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    Marist: Fetterman leads By 6% in PA, Kelly Leads By 3% in AZ, Race Tied in GA

    If believe Marist College this morning, Democrats may be on the verge of at least gaining one seat in the state of Pennsylvania while keeping their seats in both Georgia and Arizona.

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (Marist)
    Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 48%
    Herschel Walker (R) 48%

    US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA (Marist)
    John Fetterman (D) 51%
    Mehmet Oz (R) 45%

    US SENATE – ARIZONA (Marist)
    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 50%
    Blake Masters (R) 47%

    These polls were done October 31-November 2 and the numbers above represent the race among “definite” voters. The races shift more Democratic among all registered voters. One thing I am noticing that will be an interesting discussion after the election when reviewing a site like 538. It is becoming noticeably that the pollster with A+, A and A- ratings in their analysis are much more Democratic leaning in general while pollsters with B and lower ratings tend to be more Republican leaning. Depending on how things turn out on Tuesday will go a long way to determining how valid these grades 538 applies really are.

    Posted by Dave at 8:08 am
    Filed under: General | Comments (634)

    634 Responses to “Marist: Fetterman leads By 6% in PA, Kelly Leads By 3% in AZ, Race Tied in GA”

    1. EML says:

      Foist

    2. EML says:

      Republicans continue to add to their early voting lead in Florida. Yesterday it was R+6.1, today it is R+6.7.

      Florida early voting stats

      2018
      D 40.5%
      R 39.9%
      NPA/O 19.6%

      2020
      D 39.1%
      R 37.7%
      NPA/O 23.2%

      2022
      D 37.0%
      R 43.7%
      NPA/O 19.3%

    3. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Mr. Wissing, you may have overlooked this poll released last night:

      Trafalgar PA Senate poll: 11/01/22 – 11/03/22, 1097 LV, MOE 2.9%

      Oz – 47.7%
      Fetterman – 45.5%
      Other – 3%
      Undecided – 3.7%

      https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/TRF-PA-General-1103-Poll-Report.pdf

    4. Phil says:

      Florida is a bloodbath. No drama at all. DeSantis and Rubio romp and carry Dade. All the House races are done. With redistricting there are no swing districts anywhere on the ballot in Florida.

    5. Tina says:

      Those Marxist polls were done in late august and early September? Is that true or a typo? If true, why are they even cited as they are now quite dated?

      Is this the Muh bad news for the Rs, just like the compost claims thst the #1 issue is “political violence” (Rs against Ds)?

    6. DW says:

      Kari Lake
      @KariLake
      ·
      12h

      Governor candidate, AZ
      ? BOMBSHELL ?

      @KatieHobbs is an avid supporter of gender reassignment surgery on children in Arizona.

      Now we know why: Her husband profits off it as a therapist “treating” minors who want to transition.

      Horrific.

    7. Phil says:

      Typo, Tina.

    8. DW says:

      Trip down memory lane with Marist, 538’s A rated pollster:

      Florida 2018

      Nelson +5 over Scott 50/45.
      Actual results Scott won 50.05 to 49.93

      Gillum over DeSantis 50/46
      Actual results DeSantis won 49.6 to 49.2

    9. Tina says:

      Thanks Phil.

    10. Chicon says:

      DW – Kari Lake is a viper.

    11. DW says:

      No drama in Florida? What about Florida 09 and 23? These seats went Biden +17.6 and +14.1

      And then Florida 22 went Biden 18.1

      These are reachable, no?

    12. Bitterlaw says:

      Fetterman now running ads that say Oz should not be a Senator OR permitted to practice medicine.

    13. DW says:

      Phil, nothing from Baris on AZ?

      I like Baris and all–I think he’s great, but he does a terrible job managing his own outfit. He says a poll is going to drop after teasing results in advance, then its late to be reported, and then he doesn’t store the results of his work in any place easy to find.

    14. Phil says:

      Nothing yet, DW. I don’t know what the holdup is. Same with his Georgia poll which is completed. All he says is Walker is up. That’s it.

      I agree with you 100%. He has no central location for poll storage. Since his polls aren’t currently posted on 538 or RCP, you have to keep checking his Twitter or locals site or watch his podcasts. Very frustrating.

      His inside the numbers podcast is today at noon Eastern Time so I suppose he no doubt will go over the Arizona Poll then. Again, frustrating.

    15. DW says:

      So Silver decides to help out the cause by only posting Marist’s registered voter samples, and not the likely voter sample. This way he gets to show Kelly +4 and Warnock +4

    16. DW says:

      BOOM

      RCP moves Colorado Senate race to a tossup.

    17. Cash Cow TM says:

      HEADLINES TODAY

      MSN
      Out of 30 Headlines:
      12 Anti-Trump, Anti GOP headlines

      12 of 30

      AOL
      Out of 60 Headlines:
      6 Anti-Trump, Anti GOP Headlines

      6 of 60
      ***********************************
      Nuff said.

    18. DW says:

      I cannot figure why RCP doesn’t move Ron Johnson to Lean R. They have to be afraid of fraud in Milwaukee, that’s the only explanation.

      Johnson has not trailed in a poll since 9/15, is up 3.2 in the average, gets the checkmark from Marquette, Siena (D), Emerson, Fox News (D), Data for Progress (D), CNN (D), CBS/YouGov (D), Trafalgar and Fabrizio/Anzalone.

      If that doesn’t look like Lean R, I don’t know what would.

    19. Cash Cow TM says:

      Something that concerns me in AZ.

      On Kari Lake’s campaign banners is shown a
      three pronged cactus.

      VERY reminiscent of the
      devil’s three pronged pitchfork.
      *****************************************
      Surprised the Dems have not pointed this out.

    20. jason says:

      Pelosi opened door, could have stepped out, but instead walked back in towards the nutjob.

      “However, NBC offers new details this morning on the police response before the attack — and Paul Pelosi’s curious reaction to it, at least at first. According to their sources, Pelosi himself opened the door when police arrived, and rather than walk out, began to walk back toward assailant David DePape. DePape even assured police that everything was “good,” which — given the broken window — police clearly didn’t believe.

      Only then did the hammer attack occur, prompting an immediate response from the surprised officers, according to NBC”

    21. jason says:

      So I guess the story about both of them holding the hammer was BS.

    22. jason says:

      That cactus shows on the AZ license plate, it is a symbol of the state.

    23. DW says:

      The cactus is like Mike Huckabee who filmed an ad for the 2008 campaign for POTUS and had a bookshelf in the background that happened to form something of a cross, and the left went nuts saying he was trying to send a Christian signal to supporters.

    24. jason says:

      Ma, that cow is putting out cactus bait.

    25. DW says:

      Sounds to me like it accidently slipped out about the mysterious third person who opened the door, so they had to change the story that it was Pelosi who opened the door, then he goes back to the intruder and picks up with the struggle over the hammer.

      Yeah, no questions need to be answered here at all…its crystal clear now.

    26. jason says:

      Has two nibbles already.

    27. DW says:

      Even Siena (D) says Florida will be a bloodbath for Dems.

      Rubio 51
      Demings 43

      DeSantis 54
      Crist 42

    28. Tina says:

      I think two things also slipped out.

      Not accidentally though.

    29. Tina says:

      He is melting down.

      Jon Ralston

      @RalstonReports
      ·
      13h
      Turnout in Nye County, where the clerk is an election denier supported by an election denier secretary of state candidate, is highest by percentage in Nevada.

      As of this morning, the Nye numbers:

    30. DW says:

      Has there been any independent confirmation that Pelosi was actually struck with the hammer and actually injured?

      I found it odd that they said both of these things:

      1) Major emergency surgery was needed to repair a skull fracture on a man in his 80s, and

      2) Pelosi is doing great, will fully recover, is comfortable, don’t worry about him, etc.

      Wait, any 80 year old man could easily die from any routine surgery, but a skull fracture? How could they guarantee that he is doing great and will fully recover?

    31. DW says:

      Cygnal – Nevada

      Cortez Masto 43%
      Laxalt 46%

    32. Tina says:

      Nye county is a big red trump county.

      Trump won with 69% of the vote

      They will hand count the votes.

    33. Tina says:

      Maga hammer is still in the hospital.

      We don’t know how he was injured.

    34. jason says:

      Horrors…

      ‘Aaron Rupar
      @atrupar
      lots of white people at the Trump rally in Sioux City”

    35. Tina says:

      Gee you think Rupart? Iowa’s racial demographics are over 90% white to begin with,

    36. jason says:

      Iowa

      White: 90% (includes 6% Hispanic)
      Black: 4%
      Asian: 2.8%

    37. jason says:

      Jason – Can you call your cousin and put a stop to this?”

      I will do what I can, but Apocatequil can be cranky at times.

      Also will need some money for “expenses” if you know what I mean.

    38. Tina says:

      Political Polls
      @Politics_Polls
      ·
      8m
      Nevada Senate:
      Laxalt (R) 46% (+3)
      Cortez Masto (D-inc) 43%
      .
      Nevada Governor:
      Lombardo (R) 47% (+5)
      Sisolak (D-inc) 42%

      .
      @cygnal
      /
      @theamgreatness
      (R), 600 LV, 11/1-2

    39. DW says:

      jason, its as absurd as a reporter at an NBA game saying, “lots of people over 6 foot tall out on that court! Why no midgets? Nobody wheelchair bound?”

    40. Tina says:

      From the Cygnal poll

      Biden’s favorable rating was only 42 percent, with 56 percent of Nevadans giving him an unfavorable rating. The poll indicated that a significant number Biden voters now have “voter remorse, as 40 percent of those who voted for him in 2020, now believe the United States is on the wrong track.

      “President Biden is deeply unpopular, and his negative image is a weight that is dragging Nevada Democrats down,” said John Rogers, a pollster with Cygnal. “Biden’s image is only at the waterline with Latino voters, and Biden is upside down with a -32 net image among non-partisan and third-party voters,” he added. “With nearly half of Nevada voters saying the economy and inflation are their top priority, and 67 percent saying the country is going down the wrong track, Adam Laxalt and Joe Lombardo are in a strong position as we head towards Election Day.”

    41. Tina says:

      I noticed hime prices are depressed. I was in the reno area in June and they were selling new homes for almost $500,000.

      Now these homes are selling for under $400,000.

    42. jason says:

      Unemployment “unexpectedly” rises to 3.7%.

    43. DW says:

      Rescue polling kicking in.

      Emerson says Hassan leads by 4

      Incumbent polling – wins/losses going to back to 2010
      Below 43: All Lost.
      43 – 44.9, 3 Wins and 6 Losses
      45 – 46.9, 7 Wins and 3 Losses
      47 – 48.9, 13 Wins and 3 Losses
      49 or above: All Won.

      NV: Cortez-Masto 45.1
      GA: Warnock 46.8 (was 46.6)
      NH: Hassan 47.8 (was 47.0)
      AZ: Kelly 48.3 (was 48.4)
      WA: Murray 49.3
      CO: Bennet 49.3
      WI: Johnson 49.4
      IL: Duckworth 49.5
      OR: Wyden 51.0
      FL: Rubio 51.0
      CT: Blumenthal 52.7
      NY: Schumer 53.5

    44. jason says:

      Is Biden an election denier? Seems like he is saying the 2022 results might not be legitimate…

      MEDIA QUESTION: A moment ago, you were asked whether or not you believed that we would have free and fair elections in 2022 if some of these state legislatures reformed their voting protocols. You said that it depends. Do you — do you think that they would in any way be illegitimate?

      BIDEN: Oh, yeah, I think it easily could be — be illegitimate. … I mean, imagine if those attempts to say that the count was not legit. You have to recount it and we’re not going to count — we’re going to discard the following votes. I mean, sure, but — I’m not going to say it’s going to be legit. It’s — the increase and the prospect of being illegitimate is in direct proportion to us not being able to get these — these reforms passed.”

    45. phoenixrisen says:

      I think Hassan is done. Bolduc looks like he is going to win.

    46. phoenixrisen says:

      A couple of months ago I projected a 53 seat Senate GOP majority with a 250-260 seat House for the GOP. The GOP is now looking better in the Senate. Bennett and Murray have to be chewing their nails off with those recent Trafalgar polls. The GOP could wind up with 55 seats going into 2024 which is a nightmare map for the Democrats. I think 250 in the House is definitely possible. The headlines this morning are hilarious with Dems in full freak out mode saying “Democracy is ending!” These people will sensationalize anything

    47. DW says:

      BOOM

      ARIZONA POLL

      #AZSen

      @bgmasters
      48%
      @CaptMarkKelly
      47%
      1% undecided

      With undecided leaners:
      Masters 48%
      Kelly 48%

    48. DW says:

      that was EMERSON, not Big Data

    49. jason says:

      I don’t think the undecided will break for Kelly.

    50. Chicon says:

      Is Baris gonna Rumble today? I was hoping to see one yesterday. Not sure he operates on a schedule…

    51. Phil says:

      top of the next hour, Chicon.

    52. Phil says:

      Final Rasmussen generic ballot just released…… R+5, 48-43.

    53. Phil says:

      Baris tweets he will have the Arizona ballot on the podcast today.

    54. Chicon says:

      Thanks, Phil.

    55. Gordon Allen says:

      Why did Siena do a poll this late in Florida??
      I have a theory, and a follow up discussion. But as it has already been moderated, I’ll leave it at that.

    56. Phil says:

      No telling, Gordon but my theory is that Siena knows Florida is gone already so they are trying to shore up their overall election accuracy rate to balance out their other polls that they know will be so far off. In other words, they are trying to cover their ass towards the end by polling a state that they can’t help with anyway.

      It’s a game.

    57. jason says:

      Anti-racist consultant:

      “Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker is “coonish” and “subliterate,” according to a University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign professor who is also an “anti-racist” consultant.

      Walker is “incompetent, subliterate and coonish,” Professor Sundiata Cha-Jua, a history and African-American studies professor, wrote in The News-Gazette in his regular column on October 23.”

    58. Phil says:

      BTW, Siena has Crist down by just over twenty points with Hispanics. That’s pretty bad for Democrats and just confirms what is going to happen in Miami-Dade.

    59. Tina says:

      Is that the Russian hoaxer, Jason?

    60. Chicon says:

      A few days ago, Jason asked for a list of races each of us would most like to win. I don’t think I said New Hampshire Senate. I should have. Watching the General’s acceptance speech – in which he thanks Chuckie Shumer for making it all possible – would be absolutely delicious….

    61. NYCmike says:

      #62 – Chicon,

      NH was included in my prediction for 55 Senate seats.

      Once I saw how certain Wes, jason and Bitterlaw were that “the primary loser” would have won overwhelmingly then I knew Bolduc had a shot.

      Bring it home, General Bolduc!*

      *Funny enough, I didn’t even know that he was a former military person……you would think that jason and Bitterlaw would have to reflexively support him no matter what…….

    62. NYCmike says:

      “Watching the General’s acceptance speech – in which he thanks Chuckie Shumer for making it all possible – would be absolutely delicious….”

      -According to the “really smart people”, Bolduc should have refused those $$!!

    63. NYCmike says:

      Prediction:

      55 Senate seats
      240+ House
      26-10 in Governor races

    64. Bitterlaw says:

      NYC – You do realize that unless somebody votes for, volunteers for or sends money to a candidate, they don’t really “support” the candidate, right?

    65. mnw says:

      NYC

      Isles v. Blues

      Did I call it, or what?

    66. Cash Cow TM says:

      ELECTION UPDATE

      WV
      (I hope others at HHR will provide election update/predictions for THEIR state.
      ***************************************
      Next week the Rs will INCEASE their already insane and lopsided majority in the WV House of Delegates. Probably add another 6-10.

      In the WV Senate, Rs will also add to their current majority numbers. Probably 3 more Rs.
      **********************************************
      In the 2 House of Representative races, both R incumbents win with AT LEAST a 60-40 win (possible 70-30) by both Carol Miller and Alex Mooney.

      No governor race.
      No U.S. senate race.
      __________________________________
      The BIG DEAL in WV is 4 Constitutional amendments.

      1. would reaffirm the current constitutional rights of the legislature to have full control over the impeachment process. A few years back the WV SC was bonkers and they were all impeached by the legislature. One went to prison, another under federal indictment resigned. Three others facing removal. A substitute panel of SC justices ruled that the legislature could not impeach the members of the SC. U.S.
      SCOTUS refused to hear the appeal by the legislature.

