2020 EV WATCH
Trump : 187
Biden : 351
Click here

2020 SENATE WATCH
GOP : 48
DEM : 50
IND : 2
Click here

EGO BOOST
GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS
    Search

    Trump Leads Biden in PA, Trump Leads Two Polls in TX, Biden Leads One Poll in TX

    The big poll this afternoon comes form Insider Advantage paid for by Center for American Greatness shows Donald Trump opening up a small lead over Joe Biden in the state of Pennsylvania.

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (IA)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
    Joe Biden (D) 46%

    The lead is actually 2.9%, although rounding makes it show up as only a 2% lead. This poll was done October 25th among 400 likely voters. meanwhile we have, count them, three new polls for the state of Texas. One comes from Data for Progress, one comes from Siena College and The New York Times. And the final one comes from YouGov and the University of Houston.

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (DFP)
    Joe Biden (D) 49%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (Siena/NYT)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
    Joe Biden (D) 43%

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (YouGov/UH)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
    Joe Biden (D) 45%

    The DFP poll was done October 22-25. the Siena/NYT poll was done October 20-25, and the YouGov poll was done October 13-20, all among likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 2:06 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (441)

    441 Responses to “Trump Leads Biden in PA, Trump Leads Two Polls in TX, Biden Leads One Poll in TX”

    1. SweatyToothedMadman says:

      First.

    2. jason says:

      Nice to see a red PA.

    3. Pitchaboy says:

      He will lose a sliver of white suburban women. But if Trump had morphed into Rubio for them, he would have lost a large chunk of rural vote.

    4. jason says:

      Make no mistake, if Trump loses next week (not making my official prediction yet) it will be due to Trump alienating most white-female suburban voters. They are a HUGE voting block, and Trump really pissed them off the past four years.”

      I know this is conventional wisdom by the MSM, but how did he do that exactly.

      Lower unemployment? Higher wages? Lower taxes? More opportunity? Higher housing pricing?

      I want to know which is the culprit?

    5. Gordon Allen says:

      I thought Hillary crushed him with that set as the ” first female President” candidate?. Didn’t she lose?
      The Dana Perino types? Good riddance and they’ve been long lost anyway.

    6. Waingro says:

      Barnes is leaving no meat on the bones for Silver today — accusing him of basically covering up for his fraudster buddy pollsters and their garbage polling.

    7. Tina says:

      SP&R
      @SusquehannaPR
      ·
      5m
      Makes perfect sense and fully in line with our last #Pa poll showing a near statistical tie…

    8. Official Trump is Done Countdown says:

      9 days

    9. Smack says:

      Jason Lewis came out of surgery just fine.

    10. Dylan says:

      Bad timing for Lewis politics is a grind and a blood sport I’m surprised Trump has held up so strong with all he does

    11. Scooterboy says:

      Not sure what this means exactly.

      Real American Politics

      Nate Silver favorite polls are faking numbers

      I have a bombshell video dropping today for the polling industry.

    12. Greymarch says:

      I think someone may have provided this link earlier today. Brit Hume, who is certainly no fan of Biden’s, tweeted it a few minutes ago:

      https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/10/26/no_really_–_dont_pay_attention_to_early_voting_data_144527.html

      Please stop following early voting. Without context (and we dont have the context yet) early voting totals are worthless. It’s like believing in “internal polls.” Fool’s gold. It’s for the desperate.

    13. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 26, 2020 at 2:14 pm
      Make no mistake, if Trump loses next week (not making my official prediction yet) it will be due to Trump alienating most white-female suburban voters. They are a HUGE voting block, and Trump really pissed them off the past four years.”

      I know this is conventional wisdom by the MSM, but how did he do that exactly.

      Lower unemployment? Higher wages? Lower taxes? More opportunity? Higher housing pricing?

      I want to know which is the culprit?

      – His behavior. Most here don’t care about the way he acts, but plenty of people do. The idea voters vote based on policy is a mistake. That’s why the poll question “Who would you rather have a beer with?” is a great predictor of who wins.

    14. Waingro says:

      “Real American Politics

      Nate Silver favorite polls are faking numbers

      I have a bombshell video dropping today for the polling industry.”

      This is what Barnes is alluding to.

    15. NYCmike says:

      “– His behavior. Most here don’t care about the way he acts, but plenty of people do. The idea voters vote based on policy is a mistake. That’s why the poll question “Who would you rather have a beer with?” is a great predictor of who wins.”

      -Are you saying that suburban women want to have a beer with Biden instead of Trump?

      I would think they would worry he would fall asleep before paying the bill.

    16. Tina says:

      Muh mean tweet.

      Lol

    17. Greymarch says:

      #9: Most common minor surgery in the world for middle-aged men. Lewis will be back on the trail by Wednesday. Wont hurt his vote total. He may even get some sympathy votes from men who also had hernias.

    18. SweatyToothedMadman says:

      Tough break for Lewis. No way he returns to campaigning since he was cut on. Uphill race anyway. No chance now unless he floods airwaves with massive ad buy. Not seeing it.

    19. jason says:

      The idea voters vote based on policy is a mistake. That’s why the poll question “Who would you rather have a beer with?” is a great predictor of who wins.”

      Garbage.

      But in any case, I bet more people would rather have a beer with Trump than Joe Biden, if that was the criteria.

      But it isn’t.

    20. jason says:

      Lower unemployment? Higher wages? Lower taxes? More opportunity? Higher housing pricing?

      I want to know which is the culprit?

      – His behavior.”

      Don’t you love it here?

    21. Tina says:

      Trump reading the polls.

    22. jason says:

      My wife thinks Trump is an ass.

      She will crawl over broken glass to vote for him.

      Why?

      Democratic Party Platform:
      1) Anti-Police
      2) Pro-Looting
      3) Sieze retirement savings
      4) Sieze guns
      5) Pro-illegal immigration
      6) Rural America must bail out the failed Democrat cities
      7) If you are not a person of color, you are a racist whether you want to be or not.
      8) Pro-mutilation of young children
      9) Open prison doors and let them all go free
      10) End the free speech of anyone who dissents
      11) Anti-National Anthem
      12) Pro-Mail out ballots to all people: citizens, non-citizens, living, and dead.
      13) Pro-anarchy
      14) Pro-cancel culture
      15) Pro-rationing of gov’t controlled healthcare
      16) Pro-Force taxpayers to pay off student loan debt instead of the students who took the loans.
      17) Pro-“Green” new deal to devastate the economy with crippling regulations and destroy the energy industry.
      18) Pro-“Republicans are enemies of the state” (so aim your weapons at them carefully)
      19) Endless mob violence unless you vote Democrats into office
      20) Pro-never ending shut downs to keep everyone under government control
      21) Pro-send millions of jobs back to China
      22) Pro-never ending of jobless benefits
      23) Pro-living wage
      24) DC to become 51st state
      25) Anti-Peace in the middle east
      26) Pro-sex with minors
      27) Anti-vaccine until after the election.
      28) Pro-replacing lower court system with lynch mobs.
      29) Pro-Packing the SCOTUS with commies
      30) Promised to BAN fracking
      31) Promise to END THE OIL INDUSTRY

    23. chris says:

      Larry Schweikart

      Judge Juan Torruella (First Circuit) just passed away.

      This is another Trump appointee coming.

    24. jason says:

      I bet most suburban women, whether or not they will support his agenda, think Biden is a creep.

    25. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ———

      Oct 25th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,537,099 42.52%

      GOP: 2,182,129 36.57%

      Oct 26th / 1:30pm

      DEM: 2,623,653 42.04%

      GOP: 2,303,792 36.91%

      2016 Florida All Early Voting Percentages Per Party Registration Final Results before Election Day:

      DEM: 39.80%

      GOP: 38.34%

      GOP will catch 38.34% before end of day Sunday.

      DEM will drop below 39.80% before end of day Sunday.

      In the era of Covid 19 DEM’s were suppose to over perform on Early Voting per party registration and they are not doing so.

    26. Waingro says:

      #23, that’s huge too, because despite being a Regan appointee to the 1st Circuit, he has been a big lib from the bench.

    27. Robbie says:

      NYCmike says:
      October 26, 2020 at 2:29 pm
      “– His behavior. Most here don’t care about the way he acts, but plenty of people do. The idea voters vote based on policy is a mistake. That’s why the poll question “Who would you rather have a beer with?” is a great predictor of who wins.”

      -Are you saying that suburban women want to have a beer with Biden instead of Trump?

      I would think they would worry he would fall asleep before paying the bill.

      – I’m saying a lot of people don’t like Trump and won’t vote for him because they don’t like they way he behaves as president.

      The suburbs did not go from a Republican stronghold in 2014 to Che Guevara territory in 2018 and 2020.

      The gender gap for Trump is the widest it’s ever been and it’s because woman just don’t care for the way he acts. They aren’t voting on tax policy. They’re voting against him.

    28. Smack says:

      Per my post on #25 same results are happening in North Carolina. By end of day Sunday..Monday…DEM’s will have underperformed their 2016 All Early Voting Percentages by Party Registration in Tar Heel State.

    29. hugh says:

      gm. no trump is not bleeding suburban women. No evidence of it. I dont know any and the vast majority of my circle live in suburbs.

      As for Brit Hume who i respect. His point is fair. Most of the analysis of the EV take out of context is not very useful. But if anyone expects dems to vote heavier on election day than past years is drunk. We already saw that souls to the polls were a bust in FL and NC. That is evidence that they relied very heavily on VBM and that they succeeded in scaring their base on covid.

    30. Gordon Allen says:

      Robbie. You mean suburban women like a nice guy like Biden who is manifestly corrupt, nasty when challenged. covers with his wife for a drug addict son who molests underage girls… Man. That’s verbatim msm garbage.
      More likely those are leftist teachers, abortion advocates,social welfare lovers; in other words they vote Democrat anyway. In our upscale ” suburban”( gated” community) I know a few who were Hillary supporters,and likely Biden voters and are strong liberals; don’t know ONE of these ” suburban” women who voted Trump last time who won’t do so again.still. This is largely another msm myth you’ve swallowed whole.

    31. hugh says:

      as of the 12:22 drop in Fl the good guys are up more than 35K with total EV. Should exceed 40 at this rate maybe by a lot.

    32. Greymarch says:

      #13: Bingo. Nails it.

      I am gonna vote Trump, but I will hold my nose doing it. Trump is a monster of a human-being. Sure, Hilary won the white-female suburban vote and Trump still won. This time, Biden is dominating that voting block in a way Hilary could have only dreamed of.

      Behavior trumps policy for most female, white suburban voters (forgive the pun.)

    33. hugh says:

      Hey GM. Where is your evidence of your claim? I am not seeing it. Perhaps you could share it.

    34. Sean says:

      This is why Trump needs to stress the security, the funding of the police, etc. in his closing argument.

    35. Greymarch says:

      EV counting = propaganda.

      Internal polls = propaganda.

      MSM-paid polls = propaganda.

      The truth of how this election will shake-out is almost impossible to find. The best you can do is dig through all the data you can find from every source you can find, and decide for yourself.

    36. Scooterboy says:

      Paul Bedard- “ Wisconsin Early Ballot Returns Show Polls Are Wrong–Republicans Storm The Polls, Now Ahead in WI”

    37. Justin says:

      Any indication from Baris on how his Rust Belt polling is looking?

    38. jason says:

      The suburbs did not go from a Republican stronghold in 2014 to Che Guevara territory in 2018 and 2020.”

      Repeating this drivel over and over does not make it true.

      The suburbs have been trending liberal since at least 2008 with Obama. And this has nothing to do with Trump, it has to do with the ideological makeup of its residents. More young urban professionals have poured into the suburbs, and they reflect the leftist education they received. The Dems have made strong inroads into former Republican suburban counties in major cities all over America for over a decade now. I saw it happening in Harris Co in TX just as I moved from there. It went to Obama in 2012, something that would have been completely out of question 10 years earlier. Dems started winning judgeship races county wide.

      The changes in the suburbs come from demographics. It is a different type of electorate. That is why they are not “coming back” in 2022, Trump or no Trump.

    39. Tina says:

      Muh behavior trumps economy.

      Lol

    40. Wildcatdan says:

      #22 – exactly- my wife turns off the tv when Trump comes on because she can’t stand him but still hopes he wins in a landslide – many of her friends are the same

    41. jason says:

      Behavior trumps policy for most female, white suburban voters”

      Wow, what a condescending, sexist, stupid thing to say.

    42. jason says:

      According to these geniuses, suburban women are airheads that “vote on emotion”.

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

    43. Chicon says:

      28 – Smack says “DEM’s will have underperformed their 2016 All Early Voting Percentages by Party Registration in Tar Heel State”. Correct, their 3%. The Republican share of early vote has also decreased by 1.2%. Yet one group is described as underperforming, and the other is doing great.

