Oz Clings To Lead Over Barnette in PA
A new poll out this morning from The Trafalgar Group has Mehmet Oz clinging to a two-percentage-point lead over second-place Kathy Barnette while David McCormick seems to be dropping further behind in third place.
US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA – GOP PRIMARY (Trafalgar)
Mehmet Oz 29%
Kathy Barnette 27%
Dave McCormick 22%
Jeff Bartos 7%
Carla Sands 7%
George Bochetto 2%
Sean Gale 2%
This poll was done May 14-16 among 1195 likely primary voters.
Uno Bebe!
Uno!
Skippy’s Final Final Prediction:
OZ 33.8%
Barnette 31.4%
McCormick 20.4%
Sands 6.3%
Bartos 5.1%
Other 3%
The collapse of McCormick in last 96 hours gives Oz another boost and propels him to almost 34% of the total vote. Low turnout helps Barnette climb over 30%.
Oh no! At least one HHR left coast poster is going to go suicidal over this.
43 percent of Swedish men between the ages 18 and 29 are opposed to their country abandoning neutral status and joining NATO.
Meanwhile, another 43 percent said they were in favor of joining NATO. The poll found people of older generations and women support joining NATO the most, while young Swedish men are the least supportive of the proposal.
https://www.oann.com/poll-young-swedish-men-oppose-joining-nato/
I wonder if she’s too stupid to realize the enormous mistake she made when she announced she wouldn’t support either of her opponents if she lost.
The verdict is already in for the Sussman trial. The trial judge is an Obama nominee.
The prosecution team tried to dismiss 3 or 4 jurors who had either contributed to Democrats in the past or/and had proclaimed their hatred of Trump in social media forums.
The judge said NO and placed them in the juror’s box!
If I could vote in today’s Penn. GOP primary, I would cast it for Barletta(Gov.) and McCormick(Sen.).
Bitter & jason:
Did you see where this past weekend Dem. Congresswoman Susan Wild from your area in PA gave a commencement speech at some law school and spent a good part of her address publicly attacking Jonathan Turley, who also attended the same law school?! Turley is very upset.
Stay Classy Democrats!!
IncaPro Associates has been in the field in PA since early this morning.
Early exits will be divulged at 10:30 AM. Stay tuned.
5 Sheep
That’s interesting and concerning. I’m not going to expound & bore everybody’s socks off. A couple of quick things: 1) the prosecutor(s) do have peremptory strikes, i.e., strikes they can use without giving a reason; 2) Information about a voter’s political views & past donations would ordinarily not be available to the attys– the judge obviously decided to allow inquiries about that, because the court thought it was relevant in this case.
43 percent of Swedish men between the ages 18 and 29 are opposed to their country abandoning neutral status and joining NATO.”
Has Putin stooge Tucker Carlson been polled yet?
I am sure he is opposed too.
Of course, had I been in the jury pool the prosecution could have found social media posts where I was critical of Trump, but that doesn’t mean the prosecution shouldn’t want me on the jury.
I am not voting for Barletta for Governor, Coleman for Lt. Gov, Oz for Senator. However, Mrs. jason, who is still a Republican and still thinks her vote counts, is voting for that slate. Lupita did get a mail in ballot but instead of filling it out, ate it.
Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson explains decision to apply for NATO membership:
“Despite the fact that non-alignment has served us well in over 200 years … it won’t serve us as well in the future … Sweden is best defended within NATO.”
She is a lot smarter than the isolationists and Putin appeasers, but I hate to tell her, that is a very low bar.
Unless there are multiple defendants, or special circumstance, the govt gets 6 peremptory strikes. The def gets 10, usually. Why does the defense get more, you ask? Because Jimmy Carter was right! Life IS unfair.
I always found that the 6 strikes were just barely enough to get rid of people who made my hair stand on end with horror. Getting rid of people I thought were merely awful was out of the question.
But Russia is not a threat…I read it here at HHR.
“Russia has started moving nuclear-capable missiles towards its border with Finland hours after Moscow vowed not to tolerate Helsinki’s plans to join Nato.
The Kremlin issued a chilling warning that plans for both Finland and Sweden to sign up to the Atlantic alliance were a ‘grave mistake with far reaching consequences’.
Russian deputy foreign minister, Sergei Ryabkov, said: ‘They should have no illusions that we will simply put up with it,’ and insisted ‘the general level of military tension will rise”
Don’t be fooled by “nuclear capable”, many conventional systems used by both the US and Russi are “nuclear capable”. This is a primarily conventional system.
“The Iskander has several different conventional warheads, including a cluster munitions warhead, a fuel-air explosive enhanced-blast warhead, a high explosive-fragmentation warhead, an earth penetrator for bunker busting and an electromagnetic pulse device for anti-radar missions. The missile can also carry nuclear warheads.”
Quick hits:
Criticize Crenshaw all day if you want. Making fun of his war wound makes you a scumbag. Both can be true.
Tgca’s posts about greed sound like an Occupy Wall Street rally.
The same people who want to disband the FBI are also angry that it’s 35,000 members can’t track 330 million Americans. They also blame the FBI for the Buffalo killer rather than Buffalo and New York State law enforcement,
Deep State? Zzzzzzzzzz
Phil must think that the entire Russian army is in Ukraine. It is a fraction of its conventional forces. Finland and Sweden know that.
I voted for Oz and Barletta. My first choice for Gov was McSwain but he is too far back and Barletta has a slim but real chance to beat impending train wreck Mastriano.
I spend a lot of time trolling r/antiwork (far left loonies who think nobody should work and the government should just pay for everyone’s necessities). There are endless posts about “greedy” landlords and what the government must do to stop them. Tgca would fit right in.
I will take “Stories that the US media won’t report for $200”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10823779/New-tax-filings-reveal-BLM-founder-Patrisse-Cullors-spent-foundations-funds.html
Oh, I see. Russia has another crack invasion force stashed away somewhere. Well, I hope they are better trained and better performing then the one he’s got now. You know. The one that got evicted from Kiev, is stuck in the mud in the east, and that has lost a third of their invasion forces and at least that fraction of their armor – in only eleven weeks. Quite an accomplishment. Have they made it across that river yet on their way to sweeping across Finland?
The UK MOD,and US Dod say Russia committed over 75 % of its operational forces INITIALLY ( before losses), and have ZERO trained reserves left.
Bitter,how about some specifics for a change as to where these alleged additional forces reside,and what they consist of ..exactly.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1526230107370684416?s=20&t=Sd0bGkvOPTPmCwu7zE0DoQ
Nate Cohn:
The newly proposed New York map is pretty close to a best case outcome for Democrats, with just five Trump districts (v. four on the previously enacted map).
Many competitive Biden-tilting CDs, but all voted more for Biden than nation as a whole.
Cow sent in her PA absentee ballot today.
Voted for McCormick.
*********************************
Also sent in my NC absentee ballot.
Voted for anybody but Cawthorn.
Phil – You do realize that a country learns from its military mistakes, right? Knowing everything it learned in Ukraine, would Russia launch the exact same attack if it could turn back the clock? Never underestimate an enemy. Russia is paying for that mistake now.
I will trust the judgement of the leaders of Finland and Sweden over you. They obviously do not share your dismissal of the threat posed by Russia.
Good for Bitter voting for one of 3 PA candidates who actually have a shot at winning.
Cow is cowburgasted at people who will still vote for PA R candidates for U.S. senate who have no prayer.
Gordon – You and I have the same security clearance to answer your question. None. At least I did not waste money on your magazines. Did Russia invade Ukraine yet? You assured us it would not.
#20-EML
Nate Cohn overlooks an important component of the NYS Redistricting Map. To wit: the Democrats had full command and control of the process like the Republicans had in Florida.
Could the GOP have done better with a more neutral process? Of course and this is Cohen’s unrealistic starting point.
Could the GOP have done worse with the NYS legislature’s super majority of Dems? Yes, and the rejected map proves it.
The new Court map is somewhere in-between the afore- mentioned scenarios.
Also, the NY Times argues against Cohen’s conclusions.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/16/nyregion/ny-redistricting-congressional-map.html
Ok, they are going to learn from their mistakes. Got it. After this great enlightenment, they are going to move on NATO members Finland, Poland and the rest of Europe armed with what? This newly acquired wisdom? We all have eyes and have been watching the last eleven weeks. Take on NATO when they at the most are fighting the Ukrainian military to a draw? …and that’s being generous.
Quick hits:
Criticize Crenshaw all day if you want. Making fun of his war wound makes you a scumbag. Both can be true.
Tgca’s posts about greed sound like an Occupy Wall Street rally.
The same people who want to disband the FBI are also angry that it’s 35,000 members can’t track 330 million Americans. They also blame the FBI for the Buffalo killer rather than Buffalo and New York State law enforcement,
Deep State? Zzzzzzzzzz
Phil must think that the entire Russian army is in Ukraine. It is a fraction of its conventional forces. Finland and Sweden know that.”
Damm, Bitter is on target this morning, nothing like that rare coffee extracted from lemur dung served at Wah-Wah.
Bullseye on all of those.
Nate Cohn overlooks an important component of the NYS Redistricting Map. To wit: the Democrats had full command and control of the process like the Republicans had in Florida.
================================
Wrong. That is not being “overlooked” by anyone. Democrats drew a map that was an illegal partisan gerrymander per state law. The Court map barely changes anything, and is still a partisan gerrymander (for example, dividing the Republican / Jewish vote in Brooklyn into 3 Democrat districts – that is illegal per the NY law).
Here you can see the different maps that have been proposed for NY: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/new-york/
There are only 2 maps that are worse for Republicans: the Democratic one that got struck down, and the second one that Democrats proposed after the first one got struck down. Saying that the Court map is somewhere in between 2 extremes is disingenuous – the Court map is far, far closer to what Democrats proposed in the first place.
Have they made it across that river yet on their way to sweeping across Finland?”
Not yet, but currently they are occupying at least 40,000 square miles of Ukraine territory excluding Crimea. Other countries in Europe see that as a problem.
Look at the May 15 detailed map (2nd one down) and the map scale in miles and you will see the Russians aren’t “losing”.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682
The Finns and Swedes are lucky Gordon Neville and Phil aren’t running their countries, they would have to start learning Russian fast!
Surrender and capitulation first and foremost!
Early exits in from IncaPro Associates.
Looking good for Oz.
Oz 32%
McCormick 24%
Barnette 23%
Sands 9%
Bartos 6%
Governor
Mastriano 36%
Barletta 27%
McSwain 14%
White 9%
Gerow 6%
EML, the overturned Democrat congressional map of NY conceded four districts to the GOP, but none of the other 22 districts were as competitive for the GOP as the 9th most competitive CD in the Special Master’s plan. The likeliest result under the new map will be 17D-9R, while the likeliest result under the Democrat map would have been 22D-4R (although 20D-6R also would have been quite possible). There is a reason why Democrats are pulling their hair out due to the new congressional map for NY.
You are correct that the map does not give the GOP as many gimmes as you or I would have given the party had we drawn the map, but it was not reasonable to believe that the Special Master would draw a map that tried to optimize GOP gains. I agree with you that he should have drawn a Jewish GOP seat in southern Brooklyn instead of splitting those voters among three black-plurality districts, but he did draw a GOP-leaning CD in Staten Island, a comfortably a GOP CD and two marginal CDs in Long Island, three GOP CDs and a marginal CD Upstate and two marginal CDs in the Hudson Valley, which is fair.
#28, EML, you’re looking only at the “efficiency gap.” The Special Master’s map has a higher Republican median district than that of any of the proposed maps. This is a map that creates more GOP opportunities than in any of the proposals from GOP groups, at the cost of having fewer safe GOP seats than in those proposals. Apart from the failure to create a Jewish GOP CD in southern Brooklyn (which is something that was rejected by the bipartisan redistricters in 2011-12), I don’t see any pro-Democrat bias in the map. It is almost as good for the GOP as was the map submitted by the Republican members of the New York Independent Redistricting Commission (and rejected by the legislature)–I’d rather have that map, of course, since it would provide better protection against a Dem wave, but please note that the GOP Commissioners’ plan did not create a Jewish GOP CD in southern Brooklyn, either. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/new-york/plan_b/
Did you really expect John Faso or someone like that to be able to draw the new congressional map?
I want to encourage everyone to keep up the fight. Election night 2016 was of course notorious for the shocking loss suffered by Hillary Clinton. But there was another shocking loss that I was part of causing, and that was the light rail boondoggle that was threatening the wallets of VA Beach residents.
Norfolk had built this 7 mile long train to nowhere, extending it out to the VA Beach city limits, where they gambled that VA Beach would pick it up and spend gazzillions to extend to the oceanfront. They said it would be $80 million per mile just to put down the tracks. Norfolk was already shelling out 9 million a year in maintenance.
I will never forget that rainy morning I showed up to vote in the primary, with little on the ballot, and walking out, there was an elderly lady sitting behind a card table in the rain, collecting signatures to try to get light-rain back on the ballot as a referendum. It was deemed the last battle in a war that was lost. The leftist lunatics were already spending money buying stuff to build the light rail so they could make the argument, ‘Well we already spent this money, so we cannot go back now!” The media was behind it, the city council had largely caved in, as had the mayor.
The lady and I spoke a few minutes about it, the hopeless condition, and yet the need to fight all the way to the end. I put my name down, and walked in the rain back to the car.
It made the ballot.
We worked to educate as many as possible. It was hard. It took time. And in the end, we won both the battle and the war. This from wiki:
“On November 8, 2016, after a successful vote four years earlier and a 30 percent Preliminary Design finished a month earlier, 57 percent of Virginia Beach voters disapproved the referendum regarding to use city funds to pay part of the Town Center extension, which would have been close to $90 million. As a result, all work on the light rail extension has been stopped, including discontinuing the order for three more light rail cars and Virginia’s Secretary of Transportation Aubrey Layne reappointed the $155 million back to the Smart Scale program for transportation funding throughout the Commonwealth. The cost of extending the line was $243.1 million, with around $80 million per mile. As of December 2016, Virginia Beach City Council has several months to decide what to do with the purchased railroad line. If they could not decide, the city must refund the $20 million back to Virginia.”
You can tell a disgruntled leftist wrote that up, but there it is. We won. And now with the advent of Uber for transporting people without a drivers license, the light-rail looks even more stupid. Funny too is how the Hampton Roads Transit busses continue to lumber about, and on a sunny day, you can see through the tinted windows to see that there are no passengers. But the busses are a huge savings compared light rail, and busses don’t have to stay on tracks.
The fight was worth it. Norfolk is stuck with a useless money hole choo-choo.
Early Exit Polling 1st Wave from Elite Forecasting:
PA GOP Governor:
Mastriano 41%
Barletta 29%
McSwain 14%
Others 15%
PA GOP Senate:
Dr. OZ 32%
Barnette 31%
McCormick 21%
Others 16%
Unfortunately, Barletta and McSwain are both outstanding candidates. They divided the vote so Mastriano will get the nomination. The only issues the Dems will run on will be QAnon, the Capitol riot, and Trump. Hopefully, Mastriano can find a more measured tone and keep hammering home the message that inflation and gasoline prices are not due to what the Democrats are focusing upon.
I will vote for all of the GOP nominees. Always have. Always will.
