2020 EV WATCH
Trump : 187
Biden : 351
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2020 SENATE WATCH
GOP : 48
DEM : 50
IND : 2
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    Biden Leads Trump in NV By 6%, Trump leads Biden By 5% in FL, Biden/Trump Tied in PA

    Some confirmation on the Nevada poll from this morning from Siena College and The New York Times which shows Biden ahead by 6%.

    PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Siena/NYT)
    Joe Biden (D) 49%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

    This poll was done October 23-26 among 809 likely voters. In Florida we have a new poll from Susquehanna Polling and Research which is now showing Donald Trump with a 5% lead over Joe Biden.

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (SPR)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%
    Joe Biden (D) 44%

    This poll was done October 23-25 among 400 likely voters. Trafalgar Group (it is on their site this time) has a new poll in North Carolina which claims Thom Tillis has opened up a 2% lead over Cal Cunningham in the US Senate race there.

    US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Trafalgar)
    Thom Tillis (R-inc) 49%
    Cal Cunningham (D) 47%

    This poll was done October 20-22 among 1098 likely voters. They also have released a new poll for the state of Pennsylvania claiming the race is tied (technically an 0.8% lead for Trump before rounding).

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Trafalgar)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
    Joe Biden (D) 48%

    This poll was done October 24-25 among 1076 likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 2:58 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (289)

    289 Responses to “Biden Leads Trump in NV By 6%, Trump leads Biden By 5% in FL, Biden/Trump Tied in PA”

    1. Stonewall DW says:

      One of the reasons I am glad pollsters sometimes put out polls of states not in contention is that it gives us an idea of how the national numbers look in a state where no one is herding or persecuting the pollsters who step out of line.

      Four years ago Trump won LA 58/38.

      New poll today from University of New Orleans has Trump ahead 59/36.

    2. Stonewall DW says:

      “claiming the race is tied”

      And its a pretty valid claim Dave. Last time the final PA results were

      Trump 48
      Hillary 47
      Johnson 2
      Stein 1

      and those numbers were the EXACT numbers in the final Trafalgar poll released.

    3. Stonewall DW says:

      Democratic Party Platform:
      1) Anti-Police
      2) Pro-Looting
      3) Sieze retirement savings
      4) Sieze guns
      5) Pro-illegal immigration
      6) Rural America must bail out the failed Democrat cities
      7) If you are not a person of color, you are a racist whether you want to be or not.
      8) Pro-mutilation of young children
      9) Open prison doors and let them all go free
      10) End the free speech of anyone who dissents
      11) Anti-National Anthem
      12) Pro-Mail out ballots to all people: citizens, non-citizens, living, and dead.
      13) Pro-anarchy
      14) Pro-cancel culture
      15) Pro-rationing of gov’t controlled healthcare
      16) Pro-Force taxpayers to pay off student loan debt instead of the students who took the loans.
      17) Pro-“Green” new deal to devastate the economy with crippling regulations and destroy the energy industry.
      18) Pro-“Republicans are enemies of the state” (so aim your weapons at them carefully)
      19) Endless mob violence unless you vote Democrats into office
      20) Pro-never ending shut downs to keep everyone under government control
      21) Pro-send millions of jobs back to China
      22) Pro-never ending of jobless benefits
      23) Pro-living wage
      24) DC to become 51st state
      25) Anti-Peace in the middle east
      26) Pro-sex with minors
      27) Anti-vaccine until after the election.
      28) Pro-replacing lower court system with lynch mobs.
      29) Pro-Packing the SCOTUS with commies
      30) Promised to BAN fracking
      31) Promise to END THE OIL INDUSTRY
      32) Taxpayer funded ‘cunity’ college for all

    4. hugh says:

      we just topped 40K in net EV in florida

    5. Stonewall DW says:

      Great news about Florida. Over half of all FL voters have voted, and Trump is confident in the Republican voters left to vote to get him over the top. Put the money to use elsewhere.

    6. Official Trump is Done Countdown says:

      One week…

    7. MaryJmib says:

      Surge Gay App s.r.o., ICO , Rohanske nabrezi /23, Praha 8 registered in the Commercial. There are many good ones to choose from like Yahoo personals, Perfect match, etc. She’s trying to calm him down and he’s going on “Maybe I’m not even gay! Gay & Bisexual Men Hookups Tip: Thinking about trying something new sexually? This is a partial, non-exhaustive list of notable online dating websites and mobile apps. https://writenshare.info 2 min Gaytubies – k Views – p. When well-known Syrian blogger Amina Arraf – purportedly kidnapped by local authorities during the Arab Spring – was revealed to be an elaborate hoax persona, an entire international community realized it had been catfished/10(). Just take a deep breath and understand YOU WILL FAIL.

    8. jaichind says:

      https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/bloomberg-is-reportedly-funding-late-biden-push-in-texas-ohio-1.9265828

      Bloomberg Is Reportedly Funding Late Biden Push in Texas, Ohio

      Bloomberg is going to spend $15 million for Biden in OH and TX. This after his $100 million in FL after doing polling that shows Biden very close to Trump in OH and TX.

      I think the result will be same as FL: movement toward Trump

    9. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      Oct 26th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,666,765 41.84%

      GOP: 2,363,803 37.08%

      Oct 27th / 1:35pm

      DEM: 2,771,895 41.34%

      GOP: 2,505394 37.37%

      Oct 27th / 2:15pm

      DEM: 2,780,950 41.30%

      GOP: 2,528,297 37.40%

    10. Waingro says:

      #10, seems like a waste of money to me. If anything they should be carpet bombing the rust belt and PA. Maybe AZ.

    11. phoenixrisen1 says:

      Wain, I had to laugh at that lede by Bloomberg. That’s not why Trump is pulling ads in Florida. Florida is firmly in the Trump column.

      #8 — Gator!! Good to see you! I agree with your sock puppet handle but you forgot to add at the end of it “cleaning Biden’s clock”

    12. George says:

      Donald J. Trump
      @realDonaldTrump
      · 1h
      3 Points up in Michigan, 2 Points up in Wisconsin, 3 Points up in Pennsylvania. The Great Red Wave is forming, and getting ready to VOTE!

    13. Stonewall DW says:

      Bloomberg had great success in being in first place for the category of a buffoon no one wants, but spending the most money ever to convince us otherwise.

    14. Scooterboy says:

      Let Bloomberg waste his money. If Ohio was close, Trump wouldn’t have pulled the Ohio Campaign Manager and moved him to PA.

    15. Transparent Dem Troll says:

      Sorry Hedgehog Report. Due to budget cuts we have had to pull all paid professional trolls from your blog.

      The amateur who posts here under six or seven different names is doing so as a volunteer after we fired him.

    16. phoenixrisen says:

      Wain, I would carpet bomb Virginia, Colorado, and New Mexico. They have already got massive resources invested in the Rust Belt. Those Virginia House races are important.

    17. Waingro says:

      “Wain, I had to laugh at that lede by Bloomberg. That’s not why Trump is pulling ads in Florida. Florida is firmly in the Trump column.”

      Phoenix, yup! And meanwhile I lurk over at RRH and apparently some daily kos poster (what happened to that place) is spinning this as “bad” news for Trump as well. These guys are putting their heads in the sand.

    18. Tina says:

      And when is trump cash strapped?

    19. Waingro says:

      #18, the Dems? Are VA, CO and NM even in play?

    20. Big E says:

      Same story as 2016. No amount of money can fix a terrible candidate. The cake is baked. Just being against someone will get you to 42%. What are you going to say and do to get the other 8%. Happily the dems did not understand this. It is not enough to be likeable. You have to stand for something. Arguing both sides of coin will end in humiliation.

    21. Tina says:

      Tru o about to play the fracking and ending oil video in Lansing,

      Asks the audience how do you like your $2.00 gas prices?

    22. phoenixrisen says:

      Not to mention carpet bombing Colorado and Virginia could help Gardner and imperil Warner in VA regarding the Senate.

    23. Waingro says:

      au ng
      @athein1
      · 8m
      #FL #EarlyVoting 3pm update.

      https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

      D Lead (VBM+IPEV) =262653; was 302282 at 8am.-40k in 7 hrs. D lead continues its collapse. It is now projected to be well below 200k by E eve! That means Trump wins FL. Winner of FL has won each of the last 6 elections!!

