Biden Coming To MD on Election Eve, Oz Leads Fetterman By 2% in PA
Wait, what? According to The Hill, Joe Biden is coming to my hometown of Columbia, MD and Howard County for a rally. Is he aware that Democrats outnumber Republcians by almost a 2.5:1 margin and the Democratic candidate for Governor and US Senator are leading by 20-30 percentage points? Am I missing something?
President Biden on Monday will campaign for Democrats in Maryland to mark the day before Election Day.
He will travel Columbia, Md., and participate in a rally for the Democratic National Committee (DNC), the White House announced on Tuesday. Columbia is about 45-minutes away from the White House in Howard County.
If it is late enough in the day and available enough for the public to attend, I might just have to figure out a way to attend just for the novelty of it.
To have a poll for this thread, we have a new poll from Emerson College for hte state of Pennsylvania that shows Dr. Mehmet Oz moving ahead of Democrat John Fetterman.
US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA (Emerson>
Mehmet Oz (R) 48%
John Fetterman (D) 46%
This poll was done October 28-31 among 1000 likely voters.
1st
Sorry about the Phillies Bitter, but look at this way, the Mets no-hit the Phillies early in the season and after that, the Phillies season has been great. Maybe the same will happen in the World Series.
Just hope you don’t have any former Mets on the mound to jinx you…oh wait…
Masto in deep trouble, as is Warnock. Kelly and Hassan in danger. More polls needed in WA and CO.
Incumbent polling – wins/losses going to back to 2010
Below 43: All Lost.
43 – 44.9, 3 Wins and 6 Losses
45 – 46.9, 7 Wins and 3 Losses
47 – 48.9, 13 Wins and 3 Losses
49 or above: All Won.
NV: Cortez-Masto 45.1
GA: Warnock 45.7 (was 45.8)
AZ: Kelly 47.1
NH: Hassan 47.3 (was 48.3)
WA: Murray 49.3
CO: Bennet 49.3 (was 50.0)
IL: Duckworth 49.5
WI: Johnson 50.0
OR: Wyden 51.0
FL: Rubio 51.0
CT: Blumenthal 52.7
NY: Schumer 53.5
Careful Dave, if you go to the Biden event it will mean you are a far left Marxist radical.
I read it here at HHR.
Chicon says:
November 2, 2022 at 10:10 pm
Tina and Wes are both valuable contributors to this joint.
This is a time of great success for the party; time for smiles, imo.”
Smile on your own time.
Here at at HHR, there is no time for such silliness.
Contrary to expectations, I did not win the $1.2 billion Powerball.
GFYs.
See lakes response to the claim that she is responsible for the death of the capitol police officer/j6.
https://twitter.com/KariLake/status/1587939018494181376
Columbia MD is only 60 miles from here, my horse can make it in 4 hours. Maybe I can meet Dave at the Biden rally. If I head south through Pleasureville, I can then head west through Brodbecks and Sticks, then Black Rock into MD. Piece of cake.
Evidently Bolduc skewered Hassan on the cost of living, inflation and the economy. Plus he was assaulted.
I look forward to saying I was wrong to call him a deadender.
Yes, there is a Sticks, PA.
“City: Sticks, PA, 17329 | United States ZIP Code
Sticks is a city name in York, Pennsylvania, United States”
GFYs
Thanks for sharing the Lake response Tina. Every time I watch Lake or DeSantis respond to the Woke Commie Media I am impressed. They are both going to win in blowouts.
After listening to them. I then think about how Trump would have responded sometimes and think about how many independents and swing voters he just lost. Trumps blunt direct approach worked in 2016 but he was running against a candidate that had negatives as high as his.
A different Trump would not have been Trump.
I did not watch Biden’s speech, so can I assume this great uniter failed to mention the shooter who nearly killed Rep. Steve Scalise when this leftist shot up the Republican baseball practice?
I just read where NH does not have EV? That should help Bolduc.
14 – that and the fact that there is no large population center where someone can stuff an extra 20,000 ballots into the box and no one would notice.
And can I also safely assume no one in the morning news shows is asking if the Bolduc attacker last night was inspired by Biden’s speech to lash out at Republicans?
Not a BOOM because Johnson has not trailed in a poll since 9/15
Siena – WISCONSIN
Barnes 45%
Johnson 47%
The Bolduc assault won’t make national MSM news. But you can bet it will be talked about in NH.
Don’t you love the MSM?
NBC reporter: “Voter ID Laws disproportionately impact trans people.”
19 – yeah, that’s an urgent concern on the mind of voters, much more so than inflation, crime, and open borders.
Voter ID Laws disproportionately impact trans people.
yeah, Democrats. Run on that. Pure winner.
Never mind the fact that it’s plain silly.
This is not “disinformation” I guess.
Tweet
BrooklynDadDefiant!??
If you think inflation is rough, wait until you try to pay for sh-t after Mike Lee and the Republicans END SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE.”
I guess this is not a “lie”…
“It’s great to be at Florida Memorial University, one of the nation’s great [Historically Black Colleges and Universities],” Biden said during a rally on Tuesday night. “I’m a big fan of HBCUs, I got my start at one of those other HBCUs, Delaware State University.”
Biden never attended DCU, he went to University of Delaware.
I guess Silver State Republicans can party like it’s 2014:
https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1588168243960651777?cxt=HHwWgoCljc-mp4osAAAA
It has been a long time for me, fellow posters. After what happened in 2020 I decided to take a long break from politics. I quit watching the news. The terrible hypocricy of the pandemic drove me into the world of Kdramas (they are really good). Yes, go ahead and make fun of me Jason, but I like kdramas. However you will be pleased to know that I haven’t totally dropped off the deep end, I still love my single malt. Walt, I did make a one hundred dollar donation to the Presbyterian Disaster Fund which covered our friendly bet. And Robbie (Wormtongue), there is still no hope for you! Bitter, I hope everything is going well for you and your family.
Well now I am back. I will never be the news and polical junkie I once was but for the last couple of months I have been reading the threads. Election night should be a good one for the USA. The damage to our Country the last two years has made me weep. I still can’t believe that we have given ultimate power to a person who has short term memory problems. And the wokeness of the press drives me crazy. Through the years I have saddly learned that one good election night will not right all the wrongs. My hope and prayer is that somehow those who are newly elected will not become corrupted by the cess pool of Washington. Who knows maybe someone will emerge who will not be used like a dirty dish cloth, but will instead discover that they can wield a sword of justice.
Good to see you back, Db.
25 – yes, we live in a world where right is called wrong, and wrong is called right. Where evil is virtue and virtue is evil. As we saw in Biden’s speech last night, lies are true and truth is a lie.
I recall once hearing about the testimony of a man who lived most of his life behind the iron curtain of the USSR. The most difficult aspect of life in that environment was not the poverty, and not even the control, it was enduring the constant barrage of the propaganda lies shoved down their throats every day by the communist government.
That is exactly what Mr. Biden did last night and in his prior speech. Everything Democrats are guilty of doing, they accuse Republicans of, and hold us in contempt. It is maddening. Not ONE journalist anywhere last night spoke about Biden’s comments and then countered that Rep. Steve Scalise was nearly killed by a leftist kook who shot up the GOP baseball practice.
Muslims aren’t a huge voting bloc in the US, but they have been a reliably Dem demographic since 2004. That may be changing and benefiting Republicans in marginal areas thanks to Dems’ increasingly salacious stances on social issues:
https://nypost.com/2022/11/03/man-who-switched-to-gop-rips-stephen-colbert-for-saying-he-was-made-up/
Wes, of course I ment it was you who I made the bet with. Thanks for the welcome back.
