections.

    724. Boog says:

      Good article:

      https://thefederalist.com/2020/10/09/i-didnt-vote-for-trump-in-2016-but-id-crawl-over-broken-glass-to-vote-for-him-now/

      I think it explains a fundamental truth about this year’s election: the 46% of the popular vote whichTrump received in 2016 is the floor. There is no way that number will not increase this year. Lotta talk about trump losing the suburban women vote, because he is rude. The MSM needs to create some way to rationalize the new narrative of trump losing voters. But that is the 2020 version of the 2016 myth that Clinton would cruise to victory on a wave of Latino voters. And it is just that, a myth.

      Trump PV will be up at 2%, maybe 3%, which means electoral vote landslide.

    725. mnw says:

      NYC

      Thx.

      I can’t make the square box appear all the time, but I know what u r referring too. This may be related to the margin problem.

    726. dblaikie says:

      I think that he is worried about the handicap of not having the Culinary Workers Union getting their members to the polls via bus during early voting. In 2016 the first day in Clark County the dem lead was close 10000 votes! These mail in ballots have been coming in for some time now and the Clark County fire wall is only at 32000. When the Washoe and Nye county votes are tabulated the GOP will actually have won the first day of in person voting.

      Now Ralston does say that two days have not been posted by Clark for vbm yet. That may increase that wall to around 35000 votes. What Ralston in terrified is that 32000 dem is a cannibalized vote and with the majority of GOP inperson votes coming in the “fire wall” will fall short in two weeks and the fire wall will be breached.

    727. Phil says:

      Did the basement troll call in sick this morning?

      Highly unusual for the Leftist troll call center to leave an entire morning shift uncovered. They must be in a meeting.

    728. MrVito says:

      Find in Page “RSS” usually gets you to the bottom.

    729. MrVito says:

      On this page it will get you to what I just posted now, of course.

    730. Ron N says:

      The real problem is the Dem ground game. They got the votes of the anti trump vote in early. The problem is they don’t have the ground game the expand there early vote. Even in Washington state there are trump people out talking to get there vote. Zero Dems on the street. In some of the battleground state there will be even closer before Election Day. I don’t know where Dems get more votes.

    731. Ron N says:

      How about souls to polls will that be happening? Will this hurt the Dems?

    732. Smack says:

      Cotto doesn’t know what he is talking about. NC GOP EV will continue to chip away the DEM EV advantage. Lots of these guys are not comparing 16 days out numbers in 2020 to 16 days out numbers in 2016.

    733. MrVito says:

      In NC,

      22.5% of Blacks are new/infrequent voters.
      24% of Dems are
      27% of GOP are
      31% of non college whites are

    734. Tina says:

      Phil, morning.

      Larry Schweikart
      @LarrySchweikart
      ·
      31m
      Little indicators of D lag everywhere.

      Webb County, TX a 95% Hispanic county.

      Likely 90% Democrat.

      As of today, 26.5% of Texas has turned out for the general election relative to 2016.

      Webb is way behind at 19.4%.

    735. Wes says:

      I addressed that earlier today, Chicon:

      The numbers out of NC are roughly where they’ve been in each of the past four elections Republicans have won here.

    736. Gordon Allen says:

      Boog. You’re plagerizing! Fine by me. I’ve feltand said here numerous times,that I think Trump’s floor is indeed 46%.I find it hard not to think increased Latino/black support doesn’t get him another 2-3%,which in a 4 way vote will be enough.I remember hearing about how suburban women were gaga over the first female president ( Hillary) Those that were have been likely lost to him ever since anyway.
      I simply don’t see how Trump doesn’t surpass the Romney/ McCain pv which should be sufficient.Thanks

    737. Wes says:

      The good thing about NC is that we have meticulous data on our voting demographic information, thus making it easy to compare past elections. Republicans approximated these early voting numbers in 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018 and won each time.

      Cotto should take that into account.