      2. Gets rid of tax on business inventory and machinery (WV one of only 8 that fully taxes these) and also property tax on all vehicles.
      Democrats proposed the car tax elimination and Rs added it to the const. amend. NOW, Dems OPPOSE Amendment 2. Say it is a “power grab by the
      R legislature, say it will cause counties and school boards to lose million (true, but the R legislature says if voters pass #2, then the legislature will backfill (out of HUGE SURPLUSES) ALL the dollars county govts. and county school boards lost–and give an additional million dollars per county. Gov. Justice himself proposed this same thing a few years back. NOW Justice (former D, now R, but acts like a D) is criss-crossing WV to urge defeat of #2. Justice wants to do a 10% reduction in State Income Tax instead.

      Amendment 3 would allow churches in WV to incorporate (like they can in all other 49 states.

      Amendment 4 would allow the legislature to begin to review proposed rules and policies of the WV State Bd. of Ed., LIKE THEY DO WITH ALL OTHER WV STATE AGENCIES. Dems oppose and falsely say it “IS A POWER GRAB BY THE R LEGISLATURE”, AND THE Rs WANT TO TAKE OVER COUNTY BOARDS OF EDUCATION and micromanage instruction in schools. Currently, WV Sch. Bd. members are appointed by governor for 9-year terms.
      ******************************************
      The NEA has spent over $2,000,000 in WV in opposition to amendment #2 and #4.

      I HOPE all 4 amendments pass.
      I am fearful they will not.

    67. jason says:

      you would think that jason and Bitterlaw would have to reflexively support him no matter what”

      I support Bolduc.

      I just think Morse is a much better candidate with a much better chance of winning.

      GFY.

    68. jason says:

      Your hero Chuckie Schumer didn’t agree, so here we are.

      Let’s hope Chuckie was wrong.

    69. jason says:

      NYC – You do realize that unless somebody votes for, volunteers for or sends money to a candidate, they don’t really “support” the candidate, right?”

      Zzzzz…

      Only Bitter believes in this hilarious and fake “definition”.

      Oprah just declared her support for Fetterman. I didn’t read where she sent him money. She does not live in PA. She is not volunteering for Fetterman. She can’t support Fetterman?

      What a crock of crap.

    70. Bitterlaw says:

      https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-11389953/Should-save-dying-stranger-know-eat-MEAT.html

      Jason better watch out. This philosopher says it is ok if Tgca chooses to not save his life.

    71. Bitterlaw says:

      Jason equates a celebrity who has the potential to reach and influence voters in many states with posters in the HHR echo chamber? Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    72. DW says:

      ARIZONA – BIG DATA POLL

      AZ-Sen
      Masters (R) 48.7%
      Kelly (D) 47.5%
      Victor (L) 1.9%
      Und 1.9%

    73. jason says:

      Interesting thread about PA. And more evidence the Mastriano rural vote is going to be massive.

      “Nonetheless, 1,354,288 Republicans voted in the 2022 GOP Primary!

      That’s 350,000 more republicans than the already insane turnout projection of 1,000,000 Republican Primary voters. Who were these extra 350,000 republicans?

      It doesn’t take a political scientist to deduce that @DougMastriano
      brought them to the polls. These are the same voters who turned out for Trump in ’16 and ’20 but stayed home in ’18. They are almost certain to vote in November to finish the job.”

      https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2022/11/04/epic-thread-illustrates-just-how-bad-things-look-for-democrats-in-the-midterms-by-the-numbers-and-wow/

    74. NYCmike says:

      mnw,

      You did, much appreciated!

      It’s a long season, they will rebound.

    75. DW says:

      My forecast with real numbers, and then numbers after potential fraud in parenthesis:

      49 – Wisconsin – Johnson 54/45 (53/46)
      50 – Georgia – Walker 53/46 (51/48)
      51 – Nevada – Laxalt 53/45 (50/48)
      52 – Pennsylvania – Oz 52/47 (50/48)
      53 – Arizona – Masters 51/48 (49.8/49.2)
      54 – New Hampshire – Bolduc 50/49 (50/49)

      55 – Colorado – O’Dea 48/51
      56 – Washington – Smiley 48/51
      57 – Connecticut – Levy 45/54

    76. jason says:

      Jason equates a celebrity who has the potential to reach and influence voters in many states with posters in the HHR echo chamber? Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz”

      Ahh, goal post moving alert. Only celebrities can now support candidates?

      LOL

      I am supporting candidates all over the country, and not sending them money or volunteering or voting for them.

      You definition is full of crap.

      GFY.

    77. NYCmike says:

      “I just think Morse is a much better candidate with a much better chance of winning.”

      -Robbie and “CG” said the same thing about JEB!2016……

    78. NYCmike says:

      “My forecast with real numbers….”

      -I’ll choose to take offense, mainly because this is the internet!

      In my prediction above, the number of votes received will be higher for the person who wins the election.

      They will also be a “real number”.

    79. jason says:

      I said the same thing about all the candidates that opposed the deadenders you supported and was right every time.

      I guess I am smarter than Amoral Scumbag and the Biden Troll. No surprise there.

      -Robbie and “CG” said the same thing about JEB!2016……”

      Oh, and didn’t you say the same thing about the primary candidate you supported in 2016? I forgot who it was, but it wasn’t Trump.

    80. jan says:

      I’ve sent Bolduc 2 donation – the first was as soon as he won his primary. IMO, the midterm candidates hold a lot of promise, consequently I’m supporting more than I usually do: Gibbs MI, Johnson WI, Smiley WA, Kent WA, Peter Fernandez CA, Leavitt NH, Bolduc NH, Dixon, MI, John James MI, Hung. Cau VA, Blake Masters AZ, Doug Mastriano PA are the few I can remember. For the most part the R candidates are younger, ethically diverse, with lots of smart women running for office.

    81. Cash Cow TM says:

      On Tuesday night, we will KNOW if the D strategy works or not.

      D STRATEGY
      1. Rely on low info voters to support Ds

      2. Rely of continued MSM (87-88% pro-D, anti-R reporting) to perpetrate the D lies

      3. Rely on almost fraudulent polling industry the May-Oct. fictious, preposterous polls of ADULTS or RVs that say Ds are in GREAT SHAPE!

      4. Rely on early voting/mail in voting to bank your votes from low info or scared voters who might discover the wool has been pulled over their eyes and change their mind if they actually voted on election day.

      5. target EMOTIONAL voters who care more about FEELINGS over single issues than FACTS with emotive messages.
      To Wit:

      –Black voters: “the R’s will put you back in chains!”

      –women voters: “Rs are misogynists!”

      –Hispanics: “Rs are anti-immigrant!”

      –LGBTQ: “Rs hate you and want to take away your rights!”

      –Climate nuts: “Rs want to poison your water and air and melt all the glaciers and flood the coasts!”

      –Old People: “Rs want to END SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICAID!”

      –Young people: “Ds will cancel your student debt!”

      –To others: “Rs are a THREAT TO DEMOCRACY!”
      ___________________________________

      To THIKING Americans concerned about inflation, high gas/diesel/heating oil/NatGas prices, crime, secure border, drug epidemic and drug deaths, retirement portfolio collapse, energy crisis, real education issues–including PLUMMETING test scores AND INDOCRINATION of students by whack-a-doodle teacher unions and teachers, upset about push for GENDER EQUALITY, high taxes, increasing gov.t regulation, foreign affairs disasters, out of control government spending, political weaponizing of FBI, Judicial and other federal agencies, erosion of rights of everyone, being lied to by our government, federal deficit, MSM colluding with Ds to kill stores that would hurt Ds, concerns over voter fraud, inequity caused by racial preferences in hiring and college admissions, etc., etc., etc…

      …the Ds say: GFY, HATERS!

      G..F..Y..!!!

    82. NYCmike says:

      Jan shows the way!

      Too bad she doesn’t have a line into Mitch……

    83. jason says:

      I think Oz wins 53/47 and Mastriano loses 46/54.

      I think the polls showing Mastriano getting blown out are wrong. Rs are going to show up for him, there will be little crossover. His problem is with Indies.

      Maybe all of Bitter’s friends and neighbors will vote for Shapiro and the polls are right.

      Yesterday wes said Mastriano is not campaigning. That is not true. He is barnstorming the state. And he has plenty of advertising, you can’t drive 5 miles around here and not see an outdoor sign on the highways for him. He does not have any TV ads, so it is probably true he has little money.

      I agree with Bitter that any of the other three contenders on the R side could have beaten Shapiro. But you go with the cards you are dealt.

      We will see.

    84. NYCmike says:

      “Yesterday wes said Mastriano is not campaigning. That is not true.”

      -Shocker!

    85. jan says:

      #84 ?

    86. jan says:

      #84. Thanks

    87. NYCmike says:

      “#84 ?”

      -To call McConnell and advise him who to support with $$

    88. jason says:

      How about jan does what she wants with her money and Mitch does what he wants with his money?

    89. JeffP says:

      55 Senate seats would be awesome going into 2024. Having 60 could within reach.

    90. jan says:

      Even Schumer is having a closer race than normal. Pinion, his opponent is an interesting African American man. It would be delicious if he suddenly got enough votes to defeat Schumer.

      https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/ny-sen-1101/

      Mike, the first post was typed in as a smiley face, but was transposed as a question mark when it arrived on HHR.

    91. Cash Cow TM says:

      DRUDGE
      “SHOPPING: Bezos Mulls Buying NFL COMMANDERS…”

      Cripes.

      He already owns the Washington Post.

      When will he buy about 50 U.S Senators and a couple hundred U.S. congresscritters?

    92. Bitterlaw says:

      Almost all of my friends vote only for Republicans. Almost no campaign signs for any candidate in my neighborhood except for one Oz and one Fetterman.

    93. Cash Cow TM says:

      “Mike, the first post was typed in as a smiley face, but was transposed as a question mark when it arrived on HHR.”

      Gotta watch out for those “tran(ny)” words.

    94. jan says:

      Mitch”s money is not his own $$$. He is directly giving the finger to Alaska’s GOP endorsed candidate and giving it to her disliked R opponent. IMO, that is neither good judgment nor leadership.

    95. NYCmike says:

      “How about jan does what she wants with her money and Mitch does what he wants with his money?”

      -Actually, that is exactly why I wrote that I wish jan had a line into speaking with him.

      Mitch clearly showed that the American people, as well as the Republican Party as a whole, is secondary to his priority, which is his position as leader in the Senate, either as Minority Leader or Majority Leader.

      I think his priority should be to get the majority first, THEN get the support needed to be the Majority Leader.

    96. DW says:

      Its four days until the election. I am done with polling. I will continue to look at them for sure, but we are at the point where the final surge has been baked in, and we have what we have. Millions have already voted, and many more millions are about to vote.

    97. NYCmike says:

      The irony is that if Mitch would overlook the statements by winning primary candidates “I will not support Mitch for party leader!” and support them in the general election, it is very likely that the candidate could backtrack and say “Mitch supported my run, I am re-thinking my previous statement.” Most voters would accept that since Mitch had showed true leadership to make that change happen…….alas, we shall find out results in a couple of days.

    98. DW says:

      Oz re-takes the lead in RCP average, absorbing that absurd Marist (D) poll:

      https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_oz_vs_fetterman-7695.html

    99. Meldrim says:

      #82, Jan, who is the “Peter Fernandez” from CA to whose campaign you have donated money?

      Never mind, I see that you had a typo and meant Peter Hernández, who is running against Zoe Lofgren in CA-18. I have some bad news for you: Hernández is not going to win in that overwhelmingly Democrat CD. That being said, I hope that your other longshots (Smiley, Mastriano and Cao) win, particularly Cao, who is a phenomenal candidate in a very tough district; as for your other picks, I think that they’ll win their respective elections, with James, in particular, winning by a solid margin.

    100. Gordon Allen says:

      Phil, you literally took the words out of my mouth. Almost exactly.

    101. Bitterlaw says:

      NYC – And a significant number of voters would reward the anti-McConnell candidates who rethink their statements by calling them RINOs and sellouts and sit out the election.

    102. Gordon Allen says:

      Must have been my comment about aiming for the median and scoring a bullseye

    103. Gordon Allen says:

      Responding to a poster in bits seems to be the way around the air defense here.

    104. Gordon Allen says:

      BTW Netanyahu’s decisive victory is getting the coverage it deserves.
      The fact the leftist Labor Party was crushed,becoming an also ran,hasn’t been noticed either by many ” opinion leaders “.
      Wonder why?

    105. Gordon Allen says:

      Isn’t. Auto correct is out of control.

    106. NYCmike says:

      “NYC – And a significant number of voters would reward the anti-McConnell candidates who rethink their statements by calling them RINOs and sellouts and sit out the election.”

      -Ummmm……this is theoretical at this point……but candidates like Bolduc would not change their mind DURING the general campaign, they would re-evaluate AFTER they win the election (fingers crossed). Mitch would show them his leadership by helping them DESPITE their previous comments…….

      Possibly, I’m not writing out the scenario clearly enough for you. Sorry if that is the case.

    107. NYCmike says:

      “Mike, the first post was typed in as a smiley face, but was transposed as a question mark when it arrived on HHR.”

      -Appreciate your clarification……I sometimes do need to write more clearly the sentiments I am trying to get across.

    108. NYCmike says:

      “55 Senate seats would be awesome going into 2024. Having 60 could within reach.”

      -Overconfidence is NOT an asset!

    109. DW says:

      When you lose CBS/YouGov….

      Rubio 51
      Demings 44

      DeSantis 53
      Crist 43

    110. Meldrim says:

      #111, NYC, it’s true that overconfidence is not an asset, but if the GOP does control 55 Senate seats at the time of the 2024 elections (which I don’t foresee happening, although I do think that it will be 54), it wouldn’t be an exercise of overconfidence to state that 60 seats would be within reach after the 2024 elections. The seats up in 2024 follow four consecutive sexennial cycles of Democrat wins in Senate races (2000 saw Democrats win all of the close Senate races, 2006 was a huge Democrat wave, 2012 was a surprisingly good Democrat year in Senate elections, and 2018 was a Democrat wave year that saw the GOP pick up two states but leave many others on the table), and the GOP has very few seats to defend, almost all of them noncompetitive (the most “vulnerable” (if that’s the right word) GOP Senate seats for 2024 are probably FL, TX and IN). For 2024, Democrats hold three seats that they probably will cough up because the states have become too Republican to elect a Democratic U.S. senator (WV, OH and MT) plus nine other competitive or potentially competitive seats (AZ, NV, NM, MN, WI, MI, PA, VA and ME).

      It indeed would be presumptuous to predict that the GOP could pick up 12 Senate seats, but it would be perfectly reasonable to state that the GOP has a decent chance of netting 6 Senate seats that year, which, if the party picks up 4 net seats on Tuesday as I expect and no Republican senator from a state with a Democratic governor dies in the next two years, would give the GOP 60 U.S. senators.

      But first things first: We’ve got to get Budd, Vance, Johnson, Laxalt, Oz, Walker, Masters and Bolduc (and, if we’re really fortunate, Smiley and O’Dea) across the finish line on Tuesday.

    111. DW says:

      BOOM

      Emerson College Polling
      @EmersonPolling
      OHIO POLL

      #OHSen

      @JDVance1
      51%
      @TimRyan
      43%
      4% undecided

      With undecideds
      Vance 53%
      Ryan 44%

    112. Tina says:

      The Ohio result was predictable.

      Remember, the Russian hoaxer hates Vance.

    113. EML says:

      But Siena and Marist say OH-Sen is a tie.

    114. EML says:

      Makes you wonder if these pollster have just been fudging the numbers all along.

    115. EML says:

      DW, any idea when RRH is supposed to release their poll results?

    116. NYCmike says:

      If they win the Majority in each chamber, they will need to govern.

      Will they push for pro-drilling/fracking policies?

      Will they fund the building of a WALL on the southern border, something that the American people want?

      Will they figure out how to ensure the military is not the place to do WOKE experiments?

    117. Tina says:

      Very weird. Pelosi walked away from police., Did not rush to them, or give any remarks that he was endanger.

      And because of the corrupt fib involvement/justice (should have been a state filing per William Shipley) , it’s really weird.

    118. NYCmike says:

      Meldrim – thinking positive! Love it!

