Kemp Leads Abrams By 5%, Warnock/Walker Tied in GA, Abbott Dominating O’Rourke By 19% in TX
Beto O’Rourke received a lot of kudos from the liberal-leaning media when he interrupted a press conference being held by Texas Governor Greg Abbott in the wake of the shooting in Uvalde, but it appears this may have backfired on his electoral chances according to a new poll from Blueprint Polling that has Gregg Abbott dominating O’Rourke by 19%.
GOVERNOR – TEXAS (Blueprint Polling)
Greg Abbott (R-inc) 56%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 37%
This poll was done June 8-10 among 603 registered voters. Unless someone can find one with a larger lead for Abbott over O’Rourke that I am unaware of, this is the largest lead Abbott has ever had over O’Rourke this election cycle. Meanwhile in Georgia we have a new poll (finally!) from East Carolina University that shows Brian Kemp with a 5% edge on Stacey Abrams while Raphael Warnock and Herschel walker are deadlocked.
GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (ECU)
Brian Kemp (R-inc) 50%
Stacey Abrams (D) 45%US SENATE – GEORGIA (ECU)
Herschel Walker (R) 46%
Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%
This poll was done June 6-9 among 868 registered voters.
Uno Bebe! Uno!
Sheeples posts crap GA poll in 219 from last thwed and I’m calling him on it.
Sorry Sheeps!
We know this is garbage poll because we’re told by HHR folks who have proven Trump can’t win because suburban women think Trump’s a real “meanie” with all those tweets so they’ll vote for Biden again even if it means more inflation, hire taxes, more crime, more illegal immigration, higher gas prices, higher food and housing costs, recession, etc…anything is acceptable as long as we don’t have “mean” tweeters in the White House.
New Georgia Poll from East Carolina University:
Trump +7 over Biden
Kemp +5 over The Big Mac
Walker Tied with Warnock
https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/georgia-senate-race-tied-kemp-leads-abrams-by-five
The dollar damage for the 100,000 mile service was $1,508 and change.
They did throw in an extra $20 on the $80 coupon Walt had.
And give Walt a coupon for a free car wash on the other side of Hagerstown.
The possibility of nut jobs actually succeeding in assassinating a SCOTUS justice (or justices) has become much higher.
The Cow-solution to this problem is this:
Every SC judge ill have an alternate SC justice appointed at the same time who will be about same conservative/liberal spectrum as the sitting SC justice.
In the event that a sitting SC justice(s) is/are ASSASSINATED, then the alternate SC justice waiting in the wings AUTOMATICALLY moves up to become one of the hallowed 9 on SCOTUS.
This idea would pull the rug out from under the nut job brigade who would scheme to assassinate one or more sitting conservative SC justices while there is a sitting D president and a D controlled U.S. Senate who would likely fill the assassinated conservated SC justice(s) slot with a left-wing SC appointee(s). Would work same way to deter right wing nut jobz from ASSASSINATING left wing SC judges where there was an R president and R controlled Senate.
Who is with me?
Pooty poot selling more oil than ever before.
Biden wants us to buy more Russian fertilizer.
Just a musing.
I am thinking that we will get the Roe v. Wade decision tomorrow, although this would be a complete break with the SC’s past history of saving the most contentious decisions to the last day of the term.
For these reasons:
1) According to the SCOTUS calendar, they will issue opinions tomorrow and next Wednesday (they arent releasing opinions next Monday because they are celebrating Juneteenth. THESE ARE THE ONLY DAYS THIS MONTH on the calendar that they are releasing opinions (Although, of course, they can change that anytime).
2) Congress announced they are postponing tomorrow’s 1/6 hearings. Since the Roe v. Wade decision hype and the media circus over the 1/6 are both designed just to help the DEMS energize their base, I believe Nancy got advance notice of the decision coming down and is moving the 1/6 hearing to another day for maximum political coverage.
Anyway, just my conspiratorical thoughts.
China is not a threat. Nope! Not at all.
China bragging about its advancement in NOOKYOOLER capabilities with arsenal monitoring groups reporting China is planning to expand from 350 NOOKS today to over 700 by 2027 and over 1,000 by 2030, becoming the 3rd largest NOOKYOOLER arsenal in the world.
US and Russia still have 5,000 each but why does China need to triple its NOOKYOOLER capabilities with new technology during a time of peace if they’re not a threat?
https://www.breitbart.com/asia/2022/06/14/report-china-pursuing-substantial-expansion-of-nuclear-arsenal/
Polls are a-closing, ding-a-lings.
China is absolutely a threat. I can see them invading Taiwan – partly because the Taiwanese have been lackluster in building up their defenses. That much is on Taiwan.
9
Countries with no known serious enemies do not upgrade and triple their NOOKYOOLER capabilities unless they plan on becoming an aggressor state or de facto world leader.
This is not the 1950s with a Cold War and two main competing ideologies in the world.
China is positioning itself to become much more aggressive if it plans to triple its NOOKYOOLER arsenal in a time of relative peace.
Why else would they need to go that far unless they’re just plain paranoid which I don’t believe since they are working with many companies and countries doing business.
The actual total of deployed strategic nuclear warheads of the US and Russia is much lower than those numbers at around 1700. These are limited b Arms limitation agreements between the two.
China is NOT a party to these agreements, and is NOT in any way limited.
This is an important distinction.
11
Whether it’s 5,000 or 500, the issue is that it is being reported China is looking to stock up to a 1,000 high tech NOOKYOOLER weapons during a time of relative peace for them. I suspect their reason for that is future aggression or to position itself as a serious rival to the US. It makes no sense otherwise to go that far.
It’s possible nothing comes of this either but I think with China, we have to take every threat seriously and prepare.
Little mitchie supports the gun grabbing bill. Have to enable Biden back up to the 40s.
Merrick Garland says:
“I am watching and I will be watching all of the hearings…and I can assure you that the January 6th prosecutors are watching all the hearings as well.”
If the GOP takes the House and the DOJ attempts to charge Trump based on the Jan 6th Hearings that is absurdly one-sided, it will almost guarantee his impeachment and set up a horrendous fight with Biden and team through 2024 where nothing will get done by Congress and Biden will be stalled completely in his agenda.
Merrick could also look like sour grapes and vindictive for losing his SCOTUS seat too.
https://citizenfreepress.com/breaking/merrick-garland-makes-veiled-threat-to-indict-trump/
1 hour in and we got about 1000 votes counted.
Biden’s Approval Rating Is Now Lowest In Gallup’s History
That’s the lowest POTUS approval rating in 77 years…but Biden thinks he’s doing a great job and Americans just don’t appreciate him.
Jill Biden thinks Joe is not being marketed properly and they should just let “Joe Biden be Joe Biden”…as if that will make things better.
https://issuesinsights.com/2022/06/14/bidens-approval-rating-drops-to-lowest-in-gallups-history/
DDHQ has more than 10,000 early votes in from Cameron County and it is Sanchez 47.5% Flores 45.5% (Biden won 56-43).
Flores takes 66.6% of the early votes in Bee County (Trump 64-35).
Little mitchie aka Biden’s beitch and the Texas John
Rinonyn are assets for Biden.
Mayra Flores 6,915 votes 46.8%
Dan Sanchez 6,842 votes 46.3%
Rene Coronado 814 votes 5.5%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera 214 votes 1.4%
Politico has Flores moving ahead with the early vote, 47-46.
More TX-34 early votes
Goliad
Flores 75.9 Sanchez 17.8 (Trump 77-22)
Gonzales
Flores 77.7 Sanchez 13.8 (Trump 79-20)
Kleberg
Flores 53.5 Sanchez 38.3 (Trump 50.2-48.5)
Good riddance Rice in SC.
Almost. Needs to go to the second round, but he gone.
Mace looking to survive though.