      In raw numbers, 400k more Democrats have voted early than last time. That’s some under performance!! 330k more Republicans have voted early, and they are killing it. It is said that the Dems have cannibalized their Election Day vote, but the R’s have not.

      Interesting….

    44. jason says:

      Hey Greymarch, my wife says GFY.

    45. MrVito says:

      Democrats are about to cross the 100% of EV total in FL.

      The independents will be next, followed by the Republicans this week.

      EXACTLY as Gallup’s voting numbers predicted.

    46. WizardofCozz says:

      My wife went from 2016 of hating Trump and supporting Johnson (if she had voted) she for the longest time was the typical, why vote it doesn’t matter, to now has registered, will vote for Trump and is now signed up to poll watch. She also would like Greymarch to GFY.

    47. MrVito says:

      The GOP is simply more likely than normal to wait to vote in person their year.

    48. Gordon Allen says:

      Ok. BS instead of Bull…

    49. jason says:

      I think most suburban women understand perfectly well what the stakes are in the election.

      Unfortunately for Trump and Rs, many ARE enamored with the nanny state.

    50. Chicon says:

      36 – Hi, Scooter. Target Smart has Wisconsin modeled (no party ID registration in WI) as Dems -10%, R’s -1%, and unidentifiable as up 22%. It would be nice to know who they are how they voted – they will determine the winner most likely.

    51. BillW says:

      jason – “Unfortunately for Trump and Rs, many (suburban women) ARE enamored with the nanny state.”

      Wow, what a condescending, sexist, stupid thing to say.

    52. Smack says:

      Chicon,

      You are missing one massive component to your statement.

      DEM’s are underperforming based upon how many days out of the election…GOP is over performing.

      You will see that I’m correct at end of day Sunday.

      You have to project the numbers into time/days remaining…Tuesday through Friday GOP will own these days.

      Try to keep up.

    53. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris hinting that Trump stronger in PA than in MI in the raw data thus far.

    54. Tina says:

      So, fake flapper and Weigel are trying to say that Biden did not say what he said about who he is running against.

      https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/1320775963416952835

    55. Chicon says:

      Vito, I just cited three states where Republican early vote is up substantially in raw numbers – Florida, NC, and WI.

    56. NYCmike says:

      “I am gonna vote Trump, but I will hold my nose doing it. Trump is a monster of a human-being.”

      -He isn’t a saint, but I would like to know what actions Trump has taken that make you say he “is a monster of a human being”.

    57. Greymarch says:

      Wow. NBC actually aired this on the Today show. This morning. They let it through. Something actually got through the MSM-wall:

      https://twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/status/1320766300839432192

      Guarantee whichever Today-show producer let this air has already been fired.

    58. Chicon says:

      I know, Smack, you see it all clearly….

    59. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ———

      Oct 25th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,537,099 42.52%

      GOP: 2,182,129 36.57%

      Oct 26th / 2:15pm

      DEM: 2,631,048 41.99%

      GOP: 2,315,438 36.95%

      2 hours and 45 minutes still remaining to early vote today in Florida.

      DEM’s bleeding all over the floor.

    60. MikeP says:

      I believe we are seeing people voting regarding their self-interest. Look at DW’s Dem. Platform where is the self-interest?

    61. jason says:

      “Days after popular rapper 50 Cent endorsed Trump for re-election, another megastar has publicly announced support for the president.

      20-year-old Gazzy Garcia, known as “Lil Pump,” livestreamed a colorfully-worded statement to his 17 million followers that slammed Joe Biden’s tax plan and pledged support for Trump.”

    62. Stonewall DW says:

      “Four more years of George uh, George uh ee uh gonna find ourselves in a position…”

    63. MrVito says:

      55 The GOP is not up in EV in Florida, unless you mean in-person only.

      Dems are at 100%
      indies are at 97%
      And GOP at 91%

    64. Chicon says:

      Smack, now that you’ve seen the data, what will be Trump’s victory margin in FL?

    65. Ruru says:

      You know EVERY single D Gov is just itching to lock things down due to covid, but afraid they will further suppress D turnout next Tuesday.

      Belief in public safety takes a back seat to protests and assuming political control. But once we have full control, sit down and shut up.

    66. Tina says:

      I am surprised that P diddy has not endorsed trump.

    67. jason says:

      BillW says:
      October 26, 2020 at 3:11 pm

      jason – “Unfortunately for Trump and Rs, many (suburban women) ARE enamored with the nanny state.”

      Wow, what a condescending, sexist, stupid thing to say.”

      Why, you should be proud a lot of suburban women favor the nanny state agenda.

      Don’t you?

    68. Tina says:

      Stop with that quote grey and Dw.

      It is clear that he was speaking to George Lopez.

      -fake Flapper

    69. jason says:

      The suburbs did not go from a Republican stronghold in 2014 to Che Guevara territory in 2018 and 2020.”

      Does anyone know of any “Che Guevara territory” that voted itself back to capitalism?

    70. Tina says:

      au ng
      @athein1
      ·
      38s
      #FL #EarlyVoting 3pm update.

      https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

      D Lead (VBM+IPEV) =315610; was 324414 at 8am.-9k in 1 hr. What an incredible pace of collapse of the D lead. It is now projected to be well below 200k by E eve! That means Trump wins FL and by extension, the nation!

    71. jason says:

      Four more years of George Lopez?

    72. jason says:

      That means Trump wins FL and by extension, the nation!”

      Not sure about the extension, but I certainly agree that Trump will win FL.

    73. jason says:

      This is what happens when you spend too much time with Biden..

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dzgyv2BcZlA

    74. chris says:

      Am i only one that’s not comfortable with a 200k Dems lead in FL by election day?

    75. Tina says:

      Larry Schweikart
      @LarrySchweikart
      ·
      16m
      Biteme back in the basement COULD be a mandate from powers that be that he NOT lose the House too.

    76. Chicon says:

      73 – me, too, on FL. I know the Dems are bleeding all over the floor, but I don’t suspect a blowout for Big Orange. I’ll bust out the brown right then if it happens, though.

    77. JeffS says:

      I never hear any mention of the enthusiasm factor here. Isn’t there some historical correlation between enthusiasm and crossover voting that could/should be factored in. I’m one of those who drop in every four years for fascinating commentary from the regulars. I’ll hang up and listen.

    78. MrVito says:

      67 That’s a different metric. I’m not sure what it is supposed to signify… just about every party in every state has cast more ballots at this point than in 2016 because if all the vbm, sooooo….. ??

      The Dems have cast 800000 more than this time in 2016 from that metric, which just solidifies my point.

      The Dems have been far more likely to vote early, just as Gallup said.

    79. Greymarch says:

      #75: Depends. What was the dem lead before 2016 election day in FL?

    80. Chicon says:

      75 – yes, yes you are.

    81. MrVito says:

      75. I expected 200-250K

    82. jason says:

      Putin says he doesn’t think Biden did anything wrong.’

      MSM calling it Russian disinformation …..
      huh…. wait….

    83. Greymarch says:

      Biden has a larger base than Trump. Trump has more enthusiastic voters. Which would you rather have in Pennsylvania, because PA is gonna decide this sucker.

    84. Sean says:

      Viva L’Orange!!!

    85. mnw says:

      41 jason

      Yes.

      I think Dave’s village has a new idiot.

    86. Smack says:

      Wow.

      I though people were understanding what was going on in Florida in early voting with 8 days out but lots of you just don’t see it…yikes.

      You don’t measure the results of today with end results of 2016….you have to project based on trends.

      Plus…there are way more votes being cast by All Early Voting in Florida in 2016 vs 2020….

      So pay close attention to the party percentages.

      By end of day Sunday & Monday the 2020 GOP percentages will over perform 2016 GOP percentages and the opposite will be true for DEM numbers.

    87. Scooterboy says:

      how has the asian american vote changed since 2016?
      interesting results from the apiavote survey

      all asian americans
      2016: clinton+43
      2020: biden+24

      even larger swings towards trump among korean, indian, and vietnamese voters

    88. Gordon Allen says:

      If Trump carries Michigan and Wisconsin Pennsylvania would be nice but not essential. As far as the base ( of legal voters) the Gallup survey showed R/D split 28/27,and the Republicans out registered the Democrat’s in the battleground states. Where’s this larger base to which you refer?

    89. Tina says:

      Brit Hume
      @brithume
      ·
      23m
      Wondering why Biden has gone to ground again? This may help explain it.
      Quote Tweet

      Fox News
      @FoxNews
      · 8h
      Joe Biden appears to confuse Trump with former President George W. Bush
      https://foxnews.com/politics/joe-biden-bush-trump-misspeak

    90. Tina says:

      ggie Haberman
      @maggieNYT
      ·
      5m
      From a senior WH official: “Justice Clarence Thomas will administer the official Constitutional Oath to Judge Amy Coney Barrett at the White House tonight.”

    91. Big E says:

      Right now the Dem lead in Fl is 315000. It looks like today the Rep will add about 50-55000 in person votes. If they can sustain this over the next 5 days that will leave a 15-25000 lead for the Dems.

    92. BRENT says:

      Sam
      @SunshineSt8Sam
      · 44m
      BREAKING:

      THE POLLS ARE WRONG!

      Republicans now lead in Wisconsin in number of ballots returned!

      – Republican ballots: 42%
      – Democrat ballots: 36%

    93. Chicon says:

      Tina, remember when the choice of Barrett was going to be big trouble for Trump. He missed the obvious choice, they said. Turned out great – Big Orange knew what he was doing.

    94. MrVito says:

      The crossover vote in FL GOP was no different in 2016 and 2018 in each race. Florida was R+4 in 2018 which counteracted a dip in independents. Crossover Dems were the same for Trump, Desantis, and Scott…. Rubio won more, because he won more minority vote.

    95. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris revealed his poll of PA has Trump leading Independents.

    96. BRENT says:

      TheLastRefuge
      @TheLastRefuge2
      · 1h
      Pennsylvania [New York Times Report] – Trump carrying 24% of Philly.

      If President Trump carries 24%+ of Philadelphia voters, barring massive fraud, he will win PA easily.

      https://nytimes.com/2020/10/25/us/

    97. hugh says:

      Just hit the 44k mark in Fl. I will try to explain one more time why at least I am not worried if after EV dems lead by 200 or even 300K. First, assuming the polls meant anything at all dems are mostly cowards. They bought into the Fauci/cnn doctrine that if you do not hide and stay away from people you die. 75% of dems are afraid of covid. Now republicans are the opposite about 25% are afraid of covid. Dems pushed VBM and have no ground game. We pushed vote in person and have a tremendous ground game.

      Initially the dem strategy looked like it might play out as hoped. Per polling they expected to vbm at a 2 to 1 rate compared to reps. mmm. Thats not happening. Not even close. So if dems are doing alot more vbm and are cowards then they need a much bigger EV positive margin then in the past. An extra 200K votes on top of the 2016 margin in FL will not even be close to what they need. And we actually have some real evidence now that vbm will reduce the in person voting. In NC and FL souls to the polls had very little impact on the Florida they lost about 12K and in NC they gained 1K. It did a little to stop the bleeding, but as we can see not much. If you dont believe me go check souls to the polls voting in past years. I am not going to bother, because I have better things to do.

      Until 2020 we were always told enthusiasm matters. Now we are told it does not. mmmm

    98. MrVito says:

      87 who are you addressing exactly?

    99. Chicon says:

      Excellent news, BRENT (why the yelling?). What’s Sunshine Sam’s source, given that WI doesn’t register by party? Target Smart’s model says identifiable Biden voters outnumber identifiable Trump voters by 48k so far. Their old model (NBC version) has Trump up 6 is the early voting.

    100. jason says:

      Listen to him, Joe.

      “Beto O’Rourke said he hopes Biden visits Texas before Election Day, as polls show a close presidential race in the traditionally Republican state.

      “This is Biden’s state to lose,” said O’Rourke, a former Democratic congressman who also ran for the party’s presidential nomination.”

    101. mnw says:

      88 Scooterboy

      That’s a dramatic decline for the DEMs– 20% in 4 years. I assume that’s because Asian Americans detest affirmative action.

      Do you think that’s the primary explanation? How would you explain it?

    102. MrVito says:

      Bingo, Hugh. And the vote shares bear that out. The GOP has more vote in reserve than independents, who have more in reserve than the Dems.

    103. hugh says:

      Big E. I do not think it will play out that way. Partially, because on the last Sundays most polling locations except in the big blue counties are closed. However, I think they will have run out of dems that had not already voted who want to vote make any big gains. If the EV margin is what it was in 2016 then trump will win by 4% or more. No doubt about it.