    119. Tina says:

      It will be amnesty, CRs, and general porkulo from Biden’s Beotch.

    120. Cash Cow TM says:

      “NYCmike says:
      November 4, 2022 at 3:23 pm
      If they win the Majority in each chamber, they will need to govern.”

      Won’t matter what an R majority passes.

      Biden will veto everything.

    121. jason says:

      jan says:
      November 4, 2022 at 1:33 pm

      Mitch”s money is not his own $$$”

      It is HIS PAC and he can fund whomever he wants.

      “Mitch clearly showed that the American people, as well as the Republican Party as a whole, is secondary to his priority,”

      Zzzzz….

      Complete BS.. he hasn’t “clearly shown” anything of the sort.

      You just don’t agree with how he distributes the money, but that is on you, not him.

    122. Cash Cow TM says:

      Business dropped off sharp at one NV brothel.

      The girls decided to switch gears and and istead of selling s.e.x., to bake and sell cookies.

      They were a big HIT!

      ********************************************
      Seemed everyone liked their Ho-made cookies!

      (your Cow joke for the day)

    123. jason says:

      NYCmike says:
      November 4, 2022 at 3:23 pm

      If they win the Majority in each chamber, they will need to govern.”

      What??

      NYC has abandoned grandstanding and stupid bills like Cotton-Perdue?

      Pigs WILL fly!

    124. DW says:

      Cow, being in the majority means that the GOP will be able to control internal posts and positions, committees, etc. Sure can’t pass anything, but gridlock is an improvement from what we have now.

    125. Chicon says:

      Cow, I think what they pass will matter to the electorate. They should pass everything they talked about in the past several months, and force Joe to veto them. They should also reject all nutjob judges and appointments. They are not being elected to get along….

    126. dylan says:

      Fox is so far gone. Was just driving to the post office listening to XM radio and they had a breathless piece about how Chuck Grassley in Iowa is in an extremely close race and he doesn’t understand why it’s so close but people are really concerned about his age. . . . . I can’t people. . . . .

    127. EML says:

      Don’t worry, once the GOP is in the majority, the leftist media will constantly be inquiring why they haven’t passed an abortion anytime anywhere bill, student loan forgiveness for everyone bill, and a fully fund social security forever bill.

    128. DW says:

      dylan, I was told years ago that fox news radio has no real connection to the Fox News that features Hume, Hannity, and Tucker.

      it basically a liberal org with an f followed by an o, followed by an x. Nothing to do with Fox News.

    129. EML says:

      The media (including Fox) has a vested interest in portraying the election as a nailbiter so people will tune in on tuesday.

    130. jan says:

      Meldrim, thanks for your correction in #102. I also hope the candidates I supported win, as I also keep fingers crossed for the ones you listed in a following post.

    131. Tina says:

      Turd Obama thinks Blake’s family is weird.

      https://twitter.com/bgmasters/status/1588183023912001543

    132. Tina says:

      Faux is garbage

      Over Tucker and Levin are good there. And they are opinion folk.

      Pawn Hannity just sells vaccines and war

    133. Tina says:

      Greg Price

      @greg_price11
      ·
      3h
      So the story now is that a hippie nudist entered Pelosi’s home, cops were called to his house, Paul answered the door and wasn’t in distress, walked back to the nudist who said “everything is good” who then beat him with a hammer, and that this is the fault of MAGA Republicans.

    134. Phil says:

      So Emerson has Vance up 9?

      Baris always said Vance would win by a minimum of 5 or 6. I guess this sort of confirmed that. In fact, he said he was so sure the race wasn’t competitive that he wasn’t going to bother polling it himself.

      Democrats have spent 50 million there already – 6 times what Vance had spent as of mid October….all in a futile effort to convince Ohio voters that Ryan was some kind of working class advocate independent of the woke left. Well, it appears that didn’t work.

    135. jason says:

      Tucker is just a Putin shill regurgitating Russian TV propaganda. I have lost all respect for him. Levin is a loudmouth moron posing as a “constitutional expert” who knows less about the constitution than the other “constitutional expert”, Obama.

      Hannity is ok, not a Russian stooge at least, but too repetitive. He repeats his talking points over and over and doesn’t let his guests talk.

      Laura Ingram? Zzzz…

      No, I don’t watch much Fox. Fox and Friends is probably their best show. And Gutfield can be funny.

      Fox Radio on the hour is very liberal. Their headlines are always pro Dem. I wonder why.

    136. DW says:

      WEST COAST states:

      1) Smiley within striking distance of unseating Murray.
      2) GOP poised to take Governor’s seat in Oregon, and GOP can do well in house seats.
      3) A few house seats in CA could flip.
      4) AK a disaster for the GOP, good thing is just one house seat.

      MOUNTAIN states:

      1) Ralston giving up hope in NV based on early voting patterns. GOP poised to grab Governor, Senate, and possibly all four house seats.
      2) Both MT house seats will go easily to the GOP.
      3) Lake was supposed to be the easy out for the governor’s race in AZ, now she is expected to win, and the race for senate could go either way against the Dem incumbent, but the GOP has a good shot.
      4) Colorado seems to have the worst news for the GOP but there has been some tightening here, so much that the RCP has moved the senate race to tossup.

      MIDWEST states:

      1) Johnson is for Wisconsin! He has not trailed in a poll since mid September. Word on the ground there is that there is energy for the GOP like 2016.
      2) MN is close in the Gov race.
      3) Vance pulling away in OH, suggesting a late movement toward the GOP.
      4) Word on the ground is that Detroit is lagging in early voting, suggesting the GOP may well grab the Governor’s race.

      SOUTHERN states:

      1) Florida is a blowout–everyone knows it and has admitted it.
      2) Abrams is going down to a well deserved defeat that she will say was stolen. Kemp brings Walker along with him.
      3) Texas is not in play.
      4) GOP already flipped a house seat in TN, and huge numbers are expected all across the south.
      5) North Carolina senate is not in play either.

      MID-ATLANTIC states:

      1) Virginia will chip in a couple of house flips
      2) New York may well go red for first time in a long time in the governor race. Just the fact that its close is amazing, along with the fact that Chuck U. Schumer is not rated Safe D.
      3) Pennsylvania is probably the worst news for the GOP in this region, but even here, there are some potential house flips and Oz is slightly favored to win.

      NEW ENGLAND states:

      1) Scott will win the governor’s race in Vermont, easily.
      2) Bolduc has come on strong and is slightly favored when it matters most.
      3) 1 or maybe both house seats in NH will flip.
      4) GOP might get a house flip out of Connecticut.
      5) Massachusetts continues to be a GOP graveyard.

      Saying all this to say, keep your eye on the ball, and don’t let your emotions get carried away by agenda rescue-polls that drop in the middle of the night. All the intangibles point to a strong GOP night. How strong will be determined by a number of factors.

      If fraud is limited, and late movement of undecideds go to the GOP, I can see GOP 250 in the house and 54 in the senate, and the lion’s share of close governor races.

    137. Meldrim says:

      DW, as I posted yesterday, I think that there may be decreased black turnout in the Detroit area because neither of the two Democratic nominees in the two black-majority CDs are African American (one is a Palestinian American and the other an Indian American).

    138. jason says:

      Here is where McConnell is spending HIS money, in order of magnitude:

      Georgia (GOP pick up): $5,320,149
      Pennsylvania: $4,272,270
      North Carolina: $4,005,732
      Ohio: $3,741,404
      Nevada (GOP pick up): $3,424,539
      Wisconsin: $1,909,894

      So let’s see. Walker (Trump endorsed). Oz (Trump endorsed). Budd (Trump endorsed). Vance (Trump endorsed). Johnson (hardly anti-Trump).

      So the accusation that McConnell is not funding anybody Trump endorsed is a lying crock of crap.

      You can make the argument that he is making sure he has a majority by spending most of the money shoring up what were close races, WI, PA, and OH, and trying to flip two more, GA and NV.

      NYC’s BS drivel that he is “looking out for himself and not the party” is not evident at all from these expenditures.

    139. jason says:

      One worry about the Fetterman debate fiasco was that he had already banked enough votes to win, which was obviously the strategy in postponing the debate as much as possible.

      But it looks like that might not be the case.

      https://www.realclearpennsylvania.com/articles/2022/11/03/early_vote_data_suggests_trouble_democrats_862864.html

    140. jason says:

      Key point of article:

      “Even if we assume that Democrats will exceed their 2020 margin of victory in the mail this year due to Republican drop-off, that would give Democrats an approximately 780,000-vote lead from mail ballots. That’s probably not enough.

      Most turnout estimates in the Keystone State seem to agree that the final voting number will fall between the 5 million people who voted in 2018 and the 5.4 million predicted by Echelon Insight’s modeling. That would mean that there will be between 3.7 and 4.1 million ballots cast on Election Day.

      The problem for Democrats is obvious. Donald Trump won Election Day ballots by 32 points. Given the above numbers and the Democrat drop-off in mail-in ballots, Republicans will need to carry Election Day by only 19 points to win the state.”

    141. Tina says:

      It will be nice to see nevada and Arizona flip.

      I think trump did well getting high quality candidates to run in these states.

    142. Gordon Allen says:

      Jason how do you square Trumps stance on trade w China and yours,or Trumps demand for impeachment of McConnell ,with your defense of McConnell?. For starters.
      Just asking mind you?

    143. Tina says:

      Trumps,positiom on China is correct.

      The gop-e position is wrong.

      Plus, trumps position on reparations from thr China virus are necessary.

    144. Tgca says:

      This everchanging Pelosi story gets more bizarre by the moment.

      I’m now hearing Pelosi came to the door in a diaper with a big gold pin and that the hammer was actually a rubber mallet covered in a latex glove. That may be why the police saw no reason to initially use force against the perp in what may have been consenting “play time.”

      Make of it what you wish but this story keeps changing and they refuse to release the tapes. WHY?

    145. Tgca says:

      142 DW

      Evidently you don’t know Floreedah!

      We are not a southern state, we are a southeastern state. Big difference!

      Now bless your heart.

    146. Tina says:

      Josh Kraushaar

      @JoshKraushaar
      CNN: “Democratic officials and strategists in New York tell CNN they are bracing for what could be stunning losses in the governor’s race and in contests for as many as four US House seats largely in the suburbs.”

    147. Meldrim says:

      #147, Tina, how on Earth can you say that Trump “got Adam Laxalt to run in Nevada”? Wild horses couldn’t have dragged Laxalt away from that Senate race, even had Trump not endorsed him. In case that you aren’t aware, Adam Laxalt was elected state AG in 2014 and was the losing gubernatorial candidate in 2018, and becoming a U.S. Senator from NV has been a lifelong dream for him, given that his grandfather, the great Paul Laxalt (one of President Reagan’s staunchest allies), was a U.S. Senator from NV. (Adam’s biological father, the late Pete Domenici, was a U.S. Senator from NM, but he had no influence in Adam’s upbringing, as his mother didn’t even reveal who Adam’s father was until a few years ago.)

      And as for Blake Masters in AZ, I think that he will end up winning narrowly thanks to the huge GOP wave and the coattails that Kari Lake is creating, but he certainly has been far from a “high quality candidate.” Besides, Masters was Peter Thiel’s recruit, not Trump’s.

      The one Senate candidate for whose recruitment Trump legitimately can take great credit is Hershel Walker, who obviously has had some hiccups on the way but who I increasingly think will get to 50% on Tuesday and avoid the run-off.

    148. Tina says:

      They will throw mayor adams under the bus. He “validated” the crime problem in the state.

      https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/04/politics/eric-adams-new-york-crime-midterms/index.html

    149. Meldrim says:

      “as many as four US House seats largely in the suburbs”
      _______________

      Those “Democratic officials and strategists in New York” are actually being optimistic if they think that the party will only lose four U.S. House seats in NY; I think that it will be five or maybe even six (plus the GOP will hold the Syracuse-based CD that Democrats were sure that they’d pick up.

    150. Tina says:

      Only credit for one.

      Lol

    151. Tina says:

      They are throwing the black guy under the bus.

      The drats have returned to their roots.

    152. Tgca says:

      95

      Bitter always playing the neutral peace maker. Geez!

      Bitter puts a Fetterman sign on his lawn to contrast his neighbor’s Oz sign.

    153. Tina says:

      You won’t know the Paul Pelosi story until after the election.

      Remember, they covered up the dui matter for weeks,

    154. Tina says:

      This was stated in San Diego today

      Townhall.com

      @townhallcom
      BIDEN ON COAL:

      “We’re gonna be shutting these plants down all across America, and having wind and solar.

      -Biden “

    155. George says:

      Trump did an Ohio radio interview this afternoon. Was asked about potential Republican primary opponents and talked about DeSantis. Trump said he got DeSantis elected as Governor. Said DeSantis is far beyond in the polls for the Republican nomination. Said if DeSantis wants to run that’s OK but it would be very disloyal.

      Also, talked about McConnell. Inferred maybe some candidates didn’t want to take McConnell’s money as they would be beholden to him.

    156. DW says:

      wind and solar might be enough to power a few light bulbs, but that’s it. Welcome back to the stone age.

      I recall years ago visiting biosphere 2, outside of Tucson. This was working lab for testing long term human habitats without any input from the outside. Of course it was a miserable failure. When I toured it, it was sort of a museum tour, and all over the place there were solar panels…you know in the sunny southwest desert. So one of the guests on the tour asked the guide, “do you power everything here with those panels?”

      The guide said, “well, that was the plan, but it was nowhere close to what is needed. The panels are all for show, we get our power from the Tucson power company.”

    157. George says:

      Question: What did the Democrats use before candles?

      Answer: Electricity

    158. Tina says:

      Nobody believes this.

      Chad Pergram

      @ChadPergram
      B) FBI: The men and women of the FBI devote themselves to protecting the American people from terrorism, violent crime, cyber threats and other dangers. Put quite simply: we follow the facts without regard for politics.
      2:54 PM · Nov 4, 2022
      ·Twitter for iPhone

    159. DW says:

      Silver back up to 55% chance GOP takes the senate.

      One of the best things about election night is the first returns will be out of Kentucky and Indiana, and right there we will get a sense of the scope. Then Virginia and Florida will kick in soon after the 7 pm close. Here the country will be treated to the overwhelming red flood of DeSantis and Rubio.

      Virginia has no statewide office up for grabs, so the focus will be on house flips.

      So by the time 8 pm arrives, there will already be very depressing news for Dems out there.

    160. DW says:

      Also, on election night it will be critical to find a good web page that updates results in ALL districts. Even those not in play, it will be interesting to track the margins.

      Cannot have a page that only track “competitive’ races as defined by pollster expectations.

      Another Edward Durr is lurking out there somewhere, and it will be fun to track along.

    161. Meldrim says:

      During primary nights this year, I found the election pages from USA Today (of all places) to be the most informative (among free sites; I’ve heard that the NYT is excellent on election nights, but I’m not going to subscribe to it), with results for all elections and divided by county.

    162. JeffP says:

      161 Trump the narcissist. He’s going to be worse after all he’s had to endure. I am not the least bit excited about him running and all the extra drama he creates on his own. I don’t where these polls are from I don’t know one person who wants Trump to run over DeSantis.

    163. EML says:

      USA today has been pretty good this year. NYT has always been good, but as you say, they only let you refresh so many times. Politico is good. Ace of spades is alright, but they seem to get numbers from somewhere else that don’t always align with the others.

    164. Gordon Allen says:

      Jeff P.
      Me too. Trump has succeeded in making me hostile to him.
      He can’t get away w this narcissistic drivel against a guy like DeSantis. He’s not like the weak kneed Republicans of 2016; he’s smarter and much tougher, and Trump thinking he can intimidate him shows how narcissistic and stupid Trump really is.

    165. Skippy says:

      Trump is unfit to be President once again.

      We can’t afford to have Democrats with the White House in 2024.

      We also can’t afford Trump for another 4 years.

    166. Tina says:

      Can we just get through the midterms?

      I am enjoying the inter party war with the drats in NY.

    167. Tina says:

      She has become the next big disappointment.

      Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett Again Declines to Block Joe Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness Plan

    168. Meldrim says:

      #173, Tina, that particular request would have been denied by Thomas or Alito as well. Besides, the program alteady has been blocked by a lower court.

