McAuliffe Leads By 1% in VA
The Washington Post and George Mason University do not agree with the numbers we saw yesterday from Fox News and claim the race is still within the margin of error with Terry McAuliffe up by a single-percentage point.
GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (WaPo/GMU)
Terry McAuliffe (D) 49%
Glenn Youngkin (R) 48%
This poll was done October 20-26 among 918 likely voters.
frist
Dave W, “still within”?
If you had paid attention to the date ranges of the two polls, you would have noticed that the WaPo poll (10/20-26) was mostly taken prior to the Fox News poll (10/24-27), meaning the WaPo poll was more like other polls from last week, and not like the most current poll, which is Fox News.
What we are looking for is a poll with the same date range as Fox News to see if the movement they found is real.
We haven’t had that poll yet.
McAuliffe up by one?
…..with a D+7 sample. That sample is how likely come Tuesday? Consider the electorate in Va was only D+2 in 2020.
Their sample now shows McAuliffe losing indies by 18. Sorry, the WP internals don’t match up with their final top line number T Mac +1…unless you massively inflate the overall electorate towards Democrats….which they did.
And the FoxNews poll’s sample of 1,212 likely voters is the largest likely voter sample of any poll of this race yet.
I agree with Baris that the Fox poll is too optimistic. That said, it agrees with every other poll.in that
Independents overwhelmingly for R
the movement of the race since their last poll
The elevation of education as a main issue – bad for T Mac
Let’s see what the Trafalgar poll has to say.
(ona, eyo)
my school — or rather certain people at my school, want teachers to start putting their pronouns on all correspondence …
in particular so that people who contact us know which “side we are on”
—————————-
(elle, elle)
also, did anyone see jill biden meeting the pope?
not very fashionable … i mean, dress up a little for the pope
both mrs. trump and mrs. obama dressed up
McAuliffe up by one?
…..with a D+7 sample. That sample is how likely come Tuesday? Consider the electorate in Va was only D+2 in 2020.
——————-
if the dems barely win, though fraud, this poll gives them cover
Trafalgar said he was still in the field, but predicted a 2-3 point win for Youngkin.
Scooterboy sort of beat me to it.
On Hannity last night, Robert Cahaly (Trafalgar) said he thought his new poll would show Youngkin up by 2-3 points.
He also predicted Youngkin would win by 3 points and “be on everyone’s short list for VP.”
Youngkin’s closing TV ad has the DEMs’ hair on fire. REALLY on fire, no exaggeration– they are furious, from the NYT on down “racist; book burning; censorship,” etc. The ad shows a Caucasian, suburban woman talking about filthy books being taught to her child in a VA school, & how McA vetoed a bill that would’ve required parental notification, so that parents could choose an alternative lesson.
The ad packs a punch.
i think the dems will close ranks and pass the spending bills
Seems as of now 3% seems like the winning margin. That’s a bit much for cheating if it holds
Wissing pulling for the Post poll to be right. Please..he is. D plus 7 is a real reach to get to 49-48
9
So Youngkin has not won the VA gubbernor race but is now on the short list for 2024 VP? Really?
How tall is he? How tall do you have to be to make the short list?
Me thinks peeps are getting a bit too confident and carried away. I get GOP folks are excited and hopeful but the Dems got their own bags of tricks me bets.
I’m watching to see what’s goes on in NC 1st to see if any fraud is on the horizon because then we’ll know how VA will turn out.
1st let’s see if Youngkin wins, and if so, then let’s see how he does after gubberning for 2 or 3 days before anointing him VP material.
After all, we have the foot in mouth SD gubbernor riding around on a horse with her cowboy hat in the run for 2024 nominations in the #1and #2 spots so Youngkin has some competition, and I’m sure she’ll be out there criticizing him along with DeSantis and others GOP gubbernors because SD is a bellwether for GOP stewardship.
T
That’s what the director of Trafalgar polling SAID on TV last night, not ME, OK?
I would like to see a movement conservative on the ticket myself– Cotton; Crenshaw; DeSantis (based on his House record).
