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    Youngkin Surges Ahead in VA By 8%

    A poll that is almost impossible to believe but seems to have set the political world on fire. Fox News has released a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Virginia that shows Glenn Youngkin surging ahead of Terry McAuliffe by an almost hard-to-believe 8%.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Fox News)
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 53%
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 45%

    This poll was done October 24-27 among 1015 likely voters.

    Posted by Dave at 9:21 pm
    Filed under: General | Comments (102)

    102 Responses to “Youngkin Surges Ahead in VA By 8%”

    1. Skippy says:

      BOOM!

    2. jason says:

      Silverhack just couldn’t bring himself to show Youngkin….

      Get ready to laugh.

      https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/79af68f666a5dda78b4e693fa3f1061aab93afa2f7ffae4da3ed9a8c1578fb35.jpg

    3. Bitterlaw says:

      From the last thread:

      Tgca- I do not like you. You burned every bridge and I will never forget or forgive some things you said. However, you also should never forget or forgive some things I have said. I read more than I post now. It gives me time to think.

      I noticed that in the context of discussing vaccine passports you often compare it to forcing gay men to prove they are not HIV+. That deadly scourge must have taken so many of your friends and people you cared deeply about. It must have been a very scary time. I am sorry you had to endure that. I know people still get infected but at least there are treatments that can prolong lives. I would not wish that disease on anybody.

    4. Wes says:

      Typically of them, RRH is going into overtime trying to tell us TMac will still win.

    5. mnw says:

      Wes

      Yep. Time for a rescue poll, too.

    6. Wes says:

      Can someone translate this gibberish from RRH for me?

      Generally aligns with the idea that MacAuliffe would be favored in a high-turnout race, but that Youngkin is cleaning up in terms of intensity right now. Well find out in 5 days how true that is.

    7. Tgca says:

      Siete Bebe! Siete!

    8. mnw says:

      Wes

      I responded to that. Mocked “generally aligns.”

      If McA going from a big lead among RVs just two weeks ago to McA being -1 among RVs today “generally aligns” with McA being the favorite, that must be some sort of new math.

    9. jason says:

      Tgca- I do not like you.”

      Zzzzzz…..

      I never let personal feeling interfere with my comments.

      GFY.

    10. DW says:

      Now that would be outside MoF if true

    11. Tgca says:

      I only bring up HIV as an example to demonstrate the hypocrisy by gays who believe Covid vaccines should be mandated now. I remember when people thought gay men should not work in schools or hospitals or restaurants or family members did not want gays visiting their homes or around their children or straight friends would no longer drink from the same cup or share a dessert off the same plate for fear of catching HIV or other diseases. The fact now that gays are treating others similarly after such treatment in the 80s and early 90s is extraordinary hypocrisy to me.

      As an example, I worked with a college educated AA woman who as a youngster went to schools when segregation still existed in the 40s and 50s and knew 1st hand what discrimination felt like but she would no longer go to her gay hairdresser because she was concerned of what diseases she might catch from gays. That’s really interesting view since many of the reasons for continued segregation was absurd arguments that AA were more likely to transmit diseases to whites.

      It is AMAZING how people who often were discriminated against will turn around and do the same to others and excuse it away as we’ve seen even here at HHR.

    12. Tgca says:

      10

      OMG! I’m sure I won’t be able to sleep tonight now.

      *snoooooooore*

    13. Tgca says:

      I have known many people to have died from AIDS, and many at a young age in their 20s and a number younger than me. Some I did not like or find to be decent people and others who I was fond of.

      For the longest time, there was shame associated with getting AIDS and dying, as if people deserved it like in the age when syphilis killed many.

      Does someone who practiced unsafe sex or having numerous sexual partners deserve to die any more than people that do drugs, drink or smoke heavily or live otherwise recklessly? They are all behavior related so I see no difference in them with respect to shaming and blaming folks.

      So to me, AIDS is like any other disease, only it got you quicker than most other diseases that took decades to wreak havoc on the body.

      That being said, I personally do not understand why many young gay men are still reckless just like I don’t understand how people who are hard core drug users are so reckless with their lives. All I can say is life is complicated.

    14. mnw says:

      TG

      Needle drug users are indifferent to death. Exh A: Clorox kills the HIV virus dead. Microbes don’t LIKE Clorox. Needle druggies won’t bother to drop a dirty needle in a glass of Clorox; then drop it into a glass of water to rinse the Clorox off; and THEN shoot up. Too much trouble!