Ron Filipkowski
@RonFilipkowski
Trump this morning calls for Mitch McConnell to be impeached: “They ought to impeach Mitch McConnell .. they have something on him.”
– This is the guy Jason fraud, Phil, and the rest want to be the 2024 nominee.
I just asked where is dblaikie a few threads ago, an lo and behold.
Welcome back.
You are right. One election will not solve our problems, not even a really good election.
We are teaching our children to be socialists. We have been for decades. The results are obvious.
Until that changes, I am afraid for the future of the country.
Wtf is a kdrama?
Actually I prefer DeSantis be the nominee.
You know, the guy Amoral Scumbag calls a total bum, Trump Clone and clown.
jason the best thing that has come out of covid is the huge increase in home schooling. The more kids who grow up without their minds stuffed with the foolishness of communism and socialism and all the entitlements, the more chance we have of survival.
Lol, so he will then vote for Her Thighness?
George Will: “For the Good of the Country, Biden and Harris Should Bow Out of 2024 Election
Donna Brazile:
“So, it’s not over. We need to remember that polls don’t decide elections; voters do.”
Good line, but those who think they are going to win never use it.
ason the best thing that has come out of covid is the huge increase in home schooling”
Yes, and parents have now taken a bigger interest in what schools are feeding their children, what books they are reading, etc
30 – I love the smell of desperation in the morning….
Five days before the election.
Amoral Scumbag drives by to attack Trump.
If Bolduc does win, while he’s not my preferred candidate, I’ll be glad. Maggie the Moonbat would never have won had Kelly Ayotte not had her vote split in 2016, and Hassan has voted reflexively to the left, her current faux moderation notwithstanding.
This could well be an instance where Schumer miscalculated. If so, I’ll be glad to admit I was wrong about Bolduc.
Jason, glad I can teach you. A kdrama is a Korean Drama. They are all over at netflix. Try one while you have a nice big steak.
I prefer DeSantis be the nominee as well. Checks the most boxes, and no one else comes close. Trump is 76 and in two years will be 78. I get that he is in great health, but even if he ran and got elected, he’s a one-termer who would finish at 82. Sorry, just too many problems with that approach.
DeSantis is in his prime, he is extremely popular, he is a tremendous leader, and he starts with Florida off the table, and should he be wise enough to carry on the Trump coalition, he starts with strong leads in OH and GA, and small leads in WI, MI, and PA.
DeSantis is the best choice.
36 – the left screwed up by letting the school board issue balloon. There are now millions of parents who basically knew nothing about school boards and the power they had regarding them. The toothpaste is out of the tube…
Shameless Dem hack Ralston throwing in the towel?
“Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports
Good morning from The #WeMatter State.
Not a great day for Dems on Wednesday as they netted 1K ballots in Clark and lost a few hundred in Washoe. GOP in decent shape in statewide numbers.
Not enough mail in either place to overwhelm in-person losses for Ds.”
38 – oh wow, he chose to return here after completely embarrassing himself for falling for the MAGA Hammer hoax–the TDS is so strong he could not wait to see if it was true that that this kook was a Trump supporter, so he stuck his neck out–and almost immediately, it came out that the guy was a drug addict left-wing Berkeley nudist who supports the Green Party.
John Ocasio-Rodham Nolte
@NolteNC
Man, if you can’t have gay/meth/hammer orgy in San Francisco without the cops showing up, where CAN you get your freak on?
I don’t recognize this country anymore.
7:37 AM · Nov 3, 2022
·Twitter Web App
Tucker Carlson took his head out of Putin’s ass long enough to come up with this great line…
“The guy who showered with his daughter is telling you you’re a bad person.”
Ron DeSantis is the worst nightmere for the Dems. He is a vetran. He looks good. His wife and family are wholesome. He is a great and unafraid speaker. But most important, he is right on the issues. I wonder when the fake women will come forward, to accuse him of something? You know, someone he went to school with who has been in counseling for 15 years because what he did on a dark and stormy night.
I think Robbie needs to just admit that Liz Chaney is his candidate and that he believes that she is future for the GOP.
You left out he is an illegal alien, not even a US citizen.
Amoral Scumbag blames Mike Lindell for a Canadian nudist activist who lives in a bus adorned with rainbow and BLM flags for attacking Paul Pelosi.
You can’t make this sh-t up.
Democrats have dusted off Barack Obama and sent him to battleground states.
On the one hand, this makes sense because Obama is significantly more popular than Biden and is the most well-liked living former Dem President. On the other, Obama’s record post 2008 of helping Democrats win is not all that great. He was a disaster for Dems in 2010 and 2014 and helped them very little to not at all in 2016, 2018, and 2020. Since 2022 is going to be more like the first two elections than the last three, I don’t know why Obama’s even wasting his time. He should just sit on the sidelines while Dems take it on the chin nationally.
jason, if he even wished to start to try to gain ANY credibility here, he could start by saying, sorry I was wrong about this kook–I jumped the gun.
But he won’t. So he has ZERO credibility and he will never have any here.
He only regurgitates leftwing talking points he reads at whatever leftist cesspools he hangs out in.
On Tuesday night he will be here to either say Rs won “despite Trump” or that Rs lost “because of Trump”.
Bet on it.
Wes, Obama could not save McAwful last year in Virginia. In VIRGINIA.
They should release rhe 911 call that Pelosi made, it could help to clear up this matter. Now, with the unjustice intervention (strange on many levels) it shuts the release down.
This may be another election interference by the Doj/fib
2016 Russian hoax lasted through 2019.
2020 Whitmer fednapping hoax
SurveyUSA Poll MI-03
Gibbs 47
Scholten 44
I’m listening to Baris from yesterday. He says a 50+ seat gain in the House is possible because of the recent drastic shift of white suburban women back to the GOP. He thinks mid 30’s is likely, up to 50+ is possible.
54 – wasn’t Gibbs one of those “bad” candidates we heard about during primary season?
#24, Wes, I remember Ralston in 2014 warning everyone for the last couple of weeks before the election that, based on the underperforming Democratic early vote, the GOP was going to sweep in Nevada; he isn’t quite there yet this year, but his comments regarding the early vote certainly are trending in that direction. And with the Emerson polls of the four U.S. House districts giving the GOP candidates an average lead of 10% (NV has three Democrat-leaning CDs that should flip R this year plus one comfortably R district), it looks like it’s going to be a bloodbath, with nearly all Democrats up this year as the victims. Hopefully, the GOP can regain the state legislature even with districts drawn by Democrats for their advantage.
I heard here yesterday that we need to completely abandon suburban white women because their vote can’t help us win.
58 – I don’t think that’s what you read….
A strategy built around SWW – without attending to rural and middle class voter – is what was described as a losing strategy. Nobody said not to seek out their votes.
A drive by post by Robbie this morning.
58
Nobody is saying that.
Given that the GOP platform is:
1) Punish crime and get it under control
2) Reduce inflation by ending this absurd Democratic Party war against fossil fuels.
3) Stop ramming CRT down the throats of kids in school against the parents’ wishes.
4) Secure the borders and stop this Democratic Party madness.
5) Strengthen our military and stop using it for woke experiments.
…and the Democrat Party platform is:
1) Get more abortions.
2) Ban automobiles that run on gas.
3) Republicans are terrorists who will end Social Security and end voting.
4) The flag, past American heroes, patriotism, love of country–all these things are evil.
5) All children should be encouraged to have their genitals mutilated so they will never enjoy intimacy or have children.
The GOP should be able to get a pretty broad coalition of voters—like most everyone except Robbie and that Pelosi attacker.