      Justice Barrett has given conservatives nothing about which to conplain; she has been exactly as advertised. She may end up being President Trump’s best SCOTUS appointment

    169. NYCmike says:

      “Biden will veto everything.”

      -Looks like Chicon already answered this…….if Biden wants to veto legislation that will help American families, it will make the 2024 election that much clearer.

    170. Cash Cow TM says:

      That post I put up about the three pronged cactus looing like a devil’s pitchfork…

      Guess some posters could not see the big cow tongue in Cow’s cheek.

    171. Cash Cow TM says:

      WV ELECTION UPDATE

      I have recently read a FB post put up by the WV Education Association (arm of NEA) and about 400 comments to it.

      TONS of people responded and said they are voting FOR amendments 2 and 4 rather that going with the WVEA position to vote against.

      those commenting about voting FOR Amend. #2 and #4 use facts and reason.

      Those OPPOSING the two amendments use untruths and FEAR.

      So I predict that ALL 4 AMENDMENTS PASS IN WV.

    172. Tina says:

      Lol.

      Vax mandates disagree with you.

      Her laziness when she “was not ready to make any election law determinations” in 202 .

      And now this stupidly here.

      Lagoa would have been better

    173. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Have to admit I find it rather curious how Paul Pelosi, who was in a life and death struggle with a crazed transient, was able to take a break so he could let the police in, then went back to the transient and resumed what became a hammer fight. It appears we’re not going to see the police video of what happened:

      “The San Francisco District Attorney is shooting down “public interest” in releasing the police bodycam footage and the 911 call from the night of the attack against Paul Pelosi, the husband of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. However, members of the Pelosi family were given the opportunity to see and listen to the footage.

      “That meeting is happening today, so limited members are able to view that footage so that they can have certain questions in their mind answered. But it’s a very limited number of family members, and that should be going on as we speak,” San Francisco District Attorney Brooke Jenkins told CNN.

      “For us, revealing that evidence through the media is just not what we think is appropriate. We want to make sure that this individual is held accountable for these egregious acts. For us, we’re going to make sure that we limit the evidence as much as possible in order to get that done,” she added.”

    174. NYCmike says:

      Tina, that’s being pretty unfair. Sometimes it is better for the justices to allow the political process to keep developing, so that the issues become clearer.

    175. NYCmike says:

      “Lagoa would have been better”

      -Maybe, maybe not.

    176. Tina says:

      If they only release the body cam, surveillance photo, and the 911 call, it would help clear up this matter quickly and end end the speculation.

      The nbc repor being retracted only adds additional questions.

    177. EML says:

      Mr. Cash Cow, I know it’s been talked about a lot over the past 10 years, but what is the probability of Sen Manchin switching parties if (when) Rs gain control in the Senate? I would suspect he is DOA in 2024, either from a leftist primary challenge or from a Republican (aka Alex Mooney).

    178. Tina says:

      Brian Anderson
      @AZBrianAnderson
      .
      @Morning_Joe
      mocks Hobbs ?

      “You look at
      @KatieHobbs
      … She has ceded the entire state to
      @KariLake
      … ‘I’m afraid of the microphone … I’m afraid to hear my own voice’ … You’re kind of wondering if Arizona voters might say, ‘We’re afraid for her to be our governor.'” #AZGov

      https://twitter.com/AZBrianAnderson/status/1588684065078906881

    179. Tina says:

      Hobbs is low quality” and a racist. Even Scarfarce admits this,

    180. Cash Cow TM says:

      Cow will also opine as to congressional races near me in both MD and VA.

      MD

      Neil Parrott (R) has a shot at defeating David Trone (D-inc). That western MD CD was a conservative district and Rs often held it. The MD legislature redistricted it and strung it all the way to the MD D.C. suburbs. So Trone won that seat. The 3 westernmost MD counties will probably go heavy for the R. The D.C. suburbs will go heavy for the D. All depends on how Frederick County MD goes. If it is a big enough R wave then Parrott could win.

      Walt has met Neil Parrott a number of times when he was in the WV legislature and Parrott was in the MD legislature (annual Quad State Legislative Conferences). Parrott has a cute ad up now with Parrott holding a parrot. Neil tells the parrot to say “inflation” and the bird says “David Trone.” Neil asks the parrot to say “run-a-way federal spending” and the parrot says “David Trone”, etc.
      ************************************************

      VA
      Wexler (D-Inc) holds the CD immediately south of me. That is the one Hung Cau [“Cow”] (R) is running in. I very much dislike Jennifer Wexler (liked the R gal incumbent–forner State senator Barbara Comstock, from Winchester–that Wexler beat) and hope Wexler loses. But I think Wexler wins. This district includes parts of Fairfax County and Part of Prince William [D areas]. Loudoun County [population 430,000] will be the thing to watch. Loudoun was where the school board controversy was.

      If Cow beats Wexler, then there will be a big R wave.

      In redistricting, the heavy R areas of Fredrick County VA (Winchester), and Clarke County were taken OUT of this district and put into CD 6–which is now the whole Shenandoah Valley from Winchester south clear down to Roanoke VA (should be an R win here)
      ——————————————-

      Also VA
      further south, Incumbent Abigail Spanburger is a supposed D ‘moderate’. Yeslie Vega is the R opponent. In 2020 the R legislature redistricting took away some of the heavy D areas of that district (Northern Richmond area suburb counties). So Vega has a fairly decent shot at winning here.

      Spanburger beat David Brat (R-Inc.) 50-49 in 2018.
      Then beat Nick Fritas 51-49 two years later.
      Vega won a crowded R primary this spring with 29% of the vote and the other opponents got 24,20, 17, 6, 4%.
      The D primary was cancelled.

      I get LOTS of TV ads here (from the D.C. stations) in BOTH of these races VA CD 7 and 10.

      Vega had ads up early, Cow’s ads have been put up later in the cycle.

      In BOTH races, the D candidates are doing a masterful job of painting the R as a wacky extremist.

    181. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      184. Keep in mind the Paul Pelosi last May did some jail time for drunk driving and getting into an accident:

      “Among the requirements of Judge Joseph Solga’s sentence are: serving five days in jail; paying victim restitution and a court fine; completing a three-month DUI program; and completing three years of probation.

      He received credit for four days served: two for the two days he served in jail following his arrest and two days’ time for good conduct. The fifth day of the sentence will be served on a court work program, so the 82-year-old will not serve any more time in jail.”

      We likely will learn more facts after the election. There appears to be a furious effort now to cover things up. So a Canadian nudist with serious mental health issues has been reincarnated by the Democrats to be a MAGA fanatic.

    182. Cash Cow TM says:

      “Mr. Cash Cow, I know it’s been talked about a lot over the past 10 years, but what is the probability of Sen Manchin switching parties…”

      I do not think that will EVER happen.
      Would be SHOCKED if it did.

      He is 75 yrs. old now.
      77 when/if he runs for reelection to 6 yr. term and IF reelected, 83 when term is completed.

      About 1/3 of the Ds in WV hate him for holding up Biden agenda for many months.
      About 90% of all Rs hate him for caving and finally supporting and causing to pass the so-called “Inflation Reduction Act”.

      He IS an opportunist though.
      He is no dummy and certainly understands that WV has gone deep red.
      And he SHOULD know that there is nothing else for him to run for on the D side–no higher office.
      There is some speculation he may run for governor again in 2024. I doubt that.

      Party switching from D to R helped Gov. Justice, and other WV state legislators, and other good long-time Ds who switched to R in elections on the county level to win county offices.

      If COW was Manchin and Rs took majority in Senate, Cow would switch to GOP and help push sensible U.S. energy policy like getting approval of WV NatGas pipelines, etc.

      …And then retire when senate term ended.

      Manchin MAY chose to NOT run for reelection.
      If he DOES run, I think he loses. He BARELY won last time against WV AG Patrick Morrisey and Manchin got LESS THAN 50% of the voted cast due to 3rd candidate running.

    183. Cash Cow TM says:

      https://fb.watch/gBwaX_5oMO/

      ballot harvesting in
      FL.

      Dem whistlebower says yes.

    184. jason says:

      Gordon Allen says:
      November 4, 2022 at 5:15 pm

      Jason how do you square Trumps stance on trade w China and yours,or Trumps demand for impeachment of McConnell ,with your defense of McConnell?. For starters.
      Just asking mind you?”

      Hey moron, contrary to you I actually think for myself and I don’t get my views from magazines and video games.

      I disagree with Trump on trade, have always done so, I think his AFL-CIO agenda of stupid trade wars and tariffs were just another tax on the American consumer that could least afford it.

      I disagree with Trump’s attacks on McConnell (and McCain) and have always done so.

      Anyone who has read my posts understands that, but I know understanding is not your forte.

      GFY.

    185. Bitterlaw says:

      Meldrim/NYC – Tina hates Barrett because she does not follow the Gateway Pundit script. She says Lagos would have been but we all know Tina would find reasons to blast her, too, if she was on SCOTUS.

    186. NYCmike says:

      Oddly enough, Bitterlaw, most of what Tina comments on ends up being pretty close to right on.

      I disagree with her on this ACB decision.

      Maybe instead of pre-judging what she says through the “dislike-Gateway-Pundit” lens, you would simply show your proof why you think she may be wrong on a particular criticism or belief…….just a thought…..

    187. NYCmike says:

      https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/russia-exposes-germanys-weakness?utm_campaign=Beltway+Confidential&utm_term=

      -Once again, we see why Trump was correct to go after specific NATO countries…….as George Washington cautioned over 245 years ago, BEWARE getting entangled in European intrigue!! No permanent alliances! OUR interests must be constantly re-evaluated!

    188. jason says:

      No permanent alliances! OUR interests must be constantly re-evaluated!”

      Zzzzz….

      NYC supported NATO until Trump’s idiotic rhetoric against it.

      He opposed tariffs until Trump imposed them.

      He was against deficit spending until Trump said it didn’t matter.

      He called Rubio a traitor for shaking hands with Schumer but has no problem with Trump actually funding Harry Reid, Hillary Clinton, and Schumer for decades.

      The hypocrisy is astounding.

    189. jason says:

      Meldrim/NYC – Tina hates Barrett because she does not follow the Gateway Pundit script. She says Lagos would have been but we all know Tina would find reasons to blast her, too, if she was on SCOTUS.”

      Yep, the first vote Tina didn’t agree with and Lagoa would become another RINO traitor in a nanosecond.

    190. jason says:

      BIDEN: “I was just in Syracuse, New York…before that I was in, down in, in uh, uh in, a little further down in the middle of New York at an outfit called IBM. They’re investing in these chips for, for serious, anyway, I won’t go through them.”

    191. jason says:

      you would simply show your proof why you think she may be wrong on a particular criticism or belief…….just a thought…..”

      Most idiotic comment of the week.

      Has NYC ever presented any “proof” of any of the idiocies he posts here?

      Geezus.

    192. NYCmike says:

      #197 – jason, you live in a world where you must not understand what other people write……is it the English/Quichuan translation, or are you just dim?

    193. NYCmike says:

      “Has NYC ever presented any “proof” of any of the idiocies he posts here?”

      -Yes, they are called links. You “link” to another internet page, and you explain why you agree/disagree with what the writer says.

      Do you think Germany was correct to rely on Russia for so much?

      Was Trump wrong when he warned them not to become too dependent?

      Do you want the U.S. of A. to constantly have to pull European entities out of these bad relationships?

      Did the last 2 centuries of world history get taught in your primary school?

    194. NYCmike says:

      You keep mentioning these “terrible” tariffs that the USA had to deal with……..all the while, employment was at record numbers, along with rising wages……hmmmmmmmm……

    195. NYCmike says:

      In a perfect world, tariffs are not the best way to do business.

      Last I checked, the world was not perfect, and a few specific countries were using our openness as a weapon against us.

    196. NYCmike says:

      “He was against deficit spending until Trump said it didn’t matter.”

      -I am still against deficit spending. I did not agree with Trump’s spending habits, he was foolish to not veto more spending bills.

      Of course, considering that Rand Paul’s Penny Plan was too much of a cut for Republicans/independents like you, it seems to be a battle to fight another day. Hopefully, 55 Senate seats will be won, and it will give some spine to those who say they want a more balanced federal budget. I know I will support them.

    197. NYCmike says:

      “He called Rubio a traitor for shaking hands with Schumer but has no problem with Trump actually funding Harry Reid, Hillary Clinton, and Schumer for decades.”

      -One did it AFTER being elected as a Republican Senator.

      The other did it BEFORE becoming a Republican, and I didn’t support him in the primary because of it.

      Does the Before and After translate for you??

    198. NYCmike says:

      “NYC supported NATO until Trump’s idiotic rhetoric against it.”

      -As for NATO, I support them as long as they are good for OUR interests.

      Our interests should be re-evaluated on a continuing basis.

      If you think that is hypocrisy, you are still defining words incorrectly.

    199. NYCmike says:

      Cheers!

      Get out and vote!

      Go Lee Zeldin!

      55 Senators!
      245 House!
      26-10 Governors!

    200. Tina says:

      Bl, wrong again.

      You and Wes are like 0-15 combined, but I digress.

      I mentioned Lagoa in 2020, before Trump nominated Beotchy.

      She has been a poor pick for all of the reasons I cited.

    201. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      2024 National Republican Primary Poll:

      Trump 55%
      DeSantis 17%
      Pence 7%
      Rubio 3%
      Cruz 3%
      Haley 2%
      Pompeo 2%
      T. Scott 1%
      .
      Without Trump
      DeSantis 40%
      Pence 18%
      Cruz 9%
      Rubio 4%
      Haley 3%
      Pompeo 3%
      T. Scott 1%

      @Harvard@HarrisPoll
      RV ~ 10/12-10/13

    202. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      A day in the life of Elon Musk:

      “My dog bit me on the leg today, My cat clawed my eyes
      Ma’s been thrown out of the social circle and Dad has to hide

      I went to church incognito, when everybody rose
      The Reverend Smedley, He recognized me and punched me in the nose”

    203. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      @leezeldin
      Governor candidate, NY

      Attention New Yorkers…Don’t forget to change your clocks this Sunday and your Governor this Tuesday!

    204. Gordon Allen says:

      What’s pathetic is somebody who loves to punch, but howls at the moon when punched back.
      Thanks Jason for conceding the accuracy of my statements. You do indeed differ with Trump on significant policy and political issues, as I said, yet you hyperventilate against anyone who argues against Trump being the GOP nominee.
      Curious if you are willing/able to name specific differences you might have with DeSantis. Just for comparison purposes

    205. Gordon Allen says:

      On a serious topic; WSJ editorial: The Big one is coming,and the US military is not ready”.
      The quote is from Admiral Richard ,Chief of US Strategic Command.
      This from a guy who knows,should be a wakeup call for those who casually assume US military superiority and ability to be strong everywhere against anybody and everybody. We’re not,and have to make Strategic choices and assign priorities, or else dramatically increase our defense potential and industrial base..like yesterday.

    206. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      What would an election cycle be like if we did not get the one Wyoming Poll from the University of Wyoming?! Rest easy, here it is!

      http://www.uwyo.edu/uw/news/2022/11/uw-survey-finds-republicans-expected-to-sweep-statewide-races.html

    207. jason says:

      Thanks Jason for conceding the accuracy of my statements. You do indeed differ with Trump on significant policy and political issues,”

      Only a moron like you hadn’t noticed that I differed from Trump on trade and that I have been calling him a protectionist and isolationist for years.

      So I don’t know where the “accuracy” comes in.

      I give Trump credit for a lot of accomplishments such as energy independence, anti-MSM, anti-woke, lower taxes, deregulation, conservative judges, stronger military, border control, etc, so on balance I think he was a good President.

      Your argument is so stupid that I can turn it around and say why are you a TDS moron if you agree with a lot of those policies, but that is probably too difficult a concept for your tiny brain.

    208. jason says:

      Curious if you are willing/able to name specific differences you might have with DeSantis. Just for comparison purposes”

      If DeSantis shares any of Trump’s AFL-CIO agenda and isolationist and protectionist I will certainly have differences with him.

      My main problem with DeSantis is I still have my doubts on how good a candidate he is for a GE. Despite your “guarantees” I have not seen one poll where DeSantis does better than Trump with the demographics/in the swing states needed to win. Trump appears to be a stronger candidate for the GE. Maybe that will change, but right now it is a a fact. And no, winning in FL is not any evidence of that.

