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    Biden Leads Trump in GA / Collins Gets Closer in ME

    Sorry for the slight blackout since yesterday. This post will start with a focus on Georgia and the polls yesterday and today that shows Donald Trump trailing in a state that I think anyone who thinks Trump is going to win doesn’t even consider Georgia to be a swing state. These polls come from Public Policy Polling and Monmouth University.

    PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (PPP)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

    PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (Monmouth)
    Joe Biden (D) 50%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

    It isn’t much better for Republicans at the US Senate level in Georgia as there is a chance Republicans could lose both US Senate seats this election cycle.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (PPP)
    Jon Ossoff (D) 47%
    David Perdue (R) 44%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (Monmouth)
    Jon Ossoff (D) 49%
    David Perdue (R-inc) 46%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL RUNOFF (Monmouth)
    Raphael Warnock (D) 52%
    Doug Collins (R) 45%

    Raphael Warnock (D) 51%
    Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 45%

    The PPP poll was done October 27-28 among 661 registered voters. The Monmouth Poll was done October 23-27 among 504 voters. On the positive side for Republicans, there may still be hope for Susan Collins and Trump keeping the 2nd Congressional District in his pocket as things are a little closer than other recent polls according to a new poll from Survey USA (base don allocating instant runoff votes).

    PRESIDENT – MAINE – CD2 (Survey USA)
    Joe Biden (D) 51%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

    US SENATE – MAINE (Survey USA)
    Sara Gideon (D) 51%
    Susan Collins (R-inc) 49%

    This poll was done October 23-27 among 1007 likely voters. That’ll give you a clean slate for now.

    Posted by Dave at 1:05 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (354)

    354 Responses to “Biden Leads Trump in GA / Collins Gets Closer in ME”

    1. boomtapp says:

      I am a glass case of emotions!

    2. Official Trump is Done Countdown says:

      5 days

    3. Stonewall DW says:

      Democratic Party Platform:
      1) Anti-Police
      2) Pro-Looting
      3) Sieze retirement savings
      4) Sieze guns
      5) Pro-illegal immigration
      6) Rural America must bail out the failed Democrat cities
      7) If you are not a person of color, you are a racist whether you want to be or not.
      8) Pro-mutilation of young children
      9) Open prison doors and let them all go free
      10) End the free speech of anyone who dissents
      11) Anti-National Anthem
      12) Pro-Mail out ballots to all people: citizens, non-citizens, living, and dead.
      13) Pro-anarchy
      14) Pro-cancel culture
      15) Pro-rationing of gov’t controlled healthcare
      16) Pro-Force taxpayers to pay off student loan debt instead of the students who took the loans.
      17) Pro-“Green” new deal to devastate the economy with crippling regulations and destroy the energy industry.
      18) Pro-“Republicans are enemies of the state” (so aim your weapons at them carefully)
      19) Endless mob violence unless you vote Democrats into office
      20) Pro-never ending shut downs to keep everyone under government control
      21) Pro-send millions of jobs back to China
      22) Pro-never ending of jobless benefits
      23) Pro-living wage
      24) DC to become 51st state
      25) Anti-Peace in the middle east
      26) Pro-sex with minors
      27) Anti-vaccine until after the election.
      28) Pro-replacing lower court system with lynch mobs.
      29) Pro-Packing the SCOTUS with commies
      30) Promised to BAN fracking
      31) Promise to END THE OIL INDUSTRY
      32) Taxpayer funded ‘cunity’ college for all

      VOTE TRUMP TO SAVE THE USA FROM THE ABOVE DEMOCRATIC PARTY MADNESS!!!

    4. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ———

      Oct 29th / 12:15pm

      DEM: 3,048,540 40.30%

      GOP: 2,862,971 37.85%

      Final 2016 FL All Early Voting
      DEM: 39.80%
      GOP: 38.34%

    5. Wes says:

      In the critical NC bellwether county of New Hanover, Indies have coat nearly 32,000 ballots while Republicans lead Dems by exactly 81 votes.

      History suggests the party that carries New Hanover carries the state.

    6. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Our long national nightmare is almost over!

    7. NE-02 says:

      How in the hell can polls like these be ethically released. Even if polls show a huge Biden lead (WI) why publish it? It could dampen Democrat turnout. It’s kinda like why they don’t say who wins a state that has 2 different time zones until both zones have closed. It’s could damped people from expressing their right.

    8. jason says:

      You can vote yourself into socialism, but you will have to shoot your way back out.”

      Yes, and the reason for this is that once entrenched, socialists make changes to ensure they won’t be voted out.

    9. Stonewall DW says:

      GOP nets another couple thousand in FL. Gap down to 185,569

    10. jason says:

      Any PPP-D poll showing a close race is good for Rs.

    11. GatorBJ says:

      OH FL and NC are gone for Biden. AZ is next!

      HidenWithBiden – want to share an oatmilk latte and a cozy sleeping bag so we can have a good cry together?

    12. Akula_KS says:

      The goal is to dampen GOP voter enthusiasm.

    13. mnw says:

      “these polls come from PPP and Monmouth University”

      Of COURSE they do!

    14. Tina says:

      Biden going to Minnesota Tomorrow.

      Was a lid called for today?

    15. Scooterboy says:

      This guy was warning of the same thing in 2016. Will he be right again?

      Michael Moore: “Don’t believe these polls… The Trump vote is always being undercounted.”

    16. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #12 & 13
      Both polls give the Democrat candidates the lead due to a 25% lead by Democrats among GA Independents who the President won by 11 pts. in 2016.

    17. jason says:

      BREAKING: French President Emmanuel Macron says “France is under attack” after three people died in a knife attack in Nice.

    18. Stonewall DW says:

      16 – stated another way, they polled cities and suburbs, found the white-working class is best represented by 29 year cunity college grads serving coffee at starbucks, and they called it a poll.

    19. Smack says:

      Last time a Democratic Nominee for President visited Minnesota this late in a campaign is when Mondale visited his home state and barley hung on to win Minnesota.

      Biden is in trouble in the Upper Midwest.

    20. jason says:

      Better check them closely…

      “UPS said Thursday it found a package that Fox News host Tucker Carlson complained the night before had never made its way to him. Carlson said on his Fox News show Wednesday that he was expecting a package containing some kind of incriminating information related to Democratic nominee Joe Biden, but it never showed up.

      “After an extensive search, we have found the contents of the package and are arranging for its return,” UPS told TheWrap. “UPS will always focus first on our customers, and will never stop working to solve issues and make things right. We work hard to ensure every package is delivered, including essential goods, precious family belongings and critical healthcare.”

    21. Stonewall DW says:

      Florida gap: 184,432

    22. mnw says:

      I’m in the market for any non-anecdotal info about how indies are breaking.

    23. Stonewall DW says:

      Peoples_Pundit
      @Peoples_Pundit
      ·
      3m
      Here [Trump]’s winning indies in a state like New Hampshire, several others show in Pennsylvania, but getting creamed among Southern Independents and others in the industrial Midwest.

      Guess there’s a first time for everything, but…

      Indies in NH are more liberal than most.
      Quote Tweet

      Robert Barnes
      @Barnes_Law
      · 1h
      Buried in this poll: Trump winning Independents in a state like New Hampshire. twitter.com/UML_CPO/status…

    24. Tina says:

      Lol

      Username and password for WiFi at the Trump rally in Florida’.

      https://mobile.twitter.com/K_ovfefe3/status/1321866118756257792

    25. jason says:

      An armed man runs toward police and is killed.

      Here is how Bernie Sanders describes it:

      “Walter Wallace should be alive today, and our thoughts are with his loved ones. The police responsible for murdering him in front of his mother instead of getting him the medical attention he needed should be arrested, investigated, and prosecuted by the Justice Department.”

    26. Wes says:

      All I can tell you about NC Indies, Mnw, is that they are a right-leaning group traditionally because Republicans have generally made more appeals to them than Democrats. For instance, Republicans used to be the only major political party to let Indies vote in their primaries.

      Every Republican presidential candidate in recent memory–including John McCain–has carried NC Indies.

      As such, barring a major sea change in the way NC Indies vote, they’re more likely to break GOP than Dem.

    27. Stonewall DW says:

      “I’m in the market for any non-anecdotal info about how indies are breaking.”

      How about Gallup’s 56% say they are better off than they were four years ago?

      Other polls confirmed this strong number.

      Unless the GOP is now 56% of the voting population, that tells me some indies out there are happy with Trump.

    28. jason says:

      “Pennsylvania Health Secretary Rachel Levine said the state is not currently considering returning to the shutdown restrictions imposed under the tiered red, yellow, and green plan used earlier in the pandemic in spite of surging case numbers statewide.

      Health officials are watching the number of hospitalizations, the number of people on ventilators, the amount of stress on hospitals and need for personal protective equipment, and other indicators, Levine said.

      “As we see the case numbers increase, what we’re going to be watching really carefully is potential downstream impacts,” she said.

      That means being on the lookout for a rise in hospitalization or death rates, which are currently much lower than they were during the pandemic’s April peak even though the daily number of new infections is now higher. The state’s health system is not currently challenged, she said.

      “We are in [a] much better place than we were in the spring. Hospital care has improved significantly… we have therapeutics, such as remdesivir… and the death rate, although it’s going up very slightly, is nothing near what it was in the spring,” she said.

    29. Pitchaboy says:

      GatorBoy, keep your chin up. Don’t be a fair weather chomper.

    30. Stonewall DW says:

      Another factor according to Baris, is that more former indies are now Republicans, either by registration or by self-identify, so it shows Biden gaining in “Indies.”

    31. jason says:

      The number of people walking around in Trump masks in this area is incredible.

      There are roadside stands selling them and they seem to be a hot item.

    32. jaichind says:

      27.

      Survey Monkey

      https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference

      Has Biden ahead 51-47 but has Biden ahead 62-30 with independents. But the poll has DRI at an amazing 40/44/16 with a massive R+4. But yes, on paper they have a massive lead for Biden with independents

    33. Stonewall DW says:

      Robert Barnes
      @Barnes_Law
      ·
      7m
      A sign of things to come…
      Quote Tweet

      The Hill
      @thehill
      · 1h
      Poll: Americans’ satisfaction with country’s direction rises ahead of election

    34. GatorBJ says:

      DAMN IT! If anyone needs me, I’ll be in my room biting my pillows

      ————————————
      The Daily Beast
      @thedailybeast
      ·
      1h
      UPDATE: A spokesman for UPS told The Daily Beast that they had located a mysterious packaged that Fox News host Tucker Carlson suggested had been deliberately misplaced or intercepted because it contained “damning” materials on the Biden family

    35. Stonewall DW says:

      FL vote gap now down to 183,218

    36. OHIO Joe says:

      Ras is pretty much calling Arizona safe enough. Plus 4 for Trump

    37. Stonewall DW says:

      36 – you forgot the BOOM!

    38. Stonewall DW says:

      37 – just a few weeks go Ras had AZ 46/48 for Biden.

    39. Stonewall DW says:

      I guess Latinos don’t like the thought of $6 a gallon gasoline either.

    40. Jeff G. says:

      Oh, man! Look at these polls! It’s all over! Trump can’t possibly win! This confirms everything the media has been telling us.

    41. OHIO Joe says:

      Yeah, that qualifies as BOOM

    42. MrVito says:

      St Augustine area has flipped to GOP advantage over 2016.

    43. Pitchaboy says:

      I am slowly coming to the conclusion that it will be an overwhelming turnout by R. DJT may well carry PV.

