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    Bullock Leads Daines in MT, Graham/Harrison Tied in SC, Dems Dominate in MN

    Right now The Hedgehog Report Poll Watch shows Republicans on the verge of dropping down to 47 seats in the US Senate once the final races in Georgia are settled and this afternoon we received two polls that could put an additional two GOP seats in play that are part of those 47 seats. Public Policy Polling is showing Republican Steve Daines trailing in Montana while a new Data for Progress poll in South Carolina has the US Senate race tied.

    US SENATE – MONTANA (PPP)
    Steve Bullock (D) 49%
    Steve Daines (R-inc) 48%

    US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (DFP)
    Lindsey Graham (R-inc) 46%
    Jaime Harrison (D) 46%

    The PPP poll was done October 26-27 among 886 voters wile the DFP poll was done October 22-27 among 1196 likely voters. Meanwhile a new poll from RABA Research in Iowa shows another state Trump won in 2016 on the verge of moving over to Biden.

    PRESIDENT – IOWA (RABA)
    Joe Biden (D) 50%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    This poll was done October 21-24 among 693 likely voters. And it looks like the longshot hope of Minnesota being in play for Trump is further from reality in a new poll from Gravis Marketing.

    PRESIDENT – MINNESOTA (Gravis)
    Joe Biden (D) 53%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

    US SENATE – MINNESOTA (Gravis)
    Tina Smith (D-inc) 53%
    Jason lewis (R) 39%

    This poll was done October 24-26 among 657 likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 10:01 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (293)

    293 Responses to “Bullock Leads Daines in MT, Graham/Harrison Tied in SC, Dems Dominate in MN”

    1. Big Joe says:

      Primero

      BJ

    2. Big Joe says:

      Gov. Bullock was able to win state-wide in 2016 while President Trump was winning by 20 points. There were plenty of Trump/Bullock voters.

      Doubt that can be repeated though. Still interesting.

      Rick Scott pulled it off in 2018. Montana is not Florida though.

      BJ

    3. Smack says:

      https://www.predictit.org/

      Tipping point states of NC, PA and Arizona are all moving toward Trump.

    4. Hugh says:

      Blowout coming. Seems like our trolls are losing hope.

    5. CG says:

      HHR Election Prediction Contest 2020 is going to be Epic!!!

      Cash prizes for 1st place? Maybe our host Dave will just give a formal shout out to the winner…

    6. Phil says:

      The PPP Bullock poll also shows Trump winning the state 49-47.

      Trash it.

    7. Waingro says:

      Baris has Biden up 47.2 to 46.5 in PA. It’s gonna be close!

      https://twitter.com/peoples_pundit/status/1321276774370738178?s=21

    8. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      A week to go and a sea of blue? What a beautiful sight!

      I hadn’t seen the MN polling yet. I expected a 8-10 point win in MN for Biden, so this even exceeds my expectations. Doing that well in MN all but guarantees a win in Iowa as well.

    9. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      7 – ouch! Not even Baris can find a lead for Rump in PA. LOL, how sad for you all.

    10. CG says:

      Minnesota?

      Iowa?

      Hell, he’s focused on not losing Nebraska (2)

    11. Baris says:

      I couldn’t get enough right people. I promise, my next poll will include all of the right people. I just need a little more money. I have a good feeling about the next poll. Trump +5 I’m thinking. Thoughts?

      Pennsylvania is red. No doubt about it.

      Send money please.

    12. Cash Cow TM says:

      Walt went to start 4 weeks of physical therapy today. In the waiting room was a Time magazine that had an article on states’ voting rules on various things including mail-in ballots. Many now allow ballots to be received and counted past Election Day on Nov. 3.

      Here is a partial list.
      [* = state allows people to register on election day.]

      Mail-in ballots must be received by Nov 23!!:
      WA*

      Must be received by Nov. 20!!:
      CA*

      By Nov. 17!:
      IL*

      By Nov. 13!:
      AK*
      D.C.*
      MD*
      OH

      By Nov. 12!:
      NC

      By Nov. 10!:
      NV*
      NJ
      NY

      By Nov. 9!:
      IA
      WV

      By Nov. 6:
      KS
      KY
      MA
      PA
      VA

    13. Phil says:

      Nebraska 2 was way closer last time than Iowa and somewhat closer than Minnesota.

    14. Big Joe says:

      If Biden flips MI and WI but not PA, then..

      A Biden win in Arizona = 269-269 tie.

      NE-2 then becomes the tipping point electoral vote.

      That would be wild.

      BJ

    15. Tina says:

      The Nebraska rally backdoors into iowa.

      Even Senator Ernst was present,

    16. CG says:

      The numbers show he lost MN by almost 2 last time and won NE 2 by 2 points. (Iowa was a nine point win but seems to have swung strongly against him.)

      Going all the way and having to give a big speech in Omaha for 1 electoral vote this late in the game is a pretty big step. Clearly, he is having to defend ground that he won last time. NE 2 is a district that Romney won by over 7 points. Trump has massive problems in the suburbs.

    17. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Biden will win New Hampshire by ten points.

    18. Tina says:

      Seems like the blue checkers for China Biden are concerned about Miami Dades ev.

    19. CG says:

      At least Ben Sasse had the good political sense to stay away

    20. Smack says:

      Biden better hope he is clear of Trump by 2% in PA going into tonight….because what is happening in Philly will cost Biden lots of votes.

    21. CG says:

      I guess Mike Pence going to South Carolina today was about North Carolina….

    22. Smack says:

      https://mobile.twitter.com/WillontheRadio/status/1321284091757662209

      Trump couldn’t have asked for a better political TV AD in final week before Election Day in PA.

    23. Tina says:

      The Clinton Groupie is still sad that Hillary ain’t President.

    24. Phil says:

      …..and Biden has slippage of Clinton’s margins among blacks and Hispanics.

    25. Tina says:

      Gov wolf where are you?

      SV News Police cars revolving light
      @SVNewsAlerts
      · 28m
      DEVELOPING: Multiple people including reporters have been shot and/or assaulted during looting & riots currently in #Philadelphia—at least 3 dead with no National Guard in sight.

    26. Phil says:

      No, Tina. He’s clearly not over it.

    27. Tina says:

      Yup, Phil, the blue check markers are upset with the 30 point drop off in Miami dade for China Biden,

    28. CG says:

      If Hillary were President today, an actual conservative and an actual Republican would be primed for a landslide win, perhaps even bigger than the one Biden looks primed for. Just think of all those judges that could be in the future..

      Instead, we are going to get court packing on the SCOTUS, rendering the Trump picks moot because it was more important to give Trump a momentary victory than thinking long term.

    29. Smack says:

      https://mobile.twitter.com/BNONews/status/1321284793816985602

      WOW!

      Lots of people unknowingly sabotaging Biden’s PA Campaign tonight in Philly.

    30. Tina says:

      Will the fib now raid Hunter and Jim .bidens residences?

      Wow, ant wait to see Tucker’s ratings.

      5-7 million easy.

    31. DW says:

      Baris poll is good considering its D plus 5

    32. CG says:

      Maybe the long-awaited Michelle Obama “Whitey” tape will surface and save the election for Trump. There’s still time.

    33. Smack says:

      CG,

      Look down by your feet…you dropped a white pearl. You need to stop clutching so hard.

    34. jason says:

      ust think of all those judges that could be in the future..”

      LOL

      I would rather think of the 300 federal judges and 3 SCOTUS judges of the PRESENT>

    35. Phil says:

      As Baris says, it comes down to the rust belt. None of Trump’s other states are flipping. Trump needs one of Michigan or Pa for a clear win and either Minnesota or Wisconsin to get to a 269-269 tie. Nebraska 2 gets him to 270.

      That’s the math

    36. Tina says:

      Bobulinkski is a whistleblower.

      He brought the receipts.

      Biden has already called a lid for tomorrow.

    37. Phil says:

      Another lid?

      Geez

      Helluva campaign you’re running there, Joe.

    38. CG says:

      341-197 was of tonight.

      We will see what develops

    39. CG says:

      *as of

      Sorry, typo must indicate dementia.

    40. Tina says:

      Nobody cares.

      Return to your basement

    41. Smack says:

      Tina,

      Where are you seeing this on Biden’s lid?

    42. Phil says:

      I think she was just kidding.