Youngkin is very good on TV, imo.
14
That’s all fine but Noem’s got perky breasts…and she rides a horse.
That should count for something too with GOP voters.
Hey all….been awhile and one hell of a year, but thankfully things have been better the last couple of months.
It is interesting to see how the country is starting to wake up to the mistake they made in 2020. Democrats care about one thing and one thing only, power. Power so they can put in plans that keep Americans dependent on the government, and therefore dependent on them.
I read an article today on a business site that said that the Biden admin is giving 900 families who were “separated” at the border by the Trump admin, up to $1M each, with the average settlement being $450K. So somewhere north of $500M to illegals…that’s a microcosim of what’s wrong with this administration and liberals.
Also that poll has 34% of the electorate 18-39. With the terrible early voting numbers out of Charlottesville, no chance that this is anywhere close to correct. Way too high.
Meltdown.
Matt Wolking
@MattWolking
· 55m
“McAuliffe staffer tells reporter to ‘f— off’ for trying to ask candidate question” https://foxnews.com/politics/mcauliffe-events-small-crowds-virginia-election… #VAgov
Wow, the Mcawful campaign was caught
https://twitter.com/TrumpJew2/status/1454148274319933448
Mcawful campaign caught doing dirty tricks.
https://twitter.com/TrumpJew2/status/1454148274319933448
Tiki gate
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2021/10/reports-desperate-dems-stage-false-flag-tiki-torch-photo-op-glenn-youngkin-campaign-stop-charlottesville/
“That’s all fine but Noem’s got perky breasts…and she rides a horse.”
___________________
You’re thinking of former FL Secretary of State and Congresswoman Katherine Harris:
https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theatlantic.com%2Fdaily-dish%2Farchive%2F2006%2F08%2Fevery-little-girl-wants-a-pony%2F233703%2F&psig=AOvVaw2ELFUwpYd5Duz6N0kNiuz1&ust=1635621567557000&source=images&cd=vfe&ved=0CAsQjRxqFwoTCLCz5amr8PMCFQAAAAAdAAAAABAJ
https://www.austinchronicle.com/imager/b/newfeature/628417/93ee/harris-horse.jpg
Proponents of Harris as a U.S. Senate candidate always brought up her horse photos.
Boom.
PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
2021 #VAGov General Election Poll:
Glenn Youngkin (R) 49% (+3)
Terry McAuliffe (D) 46%
Princess Blanding (L) 2%
@EchelonInsights
~ 611 LV ~ 10/27-10/29
http://60p3co1nax34ovc830mr2sak-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/Virginia-Elections-Topline.pdf
3:20 PM · Oct 29, 2021·Twitter
Meldrin
And with good reason!
Waingro
Echelon is classified as a GOP pollster, as u likely know. Its two founders are long time GOP pollsters.
Tom Cotton
@TomCottonAR
·
1h
Terry McAuliffe is so desperate that his staffers are dressing up like Ralph Northam.
It won’t work.
I think things are consolidating around Youngkin around +3 for Tuesday.
Baris has it there, Trafalgar guy says that is about where his current polling has it. The Washington Post has it even but that’s with a fantasy D+7 electorate projection to get just there.
Looks like 3 is the number to me. That’s 75K votes. Tough to steal that many votes unless you have Pennsylvania voting laws.
Here is your official Virginia Voting Fraud Estimator.
In the 2017 Virginia election for Governor, there was 2,614, 282 ballots counted. This was an increase from the 2013 election by almost 374,000 votes. So for 2021, lets say there is an increase of just over 100,000 votes over 2017, and we will estimate 2021 will have 2,700,000 votes.
The Libertarian will get 1%, roughly 27,000 wasted votes.
The table below shows Youngkin’s possible margin of victory (among actual legal ballots), and how many actual votes that translates into:
1 – 27,000 votes
2 – 54,000 votes
3 – 81,000 votes
4 – 108, 000 votes
5 – 135,000 votes
If Youngkin’s true margin is only 1 point, say 50/49, then clearly McAwful will steal it, as 27,000 votes is very easy to manufacture.