    44. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ———

      Oct 29th / 1:00pm

      DEM: 3,056,817 40.27%

      GOP: 2,873,599 37.86%

      Final 2016 FL All Early Voting
      DEM: 39.80%
      GOP: 38.34%

    45. Gordon Allen says:

      Survey Monkey calling it only 51-47nationally, whatever the cross tabs,is as good as having Trump leading Biden by 51-47 with Rasmussen. Mini boom at least. But Trump is losing Georgia by 5!? Sure. And I just returned from a sabbatical on Mars.
      This laughable independents are obviously disguised Democrat’s.

    46. Jeff G. says:

      The Ras poll confirms that McSally will need strong coattails from Trump to beat Kelly. Has a sitting senator ever lost two straight elections without ever winning one?

    47. Tina says:

      Is that there latest poll on Arizona?

      Link?

      Thanks

    48. mnw says:

      Stonewall, Wes & Jaichind

      Thx for your responses.

      Wisdom may enter through any door, but Survey Monkey is the least likely of the doors.

    49. Jeff G. says:

      Tina, the AZ poll is on the Ras homepage.

    50. Tina says:

      Thanks, Jeff G.

    51. Jeff G. says:

      48. mnw, that poll went through wide gate Jesus refers to in Matthew 7:13.

    52. BRENT says:

      Larry Schweikart
      @LarrySchweikart
      ·
      1h
      CO here we go!
      Rs slashing the D lead. Was 30 points last week.

      This morning? 7.6% (160,000 votes)

    53. JeffS says:

      Anecdotal Break- The last three weekends, while driving around rural Northern Michigan, I’ve been surprised (pleasantly) by the number of Trump signs in traditionally blue-collar cities like Cadillac. And as I pointed out to my wife repeatedly, I’ve never seen so many run-down mobile homes displaying Trump/Republican signs, scenes that were not apparent four years ago. I think he takes Michigan on November 3. What it looks like a week later after Whitmer and minions work their magic remains to be seen.

    54. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

      Telemundo Poll: Biden’s Lead Among Hispanics Down To Five In Florida, Far Behind Hillary’s Pace

      Likewise, it’s all but impossible to believe that Biden is leading in Florida right now — slightly, according to the RCP average — if he’s turned a 27-point Clinton lead among Hispanics in 2016 into a five-point lead. The pollster who conducted the poll for Telemundo said as much to Politico: “If Biden is going to flip Florida, he has to at least match Clinton’s numbers among Hispanics and that looks like it’s not going to happen.”

      https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/10/29/telemundo-poll-bidens-lead-among-hispanics-five-florida-far-behind-hillarys-pace/

      ————————

      Chomp, chomp, chomp…

    55. Tina says:

      Trump

      Will win my home state of Florida.

      The presstitute are worried. They don’t like that I’m doing well with Hispanic voters.

      33.1 percent gdp is the largest ever times 4 This is the biggest event in business. No nation has a number like that.

      We won’t ever lock down again

    56. Jeff G. says:

      The WSJ is headlining how much 3Q GDP increased quarter-to-quarter instead of the blistering annual rate, downplaying it because the economy “hasn’t recouped all pandemic losses.”

    57. Tina says:

      The Florida crowd is lit.

      They are chanting where is hunter?

    58. Chicon says:

      Illinois is shutting down indoor dining and drinking again. Several friends have kids who are back to e-(non)learning just days after being allowed back at school. People are smoking mad about this – they want their kids in school. Teachers unions don’t want to go to school, so they send out questionnaires to the parents. They are shocked when 70% want schools to open.

      The Illinois High School Athletic Association has told the governor they are going ahead with sports anyway.

      No way does this impact the statewide races, but I’ll be curious to see how it impacts congressional races here and across the country.

    59. OHIO Joe says:

      I had a look at a few crosstabs from a few polling companies that I never heard of and they claim that a few more (not too many) 2016 Trump voters are going to vote for Biden than Clinton voters are going to vote for Trump. In other words, the election should be relatively close. One of these polling outfit still claims that Biden will win the popular vote by double digits. They do not seem to understand basic mathematically logistics unless they suspect that there are going to be way more 2016 Clinton voters than 2016 Trump voters that show up by Tuesday. These polling outfit are getting quite nutty to be sure.

    60. mnw says:

      RAS AZ poll

      I just read it through carefully– the part that’s available for free, anyway.

      One takeaway from it is that Rs do indeed plan to vote disproportionately more on election day itself. than DEMs We have all assumed that would be true, because of the DEM push for VBM, but this poll provides some hard evidence of it.

    61. Jeff G. says:

      Interesting to see that Telemundo’s own polling is starting to confirm, at least in part, the big numbers its viewers gave Trump and Pence in its post-debate polls — remember, the polls Telemundo removed from its website because they had to have been trolled for Trump and Pence to do so well.

    62. phoenixrisen says:

      It looks like Trump has wrapped this thing up. FL,OH, NC, and AZ are firmly red. Dems can forget about the pipedream of TX and GA. So the states to focus on right now are VA, PA, MI, WI, CO, NM, and NV. I think OR is a GOP pipedream.

      I think PA and MI are just about there for Trump to being a lock. Wisconsin is up in the air but the rural vote will come in strongly for Trump as that vote segment is notoriously hard to poll. Minnesota is going to be REALLY tight. Dems don’t have enough votes in Clark county to offset the Cow counties of NV. The early returns out of Virginia, New Hampshire, and Florida early on and the margins seen should clearly indicate where things are going but it looks like the verdict from the voters looks to be four more years of Trump.

    63. LewisS says:

      Slow day for FL in person voting in terms of numbers of voters, but the % gap between R and D voters is increasing as time goes on.

      Earlier this week, R’s were leading Ds in in-person voting by 13.2%. It’s now 13.73% more R returns than D returns.

    64. OHIO Joe says:

      “I am slowly coming to the conclusion that it will be an overwhelming turnout by R. DJT may well carry PV.” As of today, I am guessing that Biden is barely ahead in the popular vote by about a half a point or so. As the Undecideds break, Mr. Trump should win the PV as well as the EC.

    65. Smack says:

      DEM’s +46,157 in Nevada going into today is not the number Biden’s camp were hoping for…or expecting.

    66. Jeff G. says:

      There are a lot of leftist “news” stories this week about the “crisis” this election will cause because Trump won’t concede. I don’t need to link to any. Just do a quick search.

    67. michael corleone says:

      Poor Ralston. Hasn’t updated his blog in over an hour since SOS updated and showed the statewide gap falling to below 43K edge for the Ds (including Clark’s in person voting yesterday which hasn’t updated). It’s been falling every day and is now below the absolute number it was in 2016 (45k). Adjusting for population growth, 54k is the equivalent to 2016 when Ds won by NV by 2. Again, DJT won’t win because of theft in Clark but these trends don’t happen in a vacuum.

    68. OHIO Joe says:

      “I think OR is a GOP pipedream.” That is due in part because of there mail in system. If Oregonians voted on Election Day, we would have an outside chance of winning it, but still rather slim chance at this point.

    69. michael corleone says:

      #65 – Smack it’s lower than that. 2900 net GOP votes from Clark in-person yesterday have not been included. Plus there are rurals outstanding that probably account for about another 1000 net votes.

    70. phoenixrisen says:

      Thinking a 51-47 or 51-48 Trump PV win.

    71. mnw says:

      65 Smack

      Nor Ralston!

      What’d he say he needed to see to be comfortable that the DEMs would win NV? Wasn’t it 55000, IIRC? It was more than 46000, I know that.

      Sincere thx for your FL running totals, btw.

    72. jde1973 says:

      Does anyone else get the feeling that these lop sided polls are meant for something more than Republican Voter suppression? Over the past several days I’m starting to see more and more articles (many from the same media publications that put out these whacky polls to begin with) about “Civil Unrest”….aka rioting after 11/3. Why would there be rioting if their polls show no path for Victory in any battle ground state or Nationally for Trump? As of this morning 538 has Biden winning 89 out of 100 times! It just feels as though some of these polls are being put out there as a way to start a narrative about Trump if he were to win. That he cheated or accepted foreign help to rig the election in his direction. With many people taking the polls as “Gospel” it almost legitimizes the rioting if/when it occurs once the results starting coming in. The Polls didn’t lie this time (as they did in 2016) but rather Trump cheated to win. Maybe I’m off the path here but I can’t help shake the feeling that these polls are not just whacky….but rather have purpose for what’s to come.

      If I’m wrong…I’m wrong but would love to hear other people’s thoughts

    73. OHIO Joe says:

      Even Quin can only get Biden’s lead in single digits in several swing states.

    74. OHIO Joe says:

      jde 1973, It sounds like you are onto something.

    75. buster says:

      jde 1973

      I have reservations to stay election night in downtown Coulmbus, Oh. I just received a call from the hotel manager warning me that there may be street protests and we are welcome to cancel the reservation.

    76. Justin says:

      Is the NC difference really 322,000 for the Dems? I thought I saw it was lower.

      https://joeisdone.github.io/northcarolina/

    77. jason says:

      It looks like Trump has wrapped this thing up.”

      Dang, it must suck to be GatorTroll.

    78. dblaikie says:

      In this cycle where I view polls as secondary data points, I have a boom. Joe Biden, sleepy old demented Joe, is going to Minnesota. Yes you read it clearly Gator — Minnesota. Why not Texas since it is tied according to the ever wrong RCP average. Why not Ohio? BOOM!

    79. John says:

      New Q poll in Ohio…Biden pulling away (+5)
      I thought Ohio was in the bag.
      https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3682

    80. lisab says:

      i am watching this rally in florida

      an old man in dark ray-bans is yelling at me

      “get off my lawn

      we are going to wipe-out all college debt

      get off my lawn!”

      he just mentioned how the biden clan was going to protect me

    81. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      You forgot the Boom!

    82. Stonewall DW says:

      wow, GOP just shaved the Dem lead in FL another 3 thousand votes. Now just 180,139

    83. lisab says:

      the biden crowd is dozens of people

      dozens!

    84. lisab says:

      he just told me the minimum wage will be $15 an hour

      and

      the protests in phillidelphia were peaceful

    85. NYCmike says:

      Smack,

      Is there any way you could post the initial number from last night/this morning with the newest number, like you had been doing?

      It is just a better snapshot to see, if you know what I mean.

    86. dblaikie says:

      Trolls you forget the rule with Quinnipiac polls. Always add at least 10 points to the GOP number. Besides I don’t see any effort for Slow Joe to go there.

    87. lisab says:

      would you hire a gaterbillyjoel for $15 an hour?

    88. Stonewall DW says:

      wow, Quinnipiac with Trump up 1 point in IA? Means IA another blowout win.

      And they have Biden up only 3 in Florida? Another huge win for Trump. They had Gillum and Nelson up a gazillion 2 years ago.

    89. LewisS says:

      NYC,

      Smack’s #s are terrific, but to give you a sense…

      Ds led by 202,000 to start the day. It’s now at 178,800 on a relatively light day of voting in FL.

    90. lisab says:

      if the guy flipping burgers at mcdonald’s makes $30,000 a year

      how much will someone who has a degree in engineering make?

    91. NYCmike says:

      Lewis, Yes, I get that. Just nice to see the start with the current in one spot. That’s all.

    92. NYCmike says:

      Thank you for that, as well.

    93. Robbie says:

      lisab says:
      October 29, 2020 at 2:53 pm
      if the guy flipping burgers at mcdonald’s makes $30,000 a year

      how much will someone who has a degree in engineering make?

      – Until about ten years or so ago, the first year pay for a newly hired first officer at a regional airline flying a regional jet like an ERJ145 or a CRJ-700 was about $22,000.