Silver puts the GOP chances of senate control up to 54%
Boom
Quote Tweet
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
·
11m
??? ????: Herschel Walker holds 7 POINT lead over Raphael Warnock in Georgia Senate Race
Herschel Walker (R) 51% (+7)
Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 44%
@EchelonInsights , LVs, 10/31-11/02
https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/GA-Midterm-Poll-Crosstabs.pdf
Remember when the Russian hoaxer attacked. walker daily?
Said he was a bad candidate and all?
DBlaikie: he checks all the boxes almost literally, to include his wife Casey who is a real asset.
An unspoken one is he is a generation younger than Trumo,Biden,schumer,Pelosi, Hillary et al.
I think people will want to move on from them all.
That’s a big boom
and the same poll has the GA gov race at 54/42 – a blowout for Kemp.
And that GA poll asked the horse-race questions on page 33 and 41, after asking a whole bunch of questions including Trump favorability.
Wes, yes, Muslim Americans have voted heavily Democrat since 2004, with the Dearborn vote being the best manifestation of the change. In truth, though, Muslims weren’t giving Republicans big margins prior to 2004, either, except for the 2000 presidential election, when they voted heavily for Bush-Cheney. On an unrelated matter, the Democrats’ VP nominee happened to be a very pro-Israel Orthodox Jew ….
If Tudor Dixon does well among Muslims in Wayne County, for which there is anecdotal evidence, it could be enough to put her over the top in the MI gubernatorial race. Actually, I think that she could win even without overperforming with that segment, but it certainly would make her election easier.
Oh, and DW, yes, Gibbs was one of those “bad candidates” that the Democrats boosted in the primary to defeat a Republican who would have had an easier time winning (Peter Meijer). If Gibbs wins in MI-03 (which was made more Democratic in redistricting, but not Democratic enough to overcome a wave, and where even SUSA has Gibbs up by 3%), it will mean that Michigan will send two black conservative Republicans to Congress next January (John James is a lock to pick up MI-10) and ZERO black Democrats. This will be the first election since *1954* in which Michigan will not send at least one black Democrat to Congress, and this despite having two black-majority (or near majority; blacks certainly are a majority of the Democrat electorate that decides the winner in those two overwhelmingly D districts) congressional districts. I think that, if Dixon wins narrowly, one of the reasons might be decreased black turnout in the Detroit area because the two Democratic nominees in the two black CDs are a Palestinian American and an Indian American instead of an African American.
and with that poll, there’s your answer as to why Biden is campaigning in IL, MD, CA and NM instead of GA.
If that Echelon poll is correct and Walker gets 51%, then we won’t even need to wait for a December 6 runoff.
A little skeptical of that poll simply because Kemp is nowhere near up 12 in any other poll. Most have him up about 7….but even if you go 12 pts -7 pts and it equals a five point Republican skew that would still leave Walker’s lead at 2. That’s more reasonable but that’s plenty. There is no way Walker loses a runoff with a two point lead.
Baris says he should have his Arizona poll out later this evening. Been polling Arizona the last three days. Said this morning that there has been a very large shift to Republicans among independents.
I heard here yesterday that we need to completely abandon suburban white women ”
EML lies as much as Amoral Scumbag.
Sad.
58 – I don’t think that’s what you read….
A strategy built around SWW – without attending to rural and middle class voter – is what was described as a losing strategy. Nobody said not to seek out their votes.”
Of course it wasn’t what he read.
But he should get a room with Amoral Scumbag and they can commiserate with each other about how the R party is catering to undesirables like working class and minorities.
TDS is one heck of a disease.
Phil says:
November 3, 2022 at 11:41 am
58
Nobody is saying that.”
When you have TDS as bad as EML, you lose touch with reality.
A 7 point lead in Georgia?
That is a BOOM.
Bidens insane,bitter speech can be explained perhaps by Democrat acknowledgem of doom approaching.
Remington has Walker up 49-45, and Kemp up by 14.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/ga/georgia-senate-walker-vs-warnock-7329.html
BOOM!
Remington
Oz 47
Fetterman 44
Well educated white women in the suburbs have been trending liberal way before Trump. This trend started to accelerate in the 1990’s. And it is hard to separate it from the fact academia has become almost entirely dominated by liberal agendas. To blame it on Trump and pretend it is a passing phenomenon is pure intellectual dishonesty.
“College Graduates — Women Especially — Have Shifted Away From The GOP
Six in 10 white women with college degrees identify as Democrats or Democratic-leaning, compared to around one-third who identify as Republican or Republican-leaning. That’s up from a nearly even split in the early 1990s. Meanwhile, college-educated men are roughly evenly split, whereas they were strongly Republican in the early 1990s.”
There was a slight reversal of the trend in the 2010 election, and there might be one now driven by specific circumstances (woke education, inflation, etc.).
But long term, the GOP cannot survive as a strictly suburban/rural coalition party. It needs to make inroads into working class, minorities, exurban and even urban voters that used to vote Democratic.
The EMLs and Amoral Scumbags of the world may hate the idea, but there is no escaping the facts.
The GOP strategy should be to get the votes from as many people as possible. I know it is a radical idea.
Boom?
New @trafalgar_group
#COSen #Poll (10/30-11/01) shows incumbent #Bennet holding lead, but gap closing #copol
47.6% @MichaelBennet
46.1% @ODeaForColorado
2.2% @Brian_Peotter
1.1% Other
3.0% Und
Oz takes the lead in the RCP average:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_oz_vs_fetterman-7695.html
The GOP strategy should be to get the votes from as many people as possible. I know it is a radical idea.”
I don’t know about radical, but it is certain simplistic and sophomoric.
Contrary to what you read here, it doesn’t happen by accident.
You need to have an agenda that appeals to enough people that allows you to win. That agenda is going to be more popular with some demographics than others. So be it.
“Trying to get as many votes from as many people”: is not a winning strategy, if it was nobody would ever lose an election.
GOP sits at 52 senators following the strict RCP average, with Bolduc right there back only 0.5 and Masters -2.2
Ralston just threw in the towel in NV. Predictit is over 80 for laxalt.
“Trying to get as many votes from as many people”
How about…Lets stop talking about chemically or surgically castrating little boys, and lets get oil production in the USA moving again to bring down inflation?
#87, yeah Ralston sounds depressed on Twitter.
Oh and hey, everyone. Ready for the red tsunami in 5 days? Let’s go!
These latest polls out of Pa and other states just more living proof of the Fox polls and how ridiculous they are and have been in the past. Remember how in 2018 they had Donnelly up 7 in Indiana? I do. He lost by 5. I could go on and on citing their pathetic historical track record. Funny, the misses always go the same way. Always.
The two pollsters for Fox are a Democratic loon and a “Republican” Never Trumper pollster. This is what passes as a “bipartisan” polling firm these days according to Fox.
How about…Lets stop talking about chemically or surgically castrating little boys, and lets get oil production in the USA moving again to bring down inflation?”
Nah, that is way too specific for Bitter.
Let’s just pander to everyone and see what we get.
Hey Wain, how goes it?
See, the problem with you jason is that you are an absolute f*cking idiot who equates suburbanites with white college-educated soccer moms. You seem too stupid to understand that more than half the country is considered suburbs and that there are more non college educated suburbanites than college educated suburbanites.
Many of the female voters than Trump drove away come from BLUE COLLAR working class suburban families. Now that he’s not on the ticket, they are coming back.