If Youngkin’s true margin is 2 points, say, 50.5/48.5, then the Dems would have to manufacture 54,000 votes. A bit heavier of a lift, but well within what they would be willing to do.
If Youngkin’s true margin is 3 points, 51/48, then 81,000 votes would need to be manufactured. In this scenario, I would expect them to halt the counting of Fairfax, and then a few days would go by while they look at every possible angle to make sure that if they do it, they would be able to get away with it. If they think they can, they will go for it. If they don’t then they release their final numbers without the fraud, showing the 81,000 vote Youngkin victory.
If Youngkin’s true margin is 4 points, 51.4/47.5, then 108,000 votes would have to be manufactured, and that is probably a stretch even for these vermin in Northern VA.
If Youngkin’s true margin is 5 points, (52/47), or greater, then its probably safely outside the margin of fraud, a 135,000 vote advantage.
So if the expectation is a 3-point (81,000 vote) advantage for Youngkin, its right on the razor’s edge, and the election could go either way.
Good analysis looks like he needs a 3% cushion.
Dirty tricks…
“BREAKING: Financial director for Young VA Dems has gone private after being exposed for posing as a white supremacist”
Of course, IF 5 white supremacists really had showed up at Youngkin rally how is that “disqualifying” for him.
If 5 Antifa activists show up a McAuliffe rally is he going to quit the race?
Silverhack throws in the towel
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/6e8c1b539f120c911e851779017eaca5a4ebc07267a5b0bbc8725ed39cd337c7.jpg
Wonder what McAuliffe’s internal polls are looking like.
Given the cumulative actions of his campaign over the last week to ten days I think I can take a wild guess. Lol
Barf headline at CNN.
“Jill Biden surrounded by her family’s deep roots in Italy as she returns to the Eternal City”
50-50 at Predictit
Could have had 5-1 odds.
I am an a-hole.
#30, jason, one of the five fake “white supremacists” is black. That’s the problem with Democrat campaigns–McAuliffe worked so hard at making his campaign team “diverse” that he couldn’t find more than four white male lackeys to pose as white supremacists and had to ask a black lackey to fill out the quintet.
Someone at RRH posted the internals on the Baris poll. Looks like the sample was +1.5 D, which is reasonable enough.
Meldrin
Maybe it was “The Blind Klansman”
Them white supremacists are loaded…
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/24aefe2967f57f948c1fd7ef1002209e602cc6a0a482b1df205d65ca6820ddd9.jpg
Rumors are the VA Dems only paid the black white supremacist 50% of what the other white supremacists got. Shameful.
Update: the female white supremacist was paid 75% of what the white white supremacists got.
Huh, male white white supremacists.
We just need Pitchaboy to commit to predicting a TMac victory now. No one survives the dreaded Pitchaboy prediction.
Regardless, I’m still saying Youngkin wins.
Unfortunately the Sewer State will reward Murphy for killing thousands of seniors by reelecting him.
It’s hard to find workers these days.
VA Dems try to hire 5 white male supremacists and end up with only 3, having to fill in the the squad with black guy and a woman.
Wes, I will strive to be consistent…a few weeks ago I had said that I won’t believe it until it actually happens in Virginia, that I wouldn’t even contemplate anything unless there was polling showing Youngkin up substantially.
Fox News has come out with just such a poll. So I am starting to admit that its possible. Would like to see a few more polls that have Youngkin up, outside margin of fraud.
PA School District Changes Dress Code After Pressure From Satanist Group”
Normal
New @KFF poll of US parents of children 5 to 11 finds that only 27% will get their child vaccinated right away. 33% will wait and see and 30% will definitely not.
76% of very/somewhat concerned US parents of children 5 to 11 say not enough is known about the long-term effects.”
Translation: 27% of parents are brainwashed crazy.
For my commitment to continue watching various horror movies I’ve never seen for this October, I watched Jigoku (1960) last, an influential if flawed hor? eiga (horror movie) that eschews the pale-faced misanthropic ghosts common in most Japanese horror in favor of nightmarish visions of torture in the Japanese concept of Hell. That’s not surprising in a movie whose title literally translates as Hell.