    94. Chicon says:

      90 – Duh……$30,000.

    95. NYCmike says:

      Republicans, pour it on!

      Let’s get those numbers higher than the Democrats!

    96. jason says:

      There will be very few McDonalds around if they have to pay that.

      It is a fallacy the Dems always believe in. That you can increase wages artificially and expect the same level of economic activity. It doesn’t work that way.

    97. jason says:

      would you hire a gaterbillyjoel for $15 an hour?”

      As a troll, no.

      But he is quite creative and likes to make things up.

      He could have potential as a modern journalist.

    98. Chicon says:

      96 – machines, baby, machines. The more costly the snot-nosed kid becomes, the more cost-effective the machine becomes. Automated cashiers are becoming popular already.

    99. OHIO Joe says:

      “I thought Ohio was in the bag.” It is, which is why I suspect other Rust belt states will vote for the President on Tuesday as well.

    100. lisab says:

      my local walmart does much more of its business via self-checkout than via actual cashiers

      i refused to go to self-checkout for a while because … support workers!

      but the self-checkout has no line and is several times faster

    101. MrVito says:

      Polk county has not reported any numbers today.

    102. jason says:

      Of course, the AFL-CIO conservatives have the same problem the Dems have.

      Impose tariffs on Chinese gadgets and fewer gadgets will be sold. Fewer stores will be around to sell them and fewer people will be employed to sell them. Less transportation will be needed to move them. Less advertising dollars will be spent to promote them. Less tax revenue will be collected on their sale.

      But some moron will rush over here to say “hey great, factory activity is down in China”.

    103. lisab says:

      wow biden is efficient!

      his rally started AFTER trumps

      he yelled at us for a while

      and finished his rally

      before trump even finished his opening remarks!

    104. jason says:

      i refused to go to self-checkout for a while because … support workers!”

      I avoid it because it normally doesn’t work for at least one product in my cart.

    105. jason says:

      Ma…..

    106. lisab says:

      ok … if you have to pay robbie $22,000 a year

      than maybe a burger flipper at mcdonald’s

      should get $30,000 a year

      that is a good counter argument 🙂

    107. Justin says:

      Duval County just switched to in-person vote lead for Republicans (by ten votes). There are now only eight counties with Democrat in-person lead – Broward, Orange, Osceola, Alachau, Leon, and Gadsen, along with Madison and Liberty which are Democrats voting Trump.

    108. NYCmike says:

      Heh – jason thinks that gadgets can only be manufactured in China, and that there aren’t other low-cost countries that can do the same thing.

    109. Jeff G. says:

      lisab, same with the Walmart in my neighborhood — one or two employees to keep 10 registers going.

    110. Tina says:

      Where is China biden today.

      5 minutes to shuffle to the mike,

      6 minutes for his speech.

      Then off.

    111. lisab says:

      i made something like $4.25 an hour at the hell job of cashier/front counter help at kentucky fried chicken — my mom made me take the job even though i am a vegetarian (thanks mom) —

      and the cooks used to water my breasts “to make them grow”

      because they though that was funny to a 15 year old girl

      it wasn’t

    112. jason says:

      Spokane Spokesman Review endorses Trump while spreading lies about him. But I guess better than nothing.

      “Donald Trump is a bully and a bigot. He is symptomatic of a widening partisan divide in the country. We recommend voting for him anyway because the policies that Joe Biden and his progressive supporters would impose on the nation would be worse.

      The list of Trump’s offenses is long. He panders to racists and prevents sensible immigration reform in a nation built on immigrant labor and intellect. He tweets conspiracy theories. He’s cavalier about COVID-19 and has led poorly through the pandemic. He seeks to dismantle the Affordable Care Act without proposing a replacement. He denies climate change.

      The economy and markets roared under Trump’s championship of market-based solutions and individualism. Unemployment among communities of color reached record lows. He reset trade and diplomatic relationships in America’s favor. He provided historically high support for traditionally Black colleges.

      He rolled back extreme environmental regulations and led the way for U.S. energy independence. He backed federal sentencing reform to address inordinately high American incarceration rates. And he’s committed to supporting law and order in American cities.

      Can you imagine what these guys would have said about Trump if they instead had endorsed Biden? Here’s a typical reaction on Twitter, compliments of the Seattle Times.

      Biden might win on personality and comity, but his policies would strike at the economic well-being of the country. He favors massive growth in government and a historic increase in federal spending through green initiatives, free health services, free education and other ideas grounded in reliance on the state as savior rather than creating an environment in which individual liberty and hard work can thrive. Public employee unions would hold outsized power and demand greater spending.

      To afford it all, Biden and a Democrat-controlled Congress would have to impose unprecedented tax increases or accept catastrophic deficit spending.

      Taxes and spending likely would increase under Trump, too, but the nation stands a better chance of moderation and reform with him in the White House than it does with Biden pushed left by progressives intent on reshaping America to fit their fantastical vision.”

    113. Greymarch says:

      Prediction:

      In MN, Trump finishes within 1 point of however Lewis finishes. If you think Lewis wins the MN senate seat by 2, then Trump will win MN by 1.

      Lots of telling signs that MN is close. Perhaps closer than WI or MI. Hilary only won MN by 1.5 in 2016, and MN’s demographics the past four years have trended red, not blue.

      With MN, Trump then needs AZ, NC, FL, a district in NE, and a district in ME, to get a 269/269 tie. PA is moot to such a scenario.

      https://hotair.com/archives/ed-morrissey/2020/10/29/oh-two-polls-put-trump-range-minnesota/

    114. Chicon says:

      103 – not biting on the trade policy chum. More important stuff going on. I’m willing to resume that circular debate after the election.

    115. Gordon Allen says:

      Count me as one of the morons who cheer hearing ” factory output in China is down’. Just bloke I would have cheered hearing factory output in Nazi Germany or the USSR was down. That’s because they are an ENEMY. Old fashioned of me to think we have enemies,but there it is.
      I know a President Biden wouldn’t cheer; after all,where would he get his money from?

    116. jason says:

      Ignore the “can you imagine”, I should have edited that out.

    117. jason says:

      103 – not biting on the trade policy chum”

      Ma, we are not getting anything out of the Chicago River…

    118. lisab says:

      not sure how trump is doing in mn

      there are a lot of trump signs

      and some biden signs

      maybe 5 to 1 sign advantage to trump

      but … that is not the twin cities

    119. BRENT says:

      Cotto/Gottfried
      @CottoGottfried
      ·
      7m
      In Duval County (Jacksonville), with in-person early voting, GOPers have — at long, long last — taken the lead.

    120. jason says:

      Heh – jason thinks that gadgets can only be manufactured in China, and that there aren’t other low-cost countries that can do the same thing.”

      Ma, only the bottom feeders took the bait.

    121. lisab says:

      you cannot have a $15 minimum wage and open borders

      only usa citizens will be required to follow the law under penalty of fine

      illegals will work freely under the table

    122. Chicon says:

      If you cast in the Chicago River, you’ll get an infection handling whatever you catch.

      I vow to avoid laying McCain bait during this period as well. No promises on wolf bait.

    123. jason says:

      Count me as one of the morons who cheer hearing ” factory output in China is down’.”

      Noted.

    124. Jeff G. says:

      #113. “Unemployment among communities of color reached record lows. … He provided historically high support for traditionally Black colleges.”

      Not bad for the “most racist president in history” as Biden declared at the last debate.

    125. jason says:

      illegals will work freely under the table”

      Hmmm….

      Poker rooms are going to be a big customer.

    126. jason says:

      The “endorsement” is CYA.

      Throw in a few “Trump is a racist” as a bone to your liberal subscribers.

    127. Gordon Allen says:

      73. Agree with you that is their fall back position. If we can’t beat Trump( option 1), create a claim he could only have won through cheating ( option 2).
      Sounds a mite paranoid,but with the media anything is possible. After all,even paranoids have enemies too( as they used to say)

    128. lisab says:

      definitely good that china factory output is down

      the biggest mistake we ever made was outsourcing to china

      even india would have been 100000% better

      they speak english and are a democracy

      but even better would be the dozens of small countries who need jobs/infrastructure

      and

      don’t want to kill us

    129. Stonewall DW says:

      Gap in FL now 175,484

    130. lisab says:

      most of the landscaping on cape cod is done by illegals

      juan did my lawn 🙂

      one guy, an american, ran the company. he probably legally hired one guy juan. … that guy’s brothers and friends actually did the work …

      and juan did my lawn by renting me one of his brothers without telling the owner … so they were actually undercutting the american owner by telling the owner they were doing 1 job

      and then doing like 5 or 6 in the same neighborhood

      it cost me $100 to get my whole yard done AND three trees taken down — small trees but still

    131. lisab says:

      everything under the table and cash

      it was great!

    132. Hugh says:

      The joeisdone NC are wrong. No idea where they r coming from.

    133. lisab says:

      and juan’s brother worked like a steam engine

      my whole yard cleaned up in about 4 hours

      AND

      they ground down the tree stumps for me!

    134. jason says:

      but even better would be the dozens of small countries who need jobs/infrastructure”

      BS.

      Even in aggregate they don’t come close to having the labor force, infrastructure and resources needed for outsourcing in that scale that China has.

      India has the labor force, but not the infrastructure and resources China has. In addition India is still a very bureaucratic and difficult place to do business in. There are a lot more cultural issues impeding business than there are in China. There is a lot of corruption at the local level. Nonetheless, India is becoming more attractive, but slowly.

    135. lisab says:

      Even in aggregate they don’t come close to having the labor force, infrastructure and resources needed for outsourcing in that scale that China has.
      ————————-

      china did NOT have the infrastructure they have now back when outsourcing started in the 1970’s

      we paid for their factories

      it would have been better to pay india than china

    136. Gordon Allen says:

      Lisa B. Here in SW Florida the landscaping company and the pool cleaners are OWNED by Hispanics and are great workers. And Trump voters.

    137. lisab says:

      and the greenies who chase american industry out of the country because it is dirty and pollutes

      ummmmmmmm … i have lived in china

      the country is a pile human crap

      on top of a pile of toxic chemicals

      on top of lead paint

      sprinkled with pollutants

      all covered in a nice layer of smog

      but the tourist areas are nice

    138. Gordon Allen says:

      And paid by electronic deposit.

    139. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      The Quinn Florida Poll shows Biden +3 ,but three weeks ago Quinn had Biden +11.

      The Quinn Ohio Poll shows Biden +5, the same lead Mrs. Clinton had in Ohio in Quinn’s last 2016 OH Poll.

      The Quinn Iowa Oill has Ernst(R) +2 in the Senate race.

      The Siena/NYT No. Carolina Poll has Biden & Cunningham +3. It also has more Republican crossovers to Democrats and Indies supporting Biden by 15%. Sorry, but these data points do not happen in NC. Right, Wes?