TX SoS site ahead of the media at the moment. Election Day votes are starting to roll in.
Flores 47.6%
Sanchez 45.5%
Rice is fried. No surprise really.
Can SC get a few more abacuses down there to count votes?
Election Day votes coming in from Bee County are 81% Flores so far. Hopefully that is a harbinger for Election Day votes vs Early Votes for the rest of the district.
Mayra Flores R 7,412 votes 48.1%
Dan Sanchez D 6,948 votes 45.1%
Rene Coronado D 826 votes 5.4%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 227 votes 1.5%
The Bush Family political dynasty ended tonight with George P.’s loss to Paxton in the GOP AG primary in TX.
We are awaiting Robbie’s concession speech.
From RRH
Per Patrick Svitek, prior incumbent Filemon Vela won the Cameron County early vote by 26 points. Democrats combined are winning it by 6 (53-47), and Sanchez only leading by 2.
Fry up to 47%, he still could do it tonight.
Goliad County, TX finished counting
Trump 77-22
Flores 79.6%
Sanchez 15.4%
Other D 2.8%
Other R 2.2%
Willacy County, TX finished counting
Biden 56-44
Flores 49.4%
Sanchez 47.7%
Other D 2.2%
Other R 0.7%
Wes, I guess Rice’s saying Liz Cheney would make a great Speaker isn’t playing out so hot. What a moron. Was he trying to get stomped? Yeah, Congressman. Liz for Speaker. Brilliant campaign strategy.
Jim Wells County, TX has finished counting
Trump 55-45
Flores 51.5%
Sanchez 44.7%
Other D 2.7%
Other R 1.1%
Mayra Flores R 9,680 votes 48.1%
Dan Sanchez D 9,215 votes 45.8%
Rene Coronado D 945 votes 4.7%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 286 votes 1.4%
Bee County, TX finished counting
Trump 64-35
Flores 74.6%
Sanchez 21.2%
Other D 2.5%
Other R 1.7%
Definite movement to the right vs 2020, but these are the small population counties. We’ll see how Cameron and Hidalgo end up.
Fry at 48.8% with ~50% reporting. Keeps going up with every Horry drop.
Cheney for Speaker!!
SC-Sen Dem primary is currently
Loser 1 34.4%
Loser 2 34.0%
Loser 3 31.6%
predictably, the RRH posters are thinking the GOP should pull back US house expectations this fall because TX_34 special election isn’t a GOP blowout.
San Patricio County, TX has finished counting
Trump 53-45
Flores 53.3%
Sanchez 40.2%
Other D 3.9%
Other R 2.6%
I have to go visit that RRH site everyone keeps mentioning. They must be smoking some serious sh*t over there. They obviously know nothing about that district. They expected a blowout? LOL
Adults, Drat plus 8. Just to get 39%.
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
·
46m
NEW:
@Ipsos
| 06/13-06/14
(+- changes from June 1)
Biden Job Approval
Approve 39% (-3)
Disapprove 56% (+4)
Suburban Voters
Approve 35%
Disapprove 59%
Sample: D44/R36/I20 / 1,005 Adults
https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-BIDEN/POLL/nmopagnqapa/index.html
here was the comment from RRH:
“With this result in TX-34, is it advisable to rate TX-28 as lean D? Although the realignment is now happening at congressional level, I think it’s not enough yet. Rs have trouble winning a Biden+4 RGV seat right now, what more for a Biden+7 RGV seat?”
Kleberg County, TX has finished counting
Trump 50.2-48.5
Flores 57.1%
Sanchez 37.3%
Other D 4.3%
Other R 1.3%
Another county showing big movement to R. I am thinking (hoping?) that the current results are skewed by advantageous Early Day voting for Dems in Cameron and Hidalgo County.
Mayra Flores R 10,189 votes 48.6%
Dan Sanchez D 9,496 votes 45.3%
Rene Coronado D 965 votes 4.6%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 304 votes 1.4%
GOP total now 50% between the two Rs.
Fry is over 50%
Mayra Flores R 12,169 votes 49.3%
Dan Sanchez D 11,106 votes 45.0%
Rene Coronado D 1,085 votes 4.4%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 349 votes 1.4%
Big election day dump out of Cameron County. Moves Flores up to 49.2%-44.9%. Close.
Mayra Flores R 12,494 votes 49.5%
Dan Sanchez D 11,321 votes 44.8%
Rene Coronado D 1,095 votes 4.3%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 353 votes 1.4%
Hidalgo County, TX has fully reported
Biden 59-38
Sanchez 52.1%
Flores 42.8%
Other D 4.0%
Other R 1.1%
All that is left is Election Day precincts from some of Cameron (Dem leaning), Election Day precincts from all of Gonzales (Rep leaning), and Early and Election Day precincts from DeWitt (Rep leaning). Flores has a chance of ending it here.
Catherine Fleming Bruce has taken the lead for SC-Sen (D). As of March 31, 2022, she had raised $17,702.
Mayra Flores R 13,208 votes 49.8%
Dan Sanchez D 11,806 votes 44.5%
Rene Coronado D 1,128 votes 4.3%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 382 votes 1.4%
So if Flores wins by 5 under the RRH moron theory Rs will win all Biden + 9 and under House races.
Flores takes the lead in Cameron County (Biden 56-43). Up to 49.8%. Agonizingly close.
There are a handful of precincts still out in Cameron County (where Flores has been winning the Election Day vote) and all of Gonzales County (small, but big R).
Fry is over 50%, and only Horry County is out (where he is over 50%).
Mayra Flores R 13,293 votes 49.9%
Dan Sanchez D 11,813 votes 44.4%
Rene Coronado D 1,129 votes 4.2%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 387 votes 1.4%
Gonzales County reported (82.3% for Flores). Flores now at 49.93%.
All that’s left are a handful of Election Day votes from Cameron County. Election Day votes have broke for R, as usual, but it depends on where the rest are from.
Mayra Flores R 13,934 votes 50.9%
Dan Sanchez D 11,906 votes 43.5%
Rene Coronado D 1,133 votes 4.1%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 421 votes 1.5%
Flores goes over 50%!!
I just got home. Are The Wise Men at RRH somehow construing TX-34 as DISAPPOINTING?
What’s not to like?
Their own RRH tiny poll had Flores +9, & it looks like she’s winning by 7.2?
What’s the problem? What significance her win has going forward, in this defunct old district, I have no clue.
Wasserman calls it for Flores.
Wasserman called it for Flores
RRH poll good.
Republican winning good.
Hispanics still moving GOP good.
Not winning by enough for the redrawn district bad.
So Flores wins by 7, RRH genius says Rs guaranteed to win all Biden +11 and under districts.
Mayra Flores R 14,716 votes 51.0%
Dan Sanchez D 12,481 votes 43.3%
Rene Coronado D 1,195 votes 4.1%
Juana Cantu-Cabrera R 451 votes 1.6%
Flores over 51%
Interested in the NV turnout numbers.
3 precincts still out in Cameron. Flores wins outright.
Have never been to RRH. I have a feeling I wouldn’t last 5 minutes.
Rice is toast, Mace survives. I am ok with Mace, she didn’t vote to impeach Trump and she called AOC out on her Jan 6 lies, sorry Donald.
Allahpundit, a rabid never-Trumper scumbag, puts it like this:
1. Rice voted to impeach whereas Mace merely voted to certify Biden’s victory on January 6. Impeachment may be a singular red line for Republican voters.
2. As Politico noted this morning, Rice has stood by his impeachment vote and continues to criticize Trump whereas Mace has grown more timid in antagonizing him over time.
Fry gets the check.