#24 Misrepresentation 1,192.Once again, now for time 1193:
I said Putin could not SUCCESSFULLY invade Ukraine, not that he wouldn’t. I was CORRECT, and you and Jason wrong. Why, despite my repeatedly calling you out on that, you persist in a blatant falsehood. It speaks very poorly of you.
Incidentally, if you’ve heard of Google, the facts are readily accessible. The US DOD and UKMOD issue statements all the time., as do publications like the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
You don’t need a security clearance either, another classic strawman.
The Air Force Association, of which I belong, and US Naval Institute are regarded as authoritative sources for publicly available information on Air Force and Navy Matters.
READERS: Did you note that #24 again did Not reply with any specificity to the questions posed/ We all know why
More revisionist lies from Gordon. Russia has SUCCESSFULLY invaded Ukraine because its troops are still there and occupying large areas of Ukrainian territory. It will not be an UNSUCCESSFUL invasion until all Russian troops are back in Russia.
As for your combined $65 membership in 2 military groups, zzzzzzzzz. An 18 year old in basic training in any of the military branches has more legitimacy to express an opinion on military matters than you do.
I am baffled why there is the overwhelming desire to exaggerate Russian Conventional( a key qualifier) strength, despite clear real time evidence to the contrary obvious to all?
Any theories??
https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-relinquishes-mariupol-russia-attacks-124104002.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
I guess somebody forgot to tell the Russian troops they are losing the war.
Maybe you can give memberships to your magazines to the leaders of Finland and Sweden so they can ignore the threat posed by Russia.
My support for addl billions in UKR aid comes with a couple of corollaries:
1) that the U.S. govt verify that our NATO allies are contributing at the same level. As we all know, that has usually not been the case in the past, prior to the UKR war; and
2) I think Rand Paul & the other “no” voting senators are right to insist that these appropriations be fly-specked for graft &/or misappropriation BEFORE each new payment is paid. I mean fly-specked at both ends, in D.C & in UKR. There was way too much stealing & misappropriation in Vietnam. I’m not looking for 100% purity, but I am interested in preventing huge scams.
It’s been awhile Phil. Sending you some popcorn to eat with this article and you’ll need a lot to eat.
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/16/new-york-house-map-chaos-00032931
Elite Forecasting?
Do they have as many years in the field as IncaPro Associates?
I said Putin could not SUCCESSFULLY invade Ukraine, not that he wouldn’t”
Liar.
The hole keeps getting bigger.
Neville Allen said the Russians would never mount a full scale invasion of Ukraine with 150k+ troops “unless everyone was crazy”. So THAT was wrong.
Now we have “Successfully” added on as a revision. Well, THAT is certainly wrong too. The Russians have certainly SUCCESSFULLY invade Ukraine, since the war is being fought 100% in Ukrainian territory, all the damage and destruction is in Ukraine, and the Russians are holding tens of thousands of square miles of Ukraine.
The Russians have not attained their objective of installing a puppet regime in Kiev. But they have certainly successfully mounted an invasion, no matter how big their losses.
Predicitit is reflecting the IncaPro Associates data already.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7129/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-nomination
Seen on the Internet.
“I’m endorsing Carla Sands because her name is the name of a casino and I like to gamble.”
Gets the Clueless Award for the Year.
These people are truly nuts.
“Sunny Hostin: “Democrats and Republicans are farther apart ideologically today than at any time in the past 50 years, and that ideological divide breaks down to the Republican party being an extremist party, and the Democratic Party actually … moving more to the center.”
Comment on PredictIt:
His alarm goes off at exactly 4:30 am. It’s election day! The typical PredictIt trader leaps from his bed in excitement and wakes his wife up to change his soiled diaper. Once cleaned, he rushes to the kitchen and eats a hardy breakfast of unsalted butter, eaten with a spoon and room temperature, freshly-made Tang. By 5:00 am, he is on his Windows xp desktop furiously searching twitter and sketchy news sites for “hot takes” that he can post in the comment section for 2-3 upvotes and an equal number of downvotes. He is feeling a little anxious about his Barnette shares slipping, but is confident that he will be vindicated by the “shy Barnette” voters sudden surge turnout. When not replying with vitriol to Oz bag holders that dare challenge his logic or sources, he is busy in photoshop preparing victory memes that he will spam triumphantly once Barnette delivers her nomination speech. He is so engrossed in this process that he fails to notice his wife pack her bags and take the kids. Regardless, today is a great day.
Funny!
I am glad its not Skippy.
Primary elections are hard to poll.
I get the impression all the pollsters think Oz will win but they want to have Barnette close enough so they can claim they were still right if she wins.
My feeling is Barnette won’t get as many votes as she is polling. But I could be underestimating the effect of all the negative attacks on McCormick and Oz.
We will see.
Exit Polling 2nd Wave from Elite Forecasting:
PA GOP Governor:
Mastriano 39%
Barletta 31%
McSwain 12%
Others 16%
PA GOP Senate:
Dr. OZ 34%
Barnette 29%
McCormick 20%
Others 17%
I see Elite Forecasting is detecting an afternoon surge for Barletta.
IncaPro Associates is still in the field with the llam….huh, with the voters, so this trend has not yet been verified.
The vote of the Finnish Parliament regarding joining NATO:
188 voted in favor
8 voted against
I thought the drats said this was a conspiracy theory, or the responsibility of Pooty poot?
Reuters
@Reuters
· 7h
The U.S. will soon allow imports of baby formula from foreign companies as the Food and Drug Administration scrambles to ease a shortage that is putting pressure on parents nationwide https://reut.rs/3wkurav
Russian military bloggers are turning against the war — this will not turn out well for Putin:
“Russian military bloggers continued to post analysis that is skeptical of Russian efforts and increasingly in-line with Western assessments of Russian military failures in Ukraine. One such blogger, Igor Strelkov, claimed that the Russian offensive to take Donbas has ultimately failed and that “not a single large settlement “has been liberated.[1] Strelkov even noted that the capture of Rubizhne is relatively insignificant because it happened before the new offensive in Donbas had begun. Strelkov stated that Russian forces are unlikely to liberate Donbas by the summer and that Ukrainian troops will hold their positions around Donetsk City. Strelkov notably claimed that Russian failures thus far have not surprised him because the intent of Russian command has been so evident throughout the operation that Ukrainian troops are aware of exactly how to best respond and warns that Russian troops are fighting to the point of exhaustion under “rules proposed by the enemy.” The continued disenchantment of pro-Russian milbloggers with the Russian war effort may fuel dissatisfaction in Russia itself, especially if Moscow continues to press recruitment and conscription efforts that send poorly-trained cannon-fodder to the front lines.”
Wait a second. Bloggers are acknowledging “Russian failures in Ukraine”
You mean there have been Russian failures there?
Damn. I thought Putin was unstoppable and has been rolling through Ukraine on his way to Poland or something.
The vote of the Finnish Parliament regarding joining NATO:
188 voted in favor
8 voted against”
Damm, looks like maybe Neville Allen’s magazines are not circulating well in Finland.
Poor ignorant bastards are looking at Ukraine and thinking Russia is a threat. Silly nillies.
I mean, to abandon your non-alignment policy in place for decades, or abandon your neutrality of 200 years like Sweden, just because Putin invaded a sovereign nation of 40 million people with 200k troops, bombed and shelled its major cities, displaced or exiled ten million people, destroyed its economy, killed tens of thousands and occupied tens of thousands of square miles of that country?
What are these people thinking? Putin is just a mischievous little scamp, don’t they read HHR? Don’t they watch Tucker Carlson on Russian state TV explaining why nobody should hate Putin? Don’t they believe only “corrupt” and “Nazi” countries get invaded, everyone else is safe?
Amazing the Finns and Swedes don’t listen to Phil, who from his safe bunker in TX wants to assure them Putin wouldn’t harm a fly.
Putin just wants to fight corruption in the Ukraine and then he will call it a day. No worries.
This poll was just posted at Predictit.
FWIW
“BREAKING NEW POLL FROM PENNSYLVANIA SENATE PRIMARY
Jeff Bartos 100%
McCormick 0%
Oz 0%
Sands 0%
Barnette 0%
Sample size: Me
Conducted: 5/17/2022-5/17/2022”
Wait a second. Bloggers are acknowledging “Russian failures in Ukraine”
You mean there have been Russian failures there?”
Has anyone disputed that there have been “Russian failures”.
No? Didn’t think so.
So Zzzzzzzzz……..
Let me know when Putin makes it across that river.
Speaking of Russian failures, they are nearing 700 tanks lost.
Again, they may have 12,000 tanks, but they don’t have 12,000 trained tank crews.
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.htm
Let me know when Putin makes it across that river.”
The Finns are making sure that doesn’t happen.
This guy is one of the big players at Predictit. He is not always right but his track record is pretty good. And he is no Republican or conservative.
“Rainbow Jeremy
Mastriano is severely underrated in the general election. Probably runs a few % behind a generic Republican, but it’s a red year in a swing state against a basic Dem opponent. He’s probably going to win.”
30
Jadon criticizes others about surrendering to Russia but he surrendered to the radical Dems by refusing to vote. They got him EXACTLY where they wanted him.
Thank God Jadon was not around and in charge during the Revolutionary War or we’d all have Queen Elizabeth on our currency and he’d be a subject of Harry and Meghan.
Mastriano is going to be painted as worse than Hitler or Stalin. But so was Trump and he arguably won twice, once at least.
He is going to turn out a massive vote in the small towns and rural counties of PA, of which there are many. If the Dem inner city vote is not strong in Philly and Pittsburgh, he could win. But winning is not enough in PA, you have to be over the MOF. That will be tough for Mastriano.
Right now, assuming he wins the primary, (98% prob at Predictit), he is 60-40 underdog for the GE. I think that is about right. It’s not more than that despite the fact I think he is a terrible candidate and there will be fraud.
Thank God Jadon was not around and in charge during the Revolutionary War”
That was decided by a vote?
Who knew?
but he surrendered to the radical Dems by refusing to vote”
As opposed to those that surrendered to fraud and stolen election?
Thank God Jadon was not around and in charge during the Revolutionary War”
Hmmm.. so those that want to surrender to Putin should have been in charge during the Revolutionary War rather than those that want to stand up to him?
Interesting theroy.
I hope all those here that feel it’s ok to evict working class tenants who can’t afford hyper rent inflation by greedy landlords and are expected to move 50+ miles away or to ghettos also will agree that we should not be subsidizing any rebuilding effort in Ukraine or it’s economy.
Let the market dictate whether private investors will come in and rebuild Ukrainian infrastructure or whether the Ukrainians should just move to places where they can afford to live.
The US should not be subsidizing Ukrainian housing or economy, the market can handle that.
We can send the Ukrainians military equipment, food, supplies, medicine, and clothing but let the market handle the rest I say.
Zzzz… more false equivalency from Tgca.
Comparing market housing conditions to a war.
If a hurricane hit South Florida I would support government subsidies for the rebuilding effort.
So in the case of war in the Ukraine, I certainly support rebuilding efforts, and I am sure there will be a lot of private investment as well.
So Jadon mocks people he thinks surrendered to Pootin, a man who can retaliate with NOOKYOOLER weapons but Jadon surrendered to snowflakes who demand you respect others and address them by their proper pronouns.
Hmmm…which one appears more of a threat, a guy with NOOKS or trannies and their green and purple haired nose ring
by greedy landlords”
Translation: owners of private property who want to charge market rates are “greedy”. They should be forced to accept rent values determined by the government instead.
Bitter was right, Tgca sounds like just like an Occupy Wall Street rally.
So, the capitol police investigated a sitting member of Congress?
Quote Tweet
Chad Pergram
@ChadPergram
· 23h
1) Fox has obtained an Inspector General Report compiled by the IG for the U.S. Capitol Police. USCP Chief Tom Manger ordered the review after Rep. Troy Nehls (R-TX) argued that the USCP “investigated my offices illegally and one of my staffers caught them in the act.”
a man who can retaliate with NOOKYOOLER weapons”
Zzzzz… so why have a military at all if every time Putin threatens you with nukes you are going to surrender.
NATO and the US should never allow Putin or anyone else, including China or Rocketman, to use nukes as a threat to get ANY concessions. Never.
Once you do that, you are on a non-stoppable slippery slope.
72
What’s the difference of displacing people through eviction by greed or some other event?
Either way it results in a FORCED displacement. The end result is the same.
You want to tell the homeless mother with children she’s lucky she only got evicted by a greedy landlord because it could of been worse and she could be homeless because of a storm.
I’m sure that will make her feel better and count her blessings.
ut Jadon surrendered to snowflakes who demand you respect others and address them by their proper pronouns”
Nah, I think the people that think you should move on from stolen elections are doing that.
You want to tell the homeless mother with children she’s lucky she only got evicted by a greedy landlord because it could of been worse and she could be homeless because of a storm.”
Zzzzzzz…..
“Greedy landlord” = owner of private property who wants to charge market rates for his property.
I already said that if the taxpayers in FL want to subsidize rents, fine with me. But it shouldn’t directly come out of the pocket of the landlords, they should still get market rates.
76
I don’t disagree!
But Americans should never let anyone, especially the commie radical left intimidate them either in giving up their voting rights.
You caved to the tactics of the left and hundreds of thousands of Americans who died securing and defending our freedoms, of which voting is a treasured freedom, died for nothing when you surrender that sacred freedom to vote so easily.
Coward! …and I say that in a respectful manner.
So if landlords cause economic chaos and hyper rent inflation, they should not be held responsible for costs to society? Who do you think pays for the subsidization? Society pays for it!
Why not have utilities charge what they want then too? You can’t afford our rates? Tough! We don’t provide you with electric, gas or water.
What about drug companies? You can’t afford our drugs? Tough! We don’t provide you with medications.
What about homeowners insurance? You can’t afford our premiums? Tough! We don’t provide you with coverage.
What’s the difference of displacing people through eviction by greed or some other event?”
Huge difference. There are literally thousands of instances where market conditions affected housing prices. Neighborhoods/areas/cities/even states change, some go upscale, other go the opposite way. Some become more affordable, some become less affordable. Places that were real sh-tholes 40 years ago are now populated by rich yuppies. Areas that were middle class at one time are now rundown crime ridden hellholes.
Very different from natural disasters like floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, etc.
See, I don’t agree that if you can get $4000 in rent, you have to renew a lease for $2500 because the tenant should pay more. If you do that, you are in the charity business, not the rental property business. That is not “greed”. Calling it greed is Elizabeth Warren/Bernie Sanders socialist rhetoric.
Why not have utilities charge what they want then too? You can’t afford our rates? Tough! We don’t provide you with electric, gas or water.
What about drug companies? You can’t afford our drugs? Tough! We don’t provide you with medications.
What about homeowners insurance? You can’t afford our premiums? Tough! We don’t provide you with coverage.”
Zzzzzz…. communist propaganda of the worst kind. So everyone should have everything free if they “can’t afford it”? I can’t afford a yacht, should the government give me one?
In a market society, if you charge too much a competitor will appear to charge less.
“What about homeowners insurance? You can’t afford our premiums? Tough! We don’t provide you with coverage.”
I actually agree with this. If you can’t afford to have homeowners insurance, then you probably should not own a home. The government has no obligation to buy you homeowners insurance.
You caved to the tactics of the left and hundreds of thousands of Americans who died securing and defending our freedoms, of which voting is a treasured freedom, died for nothing when you surrender that sacred freedom to vote so easily.”