    140. lisab says:

      Here in SW Florida the landscaping company and the pool cleaners are OWNED by Hispanics and are great workers.
      ———————-

      i don’t think illegals can legally own a company in massachusetts

      the reason for the front is because they are expected to pay taxes

      the state will look the other way if you hire an illegal

      but not if you don’t pay taxes

    141. Greymarch says:

      Liking what I am reading about FL. Not just the bogus polls (some of which surprisingly have Trump ahead in FL. However, all the polls are bogus, left and right.) Other factors: early-voting returns by political party in FL. Voting enthusiasm for Trump in FL. Practically impossible to poll rural GOP voters in the pan-handle. Fact that 2016 and 2018 mid-term elections the GOP gained across the board in FL. The pros from Dover seem to think FL is slowly turning more and more red. Not quite sure why, considering states like AZ and NC are slowly turning blue. Well, regardless, if FL is turning red, I’ll take it. Out of all the battleground states, I now feel FL is Trump’s best state. It’s certainly Trump’s most important battleground state. The moment Fox News calls FL for Biden, you can turn off your TV and find something else to do for the rest of the night. The moment Fox News calls FL for Trump, it’s probably gonna be a long night (or heavens forbid weeks) before we know who the next prez is.

      https://redstate.com/bradslager/2020/10/29/in-florida-the-electorate-continues-to-defy-the-polls-n271568

    142. chris says:

      With 50% of registered voters casting a ballot so far, Dem lead in NV down to 43,500.

    143. lisab says:

      the funny thing i remember about the forbidden city in china was the guide saying,

      “in year abc the first forbidden palace was completed. it is made out of wood. because the emperor was going to lay off a bunch of eunuchs who were building the palace … they burnt it down.

      in year def the second forbidden palace was completed. it is made out of wood. because the emperor was going to lay off a bunch of eunuchs who were building the palace … they burnt it down.

      in year ghi the third forbidden palace was completed. it is made out of wood. because the emperor was going to lay off a bunch of eunuchs who were building the palace … they burnt it down. etc.”

      all i could think was …

      ok … new rule … this time build the palace out of stone …

    144. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      138. Not to mention blocks of ugly, monotonous high rise housing, which resemble termite mounds. It is the leftist new urbanist vision of how U.S. cities should look. Crowd people into high density housing.

    145. lisab says:

      oh … and i was briefly detained by chinese border guards

      they through open the train coupe doors and when they saw i was an american they said, “come with us”

      i was traveling with an older lady from texas at the time, who started going off on the “stupid chinese …” only she wasn’t saying “stupid” …

      and a young french guy, who kept yelling, “they want a bribe! pay them a bribe!”

      and i just kept my mouth shut and politely answered their questions.

      the other two were so annoying and i was polite, so they i think they just decided to let me go.

      it was cool though … they had a giant crane that lifted the entire train car off the wheels of the train and moved the car onto another set of chinese train wheels, because russia and china have different train gauges

    146. lisab says:

      Not to mention blocks of ugly, monotonous high rise housing, which resemble termite mounds. It is the leftist new urbanist vision of how U.S. cities should look. Crowd people into high density housing.
      ——————–

      actually i rather support that, but yes it is true

      (although i don’t support the ugly part, basic housing is a good thing for people)

    147. lisab says:

      ** they **threw** open the train coupe doors 🙂

    148. NYCmike says:

      “(although i don’t support the ugly part, basic housing is a good thing for people)”

      -Vast majority of people think that “basic housing is a good thing for people”.

      The issue is which policies to put in place to get that basic housing, and who will be responsible for its upkeep/maintenance.

    149. Greymarch says:

      Most of the polls certainly look better for Biden than Trump, but there are some good Trump polls out there, yet Wissing refuses to post them on his front-page. His TDS is ruining the credibility of his site.

      I gotta think if Trump wins, that will push Wissing over the edge, and he will end this site. That would be a shame. If that happens, hopefully someone, somehow will let us know where (before Wissing closes down this site) to congregate for chatting about polls. I would miss this crowd.
      🙁

    150. lisab says:

      being a blonde in asia in the 1990’s …

      i highly recommend …

      i don’t think i paid for a dink anywhere in asia … and i used to drink a lot 🙂

    151. LewisS says:

      How many of you remember the site, Polipundit? That used to be the best site around.

    152. chris says:

      I used to read polipundit back in 2004

    153. MikeP says:

      LewisS,
      I think a lot of the “old” HHR migrated from when there disruption of the Polipundit

    154. lisab says:

      girlscouts delete tweet congratulatng the new judge barret

      A tweet by the Girl Scouts congratulating new Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett drew such outrage from Barrett’s critics that the youth organization swiftly deleted it – only to draw a new backlash from Barrett’s supporters.

      The original tweet, posted Wednesday evening, said, “Congratulations Amy Coney Barrett on becoming the 5th woman appointed to the Supreme Court since its inception in 1789.”

      The post featured an image of Barrett, who was confirmed Monday and sworn in at the court on Tuesday; along with currently serving justices Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor; former Justice Sandra Day O’Connor; and Barrett’s predecessor, the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

      The post was quickly attacked by critics who view Barrett, a conservative, as a potential threat to civil liberties and women’s rights.

      “What kind of patch does one earn for uplifting a woman who is the antithesis of justice?” tweeted U.S. Rep. Ayanna Pressley, D-Mass.

      Actor Amber Tamblyn tweeted that the Girl Scouts’ post is “really disappointing and won’t age well when access to safe abortion and the healthcare needs of millions of women and girls is gutted in this country because of Barrett’s addition to the court.”

      Actor Zach Braff was among numerous people who tweeted about seeking alternatives to Girl Scout cookies due to disenchantment with the Barrett posting.

      “(asterisk)Googles ‘How do you make your own thin mints,’” Braff tweeted.

      As the online criticism mounted, the Girl Scouts deleted their original tweet and posted a new statement.

      “Earlier today, we shared a post highlighting the five women who have been appointed to the Supreme Court. It was quickly viewed as a political and partisan statement which was not our intent and we have removed the post…. Girl Scouts of the USA is a nonpolitical, nonpartisan organization. We are neither red nor blue, but Girl Scout GREEN. We are here to lift up girls and women.”

      The retreat by the Girl Scouts was quickly assailed by many of Barrett’s conservative supporters.

      “Of course the @girlscouts caved to the mob and deleted this tweet congratulating Amy Coney Barrett. SAD,” tweeted the Independent Women’s Forum.

      “This is pathetic,” TV personality Megyn Kelly tweeted to the Girl Scouts. “It’s not ‘partisan’ to generically congratulate the 5th woman ever to join the High Court. It’s patriotic. Taking your tweet down (asterisk)is(asterisk) partisan, however, and a real disappointment.”

    155. lisab says:

      “we give more help to race horses than to college students” (joe biden)

    156. buster says:

      Poli was transfixed on immigration.

    157. boomtapp says:

      What did I miss that led to a 7% swing in (D) favor on betting sites in North Carolina?

    158. lisab says:

      the dems were collapsing on predictit

      someone is pumping money in

    159. BRENT says:

      Yes, Virginia and Colorado are in play for Trump
      October 29, 2020 | bort

      Posted on 10/29/2020, 11:10:03 AM by bort

      I just posted shocking numbers out of North Carolina that show that white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are way over-performing in early voting. http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3899468/posts

      Now check this out from Colorado and Virginia:

      Colorado–

      In 2016, per exit polls conducted by CNN, white voters cast 78% of all votes in Colorado. Breaking this 78% white vote down: whites with a college degree cast 45% of the total votes in 2016, while non-college whites cast 33% of Colorado votes.

      In 2020, as of today, whites have cast 87%(!) of all the early votes. And this 87% broken down by education: 39% of white early voters have a college degree, while 48% are non-college educated.

      In sum, in Colorado, the white share of the early vote electorate is currently 9 points higher than in 2016, and non-college educated whites went from being 8 points behind in voting in 2016 to 9 points ahead in 2020 early voting.

      Virginia

      In 2016, per CNN exit polling, 67% of all voters in VA were white. Broken down by education, college-educated whites were 38% of the VA electorate, while non-college whites were 29%.

      In 2020, currently 78%(!) of the early vote electorate is white: 35.6% college-educated whites, 42.5%(!) non-college whites. Let that sink in: white, working-class voters are up from 29% in 2016 to 42.5% of the VA early vote electorate as it stands today.

      In sum, the white vote in VA is way up, the white working-class vote is way up, while the college-educated white vote is down. That is good news for Trump and down-ballot races in CO and VA.

      Folks, the polls are not picking up this surge of white voters, and especially the surge of working-class white voters. Yes, VA and Colorado are in play.

    160. Stonewall DW says:

      158 – probably the Jensen poll PPP-D of NC, because they built a reputation of knowing the state even though they are always wrong.

    161. phoenixrisen says:

      Heck yeah I was on Poli as early as Bush Gore 2000! Knight hawk, Rightwingyahoo, Chekote to name a few.

      OT, Trump and his campaign have to be ecstatic with their ground operation. 175K gap in Florida with a net 200K plus super voters more than the Dems for Election Day? The battleground state ground game has been an absolute juggernaut.

    162. Sean says:

      Does anyone recall if predictit moved towards Hillary the last few days before the election in 2016, as the MSM was releasing its polls?

    163. BRENT says:

      Shocking North Carolina Early Vote Nugget
      October 29, 2020 | bort

      Posted on 10/29/2020, 10:09:25 AM by bort

      I have been posting daily reports on North Carolina early voting numbers. Based upon a review of the numbers, I think it is probable that Trump will win NC by double the 3.8 points he won by in 2016. Check out this golden nugget in the North Carolina early vote numbers:

      2016—per CNN exit polling, 70% of the 2016 NC electorate was white, 30% non-white. Breaking this 70% white NC vote down by education: 37% of 2016 NC white voters had a college degree, 30% did not have a college degree.

      2020—73% of the current early votes are by white voters (73% !). Even better, when this 73% is broken down by education, only 29.4% of the NC early vote electorate are whites with a college degree, while, get this…..44.4% are whites without a college degree.

      Folks, we are seeing the same thing in Florida and Nevada. In Florida, Democrat turnout is highest in older, more working-class retiree counties that Trump won in 2016. In Nevada, rural counties are posting huge numbers.

      Translation: Even polling firms that have numbers friendlier to Trump are not picking up this surge in non-college whites. And its going to get worse for Democrats, as disproportionate numbers of mail-in ballot requests came from more highly-educated counties like Wake and Durham, and these ballot returns have been drying up for days.

    164. Stonewall DW says:

      In my own door-to-door work in VA, came across a Filipino man working in his driveway, when he learned what I was there for, he got a big smile and put up his thumb like Trump does and said in his broken English…’ah…Trump…four more year!’

    165. Sy says:

      Biden’s campaign staff or the social media company he hired are posting on twitter… claiming to be Republicans but voting for Biden.

      They think people are stupid.

    166. Wes says:

      Sheeple,Jr. says:
      October 29, 2020 at 3:49 pm
      The Quinn Florida Poll shows Biden +3 ,but three weeks ago Quinn had Biden +11.

      The Quinn Ohio Poll shows Biden +5, the same lead Mrs. Clinton had in Ohio in Quinn’s last 2016 OH Poll.

      The Quinn Iowa Oill has Ernst(R) +2 in the Senate race.

      The Siena/NYT No. Carolina Poll has Biden & Cunningham +3. It also has more Republican crossovers to Democrats and Indies supporting Biden by 15%. Sorry, but these data points do not happen in NC. Right, Wes?

      If that happened it would be the first time ever, Sheep.

    167. hugh says:

      I sure it was because we were getting trounced on predictit. What you are see now is stupid money being spent to create a narrative.

      Btw over 31K now in FL.

    168. phoenixrisen says:

      Holy crap Brent. Uhhhhhh, I am wondering if this is projecting not a 3-4 point PV Trump vote win, but maybe as high as a 5 or six point PV win. This non-college white numbers are absolutely stunning. They went for Trump by nearly 40 points in 2016. If that margin holds but there is a higher turnout in that demographic which looks to be substantial, Biden is looking at getting blown out and the House is definitely in play.

    169. Stonwall DW says:

      Dem collapse in FL continues. Gap now just 170,726.