    43. Tina says:

      Andrew Clark Jack-o-lantern
      @AndrewHClark
      ·
      54m
      An hour after a bombshell interview with a witness with credible allegations that Joe Biden is a stone cold corrupt liar…

      …Biden campaign says he will not be on the campaign trail tomorrow.

    44. Phil says:

      Damn, I thought she was kidding!

      This is bad.

    45. Tina says:

      Riley Snyder
      @RileySnyder
      · 1h
      2020 is the first election in which Nevada has a same-day voting registration system in place, and so far Republicans are outpacing Democrats in ‘same-day’ registrations & voting – 5,600 Rs to 4,914 Ds (plus 3,550 other)
      https://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9076

    46. CG says:

      I do not think things claimed on various Twitter accounts are necessarily true. I am certain that if Biden is seen on television tomorrow holding an event, that you will be quick to point it out.

    47. jason says:

      If Hillary were President today, an actual conservative and an actual Republican would be primed for a landslide win.”

      Who? Jeb Bush?

      After saying any far leftist was better than Trump, you have forfeited any claim to being “a conservative”.

      You are not a conservative, you are a “we are all Dems now” Never Trumper moron. EVERY former Never Trumper here is voting for Trump this time around, because we understand what the stakes are.

      1) Anti-Police
      2) Pro-Looting
      3) Sieze retirement savings
      4) Sieze guns
      5) Pro-illegal immigration
      6) Rural America must bail out the failed Democrat cities
      7) If you are not a person of color, you are a racist whether you want to be or not.
      8) Pro-mutilation of young children
      9) Open prison doors and let them all go free
      10) End the free speech of anyone who dissents
      11) Anti-National Anthem
      12) Pro-Mail out ballots to all people: citizens, non-citizens, living, and dead.
      13) Pro-anarchy
      14) Pro-cancel culture
      15) Pro-rationing of gov’t controlled healthcare
      16) Pro-Force taxpayers to pay off student loan debt instead of the students who took the loans.
      17) Pro-“Green” new deal to devastate the economy with crippling regulations and destroy the energy industry.
      18) Pro-“Republicans are enemies of the state” (so aim your weapons at them carefully)
      19) Endless mob violence unless you vote Democrats into office
      20) Pro-never ending shut downs to keep everyone under government control
      21) Pro-send millions of jobs back to China
      22) Pro-never ending of jobless benefits
      23) Pro-living wage
      24) DC to become 51st state
      25) Anti-Peace in the middle east
      26) Pro-sex with minors
      27) Anti-vaccine until after the election.
      28) Pro-replacing lower court system with lynch mobs.
      29) Pro-Packing the SCOTUS with commies
      30) Promised to BAN fracking
      31) Promise to END THE OIL INDUSTRY

      That is what you get with Biden. Actually, you know what you are getting is Kamala Harris.

    48. Tina says:

      He is getting a briefing on covid,

      Then giving a speech later in covid from the Delaware basement

      But we were told that he has a detailed covid plan ans judging by obumblercare, he was not able,to lower healtcare costs.

      This is a waste for him, as was sending him last week to Ohio, ot today to Georgial

    49. lisab says:

      341-197 was of tonight.
      ———————-

      that was corey’s/robbie’s 2016 prediction too

    50. jason says:

      Corey couldn’t resist the urge to troll here after saying “he would not engage in this forum”.

      What a mindless little turd.

    51. Phil says:

      Probably won’t matter, Tina. There are 200,000 ballots floating around Clark County that I’m sure the culinary workers are feverishly filling out as we speak.

    52. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      The election is over. The American people, through the record early vote, are sending a deafening message to Rump and his ilk that we are taking America back.

    53. Sean says:

      FYI – Baris initial results had 54-46 Female/Male when his targets were 52-48. Guessing he will mention that on his show tomorrow, that he thinks Trump has the momentum and is probably up just a hair but really it’s about turnout.

    54. Phil says:

      Will he be answering questions tomorrow?

      LOL

      Just kidding. We all know the answer to that one, don’t we.

    55. jason says:

      341-197 was of tonight.”

      Like I said, it is like 2016, not a prediction but a wish list.

      Corey knew in 2016 that Hillary was not winning OH, and he knows Biden is not winning FL this time around.

      If he said 290-248, it would be credible. Anything less than that is a wish list.

    56. CG says:

      I never said I would never engage here. I just do not do it much. Robbie should consider dialing it back at well. You folks will never accept him.

      But be honest, do you really want me to leave tonight now?

      Somehow, I think you want me to stay around.

      I just want to focus purely on the electoral result aspect of these discussions. I am not trying to convince any of you that your politically suicidal worship of Donald Trump is a bad idea.

    57. CG says:

      I think Biden is probably going to win Florida and Ohio is a Tossup that I am giving to Trump.. for now

    58. eriepa says:

      Election over, come on man, you can vote in California and Washington well into late November, we have another month left!

    59. Phil says:

      Yes, a deafening message, basement boy.

      Deafening I say!

    60. Tina says:

      This is where we are at.

      Matt Wolking (Text TRUMP to 88022)
      @MattWolking
      ·
      1h
      Joe Biden will be hiding from reporters tomorrow following the explosive interview from a whistleblower who came forward with overwhelming evidence about the Biden family’s lies and foreign business dealings

    61. lisab says:

      be honest, do you really want me to leave tonight now?
      ——————-

      yes 🙂

    62. jason says:

      The bottom just dropped out for Biden on Predictit for FL.

      Corey, hurry over there, you can make some money if you think Biden will win FL.

      NC too.

    63. Annie says:

      53. Haven’t you heard? The people you support don’t want to “take America back” (was it ever only theirs?)…They claim they want to “fundamentally change” the USA into something very different.

    64. Phil says:

      Florida?

      Cue up a repeat 2016 election night disappointment for our Bush groupie.

    65. jason says:

      Ohio is a Tossup that I am giving to Trump.. for now”

      Hurry up, Trump is about a 3-1 favorite in OH, cash in while the going is good.

    66. CG says:

      Needles to say though, Biden does not need FL and NC at this point.

      In my view, Wisconsin and Michigan are already gone. I would say it will all come down to Pennsylvania, where it looks like Biden is ahead and that would be the ballgame. However, I also think Arizona is basically gone for Trump as well.

      The suspense will likely be over the EC size of the win.

      We will see what happens. As I said, I look forward to Dave’s HHR Prediction Contest.

    67. Tina says:

      Actually, Sundance from cth (he is a Florida resident) has predicted thst Florida 2020 is like Ohio 2016.

      Won by a bigger margin by Trump than polling suggested.

      Judging by the concern noted by the Biden blue check markers tonight, this could be the case.

      I still think it’s trump 2 to 3.

    68. jason says:

      As I have saying here for months, I think Trump will win FL by a bigger margin than 2016.

      The problem is getting from 248, which I think he has, to 270.

    69. CG says:

      Calling me a “Bush Groupie” as opposed to “Clinton Groupie” is like a million percent more accurate, so props for that!

    70. Phil says:

      Apparently he thinks SC is fertile Biden territory now based on an earlier post. He will make a fortune on that state.

    71. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      67 – I couldn’t agree more! Finally some common sense on this site. People on here are talking about MN and NV switching. LOL

    72. CG says:

      Somebody claimed Trump might flip Virginia earlier today…

    73. NYCmike says:

      “CG” is always welcome here….it is always good to see a fellow person of G-D.

      Biden-Harris will fulfill his G-D-fearing wishes with their compassionate policies.

    74. Tina says:

      Calling you a despondent Hillary voter is most accurate though,

    75. NYCmike says:

      lisab is sitting back, without a dog in this fight, licking her chops at the potential for the “CG” comments for the next 4 years.

      What will FATE say about that?

    76. CG says:

      I know you all are boycotting sports these days, but it looks like the Dodgers are three outs away from winning their first title since 1988.

      The last time the Rays were in the World Series and lost, the Democrats took over the White House, and that was very sad for me.

      When the Dodgers last won in 88 (right after the Lakers also won in 88), the election went last to a Vice President.

    77. Bitterlaw says:

      Corey has not been this wrong since he picked Justin Guarrini to beat Kelly Clarkson.

    78. NYCmike says:

      Denny Hastert seems to have really left his mark on “CG”.

    79. jason says:

      Needles to say though, Biden does not need FL and NC at this point.”

      This is true.

      But as we know, this things move in tandem. If Trump wins FL and NC easily then he will probably do better than the polls expect in PA, MI, WI, etc.

      The betting markets are nervous. Biden is only a narrow favorite now in PA and AZ.