    15. Tgca says:

      MNW

      When I lived in San Francisco we had a serious drug problem with folks lingering around certain neighborhoods, often on the major streets leading to tourist areas.

      I lived in a high rise for 14 years and there were a few local homeless and druggies that were there that whole time. I watched one young lady age so quickly and she ended up with her leg amputated and often had sores on her face and arms but she hung and slept in the same area for 14 years.

      It is unbelievable how many can survive for years but probably most do not. My friend lost her son to an overdose of heroin in his early 20s and most of his acquaintances went the same route including his girlfriend.

      I think these severe drug users lack the capacity to reason and think through many of the safety precautions because if they could, they probably would not be doing heavy drugs in the 1st place. Generally, addicts do not have the same emotional or mental development as others their age, especially if they started the addiction at a young age so it is not rational to expect them to make rational decisions.

      It’s a sad life but unfortunately it’s part of life you see in the big city.

    16. Tgca says:

      MNW

      I could also say it does not take rocket science to tell gay men to use a condom if they’re going to engage in certain sex practices but to this day, we have about 30,000 annual cases of new HIV infections with about 70% of them gay men.

      I think sometimes people either kid themselves into believing it won’t happen to them, don’t care, give in to peer pressure to those who refuse to use condoms, or lack preparedness.

      Whatever the reason, to most it seems irrational behavior but to them it it may not seem irrational. You could argue the same with unwanted pregnancies. For the same reasons noted above, I can’t for the life of me understand why ABORTION is still a big issue today.

    17. Bitterlaw says:

      I use needles and I’m indifferent to death. After 40,000 shots, it rarely hurts. However, addicts have to injection vein while I can inject into a muscle or fat.

    18. mnw says:

      I once saw famous legal scholar Judge Richard Posner say, FROM THE BENCH, referring to heroin addicts, “Some of them die,” meaning, “so what?”

    19. mnw says:

      BL

      But you don’t use dirty needles, so you’re not quite as indifferent to death.

      The prevailing mood tonight across the conservative blogosphere about the FOX poll is: cheap cynicism.

    20. Bitterlaw says:

      I used to not really care about what happened to people stupid enough to use drugs. Then it was younger and younger people dying. I see a lot of injured workers who get hooked on pain meds. Many workers comp carriers will pay for rehab. It is cheaper than years of paying for the meds and they might go back to work if they get clean.

    21. jason says:

      Investors taking the Fox News seriously.

      Youngkin now favored to win VA Beach 76 (+7)-20 (-14)

      Chesapeake 68 (+19) -37 (-15)

      Overall state

      Youngkin 47 (+11) McAuliffe 57 (-11)

      Should flip tomorrow with the Baris poll, already tweeted Youngkin is ahead.

    22. Tgca says:

      I used to take 4 allergy shots a week. Routine needles don’t bother me at all.

      I watch the blood go into the test tube when I get blood drawn.

      I never understood why blood being drawn made people faint or freak out.

      But then I don’t understand how people eat fish either as it is the most disgusting thing EVAH…except maybe Rosie O’Donnell naked and spread eagle…but I digress.

    23. jason says:

      Famous or infamous Predictit poster Rainbow Jeremy
      is also skeptical

      “Youngkin 3+ is surging as MAGALoids deny the inevitable truckloads of mail ballots that suddenly appear at 4:30am election night in Fairfax and Arlington. They weep as these unexpected votes are counted and Youngkin wins 2% of them or less.”

    24. jason says:

      I stay away from plant food and have no allergies.

    25. jason says:

      However PI Joe is not having it.

      “TMac under 1% surging as LibTurds deny the inevitable by thinking that 140 percent of Fairfax county will vote 99 percent Tmac.”

    26. Hugh says:

      Betting should be reversed right now. Dems in denial. Fox polls are a joke but only because they lean so far left. The race won’t be close. 3 pints or more Youngkin. All the momentum is with Youngkin. Undecideds will break hard towards Youngkin. No chance of changing the trajectory on this one.

    27. jason says:

      I hope Youngkin trained a few thousand observers to witness the count in Arlington, Fairfax, and Richmond.

    28. Tgca says:

      Its very frustrating to understand addicts but I also have compassion for how the f*ck someone got so lost and ended up there. I just can’t comprehend losing that much control but maybe that’s because I’m a bit of a control freak so I’m not wired to understand that.