      GOP also holding on to their supervoter remaining edge.

    170. phoenixrisen says:

      Thinking out it, didn’t Trump get like 69% of non-college whites in 2016? Can’t remember off the top of my head

    171. RuRu says:

      Nevada: Macro trends looks encouraging – are the trends enough for a Trump win?

      As I’ve suggested, Hispanic voting may be the real shocker nationally. In Nevada, Hispanics made up about 20% of the electorate in 2016 and Clinton won that vote around 60% – 30%.

      There were about 1.1 million total votes in 2016 and Clinton won by overall by about 27,000 votes – with Hispanics being around 220,000 of that total.

      So, the breakeven would have been say a 54% – 36% – which would have produced around 27,000 incremental votes.

      In light of polling trends, can Hispanics in NV move from a 60 – 30 split in 2016 to a 54 – 36 split in 2020. That is certainly on the table.

      Ralston, for example, simply assume no change.

      So, while macro trends are friendly in NV, I suspect the Hispanic vote change will be a material incremental friendly shift to Trump as well.

      NV is liely much closer than the betting public understands.

    172. Tina says:

      Dw, this is interesting, if true.

      Larry Schweikart
      @LarrySchweikart
      ·
      40m
      http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3899493/posts…

      “Freeper” bort points out that indeed CO and VA may be in play because
      *MUCH higher % of white males voting
      *MUCH higher % of non-college voting.

    173. Stonewall DW says:

      Hmmm…

      University of New Hampsire

      2016 Final Poll

      Hillary 49 (+11)
      Trump 38
      Johnson 6
      Stein 1

      2020 Final Poll:

      Biden 53 (Biden +8)
      Trump 45
      Jorgensen 1

      UNH prior poll was Biden +11

    174. Pitchaboy says:

      I have been post there for over a decade. Ran into this site by chance. Conservatives in the Indian American community are an endangered species. I am a libertarian/conservative and this place gives me a chance to express my opinions. Sometimes I am a bit too optimistic, but it beats pessimism anytime.

    175. Pitchaboy says:

      Posting here. Damn autocorrect.

    176. Robbie says:

      Even though the overall national case count continues to rise, there are some small signs of optimism.

      First, the slope of the increase since mid September has been a bit shallower than what we saw over the Summer.

      Second, if there is a 6 week or so increase that leads to a peak, then we’re approaching that time frame. Ethical Skeptic on Twitter pointed towards next week and I had eyeballed the second week of November.

      Third, several states which saw the first increases this Fall have seen their increases slow down and even level off in the seven day moving average. MT and OK both appear to be topping.

      Fourth, the states which saw large increases over the Summer are not seeing corresponding increases now. FL, GA, and LA are all examples.

    177. GF says:

      174- DW, my only quibble with second guessing UNH (or other college pollsters finding Biden at or slightly above 50% in various states) is that quite often, HRC was in the mid-40s, with Trump in the high 30s or low 40s; DJT was able to win almost all the undecided and swing a few HRC respondents.

      Allowing a repeat of that puts DJT at 47-48 max, leaving Biden to slip by of those generic margins are correct.

    178. Perikles says:

      I have posted a few times over the years, but pretty rarely. The discussions about changes in NC voting trends seem to have some basis.

      My wife and I have been working the polls handing out GOP voter guides. The voting location is in suburban Wake County. We have noticed that the most enthusiastic “customers” for the Republican guides (after white men) are African-American women. My wife and I came to the same conclusion independently after working different corners of the street.

      Very encouraging.

    179. Stonewall DW says:

      based on early voting data and exit polls:

      Real American Politics
      @RealAPolitics
      WISCONSIN MODEL:
      Trump – 50.87%
      Biden – 48.21%

      four years ago they had:

      Real American Politics
      @RealAPolitics
      ·
      18m
      CLINTON – 49.09%
      TRUMP – 46.72%

    180. Smack says:

      Current 2020 FL All Early Voting

      DEM: 40.14%
      GOP: 37.94%

      Final 2016 FL All Early Voting
      DEM: 39.80%
      GOP: 38.34%

      It’s coming…

    181. Stonewall DW says:

      GF, very possible. My larger point is that the garbage polling showing Trump down 19 points in NH are what they are. Garbage.

    182. Akula_KS says:

      I believe that a “go fund me” page should be started for Bruce Springsteen. Air fare to Australia is expensive.

      What is the waiting time for his immigration visa?

    183. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Two observations on the election:

      !.) Unless your are the type of person who enjoys visiting convalescent homes, you really cannot get excited about Biden. Believe it was lisab and I who first pointed out last year that Biden was mentally off. By default, Trump appears to be the only candidate really campaigning;

      2.) One effect of the semi-lockdown now is that it is preventing a lot of the person-to-person campaigning, that is important to get a high turnout. In San Diego County, all the voters were sent absentee ballots. Yet only about 1/3 have been returned. There are a few sites that personal voting can be done. But the pandemic may result in a low voter turnout.

    184. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Trump War Room – Text TRUMP to 88022
      @TrumpWarRoom
      · 35m
      JOE BIDEN: “My son’s business dealings [in China] were not anything what everybody that he’s talking about, not even remotely, number one.”

      https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1321912349926838275

    185. Tina says:

      Yikes

      WATCH: Biden campaign spokesman Jamal Brown does NOT deny that Joe Biden met with Hunter’s business partner Tony Bobulinski, who is now blowing the whistle on the Biden family’s Chinese pay to play scheme.

      https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1321916502631682051

    186. Stonewall DW says:

      185 – I have been wondering when Biden would pull the old Don Knotts’ “Barney Fife” gag…like when Barney was trying to hide a baby in the jail cell and the Mayor came in to talk, and suddenly the baby made a noise, and the Mayor asked Barney? “What was that?” and Barney said, “I didn’t hear any baby cry!”

      Someone should ask Biden, “Why did your son Beau commit all these crimes?” He might just reply, “It wasn’t Beau, it was Hunter”

    187. NYCmike says:

      #187 – 🙂

    188. jaichind says:

      Winston Group poll

      https://www.winningtheissues.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Winning-the-Issues-Sept-II-2020-National-Survey.pdf

      Question:
      a) True free speech and freedom of belief do not exist in this country today
      because of political correctness – 50%
      b) Free speech and freedom of belief exist in this country, and you can feel
      free to speak your mind – 37%

      More signs of hidden Trump vote

    189. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      If Biden somehow losses this election, the recriminations within the Democratic Party will be awful. Bernie supporters are going to demand full control.

    190. NYCmike says:

      ” Bernie supporters are going to demand full control.”

      -I would pay to watch that……although I don’t think I would want a ringside seat, as it may get violent.

    191. NYCmike says:

      When is the request for the ballot made?

    192. Hugh says:

      179. If charter schools are big in NC that may be why. It’s a wedge issue with black women with kids in charter schools

    193. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida

      Current 2020 FL All Early Voting

      DEM: 40.12%
      GOP: 37.95%

      Final 2016 FL All Early Voting
      DEM: 39.80%
      GOP: 38.34%

    194. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Rump rally in NC canceled due to heavy winds. Kind of surprised since Rump supporters are quite used to big gusts of hot air.

      CHOMP CHOMP

    195. GatorBJ says:

      @197 that’s just… sad.

      Why don’t you let me take it from here? I think HidenWithBiden needs a neck rub.

      Scamper along, child

    196. Tina says:

      Breaking

      James Rosen
      @JamesRosenTV
      · 4m
      EXCLUSIVE: A @TheJusticeDept official confirms that in 2019, the @FBI opened up a criminal investigation into “Hunter Biden and his associates,” focused on allegations of money-laundering, and that it remains open and active today. More very soon on your @WeAreSinclair stations.

    197. Perikles says:

      194. Agree on the charter schools – it is a big issue. Wake county schools were, on average, considered to be quite good almost 20 years ago when we moved here. My son’s elementary school dropped from a “9” rating in 2003 to a recent “2” due to bussing and poor leadership.

      Maybe it is a case of “all politics are local”.

    198. Stonewall DW says:

      Difference in FL now just 166016. A disaster for Biden.

    199. Tina says:

      Breaking

      China Biden to Wisconsin tomorrow.

      Last minute scheduling change.

    200. GatorBJ says:

      Tina says:
      October 29, 2020 at 5:36 pm
      Breaking

      China Biden to Wisconsin tomorrow.

      Last minute scheduling change.
      ———————————–

      Saturday: Minnesota
      Sunday: New York
      Monday: Massachusetts

    201. Tina says:

      Who are the associates?

    202. Hugh says:

      FL late picking up steam today. Over 35k.

    203. NYCmike says:

      I guess I shouldn’t have asked Smack to do the beginning and the latest totals…..now he is only giving percentages!

    204. Hugh says:

      Win or lose Bidens reputation will be destroyed when his son is in jail. Maybe Biden can avoid it but what a loser.

    205. LewisS says:

      Hugh,

      Over 35,000 gain for Rs in FL with only 300,000 votes cast (VBM + In Person). That an *increase* in the rate of gain from earlier this week.

    206. Stonewall DW says:

      Gap now 164592 and dropping fast.

    207. Stonewall DW says:

      Robert Barnes
      @Barnes_Law
      ·
      28m
      Headline from Nevada by Democratic early vote journalist is relevant outside Nevada: “More rurals, more GOP crushing.”
      Quote Tweet

      Jon Ralston
      @RalstonReports
      · 48m
      I updated the early voting blog.

      More rurals, more GOP crushing.

      But Trump needs them to have a significantly bigger share of the vote to have much chance in Nevada.

    208. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Please get your hopes up about Nevada. Please!

    209. Smack says:

      All Early Voting – Florida
      ———

      Current 2020 FL All Early Voting

      DEM: 40.10%
      GOP: 37.97%

      Final 2016 FL All Early Voting
      DEM: 39.80%
      GOP: 38.34%

      What is going on with Polk County? No new votes today.

    210. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      According to the UNH Poll of NH CD-1, the Incumbent Democrat is now 2 pts. behind the GOP candidate. This might be a golden pick-up opportunity.

    211. GF says:

      Anyone have the latest raw numbers? That’s an impressive narrowing, I hope that this weekend and Souls to the Polls 2.0 doesn’t inflate the lead too much.

    212. Cash Cow TM says:

      Leftist D freshman congresswoman Abigale Spanberger’s opponent is State legislator Nick Freitas (R).

      The TV ad running repeatedly to slam Freitas says he is Satan reincarnated because as a state legislator he was the only one who voted against some bill that provide help for kids with autism.

      That all you got?

    213. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #210- Gator D–khead

      Thank you. I think I will. Read Jon Ralston’s blog–he is literally gagging when he updates the early voting in the State. Go Running Rebels of the NV GOP!

    214. LewisS says:

      With super Dem Ralston’s NV reports showing surging rural Republican vote (and Republicans holding their own in Clark County and Washoe), and with the exceptionally strong R early vote in Florida, these facts don’t square at all with media polls.

      We all keep noting it, but it bears repeating that the chatter from the pundit class is not at all matching what’s actually happening thus far in early voting.

    215. GatorBJ says:

      I started my week expecting to win FL. Now I’m just hoping we hold onto California!!!!!!!

    216. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      I wonder if Gator D–khead is ready to do the right thing tonight and concede Florida as a Trump win on Tuesday.

    217. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      215 – Ralston is still quite confident and for good reason. Likely a 100,000 Clark County vote lead. The only one gagging is Lindsey Graham.