      The momentum seems to be with Trump at this point. The Hunter scandal will pretty much ensure it will stay that way until Tuesday.

    80. CG says:

      I did not vote for Hillary. Ridiculous to claim otherwise.

      Yes, I did vote for Biden and that surprised even me. Full disclosure and all.

      Not thrilled about it but at least he’s not Hillary… .and definitely not Trump.

    81. Tina says:

      Funny, I called the blob a pedo back in 2006.

    82. CG says:

      I definitely picked Kelly Clarkson to win that Finale.

    83. jason says:

      Gator Troll has found a soulmate.

      LOL

      It was lonely for the poor bastard here.

    84. jason says:

      Biden is scum.

    85. Phil says:

      Clinton groupie

      Bush groupie

      Politically not a helluva lot of difference, my friend. Same entitled elitist establishment tribe.

      BTW, the ‘’Doesn’t need Florida and NC” sounds really familiar. Where did I hear that one before? Hmm.

    86. Tina says:

      Two Az rallies tomorrow

      The bullhead rally is 3 miles from Laughlin Nevada.

      He could add on rallies in Nevada tomorrow.

      He may be overnighting in Nevada tonight

    87. PresidentPaul! says:

      I think the new SC justice will be the reason trump carries PA.

      I remember listening to idiots in 15 and 2016 saying Garland should get a vote since he was supposedly a moderate.l but mcconnell was having none of that nonesense.

    88. Tina says:

      Same tribe,

      Open borders

      For, amnesty

      Pro endless wars.

      Pro outsourcing to China,

    89. Phil says:

      Tina, exactly.

    90. Tina says:

      I am just hoping that Acb is an upgrade compared to,Souter 2.0

      Leave it to the bushes to give us two sheotty Sc justices, Souter and Souter 2.0.

    91. lisab says:

      lisab is sitting back, without a dog in this fight, licking her chops at the potential for the “CG” comments for the next 4 years.
      ——————–

      shhhhhhhhhh … lol

    92. Tina says:

      Lol

      Shem Horne
      @Shem_Infinite
      ·
      12m
      It’s clear now that the laptop repair store owner should have hired a foreign spy to write up a dossier about the laptop if they wanted the media and the FBI to pay attention to it.

    93. Bitterlaw says:

      I have always hated the Dodgers. However, sticking it to Author is worth it. Suck it, Mendez.

    94. lisab says:

      Corey has not been this wrong since he picked Justin Guarrini to beat Kelly Clarkson.
      ————————

      right … you don’t own sweaters

    95. Annie says:

      61. Tina…
      What has become apparent to just about everyone, other than the most delusional Biden supporters, is that he has lied constantly to Americans. Most people who have followed Biden’s long career have known he was corrupt for decades, that he sold out his country for personal gain. We knew about the touching and sniffing of women and children. We knew how incredibly stupid Biden is and his history of plagiarism and overly-embellishing his history. We knew about his racist remarks and very short list of any policy accomplishments, as well as the frequent flip-flops for political pandering. But, it is Biden’s constant lying while looking directly at us that is his political sin. I can just picture Biden’s circle of advisors and sycophants sitting around deciding to cynically claim the laptop and Bobulinski revelations were just typical “smears” and the work of that tried and true boogeyman “Russian disinformation.” Biden has no respect for the American people at all.

    96. lisab says:

      Yes, I did vote for Biden and that surprised even me.
      ———————

      i know we were all shocked … shocked i tell you!

    97. Bitterlaw says:

      I do not own any sweaters.

    98. Tina says:

      Yes, I voted for Hillary in 2016.

      -Jebot

    99. lisab says:

      right … and we believe you

    100. CG says:

      I never understood the issue with sweaters on here.

      After all, even your boy Big T has been known to wear them

      https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5986555/Donald-Trump-wanted-FREE-portrait-Melania-says-renowned-painter-Ralph-Wolfe-Cowan.html

    101. NYCmike says:

      “even your boy Big T”

      -Yeah, there’s something going on here……get help, “CG”.

    102. Bitterlaw says:

      I wanted a vote on Garland so the Senate could vote him down AND take away the arguments that were eventually made against Gorsuch and ACB.

    103. PresidentPaul! says:

      Id personally like trump to spend more time in NC AND Iowa bc if biden wins having a dem senate is a terrifying prospect.

      Biden was actually in iowa bc hes prioritizing the senate races since winning without the senate means hes a lame duck.

    104. PresidentPaul! says:

      Too risky. Graham, mccain etc would have all supported SC Justice garland.

    105. marc says:

      So now the lemming David Wishing is making race changes based on partisan polls from PPP that show Trump winning Montana by by 2 points. Interesting the lemming didn’t post those numbers.

      What a joke that guy is

    106. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Smart man

    107. Tina says:

      Nicole Sganga
      @NicoleSganga
      · 52m
      NEW: In the last 48 hours of campaign travel, President Trump plans to host 11 rallies in 10 states, a senior campaign official tells @CBSNews.

    108. Bitterlaw says:

      Dave posts polls regardless of which candidate leads. Always has. Always will.

      Come on, marc. Step up and show us pro-Trump polls.

    109. marc says:

      Might has well have the Democrats winning Kansas and South Carolina to eh lemming?

    110. PresidentPaul! says:

      Yep winning biden winning the presidency without the senate means deflation and terrible four years for biden.

      Hence the presidency will likely be determined by PA.

      But the actual race is in Iowa and NC not pennsylvania which by comparison doesnt really matter.

    111. CG says:

      Bitterlaw,

      Direct question to you.

      Do you think Trump will win reelection?

    112. Bitterlaw says:

      So, no polls, Marc? Got it.

    113. Tina says:

      Tucker’s bombshell interview is being replayed at 12 am est.

    114. CG says:

      Biden just Tweeted, “Great day for Brooklyn”

      No, not really, but I bet you would have believed it.

    115. Bitterlaw says:

      Trump has a 55% chance of winning. I think he loses PA by less than 75,000 votes.

    116. marc says:

      NO need for polls check the votes already cast in Florida and Arizona Bitter, stop being a bitch like Corey

    117. CG says:

      So, 55% equates to yes. Thanks for the response.

    118. Tina says:

      I actually believe that Biden has been asleep now for six hours.

    119. CG says:

      Logistically though, Pennsylvania seems more in reach than Michigan or Wisconsin.

      If he loses PA, he has probably lost the other two and its all academic.

    120. Annie says:

      112. “Biden winning the presidency without the senate means deflation and terrible four years for Biden.”

      He’d still have a pen and a phone…and the ability to reverse much of Trump’s work that helped our economy through executive orders.

    121. PresidentPaul! says:

      To be a trump presidency or Biden presidency with a GOP senate isn’t that different.

      The asymmetrical risk lies with Biden presidency with a dem senate.

      Another way to phrase that this race will actually be fought in Iowa and NC. PA is a second tier state in it in that sense although it gets all the credit.

    122. Bitterlaw says:

      Marc- Zzzzzzzzzzz. I said Trump has a better chance to win than Biden. Wash the Trump taste out of your mouth and GFY.

    123. CG says:

      I remember in 2018, all the talk here about early voting, especially as it related to Arizona and Nevada and the claims that it was tremendously good news for McSally and Heller, both of whom lost. (and I predicted a McSally win then)

      If the early votes are not being tabulated, how can anyone necessarily be certain who those votes are going for?

    124. Tina says:

      Wolf has no national guard in position

      Even if he did, 100 guardsmen are not enough.

      What an idiot.

    125. PresidentPaul! says:

      I didnt mention arizona bc i expect mcsally to lose.

      I think GOP can win iowa and NC though.

    126. CG says:

      Also, in regards to the “Shy Trump Vote” that so many of you seem to be counting on…

      How come Republican Senate candidates are also polling poorly, and in some cases, even worse than Trump.

      Are the voters even shyer for the Senators?

    127. Bitterlaw says:

      I never accept the idea that if one state goes one way then another has to follow it. Trump could lose PA and still win WI, MI and Arizona. Or, he could win PA and Arizona and lose MI and WI……

    128. Annie says:

      Biden has been making the Polish-Americans of Michigan and Wisconsin really upset recently, with a bad joke about their intelligence and stating that Poland is under totalitarian control (kind of a reverse of Gerald Ford’s 1976 flub). And, now, claiming Bobulinski is working for the Russians…

    129. marc says:

      Its sad to see how weak and feckless you have become. I wish you had this must passion against the Democrats than you do against Trump Bitter

    130. Tina says:

      Has silverfish re weighted this result?