      Looks like many Rs have the same issue.

      2024 National Republican Primary Poll:

      Trump 55%
      DeSantis 17%
      Pence 7%
      Rubio 3%
      Cruz 3%
      Haley 2%
      Pompeo 2%
      T. Scott 1%

    209. jason says:

      “Has NYC ever presented any “proof” of any of the idiocies he posts here?”

      -Yes, they are called links.”

      LOL

    210. jason says:

      -As for NATO, I support them as long as they are good for OUR interests. ”

      EUREKA!

      There is a glimmer of understanding through the foggy brain.

    211. Tgca says:

      214

      I agree! US arrogance about its military may go the way of Rome or Russia.

      China is stealinginvesting much into its military while the US spends its money on wokeness in the military.

      I have never seen so many plump, overweight US military people in uniform in my life as in the last decade. Clearly, the standards have been lowered.

      Thank God we don’t need to have hand-to-hand combat with the Chinese because I think they’d kick the azz of most of these chubby US military service folks.

    212. Tgca says:

      218

      Agreed! DeSantis has to show he can connect with the working class outside Floreedah. DeSantis will get the white working class in Floreedah north of Palm Beach because by default many vote GOP but those working class Dems in MI, PA, WI are different than what many refer to as our white trash in Floreedah.

      I have never seen so much homeless as I’ve seen in south Floreedah. It’s becoming like parts of San Francisco but maybe not as bad yet. It’s creeping up north from Fort Lauderdale to Pompano Beach and other smaller cities.

      Try catching a bus along Federal Highway (US Route 1) and you will find homeless routinely sprawled out with belongings sleeping at the bus stops or local parks or strip malls.

      This could come back to haunt DeSantis in the next year or so as the housing crisis here worsens too.

      So far DeSantis is focused on cultural issues like his battles with Disney but I’ve seen no effort to combat housing to help the working class in south Floreedah which is hit the hardest by it.

      Right now everyone is blaming Biden but that can only go so far when it becomes a state and local issue.

    213. jason says:

      Trump 55%
      DeSantis 17%

      Can any of the DeSantis sycophants here explain why R voters prefer Trump to him by over 3-1?

      And that despite all the hoopla about DeSantis being the best candidate for the GOP less than 1 in 5 support him for the nomination?

      Can any of you explain why their views should be ignored as you anoint DeSantis the nomination?

      Thanks.

    214. jason says:

      I am asking for a friend, since I won’t be voting in the PA primary for either one.

    215. Tgca says:

      206

      Trump split his money and support between Dems and the GOP for decades as contribution records show, and in total gave more to the GOP. He did it to sweeten the pot for his business dealings as most companies that make political contributions do. Trump was NEVER politically ideological. He was what I call a practical politician.

      Reagan on the other hand was ideological and supported ONLY liberal causes for decades in Hollywood. He was a UUUGE supporter of FDR and lefties Dem policies and routinely campaigned against the GOP into his early 50s.

      It wasn’t until Reagan got hit with high taxes and the communist agenda reared it ugly head did he VERY SLOWLY migrate to GOP ideology after years of being mentored by conservatives of the time. It took nearly 15 years for Reagan to let go of his liberal leanings. He was a slow learner so to speak or perhaps just overly cautious.

    216. jason says:

      “Agreed! DeSantis has to show he can connect with the working class outside Floreedah. DeSantis will get the white working class in Floreedah north of Palm Beach because by default many vote GOP but those working class Dems in MI, PA, WI are different”

      Nah, I read here that they are exactly the same and DeSantis will “inherit” their votes without having to lift a finger. As far as I can see it is based not on any real evidence, but on “DeSantis is younger and better looking” and “posts fewer mean tweets”.

    217. JeffP says:

      223 Jason that is definitely a great question to be asking and needs an answer regardless if DeSantis runs or not.

      I am a little skeptical about who makes up the 55% number this early. But regardless I think its something that people that want DeSantis over Trump like myself need to think through beyond the hypothetical if he were to run head to head with DJT. I am not putting too much thought into now thinking Trump is going to run anyway and I don’t think DeSantis will run if Trump does so its probably a moot point for now.

      Looking forward if for some reason Trump doesn’t run you would hope to build on the coalition he has built and answering that question helps regardless.

    218. Cash Cow TM says:

      HEADLINE COUNT TODAY
      (I know, nobody else cares)

      MSN
      34 headlines
      12 Trump, anti GOP

      AOL
      50 headlines
      9 Trump, anti-GOP

    219. jason says:

      He did it to sweeten the pot for his business dealings as most companies that make political contributions do. Trump was NEVER politically ideological. He was what I call a practical politician.”

      BS. What a crock of crap.

      Trump was a liberal Dem. He is on record as being for partial birth abortion, Dem economic policies, deficit spending (still is) and universal paid for the government health care, plus he always believed in the AFL-CIO protectionist agenda (still does). “Never ideological” my ass.

      And of course, everything Tgca writes about Reagan. Reagan was a true ideological, doctrinaire, conservative decades before he became President. He was an influential author, speaker and campaigner for conservative causes long before being President.

      Trump has been a “conservative” for about 5 minutes of his political life.

      Even mentioning Trump and Reagan in the same sentence is a travesty.

    220. jason says:

      227. Fair enough, JeffP, I agree with your post.

      Maintaining Trump’s coalition with or without Trump is paramount to the future of the GOP in my view. I find it amazing that is such a difficult concept to grasp.

      Unfortunately, too many of the GOP elitists are still talking about “suburban white women” as the panacea for the GOP.

    221. Tgca says:

      Trump Donations per public records. This clearly shows a guy hedging his bets as a businessman and NOT embracing political ideology.

      From 1989 to 2015, Donald Trump made $1,845,290 worth of political donations. Republicans received $1,150,540 (62%) and Democrats received $694,750(38%).

      Before 2011, Trump donated 7% more money to Democrats than Republicans by a 57% to 43% split. $686,250 vs $520,390.

      Between 2011 and 2015, Trump contributed $8,500 to Democrats and $630,150 to Republicans, a 99% to 1 split.

    222. jason says:

      And of course, everything Tgca writes about Reagan is absolute trash.

    223. Tgca says:

      227

      It is being reported Trump will announce in Nov 14th he is running in 2024.

      We shall see if that’s true or not.

    224. Tina says:

      Munchkin has slammed Biden about closing all coal plants.

      Hopefully Pa is listening.

    225. jason says:

      It fails to escape Tgca that most R presidents weren’t funding the leaders of the opposing party 6 years before they became President.

      “Before 2011, Trump donated 7% more money to Democrats than Republicans by a 57% to 43% split. $686,250 vs $520,390.”

      57 to 43 is 7%?

      LOL.

    226. Tina says:

      I don’t care about trumps donations.

      I do care how he governed while president.

      Largely conservative vs the Bushies, who talked like conservatives but governed like drats

      No child left behind/

      The patriot act (which morphed against a war on citizens)

      Thousand points of liberalism,

      Large tax increases

      Amnesty

    227. Tina says:

      Biden has become the train wreck.

      The more he is out there, the more incoherent he sounds.

      He is defending Ca, Illinois, etc.

    228. Tina says:

      WAYNE ROOT: Democrats End Sad, Depressing, Desperate, Midterm Campaign with Four Worst Losers in History- Biden, Obama, Abortion and Drag Queens

    229. jason says:

      It is being reported Trump will announce in Nov 14th he is running in 2024.”

      He is probably doing it so if he gets indicted he can claim it is political (and of course he is right).

      So it is smart politics.

      A smart DeSantis move would be to (not publicly, of course) let Trump know he would pardon him if elected. If Trump is only announcing for that reason, it could head him off at the pass.

    230. Tgca says:

      242

      Trash to Jadon, truth to the rest of the world. It is well documented about Reagan’s past allegiance to the Dems for decades.

      He campaigned for and supported libs and their policies for decades. Probably because of the influence of his parents, his dad was an FDR sycophant, and his surroundings in Hollywood where many stars of his day were FDR supporters.

      There is more evidence of Reagan’s liberal stances than evidence of most other accepted truths on presidents prior to FDR.

      You can’t erase public records and Reagan’s own admissions, including his own son Michael who has written about his dads conversion from a staunch liberal to a conservative.

      Reagan was waaaay left of Trump in his day by comparison.

    231. Phil says:

      Can anyone explain why R voters prefer him over DeSantis by more than 3-1?

      Yeah, I can. Easy as pie.

      DeSantis would carry the country club old guard educated Republicans by a couple of points. Trump carries the working-class Republican voters by over thirty. It’s called math.

      That’s it. The Republican base isn’t dominated by the Romney establishment types any longer. The Roves and Bushes can’t grasp that. They are still assuming the old coalitions are still intact, and that they speak for the base. They do not any longer. The Republican establishment just doesn’t get that….and they make it worse by looking down their nose and hating on the new Republican base of working-class whites, Hispanics, and even working-class blacks. That’s the future of the Republican Party if you want to stop the present woke, authoritarian left. If you don’t get that then you will continue to be baffled when Trump leads by 40 points with Republican voters.

    232. Tina says:

      David Rothschild ?

      @DavMicRot
      Fact is Republican policies of cutting taxes for rich & flooding US with high capacity guns will increase inflation & crime.
      7:35 AM · Nov 5, 2022
      ·Twitter for iPhone

    233. jason says:

      If you don’t get that then you will continue to be baffled when Trump leads by 40 points with Republican voters.”

      Yeah, Neville Allen is easily “baffled”.

    234. Tina says:

      Drats excuses for losing the midterms (in no particular order):

      Pooty poot/Muh Russia

      Elon /Twitter

      Trump

    235. Tina says:

      “We are going to be shutting the coal plants down all over America.”

      Biden

    236. Phil says:

      Save our “Democracy” The left is trying to tell us that Democracy is spelled “Democrat”

    237. Tgca says:

      235

      You mean like Reagan being a Dem less than 5 years before becoming CA Gubbernor?

      Jadon is stretching it now trying to tie to specific dates but he still can’t erase Reagan’s liberal record for decades.

      Trump was NEVER ideological. Any historian will tell you that. Reagan was! He was a liberal for decades and supported, and advocated for liberal policies and campaigned for liberals into middle-age.

      Reagan was tutored to become a conservative. He did not get their on his own. He was mentored by and chosen to be a conservative spokesman by leading conservatives of the day.

    238. jason says:

      Reagan was waaaay left of Trump in his day by comparison.”

      BS.

      In the first place Reagan was already a conservative at least 25 years before he became President.

      Not only conservative, but a conservative LEADER, influential writer and speaker and politician. Can you think of one thing for conservatism Trump ever did before he became President? No? Me neither.

      Second, the Democratic party Reagan belonged to in his youth was not the Democratic party Trump was funding in 2010, today’s Dem party is wayyyy to the left of the Dem party of even the 60’s and 70’s.

    239. jason says:

      Reagan was tutored to become a conservative.”

      Damm good tutors, I guess.

      Too bad they weren’t around to “tutor” Trump.

    240. jason says:

      Reagan was! ”

      Yep, Reagan was an ideological conservative.

      He was an ideological, doctrinaire, influential conservative for decades.

    241. jason says:

      Joy Reid claims Americans have been taught the word “inflation” by Republicans.

      She said before this, “only journalists and economists” used the word.

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

    242. jason says:

      “Now, the close New York contest between Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin has galvanized both parties heading into the final feverish days of the campaign. Worry about turnout has led to a flood of money, events and special guests — from Bill and Hillary Clinton to Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

      “When Democrats turn out, we win,” Hochul said Friday morning on CNN. “I think what’s not being captured in the polls is that there really is, finally, energy on the ground. It doesn’t manifest itself earlier, but you only need to peak on Election Day.”

      Hochul doesn’t see the irony that the NY governor race needs Biden, the Clintons and Kamala to help out in NY instead of being in GA, PA, NV, NH, etc.

    243. Phil says:

      Looking forward to Tuesday night. It’s a shame we won’t get a handle on the Senate outcome for days after that. That’s a f*cking disgrace.

      Arizona – at least three days and probably 4.

      Pennsylvania – Two days at least.

      Georgia – probably a Dec 5th runnoff.

      With regards to Arizona and Pennsylvania it is outrageous. Florida counts 14 million votes in four hours.

    244. Tgca says:

      I think DeSantis can bond with the working class but he has yet made that a center piece of his political agenda.

      He is spending his capital fighting Disney and groomers, and though that is grand, that will only get him so many votes. He will need to get the trust of the white working class Dems that Trump converted to his side. Those people are loyal to Trump and not the GOP and will crawl over broken glass to support him. DeSantis has no such loyalty from them.

      So unless there is a permanent political alignment due to Biden’s disastrous leadership which I doubt, DeSantis CANTwin POTUS without some of those traditional Dem states with the working class.

      He will need at least one of the MI, PA, WI to win the EC. These states have traditionally voted Dem in POTUS elections the last 30+ years prior to Trump.

      That is the math and the facts!

    245. Phil says:

      …..but then, Florida is set up to prevent fraud.

    246. Tgca says:

      Reagan was MOVING towards conservatism. He was NOT fully converted as you claim 25 years before becoming POTUS. As gubbernor of CA in the late 60s he supported liberal policies like officially legalizing ABORTION and implemented CA largest tax increase among others.

      Do you think conservatives like GWB and most of today’s GOP gubbernors and senators would vote for those things?

      Not even Liz Cheney would support those.

      Accept that Reagan SLOWLY transitioned to conservative ideas but it took him nearly most of his adult life prior to 1980 to get there.

    247. jason says:

      Zzzzzz…..

      More lies from Tgca. Reagan was a CONSERVATIVE governor of CA, and cherry picking a couple issues doesn’t change that.

      And of course what he did was loosen some restrictions on abortion, health of the mother and rape and incest, he didn’t “officially legalize” anything. In fact, it only “legalized” about 2% of the estimated 100k illegal abortions in CA. Also Reagan made sure abortions for “deformed” reason were kept illegal. And abortions after 20 weeks were still illegal.

      “Titled the Therapeutic Abortion Law, it becomes effective in about three months and legalizes abortions:

      1. In cases of rape or incest.

      2. If the physical or mental health of the expectant mother is jeopardized.

      California becomes the third state to have such a law. North Carolina and Colorado approved somewhat stronger legislation earlier this year. Abortions are legal in California now only if the mother’s life is endangered.

      Under the California statute, accredited hospitals may establish abortion committees of three doctors each.

      An abortion may be performed during the first 12 weeks of pregnancy with the approval of two of the three committee members. From 12 to 20 weeks unanimous approval is required. The bill would not permit abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy.”

    248. jason says:

      “Accept that Reagan SLOWLY transitioned to conservative ideas but it took him nearly most of his adult life prior to 1980 to get there.”

      What I accept is that this is another scurrilous, unfounded and idiotic attack on Reagan and a bald faced lie.

    249. jason says:

      And btw, MANY conservatives like me think abortion should be legal in the first 20 weeks so GFY.

    250. jason says:

      Ouch…

      “The former Atlanta city councilmember who filled the remainder of the term of Democrat civil rights hero John Lewis in the House delivered a surprise endorsement of Republican incumbent Governor Brian Kemp on Friday. He also endorsed Republican Burt Jones in the lt. governor race rather than back the Democrat who defeated him in a runoff.

      Kwanza Hall was the top vote-getter in the first round of the Democrat primary for lt. governor. In the primary run-off, Stacey Abrams endorsed his challenger, Charlie Bailey, who is now running on the Democrat ticket as the lt. governor candidate. Hall’s endorsement of the two top Republican candidates may be political payback against Abrams but you can believe that both Kemp and Burt Jones will embrace the endorsement and tout their ability to work with all Georgians. The endorsement speaks to a crossover appeal for voters. Hall is one of the highest-profile Democrats to support their campaigns.”

    251. jason says:

      Even though he didn’t endorse Warnock, it should help because the more votes Kemp gets, the more Walker gets.

    252. jason says:

      Do you think conservatives like GWB and most of today’s GOP gubbernors and senators would vote for those things?”

      Yeah, I think they would allow the exceptions Reagan allowed and most are probably ok with at least 15 weeks.

    253. jason says:

      I hope Oz is making an ad about this as we speak.