      As for meds addiction, that I can see. Having had enormous amounts of physical pain over the years and 8 corrective surgeries, I can see how folks get addicted to pain meds. I would always take the minimum pain meds and even stretched them out as far as I could after my spinal surgeries. I had quite a bit left over and could’ve generated some extra cash had I been desperate.

      I hated feeling woozy and not clear headed so I tolerated pain without meds until it became intolerable. Hence, I developed a high tolerance to pain over time.

    29. Tgca says:

      25

      Actually, my worst allergies were my pre-vegetarian days. Now that I think of it, I’ve not needed shots since I became a vegetarian.

      Conclusion:
      Give up meat and eat tofu and allergies go away. Yay!!!

    30. Tgca says:

      Actually, having traveled and lived throughout the US, I often had to adapt to new environments and that’s when my allergies were worst.

      When I 1st moved to San Francisco, I suffered from hay fever like crazy. It took about 10 years to adapt to the CA environment before I got better.

      Same with Floreedah. It took about 3 years with aggressive regimen of shots weekly and now I rarely even sneeze in Floreedah.

      Environment has a lot to do with it when you got a Bad Ass immune system that wants to f*ck up any intruders at 1st sight.

      Hence, the reason some should be wary of Covid vax because it could cause body immune system to overreact and my biggest concern was a cytokines effect from a mRNA virus in addition to nerve paralysis.

    31. Tgca says:

      Has anyone seen the price of tofu lately? Geez!

    32. mnw says:

      Baris tweet 15 minutes ago:

      “Youngkin +8 is like McAuliffe +8 in 2013. A generally accurate picture of the momentum in the race, but an unfair/unlikely margin.”

    33. GF says:

      Baris probably has it at +4 R, maybe 50-46. That seems plausible, Youngkin has been at 48 the last week, and TMac probably slipped back a tad. Blanding probably gets her 2% protest vote in the end, so 51-47-2 seems like what we should see Tuesday night once the shouting is done.

    34. lisab says:

      But then I don’t understand how people eat fish either
      ———————–

      i love fresh fish

      used to get it right off the dock at chatham, welfleet and p-town

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=afhrpRXAZVM

    35. GF says:

      Lisa, there’s no fish in P-town, just sausage. You know that!

    36. Phil says:

      Well, in 2013, polls had McAuliffe up 8 and he won by 2 1/2….so if you go by that Baris probably has Youngkin up between 2 and 3. I’ll say a couple of points. At any rate, he’s one pollster with a great track record. He’s not a Republican hack either. He polled the Georgia Senate races in January and flat out said both Republicans were going to lose…then he polled both races right on the number.

      If he says Youngkin is up and has the big mo that’s good enough for me.

    37. Phil says:

      Oh, ok. I see he has the race at 46-44. About what I thought.

    38. GF says:

      That many undecided this late? What more do Virginians need to make up their minds? They either want their teenage girls raped by boys in skirts with no accountability, or they don’t. Simple as that.

    39. lisab says:

      Lisa, there’s no fish in P-town, just sausage. You know that!
      ————-
      not true

      lots of portuguese live in p-town, only half the town is gay

      and the have excellent fish, not as good as chatham, imo, but very good

    40. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      China and Russia plan to take full advantage of the fact the U.S. and Europe plan to deindustrialize in the name of combating “climate change”.

      “China said it’s sticking to existing climate change targets to zero out emissions, reducing the chances for more ambitious global action at the COP26 summit in Glasgow.

      The nation’s updated pledge under the Paris Agreement, known as a National Determined Contribution, reiterated the second-biggest economy’s plan to reach peak greenhouse gas emissions before 2030, and to hit net zero by 2060.

      “In offering no advance on key targets already outlined last year by President Xi Jinping, China will add to a hardening belief that major agreements on accelerating action to limit global temperature rises to 1.5ºC will elude world leaders at the Scotland talks. Xi isn’t expected to attend.”

    41. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Gallup poll finds 52% of Americans believe government doing too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses:

      “WASHINGTON, D.C. — Americans have shifted back to favoring a more hands-off approach for government in addressing the nation’s problems after a rare endorsement of a more active role last year. Currently, 52% say the government is doing too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses, while 43% want the government to do more to solve the country’s problems. In contrast, a record-high 54% of U.S. adults last year said the government should do more to solve problems.”

    42. Wes says:

      A new poll says Larry Hogan has skyhigh approval ratings in Maryland while Joe Biden, Chris van Hollen, and Ben Cardin all sport positive but middling ratings.