Again, I am capable of acknowledging both Trump’s failures and his succeses. Brainwashed cultists such as yourself are incapable of acknowledging his failures. Trump has a major problem with female voters that other Republicans don’t. He lost the popular vote by 7 million in 2020, a feat last accomplished by Bob Dole 24 years prior. Time to acknowledge Trump’s epic failure and move on to better candidates.
Can’t wait for Dave’s prediction thread.
I am considering sending the winner some Amish scrapple.
Since it will probably be me, I won’t be wasting money on postage.
Incumbent polling – wins/losses going to back to 2010
Below 43: All Lost.
43 – 44.9, 3 Wins and 6 Losses
45 – 46.9, 7 Wins and 3 Losses
47 – 48.9, 13 Wins and 3 Losses
49 or above: All Won.
NV: Cortez-Masto 45.1
GA: Warnock 46.2 (was 45.7)
AZ: Kelly 47.2 (was 47.1)
NH: Hassan 47.3
WA: Murray 49.3
CO: Bennet 49.3
WI: Johnson 49.4 (was 50.0)
IL: Duckworth 49.5
OR: Wyden 51.0
FL: Rubio 51.0
CT: Blumenthal 52.7
NY: Schumer 53.5
#93, everything is good, jason. Been really busy with life etc. as of late. But now geared up for this important election.
#96, we could use another quality WA poll. I’ve been trying not let myself think that’s in range, but wow is Murray in the danger zone!
Again, I am capable of acknowledging both Trump’s failures and his succeses.”
Nah, you are a narrow minded moron elitist with severe TDS, who thinks long term trends should be blamed on Trump.
And have severe reading comprehension to boot.
‘and that there are more non college educated suburbanites than college educated suburbanites”
Zzzzz….
“Well educated white women in the suburbs have been trending liberal way before Trump.”
Get it? Well educated (college graduates). I made clear I was not referring to non-college suburbanites. Non-college suburbanites are exactly the demographic I think the GOP should target.
You are unhinged because you got caught on your biggest lie yet, and several people here called you on it.
“I heard here yesterday that we need to completely abandon suburban white women because their vote can’t help us win”
Where DID you hear that, you lying POS?
All right Wain, welcome back.
90. Hey, Slick! How’s everything up in Massachusetts?
#101, horrible, lol. This state is gonna stay full blown commie, despite the red wave. Diehl has turned out to be a horrendous candidate for governor in particular.
He lost the popular vote by 7 million in 2020,”
Maybe EML should read the Constitution instead of regurgitating one of the Dems favorite talking points.
The election is decided by the EC, I know this might be news to EML. A popular vote election would be conducted entirely differently, the candidates strategies would be different, the campaigns would be markedly different, how money was spent would be entirely different.
Right now, Rs don’t care if they lose CA by 4 million votes, they just can’t lose WI by 20k, GA by 12 k and AZ by 10k.
The election was actually decided by 42k votes in 3 states. It was that close.
Where DID you hear that, you lying POS?
=============================
From you, you dumb f*ck:
Rs can no longer win presidential elections with a suburban vote strategy. Without working class votes in swing states, specifically the rust belt/upper midwest, there is no path for Republicans.
Again, because you are too f*cking stupid to understand that suburbs != white college educated soccer moms. Absolutely the Republican strategy has to be suburbs + rurals (which together comprise 70% of the country) because the 30% that is urban goes Dem by a large margin. Trump pushes away millions of blue collar female voters, the voters you say that we need to win, so why go with this loser who takes millions of votes off the table for Republicans? The only explanation is that you are a brainwashed cultist.
The election was actually decided by 42k votes in 3 states. It was that close.
=============================
And if Trump wasn’t anathema to a large swath of women in this country, we would’ve won in 2020.
I am always right, 1 month ago I said 5 -7 senate seats and 45 plus house seats .Inflation and crime drives voters. No one gives a crap about trans right and unlimited abortions.
Brainwashed cultists such as yourself ”
Deserves a few points, huh, Bitter?
EML should stop digging himself a deeper hole.
jason:
“Rs can no longer win presidential elections with a suburban vote strategy. Without working class votes in swing states, specifically the rust belt/upper midwest, there is no path for Republicans.”
EML:
“I heard here yesterday that we need to completely abandon suburban white women because their vote can’t help us win”
So you either are a real dumbass moron or you can’t read.
Take your pick.
So you refuse to acknowledge that Trump has a female voter problem?
“Trump pushes away millions of blue collar female voters”
You are a pathological liar. Trump INCREASED his margin with white women from 2016 to 2020.
“According to the Pew analysis, Trump won white voters by 12 percentage points, 55 percent to 43 percent, down from 15 points in 2016. Biden narrowed Trump’s margin among white men — from 30 points in 2016, to 17 points in 2020 — but Trump won white women by a larger spread (7 points) than he won them in 2016 (2 points).”
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/30/new-trump-poll-women-hispanic-voters-497199
Even the New Yorker calls EML a liar.
https://www.thecut.com/2020/11/many-white-women-still-voted-for-trump-in-2020.html
Trump didn’t lose because of white women.
He lost due to minute changes in the distribution of his votes (won FL by a larger margin, lost WI because of slightly lower margin) and mainly because he lost white men, not women.
Trump lost female voters by 15 points in 2020 and by a whopping 23 points in Virginia, where Youngkin lost them by only 7 points.
So you refuse to acknowledge that Trump has a female voter problem?
REPUBLICANS have a problem with women, or vice versa.
Women have been voting more Dem than men for decades.
Long before Trump.
but Trump won white women by a larger spread (7 points) than he won them in 2016 (2 points)”
Not that easy to understand.
VA is straw argument. Trump didn’t win VA in 2016 OR in 2020, so VA is not why he lost.
But of course, you know that.
Huh, not that hard to understand.
I live in the textbook definition of suburbia. My county and my voting block has voted for every Republican president since Lincoln except 1964. In 2016, Trump won my voting block by 13.6 points (888 for Trump, 663 for Hillary and 103 for other). In 2020, Trump LOST my voting block by 0.3, the second Republican nominee to ever do so (907 Biden, 900 Trump, 46 other). And it’s because women came out of the woodwork to vote against Trump.
I propose a truce.
I admit Trump is unpopular with many college educated women in the suburbs and you admit Rs need a strategy that goes way beyond college educated suburbanites to include working class people and minorities both in and out of suburbs.
Deal?
I live in the textbook definition of suburbia.”
Since I proposed a truce, I will leave this teed up ball and not swing at it.
REPUBLICANS have a problem with women, or vice versa.
============================
But Trump has far more of a women voter problem. Are you so brainwashed that you can’t admit that?
Trump lost women in Virginia by 23 points while Youngkin only lost by 7. Young single urban females vote Democrat by a wide margin. They are not our target. We are after the suburban and married vote. Trump repels this demographic, the very demographic you say that we need to win. Why would you want to nominate the guy who repels the voters that you yourself say we need to win?
Interesting comment at Predictit regarding NV, and somewhat germane to this conversation.
“Who would’ve those thought pandering to suburban white women and post grads wouldn’t work in a state with very few suburban white women and post grads?”
Republicans at some point will need a strategy for winning the college educated vote. Percentage of the population that never attended college:
65+: 47%
50-64: 41%
35-49: 35%
25-34: 34%
As the older generation dies off, the country becomes more and more college educated.
Wain, that’s why I moved to North Carolina 16 years ago.
I know it looks like I wrote this but I didn’t.
“Losing a state like Nevada is a sign that Dems once formidable multi-ethnic working class base is collapsing. Considering Hispanics are a rapidly growing demographic and college educated white people are a shrinking demographic I’m more then ok with this trade.”