    24. Smack says:

      Oct 26th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,666,765 41.84%

      GOP: 2,363,803 37.08%

      Oct 27th / 1:35pm

      DEM: 2,771,895 41.34%

      GOP: 2,505394 37.37%

      Oct 27th / 2:15pm

      DEM: 2,780,950 41.30%

      GOP: 2,518,297 37.40%

      I screwed up again..or the map is having wrong numbers for GOP when it first posts.

      But anyways…here are the real numbers.

      GOP had massive day yesterday in Florida and are surpassing it today.

    25. Waingro says:

      #24, oh so you mean the GOP. I was referring to Bloomberg/Dems.

    26. phoenixrisen says:

      Biden’s oil industry comments at the final debate was huge. That plays well particularly in Colorado and New Mexico.

    27. phoenixrisen says:

      Wain, yes. James will win in Michigan. It would be huge if we could save Gardner and possibily take down Warner in VA. Adding this and Tuberville winning as expected in AL, that is a pickup of 3 Dem seats. McSally has recovered nicely. Tillis and Ernst are fine. Big question mark is Collins. If the GOP picks up Senate seats this cycle, that is an absolute disaster for Democrats given the proportionality of seats up for grabs between the parties this year.

    28. Waingro says:

      #29, don’t forget Lewis in MN. He has an outside shot.

    29. Stonewall DW says:

      VIRGINIA.

      Here is my analysis. Trump lost by 5.3 in 2016. Hillary overwhelmed Trump at the end in northern VA after Trump held a lead that dwindled away all night.

      Can Trump flip it? Or asked another way, is there any means by which that gap can be closed?

      First, the bad news, the state has trended further blue since 2016. So I am going to start with a gap of 6.0 that needs to be closed.

      1) Trump left a huge, and I mean huge number of votes on the table. There are many evangelicals who were never Trumpers who are now on board enthusiastically. I know several. This was a huge number across VA. There were other non-evangelical Republicans who hated him too and stayed home or wrote in jeb bush, or someone else. Many of these are on board now too. This probably gets it down to roughly 5.0

      2) Then we come to the Dem takeover of all of the commonwealth branches of government, and they went California-style hard left with HUGE tax increases, Green deal wasteful spending, gun grabbing, the works. This all led by an obnoxious moron governor who is deeply hated. The backlash for this is probably worth another point, narrowing the gap to 4.0.

      3) Trump has made progress among the AA community as well as Latino voters. This is probably worth a point as well. 3.0

      4) If Dem turnout is down due to the lethargy of VA not reportedly being in play, and fear of Covid, etc., then it could get Trump another point. 2.0.

      Bu that’s where my narrative ends. I don’t know how to get those last two points, and Trump loses VA 50 to 48 in my best case scenario.

      However, if Florida truly goes 4.5 gap for Trump and the dam breaks open nation-wide, then the points above could be grown and Trump could win Virginia by a point or point and a half.

      In my own personal door-to-door canvassing, one small precinct that went for Hillary barely, has far more Trump support this time. Another neighborhood that went slightly for Trump is now roughly 70% for Trump in the people we spoke to.

      We will know in a week. I hope its at least like it was last time, Virginia serving as an early scare to hold the narrative from going too crazy.

    30. Tina says:

      The hotline squash is an idiot.

      Quote Tweet

      Josh Kraushaar
      @HotlineJosh
      · 32m
      This makes no sense, unless you’re out of cash: Trump campaign spending on Minnesota but pulling out of FLORIDA.
      https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-27/trump-pulls-florida-ads-as-cash-poor-campaign-enters-final-week?sref=PX8Fo3Wn

    31. Jeff G. says:

      #28, Sleepy Joe’s oil comment plays well everywhere undecided voters buy gas.

    32. phoenixrisen says:

      Right, I forgot about Minnesota. My goodness, to think a 57 seat GOP majority is possible in the Senate would have been laughable to think about back in the Spring.

    33. Gordon Allen says:

      If Trump goes ahead and actually wins Florida by 5, then all things become possible, including the Senate seat in Minnesota. We’ll find out soon. Media back to pushing COVD,which means they KNOW they in trouble,BS polls to the contrary.

    34. hugh says:

      If bloomberg is spending all this money in FL, I am not seeing it. Though there have been so many ads I cant believe anyone is paying attention whether by trump of biden or surrogates. However, my bet is that the money bloomberg is spending has way more to do with helping dem house members hold seats in the trump districts from 2016. He put massive money in the 2018 house races. Probably the same is going on here.

    35. Country Dick Montana says:

      Trump squeaks by with an EV win and and a slightly better but still losing PV.

      GOP holds on in the Senate, with little change.

      DEMS hold onto the House albeit with a smaller margin (Nancy Pelosi sent packing as Speaker.)

      Landslide talk on either side is probably optimistic.

    36. Big E says:

      DW, You left out one part in your analysis. There will be a 1% spoilage rate in the direction of the GOP on VBM. That will get you to 50/49.

    37. Waingro says:

      PPP (D-NC) can only get Dirty Cal to +3 (47-44) a week before the election. Tillis is in great shape!

    38. Waingro says:

      LOL.

      NBC moves historically-red Texas to “tossup” in presidential race http://hill.cm/maw2ADa

    39. Chicon says:

      Joeisdone has made an adjustment to its page – a good one, I think. To identify high propensity voters remaining – which is a huge part of the ball game, imo – they’ve switched to a 4/4 voter model. This shows the R’s have 280k more of such voters than do the D’s. Previously, the metric used showed the D’s with a negative #, which is of course silly.

      Excellent news to have so many more high propensity voters remaining.

    40. Stonewall DW says:

      Well the challenge was met. The showdown looms.

      PPP-D says North Carolina is 47/51 (Biden +4)
      Trafalgar says NC is going to be 49/46 (Trump +3)

      I will go with the team that was right last time against the one who always over estimates the Dem.

      Last time in 2016, PPP-D’s final three-way poll of NC was 47/44/4, Hillary +3.

      Trafalgar was 49/44/4, Trump +5.

      Actual margin Trump +3.6

      Trafalgar overstated Trump’s lead by 1.4.
      PPP-D was off by 6.6.

    41. Big E says:

      in 2018 Beto traveled to all 151 counties and spent 90 million to get to within 3 of Ted Cruz. There was probably another 30 million in PAC money spent on Beto’s behalf. He got close but no cigar. Biden has spent chump change. He will be lucky to get to within 5.

    42. Stonewall DW says:

      And speaking of NC, in 2016, the final IPSOS poll was Hillary +2, and they just released their final NC poll for 2020, Biden +1

    43. jaichind says:

      I wonder why there are no BLM nationwide protests over the Philly situation. Perhaps they learned that those protests tend to drive votes to Trump.

    44. Phil says:

      Does Bloomberg ever get tired of throwing money down a rat hole?

    45. Stonewall DW says:

      Dem
      2788132 (41.25%)
      61.89% of 2016 Clinton votes
      106.02% of 2016 Democrat EV

      2016 total 4/4 voters:1596467
      2020 4/4 voters (est):1229040
      Remaining 4/4 voters (est):367427 (23.02%)
      Difference with R: -279640

      GOP
      2529628 (37.43%)
      54.78% of 2016 Trump votes
      99.85% of 2016 Republican EV

      2016 total 4/4 voters:1903132
      2020 4/4 voters (est):1256065
      Remaining 4/4 voters (est):647067 (34.00%)
      Difference with D: +279640

    46. Gordon Allen says:

      Bloomberg has a lot to throw away. Remember when he was the msm flavor of the month ( week?)

    47. jaichind says:

      I totally agree that if Bloomberg wants to throw money he is better off throwing them into Rust Belt than TX. I suspect this is about Bloomberg trying to get credit in case the polls are right and Biden wins in a landslide in which case OH and TX are going to be tight. For Bloomberg there is no harm. The worst the can happen is he wasted a bunch of money on states that Trump will carry by a significant margin. He has plenty of cash.

    48. Phil says:

      Yeah, Bloomberg worth 32 billion but still…

    49. MrVito says:

      The FL EV has hit the mark so I can give you a projection.

    50. Marv says:

      #51 MrVito,

      We’re waiting.…..

    51. Todd McCain says:

      What does a 4/4 voter mean? A super voter I guess?

    52. Phil says:

      I can tell you my State is a done deal.