And as a bonus, egg fried rice ingredients:
Day-old chilled rice
Vegetable oil
Shallots (onions are for poor people)
Garlic
1 whole egg and 1 egg yolk (per person)
fresh chilis, or if in a pinch, Sambal Oelek
Soy Sauce
MSG
Sesame Oil
TX SoS reporting 141 of 142 locations fully reported
Flores (R) 51.0%
Sanchez (D) 43.3%
Other D (D) 4.1%
Other R (D) 1.6%
I think Rice could have held Fry under 50% and gotten into a runoff – he would have made the runoff but lost anyway….but that went out the window last week when Rice gave the interview raving about Liz Cheney and what a great Speaker she’d make. That was unbelievable.
BTW, I agree, voting for impeachment is a bridge waaay too far for R Primary voters. BTW, it’s why Cassidy will never ever be governor of Louisiana.
Wasserman calls it for Flores:
https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1536896640803647493?s=20&t=DmgRQglrL3_wUEQ-z9aJ4Q
I did mention yesterday that I thought the RRH poll showed a path to 50% for Flores and I got questioned about it, but exactly like I said, if the Other R got held to a low total, it was possible.
Biden:
“Ask yourself: How well are you going to sleep at night knowing that every five years Ted Cruz and other Congressional Republicans pushing ultra-MAGA policies are going to vote on whether you’ll have Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid?
That’s their plan.”
Texas vote counting is all done. California has another 3 weeks to go.
Looks good, minus the MSG.
He lost by 25 points.
The Hill
@thehill
· 7h
Tom Rice says Trump “not the future of the Republican Party” as voters head to polls https://trib.al/WsdiNaJ
MSG is the best part. I’m partial to Aji-No-Moto, but you can choose as you like. Sasa is acceptable too.
Trump says Tom Rice not the future of the Republican Party.
Where does Tom Rice show up next?
Mslsd or Cn and n?
I don’t believe MSG is harmful, just that it is unnecessary.
Cameron County, TX
2012
Bummer 65 Willard 34
2016
Hillary 64 Trump 32
2020
Sleepy Joe 56 Trump 43
2022
Flores 47.5 Sanchez 46.4
There was a candidate named Bummer?
What happened to Rice tonight: “pour encourager les autres.”
Valadao (RINO; inc.-CA) will dodge the impeachment vote bullet, unfortunately. Because he never had to win a GOP primary, which of course he could never do. But he won’t have to.
That leaves Rep. Jaimie Herrera-Beutler (RINO; inc.; WA) as the only GOP impeacher whose fate is still unknown, I THINK. She’s probably still the favorite, although she’s drawn a really impressive GOP war hero opponent in Joe Kent. You never know.
(This assumes Cheney is already dead meat, of course– & that’s the safest bet in politics)
So… 8 out of ten bagged, I THINK.
Are any of the 10 Representatives you want replaced in seats that the Dems could flip or are they all safe R seats?
10 Republicans who voted for impeachment
Katko – retired
Kinzinger – retired
Upton – retired
Gonzalez – retired
Rice – lost primary
Cheney – TBD
Newhouse -TBD
Meijer – TBD
Beutler – TBD
Valadao – advanced to general election
Katko, Meijer, and Valadao are all in districts that Biden won.
Wizard of OZ is down big in the PA Senate race. Mastriano down 4.
https://www.goerie.com/story/news/politics/state/2022/06/15/suffolk-university-usa-today-poll-pennsylvania-senate-governor-oz-fetterman/65360594007/
https://politicalwire.com/2022/06/14/herschel-walker-has-second-son-he-doesnt-see/
Republicans smashed Democrats with turnout in Nevada
2018 midterm
Rep 142K
Dem 143K
2022 midterm
Rep 174K
Dem 116K
C
So how many contests did Trump cost the GOP last night because he’s a drag on the party and can’t win suburban women voters that the GOP sooooooo desperately needs to win elections?
Sheeple – Oz was not the official nominee until last week. I don’t think Fetterman is healthy enough to campaign yet. Let’s see the state of the race a month from now.
Can’t believe that there are clueless posters here pushing the nonsense idea that Trump is the only Republican who can win Hispanic voters. Representative-elect Flores put an end to that myth being pushed by gasbags who are clearly know nothings.
Flores won Cameron County, which is the population center of TX-34 (contains 60% of the population) and is also 90% Hispanic. Trump lost it by 32 in 2016 and by 13 in 2020. The Hispanic vote continues its unabated march to the right with or without Trump. Hispanics are sick of the Democratic Party’s wokeness.
I am with Elon Musk…DeSantis 2024.
Oz down big in Pa?
Hey, it’s Pennsylvania. What did you expect?
Goes to show how sometimes the exit polling can be right on track. From yesterday afternoon:
DW says:
June 14, 2022 at 3:24 pm
Jason appears to be out today…in his place, let me report that the early exit vote totals out of TX_34 show that the Republican, Flores is on pace to exceed 50% and avoid a runoff.
And then from Monday:
DW says:
June 13, 2022 at 9:47 pm
I am predicting that the Republican will get 52% in the election tomorrow and will avoid the runoff.
I missed it by 1 point. Will try harder next time to get it right.
When does Congressman Rice start his new gig on MSNBC?
EML
Do you know anything about Latinos?
Have you ever even met one?
You keep pushing the Latinos are just magically going to the GOP without knowing anything about what is important to the community as a whole.
We’ve tried to explain over and over to you why Latinos are moving to the GOP and it’s not because of GOP policies.
Many of these Latinos are fed up with crime and kitchen table issues but will go right back to the Dems if the GOP can’t find a way to hold on to them and right now, I see no GOP outreach to them by the GOP other than if you’re sick of the Dems come join us in this election which is not a lasting outreach policy.
Lol, tgca, you being completely brainwashed into the cult of Trump is truly hilarious. You bring constant comedic relief to this place that needs it sometimes.
I offer up facts and data and evidence to support my claims and all you can respond with is that your one Latino friend told you that Hispanics like Trump’s brash arrogance and machisimo and that is why they vote for him. [Note that neither John Cornyn, who bested Trump amongst Hispanic voters in 2020, nor Mayra Flores, who far outran Trump’s numbers in 2022, exactly ooze machisimo].
Bravo, silly boy, you’re hilarious. Keep the jokes coming.
Hispanics are overwhelmingly working class. They won’t vote for establishment type Republicans. Just ask Mitt…or McCain for that matter.
EML has terminal TDS. Talk about brainwashed. 100% driven by hate and Dem talking points against Trump.
One of the worst symptoms of TDS is the delusion they are offering “facts and data and evidence” while all the while dishing up emotional BS.
The changes in demographics we are seeing with Hispanics and blacks and working class are due to Trump and his policies. So maybe they are contrasting Biden and Trump and finding out Trump was better, Trump still gets the credit.
Tgca is correct. As soon as the GOP suburban elites think “ok we got their votes, let’s go back to business as usual, we don’t need Trump or his policies, screw the working class” they will be right back with Dems.
Hispanics are overwhelmingly working class. They won’t vote for establishment type Republicans. Just ask Mitt…or McCain for that matter.”
Yep.
We have been there, done that.
But let’s throw it all away because we hate Trump’s tweets.
Hispanics, f–k’em. EML is still talking about Access Hollywood….that is what is important to him.
It gives you an idea of the depths of the TDS syndrome.
“Wizard of OZ is down big in the PA Senate race.”
What a disaster and HUGE consolation prize for the Dems if Fetterman flips that seat during a red wave election cycle. Yikes.
Hopefully, this is just a symptom of the bitter primary and coalescing happens soon. Oz is going to need a boost.
I am very happy that Tom Rice(R-SC) lost his primary.
His opponent was fortunate to receive above 50% of the vote and Rice’s statements on Sunday claiming his Liz Cheney worship and demanding Trump apologize for Jan. 6th sealed his fate.
jason is the front seat passenger in tgca’s clown car of hilarity. As jason always does when he loses an argument, he resorts to childish name calling. Jason, someone who didn’t vote for Trump and has said he probably won’t vote for him in 2024, is claiming that I, someone who did vote for Trump and would vote for Trump again, is afflicted with TDS. No, you’re not a crazy psycho at all. Keep up with the cogent analysis.