      “Let me be clear, this is something the President has never said to me,” Manchin said of the Biden comments. “Being cavalier about the loss of coal jobs for men and women in West Virginia and across the country who literally put their lives on the line to help build and power this country is offensive and disgusting.

      “The President owes these incredible workers an immediate and public apology and it is time he learn a lesson that his words matter and have consequences,” Manchin said.

    254. jason says:

      If you lose Chuck Todd….

      “Chuck Todd said last night from an AZ operative he trusts that Masters is leading by 4 right now”

    255. Tina says:

      Arizona and Nevada will look a lot different with real conservatives vs the squishes.

      Just saying,

    256. Tgca says:

      Reagan’s ABORTION law officially legalized ABORTION into state law, only the 3rd state in the US at the time.

      The law made it easy for anyone to have an ABORTION by claiming mental health issues like “it will stress me out.” The same claim used to this day as a mental health issue. He made ABORTION easily accessible.

      Accept it! Reagan’s ABORTION law was a leader in ABORTION rights.

      …and ABORTION is not a conservative value whether at 20 weeks or 39 weeks.

      You’re cherry picking an arbitrary time to satisfy your support of ABORTION just like many gay men think sex with 14, 15 and 16 year-old boys is acceptable because they have generally reached sexual maturity. It’s an arbitrary choice to support a desired outcome.

    257. Tgca says:

      263

      No! I don’t think most conservatives believe mental health issues such as stress and depression should be advocacy for ABORTION.

      The vast majority of exceptions for mental health are not people who are crazy or need to be committed due to mental illness, it’s because it will cause stress, frustration, and depression.

      Hardly reasons to support killing babies.

    258. jason says:

      Clean up on aisle 4 as Tgca gets caught lying about Reagan again.

    259. jason says:

      The law Reagan signed provided some exceptions up to 12 weeks and special authorization up to 20 weeks. It did not “officially legalize abortion” and only affected 2% of existing illegal abortions in CA at the time.

      I approve of this law, and I think 20 weeks is a perfectly reasonable compromise all states should adopt. Some will be more restrictive, which I don’t agree with, some will be less restrictive, which I don’t agree with.

      CONSERVATIVE jason.

    260. Tgca says:

      I’ll do the math for you.

      Reagan was born in 1911. He became an adult in 1929 at age 18. He was 69 in 1980 which means he was an adult for 51 years as of that time.

      The record shows he supported liberal causes, campaigns, and was officially a member of the Dem party until 1962 when he was 51. So he was a Dem for 33 years of his adult life up to that point.

      33 adult years as of 1962 in ratio to 51 adult years as of 1980 is 65%, a majority of his adult life. That’s how long he was married to the Dem party. The fact that he STARTED to embrace some conservative ideas in the 1950s under mentoring from REAL conservatives of the day but did not make the full transition to conservatism for more than a decade is irrelevant because during that transition decade he was still a Dem and supported various Dems and their ideology.

      You’ve been schooled in basic math.

    261. EML says:

      RRH polled OH-13, VA-07, and OR-04. Essentially all tied. What a waste lol.

      OH-13 46D 44R
      OR-04 45-45
      VA-07 47-47

    262. Tgca says:

      271

      There have been babies that have survived birth at 21 weeks but Jadon supports ABORTION at 20 weeks.

      That’s like lefties arguing they support ABORTION up to a week before the birth of a baby in its 9th month.

      That is NOT conservative! It’s IGORENTZ of science and viability.

    263. jason says:

      And abortion is hardly a litmus test on who is a conservative.

      Few Americans believe there should be a total ban on abortions, just like few Americans believe there should be no restrictions.

      If you can’t be a conservative and approve of exceptions and say a 15-20 week standard for abortions, then there are not going to be a lot of conservatives around.

    264. Tgca says:

      271

      The Reagan ABORTION law codified ABORTION into CA law, the 1st time EVER in that state and only the 3rd state in the US to do that at a time when probably 80%+ of the US would NOT support ABORTION outside rape. Probably 90%+ at that time would NOT support ABORTION because of claimed mental health issues like stress, frustration, and depression which is what the Reagan ABORTION law allowed.

      In essence, Reagan ushered in ABORTION on demand in CA. All you had to do was claim mental health issues. He even claimed he later regretted it, at least that’s what he said in the 70s while seeking higher office.

    265. jason says:

      The record shows he supported liberal causes, campaigns, and was officially a member of the Dem party until 1962 when he was 51. So he was a Dem for 33 years of his adult life up to that point.”

      BS. He was a Democrat for Eisenhower in 1952, so he was hardly a leftist. He was actually working at least from the mid 50’s for GE promoting capitalism and attacking socialism.

      “Reagan referred to his GE years as his “post-graduate education in political science” and observed that “it wasn’t a bad apprenticeship for someone who’d someday enter public life.” He spoke of his “self-conversion” during these years, and that he ended up “preaching sermons” about his strongly-held beliefs. His speechwriters at the White House frequently admitted using the speeches of the GE years as the basis of their own efforts. The fact that he achieved so much of what he advanced as his goals, confirms the merit of his ideas. But it also testifies to the effectiveness of lessons he learned about how to turn his vision into political majorities and governmental acts.

      The GE years provide an insight, to borrow Bill Safire’s phrase, as to “what made Reagan Reagan.” The question remains whether the political landscape today affords an opportunity to achieve a revolution and whether there is anyone on the scene to lead it”

      However, on October 27, 1964, two years after he had left GE, Reagan delivered a nationally-televised speech in support of conservative Barry Goldwater, the Republican candidate for president. Supporters and critics alike thereafter referred to Reagan’s remarks as “The Speech.” The dean of the Washington press corps referred to it as “the most successful political debut since William Jennings Bryan’s ‘Cross of Gold’ speech in 1896.” In 1966, Reagan was elected governor of California”

      Reagan was only 41 in 1952.

      Meanwhile Trump, who NEVER lifted a finger for any conservative principle in his entire life, was funding Chuck Schumer until he was 66.

      Like I said, even putting Reagan and Trump in the same sentence is a travesty.

      Meanwhile Trump, who never

    266. jason says:

      The Reagan ABORTION law codified ABORTION into CA law”

      Another lie.

      Abortion was already legal in CA, but for only 1 exception.

      Reagan added two more exceptions but it was still illegal after 12 weeks or until 20 weeks with special authorization.

      Fact!

    267. jason says:

      There have been babies that have survived birth at 21 weeks but Jadon supports ABORTION at 20 weeks”

      LOL

    268. Phil says:

      Congrats, Jason. You let Tgca rope you into a back and forth on abortion.

    269. jason says:

      Btw, the 21 week (and 5 days, so almost 22 weeks) survival baby was a World Record.

      24 weeks is considered the earliest, only with major medical intervention, and even then the survival rate is less than 50%

      No baby has EVER survived at 20 weeks.

    270. Tgca says:

      275

      Jadon changing goal posts because the facts are not on his side.

      No one here I recall is saying ABORTION should be a 100% ban as there are serious medical issues that may warrant it. But mental health excuses opened up ABORTION on demand which is what you support and most REAL conservatives don’t support.

      I’ve provided evidence of viability at 21 weeks and with today’s technology or undocumented instances likely sooner viability can occur.

    271. jason says:

      But if it will make Tgca happy, and allow for future advances in technology, let’s compromise on 19 weeks.

      Deal?

    272. jason says:

      or undocumented instances likely sooner viability can occur.”

      LOL

    273. Gordon Allen says:

      Quit this arguing w Jason. He argues with everyone every day from dawn to dusk; it his stick.
      Can I meekly observe the following re Trump v Reagan: DeSantis was never a Democrat unlike either.

      There. Bye for today. Football to warch

    274. jason says:

      I’ve provided evidence of viability at 21 weeks”

      Maybe 2 babies out of millions survived at 21 weeks, while NONE have survived at 20 weeks.

      Nicholas Stephen Alkemade jumped from a burning plane at 22000 feet without a parachute and survived by hitting some spruce trees and bouncing into a snow bank.

      But that is hardly “evidence” you can jump from planes at 22k feet safely.

    275. Tgca says:

      281

      Now Jadon googling trying to wiggle out of his goalpost shifting.

      Here’s a story of a baby that was born at 21 weeks and 1 days which is closer to 21 weeks then 22.

      That beats the official world record Jadon notes.

      https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/worlds-most-premature-baby-curtis-means-172139245.html

    276. jason says:

      Phil says:
      November 5, 2022 at 1:29 pm

      Congrats, Jason. You let Tgca rope you into a back and forth on abortion.”

      What the hell, slow day.

      Neville Allen was reading magazines and playing video games, now watching footbal..

    277. jason says:

      Here’s a story of a baby that was born at 21 weeks and 1 days which is closer to 21 weeks then 22.”

      Ok that is 4 days younger than the record I posted.

      So Tgca admits there is no record of any baby surviving 20 weeks?

      Now we are making progress.

    278. jason says:

      So now that Tgca agrees with me there is no viability earlier than 21 weeks, and even that is what 1 in 10 million, are we ok with 20 weeks?

      Good, let’s move on.

    279. Tgca says:

      286

      You’re changing goal posts again.

      With todays technology, you don’t know if a baby can survive at 20 weeks or 19 weeks because hospitals have policies where they don’t use resources for that early. That’s party of the problem!

      The babies I referenced above were born decades ago before the advances we have today and survived at 21 weeks. Imagine the advances that can be made today if we put resources to it instead of ABORTION.

      The survival of breast cancer less than 50 years has doubled. The survival rate is much higher today with science and technology. If we did not fund breast cancer treatment and survival, the death rates today would be the same as decades ago. FACT!

    280. Tgca says:

      290

      No! See my point in 291.

      If we took your approach to childhood leukemia and breast cancer, survival rates would be astronomically low today.

      We err on the side of life, not death.

    281. Tina says:

      He looks old, tired, and may not be the best messenger here.

      Greg Price

      @greg_price11
      ·
      1h
      Obama: “I understand democracy may not seem like a top priority right now when gas and grocery prices are high… We’ve seen throughout history what happens when you give up on democracy. We can see it in other countries where gov’t tells you what books you can read.”

    282. Tina says:

      Huge trump rally tonight in Latrobe, pa.

    283. Tina says:

      The fetterman rally is off to a GREAT start.

      https://twitter.com/RNCResearch/status/1588921837903380489

    284. Tgca says:

      …and Jadon misses my whole point on ABORTION. It is morally wrong and an unnatural act of infanticide and selfishness.

      Any woman that chooses an ABORTION of choice for personal reasons beyond medical necessity or rape is NOT fit to be a mother. Murdering your unborn baby is an unnatural human act.

      Reagan’s ABORTION law ushered in an exception for women to claim mental health issues to get an ABORTION. That’s all you needed to do under the Reagan ABORTION law. Reagan later realized he was duped by that exception and claimed he regretted signing that law.

    285. Tgca says:

      Imagine if 30 years ago, Jadon’s 19 week pregnant wife got into an argument with some vegan lady in a store over her buying all those cans of spam in her cart and it resulted in a shoving match and Mrs Jadon fell to the ground or she got punched in the stomach and lost the baby.

      I’m sure Jadon would say it was no not a viable baby at 19 weeks so he would accept a slap on the wrist for the vegan and move on with life because after all, such silly fights and scuffles happen routinely and are a waste of time prosecuting and there was no real harm done.

    286. Bitterlaw says:

      Not sure why Tgca fights so hard to trash Reagan.

    287. Phil says:

      I’ll check back in a couple of hours when the abortion fest is over.

      Zzzzzzzzzzz

    288. Tgca says:

      Thwee Hundwid Bishes!

      Thwee Hundwid I thay!

    289. Tgca says:

      I admired Reagan. I weelly weelly do!

      I loved his optimism and think he was the right man for the right time in our country and did many good things as El Presidente. I just find it silly that people worship him like he’s a God and have a double standard in support of him. I think that’s annoying and unreasonable. Why can’t peeps just be happy with the good he did instead of trying to idolize him.

      Lefties do the same with JFK, AA do the same with Obama, and Hollywood did the same with Clinton. I think that’s silly.

      I took a lot of chit for defending Reagan in my yoot living and working in NJ/NYC and San Francisco.

    290. Tgca says:

      299. Sorry Phil.

      But ABORTION is the largest and most heinous crime this country has ever perpetuated on humanity. In 50 years, women committed genocide on over 60 million babies, nearly 20% of our current population.

      No other event in history has resulted in such horrendous evil. These babies were tortured, burned alive with saline solutions and ripped apart body part by body part without any regard to what they were physically experiencing.

      If there truly is a God of justice, these murdering mothers will spend eternity in Hell experiencing what their babies experienced because they wanted “choice” in their life.

    291. EML says:

      Doing a tour of finger lakes wineries today. Had to travel through the belly of the beast, Ithaca, capital of the granola munchers. Ithaca is nothing but Democratic lawn signs, but a 10 minute drive out of town, Zeldin everywhere and having to dodge the Amish wagons.

    292. Wes says:

      RRH has released a string of pointless congressional polls. They didn’t even try to give their results any kind of predictive insight. Usually they’re better than that.

    293. Hugh says:

      Predictit has not been kind to the gop today for no particular reason as best as I can tell.

    294. jason says:

      Nah, nobody who has to pay energy costs or works in the coal industry was offended…

      “White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre on Saturday said President Biden’s comments on the coal industry had been “twisted” after Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) earlier in the day criticized the remarks.

      “The President’s remarks yesterday have been twisted to suggest a meaning that was not intended; he regrets it if anyone hearing these remarks took offense,” Jean-Pierre said in a statement.”

    295. Marv says:

      Hugh,

      Big Democrat money attempting to skew the results.

    296. jason says:

      Predictit has not been kind to the gop today for no particular reason as best as I can tell.”

      Nothing really changed. Just normal fluctuations.

      Oz lost a few points because the Dems claim EV is good for them. Same with Laxalt. But Walker is unchanged and Masters is up.

    297. jason says:

      Bitterlaw says:
      November 5, 2022 at 2:17 pm

      Not sure why Tgca fights so hard to trash Reagan.”

      Reagan represented everything Tgca hates. Free enterprise, free markets, personal responsibility.

    298. jason says:

      I’m sure Jadon would say it was no not a viable baby at 19 weeks so he would accept a slap on the wrist for the vegan and move on with life because after all, such silly fights and scuffles happen routinely and are a waste of time prosecuting and there was no real harm done.”

      Tgca is really comparing an involuntary miscarriage with an abortion?

      Yeah, he IS a clown.

    299. Wes says:

      Tg is known for his ridiculous comparisons, Jason. Remember the other day he compared voluntary donations to SLF to supporting Biden’s agenda.

      Such specious arguments are the last refuge of someone who’s lost a debate.

    300. jason says:

      …and Jadon misses my whole point on ABORTION. It is morally wrong and an unnatural act of infanticide and selfishness.”

      You missed my point where I stated you are full of crap.

      Your opinion of a total ban on elective abortions is a minority opinion in America. Most people do not support that, probably not even a majority of Republicans.

      You can think what you want, but don’t pretend you are morally superior to anybody else. You aren’t.

      I think abortion should be legal in the first 20 weeks and I think it is just as moral an opinion as yours.

      GFY.

    301. Hugh says:

      Right after I posted that AZ and NV got noticeably better. NV EV just got posted and republicans did outstanding in the rurals. That should settle it for NV. Now the dems are betting on snow in Reno.

    302. jason says:

      and having to dodge the Amish wagons”

      They are buggies.

      Dodging them here is a way of life.

    303. jason says:

      Silverhack has moved Laxalt and Walker to almost 60/40, which tells me he has given up on these races. He has moved Masters to 36/64, a huge jump from just like 12/88 a few weeks ago.

      He still has Fetterman 53/47, if he didn’t he would probably have to post Rs as 65/35 to win the senate, disappointing his legion of Dem sycophants.

    304. Tina says:

      Breaking

      America last deadender, Rep. Cheney endorsed Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger — the third Democrat she has endorsed ahead of the election.

    305. Phil says:

      I saw all that on 538, Jason and took note on it. Thing about Silver is that he is always behind the curve on moving races towards the GOP…on purpose of course. If he moves races this significantly toward Republicans in Nevada and Georgia then, yeah, he’s given up on those races.

    306. Tina says:

      Munchkin did enable Biden, Did he even read the Climate Change Investment Act?