    738. Tina says:

      Wes, this is what he recently tweeted:

      Cotto/Gottfried
      @CottoGottfried
      · 13m
      GOPers are crushing it in TN. They turned around a double-digit deficit in GA. They did the same in TX. In Florida, they are about to pull the same move. NC’s problem is not that it is Southern, but that its GOP voters are lackadaisical and disorganized. No two ways about it. twitter.com/gogogrants/sta…

    739. Chicon says:

      Almost seems Cotto doesn’t like someone in the NC GOP hierarchy.

    740. Tina says:

      Rey Anthony
      @ReyAnthonyFL
      Police cars revolving light HUGE Police cars revolving light

      Cubans Flag of Cuba & Venezuelan Flag of Venezuela exiles organize another MASSIVE caravan in #Miami today in support of president
      @realDonaldTrump
      ! Flag of United States

      we lost our homeland, we don’t want to lose America to socialism!
      #MAGA #KAG
      @EquipoTrump

      @mercedesschlapp

      @DonaldJTrumpJr

      @RichardGrenell

      https://twitter.com/ReyAnthonyFL/status/1317869145900318721

    741. Wes says:

      That seems like a subjective analysis, Tina. I’d have to know what context he meant it in. The NCGOP has turned out its voters and won far more than it’s lost over the last decade. The current voting numbers reflect recent outcomes.

      I’d like to know how Cotto concluded what he said.

      Is it because Republicans are almost 300k behind in early voting? They’re always that far behind in early voting. If that’s the basis of his analysis then he’s going into histrionics over nothing.

    742. Stonewall DW says:

      Pence in Maine for a Rally on Monday, followed by Rally in PA on Monday.

    743. Tgca says:

      772

      I agree with Wes. I see no evidence at this point that Trump will lose the Crispy Creme State. Let’s see what happens over the next week.

      As for the Sewer State, Trump can kiss it good bye. As if he even contemplated it.

    744. Pitchaboy says:

      Robert Barnes agrees with Wes. Feels D underperforming NC EV.

    745. Tgca says:

      I don’t know about y’all but I do not trust mail in ballots in Dem districts like south Florida. I always vote in person. I suspect many conservatives feel that same way unless they live in a solidly conservative district where they don’t expect any shenanigans from gubbermint employees with a leftist agenda.

    746. Tina says:

      Wes, he is saying this because Rs are third in ev, behind Ds and indies.

    747. MrVito says:

      The boon of vbm was supposed to be that Dems could get a lot of their infrequent voters to the ballot box. But if you look at my post 763, that doesn’t seem to be what’s occurring.

    748. MrVito says:

      Independents were far more likely to say they would vote by mail this year than the GOP. Twice as many Dem as the GOP.

    749. Wes says:

      Can you give me a reference to what Barnes said, Pitch?

    750. George says:

      Dems desperately thought they could squeak Biden into the White House by hiding him and carrying out an all out assault on Trump. This is blowing up in their faces as Biden now faces these huge, unanswerable attacks on his credibility. The majority of Americans are not stupid and will send Trump back to the White House by huge margins.”

    751. Stonewall DW says:

      “Dave Wasserman
      @Redistrict
      · Oct 16
      Still, would I rather be a Dem w/ a four point FL polling lead heading into the final 20 days, or a GOP president w/ a favorable recent FL voter registration trend?

      I’d rather be the Dem.”

      This guy is nuts. Florida Governor Gillam and Florida Senator Nelson agree, though I suppose they had 8 point leads in FL polls, not just 4.

    752. Wes says:

      I haven’t compared the past Indy performance with this year’s, Tina, but if Republicans are within the recent threshold they’ve needed to win in NC, I don’t the Indy numbers concerning.