Look, if you have any kind of evidence or data to back up your claims, I am open to it. Change my view, as they say. But neither of you have offered up anything of substance. You state your stupid opinions that have no basis in reality and expect everyone else to take them as fact.
Keep it coming with the name calling, let’s me know I am winning. You had me rolling at TDS, Mr. I won’t vote for Trump. Lol
EML is still talking about Access Hollywood….that is what is important to him.
===========================
What is Access Hollywood? I know Hollywood Video, but I think they went out of business. Is Access Hollywood like Hollywood Video, but for p*rn?
EML
I am Latin and grew up in a Latin and AA community. Half my family spoke with a heavy accent and grew up in PR. I think I know a bit more about the Latino culture and what drives it than you do.
Please show me the policies and outreach to the Latino community that the GOP has taken. It’s ZERO!
My point is two-fold, 1st, Latinos as a culture, not all, but as a group look to certain attributes in leaders. Trump’s strong personality is one reason many gravitate to him even if they think he’s overboard at times. If you can’t understand that about Latino culture, that is your ignorance. The Machismo Factor is alive and strong in the Latin community.
2nd, Latinos often support the gubbermint safety net that has helped them over the years so they’re not quick to dismantle it. But they will vote against those hurting their pockets or doing nothing about crime when things get tough.
Under your philosophy, the GOP losses in 2018 should have created a permanent Dem majority because foljs moved towards them. It’s didn’t! Just like this election.
People are voting against the party in power due to frustration. There is no evidence these are permanent GOP voters.
That’s been my point but you keep spewing nonsense and misreading the polls and election results because you lack an understanding of human behavior.
Typical after-vote in CA:
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/06/15/vote-by-mail-puts-karen-bass-ahead-of-rick-caruso-in-l-a-mayors-race-8-point-swing/
Half my family spoke with a heavy accent
============================
Lololololol, this is getting funnier by the second. Listen up everybody!!
HALF OF TGCA’S FAMILY SPOKE WITH A HEAVY ACCENT
This argument is over, Tgca has won. Ignore all the other experts on Hispanic communities out there who have been writing for months or years about how and why various Hispanic groups are moving to the GOP, Tgca knows better because half his family spoke with a heavy accent.
Lolololol
Do you know anything about Latinos?
Have you ever even met one?”
Very unfair Tgca.
I am sure EML has seen a Latino, there might be one mowing his neighbor’s lawn.
That makes him an expert on Latinos, he knows how they think and how the vote. The reason he and the rest of the GOP elites never actually applied any of this profound knowledge prior to Trump was because, hmmmm… because.
Josh Kraushaar
@HotlineJosh
#PASEN: Alarming crosstab for Senate Republicans this am from that Suffolk PA poll:
Dr. Oz favorability with INDEPENDENTS: 17-57 (-40)
– Hard to believe nominating a phony like Oz may turn out to be a bad thing. But who cares? All that matters is Donnie’s endorsement win/loss record in primaries. It’s not like Republicans have a history of nominating compromised candidates in winnable Senate seats in a wave year, right?
Again, 2022 has to be one of the most disappointing Senate recruitment classes on record. Rick Scott did a terrible job. Maybe he should have spent more time persuading people to run rather than put out his idiotic tax proposal in advance of his ridiculous 2024 presidential run.
Sununu, Ducey, and Sandoval all said no to races they’d have won in a walk. Instead, we could end up with an assortment of untested goofballs, weirdos, perverts, and vanity candidates like Oz, Walker, Masters, and Greitens. Britt and Budd may end up as the only good recruits this cycle and Scott played no role in their runs.
Oz and Walker could win in November since it’s a wave year, but both are barely mediocre candidates and that’s being generous. Oz is a liberal who got Trump’s endorsement because he was on TV and Walker can’t do serious interviews because he can’t answer the questions. In any other year, these bad candidates would be toast.
I agree with Jadon that I am correct. SOMETIMES he has good judgment.
You are misreading election results and thinking it’s some kind of permanent solution suddenly found via a magic formula.
The GOP needs to do outreach to the minority community to be competitive with them in the long run. Anything else is only temporary.
Voters are not STOOPID! Right now, they’re upset over inflation, gas prices, and crime and penalizing the party in power. That is what is driving their votes not the GOP label on candidates resumes.
We see this in elections all the time. Voters voted against Reagan in 1982. They voted against Bush in 1992. They voted against Clinton in 1994. They voted against GWB in 2006 and 2008. They voted against Obama in 2010 and 2014. They voted against Trump in 2018. …and now they’re voting against Biden in 2022.
Heh, OZ and Walker are on the ballot.
So Amoral Scumbag is here with his Dem talking points.
Zzzzzzzz…what else is new.
What is Access Hollywood? I know Hollywood Video, but I think they went out of business. Is Access Hollywood like Hollywood Video, but for p*rn”
You reference Access Hollywood all the time and you think it is important.
Now you pretend you never heard of it?
“Donald Trump Access Hollywood tape
On October 7, 2016, one month before the United States presidential election, The Washington Post published a video and accompanying article about then-presidential candidate Donald Trump and television host Billy Bush having “an extremely lewd conversation about women” in 2005.”
We have 4 years of Trump’s Presidency to gauge him on, but you are still talking about his private conversation with Billy Bush in 2005.
Please don’t pretend you bring any objectivity to the conversation.
Oz and Walker could win in November since it’s a wave year, but both are barely mediocre candidates”
Amoral Scumbag leaves himself an out on his usual “prediction” that all Rs on the ballot will lose.
I reference Access Hollywood all the time? Or one time, 6 years ago?
EML fails to explain the back and forth support both the Dems and GOP got in various elections over the year, as I noted in 122.
It blows his “permanent wave theory” out of the water.
I guess EML would tell us MA was turning Red when it elected Scott Brown in 2010 as senator.
…or NJ was turning Red when it elected Chris Christie twice.
Hispanics are overwhelmingly working class.
==========================
Correct, many Hispanic communities are indeed overwhelmingly working class. They also tend to believe in the American Dream (that’s why they came here in the first place). And they believe in the meritocracy, that working hard can get you ahead. They don’t believe what is part and parcel of the Democratic platform, that America is inherently racist and the deck is forever stacked against brown people (most of them also don’t like the term brown people). Unless the Democratic Party does something to change this (it doesn’t look like they have any intention to anytime in the near future), the GOP will continue to gain Hispanic voters, with or without Trump.
Amoral Scumbag just LOVES candidates not on the ballot. Sununu, Ducey, Sandoval. Candidates that did not even run. He hates all the GOP candidates on the ballot.
How many times have we seen this before?
But we are supposed to believe he would support the guy he called a Trump clone, a clown and a bum running against a communist.
An Amoral Scumbag never changeshis M.O.
EML fails to explain the back and forth support both the Dems and GOP got in various elections over the year, as I noted in 122.
=============================
What do I need to explain? I’ve pointed out the same thing myself here in the past couple days. Midterm elections go against the incumbent. However, that doesn’t explain what we see going on with the Hispanic votes. Even during all those swings, the Hispanic vote stayed firmly Democratic. It is obviously swinging away from Democrats this year. Even in the best year for Republicans, 2010, we peaked at 38% of the Hispanic vote. Going to be more like 50/50 this year.
What you have failed to explain is how John Cornyn performed so much better with Hispanics than Trump and his machisimo. Maybe you can ask one of your heavily accented family members.
I reference Access Hollywood all the time? Or one time, 6 years ago?”
Do you want me to go back just a few threads where you are talking about “grabbing by the p-ssy” (Hollywood Access tape) or do you just want to admit you are a liar now?