    218. LewisS says:

      GF,

      Last week’s Souls to the Polls only saw about 320,000 votes cast as opposed to the 400,000 to 450,000 votes cast most week days of early voting.

      Rs won last Sunday by 11,000 ballots and their % of vote has been increasing all week relative to Ds.

    219. dblaikie says:

      Ralston is getting down right cranky. He is tying himself up in knots to try and show a Biden victory in the silver state. Look despite Clark County throwing all its mail-in ballots into the hopper the Dem lead is only about 47000. Nevada is not a slam dunk yet, but if the cows come home and Washoe keeps voting in person like it has been Trump is going to win.

    220. Annie says:

      217. As for California…
      Just saw a bunch of cars and trucks driving around my town flying Trump flags and the Stars & Stripes. It was an amazing sight! I live in the People’s Republic of Davis – possibly the most liberal town in California behind Berkeley.

    221. Tima says:

      Tim Murtaugh
      @TimMurtaugh
      ·
      9m
      BREAKING: DOJ confirms they opened a criminal money laundering investigation into Hunter Biden & associates in 2019.

      Tony Bobulinski is a material witness in the active & ongoing case.

      Bobulinski says he met with JOE BIDEN twice.

      Biden campaign has not responded yet tonight.
      Quote Tweet

    222. RuRu says:

      Just FYI – only selective counties are open for same day vote in FL this Sunday – most are the heavy Dem counties. Not sure why Reps don’t follow suit – but they don’t. So, might well expect this Sunday’s numbers to be worse.

      Unfortunately, we will have to hold our breath during this Sunday’s reporting.

    223. michael corleone says:

      Ralston keeps moving the goalposts. He said Ds should want an 87K Clark lead (it’s currently at 73k and Ralston admits it won’t hit 87k) and a 54K statewide lead at end of the early vote. The statewide lead is currently south of 42k and will continue to move downward if IPEV trends continue. It may be smaller than the 2016 margin at end of early voting (45k), but should be smaller than the population adjusted 54k even with the mail coming in over the weekend. HRC only won NV by 2 points. It is tight. Ds will win in the end because of fraud in Clark (Clark is not disclosing how many ballots were returned as undeliverable so you can do the mat there . ..) but this trends won’t be limited to NV.

    224. LewisS says:

      Is it true that some of the Panhandle is doing in person voting through Monday?

    225. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      BOOM

      New Hampshire Poll:

      Biden 58% (+19)
      Trump 39%
      Jorgensen (L) 1%

      ARG, 10/26-10/28

    226. RuRu says:

      Also FYI, Washington is being boarded up now in advance of potential unrest next week.

      I guess those nasty Trump supporters just might riot in DC.

      Think about how fearful this country is becoming of the radical left.

    227. Cash Cow TM says:

      I knows lots of Hollywood stars, musical stars, movie stars, entertainment stars, etc. feel hell bent to make endorsements in the presidential race. Now it has filtered down to people filling other high profile jobs.

      Here, some of the people I interact with weekly have now decided to tell me about who they are endorsing, backing and voting for in the presidential election.

      –The guy who works at the gas station–Phil R. Upp–gives a 2 minute speech to each customer telling why he is endorsing Trump–before he pumps gas in the tank of their vehicle.

      –Marge Inofvera, (the teller at the drive thru window at the bank) is all dressed in antifa and BLM garb and wearing a T-shirt that says “Vote For Biden or I’ll Kick Your Ass”. She also takes a knee to protest social injustice with every transaction which slows down the line considerably. She also spends several minutes telling each drive-thru customer why she is endorsing Biden.

      –Dee Menshea (my favorite clerk at local the 7-11), before she takes each customer’s money, she speechifies why she is endorsing Trump.

      –Sarah Toenin (Mrs. Walt’s beautician) has each customer watch a 30 second video of her endorsing Trump before she allows them to sit in the chair.

      I think each of these folks–movie stars, famous singers, gas pump jockeys–thru their endorsement, have the same degree of influence deciding who I will vote for!

    228. Tgca says:

      I was originally confident of a Trump win of around 325 EV and 49% of the popular vote, assuming strong GOP turnout and indie support but I must say I’m nervous and watching all the talking heads in the MSM, the polls, the sympathy for Hunter Biden nationally, and the experts here like Gator a few days before the election, and I’m now thinking Trump lost his opportunity and Biden will win with around 650 EV, maybe more and 70% of the popular vote too as it looks like we may near 300M voters.

    229. Smack says:

      michael corleone,

      Yep. Ralston is struggling with the numbers before him.

      Nevada is going to be tight, tight…tight.

    230. Smack says:

      Current (5:30pm) 2020 FL All Early Voting

      DEM: 40.08%
      GOP: 37.97%

      Final 2016 FL All Early Voting
      DEM: 39.80%
      GOP: 38.34%

    231. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      In San Diego County, 937,000 total ballots have been received 48% of the total possible.

      Saw these percentages of ballots returned from other states”

      Florida 52.5%
      Texas 51%
      Georgia 48.9%

      It is estimated that 80 million Americans have already turned in their ballots. 47 million ballots came in before election day in 2016.

    232. Scooterboy says:

      Have to admit, I would have liked the Rust Belt numbers in the Baris polls to have been a little better. Just as I thought, this thing is going to be really tight.

    233. JeffP says:

      What I think is funny is Ralston is not even mentioning the GOP vote lead of over 4K in Washoe in early vote…a county Clinton won by 2K that is a net 6K so far. Trump is the game for sure in NV.

    234. JeffP says:

      When I look at the posts at the end of work and see the early vote totals in NV and FL…I cannot help but think that Trump is going to win by well over 300 electorail votes.

    235. Pitchaboy says:

      Trafalgar MI: DJT +2.5
      BOOM!!

    236. LewisS says:

      Scooter,

      Regarding Baris’s Rust Belt numbers:

      (1) I really do think there’s a shy Trump voter, whether it’s because they’re afraid to answer pollsters or just don’t want to bother. Just look at NV – the RCP average is 4.6% but Ralston is suggesting NV will be super, super close.

      (2) Baris notes that “undecideds” are clearly leaning Trump. I think they’ll break for Trump in the end.

      (3) Baris notes the least likely to vote in his polls are Ds and the most definitely/most excited to vote in his polls are Rs.

      It seems like Big Mo is clearly on Trump’s side.

    237. Tina says:

      Lil Wayne and Nicklaus endorse Trump.

    238. RuRu says:

      237 – spot on! Let that one sink in.

      Nevada is clearly trending trump.

    239. mnw says:

      By way of comparison with what we discuss, here are 3 of the 4 top headlines at FOX homepage:

      1) McConnell Says ’50/50 Chance’ GOP will lose Senate Majority;

      2) Cornyn Predicts Texas Will Be “Much Closer” Than In Past Elections;

      3) Arizona Democrats Make History: Outpace GOP For First Time In Early Voting;

    240. JC says:

      Pitchaboy says:

      Trafalgar MI: DJT +2.5
      BOOM!!

      ————–

      Isn’t it funny that the pollsters who got it right in ’16 and ’18 are saying that Trump is ahead, while the media polls who were often wrong by double digits… Is saying Biden is ahead by double digits?

      Funny.

    241. mnw says:

      That new Trafalgar MI poll makes me breathe a little easier tonight.

    242. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      @FrancisBrennan
      WOW, Even MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough had to admit President Trump’s economy is BOOMING!

      “It’s a historic number…Donald Trump is going to be able to run around and say the economy grew at a record rate the highest rate ever. Period end of sentence.”

    243. Hugh says:

      FL now up 39k for the day. May still top 40k. Another crushing day for reps. But we still have to overcome the msm polls. Votes don’t really count.

    244. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

      Michael Moore: ‘Don’t Believe These Polls’

      https://hotair.com/archives/john-s-2/2020/10/29/michael-moore-dont-believe-polls/

    245. Hugh says:

      Fox News is as bad or worse than the rest of them because fox has abandoned its base audience. The others never pretended to be anything but hacks.

    246. Smack says:

      High,

      Polk and Sarasota numbers have not come in yet tonight so yes GOP will get to +40,000 today.

    247. JeffS says:

      Obama : “Joe’s got a lock on 19 states. I’m concerned about the other 38.”

    248. Tina says:

      Yikes

      Marco Rubio
      @marcorubio
      · 21m
      Biden advisers say if elected he will abandon @jguaido and start talks with #Maduro

      Read it yourself here:

      https://nytimes.com/2020/10/27/world/americas/joe-biden-latin-america-policy.html…
      Show this thread

    249. JC says:

      Baris said that when polling, Trump supporters are way more likely to cancel the interview than Biden backers… By a factor of 10 to 1.

      For every Biden supporter who cancels the interview, thee are 10 Trump voters who do the same. And this is just with people who are willing to begin the interview in the first place. Imagine how many Trump supporters just straight out refused to be polled period.

      Baris calls this ‘non-response bias’, and it probably explains these ridiculous polls showing Biden flipping states like Wisconsin by 18 points, which is obviously wrong. This simply does not happen in modern American elections. We are too divided for it.

    250. mnw says:

      Hugh

      In the 3 stories I mentioned, “FOX News” isn’t doing the talking. McConnell, Cornyn, & the EV #s from AZ respectively are doing the talking.

      FOX homepage online heretofore has been extremely Trump-friendly.

      I never turn on TV, except for Blues hockey games*, so I have no idea what FNC itself has been saying.

      *And I’m giving up watching the Blues too, because they cancelled games to honor George Floyd.

    251. Tina says:

      Twitter needs to do a warning on this.

      Amy Klobuchar
      @amyklobuchar
      · 50m
      BREAKING: Because of LAST MINUTE ruling, Minnesota DO NOT put ballots in mail any more.
      In the middle of a pandemic, the Republican Party is doing everything to make it hard for you to vote. Stand up for YOUR rights:

      Vote in-person or take mail-in ballot directly to ballot box twitter.com/stowydad/statu…

    252. JC says:

      Tina says:

      Yikes

      Marco Rubio
      @marcorubio
      · 21m
      Biden advisers say if elected he will abandon @jguaido and start talks with #Maduro

      ———–

      If there was even a sliver of a chance for Biden to win Florida, he just killed it.

    253. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      255 – sad. Republicans really are scared of people being able to vote.

    254. LewisS says:

      In FL in 2016, the final vote share of Miami-Dade versus 3 R counties of Lee, Collier and Sumpter was +150,000 D.

      In early voting the partisan vote share between these 4 counties is +37,000 R.

    255. Brion says:

      Gbj don’t want them to vote twice, illegally or out of state, everyone else yes! Your an idiot

    256. mnw says:

      253 JC

      That’s very interesting. It’s consistent with my own intuition. Many GOP voters have JOBS; FAMILY & A LIFE. DEM voters are more likely to be YOUNG; UNEMPLOYED; SINGLE (or single moms) & thus have plenty of free time available for telling pollsters how virtuous they are.

      I think (in some cases I KNOW) that our trolls fit the profile I’ve described. I’ll bet every troll who’s ever posted here has taken msm polls.

    257. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Had another great day calling voters today, this time in Georgia. Top of people’s mind was getting this virus under control and a return to decency and normalcy from our leaders. The enthusiasm is through the roof for Biden and Harris in the peach state. So many first time voters and former republicans. It’s such an impressive coalition.

    258. Gatorjoel says:

      Keep dreaming deplorables that your boy is going to win again. The early voting numbers in Texas and NC point to a Biden win. I also think Florida surprisingly will go to Biden. Even Wes has not piped in like usual with his certainty that Trump will win.

    259. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      North Carolina is going to be Blue Devil blue this year. Not that ugly Tar Heel blue.