    104. jason says:

      If President Trump carries 24%+ of Philadelphia voters, barring massive fraud, he will win PA easily.”

      If my aunt had balls, she would be my uncle.

    105. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      Oct 25th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,537,099 42.52%

      GOP: 2,182,129 36.57%

      Oct 26th / 3:00pm

      DEM: 2,638,115 41.95%

      GOP: 2,326,335 36.99%

    106. NYCmike says:

      “If my aunt had balls, she would be my uncle.”

      -These days, not necessarily!

    107. Wobbles says:

      I think Dave’s village has a new idiot.”

      Screw you, man, I am an old idiot.

    108. hugh says:

      we should bet on what day the afternoon trolls quit showing up. I suspect it will be before election day. There is nothing in this races dynamic that will make things better for biden. Only worse and perhaps much worse.

    109. mnw says:

      108

      Yes, Wobbles. You’ve been here awhile. Jason’s comment, and my “new idiot” reply, were directed at a relative newcomer.

    110. MrVito says:

      The counties open on Nov 1 are

      Bradford, Broward, Charlotte, Duval, Gadsden, Hillsborough, Leon, Levy, Manatee, MiamiDade, Orange, Osceola, palmBeach, Pinellas, Polk, Sarasota, Seminole, StLucie, Suwannee, Taylor, and Volusia

      Bay and Gulf are open Nov 2

      Bay is open on Nov 3

    111. MrVito says:

      Bay and Gulf also on the 1st, of course.

    112. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Surprisingly, The Hill ran an article critical of Biden-Obama:

      “In 2000 Biden championed and voted for President Clinton’s initiative to normalize trade relations with China and facilitated its entry into the World Trade Organization in 2001. China’s economic rise contributed to the closing of some 60,000 U.S. factories.”

      https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/522480-is-america-ready-to-return-to-the-obama-biden-foreign-policy

    113. Tina says:

      The Reckoning ? Retweeted

      au ng
      @athein1
      ·
      3m
      #FL #EarlyVoting 4pm update.

      https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

      D Lead (VBM+IPEV) =309834; was 354654 at 8am.-15k in 2 hrs and -45k in 8 hrs. What an incredible pace of collapse of the D lead. It is now projected to be << 200k by E eve! Means Trump wins FL and by extension, the nation!

    114. Tina says:

      Yikes

      NBC News
      @NBCNews
      · 9h
      Russian President Putin says he saw nothing criminal in Hunter Biden’s past business ties with Ukraine or Russia, marking out his disagreement with one of President Trump’s attack lines in the U.S. presidential election. https://nbcnews.to/3moYru5

    115. Wobbles says:

      Yes, Wobbles. You’ve been here awhile. Jason’s comment, and my “new idiot” reply, were directed at a relative newcomer.”

      Ok, I am the jealous type.

    116. hugh says:

      111. Also, in some of those counties the EV sites are not all open. The big opportunity for gains will be in Miami, Broward, PB, Orange and Duval.

    117. Greymarch says:

      Politically conservative messageboards (like this one) get more trolls later in the day, and more on weekends. Makes perfect sense.

    118. MrVito says:

      No, anything over that and we get into questions of whether the GOP is cannabalizing Election Day vote in FL… Would have to see some poll crosstabs near Election Day as to who plans to vote on Election Day. If still proGOP, then good.

    119. jason says:

      Biden to call Putin a liar in 3, 2, 1….

    120. NYCmike says:

      “It is now projected to be << 200k by E eve! Means Trump wins FL and by extension, the nation!"

      -Vito, when is that storm supposed to hit?

    121. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      113. “The Economic Policy Institute reported that it also cost about 3.7 million U.S. jobs, mostly in the manufacturing sector.”

    122. Jeff G. says:

      The “nothing to see here” laptop issue will become suddenly a massive scandal on Nov. 4 if Biden wins. Then the progressives can get the ultraradical Pres. Harris.

    123. jason says:

      get more trolls later in the day, and more on weekends.”

      Most are in orientation classes during the day absorbing the talking points for the evening.

    124. Tina says:

      Collision symbol Retweeted

      Tucker Carlson
      @TuckerCarlson
      ·
      9m
      Tony Bobulinski says he met with Joe Biden about China. The media have suppressed the story, but it’s real and it matters. Voters have a right to know the details. Bobulinski sits for an extended interview Tuesday night at 8p ET on #FoxNews

    125. MrVito says:

      Putin is a crafty b@stard.

    126. hugh says:

      I meant dem gains, but their vote should be fully cannibalized by then. My hunch is that for many blacks they might not be able to vote trump but will just sit it out. Miami just gets worse and worse. Good chance that by end of day tomorrow the voter gap % between dems voting and reps will go in trumps favor which would be a disaster for dems. It already has in Miami.

    127. Tina says:

      Yikes.

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      · 24m
      According to a source familiar with the planning, Bobulinski will play recordings of Biden family operatives begging him to stay quiet and claiming Bobulinski’s revelations will “bury” the reputations of everyone involved in Hunter’s overseas deals. https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/1320816641257648128

    128. jason says:

      Then the progressives can get the ultraradical Pres. Harris.”

      That will be fine with Robbie’s suburban women, because according to him, they don’t vote on “policy”.

      According to him, most would rather be sniffed by Biden than have a beer with Trump.

    129. Tina says:

      If true, the China Biden family are like the mob that Rudy took down.

    130. Tina says:

      That will be fine with Rottie….

      You could have just stopped there.

    131. MrVito says:

      Mike, the track has been shifting farther west before landfall. but later middle to end of this week, it could be causing issues.

      https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/180131.shtml?cone#contents

    132. jason says:

      Does this Bobulinsky guy have life insurance?

    133. Tina says:

      I wonder when the Drats attack the whistleblower, who actually has some interesting primary evidence, and is also a veteran.

      The jebots attacked flynn, so watch out,

    134. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      118. “Politically conservative messageboards (like this one) get more trolls later in the day.”

      They are in a different time zone.

    135. Tina says:

      And look now at poor General Flynn,

      The Obama judge won’t sign off despite being told by a liberal appeals court to “dispatch the matter quickly”.

      55 plus days already,

      More money paid to lawyers unnecessarily.

    136. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      The GOP has a solid pick-up opportunity in OK-5. Bice(R) +4.

      https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201026_OK_AmberIntegrated.pdf

    137. PresidentPaul! says:

      Flynn for fbi director please.

    138. Stonewall DW says:

      Barnes has his predicted final vote total:

      Biden: 73 million.
      Biden: 73 million.
      4 million wasted on others.

      Baris reminding us that:

      234,000 dead/moved on the voter files in NEVADA. 80% of these in Clark County.

      All of them had ballots mailed out.

      Nevada is NOT IN PLAY.

    139. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      123. “Then the progressives can get the ultraradical Pres. Harris.”

      Harris is a front for the California tech industry. Her husband is a major tech attorney. She will insure tech dominance of the country, and transition us into a tech controlled and surveilled world that in many ways will resemble China.

    140. MrVito says:

      Vbm return rate inches closer again… just a gap of 3.3 at this moment.

      GOP is basically returning their ballots at the same rate as Dems… the gap may not totally close due to some GOP scrapping their ballots at in person voting.

    141. Pitchaboy says:

      Final poll Susq: DJT plus 3 PA per Barris

    142. Wes says:

      Trump has pulled his Ohio campaign coordinator out of the state and moved him to Pennsylvania.

      There are two ways to spin this:

      1) Trump is confident of a win in Ohio and is therefore focusing on an equally important but more marginal state.

      2) Trump knows he’s in trouble in likely the most important state of the election and is pulling a last-minute Hail Mary.

      Honestly if Biden wins PA, I don’t see how Trump puts together a coalition capable of winning him reelection.

    143. Stonewall DW says:

      Barnes thinks Collins can still pull it out.

    144. jaichind says:

      140. If so then he is predicting turnout as a % of VAP at around (150/257) = 58.4% since VAP most likely will be around 257 million. That would mean a turnout at the 2008 levels. I suspect if turnout is that high Biden would for sure win PV and most likely win EV.

    145. Greymarch says:

      #144: It’s both. It’s option 1 and option 2. Trump is confident in winning OH AND he knows his only path to re-election is PA.

    146. Pitchaboy says:

      DJT up MI, WI. Indies breaking his way rust belt. As expected.

    147. jason says:

      1) Trump is confident of a win in Ohio and is therefore focusing on an equally important but more marginal state.

      2) Trump knows he’s in trouble in likely the most important state of the election and is pulling a last-minute Hail Mary.”

      I think it is both.

      I think OH is probably in the bag, so why not devote resources to a more competitive state.

      I wouldn’t call it a Hail Mary. I mean it well might be, but we don’t know what numbers they are looking at.

    148. Stonewall DW says:

      My contact in WI was not optimistic two weeks ago. He tells me now that something is going on there, and he sees Trump having a real shot at it.

    149. jason says:

      Every election we hear the same thing.

      Monstrous turnout. Must mean this or that.

      To me, it is the most unreliable of all information, because it depends highly on where such turnout is.

    150. chris says:

      147. Its option 1. Trump is more likely to win MI and WI than PA. PA is just icing on the cake

    151. jason says:

      I don’t have any “contacts” or “sources”. I don’t know a guy.

      Snifff……

    152. jason says:

      Trump is more likely to win MI and WI than PA”

      Based on what, exactly?

    153. mnw says:

      There are 2 new polls from respectable pollsters, Insider Advantage and Susquehanna (per Baris), showing Trump ahead in PA.

      Our anxiety level about PA should be a little less today, not more.

      Several here have posited that the oil & gas gaffe is starting to show up in these very recent polls.

    154. NYCmike says:

      “Mike, the track has been shifting farther west before landfall. but later middle to end of this week, it could be causing issues.”

      -Hope those Trump voters don’t wait until the last minute then…..

    155. Greymarch says:

      #151: Agree completely.

      Media hypes record turnout every election. Long lines everywhere. Record-breaking absentee ballots this election year, etc, etc. Media has been hyping elections for over 200 years.

      Of course the media is going to hype the number of voters. Makes more people watch their networks on election night. Makes websites get more clicks on election night. More eyeballs = more ad revenue, across the media spectrum. Capitalism baby! Yay!

    156. NYCmike says:

      In November of 2018, after Wes had already stated that Trump would lose in 2020, I said that NY-11 would probably revert to a Republican.

      I stand by that…..although I think it will be more narrow than I would like, as Malliotakis is not that great of a candidate.

    157. Greymarch says:

      #157: Follow up….

      For example, the past 6 months Fox News has been running ads claiming this will be the most important presidential election in the history of the republic. Uhhhh. That 1860 election was kinda important, dont you think? Perhaps the 1932 election had a few ramifications? 2020 is not the most important presidential election ever. Its a big one. Its not that big.

      Every election, according to the media, is the most important election ever, with the highest turnout ever. Silly.

    158. LewisS says:

      Greymarch,

      The lack of historical perspective among our credentialed class (media, academics, professional class) is astonishing. They’re really the least impressive people in this country in so many ways.

    159. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ——-

      Oct 25th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,537,099 42.52%

      GOP: 2,182,129 36.57%

      Oct 26th / 4:11pm

      DEM: 2,652,562 41.88%

      GOP: 2,346,869 37.05%

      Dam….

    160. Stonewall DW says:

      Baris saying about PA, that Trump is crushing Biden in Luzerne (won it 58/39 in 2016) and Trump will flip Monroe County (lost it barely in 2016).

      Also Trump polling over 40% in Allegheny, where he got 39% in 2016.

      Barnes
      Trump will win 1.5 to 2 in PA.
      dead even in NH
      half a point win in MI.
      I think he said Trump barely win in WI, but he was talking fast.

    161. hugh says:

      we will get over 50k votes today. Chump Chump

    162. Greymarch says:

      IMO, the five most important American presidential elections, in order of importance:

      1860 > 1932 > 1828 > 1980 > 1912.

      An extremely subjective topic. Fun nevertheless.

    163. Chicon says:

      144 – Wes, Trump wins OH, NC, FL, AZ, IA, ME-2, all of NE. Then one of MN, WI, or MI. Given the closeness of PA, MN, WI and MI in 2016 it would not be a shock if Trump won any combination of them.

    164. WizardofCozz says:

      Does anyone know what the margin of early voting was in Florida in 2016?

    165. hugh says:

      Someone can confirm but I thought it was 67K

    166. Justin says:

      1.46% or around 87,000 votes.

    167. LewisS says:

      Greymarch,

      1964 – how different things would be if Goldwater were elected.

    168. chris says:

      Ralston just updated his blog. Dem statewide lead in NV is only 58k, which includes a 7500 lead in washoe. The Washoe gap will close, giving the Dems a roughly 50k lead by election day. Dems will be sweating if its only 50k. (I’m a washoe voter if anyone cares)

    169. Stonewall DW says:

      Trump lost Chester County (west of Philly) 52/43 to Hillary. Baris current poll has Trump down just 4 points there, and that sample is 55% female. Trump may well flip it.