Heh, hilarious from someone who wants to deny a property owner the right to charge market rates for his property.
I love it here…
ied for nothing when you surrender that sacred freedom to vote so easily.”
I didn’t surrender “the right to vote”, what BS.
I chose not to participate in what I view as a corrupt electoral process in the state I live in.
I bet I have done more for my country than you ever will, so GFY with the “holier than thou” idiocies.
Tgca, I would love to get into a conversation about home prices with you some time, but tonight is an election night. I’ll leave you with this. Here’s a map of median home prices by county in the US.
https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics/county-median-home-prices-and-monthly-mortgage-payment
If you know anything about political geography, the thing that jumps out at you is that there is a very high correlation between home prices and Democratic vote share. The more Democrats, the higher the home price. This is by design. The Democrat Party is the party of the rich liberal elites who enact racist, exclusionary, NIMBY housing policies to keep housing prices up so that the dirty middle and lower classes can’t move in.
The Democrats created this problem, the Democrats can fix it. It’s not incumbent upon the rest of us to fix what the Democrats broke. It took me approximately 18 seconds to find a move-in ready starter home in my county for $70,000. The only ones complaining about housing prices are people living under Democratic control. Move, elect Republicans, or stop whining.
Tgca believe in the freedom of tenants to pay what they want for rent of properties owned by others.
He doesn’t believe in the right of property owners to charge market rates for their properties.
What a big believer in freedom!
No wonder he calls it Amerika! It certainly is not America.
jason says:
May 17, 2022 at 5:27 pm
What’s the difference of displacing people through eviction by greed or some other event?”
Huge difference. There are literally thousands of instances where market conditions affected housing prices. Neighborhoods/areas/cities/even states change, some go upscale, other go the opposite way. Some become more affordable, some become less affordable. Places that were real sh-tholes 40 years ago are now populated by rich yuppies. Areas that were middle class at one time are now rundown crime ridden hellholes.
===============================
I would also like to point out that hundreds of thousands of people have moved out of my area in upstate NY due to Democrats’ high tax policies that drove businesses away. They followed the jobs to low tax states. The same will happen with housing. Democrats are driving people out of the areas they control. If you want a house, move to a Trump county.
If you want a house, move to a Trump county.’
Yeah.
Or you can take Tgca’s advice, hang around and hope the government gives you a house or pays your rent.
I am not in PA, but I did vote today in what will be the 1st of 3 or 4 times I vote this year. School budget and school board elections today. Unfortunately for everyone that I voted for, I have never voted for a school board candidate who actually won. The teachers come out and elect the pro-teachers union candidates. Here’s hoping the 25th time is the charm.
84
Your view of capitalism as absolute is absurd and does not work in society. Hence, why we need safety nets.
I don’t have a problem with available units being charged at market rates. But I do have a problem with evicting the needy because there’s an opportunity to make more money on short notice. …and yes, you can evict someone with 30 days notice in many places. Imagine evicting a single mother with children on such short notice because you can make more money.
If that’s ok because the market drives availability of what others are willing to pay for it, then why not kick dying people from hospital beds if others can afford to pay more fir those and need the beds for routine services on demand instead of waiting for bed availability.
Tell the cancer stricken child sorry but he has to leave and find treatment elsewhere because there’s a shortage of beds and others are willing to pay more for it than his family can afford.
How does this benefit society?
Sorry, Tgca, I have had to face the same thing when all the jobs left the area due to bad Democratic policies. You adjust.
My entire family is gone from the area. I’m the last one remaining. Thanks, Democrats.
Polls are now closed in the Eastern Time Zone of Kentucky, btw.
I rented property in the past so I am not insensitive to property owners.
Hence, why we need safety nets.”
Rent control is not a safety net, it is socialism.
EML is right. If you can’t afford to live somewhere, then you have to move.
I have done that. I survived.
Exit Polling 3rd Wave (Final) from Elite Forecasting:
PA GOP Governor:
Mastriano 38%
Barletta 32%
McSwain 14%
Others 16%
PA GOP Senate:
Dr. OZ 34%
Barnette 31%
McCormick 20%
Others 15%
Early vote is in in KY-03. White male Morgan McGarvey is up 2-to-1 over black female Attica Scott. Those woman hating racist Democrats are at it again.
https://mobile.twitter.com/markdharris/status/1526693462652948481
Interesting.
More looking at overall turnout than anything. R’s don’t usually have more statewide turnout than D’s in PA primary elections.
CI
I have yet to see an election where the turnout isn’t “high”.
I can believe the R side will turnout out because there are three elections with many candidates and at least moderately competitive.
I don’t see a big Dem turnout for Fetterman vs. Lamb and Shapiro is unopposed.
Not sure what “electorate does not look like previous elections” means. If the rural Trump base is not turning out vs the suburban vote that would be good for Barletta and McCormick, but with Mastriano on the ticket I find that hard to believe.
I guess we can wait an hour.
The first time that I heard that the Democrats had a state senator from Louisville named “Attica,” I thought that it must have been a joke. But, nope, that’s her real name: Attica Woodson Scott. She was born on January 30, 1972, just four and one-half months after the Attica Prison riot (September 9-13, 1971), so her parents definitely named her after those (mostly black) convicted criminals who rioted and took prison guards hostage.
Maybe Attica Scott should have gotten Al Pacino to campaign for her. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Bw1a_O2m48
Barnette just announced “every vote counts”.
Very few winners say that…..
Results from the horse’s mouth…
https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/
KY has a candidate for the state house named:
Velvet Dowdy
Rand Paul called the winner in KY.
Oh well, you can’t win them all.
Results in all states
https://redstate.com/redstatestaff/2022/05/17/live-election-results-pennsylvania-north-carolina-kentucky-idaho-and-oregon-primaries-n565570
“John Fetterman, Pennsylvania’s lieutenant governor and the frontrunner in the Democratic primary for a U.S. Senate seat, will have surgery to implant a pacemaker, his campaign said Tuesday afternoon”
So Trump’s endorsed candidates won. Lol. There you go.
Cawthorn is behind but I don’t know where the votes are from.
Ted Budd wins.
PA county names trivia
#################################
Name a county that is:
1. a fish/sea creature (TWO PA counties)
_________ and ______
2. one of the great lakes: _____
3. a four-legged animal (2 counties)
_____________ and __________
4. same name as a former chief justice of SCOTUS
_________
5. a type of pear__________
6. a type of apple________
7. a name of a president of the U.S. (5 counties)
__________ _________ _______ ______ ______
8. a name of a state (2)
___________ and ________
9. a type of lunch meat ___________
10. a country_____________-
11. last name of one of the actors on “Friends”
_______________
12. City in Switzerland ____________
13. two rivers in PA ___________and _________
14. three mountains
_________ ____________ _____________
15. 9 counties that are first names of people
___________ ___________ _____________
___________ ___________ _____________
___________ ___________ _____________
16. which PA county in is the northern half of PA?
A. Northumberland B. Northampton
C. both D. neither
17. PA counties Wyoming and Lycoming
A. are neighboring counties
B. one is in the far west and one in the far east
C. one is on the border with MD and one on border with NY
D. trick question as one of these names is not a county in PA
Baris “The People’s Pundit”
@Peoples_Pundit
·
6m
With Wake County reporting and backing him leading, the Trump-endorsed
@TedBuddNC
has won the North Carolina Republican Primary for U.S. Senate. #NCSen
Must be Russian bots.
The Columbia Bugle ??
@ColumbiaBugle
Cable News Ratings Monday May 16: Tucker Carlson Draws Most Young Viewers in All of Cable News
“Carlson was so dominant among younger viewers that he more than tripled CNN’s Anderson Cooper in their time slot, who only brought in 162,000 demo viewers.”
Congratulations to Senator-elect Ted Budd (R-NC). Personally I liked Pat McCrory anddefended him againsta certain poster’s libel, but he never really made a case for why he should be the Senate nominee. He did get a raw deal in 2016; however, that was realistically the end of his political career, chagrined as I was to see Roy Cooper become Governor.
One of the great lakes: Erie co.’
Wyoming and Lycoming are close, not neighboring.
Pike Co for fish, Cambria for the other?
Susquehanna for river, the other I can’t think of.
Northumberland and Northampton are in the middle of the state not north
Luzerne for city in Switzerland
Clinton, Washington, Adams presidents, missing 2
Columbia for country except it is Colombia
That’s it without cheating. I don’t know the rest.
Tucker the Putin Bot beat out Anderson Cooper?
Impressive.
44% reporting and state Sen. Edwards is ahead of Cawthorn
McCormick leads in Allegheny Co.
Thankfully it appears Madison Cawthorn will lose his primary. He was an ineffective, showboating Congressman whose repeated faux pas would have endangered the seat eventually. Republicans were wise to reject him.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/fettermans-gun-incident-rattles-black-democrats-pa-senate-race-rcna25649
In safely D NC-04, the moderate black female candidate is ahead of the progressive anti-semitic candidate.
I forgot how horrendously slow Kentucky is at counting votes.
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
·
13m
I’ve seen enough: Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) defeats Rep. Conor Lamb (D) in the #PASEN Dem primary.
257
2,083
6,537
The
jason,
Juniata River and county
fish: Pike and DAUPHIN
So the bigger counties are showing McCormick and Oz first and second, with Barnette third.
That is in line with my prediction. Now let’s see if Barnette and Oz split the rural vote with McCormick in third.
Oz should be doing a little better with mail-in votes than what is being seen right now.
Don’t tell me they had a hearing on ufos.
John 1776 Cardillo
@johncardillo
Soaring inflation, crushing gas prices, no baby formula, Dems declaring war on Russia that will go nuclear, Biden’s real approval in the 20s, and an America First primary sweep, so of course trash Congressional leadership on both sides of the aisle are distracting you with UFOs.
4:04 PM · May 17, 2022·Twitter for iPhone
Thankfully it appears Madison Cawthorn will lose his primary.”
Don’t bet on it yet, he is doing better now that the election day vote is coming in.
Kelly Daughtry spent nearly $3 million in NC-13 and is currently in 3rd place in the primary.
Last dump didn’t help Cawthorn. He is down 3500 votes with 45% in.
Barnette outperforming what was to be expected in mail-in votes thus far.
If these results hold, Trafalgar the big winner in NC.
He’s going to have to get a big dump of votes to catch up, Jason. I don’t see how he gets that.
At this point, his best hope might be to force a runoff. He would most likely lose that though.
McCormick well ahead for Sen.
McSwain well ahead for gov.
per RCP. 5% in.
Cawthorn claws ahead of 30%, which means headed for a runoff.
Cawthorn was down by 11, now down by 7. But looking where the votes that are still out they are not that good for him, unless the mail in was really bad and election day really good.
These PA returns are not indicative of anything. Mostly mail in from large counties.
Per Politico, 99% reporting in the NC-04 Dem primary.
Old white guy David Price retiring.
Moderate black female 51%
Progressive Anti-Semite Squad hopeful 34%
American Idol loser 7%
To give you an idea on how non-representative this vote so far is, Corman is winning 2 counties.
And he dropped out last week.
I might be right that Barnette will come in third, not second.
Cawthorn now only down by less than 5.
I suppose it says something that 5 candidates running for both PA-Sen and PA-Gov are in double digits as far as support goes. What it says for me is poor candidates all around. Whoever wins PA-Sen this year, the clear loser is PA residents. The winner is a clear downgrade from Toomey.
In the only interesting race in KY, the white Dem dude beats the black Dem gal in KY-03.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northampton_County,_Pennsylvania
Northampton County is on PA/NJ border. I lived there for 4 years in college (Easton/Lafayette College)
I can’t imagine anyone who didn’t vote for Cawthorn in this round would vote for him in the next. Even if it goes to a runoff, he’s toast.
Now he is only down by 3.5
Barnutty total collapse at Predictit now, fwiw.
96
If you can’t afford to bring a property up to code, you should not be able to rent it.
In FL, that would be close to $75,000 for most.
Goes both ways. One should not be able to earn income at the safety risk of others.
McCormick blowing away expectations in Central PA.
I disagree with EML on the candidates. Sometimes good candidates split the vote.
I think OZ and McCormick are good candidates. So are McSwain, White and Barletta.
I will ask and answer my own addition to Walt’s question. How many PA counties share names with NY counties?
Tioga (my own county, which is also the closest distance between two counties of the same name)
Erie
Monroe
Warren
Fulton
Washington
Wayne
Delaware
Jefferson
Franklin
Clinton
Wyoming
(St?) Lawrence
Allegheny-Allegany
Oz is looking good.
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
I’ve seen enough. State Sen. Doug Mastriano (R) wins the #PAGOV GOP primary and will face Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D) in the fall.
– SEND A MESSAGE!
You can bet Republicans all across the country are going to enjoy being asked to comment on whatever batcrap crazy thing this Qanon, stop the steal clown says.
I believe Oz is going to nip McCormick at the wire.
Barnette turned out to be McCormick’s best friend in this race…she sliced into Oz’s potential votes in Central PA/Trump votes.
PA counties that have same county name in WV
Fayette
Jefferson
Mercer
Monroe
Wayne
Wyoming
The closest analog to this year’s election I can find for NC Sen is 2014. In that year’s primary:
D – 482K
R – 488K
[Thom Tillis ended up beating incumbent Kay Hagan by 1.5%]
So far this year, as reported by Politico:
D – 397K
R – 530K
Amoral Scumbag drives by to endorse a Democrat?
What a surprise.
I am sure he is disappointed Barnette didn’t win.
I believe Oz is going to nip McCormick at the wire. ”
Don’t think it will be that close.
McCormick will fade soon, a lot of his vote lead is Allegheny.
I was the only one predicting Barnette would come in third. I strained my arm patting myself on the back.
Oh, it’s going to be close. McCormick keeping raw vote lead of 6,000 to 8,000 for a long time now and his numbers in Central, PA are holding up.
Yikes.
NewsBreak
@newsbreakApp
· 57m
Printing mistakes will force local election officials in Pennsylvania and Oregon to redo thousands of mailed ballots, a laborious process that could delay results for some closely contested races in Tuesday’s primaries. #NewsBreakLocal
https://newsbreak.com/news/2606466090664/printing-errors-mar-mailed-ballots-in-oregon-pennsylvania
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
· 12m
I’ve seen enough: Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) has lost renomination to state Sen. Chuck Edwards (R) in the #NC11 GOP primary.
Poor Mcraffey. He lost the drug war.
The Post Millennial
@TPostMillennial
· 1h
Tucker Carlson slams the Biden admin for how much money it is prepared to spend to fight Russia, and mocks the retired four-star general who posted a video game clip claiming it was the war in Ukraine:
“That’s how they understand war. As a video game.”
Show this thread
Hi Tina,
Do you happen to know anything about Edwards? I don’t much at all about him.
“EU to demand reforms as condition for funding Ukraine’s post-war reconstruction. The German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung has obtained a draft of the European Commission’s reconstruction plan for Ukraine. Money from member states and international partners would be allocated under “strict conditions, such as fighting corruption and reform efforts by the Ukrainian government,” according to the plan. The plan also envisages that the reconstruction of Ukraine’s war-torn infrastructure may take more than 10 years. Damage caused by the war to Ukraine is estimated at hundreds of billions of euros, Süddeutsche Zeitung reported.”