Fine with me either way.
Oh what the hell… exposing liars is a dirty job but someone has to do it.
Here is EML referencing the Access Hollywood tape twice in one thread.
“EML says:
June 12, 2022 at 10:17 am
And in Trump’s vetting, it came out that he likes grabbing women by the pu**y. What do you think could possibly be in DeSantis’ closet that is worse than that?”
EML says:
June 12, 2022 at 11:22 am
…. but absolutely can’t stand Trump and his Twitter and pu**y grabbing..”
Oh, so it was one time, a few days ago. But according to you, I talk about it all the time. I think it’s obvious who the liar is.
The thing is, it is still relevant. They are many women out there who would never vote for him for that one reason.
From RRH:
“VA-2: Democrats are on the air with TV ads boosting voter fraud conspiracy candidate Jarome Bell (R) over state Sen. Jen Kiggans (R) in an attempt to trick GOP voters into nominating a borderline unelectable nominee. Democrats spending serious money to meddle in the GOP primary like this has been a consistent strategy throughout this primary season. The winner of the GOP primary will face Rep. Elaine Luria (D) in this Biden +2 district. Polls have shown Kiggans with a commanding 34-point lead in the Republican primary (see HERE) but Democrats are still trying to ratf*ck this race because that’s how scared they are of facing Kiggans in November.”
This is my district. I also received a flyer in the mail that claims Kiggans is a pro-abortion liberal activist in the back pocket of Pelosi and Biden. Obviously the Democrats put this out as part of their attempt to fool everyone here. The flyer even had links to web sites that went nowhere.
jason & BL:
Senator McGinty loves Suffolk!
July 2016 – PA Senate
McGinty (D) 43
Toomey (R) 36
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Suffolk_FINAL_PA_Marginals.pdf
This was always going to be a close race.
Interestingly, Suffolk did not poll PA-Sen again the entire campaign season in 2016.(H/T:RRH)
Tgca, rumor is EML once ate a taco, which also contributed to his unparalleled expertise into Hispanic thinking.
jason & BL:
Senator McGinty loves Suffolk!”
Ahhh.. now I know why they are on Amoral Scumbag’s list of “approved” pollsters he can cherry pick from.
Robbie:
Earlier, I asked your thoughts about Tom Rice(R-SC) going down BIG to a Trump candidate yesterday.
You and Rice have things in common like Liz Cheney love Trump hatred! Regards, Sheeple,Jr.
EML says:
June 15, 2022 at 10:20 am
Oh, so it was one time, a few days ago.”
No, actually without too much trouble I pulled TWO examples.
Still lying?
EML
I doubt you ever spoke with a heavily accented Latino other than to yell “get away before I call the police …and immigration too.”
If you think cultural influences have nothing to do with voting patterns than you’re STOOPID!
Why do you think AA have voted Dem despite worsening situations over the decades?
It’s because of cultural influence. The GOP has failed miserably at attracting minorities in the long term because like you, they just don’t understand what’s most important to them or how to talk to them.
Just like why the Dems can’t seem to attract most Bible thumper’s. They can’t relate. Do you think the AA will rally around Mayor Butt if he is the nominee for POTUS?
Trump actually could relate to many working class Latinos, not because of his money or upbringing but through cultural influences. Latin men do not like weakness in male leaders. Trump got their attention with his unapologetic brashness, just like Schwarzenegger defeated a chubby Latino male in CA for Gubbernor similarly.
reminds me of the series I used to run here…from the archives:
“Great Moments in Polling History”
–Episode 39
In this episode, lets go to the 2016 US Senate race in Wisconsin, a race featuring incumbent Republican Ron Johnson challenged by the man he defeated for the seat six years prior, Russ Feingold.
Feingold led every poll but one throughout the entire campaign. That one exception was a Loras College poll in early October showing Johnson up 5 points. However, other polls taken at the time showed double-digit leads for Feingold rendering the Loras poll an outlier.
The GOP pretty much abandoned Johnson to his fate until they put late money into the race and the polls tightened slightly.
Even so, no poll in the last month of the election showed Johnson ahead. The final Loras poll was Feingold +2. Marquette was the closest thing to accurate at Feingold +1. Others were much further off. Emerson, Feingold +5; Monmouth, +8; St. Norbert, +12; Gravis +12. The final PPP-D poll was in June, showing Feingold +13.
When election day arrived, it was presumed this was one of the four seats the Democrats would flip to give the tiebreaker to Vice-President Kaine. Instead Johnson passed the 50% threshold getting 50.2% to Feingold’s 46.8, a margin of 3.4.
This program was brought to you by Paladin/CFP, reminding you to stay away from sharp objects when you see hard to believe, narrative-changing polls.
I am very much interested in if the Asian vote in California is shifting GOP this year, especially in Orange County.
Does anyone know any heavily accented Asians that I can ask about that? I hear they are the only experts in electoral demographics.
No, actually without too much trouble I pulled TWO examples.
Still lying?
========================
So twice, within the same conversation. How does that equal all the time?
Still lying?
The thing is, it is still relevant. ”
Only for TDS idiots like you.
There is of course no evidence that what Trump said in a private conversation with another guy 11 years before he became President was anything more than locker room talk.
The fact that now 17 years later and after Trump has actually been President for 4 years this Hillary talking point is what you think is important to judge him on shows how brainwashed you are.
Republicans failed to take control of the Senate in 2010, the biggest wave year they’d had since 1946, because primary voters nominated unelectable clowns in at least three races. Ken Buck, COD, and Sharron Angle were the only candidates who could lose their respective races, the primary voters knew it, and they still chose to nominate them.
In 2012, Republicans faced a very favorable Senate map, but failed to take control once again. Nothing was learned from 2010 and the party voters once again chose terrible candidates despite knowing they were terrible candidates. Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock were uniquely awful, but the primary voters didn’t care. Both wore their losses as badges of honor.
The only year the party seemed to get religion on the candidate quality issue was 2014. McConnell worked hard to recruit first rate choices, intervened in primaries through his super pac to make sure those candidates won, and, as a result, Republicans won 9 Senate seats and control of the chamber for the first time in eight years. And with that majority, they prevented Obama from replacing Scalia.
Fastforward to 2022 and we’ve gone right back to 2010. Candidate quality has gone out the door. McConnell and Rick Scott did an extremely poor job of recruitment and Trump made things worse by chasing off good potential candidates because of his insane preoccupation with the 2020 election (he lost by the way).
The reason candidate quality matters in 2022 is it can set the stage for the party to approach 60 seats in 2024, especially if DeSantis is the nominee. If the party holds all of its seats and picks up NH, GA, AZ, and NV (unlikely at this point), it could hold 54 seats with a very favorable map in 2024. Sixty seats wouldn’t be a stretch. But of course, we’ll nominate Trump and end up with Dr. Phil, Omarosa, Don Jr. and some other clowns in key races instead.
So twice, within the same conversation”
No actually over an hour apart.
Still lying?
But we are making progress here.
“Or one time, 6 years ago?”
to
“Oh, so it was one time, a few days ago.”
to
So twice, within the same conversation”
The thing about liars, they just love to keep digging.
jason says:
June 15, 2022 at 9:56 am
Heh, OZ and Walker are on the ballot.
So Amoral Scumbag is here with his Dem talking points.
Zzzzzzzz…what else is new.
– They’re both wildly underwhelming candidates who could easily be this cycle’s Mourdock or Angle. They’re both lucky they’re running in such a strong Republican year, otherwise, they’d both be toast already. Oz, at least right now, is losing to a guy who just had a stroke, hasn’t been seen in a month, and by his own admission struggles with speech right now.
Arnie is heavily accented. Can he tell me about the entire German speaking vote, or just the Austrian vote?