The Buddhist concept of Hell permeating the movie is not the amorphous Christian concept of a place of outer darkness or a lake of fire. Instead, it is a structured environment filmed in garish blue wherein evil people suffer dismemberment by oni (demons) reflective of the sinners’ crimes in life. Rather than Satan, the Lord of the Underworld in this movie resembles Hades from Greek and Roman mythology–a stern but just God who metes out punishment for humans condemned to his realm but allows for possible redemption of their souls.
The protagonist is a theology student currently studying Buddhist eschatology who accidentally kills a man and fails to acknowledge his crime until he enters Jigoku and learns his crime is more far reaching and personal than he imagined.
As with all hor? eiga, the ending is downbeat. This time though, with its basis in Buddhist teachings of the afterlife, the movie allows for a glimmer of hope in contrast to the Doré-style closing imagery.
Jigoku is certainly flawed with multiple subplots that ultimately don’t really jell and a ponderous middle act that nonetheless serves to set up the relentless extended nightmare of its final act. It was the final movie made made by its studio, Shintoho, before the studio’s 1961 bankruptcy. It’s not on the level of other hor? eiga of the decade such as Onibaba (1964) and Kuroneko (1968), but it is a thoroughly engrossing morality play punctuated by its singular vision of Hell. I recommend it for any non-squeamish fans of Japanese cinema.
Some hilarious comments at Predictit..
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/4d5bb34e5417f884d4672442a219148982d2e18304b02b932c41f894a2257496.png
Lincoln Project owns up to stunt.
What morons.
“Guys, the Lincoln Project wouldn’t have had to do this if actual tiki torch bearing Youngkin supporters showed up but for some reason they must have gotten stuck in traffic.
Damn Christie screwing with traffic again.”
Youngkin surging ahead at Prefictit.
Predictit
“The Lincoln Project is still a thing? I thought they were all convicted of raping teenagers…….oh wait……that’s not illegal for the left…….my bad…..”
Ah, yes. The Lincoln Project. They should just admit to being Democrats at this point and rename themselves the Buchanan Project.
Right, Jason.
I’m sure Menendez takes Lincoln Project members with him to the Dominican Republic frequently.
I called it Tikigate on the previous thread.
The Lincoln Project. An organization of grifters who have enriched themselves with Democratic money.
These fake Republicans from the consultant class had no effect on the 2020 election and will have zero effect in Virginia,
What they will do is continue to get rich. Fine with me if leftist Democrats want to apportion some of their money to an ineffective organization. Better the money go down this rat hole than go to a Democrat who could use the money. They spent a great deal of money to take out Susan Collins. How did that work out?
39
I recycled your joke about the black white supremacist only being paid 75% & posted it at RRH.
I changed the part about the woman to, “and the female Proud Boy had to COOK for everyone!”
rimshot!
McA campaign has now taken down its earlier re-tweets of the phony white supremacists photo, and condemned the Lincoln Project for arranging the fiasco.
I suspect the McA people still believe it’s “fake but accurate,” though.
Some people have a lot of time on their hands.
https://twitter.com/AugustWesterly/status/1454222508924841984/photo/1
39
I recycled your joke about the black white supremacist only being paid 75% & posted it at RRH.
I changed the part about the woman to, “and the female Proud Boy had to COOK for everyone!”
rimshot!
Funny.
Wes, I’m sure that Lincoln Project co-founder John Weaver would be tickled pink if they changed their name to the Buchanan Project, given the 15th President’s alleged proclivities ….
Jason and mnw, if you’re going to joke about the Democrats’ black fake white supremacist getting paid less than the white ones, you should say that he got paid 60% as much as the white ones–because they consider him 3/5ths of a man.