      It was never in play and even if it was Biden’s debate declaration on fracking and the oil industry would have sunk him.

    53. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      37. “Trump squeaks by with an EV win and and a slightly better but still losing PV.

      GOP holds on in the Senate, with little change.

      DEMS hold onto the House albeit with a smaller margin (Nancy Pelosi sent packing as Speaker.)

      Landslide talk on either side is probably optimistic.”

      Sensible projection. I see it as a very close race now. Biden may have been a slight favorite not long ago, but believe Trump has gained recently. Biden stumbled and got hurt by his’s sons past actions (and addictions). Its to close to make a firm prediction either way.

    54. Waingro says:

      Political Polls
      @PpollingNumbers
      ·
      2m
      #NEW North Carolina Poll:

      Trump 48%
      Biden 48%

      @SurveyUSA
      /
      @WRAL
      News

    55. Gordon Allen says:

      I’m old enough to remi the 1980 campaign. On this date one week before the election ( it was October 28 then) Reagan and Carter were tied. Of course that’s the date of the debate.
      Until that weekend the election was too “close to call”. Even on Monday Reagan led 3-5 points. He won by 10.
      When the momentum moves in the last week it snowballs; it doesn’t reverse. The sense is Trump has the momentum. I’m sure he’s not winning by 10,but he might by more than some expect.

    56. Waingro says:

      #56, “5 point shift towards Trump in 2 weeks”

    57. Waingro says:

      #57, Gordon, you think Trump has a shot at the PV?

    58. MrVito says:

      Here is the turnout of the early vote so far relative to 2016 adjusted for registration.

      Dems are up 3%
      Indep are up 1%
      Reps are down 4%

      You can make what you will of that.

      It lines up perfectly, though, with Gallup’s poll that showed more Ds would vote early, slightly more Indies would vote early, and less Rs would vote early.

    59. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      October 27, 2020 at 4:02 pm
      Does Bloomberg ever get tired of throwing money down a rat hole?

      – When you figure the amount of interest he makes every day, what he’s spending is probably pocket change.

    60. Stonewall DW says:

      Funny, PPP-D stuck with Biden +4 in NC, and then the others herded to a tie race. Watch them drop one more just before election to catch up with the herd.

    61. MrVito says:

      61 This means that three legs of the journey were accurately predicted by simply the change in likelihood to vote early due to vbm.

      Leg 1: Massive lead from Dems
      Leg 2: Massive erosion of Dem lead in person
      Leg 3: The relative turnout numbers in #61<—- you are here
      Leg 4: Election Day will be quite Red.

      The size of Election Day will depend on factors we can’t yet know… how many more Rs will vote early and just how enthused are the Rs more so than Ds?

    62. jason says:

      Tough radio ads on Joe Biden now playing here in PA.

    63. jason says:

      I don’t understand why the socialist agenda has appeal to Bloomberg, unless he thinks the Dems will listen to him on the economy since he helped them out. That would be really stupid.

    64. Tina says:

      The money pulled from Florida is being put into Minnesota.

      They are going for,the throat.

      They are convinced thst they got Florida by a wider margin than 2016. 3/4 points

    65. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 27, 2020 at 4:29 pm
      I don’t understand why the socialist agenda has appeal to Bloomberg, unless he thinks the Dems will listen to him on the economy since he helped them out. That would be really stupid.

      – He hates Trump and hate is powerful motivator.

    66. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      The New Yorker magazine in July 2019 had an article entitled “Will Hunter Biden Jeopardize His Father’s Campaign” It presented a picture of a completely dysfunctional family with Joe Biden making no effort to intervene to address his son’s serious narcotics-related issues. The article tried to paint Hunter Biden in a sympathetic light, but if failed miserably. The hapless Joe Biden portrayed in the article has no business running for president.
      https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/07/08/will-hunter-biden-jeopardize-his-fathers-campaign

    67. Todd McCain says:

      GOP has now netted 50K in Florida so far with 1.5 hours left.

    68. MrVito says:

      There is lots of GOP vote left.

    69. SoHope says:

      1.5 hours left plus Sarasota & Miami-Dade numbers will be added….GOP will definitely be under 250k total vote advantage.

    70. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      ———-

      Oct 26th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,666,765 41.84%

      GOP: 2,363,803 37.08%

      Oct 27th / 3:35pm

      DEM: 2,794,619 41.22%

      GOP: 2,539,940 37.46%

    71. jason says:

      – He hates Trump and hate is powerful motivator.”

      Zzzzzzzzz…..

    72. SoHope says:

      Somebody in the know please tell me how many more days of IPEV are there? Are some counties longer than others?

    73. jaichind says:

      68. My view
      1) Bloomberg has so much money he craves recognition. So spending money to appear virtuous to the establishment is important to him
      2) Bloomberg is also partially a tech company so he need to do this to cater toe the demands of his employees. That is pretty much my theory of how google twitter youtube etc etc have such an anti-Trump bias. it is their employees that are anti-Trump so they have to act that way to pacify their employees in an era of a of shortage of tech workers.

    74. MrVito says:

      The gap in vbm return rate in FL is down to 2.8

      The GOP is bringing in their ballots.

    75. jaichind says:

      Do the VBM numbers in FL take into account of ballots being thrown out? I suspect the number of votes being thrown out in FL NC and PA will clear skew Dem.

    76. Robbie says:

      About two weeks ago, it looked likely India would overtake the US as the country with the most confirmed coronavirus cases. Over the last week though, the US is producing more cases than India and it looks unlikely they will pas the US.

      Of course, India is doing far less testing. Like so many other countries, they’re only testing those with symptoms. Here in the US we test college athletes daily. Testing costs the US about one billion dollars a week. Quite a racket.

      Unfortunately, the “test, test, test” mantra the press and the blue checkmark resistance doctors have pushed was never about anything other than creating a panic that would hurt Trump. It’s too bad those around Trump weren’t as savvy as those who’ve wielded testing as a weapon.

    77. Sean says:

      What was the final percentage gap in votes by party affiliation in 2016? Not just early vote.

    78. jason says:

      – He hates Trump and hate is powerful motivator.”

      They actually have had a pretty chummy relationship over the years, and Bloomberg as late as 2016 said “I love you Donald”.

      Bloomberg didn’t get to be a billionaire by spending money to “hate” people.

      He is a nanny state guy in the sense that he thinks the government knows best for you, and he does hate the 2nd amendment however.

    79. Chicon says:

      Sean, are you sure you want to know? As of this point 4 years ago, GOP led by 7k. Not sure what the end of ev number was.

    80. Tina says:

      Well the pull out of Florida touted by hotline squash and dumberg is wrong.

      Tim Murtaugh
      @TimMurtaugh
      ·
      25m
      This story is absolutely false and based on erroneous information.

      We have seven figures up on TV in Florida and we are up on TV in 12 states.

      This is irresponsible reporting and needs to be retracted as false.

    81. Tina says:

      Figures it would be wrong whe they used the word cash strapped.

    82. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 27, 2020 at 4:56 pm

      Bloomberg didn’t get to be a billionaire by spending money to “hate” people.

      – When you’re worth $36 billion, $15 million is pocket change.

    83. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      Oct 26th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,666,765 41.84%

      GOP: 2,363,803 37.08%

      Oct 27th / 4:00pm

      DEM: 2,798,096 41.20%

      GOP: 2,544,945 37.47%

    84. phoenixrisen says:

      Smack, loving that drip and shrinking gap that is favoring the GOP here.

    85. Wes says:

      Intriguingly Bloomberg may not be sold on having Democrats hold all levers of power in Washington. He’s spent plenty of money on Biden and House Dems but despite appeals directly from Schumer, little if anything on the Senate.

      Even uberrich liberals may not want to relive 2009 and 2010.

    86. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Chuck Ross
      @ChuckRossDC
      · 5h
      NEW: Hunter Biden consortium touted Joe Biden’s relationship with Colombia’s president in $10 MILLION investment pitch to Chinese energy firm.

      The 42-page sales pitch suggests investments in a Colombian oil field and Venezuela-Colombia oil pipeline. https://dailycaller.com/2020/10/27/hunter-biden-joe-biden-china-colombia/…
      Show this thread

    87. jason says:

      Is anyone besides Robbie and the MSM still talking about COVID?

      Even Gov. Wolf seems to be taking it in stride.