As the older generation dies off, the country becomes more and more college educated.”
Yes, but more diverse college educated also.
I heard from the HAGs here that the only Republican Hispanics will vote for is Trump because of the machismo.
They are also moving out of suburbs. Some returning to inner cities that have been gentrified. Others to exurbs and even rural areas.
Trump,and 2024 from kac
https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1588228184746631168?cxt=HHwWgICx4dDHwoosAAAA
The favorable trend for Hispanics in the GOP can be sustained post-Trump but it won’t be by accident and it won’t be by running against Trump.
DeSantis might win Dade county. That would be momentous. Yes, Dade Hispanics have a lot more Cubans and Venezuelans who are anti-communist than other Hispanic areas that are primarily Mexican/Central America/Puerto Rican but still he can use it as evidence he can attract Hispanics.
Rs have an opportunity to build on what Trump has brought to the table. But it won’t happen with TDS and scurrilous attacks on Trump.
? NORTH CAROLINA POLL By Emerson
SEN
(R) Ted Budd 51% (+5)
(D) Cheri Beasley 46%
PRES
(R) Donald Trump 51% (+11)
(D) Joe Biden 40%
Therein lies the problem in “moving on” from Trump, or worse, Trump’s policies. Anyone think DeSantis would be ahead by 11 in NC?
I keep reading here how unpopular Trump is…. but again, it is TDS speaking.
You will find those Same results as trump now leads in Michigan.
This is per Baris.
He has large leads in pa, Ohio, Georgia, etc.
Many States thaf past Rs had trouble winning,
Kac says that many of the Rs doing well are running on America First. This is Trumps agenda.
In 2024 yes,DeSantis will do better in NC,when he campaigns there. BTW,what Trumpian America First policy would DeSantis not support( if more Coventry and effectively)?
Can anyone name one?
As a founding member of the GOP Freedom Caucu,DeSantis was Trumpian before there was a Trump.
I see no ideological divide,but a dramatic age and style divide.
I supported Trump as president because of his policies,and if thought DeSantis would go in a different direction ( establishment) I wouldn’t. He won’t, but will before effective at it.
Yep, running against Trump as a way to win elections is a certain loser.
But TDS is a horrible disease, it creates this blind hatred that overcomes all rational thought.
DeSantis was Trumpian before there was a Trump”
Zzzzzz…..
What a crock of horsecrap.
Not Coventry. Jeez convincingly.As someone said,DeSantis is a much younger,more disciplined,smarter Trump.There is no policy divide
In 2024 yes,DeSantis will do better in NC,when he campaigns there.”
LOL.
I hope this is a better prediction than the Russians will NEVER invade Ukraine.
Reminder: Just like Robbie, jason never liked the GOP House Freedom Caucus.
Trump or DeSantis are both great candidates. Hopefully, they won’t take each other out.
As someone said,DeSantis is a much younger,more disciplined,smarter Trump.”
Funny, the Trump hating morons want DeSantis to be like Trump.
You can’t make this sh-t up.
Reminder: Just like Robbie, jason never liked the GOP House Freedom Caucus.”
I guess this is like saying “just like Hitler, jason likes German shepherds”
Inside Elections with their first House update since October 21. Admits there is an impending red wave, but it still the least R friendly handicapper.
CA-26 Safe D -> Likely D
NJ-03 Safe D -> Likely D
NY-25 Safe D -> Likely D
PA-12 Safe D -> Likely D
CA-47 Lean D -> Tilt D
CA-49 Lean D -> Tilt D
IL-13 Lean D -> Tilt D
NY-04 Lean D -> Tilt D
OR-04 Lean D -> Tilt D
CT-05 Lean D -> Tossup
CA-13 Tilt D -> Tossup
IL-17 Tilt D -> Tossup
NY-17 Tilt D -> Tossup
RI-02 Tilt D -> Tossup
TX-34 Tilt D -> Tossup
IA-03 Tossup -> Tilt R
OR-05 Tossup -> Tilt R
VA-02 Tossup -> Tilt R
CO-08 Tossup -> Lean R
NY-01 Tilt R -> Lean R
AK-AL Tilt D -> Lean D
FL-13 Likely R -> Lean R
Shipwreckedcrew.substack.com
@shipwreckedcrew
·
1h
In 22 years as a prosecutor I know the reasons that I had for not calling witnesses during trial when others expected me to do so.
I can assure you I never left a witness in the witness room who would have made my case stronger.
Quote Tweet
Shipwreckedcrew.substack.com
@shipwreckedcrew
·
1h
The Gov. had 3 cooperating defendants who pled guilty to seditious conspiracy. Their plea deals require them to testify in trial. They claimed in their pleas there was a conspiracy to use force to keep Joe Biden from becoming President.
The Govt DID NOT call them as witnesses.
DeSantis was advocating Trump policies in Congress before Trump was anything but a real estate Developer and TV personality.
Where do you see any ideological differences?? How about naming a few?
I thought you posted a reply that you weren’t supporting Trump for the nomination?? Isn’t that true?
If not Trump or DeSantis who? Or are just in your arguing for arguing mode?
The great difference in their Florida margins is going to be a shot heard round the political world I suspect.
And darn,I for once would like the GOP candidate to be the smartest guy on the block.
DeSantis will be; by the way even the lefties can’t argue about graduating cum Lauderdale from Yale and Harvard Law school
“graduating cum Lauderdale”
-Is this a Spring Break award?
https://nypost.com/2022/11/01/buffalo-mother-blames-kathy-hochul-bail-reform-for-daughters-murder/
#Final
@RemingtonPolls
:
#NCSen:
Budd (R) 50%
Beasley (D) 43%
#GASen:
Walker (R) 49%
Warnock (D-Inc) 45%
#PASen:
Oz (R) 47%
Fetterman (D) 44%
#OHSen:
Vance (R) 48%
Ryan (D) 43%
#AZSen:
Kelly (D-Inc) 48%
Masters (R) 47%
#AZGov:
Lake (R) 49%
Hobbs (D) 46%
cum Lauderdale
=================
That’s what tgca calls his house.
Shepardly Smith is canned
The Maga candidates in the Remington poll are all bad candidates.
-Russian hoaxer
Aka mega/Maga Red.
Disclose.tv
@disclosetv
NEW – Blood moon lunar eclipse to rise on Election Day over the United States — the last total lunar eclipse the Earth will see for the next three years.
Not sure who is in more need of a nice massage, Wes or jason…….lot of anger and jealousy wrapped up in those 2.
“That’s what tgca calls his house.”
-This should be worth about 200 long replies!
I thought you posted a reply that you weren’t supporting Trump for the nomination?? Isn’t that true?”
I said I think DeSantis should be the face of the R party going forward rather than Trump. That is why I prefer Trump not to run and DeSantis be the nominee.
I said I don’t think it will serve the party to have a Trump/DeSantis confrontation, which could damage both of them, especially (and more importantly) DeSantis. IF there is such a confrontation, I would probably support the one that polls best against the Dems.
I said I don’t think DeSantis (yet) has shown he can attract the same winning coalition Trump did because I don’t see him as being as competitive with working class voters in the all important rust belt/upper midwest states, specifically OH, PA, MI, WI and MN. This is my main reservation about DeSantis.
Hope it is clear now.
GFY.
Anger?
You must be joking.
I polished off two delicious 8oz medium rare lamburgers with extra sharp cheddar, pickles, and mustard (no green sh-t) with a Troegs Perpetual IPA for lunch.
Feel mellow as a purring kitten.
I didn’t even call the suicide hotline when NYC compared me to Amoral Scumbag.