Democrats are so clueless that they still believe that the Three-Fifths Clause was an anti-black provision meant to declare blacks to be worth less than whites, despite (i) the provision applying to how slaves, not free blacks, were counted in the Census, and (ii) more importantly, the provision was adopted as a compromise between the respective positions of delegates from slave states (who wanted slaves counted the same as everyone else in the Census because that number would be used for apportionment of Representatives and thus it would result in more congressional representation and electoral votes for slave states) and delegates from free states (who wanted slaves not to be counted at all for purposes of apportionment so that slave states couldn’t pad their representation). Frederick Douglass famously pointed out that the 3/5ths Clause was an anti-slavery provision of the Constitution, but modern Democrats (and, sadly, many non-Democrat blacks) still believe the canard that the clause had something to do with how much white people thought that blacks were worth.
Hm. I see the Lincoln Project paid the black and female white supremacist cosplayers less than the white ones.
Basically there were some dirty deeds done dirt cheap:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UIE4UjBtx-o
PPUSA. Youngkin 50 tmac 47
Here’s a radical thought:
With the race I flux and TMac melting down faster than one of Jeff Goldblum’s victims in The Fly (1986), what if polls are underestimating how much Youngkin will win by as much as polls underestimated how well Northam did four years ago?
I thought the Lincoln project specialized on underage boys?
The Mcauliffe campaign before our very eyes https://images.app.goo.gl/F2n8KeDXLkhCEovn7
Baris addressed that today, Wes. He seemed content with his polling work in the race and comfortable with his +3 final numbers….however, he did say that when you see momentum going one way toward one candidate at the very end of a campaign there is the potential to underestimate the final margin.
I know we’re all familiar with the 1980 campaign where Reagan blew it open the final weekend.
He chose poorly
It’s possible that the polls continue to understate Rs, in which case a 3% lead could really be 6%. I would not be surprised if Youngkin wins 53-47.
Eric Swallowhole swallowed the tiki gate story.
So, he has been duped by the Russia hoax and fell for the
Chinese honeypot.
53-47 isn’t possible since Blanding is the race and will get at least a point, Jason.
I see some “Republicans” on RRH are doubling down on saying TMac will win.
I swear, Republicans in 1932 would tell these people to cool it with the defeatist rhetoric.
When I see RRHers comment on an election, I think the protagonists of J-horror movies live in a less apocalyptic world.
Right, forgot about Princess. Hope she gets 2%.
Rs have the mo now, I’m confident that Youngkin will win barring some unbelievable and unlikely dirty tricks oppo dump over the weekend (but the Dems would have dropped it yesterday a la the GWB DUI to ensure that it had enough time to make all the news circuits by COB Friday).
Wes, with this in mind, a baseline 50-47 seems about right, by say it does blow open over the next four days; Youngkin has been climbing at just the right time, and making up considerable ground over the past five days or so. I personally don’t think a 53-45-2 result is out of the question, I just do t think it’s likely. But 52-46-2? I know that doesn’t seem much narrower, but with smaller amount of EV and mail balloting, it seems like the high water mark for Rs this time around.
Regardless, if it’s at least three points, I think the ticket sweeps statewide (and will be thrilled because I want to see Herring go down not only for the blackface hypocrisy, but also for not intervening in the Loudon school rape debacle). I’m less bullish about the HoD because I don’t know the district lines very well.
I’d take 53-45, GF. It’s nearly as big a margin as Northam enjoyed in 2017. It would be against the Dems’ anointed golden boy too, so it would be doubly satisfying.
It would be far too early to tell, but I wonder if Youngkin might be able to rebuild the VAGOP just as Mark Warner rebuilt the VADP with his 2001 victory.
Loudoun seems to be the epicenter of the shift to Youngkin, GF, because of CRT and the rape cover-up. If Youngkin wins big there, Republicans may be able to win back a few of the HOD seats they lost in the area in 2017 and 2019. Remember, Dems surged in those years from 32-68 to 49-51 in 2017 and 55-45 in 2019. That’s a shift of almost a quarter of the chamber. Many of those pickups were the result of local antipathy toward Trump with a large number of freshmen and sophomore members who’ve never run in a bad year for their party. I would tend to think with Trump no longer readily available as a bete noire and a clearly more GOP-friendly year, Republicans would have a good shot at flipping six of those seats.