    170. pitchaboy says:

      He wont flip Chester. But he is likely to flip Bucks.

    171. Boomtapp says:

      This is tragic. Biden loses track mid sentence and handlers immediately escort cameras away. The man is not well.

      https://mobile.twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/status/1320814970817433601

    172. Scooterboy says:

      Listening to Baris & Barnes right now, they sound pretty positive on Trump’s chances in PA. Unless I’m not reading them correctly.

    173. Greymarch says:

      #174: Chris, did Ralston say the dems would be sweating if its only 50k, or is that your opinion?

    174. Gatorjoel says:

      So given the souls to the polls this coming weekend I. Democaratic strongholds, seems like the Dems will have enough of an early voting lead to take Florida! Very exciting!!

    175. Gatorjoel says:

      So given the souls to the polls this coming weekend I. Democaratic strongholds, seems like the Dems will have enough of an early voting lead to take Florida! Very exciting!!

    176. Stonewall DW says:

      178 – you are hearing them correctly.

      Barnes listed a host of reasons why Trump’s gains all across the state (staying flat in Allegheny, Centre, and Harrisburg), will easily overcome some losses in Delaware and Montgomery counties.

    177. Tina says:

      Good point.

      Jack Posobiec ??
      @JackPosobiec
      · 9h
      Weird how Hunter Biden’s Totally Normal Business Dealings™? were always with Russian, Chinese, and Ukrainian oligarchs instead of American businesses. Probably nothing to see here though.

    178. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Biden Gets Testy with Reporter When Asked About His Relaxed Schedule, “There’s Not Been a Day That Hasn’t Been a 12-Hour Day Yet” (VIDEO)

      https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/biden-gets-testy-reporter-asked-relaxed-schedule-not-day-hasnt-12-hour-day-yet-video/

    179. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      REUTERS
      WISCONSIN
      Biden 53% (+9)
      Trump 44%
      .
      PENNSYLVANIA
      Biden 50% (+5)
      Trump 45%

      ECONOMIST
      Chance of winning the electoral college:
      Biden 95%
      Trump 5%

      Chance of winning the most votes:
      Biden >99%
      Trump <1%

      Estimated electoral college votes:
      Biden 350
      Trump 188

      Biden 51% (+7)
      Trump 44%
      Jorgensen 1%
      Hawkins 0%

      RMG Research

      Do you think Joe Biden and his family are corrupt?
      Yes 40%
      No 47%
      .
      Do you think Donald Trump and his family are corrupt?
      Yes 55%
      No 35%

      @YouGovAmerica
      /
      @YahooNews
      , RV, 10/23-25

      If Joe Biden had been president instead of Donald Trump, do you think the current coronavirus situation would have been better or worse?

      Better 50%
      Worse 30%

      @YouGovAmerica
      /
      @YahooNews
      , RV, 10/23-25
      https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/fsf95uprtd/20201026_yahoo_coronavirus_tabs.pdf

      Republicans currently control the Senate with 53 seats. Which party would you like to control the Senate in 2021?

      Democratic Party 56% (+12)
      Republican Party 44%

      @YouGovAmerica
      /
      @YahooNews
      , RV, 10/23-25
      https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/fsf95uprtd/20201026_yahoo_coronavirus_tabs.pdf

      Which candidate do you think is most likely to win the presidential election in November?

      Biden 46% (+7)
      Trump 39%

      NEW National Post Debate Poll:

      Biden 54% (+12)
      Trump 42%

      @YouGovAmerica
      /
      @YahooNews

    180. chris says:

      179: from Rolston’s update on 10/25

      I still think Dems want to be well over 80K in Clark and 54K statewide in their leads to feel confident going into Election Day, especially when R turnout may be higher than usual.

    181. Greymarch says:

      If Reuters has Trump within 5 in PA, Trump is the next president. Thank you Gator-Troll!

    182. Wes says:

      Greymarch, I’ve seen many Hedgehoggers opine 2020 is absolutely the most important election in US history as if Trump loses, Dems will make it systemically impossible for Republicans ever to win again. Of course if Trump does win, Dems will be heavily favored in 2024, so 2020 would be an academic election since Dems would simply do the same thing after that election.

    183. Gordon Allen says:

      Gator: Are you willig to put any money where your mouth is? Or your typing fingers? Or can you afford to ?

    184. Steant1965 says:

      Funny how you get these big leads for Biden when you poll +15 Dems. These pollsters have moved beyond laughable. Biden looked scared today. Why did he suddenly come out of his basement? Why did he thank the reporter for asking him about fracking? He feels it. Trump is peaking at the right time, while Biden is dropping.

    185. jaichind says:

      The Reuters PA is very wierd. 2 way it is Biden 50 Trump 45. But 4 way it is Biden 51 Trump 44 Jorgensen 3. How does Biden gain a point with Jorgensen given as a choice ?

    186. lisab says:

      romney a no on barrett

    187. MikeKS says:

      In the words of Robert Barnes, my response to gatorbillyjoel is “Won’t age well.”

      Trump may even win PV at this stage.

    188. MikeKS says:

      Romney is voting for Barrett, lisab, he already announced it.

    189. Stonewall DW says:

      177 – oh wow. “keep in mind…they are going to … vote on…Barrett…I think today…” and then it goes down hill from there as they get him away from the camera.

      Reminds me of Hillary fainting and getting dragged to the SUV and losing her shoe.

    190. Tina says:

      Lol, from the potato.

      Brian Stelter
      @brianstelter
      · 1h
      NBC has added an editor’s note to this morning’s “Today” show segment that played a clip of Biden saying “four more years of George, uh…” without noting that he was talking to George Lopez twitter.com/GlennKesslerWP…

    191. Tina says:

      Omg, his staffers took the camera away or escorted the cameras away from China Biden

      Why did he decide to go to pa today, after calling a lid?

      They said he gave a rambling and anger induced speech,

      And with them taking the cameras that is bad,

    192. Stonewall DW says:

      “Four more years of George uh, George uh ee uh gonna find ourselves in a position…”

      That’s the quote. He clearly was talking about four more years of a POTUS named George. He even hit reset and tried again, and George came out again. It wasn’t until the next sentence that he finally got it back over to Trump.

    193. Tina says:

      If they had not made a big deal about it, I would have ignored that comment, Dw.

      But know the presstitutes blew it up,and had to stupidly defend China.

    194. Messy says:

      all the polls show independents going for Biden, and none of you are showing any independent votes listed, only dems and reps.

    195. Gordon Allen says:

      Wes. This is wearisome from you. In my lifetime (74 ) there has never been an election where the core difference between the parties are so clear cut,and the undisguised goal of one for absolute long term control so manifest. Perhaps 1964,and that DID set us down a wholly different path.
      Your denial of the obvious has reached the point where repeating it is superfluous. If your conscience is bothering you because you really want to see Trump lose and are rationalizing it,deal with it through a specialist. Just try and be honest. The stakes here are really high, despite your absurd attempts to make it seem like Nixon/ Humphrey,or Carter/ Ford; especially when everyone knows you realize full well that it isn’t.

    196. Official Trump is Done Countdown says:

      8.5 days

    197. Tina says:

      I askedfor the original 302: but we all knew that Mccrape deleted it,

      The Epoch Times
      @EpochTimes
      · 19m
      The original draft report from an #FBI interview of Lt. @GenFlynn was deleted, according to a letter the #DOJ filed with court on Oct. 22.

      #Flynn’s lead lawyer, former federal prosecutor @SidneyPowell1, wasn’t satisfied with the explanation. https://theepochtimes.com/original-draft-of-flynn-interview-report-destroyed-based-on-policy-doj-says_3552802.html?utm

    198. Tina says:

      With that deletion, it is enough for Judbe obama Sullivan to dismiss

    199. Annie says:

      198. The kicker was Jill muttering quietly “Trump” under her breath…to jog his memory.

    200. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Any more made up polls from right-wing pollsters to report? It was fun watching it be deleted once called out on it.

    201. Hugh says:

      YouGov. Ha ha ha. Gator are you actually so stupid you believe them?

    202. Stonewall DW says:

      Another anecdote from the door-to-door battleground.

      In a small precinct that went Trump only 51 to 42 in 2016, the volunteer had trouble giving out flyers for Trump because most of them said they don’t need it because they already voted early for Trump.

    203. chris says:

      Don’t engage with the trolls, it just encourages them. just harmlessly scroll past their posts.

    204. Tina says:

      Breaking

      Hillary is sick to her stomach with trumps possible re election.

    205. SoHope says:

      Dems are at +302k with all votes. That doesn’t count in Sarasota and Miami-Dade that dump once a day. In the morning GOP will be within 300k.

      After making Covid the boogeyman Dems are going to have a serious ED problem when dems that believed them don’t want to risk death by voting.

    206. Brion says:

      GBJ, the only made up pole is the one your playing with

    207. marc says:

      Wes says:
      October 26, 2020 at 5:55 pm
      Greymarch, I’ve seen many Hedgehoggers opine 2020 is absolutely the most important election in US history as if Trump loses, Dems will make it systemically impossible for Republicans ever to win again. Of course if Trump does win, Dems will be heavily favored in 2024, so 2020 would be an academic election since Dems would simply do the same thing after that election.
      ————————

      They would see a rebellion the likes we haven’t seen since the revolution, people will not stand for a Venezuelan type dictatorship, also the Democrats know the vast majority of security forces are with conservatives and constitutional americans

    208. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Love seeing Brit Hume on Fox saying this election is over. Rump has lost. Landslide up and down the ballot.

    209. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      ——

      Oct 25th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,537,099 42.52%

      GOP: 2,182,129 36.57%

      Oct 26th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,666,765 41.84%

      GOP: 2,363,803 37.08%

    210. Wes says:

      No, Gordon.

      What’s wearisomr is that Trump is such a cult of personality to you and many other Hedgehoggers you literally say his defeat will be the end of Western civilization.

      I know full well the stakes of this election. I just refuse to worship one man to the extent of literally declaring him the focal point of the continuation of country–because quite honestly if Trump is that, then he’s nothing but a temporary lifeline.

      As I said, that would make this election academic.

      That’s why I repeatedly ridicule the idea that somehow Trump is the savior of this country. If he wins, then he’s beaten the odds and earned his accolades for what he’s done during his tenure as President. If he loses, then life and the United States go on.

    211. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      This is tragic. Biden loses track mid sentence and handlers immediately escort cameras away. The man is not well.

      https://mobile.twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/status/1320814970817433601

      That’s pathetic. He is clearly not mentally competent.

    212. Wes says:

      He’s just hoping to run out the clock and cap off his career with President on his resume, SDC.

    213. BernardKig says:

      ????? ???? ????? ??????? https://erofotki.club/photo/konchaet-na-popku/ ??????? ? ???? ? ???????? ?????????
      ????? ??????? ???

    214. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      “A right-wing offensive is underway to discredit social media companies just days before the election,” CNN technology reporter Brian Fung began the report. “What began as complaints about anti-conservative censorship by social media companies has now evolved into outright allegations of election interference, as high-ranking Republicans have accused online platforms of helping Democrats by way of their content moderation decisions.”

      Fung continued, “Outside experts have found little evidence to support claims of widespread, systematic political bias in Silicon Valley’s technology. But the conservative allegations are an explosive charge and a dramatic escalation ahead of Election Day. They reflect not only the stakes of the race, but also the fact that Facebook, Twitter and YouTube have become key parts of America’s democracy, for better or for worse — and now, fair game for a party with a habit of working the refs.”

    215. Gordon Allen says:

      Wes you really do are as stupid as I’ve always thought. Nowhere did I mention Trump at all. Assuming you can comprehend anything but your obsessive compulsive fixation with Trump, I referred explicitly to the unparalleled core differences between the parties,and the barely hidden desire by the Democrat’s for dominance (examples: packing the court, adding two states, ending fillibusters…). I’ve also said the Democrat’s/ media would be as hateful to ANY Republican.
      Your fixation with one person,who you are evidently jealous of for his success,or some other reason ( as you’ve never met him) is unusual unless you have radical policy differences not yet disclosed.
      Every attempt at discussing the significance of this election runs head on into your pathological feelings about the President; not mine. Are you really that insecure?

    216. ThomasDeeli says:

      ????? ???? ????? ??????? ? ?????? https://seksfotka.top/sex/porka/ – ???????? ????????? ?? ????, ???? ????, ??? ????
      ????? ???? ????? ????