EML says:
November 3, 2022 at 3:13 pm
cum Lauderdale
=================
That’s what tgca calls his house.”
Funny.
I guess NYC is right. I am jealous I didn’t think of it first.
I believe Trump should be rewarded for the unmasking of all the leftists in media, academia, the administrative state and most importantly, both the Democratic and Republican parties.
Does that mean he should be the 2024 nominee? Not necessarily.
“Troegs Perpetual IPA”
___________
That’s the most blatant case of false advertising since the movie “The NeverEnding Story.”
“NYC is right.”
I will stay out of the EML-Jason fight. However, to be accurate, the term Soccer Mom is very dated. Most are Lacrosse Moms now.
Bitterlaw,
Mob Museum – did you go?
Ma, have you heard of the Wine Sipping Moms?
NYCmike says:
November 3, 2022 at 3:44 pm
“NYC is right.”
Context rules.
I believe Trump should be rewarded for the unmasking of all the leftists in media, academia, the administrative state and most importantly, both the Democratic and Republican parties.”
Yes. And for energy independence. Conservative judges. Employment. Deregulation. Lower taxes. Strong military. Border security (at least for effort). Opportunities for minorities.
Meldrim says:
November 3, 2022 at 3:43 pm
“Troegs Perpetual IPA”
___________
That’s the most blatant case of false advertising since the movie “The NeverEnding Story.”
Ok, I give up. What is false about it
#164 – Well said!
“Context rules.”
-I am the head editor for my HHR page.
I R U L E.
Who needs them? Let’s go for the Wine Sipping Moms as the future of the party.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/11/hispanic-voters-fleeing-democratic-party/671851/
I am the head editor for my HHR page”
Lucky bastard.
He has it all for himself, no other readers.
Unless you can continue to drink that IPA without the bottle ever emptying, it certainly is not “perpetual.” : p
“Hence the second irony: The very thing that breathed life into the Democratic Party 20 years ago—the focus on identity and inclusion—is making it more popular with white voters, and less popular with Hispanic voters. (This is what far-right fear merchants like Tucker Carlson fail to grasp: The immigrants demonized by his “Great Replacement” rhetoric are now, in some respects, likelier to vote Republican than the people they are supposedly replacing.)”
-looks like the author of that article is another person who has bad comprehension skills when it comes to watching Tucker Carlson.
Unless you can continue to drink that IPA without the bottle ever emptying, it certainly is not “perpetual.
Ahhh… got it.
looks like the author of that article is another person who has bad comprehension skills when it comes to watching Tucker Carlson.”
Its the Atlantic, a far left rag. They are not happy about what they are writing about.
But if they are saying Tucker is a moron, hey, they can’t always be wrong.
EML hardest hit.
“María-Elena López, who held a variety of positions under [Juan] Cuba in [Miami-Dade] county party, saw this shift taking place in real time. She believes that there is no real mystery to it: While Trump successfully portrayed himself as a populist achieving hard-won economic growth—signing tax cuts into law, touting a record-shattering stock market, boasting the lowest Hispanic unemployment rate in history—Democrats came across as a bunch of out-of-touch idealogues. Promises of shared social progress, she told me, offend the sensibilities of many first- and second-generation immigrants who hate the idea of government handouts.
“We’re not a political party, we’re a charity. And you know what? These people don’t want charity,” López said. “These immigrants come here to make money and keep their families safe. They are not here because the sea levels are rising, or because of social justice, or anything else. We’re out there talking about racism and the Green New Deal and defunding the police, and we’re freaking them out.”
Seen at Predictit
“Things going for Walker
– All fundamentals including right track wrong track, Biden’s approval, midterm patterns
– Generic ballot (Minimum 7% to the right of 2020 when Biden won by a single suitcase of ballots under a clothed table)
– Chuck Schumer saying it’s going downhill in GA
– Early vote black share
Things going for Warnock
– Survey USA and the New York Times”
Survey USA showing Warnock +6
The only problem is a couple weeks ago it was +12
The trend is not your friend
Silverhack moves Senate to 55/45 “slightly favored”
Laxalt 59/41
Walker 58/42
Masters 35/65
Oz 43/53
Bolduc 27/73
O’Dea 9/91
Oz 47/53
He had Oz at 19/81 just a couple weeks ago. Masters at 17/83.
“These people don’t want charity,” López said. “These [Latino] immigrants come here to make money and keep their families safe.”
_____________
Phil hit just as hard as EML. Or will he now admit that he was wrong to state unequivocally that Latino immigration is a ticking demographic timebomb that surely will lead to total dominance by the Handouts Party?
177 – if all his predictions in those races are correct, I believe the Senate is 50/50. If so, is he saying that there is a 55% chance of one of Masters, Oz, Bolduc or O’Dea winning (and a 55% chance of him being a moron)?
To state the obvious, Nate Silver is a Dem hack. I would place the odds of winning at 90-10 for Laxalt, 80-20 for Walker (and maybe 50-50 for an outright win without a runoff), 60-40 for Oz, 54-46 for Masters, 53-47 for Bolduc, and 30-70 for O’Dea. And I don’t know what odds Silver gives to Smiley, but I would put her at 38-62 or so.
The demographic time bomb is to believe the R party can survive on a coalition of suburban college whites and rural whites.
No, Chicon, if Silver’s odds are correct, it would be a 51R U.S. Senate (with Fetterman picking up Toomey’s PA seat, but Laxalt and Walker picking up D seats).
177 – if all his predictions in those races are correct, I believe the Senate is 50/50.”
No, it’s 51-49. Oz is a hold not a pickup.
So if only Walker and Laxalt win, that is +1 for Rs.
To get to 54 Rs have to win all five of Laxalt, Oz, Walker, Masters and Bolduc.
EML hardest hit.
=============================
Not sure how. I’ve been saying it for ages. Hispanics aren’t abandoning the Democratic Party. The Democratic Party has abandoned them.
“The demographic time bomb is to believe the R party can survive on a coalition of suburban college whites and rural whites.”
__________
That goes without saying. But it still would be foolish not to try to hold as many suburban white Anglos as possible without sacrificing rural, blue-collar urban, Hispanic, Asian and black voters. Fortunately, there are many issues that cut across these demographic lines and can lead to the GOP winning a majority of the electorate in battleground states for years to come. The trick is not to paint any demographic group with a wide brush and ignore them (or, even worse, insult them); getting 35% of suburban Jews is far better than getting only 20% of them. Saying “we’ll never get those votes” is a surefire self-fulfilling prophecy.
BOOM!
Bolduc takes lead in RCP average!!
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/nh/new-hampshire-senate-bolduc-vs-hassan-7379.html
“To get to 54 Rs have to win all five of Laxalt, Oz, Walker, Masters and Bolduc.”
______________
Yup. And that was my exact prediction in a pool that I filled out 9 days ago (where I predicted that Smiley and O’Dea would fall short). I also predicted 33 R governorships and 248 Rs in the House.
Incumbent polling – wins/losses going to back to 2010
Below 43: All Lost.
43 – 44.9, 3 Wins and 6 Losses
45 – 46.9, 7 Wins and 3 Losses
47 – 48.9, 13 Wins and 3 Losses
49 or above: All Won.
NV: Cortez-Masto 45.1
GA: Warnock 46.6 (was 46.2)
NH: Hassan 47.0 (was 47.3)
AZ: Kelly 48.4 (was 47.2)
WA: Murray 49.3
CO: Bennet 49.3
WI: Johnson 49.4
IL: Duckworth 49.5
OR: Wyden 51.0
FL: Rubio 51.0
CT: Blumenthal 52.7
NY: Schumer 53.5
Quote Tweet
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
15m
Arizona Governor:
Lake (R) 51% (+3)
Hobbs (D) 48%
.