      “While the daily increases are comparable to April’s peak numbers, Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf has said the state is far better prepared now than it was then to deal with a surge, adding it has plenty of ventilators and hospital beds and greatly improved testing volume.”

    88. mnw says:

      3 Stoner

      VERY good point I hadn’t considered. Very good point.

      Plus, it’s a college poll, with all that that entails.

      With Biden trailing by 23 points in LA, I wonder if GBJ is still happy that he bragged about the poll* purportedly showing “Biden now trailing by just 1-2 points in MO!”

      Trump carried LA by 20 points in ’16, & MO by 19 points, btw. Notice any similarity in the margin?

      *GBJ never actually cited to the MO “poll” in question, or even named the supposed “pollster,” but… nobody here ever saw such a “poll” but him.

    89. Smack says:

      Early Voting in-person in state of Florida goes until Sunday.

      The in-person voting and VBM dates of this cycle is different than 2016.

      I would implore you all to look at the trends…which were evident on Oct 21st.

      Biden is in deep trouble in Florida and probably in extension…deep trouble to get to his 270.

    90. jason says:

      Bloomberg hates Trump?

      Like I said, zzzzzzzz….

      “As Mike Bloomberg rises in the polls and lands on the debate stage, his past interactions with Donald Trump are coming back to haunt him.

      A photo of Bloomberg looking chummy with Trump on a golf course was plastered all over social media this week, courtesy of Bernie Sanders. A clip of Bloomberg declaring, “I’m a friend of Donald Trump’s. He is a New York icon,” has made the rounds on cable news.

      And in the latest video to surface, Bloomberg — speaking one month after the 2016 election — noted that he once told Trump, “Yes, Donald, I do love you.”

    91. Country Dick Montana says:

      “I wonder if GBJ is still happy…”

      Its after 5:00 PM. He and his multiple personalities hould be showing up anytime now. They start early in Beijing.

    92. jason says:

      There seems to be a serious discrepancy between what Chicon and the others are saying about FL.

      Are you comparing apples with apples?

    93. Phil says:

      So you offered to bet basement boy on Mo. and spot him 12 points and nothing but silence. Figures.

      His Missouri within a point or two is indicative of the other garbage he throws around on this site.

    94. Sy says:

      Election update:

      FL – Trump locked
      PA – Trump edge (Fracking)
      WI – Trump edge (WOW factor)
      MI – Trump edge (everyone hates the Governor)
      MN – Toss-Up
      NV – Biden (Republicans will not win NV until they fix the Clark County election fraud scheme.)

    95. Chicon says:

      The trend is that with several more days like today, the R’s will be in a similar position as 4 years ago. With many more high intensity voters in reserve.

      Then we can find out how the Indies votes, and what the crossovers look like.

    96. mnw says:

      Tina

      Florida notwithstanding, it’s GREAT to hear Trump is still up on TV in MN!

    97. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 27, 2020 at 5:05 pm
      Is anyone besides Robbie and the MSM still talking about COVID?

      – Well, since I and 11 million other Americans who had jobs in February and no longer do today because of coronavirus, I’m still talking about it.

    98. Justin says:

      Republicans have shaved off over a point today from the Dem’s lead in Florida!

      Wake up, Arizona. Follow Florida’s lead!

    99. Justin says:

      Do any of the NC polls out today have a break down on already voted and yet to vote?

    100. mnw says:

      94 & 96 CDM & Phil

      Yep. It’s almost as if GBJ is God’s own FOOL… or something.

    101. jason says:

      The blue state govs are between a rock and a hard place. If they start two much fear mongering, it will probably depress the inner city vote.

    102. jason says:

      too much, not two much

    103. hugh says:

      Just about ready to top 50K. Also, dems are barely winning vbm today. Netting less than 5000 so far and the last few updates reps have beat the dems. In SE FL the biden EV gap % is now negative taking into account Miami, Broward and PB. Miami is negative, Broward is less than 1% positive and PB is about 3% positive. Miami is dragging down the other two. Broward should go negative tomorrow. Statewide the EV Gap % is down to 2.3% and dropping. Joeisdone estimates that less than 8% and reps should win. That is where the educated guessing comes into play. The theory based on polling of how dems plan to vote versus republicans is how he would have picked 8% percent. Big picture the theory is that dems were going to overwhelmingly vote by mail and republicans in person. Dems are still afraid of covid and reps are not. So they need to run up the score with EV to win on ED. So if Florida EV was +90k dem in 2016 it must be much higher in 2020 to win, because of the change in how people planned to vote.

      To someone elses question on when do they count a vbm, I am not sure. However I did read somewhere that the rejection rate in Miami was very high due to people not signing their ballots. They can be corrected, but in FL it ends on the 3rd. In 2018 PB and Broward kept voting, but those two election supervisors have been replaced with honest people. Miami was done counting about an hour after the polls closed. The big time corruption has always been in Broward. My home sweet home.

    104. John says:

      Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling & Research has joined the growing list of polling firms saying Trump just might win because of the ‘shy’ Trump voter….he joins USC Dornsife and the leader, Robert Cahaly of the Traflagar Group.
      Both Lee and Cahaly now flat out say that Trump will win….
      https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/10/another-pollster-sees-a-trump-win/

    105. jason says:

      Well, since I and 11 million other Americans who had jobs in February and no longer do today because of coronavirus, I’m still talking about it.”

      So maybe regurgitating MSM talking points here for months was not such a great idea?

      Eureka!

    106. Waingro says:

      LOL and now PPP (D) has Trump only up 2 in MT and Bullock up 1. They are back to their full blown garbage ways.

    107. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 27, 2020 at 5:19 pm
      Well, since I and 11 million other Americans who had jobs in February and no longer do today because of coronavirus, I’m still talking about it.”

      So maybe regurgitating MSM talking points here for months was not such a great idea?

      Eureka!

      – Yeah, that’s the reason I lost my job, you moron. You really are a miserable person. I’m glad you’re not unemployed, though.

    108. jaichind says:

      Speaking of Bloomberg and Trump

      https://time.com/4169503/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-wedding-photo/

      Witten in Jan 2016 points out that “Donald Trump Still Has a Photo of the Clintons on Display at Home” which is

      https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/bill-clinton-donald-trump.jpg?w=800&quality=85

      And has Bill Clinton, Giuliani, Trump, and Bloomberg in it.

    109. hugh says:

      Hi Jason. Go to joeisdone for florida and study it. Takes a while to figure it out, but its excellent. You can look at vbm only, in person only and combined. You can then compare by county and he provides info on remaining supervoters and on EV % gaps. You can then decide on your own what you think. My view is that miami is a dagger in the heart. Also, I always believe if one side gets more of its voters out than another election the indies tend to follow the side with the enthusiasm not other way around. Which of course is commonsense. IN Florida all the enthusiasm is with trump.

    110. hugh says:

      looking at predictit. It appears the dems who are betting the big money to continue the joe is winning narrative are starting to give up on Florida and maybe even a bit on NC. THey will soon do all they can to keep AZ looking blue. That should be over soon enough as it is trending more towards trump. Then they can waste their money in the upper midwest. Too bad the trump supporters do not believe them and the ones that do are still voting like crazy.

    111. Robbie says:

      Erick Erickson
      @EWErickson
      He’ll win Georgia. David Perdue will get more votes than him and probably avoid a runoff. The GAGOP will lose a few seats in the legislature in the suburbs but hold their majorities.

      – I thought this was an interesting tweet. Erickson was answering someone who asked whether Trump would win Georgia. What I found very interesting was his comments about Perdue. I wrote last week I thought one surprise on election night could be that Perdue avoids a runoff. We’ll see.

    112. Tina says:

      Lol

      The Reckoning Collision symbol
      @sethjlevy
      · 5m
      Biden campaign strategy:

      • Ignore TX for the entire campaign

      • Say in the final debate you will shut down the oil industry

      • Show up in TX the following week, five days before Election Day , and hope to win there

      Who is running Biden’s campaign?!? twitter.com/hallieonmsnbc/…

    113. Stonewall DW says:

      So the GOP in Florida needs to close a 250k gap in votes with maybe 3 million votes yet to go. Then of course we don’t know how the 20 percent unaffiliated have voted. And we don’t know the cross-overs.

    114. Scooterboy says:

      Robert Barnes current election forecast ihas Trump at 320 EV’s.