      Quote Tweet

      Political Polls
      @PpollingNumbers
      · 7h
      RCP moved FL in Trump’s column

    131. PresidentPaul! says:

      Watching gammons newest video at the moment.

      Bretton Woods 2.0: The IMF Plan For Total Control!! (Shocking New Intel)

      https://youtu.be/Nl1QkbvZpaM

    132. CG says:

      If the comments here are any indication “Trump Wuz Robbed” wing of the party might launch some pretty bad attack ads against Bitterlaw in his Congressional primary race.

    133. marc says:

      Bitch boy Corey why don’t you ask Senator Nelson and Gov Gullim about the early vote

    134. PresidentPaul! says:

      Cg- did you see CNN’s poll saying andrew gillum would win florida by >10 points making even some poll doubters think well maybe gillum will win.

      ….nope

      These polls are as fake as the fake news people pay their cable providers to watch.

    135. marc says:

      Funny how you mention only those two races and leave out the 10 others we run. Typically of a Bill Kristol l ike hypocrite

    136. Bitterlaw says:

      Marc came out of exile to fight with me? I said I am voting for Trump. I said I think Trump has a better chance than Biden of winning.

    137. Tina says:

      They are being deployed

      But they are not on the streets.

      100 ain’t enough, even if they were on the streets.

    138. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Republicans on here still tink they are going to win NM and CO. Delusion city.

    139. Tina says:

      ELIJAH SCHAFFER
      @ElijahSchaffer
      · 33m
      BREAKING: Philadelphia police have completely lost control of the affected rioting region which stretches multiple city blocks

      Looters have broken into more than 30+ stores and are attacking white people

      They are also shooting each other. I’ve only witnessed one arrest

    140. CG says:

      The two FL races in 2018 were tossups in the final polls and the results were very much within the MOE.

      The GOP did better in those races than they did in any other competitive state and that speaks highly towards how they were able to accomplish it (I had mentioned that Jeb Bush campaigned for both DeSantis and Scott which caused a lot of Republican voters down on Trump to stick with them.)

      I think there are other factors at play. Biden is nowhere near as polarizing as Gillum and Scott heavily outspent Nelson in that campaign, and Biden is heavily outspending Trump in this one.

      Just in regards to the early vote though in FL in 2018, I believe the Republicans would not have won based just on the early vote. The early vote this year is obviously higher.

      I think Florida will probably be close next week

    141. Yvgeney says:

      Most excellent postings, Companya Annie.

      You are a most good American Freedom Patriot.

    142. PresidentPaul! says:

      I dont understand how anyone could be dumb enough to vote Biden lmao.

    143. Bitterlaw says:

      This is nowhere as bad as the Spring violence. Thankfully. I will never understand how destroying black neighborhoods helps black people.

    144. marc says:

      Tina the police should just like the Democrat base riot, give voters a preview of things to come when the BLM terrorist don’t get their way

    145. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      I guess Rump kissers have moved on from the “laptop from hell” to trying to stir up racial tensions on social media in a desperate last attempt to win votes. Always count on Rump to try and divide people on race.

    146. CG says:

      I see we are back at the Kellyanne Conway proclamation that riots and looting are good for Trump.

    147. CG says:

      Tell Her About It! Gatorbillyjoel…

      (Sorry, I have just been waiting to use that line)

    148. PresidentPaul! says:

      True. Plus The corporations there are all supporting it anyways so the looting really shouldnt be an issue for them.

    149. Tina says:

      And the China Biden crime family attacked this veteran.

      Tweet
      See new Tweets
      Conversation
      Hans Mahncke Retweeted

      Andy McCarthy
      @AndrewCMcCarthy
      Bobulinski a very credible witness: smart, sensible motivation (outraged that he was implicated in purported Russian disinfo), challenged people to read the documentary corroboration and question other witnesses. Tucker did great job fading to black and letting witness narrate.
      6

    150. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      149. It is really sad to see. The Republican Party used to have ideas that they would run on. They were bad ideas, but at least they had them.

    151. CG says:

      The Republican Party traditionally has been on the right side of history and the issues which is why I have always been one and hope in a week from now start seeing the party return to the standard and wash away the stench of this era.

      It may not happen overnight or all that quickly, but I will choose to be optimistic that once Trump is gone, Trumpism will be gone forever.

    152. John says:

      Do I sense Democrat panic in the Silver State….D’s lead cut in half….
      https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3

    153. PresidentPaul! says:

      “Jim Hoft
      FYI – We’re posting the photos in the AM.“

    154. PresidentPaul! says:

      I voted against GWB, Mccain and Romney bc they were dog poo candidates.

      But Trump is very good.

    155. CG says:

      bunu (PresidentPaul) was once the punching bag of this comment section(sometimes unfairly using extreme allegations and rhetoric) but now that you are all on the same page on Trump, he is the de facto leader of the comment section. Crazy how things work, but that’s the way you all became the bunu bunch.

    156. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Feels like the IQ level of this board has doubled tonight.

    157. NYCmike says:

      “The Republican Party traditionally has been on the right side of history and the issues which is why I have always been one and hope in a week from now start seeing the party return to the standard and wash away the stench of this era.”

      -I wonder what will become of the Middle East peace process Trump has pushed.

      Odd that “CG” never mentions the events, or lack thereof, happening in that part of the world.

    158. CG says:

      I think that just might be because PhilS and his Russian IP address are apparently banned.

    159. NYCmike says:

      Oh Lord!

      Russians!

    160. CG says:

      There’s a long way to go until we will have peace in the Middle East. The enemies of Israel are still around. Hopefully, we can all see that day.

      Incidentally, while I gave credit for the other stuff, this thing with Sudan appears to be a sham. The “deal” has to be approved by some legislative body in Sudan that does not even exist in order for it to become “official.”

      I also note, that Bibi was on the phone with Trump who invited him to attack “Sleepy Joe” for the press, and Bibi refused to do so, and Trump got so upset, he abruptly ended the event shortly after.

      Bibi knows Biden is going to be President.

    161. Bunu Bunch says:

      Trump 2020!

      Jews will not replace us!

      Sincerely,
      Fine People .. standing by.

    162. liasb says:

      #158 oh boy … corey is still stupid

    163. wheelz91 says:

      I’m sorry to say I live in Illinois but Corey sure has lost
      his mind since Trump was elected. I used to enjoy when he
      posted. At least I’m in a county in Illinois that will vote 70-30 for Trump.
      I really can’t believe that someone who claims they are a conservative wants the socialist party to govern and don’t say Biden is a moderate because hens not and is just a puppet or the insane left.
      And I saw a post earlier that said “ I don’t want to hear one more bad thing about Trump or his tweets because Biden makes Trump look like Mother Theresa”.
      Stop the Biden Crime family!!!!!

    164. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      By current election standards, it is going to be a Biden landslide.

    165. CG says:

      Biden is not a moderate, but he is not Trump. That is why Biden looks likely to win. Hopefully, there were will be actual principled conservatives who can oppose Biden when he and his party deserve to be opposed.

      People who do not want to see Trump lose, which is your right as an American, should seriously consider coming to terms with that now though, because it looks like it is going to happen.

    166. jason says:

      LOL…Biden call’s Kamala’s husband “her wife”

      https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1321074534921981952

    167. lisab says:

      I used to enjoy when he posted.
      ————————-

      oy with the poodles already!

    168. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Yes CG! Yes! Exactly! Should have ended your statement with a Chomp Chomp. But, otherwise, I couldn’t have said it better myself.

    169. CG says:

      Kamala’s “wife” is one Jew who will replace someone….. Karen Pence in this case.

    170. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      169 – Dang, you really got Biden there. While hundreds of thousands are dead and millions are without work due to the mishandling of this disease by the president, you all are still pushing totally pointless things that literally no one outside of the Tucker Carlson fan club cares about.

    171. CG says:

      We are going to need some Biden gaffes and verbal slips to keep us entertained as a nation for the next four years (or two years if the party dumps him early) because things are going to seem so boring compared to the Trump chaos…

      So thankfully boring…

      I hope Biden takes a thousand naps and a thousand lids and there will be many days where we do not even have to think about the President. America will rejoice.

    172. wheelz91 says:

      There will be no sane republican to oppose the Democrats
      because if Biden would win the Dems will have a majority
      and republicans will not matter. If anyone wants a republican senate then Trump has to win and win bigly.