Arizona Senate:
Kelly (D-inc) 48%
Masters (R) 48%
Victor (L) 2%
.@InsiderPolling/@FOX10Phoenix, 550 LV, 11/2
Baris tweet:
Biden is heading to New Mexico and seriously there are some who consider themselves professionals who think that is normal.
#189, a couple of days ago, Gov. Chris Sununu–who opposed Bolduc in the primary, favoring Morse (as did I)–was asked by some MSM guy about the “election deniers” running for the GOP, and he said words to the effect of “you really are living in a bubble in Washington, thinking that voters care about that media-created issue; they care about real issues like the increased cost of getting food on the table and gas in their car, and that’s why they’re going to fire Maggie Hassan on Election Day.” Not bad for a “RINO”!
NYC – I could not fit it in. I hear it is a very interesting museum.
I don’t know which trash from the view said this.
Clay Travis
@ClayTravis
White women voting for Republicans are like roaches voting for raid. If a host said this about anyone other than white people they’d be immediately fired.
https://twitter.com/ClayTravis/status/1588229763491135494?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
I wonder if this kind of speech incites violence. Probably not since it’s a liberal saying it:
https://www.mediaite.com/tv/michael-beschloss-says-gop-victory-in-midterms-will-mean-our-children-will-be-arrested-and-conceivably-killed/
Quote Tweet
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
·
1h
Michigan House District 7 General Poll
Tom Barrett (R): 48.4% (+0.9)
Elissa Slotkin (D-inc): 47.5%
Mitchell Research | 11/02 | 402 LV
…https://mirs-uploads.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/4605-Mitchell%20-%20MIRS%20Press%20Release%20CD%207%20Poll%2011-3-22_.pdf
Sonny Hoskin said it.
While Oz has caught up to Fetterman, Mastriano is down 14 (38-52) in a new poll. I’m not sure Stein is posting that big a lead, but I certainly won’t be surprised if PA-Gov is called for Shapiro immediately upon poll closing.
But it still would be foolish not to try to hold as many suburban white Anglos as possible without sacrificing rural, blue-collar urban, Hispanic, Asian and black voters.”
Of course. You need policies that appeal to college educated suburbanites too. There are a lot of them. But there has to be a direction, a focus, a base. The groups you are mentioning can vote GOP, but not as some accessory to a college educated suburban strategy. The GOP has to appeal to these groups long term. It can’t be a trickle down effort.
Note to Republicans:
Nominating someone who calls himself a Christian nationalist is going to be a bad idea in Alabama. It’s a recipe for absolute disaster in a less conservative state like Pennsylvania.
Saying “we’ll never get those votes” is a surefire self-fulfilling prophecy”
No one said that. Just like no one said
“I heard here yesterday that we need to completely abandon suburban white women because their vote can’t help us win”
I think Mastriano gets at least 45%.
If I am wrong I will gladly admit it.
jason, of course he will. Rural PA will have HUGE turnout for him.
and he said words to the effect of “you really are living in a bubble in Washington, thinking that voters care about that media-created issue; they care about real issues like the increased cost of getting food on the table and gas in their car, and that’s why they’re going to fire Maggie Hassan on Election Day.” Not bad for a “RINO””
It was better than that.
He also said if the Dems are so worried about electing an “election denier” why was Schumer funding one?
A 38-52 poll is garbage, just designed to depress R turnout.
This trash is wrong on every level. And he won’t support his fellow senator who will defeat the drat plant/cia.
Mitt Romney
@MittRomney
·
10m
The person most responsible for Senate GOP momentum and likely majority: Mitch McConnell. He personally raised the hundreds of millions (!) that evaporated the Dem lead in the swing states. Speaks softly, carries a big stick.
That’s possible simply because of the environment, Jason, but I wouldn’t bet on it. Mastriano is scarcely even campaigning at this point. Ironically that’s helping Oz because he doesn’t have to go on the defensive about Mastriano.
At this point, I’m saying Shapiro wins by a minimum of 10. This was a huge missed opportunity for the PAGOP.
Here is one guys opinion on pa
https://twitter.com/Athan_K/status/1588274017282056192
Oh no.
Breaking911
@Breaking911
·
1h
Embedded video
0:33
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says Elon Musk is sabotaging her Twitter account
#208 – as an incumbent, Romney must be protected at all costs!!
Hopefully, Mike Lee is planning a nominating convention of some sort for Mitt-ens………time to eat, fishies!
“David DePape, the man accused of violently attacking Paul Pelosi last week, was in the United States illegally and may face deportation, the Department of Homeland Security said late Wednesday.”
So Nancy Pelosi was going to be attacked by an illegal immigrant? This does not fit into the Democrats crazed MAGA supporter narrative. How about an enforce immigration laws argument instead.
With Bolduc taking the lead on RCP, I would actually be somewhat surprised if he lost.
Going forward, Mikey will post strictly in Italian while wearing a black shirt for those who still don’t understand his political views.
Unfortunately, every GOP candidate are running for the nomination had a realistic chance to beat Shapiro except for Mastriano. None of them was a Never Trumper or trashing him. Mastriano had a dedicated base of Trump supporters and that was enough in a divided field.
I expect that Mastriano will have a huge turnout by percentage of rural voters but there are fewer rural voters spread throughout the state. I hope he wins but I doubt he will. Mastriano is not on tv here. Maybe he runs ads in Jason’s area.
Fetterman is running ads linking Oz to Mastriano. Ironically, that may get some more Mastriano voters to support Oz.
That was very funny, but just so wrong, Wes, aka Bolduc’s Biggest Supporter.
Republicans have a better shot at winning NY-Gov than PA-Gov. Who would’ve thunk.
Nate Silver now in damage control mode.
“FiveThirtyEight
With just five days until Election Day, Republicans are in good shape in the FiveThirtyEight forecast. But those forecasted gains would be modest by the standards of midterm elections.”
Nate Silver now in damage control mode.
“FiveThirtyEight
With just five days until Election Day, Republicans are in good shape in the FiveThirtyEight forecast. But those forecasted gains would be modest by the standards of midterm elections.”
====================================
Well just look at their House forecast page. The first thing they lead off with is Democrats keeping control of the House due to abortion.
“Under Republicans not another penny will go to Ukraine.”-Marjorie Taylor Greene in Iowa today.
Does she speak for Republicans or just empty rhetoric?
221 – yes.
“The FBI have launched an investigation after a gunman shot into the North Carolina home of relatives of a Republican running for Congress – with the bullet landing just feet away from where the candidate’s children had been sleeping.
The shooting transpired on October 18 in Hickory at the home of former Green Beret Pat Harrigan’s parents, amid his run for North Carolina’s 14th Congressional District against Democrat Jeff Jackson in a somewhat contentious race.”
Cow, could you please post the link to that article from which you quoted regarding the shooting at the home at which the children of the NC-14 GOP congressional nominee had been sleeping? I would like to send it to a friend who lives in NC. Thank you.
221. Just empty rhetoric. She is a total ding-dong.
That shooting from the 18th is nowhere on local news. It’s ridiculous the lack of coverage on non-leftist narrative news stories.
Been doing a little research on Biden
appointees.