    217. marc says:

      Well Wes you are blind my friend, you doubt the depth of evil the enemy have sunk and what they will do to grab power and enslave the populous , I haven’t been a religious man but these days I believe they work for the devil

    218. Tina says:

      Stephen McIntyre
      @ClimateAudit
      Joe said today that, if you have children, “the example you set is passed on to your kids”. In other words, to see the example that Joe set, one should look at Hunter Biden’s conduct. As many already surmised.

      In the background, the bell tolls.

    219. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Greetings. This is a travel week for your truly. We have departed from Fort Walton and headed to our first stop outside Jackson, Mississippi.

      So amazing to read that Mr. Biden will be traveling to Atlanta, Georgia and Iowa this week.

      The early voting is incredible for Mr. Biden.

      What an exciting time.

    220. Will says:

      What are the implications of early mail voting in PA? Dems are way ahead.

      How worrisome is this? Is is expected??

    221. NYCmike says:

      #216 – Wes, why do you keep mentioning Trump?

      The issue is what the Democratic Party has said they will do if they get power – they will use it to implement policies which will severely handicap the ability of the other political party to win elections. Those policies, along with a cvompliant media, is the YUGE reason that Trump must win this year. That, by the way, does NOT mean in 2024, without Trump on the ticket, that Republicans have no chance to win.

    222. NYCmike says:

      Looks like Gordon and marc already mentioned the silly, continued statements by Wes….

    223. John says:

      Can this be true? Just read that the numbers for mail in ballots in Pennsylvania include….
      70% come from D’s
      16% come from R’s
      AND about 25,000 ballots have been thrown out because of no signatures…
      2016….Trump won by 41,000 votes and PA has already thrown out about 25,000 ballots….most probably being D’s….
      Yikes.

    224. naughty lisab says:

      Romney is voting for Barrett, lisab, he already announced it.
      ———————

      MikeKS,

      shhhhhhhhh … i was stirring the pot 🙂

    225. lisab says:

      They would see a rebellion the likes we haven’t seen since the revolution, people will not stand for a Venezuelan type dictatorship, also the Democrats know the vast majority of security forces are with conservatives and constitutional americans
      ————————————

      marc,

      most people who work won’t revolt because they have assets that the dems would seize

    226. lisab says:

      i don’t know if the dems will pack the courts

      but i can almost guarantee you they will naturalize 40 million new americans

      so they can run the country

    227. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Harris will attempt to make the U.S. a giant California. A wealthy tech elite, who pay little in taxes and spout a “progressive” agenda; and who support working class jobs going to low wage countries like China so they can maximize their own wealth, will have actual control.

      It will be like a Latin American country, with extremely rich oligarchs living in walled off communities to keep out the vulgar masses. Zuckerberg already got in trouble for trying to wall of an area on Hawaii as his exclusive enclave.

      They may have more to fear from Bernie’s socialist supporters than the Republicans. Bernie’s candidacy was in a way a reputation of Obama’s policies that focused on pandered to his wealthy Democratic supporters — including millions of dollars in subsidies that went to companies like Solyndra and Google.

    228. lisab says:

      sdc,

      basically correct.

      except for the very wealthy, the dems want to cut way down on single family housing, so you will see property taxes go WAY up

      and

      much more in the way of support for people who don’t work, i.e. a transfer of wealth from the middle class to the poor

    229. Gordon Allen says:

      Don’t you two know Wes assures us this is a ” normal “Election with normal consequences but for Trump idolatry exaggerating it’s importance

    230. lisab says:

      think of it this way

      the american dream will just change from everyone having a house with a white picket fence

      to

      a government job with a good housing development

    231. marc says:

      The devil shall not prevail in the lords house. His will be done

    232. Gordon Allen says:

      NY Mike. Because Wes is obsessed with Trump,and accuses everyone else of being so.To put it mildly it’s hard to understand where he’s coming from rationally

    233. Annie says:

      236. “…a government job with a good housing development”

      Sounds like post-WWII East Germany or life in the USSR.

      On the brighter side, ACB is confirmed to the Supreme Court.

    234. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      234. Yes, single family zoning is now being called a relic of racism in California. Yet the growth areas in California remain suburban areas with single family homes.

      The Democrats want to push the U.S. into a giant social engineering experiment; requiring people to live in multi-unit housing and use mass transit. They claim it is necessary to save the planet. The Democratic elites who run things will live in gated large estates.

    235. marc says:

      With 52 yeas and 48 nah votes ACB, has been confirmed the 9th Associate Justice to the Supreme Court.

    236. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      239. This is a form of neo-Marxism, with a green tinge.

    237. jaichind says:

      241. I assume Collins was the only GOP No ?

    238. Greymarch says:

      IT’S DONE! BARRETT IS ON THE SUPREME COURT. YAY!!!!

      *whew*

      52 yes – 48 no

    239. jaichind says:

      And to think many in the MSM claimed that there is no time for anyone to be confirmed before the election.

    240. Tina says:

      Robert C. Cahaly
      @RobertCahaly
      Our new
      @trafalgar_group
      #2020Election #NC #Sen #poll conducted Oct 20-22 shows a change in lead:
      48.6%
      @ThomTillis
      ,
      46.8%
      @CalforNC
      ,
      2.7% all others,
      1.9% Und. See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/nc-sen-1020/

    241. BRENT says:

      1st things 1st Pennsylvania ruling must be over turned

    242. LewisS says:

      Some interesting numbers regarding the FL early vote:

      Sumter:

      R % of the in person vote has increased each day head-to-head versus D % of the in-person vote:

      It went from 81.5% – 19.5% (62 point spread) last Tuesday to 84%-16% (68 point spread) today. So as we move through early voting, the remaining voters are getting *more* Republican each day.

      Collier:

      Same thing…it was about 67-33 (34 point spread) last Tuesday and now it’s close to 75-25 (50 point spread) Republican to Democrat today.

    243. Tina says:

      Breaking

      Zoe Tillman
      @ZoeTillman
      ·
      32m
      New: SCOTUS will keep the Election Day deadline for absentee ballots in Wisconsin, siding with Republicans and rejecting an effort by Dems to revive a lower court order that would have extended the deadline to Nov. 9. The three liberals dissent. More soon. https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/7276432/10-26-20-DNC-v-Wisconsin-SCOTUS-Order.pdf

    244. Annie says:

      240. “Yet the growth areas in California remain suburban areas with single-family homes.”

      In my “suburban” California college town, all new single-family homes are on postage stamp-sized plots, crammed right up next to each other. In backyards, you see your neighbors’ houses looming all around you. Some houses are built so that an upstairs bathroom window faces the neighbor’s bathroom window…about 10 feet apart….No kidding. Nearby in the neighborhoods loom the “low-income housing” apartments that look like they were uprooted from old Iron Curtain countries and plopped down in NorCal. This is what the Democrats want for the nation as a whole. Older homes with large lawns, many dating back to the 1950s, sell-out fast.

    245. Gordon Allen says:

      Does anyone here know of a person who voted Trump in 2016 who won’t in 2020? I really don’t. Add in enhanced Black and Hispanic support it’s hard to see Trump not going from 46% to at least 48% . At 48, with at least 4% going elsewhere,I don’t see Trump losing. It’s seemingly as simple as that.

    246. JC says:

      The Supreme Court is now 6(ish) to 3 conservative. This alone makes Trump’s election worth every battle and struggle we’ve endured over the last 4 years.

      Now we just have to beat Biden. I truly believe that if Trump wins again we will see a reckoning against the deep state political class. All of their efforts to destroy Trump would have been for naught, and their grip would truly be over for them.

    247. Annie says:

      240. “…requiring people to live in multi-unit housing and use mass transit.”

      Sounds like where my mother lives in the East Bay Area…Along Hwy 580 is now all stacked apartments and townhouses, near the Bart line.

    248. Greymarch says:

      Barrett, can quite literally start voting on SCOTUS decisions RIGHT NOW. The moment she got the 52 votes, she entered the supreme court.

      She will happily vote on any, and every SCOTUS case that comes before the court starting tonight.

      Thank heavens the GOP got this done. Its going to be needed. Not just for this election, but for the next 40 years!

    249. jaichind says:

      Now SC has as majority to the Right of Roberts. Excellent.

    250. BillW says:

      Actually, I believe ACB has to be sworn in before she begins voting.

    251. Wes says:

      Obsessed, Gordon? You’re engaging in a bit of projection there. I’m not the one histrionically declaring the United States is over as we know it if Trump loses.

      Hell, I’m voting for the man, but these crackpot emotionally driven declarations that Trump will make or break civilization if he loses sound like the Dems’ repeated statements that Republicans will kill everyone not straight, white, rich and male if elected.

    252. janz says:

      I second Graymarch”s enthusiasm in post #244, being both relieved and joyful to have such an outstanding jurist become a member of SCOTUS

    253. BillW says:

      Wes – Gordon’s got quite a lot of swagger for a guy who showed up on HHR around the 10th of June of this year.

      I guess you don’t get any credit for being an oldtimer on the site.

    254. Annie says:

      249. Brent – I agree!

    255. Annie says:

      258. That’s happening tonight…Thomas will swear her in.

    256. chris says:

      It must keep Hillary up at night knowing she could’ve replaced Scalia, kennedy AND RGB and had a 6-3 split their way

    257. Greymarch says:

      “ACB….as easy as 1,2,3. We’re talking about the ACB, ACB, 123, you and me!”

      Cute Jackson 5 song modified for ACB:

      https://twitter.com/MitchMidnight/status/1320740702670774272

    258. Ruru says:

      The Supreme Court split is more like: 5 – 3 – 1

      Roberts is the most unhappy man in Washington tonite

    259. NYCmike says:

      #259 – he did it again.

      It’s not about Trump.

      It’s about the Democrats and what they have stated they will do if they win.

    260. Stonewall DW says:

      Trafalgar – Tillis up 2, 49/47

    261. Greymarch says:

      #258: Incorrect. The SCOTUS oath is only a formality. (the committee hearings are also a formality, btw.)

      It’s done. Barrett is the 9th member of the US Supreme Court.

    262. SweatyToothedMadman says:

      #266, good! Then Roberts can resign and Trump can appoint Cruz as Chief Justice.

    263. Tina says:

      She is confirmed on Her Thighness’ birthday.

    264. Robbie says:

      Remember when the Tea Party wanted to primary Mitch McConnell with Matt Bevin in 2014? I do.

    265. NYCmike says:

      #272 – It is striking the difference in his actions since then!

      Viva Cocaine Mitch!

    266. Robbie says:

      Wes says:
      October 26, 2020 at 8:19 pm
      Obsessed, Gordon? You’re engaging in a bit of projection there. I’m not the one histrionically declaring the United States is over as we know it if Trump loses.

      Hell, I’m voting for the man, but these crackpot emotionally driven declarations that Trump will make or break civilization if he loses sound like the Dems’ repeated statements that Republicans will kill everyone not straight, white, rich and male if elected.

      – I’m voting for Trump as well even though I’m not excited about it, but this notion that civilization is at stake based on who wins in not healthy for society. I think that mindset is a big reason why we’re in the shape as a country we are now.

    267. Tina says:

      Remember when the jebots wanted Hillary?

    268. NYCmike says:

      Remember when Robbie stayed home instead of voting for Bevin in 2018? Robbie got it….GOOD and HARD, from the Democrat he thought was just as “bad” as Bevin!

    269. NYCmike says:

      “– I’m voting for Trump as well even though I’m not excited about it, but this notion that civilization is at stake based on who wins in not healthy for society. I think that mindset is a big reason why we’re in the shape as a country we are now.”

      -**ring ring**

      Robbie, the citizens of Venezuela are on the phone…..

    270. Robbie says:

      NYCmike says:
      October 26, 2020 at 8:33 pm
      #272 – It is striking the difference in his actions since then!

      Viva Cocaine Mitch!

      – He’s been the same forever. If Republicans had made him party leader in 2003 after they threw Trent Lott overboard, there never would have been the successful blockade of Miguel Estrada and the others.

    271. Justin says:

      What a great day in early voting in Florida! Not saying it is a lock, but it is looking good. Now, concern and attention turns to North Carolina, Arizona, and Iowa. If those appear to be locked down, its just one Midwest state!

    272. Stonewall DW says:

      “but this notion that civilization is at stake based on who wins in not healthy for society. I think that mindset is a big reason why we’re in the shape as a country we are now.”