Hi Tina,
Do you know anything about Edwards?
Tina,
I have no idea how the semi-duplicate post happened
Oh, it’s going to be close. McCormick keeping raw vote lead of 6,000 to 8,000 for a long time now and his numbers in Central, PA are holding up.”
Closer than I thought, I still think Oz pulls it out but you may be right about at the wire.
But with each update Oz creeps a little closer.
Now only down by 1 with 56% in, was down by 2 with
45%.
About 5k votes now.
0.7%… tight.
In other news it looks like the R primary vote in PA will be higher than the Dem vote.
Marv. No clue. That would be a question for Wes.
Montgomery co.
McCormick 5090
Oz 5088
Tina,
Wes hasn’t reported in yet tonight.
I would if Harry Reid ever found those papers he lost during the debate with Angle.
Mastriano should thank Shapiro. CNN panel was discussing how Shapiro-affiliated groups were helping Mastriano.
Trump beginning to lose his grip on the party.
Tonight is a good night for the Republican Party in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and the Nation.
Skippy says:
May 17, 2022 at 10:37 pm
Trump beginning to lose his grip on the party.
Tonight is a good night for the Republican Party in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and the Nation.
– From your lips to God’s ears.
Skippy is right. Down to the wire.
McCormick 278,539 31.89%
Oz 272,730 31.23%
74%
The papers are still missing, Marv.
Marv, Edwards is a mainstream conservative in the General Assembly. He’ll vote the right way at least 95% of the time without all the petty distractions Cawthorn gave us.
He’ll be fine as a Congressman.
From your lips to God’s ears.”
LOL
Skippy is one of the biggest Trump haters here.
GFY.
The vast majority of Trump endorsements won.
MSNBC still has the best maps. CNN is second. Fox is third. Only CNN has panel discussion.
Let’s not forget Amoral Scumbag called Ted Budd a “turd”.
Madison Cawthorn’s defeat shows it is possible for the party to shape primaries. The party just has to want to do it. Tillis and much of the North Carolina Republican Party decided enough was enough with Cawthorn. They went after him and it worked. It wasn’t by a lot, but it worked.
It would be wise for the NRSC and the RGA to get involved in primaries once again. They don’t have to back candidates so much as they patrol for bad ones. Had the RGA been awake two months ago, they might have been able to stop Mastriano.
Wes,
Thanks for the report. How’s it going for you?
I am sure the Russian hoaxers/jebots are for this.
Former Fox News Reporter Carl Cameron Says Biden Regime Should Start Jailing Conservatives For Spreading Misinformation (VIDEO)
Things are fine with me, Marv. How about you?
·
10m
?BREAKING: New Missouri Poll from SurveyUSA Shows Eric Greitens with Major Lead in GOP Primary & General Election for US Senate
Greitens +9
+9 primary
+6 general
Survey USA
Wes,
We’re both good here in So FL. Plan to start traveling again late this year. Headed to Aloha land next spring.
Mastriano’s win was massive.
Trump is beginning to lose his grip on the party..beginning.
GOP getting back to its positive, conservative, peace through strength Reagan roots.
Glenn Youngkin is a good start.
Tonight is another good night.
Georgia will be another good night.
t would be wise for the NRSC and the RGA to get involved in primaries once again.”
LOL
Win back the suburbs? Screw the working class? Screw minorities?
When the 5% of losers think they own the party, that is the advice you get.
Trump had plenty of wins tonight, even Cawthorn would have won barring the latest video.
If Oz can pull it out it will be pretty much a clean sweep for Trump.
McCormick only ahead by 3400 votes.
Glenn Youngkin is a good start.”
Zzzzz… another Trump endorsed candidate.
Georgia will be a good night because Trump endorsed Walker will win and scumbag Raffensberger will lose.
Tina
RE: SUSA poll
Seems suspect. Nothing has happened in MO to cause such a sudden dramatic shift. Recall that the recent Remington poll had Greitens in 3rd place, & 6 points IIRC behind the leader Schmitt.
Don’t think Greitens jumped from third to first and gained appx 15 points in a week– for no apparent reason.
Raffensberger needs to lose and then be arrested for his fake tape of trump. He illegally taped a telephone conversation and distorted it. This was a settlement conference.
Got caught doctoring the tape.
I am barely ok with governor hee haw.
Hee Haw should beat Jabba the Hutt
It will be close. Per Baris hee jaw loses 20% of the Rs.
Walker is the stud
Smart and his son is quite smart too
Oz running out of votes. It’s hard to make up ground when there are that many candidates.
McC might be easier to elect?
The Wise Men are having lots of technical difficulties tonight. Funny.
I think the ex-wife accusations backfired big time if the intention was to get rid of Greitens. They stunk to high heaven and the timing was very suspicious.
It probably helped Greitens because he had already had a rogue prosecution previously.
He is probably getting a big sympathy vote.
McCormick can definitely win. I have said this from the beginning. So could Oz, Sands and Bartos.
The only sure loser was Barnette.
David McCormick 329,414 31.49%
Mehmet Oz 325,699 31.14%
Just to be clear – all of the Republican voters who voted for someone other than Mastriano tonight…..they will vote for the Democrat or stay home in November?
Still close to 200k votes out.
I think Mastriano will unite most of the R vote.
The problem is can he attract any Indies. That will be tough.
You can’t win an election in PA just with Rs.
I am sure Bitter will vote for him. I would vote for him if I was registered. My wife will vote for him.
But Indies will be a challenge.
I think almost every voter who voted in the GOP primary will vote for Mastriano. The defeated candidates need to endorse him.
jason says:
May 17, 2022 at 10:55 pm
t would be wise for the NRSC and the RGA to get involved in primaries once again.”
LOL
Win back the suburbs? Screw the working class? Screw minorities?
– Your stupidity is a sight to behold.
David McCormick 341,102 31.46%
Mehmet Oz 338,397 31.21%
jason says:
May 17, 2022 at 10:56 pm
Glenn Youngkin is a good start.”
Zzzzz… another Trump endorsed candidate.
– You’re so desperate to make MAGA daddy look good. Trump played no role whatsoever in Youngkin’s win. Youngkin did everything he could to avoid talking about your orange hero. Suggesting Youngkin won because Trump endorsed him is as laughable as suggesting Mike Pence’s brother won his primary race two weeks ago because Trump endorsed him.
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
·
15m
It’s probably a matter of minutes until Mehmet Oz (R) takes a tiny lead over Dave McCormick (R). Razor-close. #PASEN
And it could be subject to a recount.
Less than 5%.
Predictit still thinks Oz will win.
Wasn’t he praising having lunch with segregationists last week?
Quote Tweet
The New York Times
@nytimes
· 8h
“White supremacy is a poison,” President Biden said in Buffalo on Tuesday. “We need to say as clearly and forcefully as we can that the ideology of white supremacy has no place in America. None.”
Read a transcript of his speech. https://nyti.ms/37U001v
McCormick would not be bad.
Trump played no role whatsoever in Youngkin’s win”
BS. Youngkin only won because of Trump. The Trump counties in VA gave him a massive win. He only won by about 50k votes, so his improvement in NOVA would not have been enough without the massive vote he got in the reddest of Trump’s counties.
And GFY, you were supporting the Democrat, you scumbag liar.
Please feed me. I love you so much. It’s the only way I know for sure that I exist. If you feed me, I promise I’ll come see you more often, ‘Kay?
Delaware is mostly out and McCormick is ahead. Might be the clincher.
So of all the people here, just about everyone will vote for the Republican candidate that wins the primary……except for “CG” and Robbie……their votes/support will be determined by their hatred of Donald Trump.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
·
19m
PENNSYLVANIA CALL
McCormick’s lead steadily evaporating from 7 to 2K. And I in several counties saw a 9 point spread for Oz with EDay votes
OZ WINS PRIMARY
mnw,
Get back to the Bluezzzzz, they need you!
I would not vote for Ratberger for sos, if I had the opportunity.
Youngkin did everything he could to avoid talking about your orange hero”
Right, is that why he said the most important issue in VA was voter integrity?
Go back to your left wing cesspools, everyone here knows you have the moral compass of a floating turd.
I would abstain.
Would hold my nose for hee haw.
No problem voting for walker.
I would not vote for Ratberger for sos, if I had the opportunity.”
I would vote for Kemp and vomit, but yes, Ratberger would be a bridge too far.
I would also not vote for Quittens or Sassehole.
I just would write in or not vote.
NYC
I’ve done what I can. Irritating that TNT joined the game in progress.
Oz will lose
Even if Oz pulls it out, I was wrong about McCormick. At least I picked him to finish better than Barnette.
I also wokld not vote for any Bushes.
I could hold my nose for pence/Luntz tenant (I really pulled for him being from Bakersfield), and Mitchie.
Amoral Scumbag hardest hit.
R Vote in PA 1,122,931
D vote in PA 1,003,000
If McCormick wins, he did say that he has “always been America First.”
McCormick ran as a Trump supporter, he just didn’t get the endorsement. Trump thinks he is “too close to China”.
Right, and he also said that he is a good man.
About 2400 margin now.
All three ran as MAGA candidates, so I think Skippy is full of crap.
Right. None of them ran against Maga.
Fox thinks either one matches up well against Fetterman. I agree.
If the question of abortion does come up, what type of state laws does PA have in regard to that?
David McCormick 366,931 31.23%
Mehmet Oz 365,309 31.09%
It is legal up to 24 weeks in PA.
So if any Republican is asked about it, they can defer to the state law, which is quite liberal compared to the Mississippi law, and use a line such as “I hope abortion becomes a very rare occurrence, and I will always counsel on the side of life.”
Partial birth abortion and infanticide are not popular in PA, but that is what the Dems will have to run on, it is their policy.
So I don’t think abortion will be a winning issue for either side in PA.
Let’s get real, neither Oz or McCormick are going to run on abortion.
jason says:
May 17, 2022 at 11:24 pm
Trump played no role whatsoever in Youngkin’s win”
BS. Youngkin only won because of Trump.
– This is so sad. Youngkin won in spite of Trump.
Your desperate to make Trump happen.
I get it. Your love for Trump is unrequited. That doesn’t mean he is responsible for every win.
I wish the 2016 version of you could watch the 2022 version of you.
No, I am not saying they will run on abortion.
I am imagining that any Republican will be declared a radical right-wing zealot looking to take women back to back-alleys and hangars, but they can respond with a pretty reasonable response, so as to take that issue off the table for the suburban, affluent bimbos they may need to win.
Fox says Trump is 70-2 in endorsements.
Skippy and Amoral Scumbag hardest hit.
So don’t they know how to count votes in Bucks County?
NYC, the DEMS are going to have trouble tagging either OZ or McCormick as far right conservatives.
They will try. They might be more successful with Mastroani but the guy who is going to be tagged as an extremist in the Senate race is Fetterman, who thinks Biden is too conservative, he is a Bernie guy.
Youngkin won in spite of Trump.”
That is crazy and makes no sensed. Look at the vote in the Trump counties. Without that massive vote Youngkin would have lost.
Oz finally pulls ahead.
It will depend on the mail in vote still to be counted.
The early mail in vote favored McCormick, but some was mailed before Trump’s endorsement.
The later mail ins are more favorable to OZ, they reflect Trump’s endorsement.
Mehmet Oz 397,347 31.22%
David McCormick 396,724 31.17%
“Your love for Trump is unrequited”
Many people here will laugh at this. They feel I am too critical of Trump.
Mehmet Oz 399,839 31.25%
David McCormick 399,002 31.18%
Baris/Trafalgar (top of thread) certainly had an off day in PA.
When the day started, what I most wanted was for Barnutty NOT to win the Senate nomination & that happened. So there’s that. The GOP got up to the starting line without throwing away the seat.
I don’t care much whether Oz or McC wins, altho as a matter of first impression it seems as if McC might be the easier lift in the GE. Maybe.
It’s ridiculous in this country in this day and age with the technology we have that we can not count all votes before midnight or so. It really reduces confidence in the results. Our nation needs to tighten this up.
Another clueless comment from a poster on RRH Elections:
“Most of that lead is from the Ada County EV, he’s been falling all night. Labrador is doing well even in Mormon heavy Idaho…”
Could the fact Labrador is Mormon and graduated from Brigham Young University be a factor?
mnw
Is this Survey USA Poll of the Missouri Senate race anywhere close to accurate?
If so, Greitens is sizably in front in the GOP primary.
In the D-R head to head:
Greitens +6
Hartzler +12
Schmidt +14
https://www.kfvs12.com/2022/05/17/poll-greitens-leads-candidates-ahead-senate-primary-mo-kunce-leads-democratic-ticket/
I think that McCormick or Oz beats Fetterman IF the party unites behind them. That includes Barnette.
Bitter, Barnette no likey the “globalists”.
Chi on- She can either support the GOP nominee or join Fetterman’s campaign staff.
Why can’t the corrupt PA machine provide a denominator on how many mail ins remain?
So Trump-endorsed candidates go 70 wins, 2 losses, but because they didn’t go 72-0, it means Trump has lost his influence on the party.
That is laughable dw.
Who thinks that. The Russian hoaxer?
Skippy and Amoral Scumbag said that last night.
DW says:
May 18, 2022 at 9:36 am
So Trump-endorsed candidates go 70 wins, 2 losses, but because they didn’t go 72-0, it means Trump has lost his influence on the party.
– This is what I love about HHR. Trump endorsed a whole slew of candidates who weren’t in remotely competitive races and the gong show wants to claim those “wins” mean he has unmatched endorsement power. I’m sorry, but backing Mike Pence’s brother in a race he was always going to win isn’t the same as backing a candidate in a highly competitive primary.
That said, I have not said Trump’s power is waning in the party. All I said in response to skippy was “From your lips to God’s ears” when he suggested that was happening. In other words, I hope he’s right because I absolutely hate Trump.
Tina says:
May 18, 2022 at 9:41 am
That is laughable dw.
Who thinks that. The Russian hoaxer?
– ??? ?????? ? ??? ????? ????? ?????? ????????
????, ??? ????? ? ??????? ???? ????? ??? ??????.
Mehmet Oz 411,875 31.26% David McCormick 409,308 31.06%
jason says:
May 18, 2022 at 9:47 am
Skippy and Amoral Scumbag said that last night.
– I didn’t say his power was waning. I replied to Skippy’s claim, “From your lips to God’s ears”. In other words, I hope he’s right.
I don’t think Trump is as powerful within the party as he was 2020, but he and his psychotic retinue remain, by far, the dominant force in the party.
My guess is Trump will remain powerful until he loses both the 2024 presidential race and the 2028 residential race. And yes, I think Trump is likely going to be the nominee in 2028.
Only cyanide laced Kool-Aid ends a cult like the one that surrounds Trump. Not election multiple losses.
Hey Amoral Scumbag, did you buy your Fetterman life size doll to sleep with yet?
I wonder why Trump is so powerful in the GOP.
Maybe it it because GOP voters recognize he was a really good President?
Nahhhh…. that couldn’t be it.
Skippy and Amoral Scumbag said that last night.
– I didn’t say his power”
If I knew how to put a smiley face here I would.
Amoral Scumbag is crushed that Barnette and Cawthorn lost, he won’t be able to ignore Biden’s disastrous Presidency by coming here several times a day to attack them.