    115. Stonewall DW says:

      Updated TRUMP schedule:

      TODAY: Lansing, MI
      TODAY: West Salem, WI
      TODAY: Omaha, NE
      WED: Bullhead City, AZ
      WED: Goodyear, AZ
      THUR: Fayetteville, NC

      more to come…

    116. LewisS says:

      Regarding FL, is there any sense of how the crossover vote usually goes. I’m guessing there are still a lot of crossover voters D to R in the Panhandle. What about the rest of the state?

    117. Pitchaboy says:

      GatorBoy is Neil Cavuto. Cavuto gave OH and GA to SloJo.

    118. Chicon says:

      116 – exactly, DW.

    119. Pitchaboy says:

      DJT needs to win 55 to 60% of remaining vote. Piece of ?

    120. Stonewall DW says:

      OHIO? My goodness. Even FoxNews, Civiqs/Daily Kos, and Morning Insult have given up on OH.

    121. dblaikie says:

      Talked with family in Nevada. First of all ignore Ralston he is living back in 2016. Mail in voting has thrown a monkey wrench into trying to be definitive about the vote.

      The big question is how much have the dems cannibalized their vote? Still loads of GOP votes to come in on election. The second question is how will Indies break. 176 thousand votes creates a big unknown. And finally this cycle keep your eye on the cumulative vote. As of now the dems have about 54000 more votes. They need a lot more to be safe.

      Finally understand what is going on with new lawsuit because it reveals how the dems want to steal the election. Right now when the vote by mail comes in their only has to be a 60% match with the signature. That is what the counting machines are set on. That is far too low. The GOP believes it needs to be at least an 80% match. If Trump wins the suit, and they may take it to the Supremes, thousands of mail in votes will discarded and Trump will win slam dunk.

    122. Stonewall DW says:

      And Robert Barnes actually puts his money on the line with his predictions.

    123. Pitchaboy says:

      AZ lead cut by 25000.

    124. MrVito says:

      Crossover vote is generally equal unless the minority vote goes to the GOP. Trump, Scott, Desantis had equal crossover. Rubio had more due to Minorities.

    125. Tina says:

      Lol Halloween Biden and Kampala.

      https://postlmg.cc/VJBvTx3V

    126. mnw says:

      115

      Tina:

      Curly.

    127. Gatorjoel says:

      My home state (Florida) is going to Biden. Chomp chomp. There are not enough votes for Trump.

    128. Tina says:

      After tonight’s Nebraska rally, trump is going to Nevada, per the cth.

    129. Stonewall DW says:

      Florida gap now under 250k.

    130. WizardofCozz says:

      Just cast my vote for Trump as am early in person voter.

    131. Tina says:

      Trump War Room – Text TRUMP to 88022
      @TrumpWarRoom
      · 6m
      Joe Biden: “I am Kamala’s running mate. Y’all think I’m kidding don’t you?”

      https://twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/status/1321209178325688323

    132. hugh says:

      2018 is not a good predictor of crossover votes. it was a tough year for reps. The way Miami is going it is likely reps will get more crossover votes. similarly they should win indies by a small margin. Indies will break with the party with the enthusiasm, since it is harder to get them to vote. They need a reason to vote.

    133. Gatorjoel says:

      Wait until souls to the polls! We will be back to a 300 to 350 k lead!!

    134. WizardofCozz says:

      How’d souls to the polls go last weekend? Lol

    135. mnw says:

      132 Stonewall

      EXCELLENT news!

    136. Gatorjoel says:

      This one will be better.

    137. Hunter Biden's Crackwhore Brigade says:

      Gatorjoel says:
      October 27, 2020 at 6:06 pm
      This one will be better.
      ———-

      Damn. You’re even sadder than I am.

    138. Scooterboy says:

      “ Joe Biden: “I am Kamala’s running mate. Y’all think I’m kidding don’t you?”

    139. hugh says:

      Anyone who thinks biden has a chance in Florida after the last three days has 0 credibility. Souls to the polls a bust. VBM nets less than 5000 votes today. Reps net over 105K votes in two days. EV gap % from 2016 shrinking fast. The combined EV% gap for the counties of miami, broward and PB now favors trump and getting better every vote drop. Finally, dems have been polled over and over on covid and they are basically a bunch of cowards. You know those people who wear masks even when driving in their cars. I see those idiots here all the time. Reps are largely not afraid. No surprise there. So on ED, reps will vote in droves while dems sit in the basements reading msm polls and dreaming of a new marxist society.

    140. Akula_KS says:

      I expect election night will be as before. Deep blue states will be called for Joe after 1% of votes are in. States which Trump leads won’t be called until 99% are in. Networks will hope to dishearten and suppress voters in NM NV and AZ.

    141. Phil says:

      Baris polled Florida and asked specifically when voters were going to vote. Huge difference. Democrats were going to Almost exclusively vote early or by mail and far more Republicans than Democrats indicated they would be voting on Election Day.

      None of the early vote is surprising or particularly informative.

    142. hugh says:

      Hey gator, souls to the polls is both sundays. Last sunday was the first one. Oh and reps won sunday. You got one more. I do suspect there will be some gain for dems on Sunday due to many red counties either not open or only partially open. However, it will not come close to saving FL.

      However, I invite you to take your welfare check and bet on Biden winning Florida.

      Blowout coming in FL. Chump Chump!!

    143. dblaikie says:

      Say what you want but the GOP cut 50000 votes off the dems lead in Florida yesterday. If that happens in the next three days (including today) the GOP will be ahead of what they were on election day 2016. Come election day 2020 the GOP may be 100000 ahead of the dems on election day. And you know who will win the Nov. 3 vote. Sorry Gator, better turn to another state.

    144. hugh says:

      146. I hope you are right. My feeling is that the dems will finish above 2016, but they are too far behind already to have enough to win after ED. If we are ahead by 100K on election day. This election will result in us winning states like NM, NV, NH and the entire upper midwest except hapless IL.

    145. NYCmike says:

      https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a34473136/navajo-designer-pandemic-trucker/

      -Hopefully, she will make her way to Jersey to deliver something to my warehouse!

    146. Chicon says:

      42 – Hugh, what’s your prediction for the final outcome in FL when all the votes are counted?

    147. CG says:

      I cannot wait until the HHR Election Prediction Contest!

    148. NYCmike says:

      “42 – Hugh, what’s your prediction for the final outcome in FL when all the votes are counted?”

      -Chicon, did you make a prediction yet?

    149. NYCmike says:

      Biden 408 (“CG”) is here!

    150. Tina says:

      Maybe the Clinton Groupie knows Where’s Hunter?

    151. NYCmike says:

      ” Instead, the incumbent President mocks concern over the virus as if Americans are wrong to upset over death and sickness. He complains publicly that the media talks about “Covid, Covid, Covid”, far more than they would a fatal plane crash. Well, for one thing, plane crashes are not contagious. If an airplane does crash though, I think we would want to know the reasons why so that it may be less likely to happen again. If someone was responsible in a malfeasance sort of way, they should be held responsible. Once again, the virus itself is not Trump’s fault, but he has proven himself to be culpable in the botched response, both officially and personally, and the situation in the U.S. is far worse than it should be. From Day 1, he has been focused purely on how it might effect the economy, and thus his own popularity and best chance of reelection, than the right to life that should be guaranteed to all Americans.”

      -His job is to maintain the strength and security of the United States, NOT to be our nanny and/or nursemaid.

      You are pathetic.

      Gorsuch, Kavanaugh and ACB say “Thanks for nothin’ Noonan!”

    152. Chicon says:

      NYC – no. I suspect Trump by 1.5 – 3. Post-early voting it’ll be near a tie, just like 4 years ago. Difference is that a much larger portion of the electorate will have voted early.

    153. Tina says:

      Joe Scarborough
      @JoeNBC
      · 35m
      Anyone Democrat feeling really confident right now should look at Florida’s early voting numbers. Republicans are having another huge day across the state.

    154. NYCmike says:

      My right to life means more than hunkering in a basement to avoid a virus that is deadly to less than 1% of the population.

      Shame on you! How about all of those people adversely affected by the loss of a job, or the inability to go see their aging parents, and who then fall into addiction and/or suicide?

      GFY, you sanctimonious imp.

    155. Justin says:

      156 – Come on, Joe. Don’t tell them. It will make the surprise so much better!