Yes, and besides eating tacos 3x daily at Taco Bell, EML thinks that Latinos are screaming
YO QUIERO GOP!!!
jason says:
June 15, 2022 at 10:01 am
Oz and Walker could win in November since it’s a wave year, but both are barely mediocre candidates”
Amoral Scumbag leaves himself an out on his usual “prediction” that all Rs on the ballot will lose.
– The party could have nominated high quality candidates in both races and already put them out of reach for Democrats. That’s the difference, moron. Had they done that, money could have been spent on other races that may become competitive like CO, assuming we don’t nominate the circus clown in the race.
and some other clowns in key races instead.”
Ah yes, clowns.
“If you’re referring to FL, I think nominating a total bum for governor has really hurt Scott. Just as the TX and TN governor races should help Cruz and Blackburn, I think DeSantis, a clown, is really hurting Scott.”
The thing about liars, they just love to keep digging.
=========================
Let’s review.
You claimed that I talk about Access Hollywood “all the time”.
I have no idea what Access Hollywood is, nor that Trump’s p*ssy quote came from them.
As proof that I talk about Access Hollywood all the time, you brought up a quote, with a date of August 2016. I assumed that you were attributing that 2016 quote to me, but apparently you weren’t.
You were referring to a couple days ago where I referenced Trump grabbing p*ssy. Again, I have no idea what Access Hollywood is, so you using that reference was a communication failure on your part.
So in summary, you lied when you said that I talk about Access Hollywood all the time. I mentioned Trump grabbing p*ssy (twice) as examples of why many women would never vote for him.
The party could have nominated high quality candidate”
“high quality”..translation… another candidate you would have attacked if he ever got on the ballot.
Both OZ and Walker are high quality candidates. You don’t like them because they were endorsed by Trump and because you are a moronic troll who only comes here to regurgitate your far left cesspool talking point.
jason says:
June 15, 2022 at 10:12 am
Amoral Scumbag just LOVES candidates not on the ballot. Sununu, Ducey, Sandoval. Candidates that did not even run. He hates all the GOP candidates on the ballot.
How many times have we seen this before?
– You’re right. I’ve always argued for candidate quality. Sununu, Ducy, and Sandoval are all high-quality candidate who would have already put their races away as wins. That would have meant the money set aside for their races could’ve been spent elsewhere. Instead, we’ve got a mishmash of weirdos and frauds who may keep Schumer the Senate leader.
You used to be concerned about candidate quality as well until you became a Trump worshipper.
I have no idea what Access Hollywood is, nor that Trump’s p*ssy quote came from them.”
Every one, including you, knows that is where the quote came from.
You already admitted you knew too..
“Or one time, 6 years ago?”
Still lying and still digging.
Sheeple,Jr. says:
June 15, 2022 at 10:25 am
Robbie:
Earlier, I asked your thoughts about Tom Rice(R-SC) going down BIG to a Trump candidate yesterday.
You and Rice have things in common like Liz Cheney love Trump hatred! Regards, Sheeple,Jr.
– Here’s my answer. I don’t care one iota about that race or the fact Donnie backed a loser against Nancy Mace. Have you felt the need to offer your thoughts why Katie Arrington lost? Even if you did, I wouldn’t care.
You’re right. I’ve always argued for candidate quality.”
Nah, you never argued for candidate quality. You argued for candidates not on the ballot, which is different. You pretend to like Sununu, Ducey and Sandoval only because they didn’t run. Had they run, you would be here trashing them like you did DeSantis.
GFY.
Every one, including you, knows that is where the quote came from.
=================================
No, I do not. I’m not obsessed with Trump.
You already admitted you knew too..
“Or one time, 6 years ago?”
=================================
Again, you put up a quote with a date, and I thought you were saying that I said it.
Just for further clarification, my “talking about Access Hollywood all the time” only refers to when I mentioned Trump said he liked to grabbed women by the p*ssy a couple days ago?
So none of you heavily accented geniuses can explain how John Cornyn outperformed Donald “Machisimo” Trump with Hispanic voters in 2020?
Amoral Scumbag prefers a far left moonbat like Fetterman, who already declared he won’t have Biden campaign for him because he is too conservative, he will invite Bernie Sanders, to Oz, who despite Trump’s endorsement nobody can accuse of being a fire breathing conservative.
Amoral Scumbag calls Oz a “liberal”, but wants Fetterman to win.
Hilarious.
I’m not obsessed with Trump.”
LOL.
You trash him incessantly on every thread, but you are not “obsessed”.
I love it here.
jason says:
June 15, 2022 at 10:41 am
Both OZ and Walker are high quality candidates.
– You should consider becoming a comedian because this take is a riot. It reminds me of when you said early 2015 Romney was the best candidate the party had ever nominated for president, even better than Reagan.
Jadon
Is it just me or do you see the irony in EML mocking the accented blue collar minorities he wants to attract to the GOP?
With Republicans like EML, the wonders why the GOP has difficulty attracting minorities.
Why did Rice lose and Mace hang on? Mace, although critical of Trump off and on, didn’t vote for impeachment and then double down and laughably endorse Robbie’s favorite Republican Liz Cheney for Speaker of the House.
I would think that distinction between Rice and Mace would be rather obvious.
Here’s my answer. I don’t care one iota about that race”
Translation: had Rice won, I would have posted 100 posts about it.
Today, four(4) cases were decided at SCOTUS. None of them were the biggies.16 or 17 cases remain for the term.
With Republicans like EML, the wonders why the GOP has difficulty attracting minorities.”
No worries, Tgca, Hispanics will continue to vote GOP even if the GOP goes back to ignoring the working class in favor of suburban elites because Hispanic expert EML said so.
jason says:
June 15, 2022 at 10:56 am
Here’s my answer. I don’t care one iota about that race”
Translation: had Rice won, I would have posted 100 posts about it.
– Then why didn’t I come here last night and mock Trump for endorsing a loser like Katie Arrington?
#165 & 166- Phil & jason:
You are both right. Mace wins by 7% and Fry by 26% and Robbie sees no difference.
He cares plenty!
Romney was the best candidate the party had ever nominated for president, even better than Reagan.”
Romney, the guy you are now endorsing for President? After trashing him for years and when he was actually on the ballot??
That Romney?
#165 & 166- Phil & jason:
You are both right. Mace wins by 7% and Fry by 26% and Robbie sees no difference.”
Yep, pretty obvious if Mace hadn’t backed away from attacking Trump she would be toast too.
Is it just me or do you see the irony in EML mocking the accented blue collar minorities he wants to attract to the GOP?
============================
I’m not mocking them, I’m mocking you, dummy. You said you are an expert in electoral demographics because some of your family are heavily accented. Lol, wut.
Then why didn’t I come here last night and mock Trump for endorsing a loser like Katie Arrington?”
Probably because Arrington had a pretty good showing against an incumbent while Rice got completely trashed.
Next question?
CNBC
@CNBC
GOP Georgia Senate nominee Herschel Walker’s campaign confirms he has a second son
https://t.co/fpyG5PI3kM
– Does a high-quality candidate hide the fact he has a son he doesn’t speak to until outed by a publication? Asking for a friend.
Yikes.
Disclose.tv
@disclosetv
·
2h
JUST IN – US retail sales declined 0.3% in May amid rising inflation.
jason and tgca, the Heavily Accented Geniuses (HAGs).
jason says:
June 15, 2022 at 11:01 am
Romney was the best candidate the party had ever nominated for president, even better than Reagan.”
Romney, the guy you are now endorsing for President? After trashing him for years and when he was actually on the ballot??
That Romney?
– Nice try, fraud. I’m not endorsing Romney for anything.
It just pains you to no end I was right about Romney as a presidential candidate and you were wrong.
#171- jason
Add: Romney , who will not endorse Mike Lee in the UTAH GOP primary and supports Egg McMuffin there.