    173. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Sorry, not happening Bigwheelz.

    174. mnw says:

      Corey CCCP the Canadian communist is back.

      Jay-sus.

      Hopefully this stupid troll disappears himself again soon.

    175. CG says:

      Republicans should focus on trying to save the Senate then, because Trump looks line a goner.

      That is why Cornyn and others have already started to try to distance themselves.

      We are headed towards a bad time for Republicans, but Donald Trump is to blame. There will be other elections though. Nothing is “permanent” in politics, but yes, there are a lot of unanswered questions as to how both major parties will react to this result.

    176. CG says:

      Never been to Canada. Never been on skates. Never eaten poutine.

    177. CG says:

      I will not be here on Election Night. Going to give you people the “space to destroy” that you may require for a while, but it would be funny if Cory and MD both come back on Election Night 2020.

    178. wheelz91 says:

      I’m sure ( the new commy Corey) even voted
      for Durbin. Never Trumpers are all democrats now.
      What a freekin joke he has become. And supposedly Jewish and voted against the President thats done more for Israel in history. What. A phony he is!!!

    179. PresidentPaul! says:

      My bitcoin account on coinbase is up 50% in a week or two.

      Dont ignore an asset that moves this fast folks.

    180. CG says:

      I did not vote for Durbin. Skipped that race entirely.

      I voted Republican for Cook County States Attorney, Circuit Court Clerk, and Board of Review and against the Fair Tax Amendment. That’s about all we have here. The party in the suburbs has been decimated.

      In addition to being Jewish, I am also an American, and it speaks poorly of you to go down that “loyalty” route. My loyalty is to America and Donald Trump has been the worst President America has ever had.

    181. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Preach, CG, preach!

    182. wheelz91 says:

      What the hell is wrong with Curran for Senate.
      If Dems want another state take Chicago and. CG with it
      and leave the rest of Illinois alone. And I’m a hell of alit more American that you as I won’t vote for socialism.

    183. michael corleone says:

      CG you are not a Republican so please spare me your lectures about the electoral fallout. Anyone who votes to empower Court packing, DC statehood, PR statehood, and the end of the legislative filibuster doesn’t really care about the country because that likely leads to secession.

    184. michael corleone says:

      DJT won’t win NV because they will be voting by mail for 2 weeks after the election, but:

      Updated, 10 PM, 10/27/20

      Remember I told you the pattern has been that the GOP does best on the 10th and 11th day of early in-person voting?

      The Tuesday numbers look very much like the Monday numbers — gain of about 5K combined in Washoe and Clark.

      Let’s see what the mailbag brings overnight and tomorrow.

      Clark firewall could be as low as 67K and statewide lead could be down below 50K. Dems lead in Washoe still a robust 5K, but dropping.

      To meet 2016 metrics at end of early voting, Dems would need 54K statewide and 88K in Clark — they are not on track to get either with three days left.

      That NYT poll may show 6-point Biden lead, but I doubt the Dems are sleeping well tonight.

      Until the morrow…

    185. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      An interesting tour down memory lane from October 29, 2016. Like now, the predictions of doom were starting to give way to posters pointing out that Trump had a chance of winning. Others scoffed; but they ultimately proved right as Trump won.

      Eastman says:
      October 29, 2016 at 6:34 am
      2nd–Just like Trump will be on November 8

      Wes says:
      October 29, 2016 at 8:01 am
      I doubt a wave is coming for either side or that Trump can even win, Hugh.
      That said, the endless sleaze associated with Hillary will do damage on Election Day.
      The Senate is now gone for the Dems, and Republicans will probably overperform recent expectations in gubernatorial races.
      Even so, we’re going to see status quo in this election. That will be a victory for the GOP compared to what was onthe horizon and will set them up nicely for 2018. That said, the GOP with a better candidate wouldn’t be worrying about status quo but would be speculating on the size of its victory over the Corrupt One.

      pitchaboy says:
      October 29, 2016 at 9:08 am
      HRC started bleeding white non-college educated women and indies before the FBI thing broke. Next few days will be interesting. Watch out for Bernie bots to stay home.
      pitchaboy says:
      October 29, 2016 at 9:17 am
      Trumpeteers are weird creatures. They were fired up even when he was getting beaten black and blue after Access Hollywood tapes. The enthusiasm he generates among his true believers will be studied by political scientists. Most candidates would be in the rubble after the kind of time he had in the last couple of weeks.

      Hugh says:
      October 29, 2016 at 9:49 am
      Florida. Is looking great for Rubio and the clown.

      Tina says:
      October 29, 2016 at 9:51 am
      Fl lee county ra plus 62 percent early vote, when compared to 2012.
      Lee county is big.

      Todd McCain says:
      October 29, 2016 at 9:51 am
      Any update on the NC EV? Perhaps I missed from the previous thread.
      Looks like Trump might be headed for a narrow W there?

      Phil says:
      October 29, 2016 at 9:57 am
      Doubt Trump gets NC but the margin may only be a couple of points. Was looking more like 4 last week. Burr is looking good, however.

      DW says:
      October 29, 2016 at 10:20 am
      Keep in mind the media pretty much only recognizes media polls. Their knees are knocking together at seeing this ABC News poll down to 2 points.

      dblaikie says:
      October 29, 2016 at 10:42 am
      Don’t get me wrong, I am not saying Trump is going to win, I have never said that. I have always said he could win and the election isn’t over. But you NeverTrumpers are pathetic. Now he isn’t going to lose by 8 just 2. Come on, drop the MDism, let the words come out of your mouth — “Trump may pull it out.” It will free you from inane posts.

      Bitterlaw says:
      October 29, 2016 at 10:58 am
      MD, Scooter, Jason and other Never Trumpers – Get back in the fight. Don’t let the Trumpers run wild.

      Keystone says:
      October 29, 2016 at 11:00 am
      I agree with dblaikie. Trump may not be favored, but he has a substantive chance to pull it out. He does need one or more states where polling averages have him down 5 or 6. He also needs to hang onto all the states where he is tied or nearly tied. These are not completely independent contests, however, so a big event or trend at the nat level could move them all. Jimmy Carter was ahead of Reagan going into the last week and lost 44 states.

      Phil says:
      October 29, 2016 at 1:54 pm
      Wes, what is with Silver? Every day he drops Republican chances at keeping the senate. He now has it at just over a one in five chance at doing so. What is he seeing that we are not?

      phoenixrisen says:
      October 29, 2016 at 1:57 pm
      I think Trump takes FL, OH, IA, and NC. Where does he get the other 1-2 states?
      CO, WI, PA, VA, NH, NM, MI and NV are the target states. Seems like Trump has given up on VA which is unwise IMHO.

    186. lisab says:

      sdc,

      oy with the poodles …

    187. PresidentPaul! says:

      Biden makes late push to flip the Senate

      The Democratic nominee is hitting Georgia and Iowa this week, while Jill Biden campaigned with the Democratic Senate candidate in Maine

      https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/27/biden-democrats-senate-433032

    188. chris says:

      190 that just an an attempt to make up for rust belts states that are slipping away.

    189. Sy says:

      191 – Yeah, there is a real likelihood of Trump winning WI, MI, and PA.

    190. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      One of the few places in Southern California that Trump will carry is likely to be eastern San Diego County:

      #CA50 GE:
      Issa (R) 51% (+11)
      Campa-Najjar (D) 40%
      .
      Trump 49% (+4)
      Biden 45%

      @surveyusa@sdut@10News
      LV, 10/22-26
      http://surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=24006771-7dd1-47f4-933c-ad5b78061dcb

    191. jaichind says:

      128. USC poll has generic Senate poll at D+1 even while it is Biden +11

    192. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Talked to a couple friends who are politically astute, and have good California political connections. Two issues:

      At this point no one is ready to predict the outcome of the presidential election. There are too many novel factors: such as the epidemic, mail balloting, and national unrest, that will impact it. It may be very close.

      There is not a close relationship between Kamala Harris and her staff, and the Biden campaign. Harris is sort of in the position of LBJ with Kennedy; an outsider. There is no hostility or conflict.

      One reason for this might be Biden and Harris are from opposite sides of the country; and Harris has advisors who are primarily California professionals. Biden’s campaign is made up of old guard Eastern political types.