      CHOMP CHOMP

    260. lisab says:

      thus have plenty of free time available for telling pollsters how virtuous they are.
      —————————-

      like gatorbillyjoel

      even robbie does not post as much as gato

      and robbie doesn’t have a job

    261. Gatorjoel says:

      Trump tanking on Predictit in every major swing state! Now ahead in NC and almost ahead in GA and Fl!!!

    262. lisab says:

      Scottish Hate Crime Bill Would Criminalize Offensive Dinner Table Conversations
      ———————–

      have they never met anyone from scotland?

    263. lisab says:

      oh gahd … biden is flying to minnesota

    264. Hugh says:

      I’m thinking Florida now trump plus 3. To easy!!!

    265. lisab says:

      Three dead, man and woman beheaded, several others stabbed in attack…

      Terror suspect kept yelling ‘Allahu Akbar’ even after arrest” …

      Skynews: “Not immediately clear what the motive was” …

    266. LewisS says:

      I’m seeing more and more pundits thinking the covid politics may have changed. Richard Baris noted that Trump is now even with Biden on covid in NC.

      Others are noting that some of the NV Culinary and other Clark County voters may be scared of additional lockdowns in the future and therefore vote Trump, or at least not vote D.

      With covid back in the news and the draconian actions of France, Spain and other countries making headlines again, it’s reasonable a lot of voters may vote Trump to avoid new lockdowns.

    267. gatorjoel says:

      Where is Wes w his data on why Trump will win NC? Am guessing he is absent because the data looks awful!! Wake county, Durham County and Mecklenburg carry Biden to a win!!

    268. gatorjoel says:

      Where is Wes w his data on why Trump will win NC? Am guessing he is absent because the data looks awful!!

    269. LewisS says:

      To put a finer point on #270… voters voting Trump as a counterweight to what a Biden admin would mandate on covid restrictions.

    270. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      I’m sure he’s waiting for the latest talking points from Larry Shyster. He is an expert at analysis – only missed the house by 50 seats in 2018.

    271. lisab says:

      you should bet wes on the nc result

    272. Tina says:

      Check Az, I think covid is also neutral.

      Vsccines and antibody drugs aren’t just around the corner.

    273. Gatorjoel says:

      Happy to bet him dinner at the Angus Barn in Raleigh! He can go there without a mask (if he thinks COVID isn’t dangerous) or with a mask if he is smart, assuming the place is still open given the rise in cases.

    274. mnw says:

      I hope the EV data in other states looks as “bad” for Trump as it does in NC.

      Troll obviously hasn’t paid any attention to what Wes has posted here today. Clueless R Us.

    275. Greymarch says:

      #267: In my #114 post, I said MN looks close, and it should be close. Hilary only won it by 1.5pt.

      Biden going to MN just a few days before the election, the most precious time he can spare of the entire campaign?!? That’s a bad sign for the Biden campaign. Really bad.

      Poor trolls. You post something you think will shake conservatives to their core, then you crash to reality when you see Biden’s final actions of the campaign.

    276. LewisS says:

      For all the talk of D early voting in NC, there’s been no surge at all of voting in the biggest D counties.

      I haven’t checked today’s numbers, but as of earlier this week, the biggest D counties of Buncombe, Orange, Durham, Wake, Mecklenburg, Guilford, Cumberland have early voted in just about the same % as their 2016 vote.

      The biggest R counties (by % of R vote) are also voting in about the same numbers as in 2016.

      Status quo to 2016.

    277. JeffP says:

      275 lisab LOLOL

    278. Annie says:

      266. lisab…

      I have a sneaking suspicion that Scotland’s Secretary for Justice, Humza Yousaf, is not an ethnic Scot.

    279. buster says:

      Lot’s of great thought, angst along with occasional trolling on this board. In my mind, these are the key points I look at for the election;

      1) Who has Trump lost that voted for him 4 years ago? Whoever he lost due to Covid was most likely gained with the decisions he’s made.

      2) New voter registrations favor the republicans, especially in the battleground states.

      3) The last 2 Democrats to win the presidency were extremely charismatic individuals. Biden is the antithesis of this.

      I may be wrong, but absent voter fraud, especially through VBM and ballot harvesting, this cake is baked.

    280. JC says:

      @280 LewisS

      The Trump team has to be happy with a status quo in NC, especially when everyone expects the GOP will win a bigger share of the Election Day vote than usual.

    281. PresidentPaul! says:

      “My Resignation From The Intercept

      The same trends of repression, censorship and ideological homogeneity plaguing the national press generally have engulfed the media outlet I co-founded, culminating in censorship of my own articles.“

    282. lisab says:

      Happy to bet him dinner at the Angus Barn in Raleigh!
      ——————-

      you should bet him a lot of money

    283. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Michael Moore would be a lousy troll:

      “Michael Moore famously predicted Trump’s win in 2016. Today he appeared on the Hill’s show Rising and warned that the presidential race could be closer than it appears, especially in battleground states: “Trump has tightened virtually every one of these swing states to the point where—what are they saying this morning…Biden’s 5 points ahead in Wisconsin, maybe 3 points ahead in Florida, 2 points ahead in Arizona.”
      “Listen, don’t believe these polls, first of all, and second of all the Trump vote is always being undercounted,” Moore said. He went on to suggest that when pollsters call Trump voters they are not likely to get the truth out of them. Moore admitted his opinion was not scientific but based on his own instincts, “Whatever they’re saying the Biden lead is, cut it in half right now in your head. Cut it in half and now you’re within the four point margin of error.” “That’s how close this is,” he added.”

    284. Tina says:

      163,000 sans polk, dade, and Sarasota per Cotto.

    285. PresidentPaul! says:

      “I’ll be on Fox at the top of the 8pm ET hour to talk about the events of today, my departure from the Intercept, the article about the Bidens that was censored, and what it reflects about broader media culture and the election.“
      -GG

    286. eriepa says:

      Had another great day calling voters in Pa. Top of peoples mind was Bidens corruption and dementia. The enthusiam for Trump is through the roof. So many African-Americans voting for Trump. See how easy that is.

    287. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1321907299145887746?s=21

      “ Here’s the article that I wrote about Joe Biden’s conduct in Ukraine & China, based on Hunter’s emails and other witness testimony, along with a critique of media lies designed to protect the Democratic candidate, which The Intercept refused to publish:”
      -GG

    288. Tina says:

      Lil Wayne WEEZY F
      @LilTunechi
      · 2h
      Just had a great meeting with @realdonaldtrump @potus besides what he’s done so far with criminal reform, the platinum plan is going to give the community real ownership. He listened to what we had to say today and assured he will and can get it done. Call me hand

    289. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Its going to be very close.

      MICHIGAN
      Trump 49% (+2)
      Biden 47%
      Jorgensen 2%
      @trafalgar_group
      , LV, 10/25-28

      PENNSYLVANIA
      Biden 51% (+5)
      Trump 46%
      FLORIDA
      Biden 50% (+3)
      Trump 47% .
      NORTH CAROLINA
      Biden 49% (+1)
      Trump 48%
      @Harris_X/@thehill, LV, 10/26-29

      TEXAS
      Trump 50% (+4)
      Biden 46% RMG Research/
      @ScottWRasmussen/@politicaliq, LV, 10/27-28

      ARIZONA
      Trump 49% (+4)
      Biden 45%
      @Rasmussen_Poll
      , LV, 10/27-29 https://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_trump_48_biden_45

      IOWA
      Trump 47% (+1)
      Biden 46%
      #IAsen:

    290. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      283. “The last 2 Democrats to win the presidency were extremely charismatic individuals. Biden is the antithesis of this.”

      Nonsense, morticians find him charming.

    291. Gordon Allen says:

      Other than Harris these polls aren’t bad. Trump’s enthusiasm and GOTV will have him overperform each state by several points.
      Since I believe I know Florida best Harris is off probably 6 points in Florida,which if replicated elsewhere puts us in good shape.
      But even in the best scenario the networks will clearly refuse to call states for Trump on Election night.

    292. lisab says:

      Nonsense, morticians find him charming.
      ———–

      the chines too

    293. buster says:

      We know the DNC is the power of attorney for Biden’s Living Will.

    294. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      295 – yes, except for the 99% of polls, the polls don’t look too bad for Rump. And if you squint enough, I look like Brad Pitt.

    295. mnw says:

      293 SDC

      As to IA, you posted “IAsen:”

      Were u going to post their IA Senate poll? Is “IA” Insider Advantage, I’m assuming?

    296. PresidentPaul! says:

      Collins opponent came out for court packing in the debate.

      We might yet save the Maine senate seat.

    297. NYCmike says:

      “We might yet save the Maine senate seat.”

      -Been saying for months not to write off Maine and Colorado……things happen……

    298. Gil says:

      Win or lose, does the Trump Justice Department appoint a special prosecutor in the Hunter Biden laptop criminal activity?

    299. Gil says:

      When will the big guy, DW, stat the predicting post?

    300. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      This Federal Appeals Court ruling, if it stands, definitely places MN in play by cutting-off the potential for fraud like the Al Franken victory. Slendid!

      “Federal appeals court rules mailed ballots must be received by Election Day in Minnesota, cutting weeklong window

      Posted on 10/29/2020, 9:04:42 PM by springwater13

      A federal appeals court ruled Thursday that mailed-in ballots in Minnesota must be received by elections officials no later than Election Day. The 2-1 ruling — a win for the Republican challengers to the state’s plans — cuts off a weeklong window after Election Day where state officials had planned to receive ballots that had lingered in the mail. The court found the Minnesota secretary of state’s accommodation went against a state law that said ballots delivered by mail to elections officials after 8 p.m. on Election Day should be marked late. “The Secretary’s instructions to count mail-in ballots received up to seven days after Election Day stand in direct contradiction to Minnesota election law governing presidential elections,” the ruling stated. The decision tackles absentee ballot deadlines in a battleground state a day after the US Supreme Court declined to wade into plans in Pennsylvania and North Carolina to continue to accept ballots after Election Day.

    301. Hugh says:

      Hunter will be in jail for being a pedo. The other stuff will depend on who wins since the fbi is rotten to the core.

    302. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Maine voters support court packing.

    303. NYCmike says:

      #302 – scorched earth!

      That is the only way to show that the Democrats are corrupt, the media is biased, and that there is only 1 set of rules for everyone.

      Odds of this happening? 1 out of 5.

      (What is difference between getting a special prosecutor with running something thru the Justice Department?)

    304. Gordon Allen says:

      BTW Harris X national poll Biden 49-45 with a D+5 sample. There’s nothing objectively that tells me the actual electorate will be D plus 5 Nov 3.

    305. Annie says:

      301. Word is that about 35% of the California Latino vote is going for Trump – which would be remarkable. If so, I imagine Latinos (especially men) in Arizona and Colorado might also be voting for Trump in bigger numbers.

    306. Robbie says:

      Jennifer Jacobs
      @JenniferJJacobs
      Fauci said no return to normal before the end of 2021, at least, as coronavirus outbreak continues.

      – I don’t remember electing Anthony Fauci to anything, but he still seems to think he has control over everyone’s lives. The ego this little turd has is massive.

      Give him another Presidential Medal of Freedom, right?

    307. JC says:

      There is a theory I have that has generally proven to be true, and it is why I believe Trump will win again.

      Simply, people generally prefer to vote for someone or something, rather than against it.

      We’ve seen this play out in 2012 and 2016. Romney voters didn’t vote for Romney so much as they voted against Obama. And I maintain that Hillary’s biggest misrake was making the election all about how bad Trump was.