But all is not lost, he can ignore Biden to come here to talk about Fauci, QAnon, Mastriano and of course, ME.
There may be as many as 30,000 uncounted ballots left in PA. It’s probably closer to 25,000. If we assume it’s 25,000 and also assume Barnette will get something close to what she was getting statewide, McCormick will need to win about 40% of the votes left to tie Oz. According to NBC, McCormick was winning mail-in votes with 39%. So I suppose it’s doable that McCormick can win, but unlikely.
My guess is Trump will remain powerful until he loses both the 2024 presidential race and the 2028 residential race”
That sucks. I was hoping he would be powerful until 2036 but you can’t have everything.
But on the other hand, we already know Amoral Scumbag will hate whatever R is on the ballot in 2032 and 2036, so at least some things won’t change.
jason says:
May 18, 2022 at 10:23 am
Hey Amoral Scumbag, did you buy your Fetterman life size doll to sleep with yet?
– No. I was told it was on back order behind your life size cutouts of good ole Roy Moore and Margorie Taylor Greene. To be honest, I think they’ll look good next to the shrine you’ve built to Trump.
jason says:
May 18, 2022 at 10:32 am
My guess is Trump will remain powerful until he loses both the 2024 presidential race and the 2028 residential race”
That sucks. I was hoping he would be powerful until 2036 but you can’t have everything.
But on the other hand, we already know Amoral Scumbag will hate whatever R is on the ballot in 2032 and 2036, so at least some things won’t change.
– Considering you’ll be 100% behind the candidacies of Don Jr. and Ivanka, I have no doubt I’ll hate them.
jason says:
May 18, 2022 at 10:29 am
But all is not lost, he can ignore Biden to come here to talk about Fauci, QAnon, Mastriano and of course, ME.
– You’re the one who wanted to give Fauci multiple presidential medals of freedom, not me.
According to NBC, McCormick was winning mail-in votes with 39%”
Yeah, but there is a problem with that.
It included mail in votes before Trump endorsed Oz, the later mail ins that haven’t been counted yet are less pro-McCormick, so even if he wins them it won’t be 39%.
Of course, it depends where these mail-in votes are coming from, some counties already counted all of them. If for example, a large amount is from Allegheny Co., that would be good for McCormick. If they are from Bucks or York Co., better for Oz.
Fetterman is 6’8” tall. Robbie will need a bigger bed.
Fauci would be long gone if Trump had won re-election.
But he is still around because Amoral Scumbag’s President has given him even more power.
Yet he whines about Fauci but after a year and a half still has not acknowledged Biden is President.
While Biden destroys America, Amoral Scumbag is here to talk about QAnon, Fauci, Trump and me.
Well, now we have Mastriano too. And whatever other Rs that will be on the ballot.
Considering you’ll be 100% behind the candidacies of Don Jr. and Ivanka, I have no doubt I’ll hate them.”
They might not be the candidates.
But we can be 100% sure you will be behind whomever the Dems nominate.
Hello, HHR. Been a while.
Well at least my bottom line of Barnette not getting the PA GOP senate nomination happened.
I would prefer McCormick but will adamantly support Oz if he pulls this out.
Fetterman MUST be defeated. Quite possibly the most important election of this cycle. Hopefully, mostly everyone will coalesce around the winner in short order, despite the nuttery of Barnette saying she won’t endorse.
Welcome back, Waingro.
There are quite a few important elections in 2022, and U.S. Senate from PA is certainly up there.
263 Sheep
I doubt it, because it’s such an outlier from multiple polls by other, better-known pollsters, i.e. the recent Remington. Remington had Schmitt leading, & Greitens in third place, 6 points back of Schmitt.
The reason I think SUSA is an outlier, as I stated last night, is because NOTHING HAPPENED since the 2 most recent polls, to cause a 15-point swing. NOTHING.
So I will disregard SUSA until there is confirmation.
One thing for absolute certainty. “Republican” Robbie dry humping Fetterman’s leg for the next five months.
Hey Wain, good to see you.
I think Amoral Scumbag is going to be disappointed in PA.
The Dems had two chances to win this race. Nominate Lamb or have the Rs nominate Barnette.
Neither happened.
Fetterman is not a bad campaigner. He is going to paint himself as true home grown PA and Oz a carpetbagger, that will be the meme. But he is too extreme even in a good Dem year, I don’t see him winning in a bad year.
One thing for absolute certainty. “Republican” Robbie dry humping Fetterman’s leg for the next five months.”
Humping is a certainty, not so sure about “dry”.
Fetterman is only 52 years old but just had a stroke and surgery to implant a pacemaker. It will be an issue he will have to address.
Despite the hype, Barnette was far enough back that I don’t think she will be a factor for the GE even if she doesn’t endorse the winner.
Her voters will come out strong for Mastriano in the GE, so maybe some won’t vote for Oz or McCormick but they are not voting for Fetterman.
And Mastriano needs the more moderate Rs and Indies who will vote for Oz to vote for him too, so he might tell Barnette (who ran close to him and campaigned with him) to fall in line.
One thing for absolute certainty. “Republican” Robbie dry humping Fetterman’s leg for the next five months.”
Oz should offer to treat him.
Wrong quote.
Fetterman is only 52 years old but just had a stroke and surgery to implant a pacemaker. It will be an issue he will have to address”
Oz should offer to treat him.
The SUSA poll sure had an effect on Predictit.
xhttps://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7162/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Republican-Senate-nomination
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7162/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Republican-Senate-nomination
Is Q’anon (whatever thst means) somehow tied to Ultra Maga and Maga King?
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
·
33m
PENNSYLVANIA — Republican turnout in is outpacing 2018 by 543,000 votes
Republican Turnout in PA Primaries
2022: 1,400,000 (+543,000)
2018: 857,000
?PA: GOP turnout is 63% higher than 2018 with GOP turnout surpassing DEM turnout for the first time in 10 YEARS
Phil says:
May 18, 2022 at 11:16 am
One thing for absolute certainty. “Republican” Robbie dry humping Fetterman’s leg for the next five months.
– It’s sad to see you fall into the same pit with Jason fraud.
Fetterman’s a clown. I supported McCormick, still hold out a small hope he wins, and would vote for Oz if I lived in PA. I think Oz is a huckster, but I’m about to vote for Rand Paul for the third time this Fall so I’m not averse to voting for people I don’t always like.
Thwee! Ohhhh! Thwee!
Will Greitens lying wife endorse him?
Will MNW have a cow if Greitens is nominated?
Headline at Bongino:
“Biden Admin Pauses Ministry of Truth Amid Epic Backlash, Jankowicz Drafts Resignation Letter”
Biden’s Disinformation Governance Board responds:
“This is slanderous misinformation. Bongino sentenced to 15 years hard-labor.”
Ministry of Information out on hold according to WaPo whining about how unfairly the Ministry’s singing lunatic Nina lead has been treated by a “right-winged internet.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/05/18/disinformation-board-dhs-nina-jankowicz/
305
STOP trying to steak my thunder!
A pacemaker is not that big a deal. Friends who have one say they don’t even keep you overnight. Say it has no effect on their daily activities.
‘’Oz should offer to treat him”
LOL
I believe it’s foolish to think Greitens is sure to win the GE against Busch Valentine (D), just because of the red wave & the fact that MO is a red state to start with.
A pacemaker is not that big a deal. Friends who have one say they don’t even keep you overnight. Say it has no effect on their daily activities.”
Depends. As an elective procedure that is correct.
But Fetterman had one put in as emergency procedure following a stroke. So it is a bigger deal.
https://mobile.twitter.com/meridithmcgraw/status/1526954652494962688
Trump once again showing he is unfit to serve another term in office.
Disgraceful.
Disgraceful? Showing he’s unfit to serve another term in office? Huh?
Please tell me you are being facetious.
I think Greitens is the weakest candidate for the GE vs. Hartzler and Schmitt.
I think he got a bad rap both in the original charges leading to his resignation and in the latest ex-wife accusations.
Both can be true.
I think any of the three will win in a red year in a red state.
However, you can never discount the possibility another shoe could fall on Greitens, so to speak.
Because of this risk and the damage the prior scandals (true or not) have done, I would hope he doesn’t win the primary. But if either Hartzler or Schmitt don’t drop out and endorse the other, Greitens could win with 35% of the vote. Anybody really think he can’t get that?
Poor Skippy has terminal TDS.
The lead for Oz just shrunk a bit, down to 2,424 votes.
I agree with Trump. Going ahead and declaring yourself the winner when you are ahead at the end of election night is good election strategy.
Nothing “disgraceful” about it.
It is done all the time.
SUSA has a peculiar methodology. Since my anti-Greitens views are so well known here, I won’t unpack the SUSA poll, because it would look like wish casting & cherry-picking the polls. But I prefer IA & Remington, by a wide margin, to SUSA.
However, one of The Wise Men explains why SUSA doesn’t pass the smell test, if anyone is interested.
Barnutty bounced around in the polls during the last week because real news kept dropping. Nothing similar happened with Greitens.
#312, seems like he’s just setting the stage at this point for “fraud” and “steal” claims. Let’s wait and see what happens after the mail-in ballots come through first.
Oz lead shrunk again to 2,404 votes.
Mnw, as the official Hhr nickname lister, I like Barnutty’s nickname.
Great job.
Looks like the ministry of truth has been dissolved.
Nina Junkowitz would have been entertaining.
Oz and McCormick can both beat Fetterman. If McCormick does win, the last thing we need is Trump screaming fraud (Republican vs. Republican?) and having Oz and Barnette supporters stay home.
“Fetterman’s a clown”
He is in good company I guess, that is what Amoral Scumbag called DeSantis.
Of course he called all Trump endorsed senate candidates, Walker, Vance and Oz “turds”.
I guess he doesn’t think Fetterman rises to that description.
Barnutty”
Yeah, pretty good, mnw gets credit.
Sorry Tina. But Tina is still queen of nicknames, hands down.
Nina Junkowitz”
I rest my case.
#312, seems like he’s just setting the stage at this point for “fraud” and “steal” claims”
I don’t agree that is the case.
Often candidates ahead in the count claim victory, even if they are only ahead by 20 votes, because that creates a “winning narrative”.
Oz is ahead in the election night count and has a good chance of prevailing after the mail in is counted too.
Nothing wrong with getting out there with the spin.
It looks as if Dems on the KSSC like their jobs more than Dems on the NCSC:
https://mobile.twitter.com/jonshorman/status/1526948567390339073?s=21&t=6fZyANwmT9oLAXwBYqZHLA
mnw says:
May 18, 2022 at 12:51 pm
SUSA has a peculiar methodology.
– I know you hate my guts, but the Courier Journal in Louisville used SUSA polls. Their performance was so bad in 2010 and 2014 in the state, the Courier Journal fired them as its pollster.
This morning
Mehmet Oz 411,875 31.26%
David McCormick 409,308 31.06%
This afternoon
Oz 412,502 31.24
McCormick 410,058 31.06
At this rate McCormick is not going to catch up, 3377 more votes were counted and he gained 123.
Only in the deranged world of Trumpism is it considered wise to declare victory in a race that hasn’t been won yet.
If Oz declares victory as MAGA daddy says he should do and then loses, he still loses and looks like a clown in the process.
If Oz keeps his mouth shut and wins the final count, he wins the race and acts in a manner that won’t alienate McCormick or his supporters.
jason says:
May 18, 2022 at 1:29 pm
#312, seems like he’s just setting the stage at this point for “fraud” and “steal” claims”
I don’t agree that is the case.
Often candidates ahead in the count claim victory, even if they are only ahead by 20 votes, because that creates a “winning narrative”.
Oz is ahead in the election night count and has a good chance of prevailing after the mail in is counted too.
Nothing wrong with getting out there with the spin.
– Spin doesn’t win races, though. Votes do. And let’s be honest, Trump isn’t arguing that Oz should get out in front with his own narrative. Trump is suggesting Oz should declare he’s won so he can claim fraud if the vote count puts McCormick in the lead (unlikely). It’s the same gameplan MAGA daddy followed in 2020 and it lead to a riot that got him impeached for the second time in 13 months.
Wrong math, assuming they have 62% of the vote about 2000 were counted.
And let’s be honest, Trump isn’t arguing that Oz should get out in front with his own narrative. ”
No, let’s be dishonest, because that is what Amoral Scumbags do.
Trump didn’t say anything about fraud, he said Oz should go out there and claim victory.
I agree with him. If spin wasn’t important, nobody would do it.
d it lead to a riot that got him impeached for the second time in 13 months.”
Zzzz.. he was impeached by partisan scumbags with the support of useful idiot scumbags like you.
But at least Amoral Scumbag uses the correct terminology, riot.
He might get defriended by Adam Schiff for failing to use the mandated terminology “insurrection”.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/05/18/nolte-joe-bidens-formula-shortage-puts-two-babies-in-hospital/
Only in the deranged world of Trumpism is it considered wise to declare victory in a race that hasn’t been won yet.”
Zzzzzz… what an absolute load of crap.
Candidates declare victory in tight undetermined races all the time. Almost always, btw.
The leader goes out there and says “we won”. The other candidate goes out there and says “let’s count every vote”.
THAT is the way it works. Nothing to do with Trumpism. All of Amoral Scumbag’s favorite Dems do the same thing.
Dow is down over 1,000.
Really bad housing numbers today.
Look for Loon Cheney, the jebots, and J6 fraudsters to try to knock this news from the front page.
jason says:
May 18, 2022 at 1:49 pm
And let’s be honest, Trump isn’t arguing that Oz should get out in front with his own narrative. ”
No, let’s be dishonest, because that is what Amoral Scumbags do.
Trump didn’t say anything about fraud, he said Oz should go out there and claim victory.
I agree with him. If spin wasn’t important, nobody would do it.
– Those with functioning brain cells understand what Trump’s doing. I’m sorry you can’t see it.
Jonathan Tamari
@JonathanTamari
McCormick allies expecting far more GOP mail ballots than my initial source – potentially helpful to him since he has led with mail voting
Mark Davin Harris
@markdharris
Replying to
@ColbyItkowitz and @JonathanTamari Karnacki reporting 32k ballots. I think that’s roughly right plus all the E Day hangers.
– These two tweets are why MAGA daddy wants Oz to declare victory when the race is not won yet. He’s worried there are more than enough votes left to put McCormick narrowly in the lead. While I think that’s unlikely, MAGA daddy is worried an Oz loss would lead to stories his endorsement doesn’t carry the same weight it once did. He fears backing a loser would make him look weak.
338 Tina
There has been a lot of discussion about the correction/bear market hurting DEMs when voters notice what’s happened to their 401k’s. That’s a fair observation.
Often overlooked, the same thing has happened to college savings accounts (529s). How good is THAT for the DEMs? Even the really conservative 529s are down 2%-3% in the first quarter alone.
I’d guess, though I don’t actually know for sure, that 529’s are held disproportionately by affluent suburbanites– one of the few demos where the DEMs are outperforming the averages.
Who else was glad to see Madison Cawthorn lose yesterday?
Mnw, it’s going to be hard to get past that, the shortages, and the inflation binge.
It will be even worse for may as gas prices have risen again.
“Wes says:
May 18, 2022 at 2:15 pm
Who else was glad to see Madison Cawthorn lose yesterday?”
ME! Good riddance.
Count the votes.