      A key question if Biden wins is what happens if he becomes mentally unable to continue to serve as president. How would it be determined? Will his close aides attempt to hide it? If Harris takes over will she clean house and bring in her own political associates?

      If Biden wins then we are heading into a very difficult period of time with a president who may have limited abilities to effectively govern; and will be under attack from both the right and left. Its not a pretty scenario.

    193. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      From the ridiculous to the sublime courtesy of ABC News/Washington Post:

      NEW @ABC/@washingtonpost polls out of Wisconsin and Michigan (Likely voters)

      Wisconsin
      Biden: 57% (+17)
      Trump: 40%

      Michigan
      Biden: 51% (+7)
      Trump: 44%

    194. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ————

      OCT 28th / 5:30am

      DEM: 2,821,211 41.13%

      GOP: 2,573,233 37.51%

      This is where we start the day in the Sunshine State, Wednesday morning….6 days out from Election Day.

    195. Boog says:

      196 — hard not to laugh out loud at these polls.

      Couple of thoughts:

      – reeks of desperation. The storylines have so negative for Biden this week (laptop, Hunter porn, new riots, George Bush gaffe, Bobulinski, Google search for “change my vote”, lids vs Trump mega rallies, big tech censorship), that the MSM has no choice but to amp up the only weapon they still have — the fake polls.

      – the pollsters are clearly willing to trash their industry beyond any hope of redemption. We’ve known that for a long time. But they are playing a more dangerous game now. The other day, Barnes suggested that the pollsters may be opening themselves up to investigations/liability because their now appears to be actual coordinated poll fixing going on. This poll is probably about 20 points off (real number is likely Trump +3), and we are only 6 days away.

      Very interesting times.

    196. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #198- Boog
      I agree. I believe that at this time in 2016 the WP/ABC Poll showed Mrs. Clinton +14 nationally.
      The pollsters can keep repeating their insane data because there is no accountability or punishment for (willful) malpractice.

      At least for now, PredictIt has moved toward Trump after the poll’s release.

    197. Gordon Allen says:

      I understand the Tucker Carlson interview is up on You Tube. I hope at some level the force field defense shield the media has put up over Biden will show some cracks. We can always hope.
      When Trump wins the total immersion of the media into the Biden campaign has to be a national topic of conversation. It is unprecedented.

    198. PresidentPaul! says:

      191

      No it’s not. That’s Biden correctly going to 2 of the 3 states that actually matter for senate control: iowa and georgia.

      If he wins the presidency but loses the senate, Biden still loses.

      There’s no MMT without a dem senate.

      The plan has always been to do monetary policy #3
      #1 lower interest rates
      #2 when at zero bound do QE
      #3 when QE fails, give the Fed control of fiscal via direct payments (something that congress usually does)

    199. Smack says:

      BOOM!

      BOOM!

      Massive day yesterday in North Carolina for GOP:

      All Early Voting – North Carolina

      ———

      Oct 28th / 6:20am

      DEM: 1,423,578 39.20%

      GOP: 1,122,981 30.92%

      Final 2016 All Early Voting – North Carolina

      DEM: 41.18%
      GOP: 31.80%

      DEM: +9.38

      At the end of the week…just like in Florida…2020 DEM will have under performed 2016 All Early Voting percentages.

    200. PresidentPaul! says:

      Big tech and the media are essentially selling this country down the river by covering for Biden corruption and child porn.

      My controlling the narrative they are trying to give the country over to the communists.

    201. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Sue Collins down 4 in Maine in a new USA Today Poll. I see her biggest issue being the rank voting in Maine. She needs 50% to win and the Independent candidates are Lefties who will almost certainly throw their 2nd choice to Collins’ opponent.

      https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/28/maine-poll-susan-collins-sarah-gideon-close-race-biden-leads-trump/3754874001/

    202. Boog says:

      Over all, however, I think the biden campaign can see that things are slipping away from them. The biggest negative storyline has been the huge mistake made by Biden during the debate – “transitioning away from fossil fuels”. It will probably go down as one of those iconic debate moments that lives on in history and is studied for years to come, like “lockbox”, “there you go again”, etc.

      At this point, They are just trying to keep up appearances, Like Biden going to Georgia, and Harris going to Texas. Both trips are clearly a waste of time, as far as those States are concerned (they will both be strongly red), but the hope is to continue the myth that their campaign has a strong national lead in the polls. They will likely be criticized/mocked for it once the dust settles.

    203. Dr. Doom says:

      The clock is ticking

      Can you hear it? Tick – tock – tick – tock

      Less than seven days. To borrow a phrase from Margaret Hamilton:

      That’s how much longer you’ve got to be alive. And it isn’t long, my pretty – it isn’t long.

      Tick – tock

    204. PresidentPaul! says:

      “Let’s kick their ass! Let’s kick their ass!”

      Lindsay Graham campaigning for Trump.

      https://twitter.com/RedPillMaC/status/1321208478933917696?s=20

    205. PresidentPaul! says:

      #204
      I bet on her on predict it for no other reason than I liked the odds they were giving.

    206. PresidentPaul! says:

      Where’s robbie and his yield curve steepening lol

    207. dblaikie says:

      Good morning fellow HHR poster’s. Good morning trolls. It is a beautiful sunrise here in South Carolina. Well it seems that reality is starting to hit Mr. Ralston in his bunker in Las Vegas. He has finally left the world of 2016 and starting to see the Nevada landscape in 2020. His last post in his blog is fulfilling to read. So I decided to post it for you. It seems that the GOP is doing fine in many states and you can now officially add Nevada to the list. Of course I was saying one week ago that things were looking good. Nevada is going to be close, but I believe it is tilting red. Here is Ralston’s post:

      “Remember I told you the pattern has been that the GOP does best on the 10th and 11th day of early in-person voting?

      The Tuesday numbers look very much like the Monday numbers — gain of about 5K combined in Washoe and Clark.

      Let’s see what the mailbag brings overnight and tomorrow.

      Clark firewall could be as low as 67K and statewide lead could be down below 50K. Dems lead in Washoe still a robust 5K, but dropping.

      To meet 2016 metrics at end of early voting, Dems would need 54K statewide and 88K in Clark — they are not on track to get either with three days left.

      That NYT poll may show 6-point Biden lead, but I doubt the Dems are sleeping well tonight.”

    208. Sean says:

      Tillis even with Cunningham now on predictit.

    209. jaichind says:

      https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-27/trump-pulls-florida-ads-as-cash-poor-campaign-enters-final-week

      “Trump Campaign Shifts Florida Ad Spending Burden to RNC”

      MSM spin on Trump pulling out of FL. No mention that the early vote trends favor Trump ergo Trump camp seems to want to concentrate in Rust belt.

    210. jaichind says:

      105. But many here claim that even if GOP retain 51 seats in the case of a Biden win, RINO Senators will back the Dem agenda. I doubt it especially when in such a scenario 2022 will see the GOP most likely gain Senate seats.

    211. PresidentPaul! says:

      One of the interesting things about this election is how much Trump is trouncing in States in comparison to the GOP senate candidates.

      Trump running far ahead of McSally

      Trump running ahead of Tillis in NC even though the dem senate candidate has sex scandals

      Trump running far ahead of Ernst in iowa

      Check predict it if you don’t believe me. If Trump were an albatross none of this would be true.

    212. PresidentPaul! says:

      #213
      Only if they outright switch parties.

      If they don’t the filibuster stays, and nothing passes.

    213. PresidentPaul! says:

      I believe the Fed will be given control of fiscal policy if dems get a clean sweap.

      That means direct crypto apps for Americans to receive direct payments for Biden.

      GOP will will be out of power for decades and if they ever get power back it nation will be so different.

    214. dblaikie says:

      Why would anyone believe anything from Bloomberg? He was the guy willing to spend tens of millions of dollars in Florida for Biden. For that matter how can you not view anything coming out of the main stream media as propaganda? They may not be as evil as Goebbel’s but they sure practice his methods. Sick and sad for our Country. The press here may be free but it isn’t fair.

    215. Dr. Doom says:

      Tick – tock – tick – tock

      Can you hear it gator? Tick – tock

      Can you hear it ridin? Tick – tock

      Can you hear it corey? Tick – tock

      Can you hear it President Paul? Tick – tock

    216. jaichind says:

      217. Well, Bloomberg threw $100 mil in FL. So it is hard for them to report “we threw $100 mil in FL and it was so effective that Trump is pulling away with it and shifting their resources to Rust Belt.”