    307. Phil says:

      Her endorsements of Katy Hobbes and Ryan didn’t exactly move the needle, Tina. Lol

      Cheney takes the cake for delusions of importance.

    308. Tina says:

      She is beyond toxic, Phil.

      Should have been kicked out a long time ago from the caucus.

      But by her pushing the j6 hoax, she is really helping our side.

    309. Tina says:

      I believe Lake raised $300,000 the day after her endorsement of Hobbs, the racist.

      Scarfarce summed up Hobbs correctly.

      Even though I am sure Mika sent him to the penalty box..

    310. Tina says:

      Let’s see if the Houston Astros can close this out.

      I only mention the team because of Dusty Baker, who coached the SF Giants for a long time.

      In 2002, despite being up 3-2, he could not get wins in games six and seven.

      He pulled his starting pitcher too early in game 6, despite leading 5-0..

    311. Tina says:

      It would be nice if Baker won, 20 years later.

    312. Phil says:

      She is a complete joke, Tina and everyone on both sides knows it. She’s the only one that doesn’t see it. Delusional as hell.

    313. Dylan says:

      I get physically I’ll hearing Liz Cheney speak—that’s how revolting she is . Not an ounce of charisma or any other appealing quality. And homely to boot. The perfect package…….to repudiate.

      Of all the races in discussion, the one that gives me the worse t feeling or vibe is Oz/Fetterman. Something strange is going on and my gut tells me they succeed with the steal on this one .

    314. Bitterlaw says:

      Reagan was a great President with many economic, military, and foreign policy accomplishments.

      JFK was so weak that the Soviets were emboldened to erect the Berlin Wall. He was so weak the Soviets planned on putting nuclear missiles in Cuba. He nearly started a nuclear war. His popularity was largely based on being murdered.

      Another absurd Tgca comparison.

    315. Phil says:

      Seems Rich Baris is a little pissed off by the latest Marist polls released over the last 48 hours and their commentary asserting that Republican optimism is a result of a bunch of cheap Republican senate polling….so he quietly polled Ohio over the last three days. Keep in mind that Baris hit Ohio right on the nose in both 2016 and 2020 at Trump +8. He has a perfect track record in that state while the media polls all missed Ohio basically saying it was even or a slight Democratic lean. Here is what he just posted on his locals pay site:

      ‘’Ok folks, I’ve been doing something behind your back. I decided to quietly jump into Ohio when I saw Marist publish a tie along with a slew of other Senate battleground poll ALL SHOWING DEMOCRATIC LEANS’’

      ‘’Conclusion: the Media/University polls ARE FULL OF SH*T. After speaking with 731 LVs in Ohio, I decided to weigh the results to what I found. Here I weighted pretty damn favorably to Tim Ryan for age, race, education, and region. JD Vance leads 49.3-43.3. In truth, I do believe that the LV model doesn’t support these weights and the electorate is too Dem friendly. In reality, I think it’s far more likely that Vance +6 is on the lower end of the forecast range supported by the raw data. The high end being closer to 12 points and the red hot range being 8-10 points”

      Just thought I’d share.

    316. Tina says:

      According to the Washington Composte, Biden is telling Zelinsky to settle the war with Pooty poot.

      The Ukrainian grifters, Biden’s Beotch, and the gop-e won’t be happy.

    317. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      328. No. That is not what the Washington Post said. Here is the Washington Post headline:

      “U.S. privately asks Ukraine to show it’s open to negotiate with Russia

      The encouragement is aimed not at pushing Ukraine to the negotiating table, but ensuring it maintains a moral high ground in the eyes of its international backers”

    318. DW says:

      Incumbent polling – wins/losses going to back to 2010
      Below 43: All Lost.
      43 – 44.9, 3 Wins and 6 Losses
      45 – 46.9, 7 Wins and 3 Losses
      47 – 48.9, 13 Wins and 3 Losses
      49 or above: All Won.

      NV: Cortez-Masto 44.9 (was 45.1)
      GA: Warnock 46.8
      NH: Hassan 47.8
      AZ: Kelly 48.2 (was 48.3)
      WA: Murray 49.3
      CO: Bennet 49.3
      WI: Johnson 49.2 (was 49.4)
      IL: Duckworth 49.5
      OR: Wyden 51.0
      FL: Rubio 51.0
      CT: Blumenthal 52.7
      NY: Schumer 53.5

    319. DW says:

      moving NV up one notch:

      49 – Wisconsin – Johnson
      50 – Nevada – Laxalt
      51 – Georgia – Walker
      52 – Pennsylvania – Oz
      53 – Arizona – Masters
      54 – New Hampshire – Bolduc
      55 – Colorado – O’Dea
      56 – Washington – Smiley
      57 – Connecticut – Levy

    320. Phil says:

      Grassley up by 11 in the final Selzer Iowa poll. There had been some buzz when her last poll had Grassley up only 3.

    321. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Chuck Grassley(R) +12 in Selzer Iowa Senate Poll.

    322. Phil says:

      Sheeple, Wes told us months ago Budd would win this one by 5 points. As usual, as with all things political, Wes appears to have gotten this one right again.

    323. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Hi Phil:
      The IA Selzer Poll is behind a paywall. How do the four(4) Congressional races look?
      I moved to NC a decade ago. It’s a great place to live.
      Wes is my political mentor. Never doubt the man when it comes to NC politics.

    324. Robbie says:

      Olivia Rubin
      @OliviaRubinABC
      Trump at his rally in Pennsylvania just now uses a new nickname for his potential 2024 competitor Ron DeSantis:

      “Ron DeSanctimonious”

      – The bat signal has gone out from MAGA daddy. Jason fraud and the others now know it’s time to start attacking DeSantis.

    325. Tgca says:

      Wes commenting on ABORTION is a joke. If I recall correctly from other posters years back here, he abused young emotionally disturbed women, which I think you can make an argument is tantamount to sexual assault on someone not in a right state of mind, and then recommended ABORTIONS for them.

      If that is the case, I would expect someone with Wes’ morals to support ABORTION.

    326. Scooby says:

      Dumb. Why take the Dems’ bait and start hitting Ron DeSantis? There’s a lot of people who like ’em both.

    327. Tgca says:

      Bitter loves Reagan. Unfortunately for Bitter, JFK is much more loved as a president than Reagan and I think Bitter resents that.

      How many buildings and places are named after Reagan? JFK has name recognition well beyond Reagan in society and will always outshine Reagan as a historical figure.

      I don’t agree with it, but the fact is JFK is a household name for numerous generations. Reagan is a much smaller footnote in history than JFK.

    328. Tgca says:

      Jadon moves the goal posts again.

      If a woman can kill her baby at 19 weeks then why would an involuntary miscarriage caused by someone else be any different to the life of the baby?

      Either way, the baby is killed by someone.

    329. Phil says:

      Haven’t seen the whole Iowa poll, sheeple. Did they poll the congressional races as well?

    330. GF says:

      Grassley 53-41 (+12) in the Selzer, but not CD breakdown as of yet.

    331. Phil says:

      …and a Robbie drive by. Trump, Trump, Trump. Everything is always about Trump with Robbie.

      Robbie needs a psychiatrist.

    332. Tgca says:

      …and as I posted here earlier, to my recollection no one at HHR EVER said anything about ABORTION without ANY exceptions. People have specifically acknowledged exceptions for rape and serious medical necessity.

      But mental health issues like stress, frustration, and depression are not legitimate excuses to end the life of a baby.

      If that is what you support, that is sad. You support baby murdering then.

      Reagan got duped when he signed the 1st law into existence in CA that made ABORTION on demand legal. He was duped! He acknowledged that years later and claimed he regretted signing that law because how the mental health exclusion was used. These are facts! Google it.

    333. Phil says:

      Yeah, we get it Tgca. Abortion bad.

    334. Tgca says:

      Ok. Time for dinner.

      I’ll leave you with a topic. Discuss.

      Why any woman that chooses to murder her baby via an ABORTION out of convenience that is not medically necessary or because of rape is no better than child rapists and murderers.

    335. Tgca says:

      346. Phil

      Very bad!

      Very Very Bad!

      Evil as F*CK except to the HHR posters who support baby murdering.

    336. Tgca says:

      GFY auto correct!

    337. Bitterlaw says:

      JFK did nothing as the Berlin Wall went up. Reagan declared, “Mr. Gorbachev- Tear down this wall.”

      Everybody at HHR except Tgca knows Reagan was a great President.

    338. JeffP says:

      Ron DeSanctimonious … if true… is completely unnecessary and childish and not funny. It’s getting old. Talking like that about DeSantis is so divisive you would think he was trying to sabotage something. What an a**hole.

    339. Skippy says:

      Trump is unfit.

    340. Phil says:

      Trump being Trump.

    341. JeffP says:

      Trump is a narcissist. I am not even going to comment anymore other than that. I just hope we can build on the coalition he helped build. That’s all I care about. DeSantis isn’t going to run against him…it’s a stupid comment days before the election. I am going to tune him out like every other narcissist in my life.

    342. Phil says:

      DeSantis isn’t going to run against him….it’s a stupid comment days before the election

      Yep. Beyond stupid. Entirely unnecessary. Reminds me of his unnecessary and stupid attacks on McCain (who I couldn’t stand BTW) in 2016.

      Trump was a good President but he had two problems – his big mouth and the disloyal people he kept appointing which he placed around him. Both are why he’s not in the WH right now.

    343. Bitterlaw says:

      Trump has to be the story. I don’t think he cares how the GOP does in the midterms. He just wants the election over so the spotlight is entirely on him for 2 years.

    344. Tgca says:

      350

      Are you actually equating words a speechwriter gave Reagan in a photo op in the 80s as the Soviet Union was crumbling compared to the real risk of nuclear war that the US faced in the early 1960s with an emboldened superpower?

      It would have been reckless for the US to escalate a war with them at the time after the US agreed with the Soviet Union to carve up certain parts of Europe in the 1st place.

    345. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      355. “DeSantis isn’t going to run against him….it’s a stupid comment days before the election”

      Agree. If anything, it will encourage DeSantis to run. It just show Trump is all about Trump. I would vote for DeSantis over Trump in 2024 if there is a choice.

      Assume we will soon have a concerned troll fly-by comment on the subject.

    346. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      337. Looks like Robbie already did his fly-by.

    347. Bitterlaw says:

      The Soviet Union was crumbling BECAUSE of Reagan’s policies. Tear down this wall was Reagan’s line. The State Department did not want that line delivered. Reagan delivered it perfectly.

      Truly amazing that Tgca is giving a free pass to JFK for weakness while trashing Reagan for strength.

    348. JeffP says:

      I have enough narcissists (both men & women) coming through my counseling office. You can’t help some of them. I have to release a couple of them soon before they become a legal threat. LOL.

    349. Phil says:

      Once a narcissist always a narcissist. You’re right. They aren’t going to change.

    350. Robbie says:

      Caleb Howe
      @CalebHowe

      Trump was always going to try to make Gov. DeSantis’s knowledge, experience, and accomplishments seem like a negative. https://mediaite.com/a/cgylx via @mediaite

      – This is what Jason fraud and the other MAGA dopes want. A party of reactionary dummies who despise those who better themselves. It’s the essence of populism. Grievance.

    351. Tgca says:

      360

      BS! Stop with the revisionist history.

      The Soviet Union was crumbling way before Reagan took office. The WH started getting intelligence briefings on this in the late 60s and 70s.

      The advancing technology and changing economy in the 60s and 70s put the USSR at great disadvantage like many communist nations.

      The decline of the USSR had more to do with large economic institutions than any particular gubbermint.

      Go read history.

    352. jason says:

      “Ron DeSanctimonious”

      Doesn’t sound as bad as total bum and clown, which what Amoral Scumbag calls him.

    353. jason says:

      Ronald Reagan bankrupted the Soviet Union, both morally and financially. Any other version is revisionism.

      And Bitter is right, JFK was a weak, ineffective President with tremendous character deficiencies.

      Nothing special about JFK. Nada. Zilch.

    354. jason says:

      Amoral Scumbag wouldn’t vote for DeSantis in a million years.

      Everyone here knows that.

      Let’s get real.

    355. Tina says:

      Breaking

      Reports that se states are running out of diesel.

      RALEIGH, N.C. (WNCN) — A diesel fuel alert issued a week ago by a key fuel logistics company hasn’t changed — despite a small increase in inventories of diesel over the last week. The alert from Mansfield Energy a week ago was for the Southeastern United States, including North and South Carolina, Virginia, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, and Maryland.

    356. jason says:

      to my recollection no one at HHR EVER said anything about ABORTION without ANY exceptions. People have specifically acknowledged exceptions for rape and serious medical necessity.?

      I think abortion should be legal for ANY reason in the first 20 weeks.

      I don’t think my position is any less moral than yours.

      GFY.

    357. Bitterlaw says:

      I am 54 years old. I think Tgca is younger. I lived during Reagan’s greatness. I don’t need to read history by Reagan-hating leftists to know what I saw.

    358. Tgca says:

      366

      Did you get that history from the Reagan Library?

      Too bad history shows USSR was well in decline in the 70s and it was written about before Reagan became POTUS.

      The USSR was destined to fail because of the technological and economic realities of the late 20th century. It was coming down worn or without Reagan.

      As for JFK, most people will not agree with you and he’s minted in history above Reagan in rankings. In fact, I’ve never seen a historical ranking where Reagan was above JFK.

      I’m not saying I agree on JFK, I’m saying it’s the general historical view.

    359. Tina says:

      nsider Advantage Senate Polling

      GA Senate
      (R) Herschel Walker: 48%
      (D) Raphael Warnock: 45%

      PA Senate
      (R) Mehmet Oz: 48%
      (D) John Fetterman: 46%

      AZ Senate
      (R) Blake Masters: 48%
      (D) Mark Kelly: 48%

      NV Senate
      (R) Adam Laxalt: 50%
      (D) Catherine Cortez Masto: 44%

    360. Tgca says:

      Reagan did not bring down the USSR. Changing times did. We’ve seen it time and again in communist countries. China has been the only commie country to not fall to this fate because they have actually adapted in part to changing technology and economies.

    361. Bitterlaw says:

      Most historians rank Trump in the bottom 5 of Presidents. That tells you a lot about rankings.

    362. Tina says:

      Lombardo is up 5 in his rsce.

      Looks like Laxalt and Lombardo are outside the margin of fraud,

    363. jason says:

      Tgca hates Reagan because Reagan represents everything Tgca despises. Free markets, free enterprise, small government, personal responsibility.

      Reagan bankrupted the Soviet Union. Would it have eventually broken up? Probably, but it would have taken decades.

      “Changing times” my ass. Tgca just regurgitates the same old tired leftwing talking points against Reagan.

    364. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      366. “Ronald Reagan bankrupted the Soviet Union, both morally and financially. Any other version is revisionism.”

      Totally agree with Bitter and Jason. It was Reagan’s actions that brought down the Soviet Union. Reagan was one of the greatest American Presidents.

    365. jason says:

      I’m not saying I agree on JFK, I’m saying it’s the general historical view.”

      LOL

      “Historians” are 95% far leftists. Of course they don’t like Reagan anymore than you do.

      JFK was a turd of a President.

    366. jason says:

      You know Tgca is full of crap when he starts quoting “historians”.

      Maybe he agrees with this moron Bechloss that says if Rs win they end Democracy and will kill your children.

    367. Bitterlaw says:

      Jason – Tgca also defers to the anti-American UN to judge America.

    368. jason says:

      Not even America. Amerika. He can’t even bring himself to spell the name of his own country correctly, he has to continually disrespect it.

    369. jason says:

      Amerika is what Marxists and communists call it. What great company.

    370. jason says:

      I would rather starve.

      Dem says “let them eat Chef Boyardee”

      “Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney has some cheesy advice for New Yorkers struggling to make ends meet — crack open a can of Chef Boyardee.

      The House Dems campaign fundraising chief, who is also a five-term incumbent representing the Hudson Valley, gave a glowing endorsement Saturday for Beefaroni and other Chef Boyardee canned pasta products when asked about his plans “to fight inflation.”

      “Well, I grew up in a family where if the gas price went up, the food price went down, so by this time of the week we’d be eating Chef Boyardee,” Maloney told Halston Media’s owner Brett Freeman in an interview.”

    371. Bitterlaw says:

      DW – The Astros recovered just fine after losing the first game.