      If things deteriorate under Biden to the point where Hogan is legitimately competitive with van Hollen in a putative matchup, then 2022 is going to be a political bloodbath of epic proportions.

      Republicans last won a Senate seat in the Terrapin State in 1980 when Charles Mathias won his third and final term by 66-34 even as Jimmy Carter won the state in a losing bid for reelection. Van Hollen won in 2016 by a 60-36 margin. Republicans have topped 40% in a Senate race there exactly once since 1980–in 2006, when Cardin beat Michael Steele 54-44.

    43. jason says:

      I don’t see Hogan winning a senate race in MD. R Governors do get elected in deep blue states if they are seen as more competent on local issues, but Senate races are nationalized and party becomes much more important. In addition Hogan burned his bridges with conservatives in MD by attacking Trump gratuitously and unnecessarily so there would be little enthusiasm on the right. I don’t think there are enough Indies and Dems that would recognize him as a good governor and vote for him for the Senate.

    44. jason says:

      Dems think they might have “banked” enough mail in and EV votes for McAuliffe to still win even if Youngkin is up now.

      There are few problems with this theory. In the first place if Youngkin is that far ahead now it did not happen overnight. It could be that what McAuliffe said about parents started hurting him when he said it, and it is only really showing up in the polls now. It could be many of those votes he “banked” were not “swing votes” but solid D votes anyway, so banking them does not change the equation much.

    45. Cash Cow TM says:

      A song popped into Cow’s head.

      “Oh my O-B-G-Y-N
      He gets a big wide grin
      With my legs spread wide
      While he looks inside
      Oh my O-B-G-Y-N.”

    46. Wes says:

      I didn’t say Hogan would win, Jason, although the only poll showing a matchup between them showed him leading van Hollen. I understand the dynamics he’d be facing if he ran. The natural lean of MD on the federal level gives van Hollen a decided advantage. If Hogan did win, Republicans would probably be on their eighth takeover for the night after NH, GA, AZ, NV, CO, IL, and VT respectively.

      However, I did say if Hogan is legitimately competitive with van Hollen–who, let’s face it, hasn’t faced a competitive race since 2002–then that would be a sign of the deep trouble Dems are in nationally.

      I doubt Trump would be a factor. He got just 1/3 of the vote in two presidential elections. Hogan did what no other Republican had done in literal decades and won reelection as Governor–by double digits no less–in Trump’s midterm even as Republicans lost seven gubernatorial seats nationally. Attacking Trump would actually probably be a boon to Hogan since van Hollen would relish trying to link the two in one of Trump’s worst states.

      Is Hogan likely to win?

      Obviously the answer to that is no.

      Can he make the race competitive?

      Absolutely.

      That’s probably the best the GOP can hope for. If Democrats a year from now are shelling out money to try to shore up van Hollen, then I see no scenario where the Senate stays in their column.

    47. hugh says:

      45. Reading comments on Predictit that is exactly what they are now hoping for. FWIW a couple days ago Rove said that they are underperforming the EV for what they need to win. 2017 is not a good base to look at, because mail in voting did not become what it was in 2020 due to covid and strategy. % wise (total and who is early voting) it is just not going well for dems in his view. I think he is right. Dems are looking back at mail in ballots in 2017 and its just not relevant.

    48. hugh says:

      One other thought. Education has been a huge positive issue for dems. White suburbanites were all about supporting the schools and teachers. Voting for property tax increases, for the schools. Pouring in huge sums of money. However, now they know the dirty secret the teacher unions and school boards have behind their backs been undermining what parenting. It will not be soon forgotten by a large number of independent voting suburban women. The schools have been discriminating against white males for years, but now it is also white females. If we steal the school issue from them all they have left is racism and green energy. Finally, the primary predictor of a successful school is not the teachers or the money, but the parents in the area where the school is located. Putting huge sums of money into suburban schools is a waste. I have lived in FL where public suburban schools have much less funding and I have lived in Ohio where they funding is huge. No difference in the outcomes.

    49. DW says:

      Here is a headline…

      PETA petitions MLB to cancel the word ‘bullpen’ in the middle of the World Series

      …but I suppose if they called it a “Trans-Cow-Pen” that would be Okay.

    50. DW says:

      …oh and the Fox News Poll showing Youngkin ahead just means the Dems in Fairfax need to borrow a car with a larger trunk.