    217. Gordon Allen says:

      As an aside,do Barris and Barnes talk to each other? Barnes’s prediction is an even popular vote and 320 EV’s for Trump,which necessarily includes Pennsylvania. Yet Barris has Biden ahead there by a little more than a half point. Maybe Barris doesn’t believe his own polling,as a tied PV and 320 electoral votes would indicate a larger( than 2016) Trump win in PA.

    218. Wes says:

      Republicans have continued to eat into Dems’ advantage in NC early voting, dropping the Dem advantage to 300,605.

      Keep in mind Dems finished early voting in 2008 with about a 675,000-vote advantage Republicans decreased to 530,000 on Election Day.

      As long as Republicans can continue to ensure Dems don’t run away with the thing and turn out their outstanding voters on Election Day, I like Republicans’ chances in NC.

    219. Tina says:

      Any update on Arizona?

      Heard it was a big r day. Not sure if it was just in one county or the entire state?

      But could not find the stats.

    220. PresidentPaul! says:

      Gundlach says Trump wins 2020

      “When I said that I think Trump is going to win in 2016, I also said that if you think 2016 is weird, just wait for 2020,” said Gundlach.
      “Well, if you think 2020 is weird, just wait until 2024. You ain’t seen nothing yet.”

    221. Tina says:

      Re posting this.

      Joe Scarborough
      @JoeNBC
      · 14h
      Anyone Democrat feeling really confident right now should look at Florida’s early voting numbers. Republicans are having another huge day across the state.

    222. hugh says:

      I am surprised on predictit that trumps percentages in MI are not higher than PA. Just me. Good day for reps in NC yesterday. Dems collapsing just like they have in FL.

    223. Marv says:

      Trump up in RAS…..standby.

    224. OHIO Joe says:

      Gordon:

      I cannot speak for Barris, but reading in between the lines, Barris seems to think that PA is going down to the wire. Yes he is currently giving Mr. Biden a slight edge, but that does not count the Undecided voters who will break towards Trump (assuming they show up)to give the President a slight edge in the end. He is also afraid of fraud in PA. While he probably thinks that PA is the best option for Trump, like Barnes, he seems to think that MI, WI and even possibly MN are all possible back up plans or at least more avenues for icing on the cake.

    225. OHIO Joe says:

      Thanks for the good news Marv! I have been patiently waiting for this day for a few months. We can almost rest easy now.

    226. Sean says:

      He was at 51% yesterday, so he’s 52% or higher today. I think RAS would give a teaser up big if it was 53%.

    227. Marv says:

      If Trump is @ 52%, it’s reasonable to assume he will lead in the head to head today.@

    228. PresidentPaul! says:

      Market is realizing that they arent gonna get dem house\senate\prez with the MMT plan today.

      Dollar is booming. risk assets crashing. And yield curve flattening.

      Robbie-where’s your yield curve steepening lolol

    229. Stonewall DW says:

      And this poll of PA by Baris was nowhere near as long as his prior poll. The prior poll was extended two days to reach a minimum threshold of representative sample from the T. My bet is he will say today that this area of the state was weak again in his survey, and if the T turns out, they should be able to give the state to Trump. Baris doesn’t put his thumb on the scale and he doesn’t re-weight based on party ID. He over sampled some of the areas around Philly to study the demographics, and probably got a D heavy sample as indicated by the result which was D+5.

      It will end up being more like D+3 and Trump wins by a point or two.

    230. OHIO Joe says:

      No doubt, Mr. Trump has good approval in the Ras poll, I just hope he can win or at least tie the head to head race with Biden.

    231. Marv says:

      Sean,

      RAS generally teases if it’s a move of 3 or more.

    232. OHIO Joe says:

      “It will end up being more like D+3 and Trump wins by a point or two.” You are probably spot on. I think we are winning PA by about a point right now and I think we can easily gain another point as the Undecideds continue to come our way.

    233. jaichind says:

      Still no reporting of looting in Philly in MSM.

      If and when they do, like I said in the other thread it will be “misguided youth engages in undocumented shopping”

    234. OHIO Joe says:

      As an aside, while I like watch Barris, he can be slightly nutty at times. He suggested the other day that James was struggling because he had trouble getting the Norwegian vote in Livingstone County. C’mon man!

    235. PresidenPaul! says:

      Did Nancy time the fiscal cliff perfectly for the week before the election?

    236. Country Dick Montana says:

      “Still no reporting of looting in Philly in MSM. ”

      I am sure that the local news is reporting it and it has to scare the bejeezus out of suburban women in Montgomery, Chester, Delaware and Bucks Counties.

    237. hugh says:

      Here is the thing. There is nothing that will change the momentum of this race which is all trump. The talking heads on Fox and the rest of the msm can say the hunter story will not make an impact, but they are so wrong. There are tangible and intangible impacts from this story and it will not cost trump one vote not one.

      The main thing is that bidens actions gives the story legs even if not report widely. If this was not hunters computer, or his emails or his texts biden, harris would be on tv jamming it down our throats instead they are now both hiding.

    238. Pitchaboy says:

      There was no looting. Just peaceful Christmas shopping.

    239. Country Dick Montana says:

      “Did Nancy time the fiscal cliff perfectly for the week before the election?”

      If we need massive government spending and stimulus to support the markets, then who cares who is in charge. The markets are saying that we are all socialists now.

      If that is the case, then let it burn.

    240. hugh says:

      What fiscal cliff? This week they will report huge growth numbers and then there is the election. If their is this fiscal cliff we will not know it until post election. If trump wins the dems will lose the house, because no trump voter is going to vote for trump and the “new moderate dem who won in 2018” who then elected pelosi and voted to impeach trump. take it to the bank.

    241. jaichind says:

      241. I live in a similar upscale NYC suburb where it is very “liberal”. But that liberalism goes away in an instant if there is any talk of multi-family housing and the prospect of ghetto culture coming into the area.

    242. Sean says:

      jaichind, are you in NY, NJ, or CT?

    243. Stonewall DW says:

      OCT 20-23, 2020

      Spry Strategies
      3,500 LV

      Approve 49%
      Disapprove 50%

      National matchup

      Biden 48
      Trump 46

    244. Marv says:

      #248 DW,

      Looks a lot like 2016 all over again.

    245. Waingro says:

      From Ralston himself. He’s worried. Uh oh!

      “Clark firewall could be as low as 67K and statewide lead could be down below 50K. Dems lead in Washoe still a robust 5K, but dropping.

      To meet 2016 metrics at end of early voting, Dems would need 54K statewide and 88K in Clark — they are not on track to get either with three days left.

      That NYT poll may show 6-point Biden lead, but I doubt the Dems are sleeping well tonight.”

    246. PresidentPaul! says:

      Pump said he would be willing to sign a stimulus bill after the election.

      This economy can’t actually survive until Feb if they don’t get the stimulus done btw.

    247. PresidentPaul! says:

      (Pump is Trump because he likes to try to pump the stock market)

    248. Tina says:

      Trump may be in Nevada today.

      He is 3 miles from Laughlin and only 2 az rallies.

    249. PresidentPaul! says:

      Something like 2/3 of mail in ballots favor Biden so getting the new SC justice was critical bc the dems want to do mail in ballots for 2 months after the election.

    250. Tina says:

      I read that 20 percent of the vbm for Miami dade don’t have signatures. They are missing,

    251. Stonewall DW says:

      The FL data, the NV data, the NC data…all suggest what I have been saying all along. In recent years when a sitting POTUS runs for re-election, the states don’t really move that much.

    252. Dr. Doom says:

      Tick – tock

      Hunter Biden – corrupt and stupid

      James Biden – corrupt

      Frank Biden – corrupt

      Sara Biden – corrupt

      Joe ‘big guy’ Biden – leader of corruption

      Tick – tock

    253. jaichind says:

      247. Scarsdale NY

    254. jason says:

      Heh…

      “Philly Riot Thugs Make Final Push for Trump’s Reelection”

    255. Stonewall DW says:

      And its folly what the Washington Compost is pushing. FLORIDA doesn’t move to the right a couple points while the upper midwest move 10 points to the left.

    256. Todd McCain says:

      Ralston sure sounds concerned this morning!

    257. Stonewall DW says:

      And USC Dornsife daily tracker is worthless, because the collection period is always nearly a half-month long, so it can easily hide any changes due to things like Biden throwing away our oil industry. Changing that poll is like trying to turn an air-craft carrier around in a small lagoon.