***********************************************
Accd. to Gallop polls:
“Currently, 7.1% of U.S. adults identify as LGBT, up from 5.6% in 2020, 4.5% in 2017 and 4.1% in 2016. Between 2012 and 2015, the range was 3.5% to 3.9%”
Interesting that the U.S. has gone from
3.5% in 2012 to 7.1% in 2022, but that is another story…
Biden himself claims that nearly 14% of his 1500 appointees are LGBTQ
(not that there is anything wrong with that, Cow adds parenthetically)
*************************************
So, LBGTQ are overrepresented in Biden admin.!
“WASHINGTON, June 1 (Reuters) – Nearly 14% of U.S. President Joe Biden’s 1,500 federal agency appointees identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and queer, he said on Tuesday in a proclamation marking the start of Pride Month celebrating the LGBTQ community.”
His LGBTQ appts. include:
–Sec. of Transportation
–Asst. Sec. of Health
–White House Social Secretary
–White House Press Secretary
–Assistant White House Press Secretary
–White House Communication Director
–White House Deputy Counsel
–Deputy Director of Presidential Personnel Office
*******************************************
Plus, Biden has appointed a large number and high percentage of AAs.
AAs:
–comprise 13.4% of the U.S. population
–comprise 12.5% of votes cast
–made up 22% of Biden’s 2020 GE voters
–make up 13.3% of Cabinet Secretaries
–make up 24% of Biden’s full cabinet (6 of 25)
–make up 18% of Biden’s agency appointments
Key AA’s in Biden administration:
–VP: Kameltoe Harris
–U.S. Ambassador to U.N.: Linda Thomas-Greenfield
–Defense Sec: Lloyd Austin
–EPA Head: Michal Regan (also identifies LBGTQ)
–Chief, Counsel of Economic Advisors: Cecilia Rouse
–Director of U.S. Census Bureau
–Deputy Dir. National Intelligence
–Deputy Sec. of Agriculture
–Deputy Sec. of Commerce
–Deputy Sec. of HUD
–Deputy Sec. of Veterans Affairs
_______________________________________________
Some of the LBGTQ appts. were also AA individuals, and many were also women.
Many of the AA appts. were also women.
**********************************************
I was going to devise a system so you could cross identify each, but it ended up hurting my head to cross identify the LGBTQs, AAs and women.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/milwaukee-election-official-fired-fraudulent-request-military-ballots
224.
Meldrim,
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11387801/Shots-fired-Republican-candidate-Pat-Harrigans-North-Carolina-home.html
Jason Calvi
@JasonCalvi
“Last week,
@RepJanel
Brandtjen shared this photo of military ballots delivered to her home with apparently fake names. “I believe someone was trying to point out how easy it is to get military ballots in Wisconsin. Registration for military ballots is not required…”
The NC shooting story is up on DRUDGE.
Why aren’t military ballots registered?
Moooochas gracias, Cow.
Phillies fans were just chanting “Let’s go, Brandon.”
But then Phillies Outfielder Brandon Marsh struck out.
https://hotair.com/david-strom/2022/11/03/historian-america-is-about-to-die-in-darkness-n507939
-Is Robbie’s real name Michael Beschloss?
So the final frustrating insult to our intelligence will be a slew of Marist polls at midnight. My final prediction is 53 senate seats. Min 52 max 54. 250 plus house seats. Too bad the gop played defense in a wave year or we could have done better. Vance was never going to lose Ohio. I could go on. Ugh
It’s so hard to stomach losing the close ones cause it’s a 6 year seat. On the other hand, perhaps the guillotine comes back. Let them eat cake!
https://fb.watch/gAcTPX1FHB/
Bias in the MSM?
I am shocked!
Almost forgot to post this:
HEADLINES TODAY
MSN
11 anti Trum, anti GOP
(still committed to their double digits worth of anti R headlines)
AOL
6 anti Trump, anti GOP
(AOL saying they do not want to be embarrassed come election day)
“A federal immigration official tells 12News the suspect who allegedly broke into the campaign headquarters of Democrat gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs last week does not have legal status to be in the United States.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, 36-year-old Daniel Mota Dos Reis is a citizen of Portugal who arrived in the United States as a registered student in 2018 and is now violating “the terms of his admission.”
RedState
-Is Robbie’s real name Michael Beschloss?”
This guy actually said your kids will die if Rs win.
I am sure Amoral Scumbag will be spinning this too…
“Biden allies are preparing to spin even a defeat as a win for the president, since President Barack Obama lost 63 seats in 2010 and President Donald Trump lost 40 in 2018, and Biden is not expected lose as many. But because Biden began his presidency with a much smaller majority than his predecessors, even modest losses could leave Democrats with fewer seats than the 193 they had in 2011.”
Biden: yeah, we only lost 30 seats instead of 63, therefore, I saved democracy. Big win.
Biden allies are preparing to spin even a defeat as a win for the president, since President Barack Obama lost 63 seats in 2010 and President Donald Trump lost 40 in 2018, and Biden is not expected lose as many.
Whoops….
Of course, in 2010, Republicans started at 180 instead of 210 so there was room to grow 63 seats….but you know Biden. Will always spew BS. It’s what he does.
DW- The Astros recovered just fine after losing the first game. They won the series tonight although they have to wait until Game 6 on Saturday to officially win it.
Throwing in the towel on the poor Phillies?
It’s not over till its over.
I guess the Astros won tonight.
In seven key Senate races with Trump-endorsed GOP nominees–GA, PA, NC, WI, OH, NV and NH–Mitch McConnel’s three Super PACs have spent $238M. To putvthat number in persoective, it is *16 times* as much as Donald Trump’s Super PAC has spent in those races. https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/mcconnells-pacs-spend-millions-to-bail-out-trumps-candidates/?utm_source=blog-landing&utm_medium=mobile&utm_campaign=continue-reading
It seems to me that McConnell is doing more that his share in trying to recapture the U.S. Senate.
Meldrim -save your efforts. Tina, Phil, Jan, NYC and probably Tgca will never except anything other than McConnell being the Devil.
I wouldn’t count the Phillies out, bitter. Astros went back to Houston with a 3-2 lead a couple of World Series ago. Astros blew the two games in Houston and lost the series. Phillies have been a really good comeback team. They don’t give up.
Oz up 48/46 according to Trafalgar
I just love the Dems’ newly minted campaign strategy:
If you exercise your right to vote for people besides us, democracy may die.
Such a positive agenda, I tell you.
Not may die, Wes. Will die.
NPR/ Marist releases three rescue polls in the middle of the night. Among Likely Voters,it finds:
GA-Ties
PA- Fetterwoman +6
AZ- Kelly +3
The folks at http://www.predictit.com and Red Racing Horses are ripping them!
Marist drops their polls and on predictit it’s met with lots of rhetoric but no change in the odds. Perhaps purposely biased polling will eventually be completely ignored
The Woke Commie Dems have crossed the Rubicon. They are not going to self reflect after this a**kicking next Tuesday and will double down and continue to push their craziness. The only reflection will be how can we lie and deceive to influence low information voters. The DOJ is now floating in the media a special counsel for Trump…I still think they will indict him and others as well. All this talk of impeachment of Garland is that… all talk. It will never happen in the Senate. So I am confident he will be continue to be used to attack political opponents and make life as miserable for Trump as possible after the election and totally get away with it.
The Marist polls, given their slant, have admitted Walker wins easily, Masters wins fairly easily and Oz wins by about two.
So, Oprah has unsurprisingly endorsed Fetterwoman. Color me shocked….
Kari Lake
@KariLake
·
12h
Governor candidate, AZ
? BOMBSHELL ?
@KatieHobbs is an avid supporter of gender reassignment surgery on children in Arizona.
Now we know why: Her husband profits off it as a therapist “treating” minors who want to transition.
Horrific.
Kari Lake = Viper.
New thread.