      I would not make this claim if it wasn’t for the Dems who are loudly proclaiming it:

      Democratic Party Platform:
      1) Anti-Police
      2) Pro-Looting
      3) Sieze retirement savings
      4) Sieze guns
      5) Pro-illegal immigration
      6) Rural America must bail out the failed Democrat cities
      7) If you are not a person of color, you are a racist whether you want to be or not.
      8) Pro-mutilation of young children
      9) Open prison doors and let them all go free
      10) End the free speech of anyone who dissents
      11) Anti-National Anthem
      12) Pro-Mail out ballots to all people: citizens, non-citizens, living, and dead.
      13) Pro-anarchy
      14) Pro-cancel culture
      15) Pro-rationing of gov’t controlled healthcare
      16) Pro-Force taxpayers to pay off student loan debt instead of the students who took the loans.
      17) Pro-“Green” new deal to devastate the economy with crippling regulations and destroy the energy industry.
      18) Pro-“Republicans are enemies of the state” (so aim your weapons at them carefully)
      19) Endless mob violence unless you vote Democrats into office
      20) Pro-never ending shut downs to keep everyone under government control
      21) Pro-send millions of jobs back to China
      22) Pro-never ending of jobless benefits
      23) Pro-living wage
      24) DC to become 51st state
      25) Anti-Peace in the middle east
      26) Pro-sex with minors
      27) Anti-vaccine until after the election.
      28) Pro-replacing lower court system with lynch mobs.
      29) Pro-Packing the SCOTUS with commies
      30) Promised to BAN fracking
      31) Promise to END THE OIL INDUSTRY

    273. chris says:

      Bryer is 82, what are the odds he makes it another 4 years? Its possible that in the next four years the only two libs appointment on the court are Obama’s picks.

    274. Robbie says:

      NYCmike says:
      October 26, 2020 at 8:35 pm
      Remember when Robbie stayed home instead of voting for Bevin in 2018? Robbie got it….GOOD and HARD, from the Democrat he thought was just as “bad” as Bevin!

      – I didn’t stay home. I voted for every other Republican on the ballot and they all won with ease. It was only Bevin, who spent four years being a jerk, who managed to lose what should have been an unlosable race.

    275. NYCmike says:

      Trump could have assumed dictatorial powers with the help of comrade Fauci, but he resisted that urge, for the good of this country……but Robbie isn’t excited about that……YET, he complains about the dictatorial actions taken by his Governor Beshear!

    276. Greymarch says:

      #278: La la la la la!!!! Viva Cocaine Mitch!

      Oh, by the way, Mitch is still on the senate floor, setting up more appelate judges to be voted on in the next few days/weeks.

      COCAINE MITCH IS A MACHINE!

    277. Bitterlaw says:

      Breaking News – Democrats and Republicans each want to hold power forever. Dems are just bold/stupid enough to say it.

    278. NYCmike says:

      “– He’s been the same forever. If Republicans had made him party leader in 2003 after they threw Trent Lott overboard, there never would have been the successful blockade of Miguel Estrada and the others.”

      -I don’t know what he might have done.

      I do know that since 2014 he has been fantastic, so that is that.

    279. NYCmike says:

      “Dems are just bold/stupid enough to say it.”

      -Bitterlaw somehow avoids mentioning the policies designed by Democrats to do what the electorate hasn’t wanted to do up to this point in our history.

    280. Gordon Allen says:

      BillW. Seniority counts with a union mentality; it’s not merit based. Which are you in favor of? BTW I’ve followed this site since 2004; it’s been going down quality wise for some years now,led by its founder.

    281. BillW says:

      #269 – Greymarch

      Sorry, you are not correct. Justices to the Supreme Court must take two oaths before serving.

      https://www.constitutionfacts.com/us-supreme-court/history-of-oaths-of-office/

    282. BillW says:

      #288 – Gordon

      Well, I’ve been posting on this site since 2004 and any regression in quality has been a joint effort of the founder, the regular posters, and the trolls.

    283. Phil says:

      Something I caught that was mentioned on Barrett’s polling today. He said he has finished the poll, just not completely weighted it yet.

      He mentioned only 25% supported adding justices to the Supreme Court and only 18% supported granting statehood to DC and Puerto Rico.

      I thought that was significant coming from a swing state like Pennsylvania.

    284. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Another poll showing a Biden lead in Georgia! CHOMP CHOMP CHUMPS.

    285. Greymarch says:

      #289: I read that same page two hours ago. “Affirmation”, which has already happened. Oath is just a formality.

      “The Senators and Representatives before mentioned, and the Members of the several State Legislatures, and all executive and judicial Officers, both of the United States and of the several States, shall be bound by Oath or Affirmation…”

    286. BillW says:

      By the way, folks. If you didn’t hear McConnell’s final speech before the ACB vote, you should listen to it when you get the chance.

      He absolutely skewered Schumer and the hysterical Dems. It was classic Mitch – in a year that has featured many great Mitch speeches.

    287. mnw says:

      The “cocaine Mitch” thing has always angered men. It originated because his wife’s company owned a ship on which cocaine was found & seized.* The nickname “cocaine Mitch” implies to those who are dumbass ignorant that McConnell is a forehead, like Hunter.

      *anybody think McC’s multimillionaire wife KNEW that some drug outfit had hidden drugs on a ship of hers– which she probably didn’t know she even owned? Can I see hands, pls?

    288. Phil says:

      Justice Roberts a very lonely and unhappy man tonight.

    289. mnw says:

      295 sb “angered me” and “cokehead,” not “forehead”

    290. Tina says:

      I like Mitchie or Stealth Mitchie.

    291. MrVito says:

      After adjusting for growth in registered voter numbers, it looks like FL EV won’t hit 100% of 2016 numbers until Wednesday at the earliest. Turnout today was down from last Monday, but last Tuesday had a surge in votes from both parties that then decreased throughout the week.

      I guess we’ll see what turnout is like tomorrow.

    292. Tina says:

      Trump just returned from pa

    293. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      October 26, 2020 at 8:52 pm
      Justice Roberts a very lonely and unhappy man tonight.

      – Not so sure. He’s a crafty politician so I look for him to join the five conservatives on the major cases, assign the ruling to himself, and produce an opinion that has the same result as something Thomas might write but without the far reaching consequences.

      Roberts wants it to be the Roberts Court, not the Thomas Court.

    294. mnw says:

      Greymarch is EXACTLY the one & only non-troll poster who would use “Cocaine Mitch.”

      Why do you DO that Grey? Should I still “bet the house on Collins voting YES on ACB”, btw?

    295. Ridin' with Biden says:

      Oh my, it appears that Mr. Mitch McConnell has taunted the Democrats.

      I did not think that the Democrats would expand the Supreme Court. Now I’m convinced that they will.

      Who will the four new justices be?

    296. Brion says:

      In a few moments this court will change from the Roberts court and will become the Thomas court.!!.!!

    297. Bitterlaw says:

      Greymarch – Some other MOST IMPORTANT ELECTIONS IN US HISTORY NOMINATIONS

      1796 – Most important because Washington did not run.

      1864 – Most important because Lincoln’s defeat of McClellan meant that the war would end in a complete Union victory and not a negotiated peace.

      1876 – Most important because of the shameful abandonment of blacks to vengeful Southern whites with the end of Reconstruction.

      1896 – Most important because McKinley won and told the world “GFY. Uncle Sam is here to play.”

    298. Tina says:

      I mentioned this earlier.

      Larry Schweikart
      @LarrySchweikart
      ·
      48m
      From Zen Master: SCOTUS just ruled 5-3 that ballots must be returned by 11/3. A district judge had extended the deadline to 11/9. The Seventh Circuit reversed. SCOTUS affirmed the Seventh Circuit. Breyer, Sotomayor and Kagan dissented.

    299. Tina says:

      Hopefully, it’s the no Rino court.

      Sotohatewhiteymor and Kragen will go further left.

    300. MrVito says:

      Lots of conservatives call him Cocaine Mitch, affectionately.

    301. MrVito says:

      The court seems to be Opposed to judges unilaterally changing election law.

    302. MrVito says:

      The next election is always the most important election.

    303. jaichind says:

      I still cannot understand why these Dems and pro-Dem judges are pushing this moving back ballot deadline with a straight face. How hard is it to mail out the ballot a week in advance? Millions of people mail out checks to pay credit card bills and things like that which arrive on time. Why cannot this be the same for a vote? Why do not they just come out and say that the purpose is to figure out how many votes to manufacture?

    304. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Two recent polls:

      National GE:
      Trump 48% (+1)
      Biden 47%
      @Rasmussen_Poll
      , LV, 10/21-25
      https://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct26

      NEW Pennsylvania Post Debate Poll:
      Trump 48% (+2)
      Biden 46%
      Jorgensen 3%
      InsiderAdvantage/
      @theamgreatness
      (R), LV, 10/25
      https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/

    305. Stonewall DW says:

      “Why do not they just come out and say that the purpose is to figure out how many votes to manufacture?”

      After all, Biden bragged about the extensive voter fraud organization they have put together.

    306. Bitterlaw says:

      I do not want Puerto Rico to be a state. I do not believe that if Puerto Rico became a state that it would automatically mean 2 Democrat Senators.

      https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/06/puerto-rico-governor-endorses-trump-426926

    307. Tina says:

      The socialist son.

      Bill Kristol
      @BillKristol
      · 5h
      I repeat: Given the unusual circumstances of her confirmation eight days before an election in which the president is on the ballot and which may produce cases before the Court, Judge Barrett should be sworn in elsewhere than the White House. twitter.com/maggieNYT/stat…

    308. jason says:

      I favor statehood for PR. And as Bitter says, it does not mean 2 Dem senators necessarily. I do oppose DC statehoood.

    309. marc says:

      Bill Kristin proves everyday to be the stereotype the left said he was

    310. Greymarch says:

      #315 and #317: How does Puerto Rico become a state, but not get two senators? Every state gets that the moment they enter the union. Please explain, stating precedents for such a thing. (Links preferred.)

    311. marc says:

      Puerto Rico is actually very culturally conservatives and traditional, I have been to the island many times. They are not the rican what inhabit New York City

    312. lisab says:

      And to think many in the MSM claimed that there is no time for anyone to be confirmed before the election.
      ———————

      i am surprised

      i did not think you guys (republicans) had the guts

    313. jaichind says:

      316. This is absurd. If Bill Kristol still considers himself a conservative he should at least support a conservative judge even as he comes out against Trump.

      I broke from the GOP in the 2003-2008 period because of the Iraq War. During that period I did not vote for a GOP candidate even once and always voted third party (mostly Libertarian). But I still vote GOP judges because by beef with the GOP is over the war and not over conservativism. I expect the same from Bill Kristol even if he wants to oppose Trump. His position here really shows that is no longer and maybe was never a conservative.

    314. marc says:

      DC statehood is unconstitutional, the constitution mandates a federal district

    315. lisab says:

      dc should not become a state

      the whole point of dc was that no state was to have the capital in it

    316. jason says:

      How does Puerto Rico become a state, but not get two senators?”

      Two Dem senators….

    317. MichiganGuy says:

      All I have to say is when a Democrat for President can’t even count on the support of gangster rappers you know you are in trouble. LOL
      .
      Kanye West
      Waka Flocka
      Ice Cube
      Fifty Cent
      Lil Pump
      Asian Da Brat
      BlocBoy JB
      .
      https://www.newsweek.com/rappers-donald-trump-endorsement-election-1542146

    318. lisab says:

      you guys are crazy if you think the dems will play by marquis of queensbury rules if biden wins

      the aoc types 100% would take away guns, open the borders, give citizenship yada yada yada

      they talk about this all the time, and i mean just over coffee

      they really do think you ALL are a bunch of racist hicks.

    319. jason says:

      Babylon Bee:

      “After Thanksgiving Banned, Californians To Hold Turkey Barbecues In Honor Of Black Lives Matter On November 26”

    320. Tina says:

      Relax, I didn’t vote for the guy you hate
      @jtLOL
      ·
      12m
      A black Supreme Court justice just swore in a female Supreme Court justice. And the only people who are unhappy about it are Democrats.

    321. Bitterlaw says:

      The State Of Puerto Rico would have 2 Senators. It is not guaranteed they would always be Democrats.

    322. lisab says:

      just everyday people i interact with on a daily basis

      openly think you are all privileged and/or racists and/or hicks

      they have zero issue taking away your stuff

      one of my acquaintances has $200k ART degree … he does performance art … as an example, he once pretended to be homeless for a month or two on a building site … i think in san francisco

      he ABSOLUTELY looks down on you, because you are not as educated as him, and obviously thinks you should pay off his student loans

      AND

      he should have a public job paying him a lot more than you guys make

      in short … he is like corey, but artistic

    323. Phil says:

      Puerto Rico itself might not be so hot to trot to become a state.

      Once that happens the people there are subject to federal income tax.

    324. Phil says:

      I find it interesting that Lisa who daily interacts with liberals understands what the left thinks of us while some on this forum who should know better seem oblivious to how much the left hates us……even to the point that they seem to believe the left once in power will somehow play nice and not steamroll us.

      Such nievety.