Romney, like Robbie, is a great GOP team mate!
Liz Cheney for Speaker!
BTW, there is a great article today written by Never Trumper Tom Nichols telling everyone that Joe Biden is doing a great job. No, I’m not kidding. He really wrote an entire article arguing that. I couldn’t finish reading it. Made me want to throw up.
You got to love the Never Trumper “Republicans”
Sheeple,Jr. says:
June 15, 2022 at 11:00 am
#165 & 166- Phil & jason:
You are both right. Mace wins by 7% and Fry by 26% and Robbie sees no difference.
He cares plenty!
– I cared so much you had to ask me what I thought because I had written nothing on it.
Mace got 53.1% of the vote and got 51.1% of the vote.
Mace ran in a one-on-one race and Fry and Rice were in a four person race.
Looks like the House Majority Drat pac dumped a lot of $$$ into the Flores race.
They tried tying her to the J6 hoax/rioters.
Phil- #180
Don’t gag just laugh your head off!
I’m not mocking them”
Sure you are. You are a moron who looks down on Trump voters because they are not good enough for you.
Like the rest of the GOP elites, you feel threatened by a party you feel is contaminated by the “working class”.
The jebots/drats may need to quit the j6 hoaxing as part of their campaigns.
Looks like it’s the economy, inflation, gasoline prices.
Sheeple,Jr. says:
June 15, 2022 at 11:08 am
#171- jason
Add: Romney , who will not endorse Mike Lee in the UTAH GOP primary and supports Egg McMuffin there.
Romney, like Robbie, is a great GOP team mate!
– I’d vote for Mike Lee. I don’t agree with everything he’s done, but Egg McMuffin is a huckster who still hasn’t paid his staff from 2016.
BTW, there is a great article today written by Never Trumper Tom Nichols telling everyone that Joe Biden is doing a great job. No, I’m not kidding. He really wrote an entire article arguing that. I couldn’t finish reading it. Made me want to throw up.”
Amoral Scumbag is probably sad you mentioned it before he could regurgitate it as manna from heaven.
186
Ok, what did you do with Robbie?
Thr j6 hoaxer and Loon Cheney supporter, Rice, went down hard.
I was neutral about federal Mace. She erred in the referral on bannon. I don’t know if I could support her if she was my representative. I would likely just not vote.
I’d vote for Mike Lee.”
LOL
Did someone tell Amoral Scumbag that he is on the ballot?
Phil says:
June 15, 2022 at 11:10 am
Liz Cheney for Speaker!
– She made a bad mistake not running to Senate in 2020, but I can’t wait to watch you and others in this forum turn on McCarthy next year when he completely underwhelms as Speaker.
I feel just as Erick Erickson does. The party should do everything in its power to find an alternative to McCarthy. There’s a reason his attempt to become Speaker blew up in a week or so in 2015.
He’s got no credibility with the Freedom Caucus morons and Elise Stefanick will be waiting knife him in the back and take the gavel from him.
Sure you are. You are a moron who looks down on Trump voters because they are not good enough for you.
========================
I’m a Trump voter, you dummy. I look down on non-Trump voters like you because you’re f*cking idiots and gave us Biden and his disasterclass of a presidency.
I could see voting for Mace, she did a good job tagging AOC as a pathological liar.
Rice? No.
I would not have voted to certify the election, but I consider that a legitimate difference of opinion.
Impeachment? Nah. Any R that supported either of those sham Dem impeachment circuses deserves to be gone.
Yikes, retail sales were revised down in April. From zero hedge,
“Amid record low consumer sentiment, crashing asset markets, and tumbling savings rates, it is no surprise that May retail sales were a disappointment but the 0.3% plunge was remarkable relative to a 0.1% expected rise and downwardly revised 0.7% MoM rise in April.”
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/06/biden-economy-retail-auto-sales-layoffs-announced-recession-works/
Phil says:
June 15, 2022 at 11:15 am
186
Ok, what did you do with Robbie?
– Mike Lee’s a conservative. Maybe a bit too libertarian for me at times, but he’s well within the range of acceptable. I’m, after all, about to vote for Rand Paul for the third time in November.
I have always taken issue with the shameless hucksters and frauds. And sadly, there are a lot of them in the party right now.
look down on non-Trump voters like you”
Huh, I voted for Trump.
GFY.
And let’s not forget this j6 hoaxer, who was really a blm supporter. Only one day in jail. But Maga grandma has 14 months in pre trial.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/06/never-forget-antifa-operative-filmed-inside-us-capitol-jan-6-broke-window-organized-antifa-rally-near-capitol-day-spent-one-day-jail/
Like the rest of the GOP elites, you feel threatened by a party you feel is contaminated by the “working class”.
========================
Sweet, now I’m part of the GOP elites (news to me). What do I get? I could use some home improvements. Or a new car, mine is 10 years old. Whoops, I shouldn’t have let that slip. Only working class losers own 10 year old cars. Us elites swap out new cars every 3 years.
I demand you HAGs refer to me as GOP Elite going forward.
with the shameless hucksters and frauds. And sadly, there are a lot of them in the party right now”
Amoral Scumbag pines for the good ole days…. none of those stinking working class folks in our elite party.
And where candidates were picked in smoked filled rooms, none of this let the voters decide BS.
I demand you HAGs refer to me as GOP Elite going forward.”
No need.
It is obvious enough, but thanks for the recommendation.
Has Wron pg Wraynand the corrupt Fib found out who placed the.pipe bombs at the Rnc and dnc hqs, the night before j6?
The party should do everything in its power to find an alternative to McCarthy.”
I guess he is on the ballot…
Has wrong Wray or any corrupt fib official answered massies request to know the number of fib assets that participated during the J6 hoax?
173. EML
Please provide the post where I said what you claim below.
If you can’t provide it, we’ll accept you are a LIAR.
Evidently, you’re just as bad as interpreting what people say as you are with interpreting polls and election results.
You said you are an expert in electoral demographics because some of your family are heavily accented.
Tgca says:
June 15, 2022 at 9:42 am
EML
I am Latin and grew up in a Latin and AA community. Half my family spoke with a heavy accent and grew up in PR. I think I know a bit more about the Latino culture and what drives it than you do.
175. Robbie
You mean like the illegitimate daughter that Hunter Biden has and lied about in trying to get out of supporting her, and that your president Joe Biden has NEVER acknowledged or met?
What kind of grandfather does not want to meet his granddaughter and refuses to acknowledge her existence?
This kind of logical fallacy is called Appeal to Authority. And you went with, you should believe me because some of my family speaks with a heavy accent.
Lol, HAG.
205. EML
That post says nothing about being an expert in electoral demographics.
It points to your bigoted ignorant stereotyping of Latinos when it’s doubtful you ever even had any contact with the people you don’t understand but claim to speak for now.
You are the reason the GOP struggles with attracting minorities to the party. You don’t even realize how condescending you sound towards Latinos.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
I voted for Mayra Flores – first time I ever voted Republican.
Massive red wave in 2022.
I am so elite, that I am the singular reason why the GOP struggles with attracting minorities to the party. Suck it, bitter.
I guess EML will next speak to how gays are trending to the GOP because Peter Thiel and Rick Grendel, supports much of the GOP agenda.
He can provide PROOF of this too.
You don’t even realize how condescending you sound towards Latinos.
================================
I’m not condescending towards Latinos, I am condescending towards you because you’re an idiot who actually said, “Half my family spoke with a heavy accent”. LOL, wut?
Talk about being condescending, that’s one step away from “I have a black friend”.
That post says nothing about being an expert in electoral demographics
Bingo
Republican success with Latinos is all about reaching out to the working class. Latinos are overwhelmingly working class. They aren’t interested at all in the Republican establishment types. Bush, McCain, Romney got crushed. Inroads were made when Trump cultivated the working class vote.