    258. Akula_KS says:

      A Biden commercial that still brings up global warming. C’mon.

    259. Hugh says:

      254. The 2/3rds is what was predicted. The vbm By party would be 2/3rds dem. Unfortunately for them in most states it’s not working out that way. And I also read there was a huge number of vbm not counted in Miami due to no signature. They can be perfected but you have to find the voter and get the to sign it. Tough to do with no ground game.

    260. Tina says:

      It does look like we had a bid day in Nc and Florida yesterday.

    261. jason says:

      Ralston sure sounds concerned this morning!”

      He will soon be back too “all is well” and “sorry for the concern”.

      In Ralston’s world Dems always will win whether it is true or not.

    262. Tina says:

      Add Nevada and Arizona based on Larry’s teeet yesterday.

    263. Tina says:

      This is so true,

      John Cardillo
      @johncardillo
      ·
      13m
      I wouldn’t be surprised if DOJ indicted Bobulinski on some fabricated process crime to silence him.

      You know they’re not below something like that.

    264. Tina says:

      Sean Davis
      @seanmdav
      ·
      27m
      BREAKING: On his show tonight, Tucker Carlson will follow up on last night’s bombshell interview with even more audio recordings of calls between Tony Bobulinski and Biden family insiders.

    265. jason says:

      This economy can’t actually survive until Feb if they don’t get the stimulus done btw.”

      But remember, Paulbots are “fiscal conservatives”.

    266. PresidentPaul! says:

      ‘Shut Down DC’ vows to target members of Congress at their homes…

      https://www.zerohedge.com/political/were-going-make-sure-trump-leaves-leftists-plan-storm-dc-after-election

    267. Stonewall DW says:

      GOP just gained over 4k ballots in one drop in FL

      DEM
      2856587 (41.00%)
      63.41% of 2016 Clinton votes
      108.62% of 2016 Democrat EV

      2016 total 4/4 voters:1596467
      2020 4/4 voters (est):1259216
      Remaining 4/4 voters (est):337251 (21.12%)
      Difference with R: -267502

      GOP
      2614846 (37.53%)
      56.62% of 2016 Trump votes
      103.22% of 2016 Republican EV

      2016 total 4/4 voters:1903132
      2020 4/4 voters (est):1298379
      Remaining 4/4 voters (est):604753 (31.78%)
      Difference with D: +267502

    268. jason says:

      I think Trump has FL and NC.

      He needs PA and AZ.

    269. Marv says:

      Nice move in RAS

      52/47

      Index 0!

    270. Todd McCain says:

      The problem with Nevada is that the IPEV stops on Friday and the VBM continues until Tuesday. DEMS will make up whatever they need during those days.

    271. PresidentPaul! says:

      My bet is that BLM and antifa will start going after SC justices

    272. Stonewall DW says:

      I was accused of hyperbole in my list, but the rioters are right there showing number 19 on the list:

      Democratic Party Platform:
      1) Anti-Police
      2) Pro-Looting
      3) Sieze retirement savings
      4) Sieze guns
      5) Pro-illegal immigration
      6) Rural America must bail out the failed Democrat cities
      7) If you are not a person of color, you are a racist whether you want to be or not.
      8) Pro-mutilation of young children
      9) Open prison doors and let them all go free
      10) End the free speech of anyone who dissents
      11) Anti-National Anthem
      12) Pro-Mail out ballots to all people: citizens, non-citizens, living, and dead.
      13) Pro-anarchy
      14) Pro-cancel culture
      15) Pro-rationing of gov’t controlled healthcare
      16) Pro-Force taxpayers to pay off student loan debt instead of the students who took the loans.
      17) Pro-“Green” new deal to devastate the economy with crippling regulations and destroy the energy industry.
      18) Pro-“Republicans are enemies of the state” (so aim your weapons at them carefully)
      19) Endless mob violence unless you vote Democrats into office
      20) Pro-never ending shut downs to keep everyone under government control
      21) Pro-send millions of jobs back to China
      22) Pro-never ending of jobless benefits
      23) Pro-living wage
      24) DC to become 51st state
      25) Anti-Peace in the middle east
      26) Pro-sex with minors
      27) Anti-vaccine until after the election.
      28) Pro-replacing lower court system with lynch mobs.
      29) Pro-Packing the SCOTUS with commies
      30) Promised to BAN fracking
      31) Promise to END THE OIL INDUSTRY
      32) Taxpayer funded ‘cunity’ college for all

    273. Marv says:

      While awaiting the RAS head to head…..

      I’d guess, based on the JA today, that Trump will lead Biden by 1 @ 48/47.

      Anyone else?

    274. Joe J says:

      Marv,
      Plus 1 or even at worst I’d say. These moves could be rounding too but the strongly index was big to see even out.

    275. MikeKS says:

      Baris has consistently said he believes Trump wins PA based on trends.

    276. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      ———-

      OCT 28th / 5:30am

      DEM: 2,821,211 41.13%

      GOP: 2,573,233 37.51%

      Oct 28th / 8:40am

      DEM: 2,856,587 41.00%

      GOP: 2,614,846 37.53%

      GOP momentum is not slowing down.

    277. PresidentPaul! says:

      Coney Barrett needs to stop the Steal in PA

    278. Stonewall DW says:

      reposting from last night

      Pollsters that show Trump leads:

      GA: Landmark Communications (+4), Emerson College (+1), Monmouth (+5), (4 ties)
      FL: Susquehanna (+5), Tyson Group (+2), Rasmussen (+4), Trafalgar (+2), Insider Advantage (+3), Democracy Institute (+4), Big Data Poll (+2), ABC News/Washington Post (+4), (2 ties)
      AZ: Susquehanna (+1), Big Data Poll (+3), Morning Consult (+1), Trafalgar (+4), Targoz (+1)
      NC: Trafalgar (+3), Rasmussen (+1), UMass-Lowell (+1) (3 ties)
      PA: Trafalgar (+1), Insider Advantage (+3) (1 tie)
      MI: Zia Polling (+4), Trafalgar (+2)
      WI: Big Data Poll (of indies +2), (1 tie)
      NH: Democracy Institute (+2)
      MN: Democracy Institute (+2)

    279. Tina says:

      PollWatch
      @PollWatch2020
      ·
      7m
      6 Days Before Election TRUMP APPROVAL–52%

      5 pts higher than Obama’s approval on this day–Oct 28, 2012 (Obama’s re-election year):

      Trump (10/28/20): 52%
      Obama (10/28/12): 47%

      (per Rasmussen Reports, daily tracker of both presidencies)

    280. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Another pollster is all in for Biden. YouGov shows the race at Biden +11 with a PID of D+11. Also, in almost every one of their weekly polls, Trump was ahead of Biden among Independents by a few points. In this poll, Trump is underwater by 7 with Indies.

    281. Marv says:

      Sheeple, Jr,

      That setS up the “massive tightening over the weekend” or “Trump stole the election” story lines.

    282. LewisS says:

      A key point from Baris’s PA poll, I think:

      “First post-debate tracking in Pennsylvania.
      @JoeBiden gained 0.2% after pushing appx. 4% of the 6.6% undecideds.”

      Undecided’s, even when pushed in PA, were not inclined to vote for Biden. This reminds me of 2016 when Trump was hovering around 42-43% in the Rust Belt but it seemed all undecideds (Shy Trump voters?) went his way at the end.

    283. Dylan says:

      283–How exactly is the steal going to go down? My understanding is that AS OF NOW, postmarked ballots can be counted for several days after the election UNLESS ACB shuts that down. But is it that the mail ballots do not START to get counted until after the polls close such that the Dems can see “how many do we need?” to win? Or is there some other mechanism of fraud that the Supremes need to kibosh in PA? Just trying to understand how they attempt the steal.

    284. Tina says:

      There are more smut pics of Hunter Biden with minor child at the gateway pundit. The story is China Biden’s corruption.

      The smut is secondary and authorities should investigate

      Btw, Biden called a lid today.

    285. PresidentPaul! says:

      I think Trump should make Flynn the FBI director so he can investigate the Biden crime family.

    286. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ———

      OCT 28th / 5:30am

      DEM: 2,821,211 41.13%

      GOP: 2,573,233 37.51%

      Oct 28th / 12:00pm

      DEM: 2,898,573 40.80%

      GOP: 2,675,146 37.65%

      Oct 28th / 12:15pm

      DEM: 2,902,671 40.78%

      GOP: 2,680,873 37.67%