    325. mnw says:

      HIV Vito

      I call you that affectionately, so… is it OK? Do you like it? Fine with you (and your kids?) if I call you “HIV Vito” from now on… as long as it’s “affectionately”?

      You don’t consider that unfair, do you?

    326. Robbie says:

      “A mask is better than a vaccine” continues to be one of the worst things ever uttered by a medical health professional.

      Cases across Europe and the United States continue to spread widely. That’s not any surprise, but it’s just awful health professionals gave the public the dumb idea a contagious airborne illness could ever be contained.

    327. HIV-Vito says:

      You rang?

      Works for me.

    328. Phil says:

      336

      Once again, you are right on the mark.

    329. mnw says:

      HIV Vito

      Think Senator McConnell’s family thinks “Cocaine Mitch” works for them?

    330. Cocaine Vito says:

      I think it bothers them less than it bothers you.

    331. mnw says:

      AP headline: “GOP Slowly Gaining As Early Vote Total Surpasses 2016”

    332. Bitterlaw says:

      Phil- The Right and the Left hate each other equally. The Right is just too busy all day at work to plan domination of the political system and we are tired when we get home.

    333. BernardKig says:

      ????? ???? ????? ??????? https://erofotki.club/photo/ljubitelskoe/ ??????? ? ???? ? ???????? ?????????
      ???? ????? ??????? 2020

    334. Greymarch says:

      It was during McConnell’s 2014 re-election campaign that his own team created the “Cocaine Mitch” meme, and it worked for him. Helped create a lighter, yet kinda hip vibe for someone who clearly doesnt sell cocaine, and has probably never even seen cocaine in his entire life.

      Cocaine Mitch is a fantastic nickname. Its been around for at least 6 years. Clearly McConnell and his team like it. Conservatives love it (especially younger conservatives.) Its not going anywhere. #CocaineMitch

    335. Vito the Turtle says:

      In Target Smart the modeling of The registered unaffiliated voters in EV is

      FL 42-35 R
      NC 49-37 R
      IA 42-33 R

    336. NYCmike says:

      mnw,

      I believe I was the first to bring it up today, and like Greymarch just stated, I believed it to be a staff-imposed nickname that was acceptable to McConnell. Not sure why you think it is a negative.

      I do NOT know about any ship with cocaine, although I do have some reservations about connections between his wife, her family and the CCP leadership.

    337. Smack says:

      I’m trying to explain this….GOP voters come on late in the process. Where GOP register voters numbers sit tonight…8 days from Election Day shows public polls are wrong and we have another tight race to 270.

      Don’t give up hope.

      Trump is in this baby.

    338. Bitterlaw says:

      I have never seen cocaine or marijuana in person, either. I don’t have an edgy nickname.

    339. Grim Reaper Vito says:

      In Target Smart the modeling of The registered minor party voters in EV is

      FL 49-33 R

      Which actually comprises quite a few voters here

    340. ThomasDeeli says:

      ????? ???? ????? ??????? ? ?????? https://seksfotka.top/sex/uchilki/ – ???????? ????????? ?? ????, ???? ????, ??? ????
      ????? ??????? ??????

    341. BillW says:

      #344 – Greymarch, this just isn’t your night.

      ‘Cocaine Mitch’ was coined by Don Blankenship during his run for West Virginia Senate in 2018. He released an ad on April 30th of that year.

      Mitch’s campaign staff made up some t-shirts in 2019.

      Not bad – you were only off by five years.

    342. Ruru says:

      Nevada and New Mexico might be the sleeper opportunities for trump.

      Read the details of the Siena poll in Texas – Hispanic vote is considerably more trump than 2016.

      This trend is popping up in many spots. Not talked about much because it doesn’t fit the narrative. Remember how 2016 was the year of the Hispanic.

      Might be the margin in Arizona too.

    343. Tina says:

      Julie Kelly ??
      @julie_kelly2
      ·
      1h
      Biden is outraged Republicans moved ahead with the confirmation of Sandra Day O’Connor

    344. Greymarch says:

      “ACB….as easy as 1,2,3. We’re talking about the ACB, ACB, 123, you and me!”

      I cant stop singing it! It’s burned into my brain, and I dont want it to stop!

      What a wonderful night for the republic!

    345. Tina says:

      Lol

      Jake Tapper
      @jaketapper
      · 28m
      Last night a GOP consultant messaged me about this event: “If I’m ACB, I don’t go to this. Looks bad and she doesn’t need him anymore.” twitter.com/markknoller/st…

    346. Official Trump is Done Countdown says:

      8 days…

    347. Joe Biden says:

      “ Biden is outraged Republicans moved ahead with the confirmation of Sandra Day O’Connor”

      I liked her character in the terminator movies though.

    348. Greymarch says:

      #351: You poor, poor soul.

      2014. Google it. #CocaineMitch started when a Grimes staffer claimed Mitch was as evil as a cocaine dealer. Mitch’s staff thought it was funny and a good opportunity to portray Mitch in a playful, slightly edgy, new light.

    349. hugh says:

      the huge rep vote in fl today must have depressed our relentless ignorant trolls. Maybe in a few days we can check off NC. blowout coming.

      chump chump. Go ACB and Go Irish!!!

    350. Phil says:

      Baris – Adding seats to the Supreme Court is opposed 2-1 in his Pennsylvania Poll.

      Statehood for DC and Puerto Rico opposed by bigger margins.

      Stacking the Court and the Senate might be worth the hit for Democrats but there would be a price to pay. I say they’d still do it. Of course, they would need to do away with the filibuster first.

      It would be a two step process. First the filibuster and only then could they ram through Court packing and statehood.

    351. Cash Cow TM says:

      BREAKING…

      The FedEx guy delivered Walt’s broken computer that he sent off to Houston to have repaired.
      Was still under 1 yr warranty, so NO COST!

      Halleluiah!

      ********************************
      It is BACK!
      It is FIXED!
      Keyboard WORKS!
      Everything now UPDATED! (here at my end–including installing Windows 10)

      [though we did lose a lot of our old documents]
      ################################################
      Walt said I could shove the old laptop I had resurrected from the closet BACK in the closet…

      Cow will now be able to throw in my analysis. comments and poems more often here at HHR.

    352. Cash Cow TM says:

      Mr. Vito, et al.,

      I so appreciate all the things you all post on here concerning detailed updates of what is happening regarding the casting of ballots, polls, etc. in your individual states.

      THANK YOU, ONE AND ALL!

    353. Tom says:

      Cash Cow – the bad news is they sent copies of your hard drive to Rudy Guliani and the FBI.

    354. phoenixrisen1 says:

      Pretty clear Trump wins the popular vote from 2-4 points. It looks like Trump has the Rust Belt wrapped up. The difference in enthusiasm this election between the GOP and the Dems looking at the EV numbers is off the charts good with the Election Day deluge of broken glass GOP voters that will swamp the polls.

    355. Cash Cow TM says:

      Please do not start referring to me as “Loco Weed” Cash Cow.

      I regret those several times I went off the rails.

    356. John says:

      BOOM!

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      NEW
      @YouGovAmerica
      /
      @ElectionsCenter
      Poll (LV, 10/13-21),

      Among those who have not yet voted:

      WISCONSIN
      Trump 57% (+18)
      Biden 39%
      .
      PENNSYLVANIA
      Biden 36%
      Trump 59% (+23)
      .
      MICHIGAN
      Trump 57% (+22)
      Biden 35%

    357. MrVito says:

      Political Polls
      @PpollingNumbers
      · 2h
      #SCSen Poll:

      Graham (R-Inc) 52%
      Harrison (D) 43%
      Bledsoe (C) 3%

      Starboard Communications

    358. Bitterlaw says:

      Phil- I personally think the filibuster has always been a bad idea. Man the F up, make your best argument and vote.

    359. Cash Cow TM says:

      “Tom says:
      October 26, 2020 at 10:44 pm
      Cash Cow – the bad news is they sent copies of your hard drive to Rudy Guliani and the FBI.”

      GOOD!

      Then the FBI might have copies of the lost documents I would life to have back!

      🙂

    360. phoenixrisen1 says:

      Going to be watching the Virginia And New Hampshire returns particularly closely early on. Mark Warner is going to be in a dog fight to get re-elected.

    361. Tom says:

      Cash Cow – Even those college pictures with Elsie?

    362. SoHope says:

      I like the filibuster. Gridlock as a federal government default is better than the alternative.

    363. NYCmike says:

      “I like the filibuster. Gridlock as a federal government default is better than the alternative.”

      -You sound like one of those radical Tea Party types!

    364. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      333. “I find it interesting that Lisa who daily interacts with liberals understands what the left thinks of us while some on this forum who should know better seem oblivious to how much the left hates us……”

      I agree with Lisab. Living in urban California makes me realize how the left wants to destroy traditional American democratic values, and put in their place some sort of neo-Marxist fantasy world.

    365. NYCmike says:

      https://twitter.com/Brick_Suit/status/1320541806082379777

      -Trump campaign definitely having fun out there!

    366. Ridin' with Biden says:

      366 – “BOOM!”

      ***

      Oddly, I second the “BOOM”. Mr. Biden has built up too large of a lead in early voting. Especially in Pennsylvania. Splendid!

    367. lisab says:

      Phil- The Right and the Left hate each other equally.
      ——————-

      no … i don’t think that is true at all … at least not in terms of action.

      lots, and i mean a LOT of conservative men who knew for a fact that i was very liberal have asked me out. well … ok … maybe not the best example, but rarely has a “conservative” person gone out their way to be mean to me — although they often do not agree with me. at worst they are usually just, “we know you are going to burn in hell so … don’t bother us.

      however, i’ve had others invite me to church and even thanksgiving dinner, just out of the blue because they assumed my coven would not be having turkey I guess.

      however, i have met MANY “progressives” — and i use that term on purpose as to distinguish them from liberals — who hold you all in utter contempt and disgust. if they could they would suppress your speech, key your car, get you fired, yada yada yada.

      as a liberal i would never support suc things, but yeah, these new “progressives”, you would call them “leftists”

      are very bad … it is at the point now where i cannot even support a green candidate openly, for fear of being retaliated against.

    368. mnw says:

      Annie first noticed this:

      RwB is sort of like a PARODY of an effeminate gay guy, isn’t he?

      Splendid! (limp wrist gesture here)

    369. mnw says:

      366 John

      Hope that’s true. It would be significant.

    370. John says:

      RwB sucks d!cks

    371. Phil says:

      Actually, the filibuster is a check on extreme legislation.

      It’s a very good, moderating check.

      Issues like

      Green new deal

      Single payer healthcare

      Statehood for DC

      Making gun manufacturers liable as a way to circumvent the 2nd amendment

      Packing the Supreme Court

      Among others and of course that’s why Schumer wants abolition of the filibuster on the table. You know this, bitter.

    372. lisab says:

      to give an example,

      technically … i was not actually banned from bejohngalt.com

      although they REALLY did not like me … i stood up for myself on principles which they understood, but obviously grated on them, and despite liking me less than a paper cut dipped in lemon juice

      their leader made a point of not banning me

      which i actually appreciated, although i never post there and we are not friends.

    373. lisab says:

      Actually, the filibuster is a check on extreme legislation.
      ———————-

      it protects the minority from tyranny

    374. lisab says:

      even back in the 1990’s

      the point was made that the senate was the “more mature” body where cooler heads prevailed

      and thus clinton was not convicted, so they said.

      now … the senators will be just sticking their fingers in the air.

    375. Phil says:

      Just to back up what Lisa said as far as the differences between conservatives and liberals as far as the way they act – you need not look any further than Supreme Court nominations. Liberal nominees were opposed but treated with courtesy in every case. Compare that with what Kavanaugh had to endure.

      No comparison.

    376. lisab says:

      again, i would say liberals like myself, or rbg 🙂

      were in no way responsible for how kavanaugh was treated

    377. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Biden and Harris will be in Georgia, Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, and Florida over the next few days. ALL are expanding the map over 2016. Not playing defense anywhere.

      Chomp Chomp.

    378. mnw says:

      President Hillary didn’t play defense anywhere either.

    379. MrVito says:

      Will anyone notice?

    380. lisab says:

      even predictit is turning red now

    381. Michael says:

      I faintly remember President Clinton taking trips to Iowa, Ohio, Arizona, and Georgia in the final days.

      It’s interesting that those who adore DJT ignore the damning national and state polls but the troll farm ignores hard facts on the ground.

      Frankly, I’d prefer to be in DJT’s shoes at this point as I know what my organization needs to do to win, who to contact, and how to move them to the polls by Election Day. Democrats have placed fear at the hearts of their voters and their best metric is counting early vote. If it’s a good night, 33% of their voters will turnout on ED. Most firms have said now that over 50-55% of Biden voters have already voted. Well, if that’s true, I don’t see how they reach 70 million votes, which polls forecast their will be well over that number.