    156. Tina says:

      Trump supporters greet China Biden in Georgia.

      https://twitter.com/AllieRaffa/status/1321141805103153155

    157. Tina says:

      Is it a problem that Melania is out drawing the obumbler, Kampala, ans China Biden combined?

    158. Chicon says:

      Tina, speaking for myself, I’d rather hang out with Melania than those three dopes.

    159. Hugh says:

      2.5%. Because so many did vbm before the last debate. Otherwise it’d be larger

    160. Waingro says:

      #150, looks like CG is predicting the Dems take over the Senate 51-49!

    161. jason says:

      You really are a miserable person.”

      Yeah, I would be happy if I was still living in the 2016 primaries pining away for Jeb and eating my heart out with hate for Trump for the next four years.

      Nirvana!

    162. jason says:

      I am superstitious. I might predict Trump to come up just short like I did last time. I didn’t mind being slightly wrong.

    163. jason says:

      #150, looks like CG is predicting the Dems take over the Senate 51-49!”

      CG doesn’t make predictions, he makes wish lists.

      That is why his 2016 “prediction” was so ridiculous.

    164. MikeKS says:

      I think the only Senate seat the Republicans lose is Colorado. I think we win Alabama, so it’s no worse than a wash. I also think we can win Michigan and Minnesota.

    165. Hugh says:

      167. I like your style.

    166. WizardofCozz says:

      I dont know that Gardener can win on Colorado. State has become much more liberal.

    167. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      ———

      Oct 26th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,666,765 41.84%

      GOP: 2,363,803 37.08%

      Oct 27th / 6:00pm

      DEM: 2,817,226 41.13%

      GOP: 2,569,306 37.51%

    168. WizardofCozz says:

      Feels like the D % is going lower mich faster than R% is going up. Means that independents are voting at higher %. Willbe interesting to see how they break on election day.

    169. Benjamin says:

      Here‘s my new electoral map
      Election win‘t be close
      Trump wins the midwest: PA WI MI MN

      https://strehlspresidentialelection2016.wordpress.com/2020/10/27/4th-weekly-electoral-map-october-2020-by-benjamin-wolfmeier/

    170. Sean says:

      MikeKS you think Trump wins now?

    171. FrankK says:

      Would someone with a twitter account please inform the man who made the terrific Florida and NC vote interactive maps “joeisdone” that the NC calculator is calculating the 2020-2016 R-D gap incorrectly. It appears to be using and displaying the 2020-2016 D gap instead. The man’s twitter address is available on the webpage for the Florida calculator. Thank you!!!

    172. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 27, 2020 at 6:44 pm
      You really are a miserable person.”

      Yeah, I would be happy if I was still living in the 2016 primaries pining away for Jeb and eating my heart out with hate for Trump for the next four years.

      Nirvana!

      – You’re a miserable person because you’re reveling and mocking me for losing my job. I hope you never have to deal with this, though.

    173. Robbie says:

      Waingro says:
      October 27, 2020 at 6:43 pm
      #150, looks like CG is predicting the Dems take over the Senate 51-49!

      – If today was election day, that would probably be my guess as well. I think the national environment will overwhelm a lot of the more local issues.

    174. Smack says:

      I’m starting to think Jon Ralston is getting a little nervous on Nevada.

    175. mnw says:

      159 Tina

      That’s so kewl!

    176. NYCmike says:

      “This ad was very powerful to me, and while I was still vulnerable, I opened up my mail-in ballot and filled in the oval. It was better to act out of hope than despair.”

      -Ok, “CG” is actually a 14 year old high school student……anyones guess if he is male or female, I don’t want to assume as then I would be embarrassed for that gender.

    177. Country Dick Montana says:

      NYCMike- you have addressed a couple of posts which I can’t seem to find. Are they from another site?

    178. jason says:

      ou’re a miserable person because you’re reveling and mocking me for losing my job.”

      Nah. I said you reap what you sow.

      Which is different.

      GFY.

    179. lisab says:

      you’re reveling and mocking me for losing my job.
      ————————-

      just to be clear

      we are not mocking you because you lost your job … besides you are just furloughed

      we are mocking you because you are a sciolist

    180. jason says:

      IA has flipped on Predictit to Ernst, NC teetering at 52% for Three Banging Cal.

    181. lisab says:

      according to his blog corey is predicting a huge dem victory of epic proportions

    182. NYCmike says:

      “CG” is swayed by a political ad showing Biden in a dream world, while ignoring real-life occurrences such as hundreds of confirmed judges, 3 Supreme Court justices, and a burgeoning Middle East peace process, along with national growth rates of over 30% in the last 2 quarters despite some of the biggest states in the union deciding to further impoverish their citizenry affected by a global pandemic

      And he dares to use Reagan’s “A Time For Choosing” and Dole’s campaign speech as his backdrop.

      He might be lower than one of those snakes from the Lincoln Project.

    183. NYCmike says:

      “NYCMike- you have addressed a couple of posts which I can’t seem to find. Are they from another site?”

      -Yes, they are. Sorry about that.

    184. jason says:

      Trump is also at 42% at Predictit and Biden at 62% (different markets). It was as high as 70% for Biden and as low as 32% for Trump after the first debate.

    185. NYCmike says:

      Our friend, “CG”, maintains his own website to share his ideals.

      http://cgpolitics.blogspot.com/

      Quite well written, if you like fantasy porn.

    186. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Two Nevada polls out today showing huge leads for Biden! Yalls dreams of a red Nevada have gone bust.

      Also, a several point lead in GA, single digit race in Indiana, and several polls confirming a Biden lead in NC. All while Harris and Biden are campaigning in Georgia and Texas. Be still my heart!

    187. NYCmike says:

      ” single digit race in Indiana,”

      🙂

    188. jason says:

      ust to be clear

      we are not mocking you because you lost your job … besides you are just furloughed”

      He wants to be a victim.

      After latching on for years on to all the hoaxes and coup attempts that would have tanked the economy (because that would be bad for Trump) now he wants us to feel sorry because it came back to bite him in the ass.

    189. Annie says:

      Ronna McDaniel is saying that a whole lot of people in Michigan are going into the county clerks and asking to change their votes. Also, the Trump rally attendees are 50% Democrats (seems high?) and many who never voted before.

    190. jason says:

      Quite well written, if you like fantasy porn.”

      I will waste no time reading it.

    191. jason says:

      Also, a several point lead in GA, single digit race in Indiana, and several polls confirming a Biden lead in NC. All while Harris and Biden are campaigning in Georgia and Texas. Be still my heart!”

      Dang, those are the talking points for tonight?

      Indiana?

      LOL

    192. lisab says:

      He (corey) might be lower than one of those snakes from the Lincoln Project.
      ———————

      as we say in provincetown, he is a chowdah-head.

      or as they probably called him in high school, dungeon-master corey 🙂

    193. Annie says:

      Gator…Be sure to watch Tucker Carlson tonight…the full hour.

    194. jason says:

      Hey, Gator Troll, you can buy Biden in Indiana for a nickel, and cash in for a dollar when he wins the state.’

      You will be rich, even after you give 70% of it back to Biden.

    195. lisab says:

      Quite well written, if you like fantasy porn.”

      I will waste no time reading it.
      —————————————-

      oh, go look …

      it is like one of those horror movies when the hero goes into the psycho’s house and sees a shrine dedicated to the psycho’s victims

      seriously …

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfNH3E2u2I0

    196. PresidentPaul! says:

      I actually have money on ernst and tillis at predict it.

    197. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Also, Biden up 4 in Iowa and 3 in Arizona. So many red states flipping blue this year!

    198. Scooterboy says:

      K (ash)- “Do you want to know what the BIG Election surprise is going to be?

      The hidden D vote for Trump (Black & Latino), is going to be immense!????

      Many of the ballots that are now being counted as D will in actual fact be R.

      I estimate this could be >6M! (Polls never captured it)

    199. mnw says:

      GBJ

      Outstanding post on IN– no-one but you had noticed IN was so close! Is MO pretty similar to IN, you think? Biden have a puncher’s chance of winning both?

      /s

    200. Scooterboy says:

      Sam Alma- “ Maricopa’s file this morning backfilled returns with Sat-Monday data. Democrats now have 6 straight days of advantage loss.”