If we have a winner outside of state laws on recount then we have a winner. If not, recount.
This isn’t hard. Not difficult. Except for a child like Trump.
If Oz is the winner after all the votes are counted..that’s great, we will have a winner.
Until then Trump should shut the f*** up.
The two Never Trump morons are worried that Oz, who was endorsed by Trump, might win. In the end, that is all they think about, how something might be “bad for Trump”.
Awwwww……
Yikes, we are becoming turd world.
zerohedge
@zerohedge
· 1h
*VAST SWATH OF US AT RISK OF SUMMER BLACKOUTS, REGULATOR WARNS
Build Blackouts Better
I’m not worried Oz will win.
If he does I will hope he wins the general.
This is about Trump acting like a child…once again.
The guy has emotional intelligence of a 5 year old.
It’s time for Trump’s era to come to a close.
Oz lead drops from 2404 to 2179 votes.
I hope Cawthorn stays in politics. I don’t care about his videos and I think he was a victim of a despicable smear campaign by fellow Republicans.
That being said, him losing was probably good for the R party in general and others on the ballot in NC in November. He would be a distraction from Biden’s disastrous Presidency, just like Barnette would have been.
I think it is likely he will make a comeback if he can clean up his act. He came within 1500 votes of winning despite talking about cocaine parties and orgies, caught the second time with a gun at an airport, accused of insider trading, lingerie photo, and sex video. The guy has potential.
342 Wes
Me!
I like to see Republicans take out their own garbage.
Plus, I was sick to death of having to read about all his bizarro BS.
It’s time for Trump’s era to come to a close.”
Zzzzz….
Fortunately, I don’t think that is happening any time soon.
That’s a significant drop, DW.
Whoever wins can’t claim a mandate, so these two need to commit to backing the eventual nominee regardless of who it is.
“caught the second time with a gun at an airport, accused of insider trading, lingerie photo, and sex video”
Was this all in one day? Sounds like a hell of a time! LOL.
Republicans smeared Cawthorn only with his own words and actions, Jason. Had he acted like a responsible adult rather than a frat boy, then the NCGOP wouldn’t have had anything to work with.
I actually defended Cawthorn against the scurrilous attacks by the Dems in his first run for Congress. He chose to be clown himself in office though,so he received his just deserts. Maybe he can reinvent himself and reenter politics some other time. He’ll have to create a far different public persona from what he has now though.
MSNBC and Kornacki spinning furiously for McCormick. But even they admit there are some caveats.
Steve Kornacki
@SteveKornacki
·
6h
…however, a big chunk (5,000?) of these mail-in votes are in Lancaster County, which right now is one of the very few counties where Oz is outpacing McCormick in mail-in votes.”
and
1) We are still nailing down where there is remaining Election Day vote – there may still be some Oz-friendly areas
2) While McCormick has done well with mail votes so far, it’s possible the very late-arriving mail ballots will be more Oz-friendly, which could stave off McCormick.
Republicans smeared Cawthorn only with his own words and actions, Jason.”
So you don’t think release of the sex video a few days before the election wasn’t politically motivated?
Okayyy…
Was this all in one day? Sounds like a hell of a time! LOL.”
No, the sex video was actually pretty old.
Reading comprehension just isn’t your thing, Jason.
Read the actual quote from me you yourself pasted into your comment and see how your retort has anything to do with what I actually said.
Hint: I never said anything about political motivation.
Talk about spin..
Steve Kornacki
@SteveKornacki
…there also appear to be 10 precincts in Delaware County yet to report election day vote. So far McCormick is leading the E-Day vote in Delaware 34-33%.
Hint: I never said anything about political motivation.”
Sure you did.
You admitted Cawthorn was smeared by Republicans
“Republicans smeared Cawthorn only with his own words and actions”
Releasing a video a few days before an election is dirty politics against someone in your own party is dirty politics, even if the video is real.
Gap for Oz dropped again, down now to 2121. This is several updates in a row where McCormick gained each time.
343 Tina
Add this to the “middle class suburban misery mix” too:
The real value of term life insurance policies, which are a staple of estate planning, have declined as inflation has skyrocketed too.
The sum total of all the economic stuff that’s gone wrong can be summarized in one word: FEAR. It’s beginning to look like a perfect storm. Meanwhile… look at the things the DEMs are talking about!
Transgender bathrooms; J6; and the menace of white supremacy.
I think what the NCGOP did against Cawthorn was despicable. As a sitting congressman, I think they should have supported him, or at least been neutral. Let the people in the district decide who they wanted without dirty politics.
Anybody is free to disagree.
I feel kinda bad for Madison Cawthorn. He’s had tough breaks in life for someone so young. I hope he lives, learns, and finds real happiness.
We go back to your whole inability to comprehend what’s right in front of your face, Jason.
You probably won’t understand it when I explain either, but I’ll give it a shot anyway:
Republicans used the ammunition Cawthorn gave them to beat him. That’s entirely his fault. It doesn’t matter what motivation the NCGOP had in going after Cawthorn. He gave them the means to cause voters to reject him.
That’s the way politics has worked for millennia. If you don’t want someone to use something to beat you for office, don’t give him the ammunition to attack you with. Cawthorn thought he could get away with his antics and learned otherwise.
Forgive me for not making excuses for his defeat stemming from his own immaturity in office.
355
“[Cawthorn] will have to create a far different public persona than he has now”:
Not for me. Once bitten, twice shy. Period. Same for Barnutty. Thanks for playing. Next batter up.
Dirty politics, Jason?
You mean using his own peccadilloes against him–something that’s been a staple of politics since politics has existed?
Cawthorn brought this on himself. He acted like a clown and lost renomination. I don’t feel one bit sorry for him, nor am I going to criticize the state party for wanting to be rid of him. He was an ineffective show horse in Congress who eventually would have endangered his seat just as Lee Terry in Nebraska did with his numerous gaffes and public missteps. It was best the NCGOP decided to take him out and put someone less likely to be a victim of the next good year for Dems in office.
Wes says:
May 18, 2022 at 2:37 pm
That’s a significant drop, DW.
Whoever wins can’t claim a mandate, so these two need to commit to backing the eventual nominee regardless of who it is.”
Of course the closer it gets, the less chance someone won’t be feel like they were cheated.
If we knew how many votes were still outstanding it would be easier to determine how fast McCormick is gaining. It seems like he has gained almost 400 votes out of about 4000 counted. If he could maintain that rate he could win if there are another 20000 votes to be counted in the same proportion.
But without knowing where those 4000 votes came from impossible to tell whether that is a reasonable assumption.
Dirty politics, Jason?”
Yes. Dirty politics. I think what the NCGOP did was shameful and despicable, we are not going to agree.
Whether he “deserved it” or not is another question. I never said he didn’t contribute to his demise.
As to your point that possibly the GOP is better off I don’t disagree entirely, I said above he was a distraction.
I do hope he stays in politics, cleans up his act, and tries again.
· 31m
In the past I voted Democrat, because they were (mostly) the kindness party.
But they have become the party of division & hate, so I can no longer support them and will vote Republican.
Now, watch their dirty tricks campaign against me unfold … ?
(Elon Musk Tweet)
Mastriano ended up with 44%.
Pretty impressive since he ran against at least 3 other top tier candidates.
The R candidates outpaced Shapiro by about 230K votes.
The Predictit crowd gives him a 40% of winning. I agree with that assessment, he is just to popular with the Trump base to get blown out.
Meanwhile the same Predictit crowd doesn’t think McCormick is going to make it.
Oz 83% (+34) from yesterday midnight
McCormick 20 (-32)
No excuse you make for Cawthorn is going to change the fact that he brought his own defeat on himself, Jason.
If you have a hard time with seeing someone dragged through the mud because of his own stupidity, then I recommend watching a beanbag tournament rather than paying attention to politics.
Cawthorn did what he did and got exactly what he deserved because of it. That’s entirely his fault. I shed no tears for him.
He was nothing special anyway. There are plenty of Republicans in that area who will have voting records just as good as his without all the baggage. He was too arrogant to acknowledge that though and lost.
Moral of the story:
Don’t give your opponent ammunition if you don’t want to lose.
As for Barnette, I already gave my suggestion for her.
Try for a lesser office first before you go for the US senate. I suggest another run for Congress.
gap now 2068
Don’t give your opponent ammunition if you don’t want to lose.”
It’s good advice.
But in my view it doesn’t justify dirty tricks.
I understand you think it does, we will have to disagree.
A few funny comments on Predictit
“Former President Trump has just informed me he has PULLED the endorsement of Dr. Oz after learning his first name is Mehmet.”
“Is Pete Buttigieg having any issues getting baby food formula for his new twins? Or is he breastfeeding?”
Kornacki
“Positive sign for Oz here: Erie County just reported out a new batch of mail ballots. Yesterday, McCormick had been leading the Erie mail vote 35-22 over Oz. This new batch, though, is 29-27% McCormick. A sign that Oz might be performing better with late-arriving mail ballots?”
It’s not a dirty trick if you use your opponent’s own words and actions against him, Jason.
This isn’t a friendly game of chess. It’s a brawl to see who will get to have the prize of a political office. The NCGOP did nothing out of the ordinary in regard to Cawthorn. They would have been stupid not to use the reams of ammunition he gave them against him.
Too bad for him. He should have taken this outcome into account. Then he probably would have won renomination.
Gap now is 1989
It’s not a dirty trick. It’s a self-inflicted wound. Is discussing the laptop a dirty trick too?
I agree with this. Gosh, two days of agreeing with Jason. I may need limoncello. 11 months without it.
jason says:
May 18, 2022 at 3:20 pm
As for Barnette, I already gave my suggestion for her.
Try for a lesser office first before you go for the US senate. I suggest another run for Congress.
I think releasing an old sex video a few days before the election a dirty trick, especially against someone in your own party.
You can call it what you want.
Don’t panic Tina.
This has happened to me too.
I once agreed with NYC on something, but survived.
I will just add on that Barnettes military record seems commendable. I did not like the attacks on her in that regard by the tofu Rs.
She should try for a lesser office.
Putin Appeasers hardest hit. Putin backs down.
According to Neville Allen, everyone was supposed to crap their pants every time Putin threatened nukes.
“Finland and Sweden joining NATO “makes no big difference,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Tuesday in an apparent reversal of Russia’s previous stance on the issue.
Lavrov and other Russian officials had argued for months that Finland or Sweden joining NATO would post a direct threat to Russia, going to far as to threaten to deploy nuclear weapons on Finland’s border in response. Finland formally requested to join NATO on Sunday, and Sweden is poised to do the same.
“Finland and Sweden, as well as other neutral countries, have been participating in NATO military exercises for many years,” Lavrov said Tuesday, according to Reuters.
This guy was wrong.
Quote Tweet
Mad Money On CNBC
@MadMoneyOnCNBC
· 20h
If we get more good news from China tonight “along with fine quarters from Target and Lowe’s … we’re going to have another one of these great days tomorrow,” @JimCramer says. https://cnb.cx/3MwuplO
It would be a dirty trick if Republicans had made the video up, Jason. They didn’t. Cawthorn was part of it, and his opposition brought it up at exactly the right time to take full advantage of it.
That’s not a dirty trick at all. It’s smart politics. This is, after all, politics.
Trump is now 81-3 in endorsements.
I think the timing of the release of the video was a dirty trick and dirty politics.
You only disagree because it was used against a candidate you didn’t like.
Short term thinking. Next time it might be a candidate you like.
The betting markets have given up on McCormick.
I don’t know what it is based on, maybe they know where the outstanding votes are coming from.
Much of that is padding, Tina. For instance, Mike Crapo (R-ID) was an already entrenched incumbent Trump’s endorsement neither helped nor hurt.
The biggest beneficiary of his endorsements was clearly J. D. Vance, who was able to use Trump’s endorsement to build bona fides among voters Vance had actually insulted before.
Trump also disendorsed Mo Brooks after Brooks floundered despite his backing. I would still count that as a loss for Trump since he took it back just to avoid a loss.
So far, Trump does have a positive record of endorsements in contested primaries–the real metric of influence. He’s certainly not perfect but can claim to have scored more wins than losses.
Tina. Cramer wouldn’t know his backside from his elbow.Nor does anyone at leftist CNBC,or in Washington.
Last month’s PPI was 11%,and the experts are surprised corporate reports mention inflation as serious?
I see Wes is still trying to peddle his moderate views as mainstream NC GOP opinion.
I am unaware of any truly conservative NC GOPer who is as excited about Cawthorn losing as Wesley is.And I was not a Cawthorn supporter, he needed to grow up and learn to watch behavior.
I guess when you are having to accept the fact your buttboy ex-governor McCrory got TRAMPLED by the MAGA NC voters as McCrory did yesterday, you have to find some joy somewhere!
So fruitloop-dingus, what accounts for McCrory’s lack of ANY support among the GOP base yesterday?
LOL
And if a candidate I like does something stupid to give his opposition ammunition to beat him with, it won’t change the fact that the other person used the means available to win whether I like the outcome or not.
That’s politics, Jason. You should have realized that by now.
It’s like recovering a fumble or making an interception in the last few seconds of a football game and using the advantage gained to win. If the other team didn’t make a mistake, the side that won wouldn’t have had an advantage going into the close of the game.
This politics, Jason. The sooner you learn people will use stupidity by their opponents to win, the sooner you’ll have an understanding of how things work in that cutthroat business.
1951
Albert the Moron, you are such an idiot I’m not even going to bother reposting my post from last night giving my thoughts on the NC-Sen race.
Talk about a fruitloop-dingus. You’re clearly the king of such.
yOO
CD
Wes, you and I agree that it’s still up to the candidate.
That number is impressive.
I don’t pay attention to who he endorses.
I think the less he tweets on his version of Twitter the better.
Thst is why his numbers appear to have rebounded sharply after the J6 hoax.
Wes and Albert participating in a 2nd grade ritual brings tears of joy to my eyes…….ahhhhh, childhood!
Hi DW,
Which site are you viewing the results
398
There would be no need to repost such a thing for me anyway, Wesley Dingus.
I view your take on McCrory as seriously as we should take Mike Murphy’s take on Jeb Bush’s results in the 2016 GOP nomination fight.
Simply ridiculous rationalizing.
Time to feed the llama.
NYC
Anxiety & depression. Our boys here have been awful in OT all season. Dunno why. You could see it was just a matter of time in OT.
Wes vs Albertus
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2UkB6ppwRBo
Oz lead down to 1910. I am not really rooting for either one, just finding it fascinating that at this stage, one candidate would gain in each update–given the currently gaining candidate was in the opposite position last night.
https://www.npr.org/2022/05/17/1098065185/pennsylvania-primary-election-results
“Biden Admin Closes Foreign Lobbying Investigation Into Hunter Biden-Linked Consulting Firm”
Conflict of interest much?
DW
I can’t find any returns at the nor link, & I clicked on everything the site has to offer.
Rdelbov, our old HHR friend from days gone by, says Oz’ lead is down to 1700.
mnw,
Almost relieved my Islanders stunk it up this year. It was emotionally draining last year when they went far in the playoffs.
NYC
I know exactly what you mean.