      On the other hand, both Obama and Trump offered vision and hope to their supporters. Both felt like the candidates who had bold plans and big ideas. They stoked the imaginations of their supporters. Romney did not. Clinton did not.

      Biden is making the same mistake. He has no visions. No hope. No bold ideas. His entire election strategy is that Trump is bad and he is not Trump. He is the anti-candidate. Biden backers are not so much voting for him as they are voting against Trump.

      Trump supporters are voting for Trump. They love him and are inspired by him. Who do you think is more likely to get out and vote?

    308. JC says:

      Gil says:

      When will the big guy, DW, stat the predicting post?

      ——-

      Gil, I remember you nailed the election in 2016. Got the closest by far.

      Gil says:
      November 7, 2016 at 10:31 am
      EV
      Trump – 304
      Hildebeast – 234

      Senate 53 R – 47 D
      House R 234 D 201

    309. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Just heard your savior Baris has soured on Rump in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Doesn’t sound like any of the Rust Belt is going his way. He must be trying to save any credibility he may have had so he is now saying Biden is going to win.

      That, or you all didn’t send enough money.

    310. LewisS says:

      JC,

      I agree with you and history agrees with you regarding voter enthusiasm.

      Has there ever been a presidential candidate as uninspiring as Biden. He literally is getting less than 100 people to attend major events.

      However, this is where VBM has helped him. It’s easier for the less enthused to return a piece of mail rather than wait in line for 1 hour to vote for Biden.

      I still don’t think it will be enough to save Biden but there’s no doubt Biden would have gotten crushed if it was a matter of who showed up on election day.

    311. eriepa says:

      How did the phone banking go today Gator? Between the phone banking and posting under various handles, you earning minimum wage yet?

    312. PresidentPaul! says:

      Breaking: FBI launches investigation into Biden Crime Family.

      https://twitter.com/donaldjtrumpjr/status/1321987267070775296?s=21

    313. PresidentPaul! says:

      ???BREAKING: The FBI has an active criminal investigation into the Biden family and their business associates that is focused on money laundering.“

    314. Pitchaboy says:

      The larger question is why is a D coming out in the nth hour if DJT is a sinking ship in MI

    315. jaichind says:

      318. MSN coverage of this news would be “Putin infiltrates FBI”

    316. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #319- Pitch
      As usual, Gator D–khead is blowing smoke out his arse. Here is Baris’ Michigan report today. It’s bullish for the President.

      Peoples_Pundit
      @Peoples_Pundit
      · 11h
      Inside The Numbers: No Wonder Biden Needs Obama Back in Michigan https://pscp.tv/w/cmlw4TFQbUVxT0R3Um56S298MXZPeHdrcmpXak54QpJKp4KsjG4Hsez2twiJ1ecYU4gCV3jW9CgLKQA8taks

    317. MichiganGuy says:

      The GOP’s Congressional Leadership Fund dropping $17.46 million in ads in 41 races tonight
      .
      1,210,166->#MN01
      1,044,729->#IL13
      1,010,646->#GA07
      966,632->#NM02
      943,988->#UT04
      843,090->#NY22
      818,527->#MN07
      754,694->#FL26
      748,928->#CA25
      728,106->#IA01
      581,859->#TX24
      529,682->#AR02
      529,678->#SC01
      524,965->#PA10
      520,191->#IN05
      513,681->#TX22
      489,371->#NJ02
      456,406->#OK05
      387,943->#OH01
      364,341->#NE02
      360,417->#CA21
      357,458->#IA02
      346,558->#VA07
      320,313->#NY02
      319,746->#NY24
      318,549->#VA05
      240,231->#NY11
      222,000->#NY01
      219,140->#MTAL
      215,974->#NJ07
      189,625->#CO03
      79,675->#NC11
      67,524->#FL15
      59,950->#NC08
      46,250->#WI03
      36,038->#TX10
      33,333->#MI03
      23,019->#IL17
      20,000->#AKAL
      17,683->#NV03
      488->#VA02

    318. PresidentPaul! says:

      https://twitter.com/magaglam/status/1321980265053351937?s=21

      Fbi has the goods on hunter. Biden is trying to run out the clock so he can issue pardons.

    319. lisab says:

      breaking: the fbi has concluded their investigation of the biden family and think it might be a russian disinformation campaign

      we put top men on this investigation …

      top men

    320. PresidentPaul! says:

      “Joe Biden personally removed 45 million in cash”

    321. lisab says:

      even democrats cannot pardon a pedophile

      hunter would have to plead guilty to minor tax fraud or something like that in exchange for dropping all other charges

      and then he could get probation

      and harris could pardon him

    322. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #322- MichiganGuy
      Kind of late in the “game”. No? Why not wait until next Wednesday to spend this money?

      What’s your take on the Presidential and Senate races in Michigan?

    323. mnw says:

      MG

      Some surprises there. Omissions as well as inclusions. I wouldn’t have thought Burgess Owens in UT-04 needed money like that. Mace in SC isn’t on the list– either they think she’s home & dry, or they think she’s a lost cause. I suspect it’s the former.

    324. Big Joe says:

      Strange to see blue polls coming out of my adopted home state of Georgia.

      A few thoughts:

      1. In the Senate special election, the big story is who will finish 2nd and advance to the championship round. To that end, that race is basically the Collins vs Loeffler show. The ads are vicious and they bloodied each other pretty good at a recent debate. The question then becomes can the Republicans unite to win the runoff. Another question is will the Democrats come out a 2nd time to vote in a runoff.

      2. Georgia is a state that’s been trending towards the Democrats over the past few cycles.
      2004 Bush 58 Kerry 41 – R+14
      2008 McCain 52 Obama 47 – R+12
      2012 Romney 53 Obama 45 – R+12
      2016 Trump 50 Clinton 45 – R+7
      Migration to GA continues, the Atlanta suburbs continue to grow, the large AA population is more engaged. There’s no reason to think that it won’t be R+4 or R+5 this time around.

      An R+4 or R+5 GA means that a 4-5 point Biden national win makes the state a tossup. A 7 point Biden win nationally will likely flip the state.

      3. Grampa Joe is a good match for Georgia. His appeal to AAs and college-educated whites will help here. He is a bad match for a state like Nevada which relies on the Latino vote.

      4. Runoff rule hurts the Dems. Democrats have shown over and over that they simply will not vote a 2nd time in a runoff.

      5. There’s an outside chance that even if Biden flips the state, that GA’s electoral votes will still go to Trump. Republicans have full control. As far back as 2015, there was talk about the state sending it’s own slate of electors.

      So GA is a state on the move. I can definitely see a scenario where Florida goes to Trump while Georgia goes to Biden (unlikely though). GA may even be in a position to leapfrog NC as a bluer state. Over the next several cycles, GA will become very important as the Rust Belt slips away from the Democrats.

      BJ

    325. lisab says:

      i doubt biden can do better than hillary against trump %-wise

    326. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Georgia was stolen from Abrams in 2018 and it’s gotten much bluer since then.

    327. jason says:

      Michigan Democrat Rep. Debbie Dingell sounds the alarm: “It’s tightening here in Michigan.”

      “Yesterday, I had some of the autoworkers, who I thought were going to go back to Joe Biden, were very clear with me…they’re voting for President Trump.”

    328. jason says:

      Georgia was stolen from Abrams in 2018″

      LOL

    329. Waingro says:

      #331, wait it wasn’t stolen. She’s the real governor I thought?

    330. eriepa says:

      Georgia was stolen from Abrams in 2018? She should have hid it under her dress, noboby would of found it.

    331. bartman says:

      Save your tears for Wednesday Mastergator. You know that Abrams tried to whine her way into office.

    332. phoenixrisen says:

      That is going to be a heavy lift Big Joe. Georgia is a redder version of North Carolina but I would agree that Democrats are going to target that state and Texas in future elections to offset the shift to the GOP in the Rust Belt. I would like to see the GOP starting to dump some more dollars re-building the party in California as that is going to become key. I have heard a lot from people who live in California that many are very unhappy with what the far left has done to San Francisco because that used to be such a beautiful city. Obviously it will have to begin in Orange county and go from there.

      Gator, Abrams lost. One thing that is common about Democratic candidates who are women, they are colassal sore losers.

    333. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Wish I could say i was surprised by the ugly comments about her weight and appearance and the sexism from this crowd, but I’m not.

    334. eriepa says:

      Dont forget homophobic and racist

    335. Hugh says:

      What is the dem view on pedophilia and incest? And degenerate crackheads with no skills making millions from daddy’s political connections?

    336. PresidentPaul! says:

      Outragious

      https://twitter.com/johndurant/status/1322002278467870722?s=21

      “ Dollars to donuts, this is a deep state effort to discredit the real Biden / Bobolinski story by releasing an immediately false one that the media can then cover as discredited.

      Releasing an intentional deep fake to discredit the truth.0

    337. PresidentPaul! says:

      Eous….

    338. MichiganGuy says:

      #327 Better late than never. As far as Michigan goes it will be close. I believe Trump wins Michigan by 2 points. John James will win the Senate race by 4 points. People here are tired of the lockdowns and they have more faith in Trump when it comes to the economy. In the past two weeks, the president campaigned in Muskegon; Vice President Mike Pence was in Grand Rapids and Oakland County; Eric Trump traveled to Novi, Lansing and Clinton County; Lara Trump campaigned in Freeland and Hanover; Ivanka Trump toured Alto and Donald Trump Jr. campaigned in the Upper Peninsula. The Trump campaign has just been saturating Michigan. I don’t know anyone who voted for Trump in 2016 and now will vote for Biden. I do know many people who voted for Clinton in 2016 and is now voting for Trump.

    339. PresidentPaul! says:

      I like the UP. I used to go up there, and every highschool, middle school and grade school had a snow mobile parking area since that’s how eveyone got to school in the morning.

    340. Scooterboy says:

      New @trafalgar_group
      #2020Election #BattlegroundState #FLpoll conducted 10/25-28 &released exclusively tonight on @IngrahamAngle shows growing Trump lead:
      49.6% @realDonaldTrump,
      46.9% @JoeBiden,
      1.5% @Jorgensen4POTUS,
      1.4% Other,
      0.7% Und. See Report: thetrafalgargroup

    341. PresidentPaul! says:

      Trump actually has a favorable map even though all of them are tough wins.
      Pa or Mi means outright victory

      Wi or Mn means a 269 tie

      I’m not sure NV gives a path?

      Four paths to victory

    342. Gatorbillyjoel says:

      Georgia is going blue. Even a few posters in here seem to be conceding it.

    343. The Godfather says:

      Trafalgar Florida poll tonight

      Trump up by 3 on Biden

    344. PresidentPaul! says:

      If trump loses georgia then hes not winning any of those other four either.

      I dont think that state is where the battle will be fought.

    345. eriepa says:

      Gator, must be because Stacy Abrams is eating away at the Republican vote, Chomp Chomp.

    346. Scooterboy says:

      New @trafalgar_group #2020Election #BattlegroundState #NVpoll conducted 10/28-29 &released exclusively tonight on @IngrahamAngle shows shrinking Biden lead:  
      49.4% @JoeBiden,
      47.1% @realDonaldTrump,
      1.7% @Jorgensen4POTUS,
      0.9% Other,
      0.9% Und. See Report: thetrafalgargroup

    347. PresidentPaul! says:

      352-does nevada even matter?

      I like that trump has four dice roles to win. Even if Biden were favored by a percent or so in each one of the four states, having four roles still seems decent.

    348. Scooterboy says:

      N/T