I guess the question is, which county changed more demographically speaking; Loudon or Prince William? Those two helped the GOP win the state previously, but I think the latter is gone for good. Hopefully Loudon bounces back.
McAuliffe campaign throws Lincoln Project idiots under the bus, but it is probably too late.
‘McAuliffe’s campaign condemned the actions.
“What happened today is disgusting and distasteful and we condemn it in the strongest terms. Those involved should immediately apologize,” Terry for Virginia Campaign Manager Chris Bolling told VICE News in a statement.
Loudon will be better for Youngkin than Prince William.
This is a prediction from RRH:
Murphy and McAuliffe will both win, but it’s possible that New Jersey is within single digits, and McAuliffe will probably be held to a margin of <5%.
Someone hasn't been paying attention to current events.
#77, Wes, the Dem HOD pickups in 2017 and 2019 were mostly in suburban areas, and with Youngkin doing so well there atop the ballot I don’t think that a GOP pickup of 10-15 seats would be out of the question. Remember, the GOP had drawn the HOD seats in 2011 to favor them, which is why the party had such a large majority of seats prior to 2017, so even a partial return of suburban voters to their GOP roots could yield a large number of GOP pickups. I haven’t seen numbers, but I would be surprised if there weren’t 20 Dem-held HOD seats that had given a majority to Romney and that gave Trump over 40% in 2020, which would be ripe for the picking in an election in which the GOP does better in the suburbs than during the past 5 years.
#80, jason, Loudon traditionally was several points more Republican than Prince William–56% for Bush in 2000 and 2004 while he was getting 52%-53% in PW). And Loudon is also the epicenter of parent outrage over Woke school boards putting kids in danger. I agree with you that Loudon will give Youngkin a higher percentage than PW.
Wes, the guy who made that particular prediction is a total killjoy, he’s got to be one of the more Eyeore style posters around. He probably stops coitus just short of climax because it would bring him too much joy, and he just can’t handle that.
Let’s go Curtis Sliwa!
Thanks, GF.
By the way, I saw you adopted my nickname for New Jersey in your prediction.
So the Lincoln Project scumbags were tweeting their own hoax….
“But sharp-eyed observers noticed that earlier when images of the hoax first circulated on Twitter, the Lincoln Project was helping to retweet them to their 2.6 million followers”
That takes chutzpah.
Hm. Mikey endorsed a Republican?
Of course the following are true:
1) This isn’t a Senate race, so Sliwa can’t deny Schumer a Senate majority.
2) Sliwa has no chance of winning.
I guess it makes sense. In a race the Republican won’t win and can’t cost Schumer the Senate Majority Leader position in, Mikey decided to declare support for a non-Deadender Republican.
Hm. Mikey endorsed a Republican?”
Not to worry, he can’t win.
Where is Bitter A-hole?
No flower show this time of year. Maybe he went to see the foliage change color in Vermont?
Parents’ Weekend at Pitt. GFY
Parents’ Weekend at Pitt. GFY.
“Regardless, if it’s at least three points, I think the ticket sweeps statewide”
################################################
GF,
Not sure if in VA the R Lt. Gov. and R AG will will.
#############################################
The R Lt. Gov. nominee, Winsome Sears, is a Black woman. Her father came here from Jamaica. She was a marine and the first Black R elected to the VA House of Delegates. She is not very physically attractive.
I have seen no TV ads up for Winsome Sears.
Her opponent is Hala Ayala who is I think the first Hispanic elected to the VA House of Delegates. She is more physically attractive.
I know this sounds sexist, but looks do count when people go vote.
I see lots of TV ads up for Ayala.
*****************************************
The R candidate for AG is Jason Miyares. His mother came her from Cuba. He is a young guy and has been in the VA House of Delegates since 2016.
See lots of ads for Herring and also for Miyares, but Miyares has only two different ads that he has run repeatedly. D AG incumbent (Red) Herring is running TV ads saying Miyares campaign is being funded by some right wing groups that conspired to fund the Jan. 6 gathering in D.C.