    51. DW says:

      And let me be the first to predict that on election day in Virginia there are going to be reports of people showing up to vote only to be told that they had already voted.

    52. Phil says:

      They’ll try everything possible to cheat in any way possible, DW.

      Democrats don’t give up power. They will have to be carried out kicking and screaming. If they succeed in stealing Virginia the only good news is that maybe, just maybe, some Republicans…… some on this site, who poo poo election fraud may finally wake up.

    53. jason says:

      I doubt Trump would be a factor. He got just 1/3 of the vote in two presidential elections.”

      I disagree. Hogan would need that one third of the electorate to be enthusiastic for him to have any chance.

      The fact he already pretty much gave up on it by stupid, gratuitous and unnecessary attacks on Trump signals to me he would not be competitive at all.

    54. jason says:

      Over at Predictit many of the Dems are now saying the cheat factor might be their only hope.

    55. jason says:

      For Hogan to be competitive he would need to start out with a strong position among the roughly 1/3 of the electorate in MD that is conservative.

      Then he would have have a solid majority of Indies based on his record as Governor. But even that is not enough, he would need some soft Dems too.

      Finally he would need to run against a weak opponent, like he did both times in MD and like Baker in MA did against Martha Coakley. But Van Hollen is not exactly a weak opponent.

      I don’t see much of that as viable.

    56. jason says:

      HHR fascists hardest hit.

      “All along the way, one justification was given for why such an encroachment on liberty was necessary: We must protect the vaccinated from the unvaccinated.

      In fact, that was the overwhelming theme in Biden’s angry, divisive speech on his private business mandate. He spoke of the unvaccinated as an evil, almost murderous segment of the population, and he did so again just last week when he joked about the unvaccinated not having the “freedom” to spread the virus. The clear indication from Biden and the entirety of the federal government has been that the vaccinated do not spread COVID-19.

      Yet, a new study confirms what many of us have been saying for a long time — the vaccinated not only spread COVID-19, but they do so at around the same rate as everyone else.”

      So basically there is no justification, even if it wasn’t a fascist practice, for private businesses to discriminate against those who have had COVID and those unvaccinated.

    57. jason says:

      Bloomberg
      @business
      Vaccinated people are just as likely as unvaccinated people to spread the delta variant to contacts in their household, a yearlong study found

    58. Phil says:

      Anyone who thinks Hogan would be competitive in Maryland is completely naive.

      ….plus he is a clown. In the Senate he’d make Murkowski look like a conservative. He’d be the ultimate Democrat’s useful idiot in the Senate.

    59. mnw says:

      61 Sheep

      That’s protected by a fierce paywall. Any important highlights?

    60. mnw says:

      CNBC: “Yellen Says Spending Bills Will Be Anti-Inflationary, Lowering Important Costs”

      CNBC: “Feds’ Favorite Inflation Gauge Reaches 30-Year High”*

      *(the ‘Core Inflation” rate)

    61. Tgca says:

      44

      Agreed? Hogan is a RINO POS! I would not vote for him as MD Senator. NOPE! Ain’t gonna do it! …even if I live in Floreedah!

      I also would not vote for him as POTUS. NEVAH! I would write in a candidate instead.

      This garbage view that he could expand the tent because he was a gubbernor in a Dem state does not take into consideration the lack of enthusiasm among conservatives and them turning out for him. My guess is that for every Dem vote he got, he’d probably lose 2 or 3 more conservative votes in POTUS election.

      Once I feel burnt by someone, I’m reluctant to trust them again.

      I only forgive and forget with my good friend Bitter because we have that Sewer State male bonding thing going.

      TG <3 Bitter

    62. mnw says:

      Baris will release his VA guv poll at 11am ET today.

    63. Phil says:

      Here’s one. Went from 50-47 last poll to 49-48. Internals are interesting. Youngkin has stretched his lead with indies from 8 to 18 yet continues to trail. In order for McAuliffe to still be ahead they are forecasting a much more Democratic electorate. That flies in the face of all other polls out there that forecast Republican enthusiasm adantage.

    64. Phil says:

      Washington Post poll is what I was referring to. Should be interesting what Baris has to say about both the Fox Poll and the Washington Post poll. His poll is Youngkin 46-44.

    65. mnw says:

      Thx, Phil

      On another topic,Adam Kinzinger has just announced his “retirement.”

      Honest to God, Newsweak (not a typo) spins this as, “Bad news for the GOP, as Kinzinger and OTHER CONSERVATIVES announce retirement.”