    201. Scooterboy says:

      Nate Silver- “ There’s no sign of tightening. Also no sign of widening. We have 34 post-debate polls, and the average change is … 0.1 points toward Trump.“

      Number Crunchers Response- “ You are out of your friggin mind. State polling in RCP is closing Trump is le ahead in FL and OH. Tell me Einstein how many elections in the last 50 years has a candidate won FL and OH and lost? Try zero!

    202. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      How many more cases to stroke his ego? Super spreader event.

    203. JeffS says:

      So two cycles in a row the MSM pollsters get it wrong. Biggly. Might that help whomever the 2024 GOP nominee is? After 2016 and 2020 debacles many of us will be conditioned to totally ignore 2024 polls, accurate or not, and just vote. Might be good for an extra point or two. Thank you biased and/or inept pollsters!

    204. Hunter Biden's Crackwhore Brigade says:

      Gatorbillyjoel says:
      October 27, 2020 at 8:11 pm
      How many more cases to stroke his ego? Super spreader event.
      —————-

      You’re the expert on stroking it, pedo.

    205. Tina says:

      Mollie
      @MZHemingway
      ·
      9m
      Tony Bobolinski, the Biden family associate who has become a whistleblower, is on Tucker right now going through his firsthand knowledge about the Biden family operations, including Joe Biden’s participation — contra what Joe Biden has repeatedly claimed.

    206. Robbie says:

      jason says:
      October 27, 2020 at 7:37 pm
      ou’re a miserable person because you’re reveling and mocking me for losing my job.”

      Nah. I said you reap what you sow.

      Which is different.

      GFY.

      – Bullsh!t. You’re happy I lost my job because you don’t like the fact that I disagree with your views. You’re a miserable person, but I hope you never have to experience job loss.

    207. Stonewall DW says:

      Peoples_Pundit
      @Peoples_Pundit
      ·
      3m
      “I want to simply this for the American people as much as I can.”

      Bobulinksi said the May 13 email details how the Bidens will divvy up the money from the deal and that “the Big Guy” is
      @JoeBiden
      , who’s 10% cut was funneled through his brother Jim Biden’s 20% cut.

    208. Robbie says:

      lisab says:
      October 27, 2020 at 7:37 pm
      you’re reveling and mocking me for losing my job.
      ————————-

      just to be clear

      we are not mocking you because you lost your job … besides you are just furloughed

      we are mocking you because you are a sciolist

      – If you’re going to call me a socialist, at least spell the word correctly.

      Still, it’s laughable you call me a socialist. Of course, you’re the person who spent part of the Summer hoping American Airlines went bankrupt so I’m not surprised you would side with a miserable person like Jason.

      Also, I’m out of work. That means I’m not getting paid. But much like Jason, you seem to think that’s ok because you don’t like that I don’t share the views you do on some issues.

    209. Eric TV says:

      Listening to Tucker It’s VERY convoluted Not coming across to me as a bombshell but I’m trying to unravel
      It all

    210. Tina says:

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      · 5m
      Tony Bobulinski: I asked James Biden point blank at the Peninsula Hotel about how they were structuring all these deals and getting away with it without putting Joe Biden’s career at risk.

      “James Biden said, ‘Plausible deniability,’” Bobulinski said.

    211. Steant1965 says:

      It’s only hard to understand because you don’t want to understand. So I’ll simplify. Joe Biden made money off of his son’s foreign business dealing. And that includes with China. Joe Biden lied when he said he never discussed foreign business dealings with his son. See simple.

    212. Tina says:

      Joe for the money through Jim

      Jim got 20 percent.

      He turned 10 percent over to China Biden,

    213. Cash Cow TM says:

      By all accounts, Pelosi will retain her speakership of the House after Nov. 3.

      Trump looks like hw is headed to reelection by either a small EV win or a moderate blowout.

      Seems to me Trump/GOP needs to hammer the point home in these “tight” senate races that it makes no sense to vote for Trump and then turn around and vote for the D Senate candidate/ If the Senate switches to D majority, Pelosi gains the D Senate majority as an ally to thwart Trump.

      I hope the R Senate candidates are driving this point home to voters.

      In the Wash. D.C. TV area I am in there are ads up against freshman D congresswoman Abigale Spanberger tying her to the hip of Pelosi–she voted with Pelosi 91% of the time…”Vote for Spanberger is vote for Pelosi.”

      Very effective.

    214. Eric TV says:

      Why does Bobulinski suddenly now get a crisis of conscience? Yes–Joe pimped his son out out but wasn’t Bobulinski happy to take his finder’s fee? up until when?

    215. Country Dick Montana says:

      Spanberger is a gun grabber.

    216. Tina says:

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      3m
      Bobulinski: It’s disgusting that the Bidens lied about me and then had their allies smear me as a traitor working for Russia. I’m a former Naval officer. I have a patriotic duty to this country to give everyone the facts about what Joe Biden and Hunter Biden and James Biden did.

    217. Phil says:

      So tonight’s talking troll points are that Biden and Kamala are closing down Texas and Georgia? Oh, and Biden is closing in on Trump in Indiana?

      That’s what you came here with tonight? LOL

      While you’re here how about an update on the race in Missouri? Has Biden closed that Trump one point lead?

    218. Cash Cow TM says:

      WV did big mail in vote push due to Covid.

      WV also had an early voting period that has grown in popularity over the years.

      The lines for the past week and this week for EV have been very long. Most days it takes people
      1 and a half to 2 1/2 hours to stand in line to vote. EB continues through this coming Saturday.

      I think I will just go vote on Nov. 3 in my precinct where I might wait in line 10 minutes tops.

      In WV, Trump will win 60-40 or somewhere in that neighborhood.

    219. Stonewall DW says:

      Pollsters that show Trump leads:

      GA: Landmark Communications (+4), Emerson College (+1), Monmouth (+5), (4 ties)
      FL: Susquehanna (+5), Tyson Group (+2), Rasmussen (+4), Trafalgar (+2), Insider Advantage (+3), Democracy Institute (+4), Big Data Poll (+2), ABC News/Washington Post (+4), (2 ties)
      AZ: Susquehanna (+1), Big Data Poll (+3), Morning Consult (+1), Trafalgar (+4), Targoz (+1)
      NC: Trafalgar (+3), Rasmussen (+1), UMass-Lowell (+1) (3 ties)
      PA: Trafalgar (+1), Insider Advantage (+3)
      MI: Zia Polling (+4), Trafalgar (+2)
      WI: Big Data Poll (of indies +2), (1 tie)
      NH: Democracy Institute (+2)
      MN: Democracy Institute (+2)

    220. Gordon Allen says:

      I’ve paused this on TV after picking my jaw up from the floor. Watch Tucker Carlson interview the Biden ” whistle blower”. He has dates,times, people, documents about meetings with Joe Biden regarding the Chinese corporate connection. If the American people as a whole saw this Biden wouldn’t carry Vermont. It’s unbelievable that we live in a “Seven Days in May” environment and the media wholesale covers this up.
      I don’t want to hear another word about Trump’s character or tweets any more; the Biden’s make Trump look like mother Theresa. This is not a normal by election as some idiots maintain; this is a hostile takeover by a mob family and it’s cohorts.

    221. Tina says:

      It’s all Russian Disinformation.

      -China Biden

    222. Jeff G. says:

      Robbie, I’m sorry you’re out of work. After editing a news article this afternoon that mentioned the job losses in the airline industry, I took a couple minutes to pray for you and everyone like you in the travel and hospitality business. It’s horrible to see your industry crater overnight. I pray that a recovery comes soon.

    223. Scooterboy says:

      This Tucker Carlson show is a disaster for Joe Biden.

    224. Cash Cow TM says:

      If Biden somehow wins, the U.S. will become a Bidenana Republic.

    225. lisab says:

      we are mocking you because you are a sciolist

      – If you’re going to call me a socialist, at least spell the word correctly.

      Still, it’s laughable you call me a socialist.
      ——————————

      not socialist you idiot …

      can we get a dictionary on aisle five

    226. Stonewall DW says:

      National poll:

      OCT 25-26, 2020

      Emerson College

      1,121 LV

      Biden 51%
      Trump 47%

    227. Rudy G says:

      Big news coming tomorrow. Just give me one more day. It will be a bombshell that will shake this race at its core!