I can see lots of Indies splitting their ballots for the top 3 slots.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Interestingly, I am also seeing TV ads now (some R, but mostly D) for various seats in the VA House of Delegates in the D.C. viewing area.
My sense is that the Rs DO make some gains in the VA state legislature. Hopefully, enough to regain the majority.
Pittsburgh TV is devoid of any political ads so far. I know there are elections because I saw signs. Interesting.
Great. vetting.
96
454
1K
Jack Posobiec ??
@JackPosobiec
·
51m
BREAKING: Two US officials tell
@HumanEvents
that the ISIS threat alert in Northern VA / DC region is related to Afghan refugees
I have seen some Brobson signs, most signs around here are for school boards.
Not physically attractive?
Speak for yourself.
https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/winsome-sears-campaign-poster-with-assault-style-weapon/image_0ab24140-b2c2-11eb-9130-2b93c386ade9.html
You try to show concern for the fact someone didn’t post today, and what happens, you get told to GFY.
HHR is a tough place.
C
You can roll the GFY to tomorrow.
I don’t think Ayala is all that attractive honestly.
Skippy official predictions:
VA: Youngkin 52% McAuliffe 47% Blanding 1%
NJ: Murphy 54% Ciattarelli 46%
Sears gaining at Predicitit against Ayala. I think my comment that she wasn’t unattractive helped, not to mention wes said Ayala was not that attractive.
Ayala 63 (-2) Sears 39 (+2)
GF honors me greatly by using my own words in a very Wes-like post on RRH;
NJ GOV: 52-48 Murphy. Sewer State voters know that mandates are just around the corner, but they had no problem re-electing Pedo Island veteran Menendez by huge margins, so they’ll stick it to themselves once more only because Murphy was smart enough to keep his mouth shut and not go off the rails like the VA Dems.
Bitterlaw says:
October 29, 2021 at 11:06 pm
C
You can roll the GFY to tomorrow.”
Thanks man. Who said A-holes are not flexible?
I will go out on a limb and say Youngkin could win despite Skippy’s prediction that he will.
I know, risky.
I will make my prediction on Monday night.
@seanmdav
Racism in Virginia is such a huge problem and so endemic that Virginia Democrats had to hire a black guy to pretend to be a white supremacist to bring awareness to the problem so Terry McAuliffe’s could replace the current Democrat who also dressed up like a KKK member.
Jason,
Just remember who was the person far ahead of the curve in stating Youngkin will win.
Skippy.
One more important time.
Thank God Virginia Republican voters are ignoring the incredibly stupid comment Trump made when he told GOP voters no to go out and vote in the upcoming elections as a sign of protest for 2020 election results.
The GOP is going back to its conservative roots and finally shedding this nationalistic strain that has led the party in last 5 years.
Skippy says:
October 30, 2021 at 8:53 am
Jason,
Just remember who was the person far ahead of the curve in stating Youngkin will win.
Skippy.”
He hasn’t won yet but I won’t forget.
The “Skippy Finally Gets One Right HHR Award” will be deservedly yours.
Trump made when he told GOP voters no to go out and vote in the upcoming elections ”
Except he didn’t say that, you are reading to much MSM garbage.
What he said was that if the fraudulent election systems aren’t cleaned up many Rs will not vote.
Although not an R, I identify with his message since I am no longer registered.
As far as nationalism, I never agreed with Trump’s protectionism and isolationism or his AFL-CIO tariff and trade war based trade policy.
awaiting moderation for no obvious reason. Must’ve tripped over some invisible, unfathomable robot trigger!
If Cow wins the big lottery, my first goal (after buying lots of nice hay bales) is to pay for an action movie to be made.
###########################################
One of the two main characters would be named Brandon.
The other main character would often say during the movie:
‘LET’S GO, BRANDON!”
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
the movie audiences would be encouraged to chant along in th=eir seats.
awaiting moderation for no obvious reason”
You will await forever, go back and find the offending word.
Hey Cow, you may be able to get Alec Baldwin at a discount for the movie.