#146, losing the PA Senate race would be arguably even WORSE than those elections, as most — but for dark blue Delaware — were seats held by incumbent Democrats.
Here we are talking about a seat currently occupied by a REPUBLICAN in a purple state during possibly one of the biggest red waves in the last century.
And Fetterman has been talked about as a dark horse candidate for POTUS in 2024, given the Dems pathetic bench, and his tendency (although totally fraudulent) to come across as a white, blue-collar working-class type of guy, which the Dems desperately need right now.
In other words: losing this seat could be a disaster of epic proportions.
I guess EML will next speak to how gays are trending to the GOP because Peter Thiel and Rick Grendel, supports much of the GOP agenda.
==================================
No, you see, I don’t have the data for that. I do have the data that shows that Hispanics are migrating to the GOP, and it’s happening without Trump.
You see, I’m not a HAG like you who just spouts bullsh*t nonsense all the time without anything to back it up. I provide the data. Where’s your data? I haven’t seen any yet. And you still refuse to answer how John Cornyn outperformed Donald “Machisimo” Trump with Hispanic voters in Texas in 2020.
210
Not elite, just STOOPID like elites.
So tell us how many tacos the average Latino eats daily please.
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Your data is just news stories by pundits who change with the wind.
The same pundits who claim every election cycle there is a new phenomenon.
You are the audience for such crap.
Do you buy all the self help books too? Watch Oprah?
I actually pointed to the temporary wave elections over decades where voters oscillated back and forth. That actually debunks your theory.
You fail to understand what is driving Latino voters today. You just look at results and assume it’s “forever.”
Tell us again how Chris Christie transformed NJ into a Republican haven.
Republican success with Latinos is all about reaching out to the working class. Latinos are overwhelmingly working class. They aren’t interested at all in the Republican establishment types. Bush, McCain, Romney got crushed. Inroads were made when Trump cultivated the working class vote.
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Well, it’s not that straight forward, now is it? Because in 2016, Trump got crushed by Hispanics just as much as Romney did. EG, in that TX-34 district we won yesterday, Trump lost by 21, barely better than Romney did.
This is why I’m not on board with the HAGs that it was all about Trump. In 2016, the white working class certainly jumped ship, but Hispanics did not. What happened between 2016 and 2020 then? That’s when the Democratic Party went full woke and full Communist. The Cubans in Miami know Communists when they see one. That’s why they jumped ship in 2020. South Texas Mexicans are concerned about crime and safety and economic opportunity, and here all the woke Leftist elites want to talk about is America is racist and defunding the police and not prosecuting criminals and catering to the LGBTQIASPGKJGA++ Alphabet Soup crowd.
The Democratic Party is pushing Hispanics out as much as the GOP is pulling them in. That’s why I maintain, contrary to the HAGs, that DeSantis will do better with Hispanics in 2024 than Trump did in 2020.
Tell us again how Chris Christie transformed NJ into a Republican haven.
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Well I haven’t told you a first time, so why would I tell you again?
You just look at results and assume it’s “forever.”
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Another thing I never said. You do love a good strawman, don’t you?
The PA poll is a D+4 COLLEGE poll, with a tiny sample, too. The und are 17%, so Suffolk didn’t press them very hard, either.
In 2016, Suffolk had Toomey losing to Some Dude (D) by 7 points in their final poll, btw.
Your data is just news stories
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Lol, and your data is, “some of my family speaks with a heavy accent”.
Now EML, our resident Liz Cheney Republican is going to tell me about south Florida where I live.
You do know that Cubans have been slowly drifting to the Dems, especially the younger generation, even though Miami Cubans turned out for Trump in 2020 in reversal of the prior decade trend, right?
Trump increased his turnout in 70% Latino Miami-Dade by about 60% from 2016 to 2020 while Biden decreased over Hillary.
What say you on that Mr. Expert on Latino voter trends?
…and not all Latino groups are the same. Puerto Ricans generally vote differently than Cubans as well.
I actually grew up and lived in Latino communities. Have you ever been to one?
You do know that Cubans have been slowly drifting to the Dems, especially the younger generation, even though Miami Cubans turned out for Trump in 2020 in reversal of the prior decade trend, right?
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Yes, I am aware that while historically strong Republican, Cubans started drifting towards Democrats. But as a group they snapped back between 2016 and 2020 because the Democratic Party has gone full woke Communist, and they’re not having any of it.
You do know that this isn’t my first rodeo, right? I know what I’m talking about.
Ok. I got things to do. But I will be back later to see what other nonsense our Liz Cheney Republican EML will spew out.
My aunt’s daughter’s husband’s cousin is a heavily accented Spanish speaker, so obviously I know more than you.
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EML claims:
I KNOW THINGS!
…and he knows things about Latinos too because he reads news from pundits.
No need to live in Latino neighborhoods or culture.
Everything EML needs to know about Latinos he can Google from some white non-Latin pundit to get his answer.
This way he doesn’t actually have to engage with the Latinos he knows all about, especially those working class ones where he can’t understand what they’re saying with those accents.
Tgca says:
June 15, 2022 at 11:40 am
175. Robbie
You mean like the illegitimate daughter that Hunter Biden has and lied about in trying to get out of supporting her
– Is Hunter Biden a candidate for anything? No.
Would anyone consider Hunter Biden a high-quality candidate if he ran for anything? No.
I cam’t imagine how insanely relevant it is to have lived in a Hispanic neighborhood 30 years ago. Almost as relevant as having relatives who speak with a heavy accent.
Things have changed in those 30 years since you left the hood. For instance, you are now a vegan h*mosexual at home living amongst the rest of your out-of-touch woke liberal elites in west palm beach.
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I am not a vegan!
Again, EML shows his ignorance of Latinos by suggesting their culture is only determined by his view of where they live.
So do AA know nothing about AA culture because they graduated college and live in a middle class neighborhood?
I guess once you leave your neighborhood your childhood engrained culture no longer exists.
The more EML makes stereotypical comments, the more ignorance and bigotry he shows…and this is the Liz Cheney Republican who thinks he has the answers to do outreach to minority community?
I live in south FL where we have a very large Latino population. Miami-Dade is 70% Latino. My acquaintances here are Latino as are my doctors and many neighbors in my new complex I live in. I.l have to tell these people that their Latino culture no longer matters if they once they move out of the Latin ghettos because that’s what EML thinks make up the Latino community.
I guess Italian Americans have no idea what Italian culture is like unless they live in Staten Island.
I guess you’re really not an Asian unless you live in Fort Lee NJ or Honolulu.
…and clearly you know nothing about being gay unless you live in San Francisco.
This is the way our Liz Cheney Republican EML sees the world.
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I did not know I moved to West Palm Beach.
EML tells me that’s where I now live even though that’s like 50 miles away from me.
Wow! We’re really learning so much about ourselves as Latinos from EML.
I guess my birth certificate needs to be updated to reflect a white non-Hispanic name now according to EML.
I give credit to EML for Latino outreach though. He is like:
yeah, you don’t look like a Juan or a Jose to me so are you really Latino? Great if you are because Liz Cheney and me want you people to join the GOP because we can better serve you then the Dems. It’s a great party! Come to our Latino outreach meeting next Wednesday, we’ll have tacos and pasteles. Will have some Sangria and Malta too. Hope to see you there. Si Se Puede!”
Asians live in Fort Lee? When did that happen? I thought people in Fort Lee only live in the apartments near the George Washington Bridge.
I mean Jews live in Teaneck and Fairlawn but Asians in Fort Lee. What else happened since I left in 1994? (Yes, Wes, I know Menendez was elected Senator. I had nothing to do with it.)
Quinnipiac, not exactly a right-wing pollster, out with a TX poll.
Abbott 48
O’Rourke 43
And this was a poll they juiced with all kinds of questions about gun violence. TX Gov is safe R.