    228. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Will Chamberlain
      @willchamberlain
      ·
      1m
      WOW – Bobulinski sheds light on a Hunter Biden text message, which claimed that “my chairman” rejected proper good governance controls on the CEFC deal

      And then a text message from Rob Walker, Biden confidant, confirming that “my chairman” was Joe Biden

      IT’S IN THE TEXTS

    229. Hugh says:

      Now the slide for drooling joe is beginning in az. Chump chump!!

    230. Stonewall DW says:

      Peoples_Pundit
      @Peoples_Pundit
      ·
      4m
      No politician has ever been caught dead to rights like this. Not in my memory.
      Quote Tweet

      Ryan James Girdusky
      @RyanGirdusky
      · 5m
      Audio, emails, and text messages… this Bobulinski has everything

    231. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      BOOM

      Kelly (D) 53% (+7)
      McSally (R-inc) 46%

      Biden 52% (+7)
      Trump 45%

      Patinkin Research Strategies

      MICHIGAN
      Biden 49% (+7)
      Trump 42%

      Glengariff Group

    232. lisab says:

      Supreme Court Rejects Pandemic-Spurred Voting Changes in Wisconsin

      Mail-In ballots must arrive by Election Day in critical state, dealing Democrats a loss

    233. Hugh says:

      Florida blowout coming. Votes not fake polls. Chump Chump!!!

    234. Stonewall DW says:

      The troll forgot to check–that same Dem internal pollster in that AZ poll also polled Alaska to find Biden down only three there. As Barnes would say, it won’t wear well. They will look like fools in a week.

    235. Hugh says:

      Dems collapsing on predictit

    236. Phil says:

      Glengariff Group??

      Oh know! Not them!!

    237. eriepa says:

      Do you flip a coin to decide if you post as Rudy G or Gatorbillyjoel, not to mention Riden with Biden? You seem to save Baris for special occasions.

    238. Tina says:

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      2m
      How can Biden become President in light of this information, Tucker asks. How can he govern?

      “Biden is compromised by China,” Bobulinski states.

    239. Stonewall DW says:

      The prior Glengariff of MI was Biden +9

    240. Phil says:

      244

      He gets paid by the handle.

    241. Stonewall DW says:

      OCT 24-26, 2020

      Tarrance Group

      Peters 48%
      James 46%

    242. Country Dick Montana says:

      He doesn’t get paid by the handle. Be actually has all those personalities. When the election is over and assuming Trump wins he will come back as Paul. Obamacon and the rest will be history.

    243. eriepa says:

      247-Does H or the Big Guy get a cut?

    244. MichiganGuy says:

      Joe Biden Calls Sen. Harris’ Husband, Doug Emhoff, “Kamala’s Wife”
      .
      https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=bnoSYvoUzfw
      .
      Kamala has a wife. Who knew? LOL

    245. mnw says:

      Stonewall

      “The same AZ pollster also found Trump only up by 3 points in AK”?

      Well…THAT must also be the same pollster GJB cited previously who had Biden “only 1-2 points behind Trump in MO!”… right, pedo Billy?

    246. Scooterboy says:

      M. Joseph Sheppard- “ Massive change if that holds. This is the GOP’s toughest demographic (or was)

      “He trails with black women 79/19” (Louisiana)

      (nationwide) turnout for Clinton was higher among black women than black men, with Hillary earning 94% of the female black vote (4% for Trump)

    247. Pitchaboy says:

      SloJo crashing and burning Predictit. FL gone, NC going and AZ struggling.

    248. Tina says:

      Breaking

      According to Jack Posobiec, After hearing tonight’s Tucker interview, Mitchie has callled Trump.

    249. SoHope says:

      Patinkin Research Strategies
      Our firm has worked to elect dozens of Democratic candidates across the country, passed numerous statewide ballot measure campaigns – from expanding voting rights to passing minimum wage and paid sick leave, conducted research on behalf of government agencies, labor unions, and non-profit organizations…

    250. Jeff Toobin says:

      Hey, anyone want to fap with me?

      fap fap fap

    251. lisab says:

      According to Jack Posobiec, After hearing tonight’s Tucker interview, Mitchie has callled Trump.

      ——————

      what is the significance of that?

    252. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Minority leader Mitch can’t do crap

    253. Tina says:

      Probably who to fire, after Trump is re elected.

      Sdny officials

      Wrong Wray.

    254. SoHope says:

      Sounds like a very reputable polling agency

    255. eriepa says:

      Majority leader Mitch does judges. ACB anyone

    256. Glenda says:

      What time does the election start?

    257. Bubulinski says:

      Just popped in to say.. YOU’RE WELCOME

      I am a f*cking God. worship ME

    258. Hugh says:

      Dems crashing on predictit. Chump chump!!!

    259. wheelz91 says:

      WOW!!!! That video at the Trump rally in Omaha regarding
      the suburbs and defunding the police was really effective.
      That should play nationwide.

    260. eriepa says:

      The looters in Philly are obeying the signs in the window of the store they are looting by wearing face masks. Impressive, St Anthony of Fauci would appove.

    261. jaichind says:

      google search for “Bobulinski” for the 9pm EST period spiked was the same as the google search for “Joe Biden” around that time. It seems a bunch of people were watching the interview

    262. jaichind says:

      268. That’s right. At least they are keeping everyone else safe and not spreading the virus as they do their necessary looting

    263. Phil says:

      Oh look, basement boy just added a new handle.

    264. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Watching Rump in Nebraska (!!) tonight is just sad. He seems so low energy tonight. Someone must have broke the news to him about his numbers.

    265. eriepa says:

      271-It was a lame post to introduce the new handle.

    266. Tina says:

      29,000 people at Nebraska rally

      It’s freezing.

    267. eriepa says:

      Gatorrudybiden-the only Rump youre watching is your boyfriend’s

    268. MichiganGuy says:

      WALMART LOOTED: Looters run in and out of a Walmart with TVs and other electronics in Philadelphia’s Port Richmond neighborhood as the city experiences another night of unrest after the shooting of Walter Wallace.
      .
      https://twitter.com/FOX29philly/status/1321255275471474689?s=19
      .
      New law in Pennsylvania whenever a police officer shoots a black man you are entitled to a free TV. Bitter approves of the new law. LOL

    269. Phi says:

      Yep, Trump Is finally wearing down trying to keep up wth Joe’s breakneck pace.

    270. John says:

      Where’s Ridenbiden? Busy sucking his boyfriends dick

    271. Jeff G. says:

      Whether he wins or loses next week, right now Trump is having the time of his life.

    272. John says:

      He went to Philly to suck all the thugs dicks. He has a fetish for thug dick

    273. Robbie says:

      Jeff G. says:
      October 27, 2020 at 8:43 pm
      Robbie, I’m sorry you’re out of work. After editing a news article this afternoon that mentioned the job losses in the airline industry, I took a couple minutes to pray for you and everyone like you in the travel and hospitality business. It’s horrible to see your industry crater overnight. I pray that a recovery comes soon.

      – I appreciate that. It’s kind of you. Fortunately, I’m in a position where I can go without work for a while, but more than a few of those with whom I work or have worked can’t. They really need the help.

      Being without a job certainly creates a sense of worthlessness.

    274. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      280 – stop bringing Lindsey Graham into this.

    275. eriepa says:

      Gatoebillyjoel- Im thinking you are 278 and 280

    276. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      You also think Rump is going to win, so being correct isn’t your thing

      John is clearly phils. Same deranged language. I think dave finally blocked phils.

    277. eriepa says:

      Incorrect, when was Biden declared President-Elect?

    278. Tina says:

      Breaking

      Biden has called a lid for tomorrow in light of the Tucker bombshells.

    279. jaichind says:

      Philly looting will be reported by MSM as misguided youth engages in undocumented shopping

    280. Cash Cow TM says:

      Walt went to start 4 weeks of physical therapy today. In the waiting room was a Time magazine that had an article on states’ voting rules on various things including mail-in ballots. Many now allow ballots to be received and counted past Election Day on Nov. 3.

      Here is a partial list.
      [* = state allows people to register on election day.]

      Mail-in ballots must be received by Nov 23!!:
      WA*

      Must be received by Nov. 20!!:
      CA*

      By Nov. 17!:
      IL*

      By Nov. 13!:
      AK*
      D.C.*
      MD*
      OH

      By Nov. 12!:
      NC

      By Nov. 10!:
      NV*
      NJ
      NY

      By Nov. 9!:
      IA
      WV

      By Nov. 6:
      KS
      KY
      MA
      PA
      VA