      The raw numbers just aren’t there for the Dems

    382. mnw says:

      Hillary’s building trades union contacts in Milwaukee told her, urgently, that she was in trouble there, & needed to call an audible & get out to WI ASAP.

      Cognitive dissidence is a m*********r, though!

    383. Greymarch says:

      #CocaineMitch

      Cute video. Watch with the volume on:
      https://twitter.com/LPDonovan/status/1320911534294523905

    384. mnw says:

      392 Michael

      What state is your organization in, pls? Sincere thx for your efforts, btw.

    385. mnw says:

      Grey

      Is Collins still a definite YES? Should I still “bet the house” on that?

    386. Greymarch says:

      #388: You will notice he wrote “where Biden and Harris go.” Where Harris goes is utterly meaningless, and Biden isnt going anywhere, except to “lid” each day in his basement, hoping his running-out-the-clock strategy will work. Gonna be a tight squeeze Uncle Joe!

    387. mnw says:

      Michael

      WOW! Perfect! You have a ringside seat at the Big Show. Thanks once again!

    388. Greymarch says:

      #366: Uhhh…where did you find those numbers on twitter? I just looked at every twitter @account you listed in your message, and none of those twitter accounts list anything about people who havent voted yet.

    389. Annie says:

      The Poles in Michigan and Wisconsin aren’t too happy with Biden…and that’s really not a good thing in a part of the USA with huge numbers of Polish-Americans.

      First, his “Polish joke”:

      Biden said, “We stopped showing up at the Polish-American Club. We stopped showing up, and we all went to you, the really smart people.” Implying that Poles weren’t smart (that from a man who literally flunked the 3rd grade).

      Then this:

      https://rmx.news/article/article/poles-in-america-demand-biden-correct-himself-after-calling-poland-and-hungary-totalitarian-regimes

    390. Annie says:

      401. Kind of reminded me of Gerald Ford in his debate with Carter getting Poland wrong, only this time saying Poland was under a totalitarian regime.

    391. Justin says:

      Rioting and looting in Philly tonight may bring law and order top of mind for some of the suburban voters there. Combined with the oil and gas/fracking message in western and Central PA messaging may really boost Trump’s chances there.

    392. lisab says:

      trump black ops dosed with drugs mental ill black guy. he started run with knife got murdered. now riots in philly to create fear and move state into orange man.

    393. michael corleone says:

      Ruh-oh – big in-person voting for GOP in Washoe and Clark today.

    394. John says:

      Cotto/Gottfried
      @CottoGottfried
      ·
      1m
      COTTO’S SWING STATE PREDICTIONS
      ________________________________________

      As of Oct 27
      ________________________________________

      BIDEN: NV

      TRUMP: GA, TX, IA, NC, PA, MI, WI, FL, OH

    395. John says:

      Should be “Happy Birthday B!tch”

      House Judiciary GOP
      @JudiciaryGOP
      ·
      5h
      Amy Coney Barrett, confirmed. Happy Birthday,
      @HillaryClinton
      !

    396. Chris says:

      Ralston Updated, 10:45 PM, 10/26/20

      GOP beat Dems in in-person voting by 3.8K in Clark and 1.4K in Washoe, so net loss in urban Nevada of 5.2K for Dems.

      We will see what the mail brings — Dems back up or GOP on comeback trail.

      Remember that 10th and 11th days usually good for GOP in Clark early voting. Maybe that pattern holds?

      I’ll update everything tomorrow, but good day for the Republicans…

    397. lisab says:

      My name is RAW
      Fire
      @_Rawilcox
      · 4m
      2 in custody at broad and diamond at 7/11. Jail support needed! @Phillybailout #OTGWestPhilly

    398. lisab says:

      My name is RAW
      Fire
      @_Rawilcox
      ·
      20m
      DEMANDS OF PHILLY ORGANIZERS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

      NO MORE COPS IN PHILLY! #OTGWestPhilly #walterwallace

    399. John says:

      It’s beginning already….polling firms like USC Dornsife are beginning to doubt their own polls and this specific polling firm now offers the suggestion based upon their ‘new questions’ that Trump is heading for an EC landslide.
      https://dornsife.usc.edu/news/stories/3338/experimental-polling-point-to-trump-victory/

    400. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      @WhiteHouse
      American energy production is soaring under President @realDonaldTrump
      Under his leadership, the United States has become the no. 1 oil producer in the WORLD & maintained our position as the no. 1 producer of natural gas!

    401.  USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll was one of the few polls in 2016 to predict a Trump win.  They have changed their methodology and like most mainstream polls they show a Biden lead.  However on October 26 they published a paper showing some interesting results when they asked what they described as experimental questions:

      The “social-circle question” asks respondents to report the percentage of their social contacts they expect to vote for each of the candidates. The other one, known as the “state winner question,” asks participants who they think will win the election in their state.

      **************************************************************************************

      When we calculate how many electoral votes each candidate could get based on state level averages of the own-intention and social-circle questions, it’s looking like an Electoral College loss for Biden. We should note that our poll was not designed for state-level predictions, and in some states we have very few participants. Even so, in 2016 it predicted that Trump would win the electoral vote. 

      In fact, in the last presidential election the social-circle question was more successful than both the own-intention question and aggregate polls in predicting winners of four of five swing states that unexpectedly went to Trump (Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). The own-intention question accurately predicted just three of the swing states and aggregate polling failed to accurately predict any of them.

      What about the question asking poll participants how they expect people in their state will vote?

      This state-winner question produces even more pessimistic Electoral College results for Biden. It’s possible, however, that respondents to this question may be even more susceptible to the belief that, because of Trump’s surprise victory in the last election, he’ll win again. They might have such a strong mistrust of polls that they believe Trump will win because most polls show that he won’t.

      Go here to read the rest.  Polls traditionally do a poor job of predicting the strength of populist politicians because populism tends to mix up traditional voting patterns.  More to the point, Trump is sui generis, a citizen non politician who won his first race, which happened to be for the Presidency.  Add this to the problems that pollsters have getting adequate responses from rural whites and white men without college degrees, and another polling debacle is in the works.  Cudos to  USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll for at least perceiving the problem.

    402. I see John at 411 beat me to the punch!

    403. PresidentPaul! says:

      Amazing getting Barrett on the court in the nick of time so that we don’t have to deal with ongoing mail in Fraud in PA and Wisconsin etc.

    404. PresidentPaul! says:

      I put some money on predict it this morning (never used it before.) Won’t say how much but just for fun.

      For senate races I bet on Tillis and Ernst.

      I bet against the dem clean sweep (senate+house+WH)

      I bet on 8% or more Texas victory (doubt it will be this much but I liked the asymmetrical odds they gave)

      I took small bets on four states to be closest margin: Minn, Wi, Mi and PA

      Then I bet on Trump in a some of the swing states: NC, Iowa, Wi, Mi, PA, FL

    405. PresidentPaul! says:

      I’d like to hedge with some bets on the dems but idk know what I’d bet on.

      If anything I’d probably bet on some of the dem house races since there will inevitably be some ticket splitting among trump voters.

    406. MichiganGuy says:

      Trump Campaign Takes Over YouTube Homepage for 24 Hours One Week from Election
      .
      https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/10/26/exclusive-trump-campaign-takes-over-youtube-homepage-for-24-hours-one-week-from-election/
      .
      Interesting move.

    407. jaichind says:

      Zero reporting of Philly riots in MSM. I guess they learned the lesson from the summer that rioting tends drive votes to Trump. Of course they cannot keep this papered over forever.

    408. jaichind says:

      419. Youtube is fairly male heavy. Trump is trying to get marginal male voters out to vote hoping that he gains more from it than Biden.

    409. Thomas says:

      It just does to show that there is no criteria for credible polls to be placed on your website. First the embarrassment with Trafalgar, then listing Republican paid polls from Susquehanna, now listing another polls with no credibility. InsiderAdvantage. What an joke. This “poll” has Trump winning approx 20% of Democratic voters -on what plant do they think that is going to happen? You know what-please by all means believe the polls from these firms that most of the industry laughs at. Then I will return to this site and look for you to make some corrections to future races.

    410. Thomas says:

      It just does to show that there is no criteria for credible polls to be placed on your website. First the embarrassment with Trafalgar, then listing Republican paid polls from Susquehanna, now listing another polls with no credibility. InsiderAdvantage. What an joke. This “poll” has Trump winning approx 20% of Democratic voters -on what plant do they think that is going to happen? You know what-please by all means believe the polls from these firms. I’ll be back after the election is over for the last laugh

    411. Sean says:

      The MSM polls are polls of Wall Street, Trafalgar, Susquehanna, Rasmussen, Big Data Poll are polls of Main Street. There are a lot of Americans on Main Street that are missed on Wall Street.

      Thinking there are going to be a lot of crying snowflakes one week from today.

    412. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #422 & 423
      Thomas— if and when you return, please communicate in English. Thank You.

    413. Country Dick Montana says:

      Looks like things are getting desperate when they send in the morning trolls…or night trolls as it is 7:50 PM in Beijing

    414. Smack says:

      North Carolina sliding away from Democrats based on All Early Voting per party registration in 2020 vs 2016 numbers with 7 days out before Election Day.

      Final All Early Voting 2016 North Carolina results:

      DEM: 41.18%
      GOP: 31.80%

      As of the morning of Oct 27th = All Early Voting per party registration 7 days out from Election Day:

      DEM: 1,356,442. 39,93%
      GOP: 1,041,156. 30.65%
      Unaffiliated: 999,169. 29.42%

      All trends and projections are pointing to 2020 GOP registered voters outperforming their 2016 GOP numbers based on percentage of total votes cast before Election Day in states of North Carolina and Florida.

      2020 Democrats simply underperforming 2016 Democrats in these 2 states

    415. PresidentPaul! says:

      The fate of the dollar seems sealed to me because not only can the US government not pay back this debt, but the rest of the world requires a weaker dollar in order to grow.

      Seems like we’re putting a lot of thought into what could happen in the short term based on election results with divided government naturally causing deflation\problems for the market.

      But those are just short term issues when we all know the end result although getting their politically could be complicated.

    416. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin

      bitcoin rocking this morning

      I just remember watching it during the last time it ran thinking this thing…once it gets going it just runs and runs.

    417. Jeff G. says:

      Dear Thomas,

      We apologize for our grievous transgressions. We will only discuss MSM polls approved by the Ministry of Information. Will you grant us forgiveness if we all chip in for a few carbon credits?

    418. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      The President has made up ground today in both the USC and TIPP Daily Tracking Polls.In the TIPP Poll, Biben’s lead has been cut from 7.5 pts. to 4.5 pts.

    419. Pitchaboy says:

      Link to USC poll?

    420. jaichind says:

      411. To be fair USC had those questions “social contacts voting” and “people in your state voting” for several months now. They ripped off this idea from Trafalgar in 2016.

      What they do not mention is that their generic Senate vote has it tied or D+1 while their Prez vote has Biden +10 or +11. Something is very wrong here or there are a lot of hidden Trump voters.

    421. Waingro says:

      #431, Sheeple where are you seeing that IBD poll??

    422. MichiganGuy says:

      N/T

    423. JC says:

      I did some quick comparisons between the North Carolina 2012/2016 results and 2020 early vote returns so far. Obviously, early voting is still ongoing plus 2012/2016 will include Election Day turnout, so take this data that perspective in mind.

      2012
      Rep: 32.90%
      Dem:44.18%

      Whites: 71.41%
      Blacks: 23.07%
      Undesignated: 2.17%

      Male: 44.10%
      Female: 54.79%

      Romney: 50.39%
      Obama: 48.35%
      ———-
      2016
      Rep: 31.91%
      Dem: 41.56%

      Whites: 70.81%
      Blacks: 22.16%
      Undesignated: 3.08%

      Male: 42.42%
      Female: 55.53%

      Trump:49.83%
      Clinton: 46.17%
      ———
      2020 Early Vote (as of 10/26/20)
      Rep: 30.02%
      Dem: 40.40%

      Whites: 66.82%
      Blacks: 20.58%
      Undesignated: 8.27% (?!)

      Male: 40.92%
      Female: 52.26%

    424. JC says:

      A data point that stands out is the high number of ‘undesignated’ voters as compared to the last two cycles.

    425. Justin says:

      Black vote is falling quickly in NC. It was 21.6% over the weekend and now down to 20.3%. It will likely be around 19% by election day. That seems like it will be well short of where they need to be.

    426. Justin says:

      Republicans have now taken the in-person lead in Palm Beach County!

      The gap in Duval County is now under ten. Pinellas gap is now down to 7.08%. It would be great to get it under 5% today or tomorrow.

    427. Waingro says:

      Test.