    753. Gordon Allen says:

      FWIW since I’m boycotting the NFL( except for when Tom Brady plays) I went back to October 18-19,2016 for auld lang some purposes. Emerson college had Trump @ 27% and SEVEN points behind the muffin man in Utah! Our esteemed owner admitted he was going to coast the last 2 weeks because Trump’s position was hopeless with not the slightest chance at reaching 270 Electoral votes.
      Ah,for the memories!

    754. MrVito says:

      Unaffiliated were ahead of GOP in NC at this point in prior years as well.

    755. Phil says:

      The troll meeting must be a doozie today. It must be going waaay long. I suspect new talking points must be going out.

    756. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Polling is a joke! CBS/YouGov released an AZ poll today showing Biden +3.Trump is +3 with Indies and the crossovers are identical. So how is Trump behind? A ridiculous PID of D+4. The correct PID is about R+6.

      https://drive.google.com/file/d/1j9uJnxfT1x8spYhW2QmAq6OkSMd06wJG/view

    757. Wes says:

      Indies are also generally a GOP-leaning group in NC, Vito. McCain carried both Indies and Republicans in 2008. Obama carried the state only because of enormous early voting turnout by the Dems.

    758. Phil says:

      We’re not losing Arizona, guys.

    759. MrVito says:

      Out in the Dakotas, there are no major races… no reason to push from either party for vbm or gotv, etc.

      In SD the GOP is up 22% in EV.
      In ND the GOP is up 47% in EV.

      These are like Western MN voters. The GOP is up 31% in Peterson’s district in MN.

    760. Tina says:

      Thanks Wes.

      Since troll activity is light, I will take a nap.

    761. MrVito says:

      Robert Barnes
      @Barnes_Law
      ·
      45m
      GOP voters rushing to vote early in Arizona in 2018 may have cost them that Senate seat. Democrats knew exactly how many votes they needed to counter-balance, and took strategic actions to make that happen. Winning the early vote can be a dummy prize.

    762. Stonewall DW says:

      Ah the trips down memory lane.

      How about these from four years ago at this time:

      MICHIGAN

      Michell Poll – Oct 18

      Hillary 51 (Hillary +13)
      Trump 38
      Johnson 6
      Stein 2

      Detroit News – Oct 10-11

      Hillary 42 (Hillary +11)
      Trump 31
      Johnson 10
      Stein 5

      NEW HAMPSHIRE

      PPP-D – Oct 7-9

      Hillary 48 (Hillary +11)
      Trump 37

      Univ. of NH – Oct 11-17

      Hillary 49 (Hillary +15)
      Trump 34
      Johnson 8
      Stein 2

      NORTH CAROLINA

      Marist – Oct 25-26

      Hillary 47 (Hillary +6)
      Trump 41
      Johnson 8

      Quinnipiac – Oct 20-26

      Hillary 47 (Hillary +4)
      Trump 43
      Johnson 5

      Siena College / NY Times

      Hillary 46 (Hillary +7)
      Trump 39
      Johnson 8

      OHIO

      Baldwin Wallace Univ. – Oct 9-11

      Hillary 43 (Hillary +9)
      Trump 34
      Johnson 10
      Stein 2

      IPSOS – Oct 6-12

      Hillary 43 (Hillary +4)
      Trump 39
      Johnson 8
      Stein 2

      PENNSYLVANIA

      Selzer – Oct 3-6

      Hillary 48 (Hillary +9)
      Trump 39
      Johnson 6
      Stein 4

      IPSOS – Oct 6-17

      Hillary 45 (Hillary +7)
      Trump 38
      Johnson 6
      Stein 2

      Siena/NY Times – Oct 23-25

      Hillary 46 (Hillary +7)
      Trump 39
      Johnson 6
      Stein 3

      Marist – Oct 3-6

      Hillary 49 (Hillary +12)
      Trump 37
      Johnson 6
      Stein 4

      And all these pollsters are praised and get A grades, while Trafalgar Group and Big Data Poll are laughed at and mocked, and given C-, or in the case of Big Data, completely ignored.

    763. Sy says:

      New thread.