412 NYC – You could be a Flyers fan. There is almost never stress over the playoffs.
The lead is now 1755 for Oz
https://redstate.com/redstatestaff/2022/05/17/live-election-results-pennsylvania-north-carolina-kentucky-idaho-and-oregon-primaries-n565570
The Politico count shows Oz’s lead over McCormick down to 1,755. It appears there could be as many as 20,000 votes left to count. That’s not a big total, especially with that many votes left to count, but it’s a tough total overcome in a three way race.
HRC smarmy phone call congratulating Bernie Bro Fetterman, for his fight for working families.
Now down to 1723
Something else to remember.
If there are 20k votes out, they are not all for Oz and McCormick. In fact only about 60% are. So the universe for McCormick to make up votes on Oz would be 12k, not 20k.
This might be why the betting sites are down on McCormick’s chances.
If there really are only 20k votes out McCormick is toast.
I do not think Oz should be definitively declaring victory AND commenting on mail in ballots fraud here because that is a 2020 specific issue so it should not be one the new norm going forward.
Trump is both wrong and playing the victim here and projecting it onto other elections.
It’s ok to say “we will prevail when all the votes are finalized” but there should not be any reference to potential fraud because that suggests the election is not fair when there is no evidence to that as of this date.
I think it’s all OK for McCormick to argue fur victory in such a close race and say we think the mail in ballots prefer us over Oz.
Even if there are only 20,000 votes left, McCormick would have a tough row to hoe, but he wouldn’t be “toast.” Around 65% of those votes would be for Oz or McCormick, which is 13,000 votes. If McCormick wins those 57%-43% over Oz, he would win. What has been McCormick’s margin in those late-arriving absentees that have seen him eat into Oz’s lead since this morning?
Lead down to 1684 for Oz. Just odd that McCormick gains with each update. No back and forth.
423
Agree in concept.
I just think its a mistake for Trump to try and sow doubt into this PA GOP primary election if his chosen candidate doesn’t prevail or looks like he may not prevail.
Trump has a legit beef on the 2020 PA election results but none on the 2022 election from what I can see.
I get Trump is bitter and feels victimized but that doesn’t mean he can project that into all elections without evidence.
Nathan Brand
@NathanBrandWA
· 1h
NEW Polling lows via Quinnipiac:
Biden’s handling of the economy
32% – Approve
63% – Disapprove
State of the economy
2% – Excellent
17% – Good
34% – Not so good
46% – Poor
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us05182022_trends_uirc64.pdf
New Quinnipiac poll finds Biden at 38/55 JA and the GOP with a 47/43 lead on the congressional generic and 48/44 for US Senate with registered voters.
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3846
80% in the Quinn poll (one of Biden’s. OST favorable polling firms) rate the economy as poor or bad.
Jerkoff is a big time Russian hoaxer.
Chuck Ross
@ChuckRossDC
·
1h
DHS announces that Michael Chertoff will lead an assessment of the Disinformation board while its work is paused. Chertoff is also a Hunter Biden laptop truther https://freebeacon.com/biden-administration/homeland-security-pick-to-clean-up-disinfo-board-pushed-disinfo-himself/
426 – no wonder they suspended the Ministry of Truth. That was an unforced error right out of the box, and they have to stop the bleeding somewhere.
okay for the first time all day, Oz has gained. The margin back up to 1750.
and just like that, a new update, and Oz up only 1520.
So I go to eat and come back to see Albert the Moron is as illiterate and stupid as the rat droppings standing in for his brain cells would suggest.
That said, Mnw, you gave some good advice earlier about trolls.
Albert the Moron is such a stupid, insecure moron he has to seek validation by engaging me. It’s really not worth my time to have a battle of wits with such a woefully unarmed opponent whose sole purpose in life is to seek my attention for some reason, so I’ll do to him as you suggested doing to Robbie and no longer feed the troll.
I mean, I’m flattered Albert the Moron defines his existence by how much I’m willing to respond to him, but I just don’t think I care to validate his insecure need for my responses anymore.
Thanks for the advice, Mnw.
Have we any clue how many votes are outstanding in PA? Getting a winner this week would be nice.
CNN LIVE
OZ 416,319
MC 415,015
Down to 1,304, Marv. I don’t know if that’s good or bad for Oz.
What is wrong with these people?
Illegal Alien Charged with Raping His Young Daughter, Giving Her Chlamydia
This 25 year-old scum raped his 3 year-old daughter and gave her an STD.
This is beyond sick!
Can we have exceptions to ABORTION and ABORT adults at any age?
I would be fine with them ripping this scum apart limb by limb and crushing his skull.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/05/18/illegal-alien-charged-with-raping-his-young-daughter-giving-her-chlamydia/
Greg Bluestein
@bluestein
Fox News Poll: ?Gov. Brian Kemp? leads David Perdue 60-28 ahead of the Tuesday GOP primary.
– Such an ignominious end to Perdue’s career.
Wes,
Well, on this one I don’t much care for Oz. I think that McC is the stronger GE candidate who can hold the MAGA vote and draw in enough Indies to win.
Perdue already had an ignominious end to his career, Robbie. He lost to Jon Ossoff. How he thought he could recover from that I have no clue.
FEED me!
If you don’t feed me, I won’t post here. I’m warning you.
That’s a good point, Marv. McCormick still has a chance though.
Wes says:
May 18, 2022 at 6:17 pm
Have we any clue how many votes are outstanding in PA? Getting a winner this week would be nice.
– Best estimate is between 20,000 and 30,000 votes. I know that’s a wide range, but those are the numbers that have been mentioned all day. The vast majority are mail-in ballots that will be counted over the coming days. Most of what has been counted today are precincts that couldn’t bother to report last night.
If the race is down to 1300 or so votes, I’d have to think McCormick has a better chance than I expected this morning. I think he’s doing a bit better than his allies said he needed to do.
Tg, I recommend flaying the scumbag alive and burying him up to his neck under an African any hill.
444 – excellent idea.
Carl Cameron believes the Republicans are the purveyors of misinformation and that’s a serious threat to democracy so the Left and the Middle need to come together to do more…more what he doesn’t say but he does say the president should start taking names and putting people in jail.
Good Lord! He actually believes they should be jailed because he doesn’t like their views or free speech. How does his solution fit into a free democracy he so worries about?
I think SCOTUS and it’s historical opinions might not agree with him.
I never realized he was so extreme. Now I know.
https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/1526668214247337984
444
An African “ANY” hill?
What is an ANY hill?
🙂
That reminds me of a book George Orwell wrote, Tg.
It was a bright cold day in April, and the clocks were striking thirteen.
Heh, Tg. I wouldn’t have noticed Autocorrect changed “ant” to “any” if you hadn’t pointed it out.
#444, while Ross Perot sits on a beach chair, sipping a lemonade, and says “how you like them apples?”
OZ. 416,678
MC. 415,435
https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/pennsylvania/primaries
A regrettable effect of the close PA GOP Sen race is that it will lop 10 days or so off the time the winner has to campaign.
Whether Oz declares victory or not, it isn’t the same as having a nominee.
I read somewhere that the delay in counting the mail-in ballots is the result of a printing error which prevents machine tabulation.
#446
Carl Cameron was the guy who broke, gleefully, the BUSH DUI story on the Thursday before the 2000 election which was in the can for a long time waiting for a timely release by Cameron. And almost elected Gore, as was the plan.
He was a one of a LARGE number of closet lefties at Fox waiting to be “freed” when the old Murdoch passed the torch, and Roger Aisles was let go.
Some are still there.
Faux News is a sheot fest.
Ukraine 24/7.
Monkeypox cones to America via dude traveling back from Canada.
1st China gives us the Chinese Virus and now Canada gives us Monkeypox.
We need to send a message to end this biological terrorism. I say bomb Canada!!!
https://citizenfreepress.com/breaking/first-monkeypox-case-in-usa/
After we bomb Canada, we can send in American companies to help rebuild and profit from it.
I heard from some HHR posters that’s just how the “free market” works.
This is BS!!!
Biden Invokes Defense Production Act to Increase Infant Formula Supply
The gubbermint should not be interfering in the “free market” as I’ve been told here at HHR.
If those babies can’t change their behaviors to ration baby formula, then they should starve.
There is no reason the gubbermint should step into the ‘free market” process when it comes to basic necessities like food and housing.
Capitalism will sort it out if the “free market” is allowed to operate without gubbermint interference.
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/formula/2022/05/18/id/1070446/
Another bad day in the market. Down nearly 11% this year.
Bitter’s basement and cat are looking better everyday if this continues.
DOW ytd -13%
S&P ytd -14%
NASDAQ ytd -27%
Some DEM at RRH (“Dave 1965”) pooh-poohs this because American workers on average (median) have only $41000 in their 401k’s. Hence, they’re not too concerned!
Oz on Hannity tonight– again. Ought to call it “The Oz Show– with Sean Hannity”
Estimates of 30,000 mail-in ballots left to be counted, and it’s reported that McCormick has led by 9% in the mail-in ballots so if that holds, a big IF, he should be able to overcome the Oz votes to prevail, depending on where those mail-ins come from of course.
We shall see.
Oz is ahead by 1,242 votes now per RCP and NYT.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/05/18/mehmet-oz-needs-miracle-mail-pennsylvania-senate-primary/
“Wes says:
May 18, 2022 at 2:15 pm
Who else was glad to see Madison Cawthorn lose yesterday?”
Cow agrees.
Benny Johnson
@bennyjohnson
George W. Bush: “The decision of one man to launch a wholly unjustified and brutal invasion of Iraq. I mean, of the Ukraine”
https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1527096876293578753
Where did everybody go? I know that nobody here is good enough to be raptured.
462. Tina
Ha! Ha!
FREUDIAN slip.
1st time EVAH GWB admits he launched an unjustified brutal invasion of Iraq.
“The decision of one man to launch a wholly unjustified and brutal invasion of Iraq. I mean, of the Ukraine”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10831013/BLM-founder-claims-mistakes-90M-white-guilt-money-weaponized-against-her.html
Always go to U.K. news outlets for real news about America.
I plan to be totally raptured! Been telling folks that for years.
Someday – POOF!!!
Just a pile of fashionable clothes left.
No more TG, his pooch and his 37 fish and 2 snails. All gone. All of them, floating on a cloud looking down and watching over the HHR posters.
The Rapture is coming. Just like in the Left Behind book series, of which I read the original 12 books published over the course of 10 years.
Zzzzzzzzzzzz
Saddam started 2 wars, tortured and murdered his own people, used WMDs, attacked Israel, caused an environmental disaster, violated repeated UN sanctions, and stole from the oil for food program meant for humanitarian relief of the Iraqi people. The intelligence agencies of the US, UK, Germany, France, and Israel believed he had an active WMD program.
Ukraine? Not a threat to any nation, especially not to Russia.
467
Germany and France were against the invasion, and refused to participate, as well as almost every country in the world? The only two large countries to contribute to the invasion were the UK and Australia, with the latter sending minimal number of troops.
The US provided intelligence to convince other countries Iraq had WMD so it was not independent verification by all the states named.
Hans Blix and others provided other evidence contradicting the US evidence. They were proven correct!
The US intelligence was manufactured at worst, exaggerated at best. Colin Powell and his staff later admitted to the sham evidence – not as a mistake but purposely misleading to go to war since the decision to go to war was made in advance, regardless of a review of the evidence, as Colin Powell also later stated.
Other countries have committed worse atrocities but the US did not invade them, including Russia, China, North Korea, and a number of African and Asian nations.
The Iraq war was a sham to try and democratize the Middle East. Saying it was for humanitarian purposes or to stop the use of WMDs, knowing what we know now, is like saying Russia invasion of Ukraine was done as a Peace Keeping effort.
No one believes it! The evidence NEVER supported it.
GWB has as much blood on his hands for an illegal invasion of Iraq as Pootin has for an illegal invasion of Ukraine. In both cases the vast majority of the world thought it wrong and did not support it.
There is no credible difference! Both illegal invasions were manufactured wars for ulterior motives…and history will judge both not only as failures but wrong.
BLM leaders should go to jail for fraud.
There is no reason for properly accounting for the funds and properly reporting it. Any seasoned tax accountant could have handled this work.
I have completed a number of Form 990s over the years in my work for income and assets far greater than the estimated $90 million BLM took in.
They are not complicated tax filings compared to many other tax filings.
GWB has as much blood on his hands for an illegal invasion of Iraq as Pootin has for an illegal invasion of Ukraine.”
BS.
Probably the biggest lie Tgca ever told here, and believe me, he has told many.
471
Disagreements DO NOT = LIES!
GWB is responsible for the deaths of hundreds of thousands because he illegally invaded a country and destabilized it.
Had GWB not invaded Iraq, those deaths would not have occurred.
Pootin is responsible for tens of thousands of deaths in Ukraine War because he illegally invaded Ukraine and destabilized it.
Had Pootin not invaded Ukraine, those deaths would not have occurred.
These are FACTS!
President Bush’s malapropism was not a Freudian slip; he merely mispoke because Iraq’s totally unjustified and brutal invasion of Kuwait was a major crisis during his father’s prsudency, and the totally unjustified and brutal invasion of Iraq by al Qaeda terrorists was a major crisis duing his own presidency.
If anyone thinks McCormick will prevail, you can triple your money at Predictit.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7129/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-nomination
Meldrim, Al Qaeda invaded Iraq because GWB destabilized the country by invading it and being completely indifferent to the deteriorating situation on the ground for years.
Had GWB not invaded Iraq, those deaths would not have occurred.”
Zzzzzzz…Saddam was killing hundreds of thousands of people in his own country way before any invasion, including by starvation.
Had it not been for the invasion, Saddam would have killed a lot more people than ever died in the invasion.
GWB is not responsible for hundreds of thousands of deaths in Iraq, that is leftist propaganda and complete BS.
“Facts” my ass.
There is ZERO moral equivalency between Putin and GWB and ZERO moral equivalency between the invasion of Iraq and the invasion of Ukraine. Iraq was run by a murderous dictator that was a threat to the entire Middle East and had already killed way over a million people in wars and torture and use of WMD. Ukraine is a peaceful nation, NOTHING to do with Iraq.
The comparison is shameful and despicable.
All this Iraq distraction BS is so Tgca can do what he does best, shill for Putin. Tgca is Putin’s little ankle biting lap dog.
473
No one of sound mind seriously disagrees with Iraq War 1 which had wide international support to kick Iraq out of Kuwait. The US had the option to go further and kick Saddam out of power but it chose not to do that and Powell himself was opposed to that scenario that neocons wanted.
Nearly everyone in the world disagreed with the Iraq invasion by GWB, and the evidence was very weak…and now we know why all these years later – it was based on LIES!
GWB’s own administration officials later spoke out against the invasion including Powell and his team.
I believe Colin Powell over Cheney and GWB.
Powell should have known better to be duped but he played the good soldier taking orders but it was a catastrophic blunder by the US and to this day harms the credibility of the US around the world.
477
Pure deflection. Show me one post where I support Pootin.
You are a GWB sycophant and GWB apologist who will not admit GWB was horribly wrong in Iraq and misled the nation, as most now believe.
To this day GWB refuses to accept any level of accountability or apologize for the hundreds of thousands of deaths he caused of people that would otherwise be alive today if not for his illegal invasion.
Thank God history will rank this as a major blunder that hopefully the US learns from. GWB will not rank high as a competent president.