    66. Tgca says:

      57

      Jadon just doesn’t get it!

      It’s not that businesses WANT to discriminate against people. They MUST!!!

      Businesses need to consider the feelings of their patrons and that’s the basis for their legitimate discrimination.

      Feelings are important DAMMIT!!!

      If you’re uncomfortable sitting next to someone in a restaurant who may be unvaccinated, that is a concern because you won’t be able to enjoy your meal if you’re worrying, and then you may not properly digest your food and end up with diarrhea and businesses don’t want people to think you got diarrhea after eating at their place because of the food when it’s really your feelings of discomfort among the unvaccinated causing your diarrhea.

      That’s bad for business so it’s a personal health and safety reason the business is making to protect their patrons from unnecessary diarrhea at a minimum so gubbermint should keep out of these health and safety issues.

      At least with black people, you know they’re black and could just ask to sit elsewhere and then enjoy your meal.

      That’s what our HHR fascists understand that Jadon does not.

    67. mnw says:

      Phil

      How do you know that, pls? Are you just extrapolating from Baris’ comment last night, or do you subscribe & get advance info somehow?

    68. SoHope says:

      Looks like IA GOP will be accepting the 2nd draft of the commission redistricting instead of forcing a 3rd map they could modify and stack in their favor. It’s a reasonably friendly map that is probably a 3-1 or 4-0 map. I would have gone for the 3rd make and guaranteed 4-0 but whatever.

    69. jason says:

      Hogan would be better than Van Hollen, let’s get real. He would at least caucus with Republicans. I would trade him for Van Hollen in a nanosecond.

      But yeah, he is another delusional Stockholm Syndrome victim that thinks that the MSM is his friend and that Never Trumpers are the soul of the party.

      I think he is a jackass.

    70. jason says:

      I think it is all moot, I don’t see Hogan as being competitive for a Senate race.

      Maybe if he had kept his big mouth shut he could have kept Trump’s base and gotten a lot of conservative contributions from out of state to mount a legitimate challenge. He didn’t have to be a fire breathing Trump supporter, he could have just refrained from joining in with the Lincoln Project morons.

      Running as a Never Trumper is not going anywhere.

    71. JulStol says:

      So WaPo assumes a D+7 electorate (2020 was D+2. 2017 was ~D+7) & has McAuliffe up 1. Fox assumes an R+2 electorate & has Youngkin +8. That means their crosstabs match up. As of last week Baris said his inferred electorate was R+3 but he was modeling his #s as D+3.

      I still have $25 on McAuliffe on Predictit. If Youngkin wins I’m out $25 but am completely OK with it. If McAuliffe wins, I make like $12. Win/win.

    72. Tgca says:

      73

      Did someone say Lincoln project?

      You mean that group that targeted teen boys and young men with inappropriate sexual inquiries about their body parts and sought to get them political jobs?

    73. jason says:

      Why Kinzinger is stupid to think the Dems are his friends

      Marc E. Elias
      @marceelias
      Fixed it?

      Breaking News: Representative Adam Kinzinger, a prominent Republican critic of voting rights, announced Friday that he would not seek re-election in 2022. He implied he may seek higher office as a way to increase book sales and speaking fees.”

    74. jason says:

      “Our new Washington Post poll shows that EDUCATION is now the No. 1 issue for Virginia voters in the governor’s race, edging out the economy.

      In September, education voters favored McAuliffe by 33 points, but now they tilt toward Youngkin by nine points.”

    75. jason says:

      That’s a 44 point swing.

    76. Phil says:

      I’ll post Baris’s latest numbers when I get a chance. His latest numbers.

      Short answer….latest numbers not good news for T Mac.

    77. Tgca says:

      So communist Pope meets with geriatric early Alzheimer’s patient Biden and they discuss political and social issues but not ABORTION.

      That’s like Pope Pius XII meeting with Hitler and discussing everything else but Jews.

      Nearly 700K+ babies are exterminated and viciously slaughtered annually in the US and that’s not worth discussing?

      https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/10/29/no-mention-of-abortion-in-joe-bidens-meeting-with-pope-francis/

    78. Tina says:

      Can Putzaki comment?