PA Sen race:
Robert Towery, head of Interactive Polling (IA) was on Hannity tonight. He said, “I don’t think there’s enough runway left” for McCormick to overtake Oz. He explained his reasoning in considerable detail, & I thought Towery was very persuasive (which doesn’t mean he might not be wrong).
That may account, at least in part, for McCormick collapsing at Predictit tonight, perhaps.
McCormick is surging. He reduced Oz’ vote lead from 1,242 to 1,240.
“North Carolina congressman Madison Cawthorn has said he was “trying to be funny” in a leaked video which appears to show him naked in bed with another man.”
This reminds me of Aaron Schock. It is important for young males interested in politics to come to terms with their sexual orientation prior to running for office.
482. I live in a fufu urban area; all my local & state political representatives are gay — City Councilmember, Mayor, State Assemblymember, State Senator. All are scandal free and socially boring. Ran into my state assemblyman and his male partner the other day — they were on a stroll with their two adopted children.
I started my day in tears after reading this quote:
“I put so much time into immigration on reconciliation. It took a year of my legislative life. I have nothing to show for it.”
— Sen. Dick Durbin (R-IL), quoted by Politico.
My wife would agree with this survey:
https://nypost.com/2022/05/18/more-people-would-rather-sleep-with-their-pet-than-their-spouse/
Funny headline at Bongino:
Of Course: Ex-Ministry of Truth Czar Blames Disinformation for Demise of Disinformation Board
Tina
The allegation is so serious tat it must be considered? /s!
The Gateway Pundit:
“It’s Deja Vu All Over Again. Is the Uniparty in PA Stealing the Election From Dr. Oz?”
No. But The Gateway Pundit is conditioning folks to think that all “vote fraud!” claims are as frivolous as The Gateway Pundit is.
483 – I admit that I was against gay marriage but in favor of civil unions. My opposition was not based on religious grounds. I believe that words have meaning and marriage did not include same sex couples. Since gay marriage just became marriage, I am struck by one thing. Gay people are boring!
Sure. The evil establishment is stealing the nomination from political outsider Dr. Oz to give it to political outsider McCormick. This is motivated by the desire to nominate McCormick (a good chance to win) over Dr. Oz (a good chance to win).
If Allegheny Co. Dems steal the election for McCormick I don’t see how that helps them in the GE.
Maybe Deep State has a Pittsburgh office.
I no longer oppose gay marriage because it is water under the bridge. Like Bitter, I never opposed it on any religious grounds. However, I still believe the word “marriage” is for a man and a woman. I understand that is an antiquated concept. If that makes me homophobic so be it.
If you got to Predictit right now and put down $800 on McCormick you can get $2700 if he wins.
Considering how close it is, not a bad bet.
No, I am not betting. If the mail in ballots are being counted in the order they are received, the later ballots should be more favorable to Oz.
Looking at what was counted since election night, it looks like about 14,000 ballots. If there were 25,000 left after election night to count, it means there are only about 11,000 still to count of which only 60% are Oz/McCormick votes. So McCormick needs to net about 1,200 votes out of 6,600 available.
No, I have no idea if these numbers are even remotely correct. But it seems that is what the Predictit bettors are thinking.
Jason – There was a sighting of a skinny middle-aged woman wearing a Peace Corps hat and a t-shirt that says “Critical Race Theory? Yes!” in Florence. She was apparently looking at Italian leather boots. If you can get to Florence, I will approve your expense report. We are only 5 years behind on reimbursements.
485
My dog agrees with Sheeple’s wife.
Though there are like 7+ doggie beds throughout the house in every room for my dog and she has her own bedroom with a REAL bed as well, she is kind enough to let me sleep in my bed every night next to her.
She also allows me to share the leather recliners in the living room with her because everyone knows recliners are meant to comfortably seat two bodies too.
I am very lucky to have such a considerate pooch.
give it to political outsider McCormick”
McCormick is no outsider. He is about as GOP establishment as it gets. Fine with me.
I only think Oz is the best candidate for the GE because I view him as slightly more appealing to the Indies needed to beat Fetterman.
I don’t care who is insider or outsider.
I have condensed all of Tgca’s posts on Iraq and Putin into one easy to understand phrase:
“I need to lie about what GWB did in Iraq so I can justify what Putin is doing in Ukraine”.
No, no need to thank me, I am here to help. It’s what I do.
“I put so much time into immigration on reconciliation. It took a year of my legislative life. I have nothing to show for it.”
— Sen. Dick Durbin (R-IL), quoted by Politico.”
Damm, it took him a year to come up with citizenship for all illegals and open borders for the future?
Oh well, I am sure the Biden Troll will keep voting for him, after all Durbin also hates Trump.
You got to stay focused on the important things.
They’re still counting in PA?
Florida finishes by 12 on election day.
What is wrong w these stayes?
“I put so much time into immigration on reconciliation. It took a year of my legislative life. I have nothing to show for it.”
— Sen. Dick Durbin (R-IL), quoted by Politico.”
Don’t fill bad, Dick.
NYC has been here for 15 years bleating “WE ARE WINNING” on immigration, and he has nothing to show for it either.
Florida finishes by 12 on election day.
What is wrong w these stayes?”
Zzzzzz…
Next Neville Allen is going to claim Florida has better weather and nicer beaches.
“Fill bad”?
I need some of that fancy coffee from beans extracted from forest lemur dung they serve at Wah-Wah.
Rumor has it that it prevents 90% of typos.
Amazing.
NBC News actually did a story on Hunter Biden.
Pigs may fly today, beware.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/analysis-hunter-bidens-hard-drive-shows-firm-took-11-million-2013-2018-rcna29462
483
So there are radically left gay politicians in souther Caleefawnyuh too? Who knew?
When I lived in San Francisco, we had radically left gay folk infesting local and state politics like that “masculine hunk” Tom Ammiano, state legislature and author of the esteemed book “Kiss My Gay Ass” who once wore a tiara and sported a wand during a campaign event.
Some of these gay folk focused on very important legislation at the state level that really made a difference in the lives of Caleefawnyins – like child anti-spanking legislation.
NBC is careful not to accuse Hunter of anything, of course.
They do say he got $11 million and spent it on hookers and drugs and cannot show what he did to get that kind of money, but hey, they actually looked at the laptop themselves.
https://www.wawa.com/beverages/coffee
Zzzzzzzzz. Pretty standard coffees. Since I never drink coffee, I can’t say how Wawa compares to any other store.
Jason – There was a sighting of a skinny middle-aged woman wearing a Peace Corps hat and a t-shirt that says “Critical Race Theory? Yes!” in Florence. She was apparently looking at Italian leather boots. If you can get to Florence, I will approve your expense report. We are only 5 years behind on reimbursements.”
I will need to go first class so I will be fresh for investigative work. I am not picky about hotels however, any 5 star willwork. One says room has “Grab bar near toilet” so I assume that means I can grab a quick martini while attending to other business.
I’m not a big cawfee drinker myself because like hot chocolate, it tends to give me menstrual-like cramps. In addition, I find morning cawfee-breath offensive and the reason I hate morning meetings with all those cawfee addicts.
However, I have found I can tolerate certain iced cawfee blends in small quantities on occasion, like Starbucks iced macchiato or their Blonde Roast I mix with vanilla almond or coconut milk.
Oz lead down to 1241. Here is the thing, if this was a GENERAL election in PA, and it was the Republican holding on to a statewide lead over the Democrat, by a mere 1,241 votes, and there was still 2% left to count, we know instinctively that there would be no way Oz could hold on.
DW – Didn’t you also tell us the race would be stolen from
Youngkin in VA? Maybe it was Phil.
Gay marriage has a different meaning to most gay men than to most heterosexuals. The vast majority of gay men in relationships, including marriage have either open-relationships or use cute little kiddie terms like “play together.”
Gay marriage for men is and always has been about economics and life style acceptance for the most part. It has never been about commitment.
I know it’s anecdotal but I have NEVER met a long-term monogamous gay couple that were together 10+ years. I don’t know any gays that know of any either. NEVER! …and I’ve met thousands of gay men in my years out, and probably hundreds of them in LTR at one time or another.
Studies prove this out as well. Gay men just do not embrace monogamy or the historical concept of marriage, and that is fine as long as folks don’t try to push it off as such.
Don’t piss on me and tell me it’s raining!
Any gay man that tells you otherwise is LYING!
…and to be fair, many heterosexuals also behave in a manner not consistent with the societal expectations of marriage but it’s no where near the percentage that gays similarly behave.
like Starbucks iced macchiato or their Blonde Roast I mix with vanilla almond or coconut milk”
Gayest post of the day.
492
I don’t think it makes you homophobic.
It just means you’re an old fart! Stuck in his ways.
Don’t worry! I got your back on this one.
There are plenty other faults you have that we’ll gladly point out but I don’t think homophobic is one of them.
512
That’s a HOMOPHOBIC slur you BIGOT!
For those of you interested in reading about those gay Caleefawnyuh politicians that SDC likes to surround himself with:
https://48hills.org/product/tom-ammianos-kiss-my-gay-ass/
What a joke Voting is in Pennsylvania. The primary was Tuesday. They aren’t even going to start counting the seven thousand votes out of Allegheny County until tomorrow? Why? Ridiculous. I don’t give a damn which candidate wins but how can any person have any confidence in this crap? …… and some of you want to rag on Jason for not voting in a system like that? Fetterman must be licking his chops with this kind of system.
Market is down again.
Existing home sales plunge to the lowest level since6/2020.
Pa has become the Florida of the past.
A disgrace that they cannot timely count ballots.
Mail in should not be allowed
I read that there was a printing error on a bar code on the mail-in ballots which prevented machine tabulation in PA.
If true, that’s not much of a reason to condemn PA for all eternity.
ich Baris “The People’s Pundit”
@Peoples_Pundit
·
15m
Oz leads McCormick by 1,241 votes, 0.1%. I find it EXTREMELY difficult to believe Allegheny County can find that margin w/ what remains outstanding. The margin was only 6 points.
No precedent for a recount to overturn such a margin.
The candidate behind can decline a recount.
I love Dan Crenshaw’s “defense” of Putin lap dog sycophant Tucker Carlson.
“Like, I hate Tucker Carlson. I despise him. But he didn’t cause this, right?” Crenshaw told The Hill. “Like, I think he’s a gross human being. Doesn’t mean that his rhetoric caused it. This was caused by a legitimately crazy person.”
Quick trivia question:
We know that AK and HI were the 49th and 50th states to join the United States, what was the 48th state?
If true, that’s not much of a reason to condemn PA for all eternity.”
Or you can just not participate in the charade.
There are plenty other faults you have that we’ll gladly point out but I don’t think homophobic is one of them.”
This sounds like Crenshaw’s “defense” of Tucker Carslon.
Jason – If the PA Senate primary is decided by one vote, would that be due to the charade OR due to you failing to be a Republican and voting in the primary?
Based on tweets from Steve Kornacki about how many mail-in votes remain uncounted (maybe 10,000 to 15,000?) and where the remaining uncounted election day votes are, it seems like Oz has got this. It looks like he’ll win by somewhere between 750-1000 votes. There will be an automatic recount if McCormick wants it and that could reveal some unknown tabulation error, but Oz looks to be in good shape.
jason – If the PA Senate primary is decided by one vote, would that be due to the charade OR due to you failing to be a Republican and voting in the primary?”
I guess it would be the “failure” of millions of Pennsylvanians who “fail” to be Republicans and vote in the primary.
FEED ME! If you don’t, I won’t come here!
The comments at Predictit are more entertaining than the predictions..
“Oz will give 72 virgins to all Pennsylvanians. McCormick will make sex illegal. Print your ballots accordingly”
“The New Jersey vote hasn’t come in yet. That will clinch it for Oz”
“I, for one, support Xi Xinping’s favored candidate, future First Consul David McCormick.”
“Don’t forget the Turkish military absentee votes.”
“Woke: Hoping McCormick wins, to own Trump
Broke: Hoping McCormick wins”
Hey Bitter, has this election solved all the issues brought about PA’s election system geared for fraud, or we have to wait until November?
Asking for a friend.
#501. I don’t need to claim it. It does,and much more to boot
Bitter admits the 2020 election in PA was stolen but objects to the system being called a charade.
Maybe he can come up with a better word, attorneys are usually good at finding alternatives to facts.
I don’t know the answer to DW’s trivia question.
I imagine it is some state in the west like Montana or New Mexico or Idaho.
Mo Brooks is in second in AL-Sen:
https://www.aldailynews.com/new-adn-gray-tv-poll-shows-tightening-senate-race-likely-runoff/
Trump cynically abandoned Brooks because of the Congressman’s flagging polling numbers, in the process earning Brooks’ ire. I don’t want Brooks to win at all–I want Britt to take the seat–but I would definitely like to see him make it to the runoff now.
Trump deserves the scare of having Brooks come close because of his unnecessarily shabby treatment of a former endorsee for the cardinal sin of not polling first after Trump magnanimously gave him his blessing.
Arizona is the answer to DW’s question. It became the 48th state in 1912 shortly after New Mexico became the 47th state, thus completing the contiguous United States.
Let’s see if the Trump haters that say Trump’s endorsement of Brooks should count on his win-loss endorsement record even though he rescinded it will now still credit him if Brooks wins.
No, don’t hold your breadth.
I agree Trump didn’t treat Brooks well, I saw no reason to attack him, he could have just said “I don’t think you are going to win, sorry”, nothing wrong with that.
That being sad, I prefer Brooks not make the runoff, you never know what could happen, Britt could fall off a ladder or get run over by a deer, so I don’t want to run any risks.
Why are people on here misidentifying the Personification of Evil Itself as “Sen. Dick Durbin (R-IL).”
That scumbag who had to apologize publicly on the Senate floor for directing an unsubtle racist remark at Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) is a lifelong Democrat.
Damm, I thought of Arizona, but then decided it probably was before New Mexico.
But I did get “west” and “like New Mexico” right, GFYs.
Fun fact:
When NM and AZ became states in 1912, they ushered in the second longest period (47 years) of no new admissions of states into the United States. The current streak (63 years) began in 1959 when AK and HI became states a few months apart.
Tell your friend that the election system that allowed Republicans to win statewide judicial races in 2021 has been ordered for 2022.
“Arizona is the answer to DW’s question. It became the 48th state in 1912 shortly after New Mexico became the 47th state, thus completing the contiguous United States.”
Wrong.
The correct answer is OHIO. There was a paperwork glitch back during the Jefferson Administration, and Ohio was never officially added to the United States until the situation was fixed in 1953, and they processed the paperwork, backdating to be effective in the early 1800s.
I was unaware of that technicality, DW, though since OH had been functioning as a state for about 150 years before the paperwork situation was cleared up, it’s hard to argue the Buckeye State wasn’t a state that whole time.
#483, SDC, there recently was a gay Republican city councilman in San Diego–Carl DeMaio was his name, IIRC–whom I recall was accused of openly masturbating in the city council’s public bathroom or something like that. Did I remember that correctly? He ran for Congress against Scott Peters a few years ago.
An interesting read and potential lawsuits against the spooks.
https://nypost.com/2022/05/18/justice-coming-for-dirty-51-hunter-biden-laptop-liars/
“I was unaware of that technicality, DW,”
I encourage you to google it and read the story…its very interesting.
Oz lead down to 1,080 votes.
Huge movement from Wednesday morning when the gap was 2,424.