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      · 23m
      Biden Job Approval – Inflation:
      Approve 34%
      Disapprove 59%
      .
      Biden Job Approval – Cost of living:
      Approve 35%
      Disapprove 58%

      .@Georgetown, 1,000 RV, 10/16-10/21
      https://politics.georgetown.edu/battleground-poll/october-2021/

    79. Tina says:

      Jack Posobiec Flag of United States
      @JackPosobiec
      ·
      32m
      A district court judge has issued a temporary restraining order blocking the Biden administration from mandating that civilian and active-duty military members are required to get vaccinated.

    80. Phil says:

      His model of the electorate is D+2. Certainly not skewing Republican. Reasonable. Says it could slide to D+1.

      49.5 – 46.5. Final numbers.

      Cross over vote the same with both parties. Difference is indies. Breaking hard for Youngkin. Went for Biden by 20 over Trump. Now going Republican by 14 and growing.

    81. Tina says:

      Lying Liz is trending on Twitter.

    82. mnw says:

      Thx, Phil

      Baris had it tied last time, didn’t he?

      My grandmother used to say than an independent was a Republican who was ashamed to admit it. Now it looks like the other way around.

    83. Tina says:

      Nunes memo all over, Remember when the chief Russian hoaxer, the Jebot, slammed Nunes?

      https://amgreatness.com/2021/10/28/the-freak-out-over-tuckers-january-6-documentary-begins/

    84. Gordon Allen says:

      There my 3 point cushion if accurate( against fraud) at 49.5 v 46.5. Believe that more than the crazy 8 points of Fox.

    85. jason says:

      Investors at Predictit think Brobson is the favorite for PA Supreme Court even without my vote.

      https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7565/Who-will-be-elected-justice-of-the-Supreme-Court-of-Pennsylvania-in-2021

    86. Phil says:

      Had, T Mac up three tenths of a percent last week I believe, mnw.

      I will be interested in Trifalgar’s poll results to be released soon. Not sure exactly when.

    87. Scooterboy says:

      Hi everyone. Haven’t been around in awhile, and actually just stopped by to ask a question.

      In a discussion on Twitter with someone who is trying to tell me that historically, Democrats have always outperformed Republicans Nationally on Election Day. Saying that only during the Trump years had this changed.

      I’ve always heard just the opposite to be the case, but can’t really find data to support it. I figured someone here would know which is correct, and might have some data to support it. Thanks !!!!

    88. Tina says:

      Fat slob needs a candy bar.

      xander S. Vindman
      @AVindman
      · 16h
      He is an anarchist; an arsonist of American democracy. How is this different than yelling fire in a crowded theater? Carlson is attempting to incite a riotous mob. He should be censured. I’d like to hear the arguments for/against this being protected speech. twitter.com/TuckerCarlson/…

    89. Tina says:

      Yeah, he needs to be outside of the Mail in margin of Fraud.

    90. jason says:

      Hey Scooter A-hole, welcome back.

    91. ssq says:

      I don’t know why Scooter asks questions, he is deaf and won’t hear the answers.

    92. jason says:

      Hey Scooter, I used to think the early/absentee vote favored Rs but that was years ago.

      I think it changed when Dems made a concerted effort to target this vote, while before people who voted absentee/early did so for a reason, and there were a lot fewer of these votes.

      And of course it varies a lot by states.

    93. Scooterboy says:

      I’LL HEAR YA IF YOU TALK LOUD ENOUGH !!!!

    94. jason says:

      NYT hit piece on Youngkin

      Glenn Youngkin faces criticism after hard right turn.”

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

      And….

      Glenn Youngkin Was a Traditional Republican. Then He Became a Culture Warrior.”

      Zzzzzz…

    95. DW says:

      If Youngkin is up two points, say 51/49, that would be about 50k vote difference. Child’s play for Fairfax.

    96. Hugh says:

      I listened to baris. His handicap is 70% Youngkin win with the trends likely to keep favoring Youngkin.

    97. Scooterboy says:

      Youngkin sounded awful upbeat last night. He said it’s not even gonna be close. That’s an awful bold statement to make considering how close everyone thinks it’s gonna be.

      Obviously I didn’t expect him to say he was gonna lose, but I sure didn’t expect him to brag about it not being close.

    98. lisab says:

      (ona, ??)

      my school — or rather certain people at my school, want teachers to start putting their pronouns on all correspondence …

      in particular so that people who contact us know which “side we are on”

    99. lisab says:

      (elle, elle)

      also, did anyone see jill biden meeting the pope?

      not very fashionable … i mean, dress up a little for the pope

      both mrs. trump and mrs. obama dressed up