    372. Phil says:

      Phillies had a helluva post season run, bitter.

    373. jason says:

      Don’t feel bad Bitter. I heard the Eagles are undefeated.

    374. jason says:

      The rural vote in Nevada is devastating for Dems

      Wk 1
      14004 IP, 71-14% R/D
      28737 VBM, 45-31% R/D

      Wk2

      22047 IP, 69-12% R/D
      23025 VBM, 49-27% R/D

      Not a lot of votes, but the difference is so great it wipes out the “firewall” in Clark Co the Dems rely on to win.

    375. Bitterlaw says:

      The Phillies had a great run. They choked after taking a 2-1 series lead. Both can be true.

    376. jason says:

      I read where Jill Biden was at the game in Philly.

      Bad karma.

    377. jason says:

      I don’t know anything about baseball. But going back to Houston having to win both games is a daunting task in any sport.

    378. Phil says:

      I think the formula for the GOP in Nevada is to fight to a draw in Reno, get around 46% or above in Vegas and run it up in the rural areas. Those are only about 12% of Nevada voters but these early numbers are spectacular. Also, helps that the Harry Reid machine has declined a bit – mostly due to GOP inroads among Hispanics.

    379. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      This is an impressive sight. Prior to the start of the Boise State/BYU college football game, both teams knelt together in prayer

      https://twitter.com/drewjay/status/1589080105560993792/photo/1

    380. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      @ashleymoirDC

      NEWS:
      @RealClearNews
      just moved the Colorado Senate race from Lean D to Toss Up. #cosen @ODeaForColorado

    381. Wes says:

      I haven’t seen any reason to believe CO-Sen should be a Tossup, but why not?

    382. Wes says:

      I know some on here think Richard Baris is damn near godlike in his political analysis, but here he comes across as a smarmy, elitist–dare I say, sanctimonious–political hack:

      https://mobile.twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1589075990076325888

      Between this and his decision to attack voters in PA for Doug Mastriano’s impending political loss, I don’t really see how I should take him seriously. He’s basically a reverse caricature of Karl Rove at this point.

    383. Phil says:

      He’s a pollster, Wes. A damned good one. Nothing more, nothing less.

    384. Wes says:

      He’s providing political commentary, Phil. That makes him a political commentator. Hence the etymology. When he literally creates a conspiracy theory to justify Trump’s childish attack on Ron DeSantis, that does nothing for his credibility.

      You talk about how non-Trump Republicans look down their noses at you. Well, here’s a Trump Republican who’s doing exactly that. I’ll be avoiding Rich Baris’ analysis on Election Night. I don’t need to hear about how Men in Black flying in black helicopters are trying to keep Trump from becoming President again or how voters are the ones responsible for not voting for candidates who aren’t running campaigns that appeal to them.

    385. Phil says:

      You talk about how non-Trump Republicans look down their nose at you.

      You saying they don’t?

      Baris has his opinions, sure…. and I’ve already said Trump’s remarks were stupid and unnecessary. I’d add childish and certainly I’ll timed. I follow Baris for his polling and the fact he’s continually called out the fraudulent media and university polls in an industry full of fraudulent pollsters. Pollsters who try and drive public opinion, not measure it. His numbers are what are relevant to me and his track record is what gives those numbers credibility. Without him or pollsters like Trafalgar, we would be relying on garbage from the Marists and Quinnipiacs of the world. I don’t care about his Trump leanings PROVIDING they don’t get in the way of accurate polling. So far they haven’t. We will see on election night.

    386. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      Nate Silver gave a compliment to Trafalgar polling:

      “Nate Silver
      @NateSilver538

      Most of the firms you describe as “GOP aligned” do not have any formal affiliation with the GOP (Trafalgar is more ambiguous: we do treat them as partisan). They just have results that are more R than consensus. And BTW they’ve been among the more accurate pollsters lately.”

    387. Phil says:

      That’s interesting, SD. Thanks for sharing that. Even Silver has to acknowledge the obvious although I’m surprised he admitted it.

    388. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      A new National Poll from Washington Post/ABC with a D+2 PID.
      1- Biden- 43/53
      2- CGB- R+2(LV’s)

      https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1227a2MidtermFinal.pdf

    389. Phil says:

      I look for PID to be around about even on Election Day, not D+2.

    390. JeffP says:

      I saw the Baris comments about Trump & DeSantis. Are you kidding me..I thought to myself about all of the establishment types Trump wanted the approval of once he was elected…I think some people make Trump to be more anti establishment in their own minds than he really is.

    391. Phil says:

      I see the PID is D+2 among registered voters. That could very well translate to an even PID among LVs on Election Day which would seem to me to be right.

    392. Steant1965 says:

      I supported Trump 2 years ago. I supported Trump in 2016. The governor of Florida is amazing. Forget the politics. He has made many of us jealous that we can’t or don’t live in his state. He ushered them through COVID better than any other governor in the nation. His recent handling of the hurricane was heroic. I defended Trump when he made the statement against O’Dea, although Pelosi allows her D colleagues speak against her if it gets them the votes. This comment by Trump shows he is beyond thin-skinned. And it wasn’t funny. It was just gratuitous and wasn’t necessary. Maybe he could have waited until after Election Day. Guess his good friend Maggie Haberman needed something to tweet about.

    393. Gordon Allen says:

      #365. Mark this one down. I totally agree w Bitterlaw.
      Trump cares about himself at1to 100 everything else including the GOP starts ar ,#101.
      I never liked him as a political candidate,but only as a President.
      His self destruction through his narcissism is near on the horizon.my source in the DeSantis camp said a while back their worry about Trump is nor beating him,but whether he would sulk and sit out the campaign, and even attack DeSantis after he won
      A legitimate worry.

    394. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #404- Phil
      Here is a key paragraph from the poll:

      “VOTE PREFERENCE – All told, 49 percent of registered voters favor the Republican in their
      congressional district, 48 percent the Democrat. It’s a similar 50-48 percent among likely voters.
      That marks a retreat from a 7-point Democratic advantage, 50-43 percent among registered
      voters, in the last ABC/Post poll before the 2018 midterms, when the Democrats romped.”

    395. Phil says:

      The comment by Trump shows he is beyond thin skinned.

      That’s an understatement. The guy literally can’t help himself. Good President but a total narcissist. One of the things I always disliked about John McCain was how thin skinned and narcissistic he was. No wonder the two of them couldn’t stand each other.

    396. JeffP says:

      Jered Kushner is far more dangerous than anyone trying to influence DeSantis right now.

    397. Phil says:

      Not a fan of Kushner either.

    398. Chicon says:

      It will be interesting to see what happens to Trump’s numbers after the childish comments on Desantis.

    399. Phil says:

      Won’t effect them much among the base but it should.

      Example of Trump’s narcissism over judgement and simple political common sense.

      He’ll never change.

    400. DW says:

      Sorry for you Bitter, truly I am. I am not sorry the Phillies lost, or I wouldn’t be a Mets fan. But I am sorry for your sake. I could not imagine how a team could recover from such a game 1 collapse, but then the no-hitter sort of erased game 1.

    401. EML says:

      Philadelphia becomes the first city to lose 2 championships on the same day as the Philadelphia Union lost the MLS Cup to LAFC. The game was tied 2-2 at the end of regulation, so it went to extra time, where Union seemed to have scored the game winner in the 4th minute of stoppage time. However, Welsh international Gareth Bale scored on basically the final kick of the game to send it to penalties, where Union missed all of their shots.

    402. EML says:

      NEVADA EARLY VOTING COMPARISON

      2022
      Democrats: 38.3% (D+198 votes)
      Republicans: 38.27%

      2020
      Democrats: 40.4% (D+45,461)
      Republicans: 35.7%

      Net Swing: +45,263 towards the GOP from 2020. That’s +11,667 votes MORE than Biden’s NV 2020 margin

    403. DW says:

      EML, plus the swing in Independents who will vote much more GOP than they did in 2020

    404. SoHope says:

      I knew this was coming. Trump can’t help himself. He strikes first…and badly. Republicans look at him negatively because they all know he shouldn’t have. DeSantis wins this round and picks up support.

    405. SoHope says:

      Then the story becomes support and momentum and how Trump who had 55% in the polls is losing both.

      Republicans want a winner.

      And that stupid nickname was the end of the “He owes me for becoming Governor and he is disloyal if he runs”

    406. SoHope says:

      Trump’s idiotic attack on DeSantis reminds me of Edmure chasing the Mountain and fighting the battle at a mill and getting schooled by King Robb in GoT:

      I wanted to draw the Mountain into the west, into our country where we could surround him and kill him. I wanted him to chase us, which he would have done because he is a mad dog without a strategic thought in his head. I could have that head on a spike by now. Instead, I have a mill.

    407. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      2024 National Republican Primary Poll:

      Trump 55%
      DeSantis 33%
      Haley 14%
      Abbott 3%
      Cheney 2%
      Youngkin 1%
      T. Scott 1%
      .
      Head-2-Head:
      Trump 55% (+10)
      DeSantis 45%

      @YouGovAmerica/@RoseInstitute
      1,720 RV ~ 10/11-10/26
      http://roseinstitute.org/2022-red-vs-blue-states/

    408. Hugh says:

      So late last night there was a mail dump in Nevada. Dems picked up 8000 net votes. That has them a little excited again. It will not be nearly enough but any Port in a storm.

    409. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      2024 National Republican Primary Poll:

      Trump 49%
      DeSantis 24%
      Pence 9%
      Haley 3%
      Romney 2%
      Cruz 2%
      Cheney 2%
      Rubio 1%
      Pompeo 1%
      Christie 1%
      Cotton 0%
      T. Scott 0%
      Noem 0%
      Hogan 0%
      R. Scott 0%

      @MorningConsult/@politico
      838 RV ~ 10/28-10/31
      https://politico.com/f/?id=00000184-3674-ddd7-afd7-3ef41c9e0000

    410. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      2024 Florida Republican Primary Poll:

      DeSantis 50%
      Trump 50%

      @VictoryPolling
      10/30-11/1
      https://victory-insights.com/files/PollingMemo_FL2022.pdf

    411. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      2024 Nevada Republican Primary Poll:

      Trump 41%
      DeSantis 34%
      Pence 7%
      Cruz 5%
      Haley 1%
      Pompeo 1%
      Rubio 1%
      Hogan 0%

      @SusquehannaPR/@PlayBUSR
      10/24-10/27
      https://busr.ag/nevada-statewide-poll

    412. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      2024 Georgia Republican Primary Poll:

      DeSantis 52% (+16)
      Trump 36%

      @EchelonInsights
      219 LV ~ 10/31-11/2
      https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/midterms-ga-2022/

    413. EML says:

      Republicans continue to add to their early voting lead in Florida. Yesterday it was R+7.3, today it is R+7.4.

      Florida early voting stats

      2018
      D 40.5%
      R 39.9%
      NPA/O 19.6%

      2020
      D 39.1%
      R 37.7%
      NPA/O 23.2%

      2022
      D 36.5%
      R 43.9%
      NPA/O 19.7%

    414. jason says:

      SanDiegoCitizen says:
      November 6, 2022 at 8:37 am

      2024 Florida Republican Primary Poll:

      DeSantis 50%
      Trump 50%”

      So DeSantis cannot even beat Trump in Florida among Republicans?

      But according to SoHope. Rs want a winner!

      As for “DeSantimonius”, this really offended everyone here? Zzzzz….

      If DeSantis wants to be President, he better get used to a lot more than “DeSantimonious”.

      Yesterday the NYT ran a hit piece of him. In 2003 he was teaching history and coaching football at a private school.

      Hard hitting st-ff:

      “Two former students, both women, remembered him attending at least two parties where alcohol was served, but they said that the parties took place after graduation and that they were not bothered by his presence at the time, although they question it now.”

      “Mr. Ron, Mr. DeSantis, was mean to me and hostile toward me,” said Ms. Pompey, who graduated in 2003. “Not aggressively, but passively, because I was Black.”

      “On the issue of abortion – One former student remembered his girlfriend complaining about DeSantis’ on abortion and that DeSantis took the position that abortion was “wrong” saying:

      I’m from California and “I disagreed with DeSantis’s stance”.

      So he went to parties where alcohol was served after graduation. He was “mean” to someone. He was against abortion.

      Oh, and some students remember him saying the Civil War was about “competing economies”.

    415. jason says:

      Trump might want to run in 2024. He might view DeSantis as a threat. He made (for Trump) a pretty mild swipe at DeSantis by referring to him as DeSantimonious.

      This has upset everyone?

      I hope DeSantis has a thicker skin than that.

    416. Phil says:

      Yes, a devastating piece by the NYT.

      You got to love the left.

    417. SoHope says:

      Hillary Clinton 62%
      Barack Obama 33%

      USA Today/Gallup
      Feb 9-11, 2007

    418. Phil says:

      Actually, Trump should be very grateful for Ron DeSantis. Democrats are terrified of DeSantis. They view him as their scariest opponent in 2024. That fear will only grow on Tuesday night when he wins re-election by 12-14 pts. In any Presidential election he immediately takes Florida off the board.

      There is no way that Democrats want to see Trump back in the WH but believe me, they view him as easier to beat than DeSantis. If DeSantis wasn’t lurking I’m convinced Trump would be indicted by the Biden Justice Dept. What does that mean? He’d be tried by a DC trial jury. Good luck with that one, Donald. He goes to prison. They may not do that if it means DeSantis is then their opponent. Again, they view him as their most dangerous opponent.

      Ironically, DeSantis might be Trump’s get out of jail card.

    419. Bitterlaw says:

      DW – The Astros recovered by having excellent starting and relief pitching in the final 3 games. Their fielders made plays. The Phillies didn’t. End of story. Still, the Phillies were the 12th best team in the playoffs by record and made it to Game 6 of the World Series. The Mets won 101 games and were out after the first weekend. Crazy game.

      EML – The flip side is Philadelphia had 2 teams playing for championships on the same day. I don’t consider soccer a sport so losing did not affect me.

    420. EML says:

      New Yorker: GOP poised for a blowout.

      The swing in the polls to Democrats in early summer was because Dobbs motivated Democratic supervoters to answer polls at unheard of rates and the pollsters couldn’t cope with it. The recent swing back to the GOP is how the races have been all along.

      https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-political-scene/why-republican-insiders-think-the-gop-is-poised-for-a-blowout

    421. EML says:

      The consensus among a number of G.O.P. pollsters and operatives I spoke to this week is that in the Senate races that are thought to be competitive, Republican candidates are heading for a clean sweep: Mehmet Oz will beat John Fetterman in Pennsylvania, and not just by a point or two; Adam Laxalt looks pretty certain to defeat the incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada; even less regarded candidates such as Blake Masters in Arizona will be carried into office by a predicted wave. “He won’t deserve it, but I think at this point he falls into a Senate seat,” one Republican strategist told me. To these Republican insiders, certain high-profile races in which G.O.P. candidates were already favored now look like potential blowouts—Kari Lake’s campaign for governor in Arizona, J. D. Vance’s for Senate in Ohio. And some races that seemed out of reach, such as the Senate campaign, in New Hampshire, of the election denier Don Bolduc, now look like possible wins. The word that kept coming up in these conversations was “bloodbath.”

    422. Phil says:

      You got the Eagles still, bitter. We down here have the Texans and Cowboys. The Texans are hapless and embarrassing and the Cowboys are a team half the state loves to hate.

    423. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Catch the (small) crowd at the Fetterman rally in Philly last night!

      https://twitter.com/i/status/1588988919206776835

    424. Bitterlaw says:

      Phil – The Cowboys weathered the storm of Dak being out with a broken thumb. Their defense is great unless they play the Eagles.

      I was curious how much of Texas is Cowboys territory. I have no issues with the fans who live in Texas. I can’t stand the ones who are fans because their grandma bought them pajamas in the 70s or they live in New York but their dad was in the Navy and Roger Staubach was in the Navy so they became Cowboys fans.

      Ironically, the term America’s Team started at NFL Films in New Jersey. Last Sunday, I saw 2 Cowboys fans watching the game in a casin0 I asked if they were from Texas. Of course not. California.

    425. Tgca says:

      431. Phil

      Conspiracy theories.

      I agree DeSantis is a mini-Trump, as I’ve been saying that forever now. He’s only younger and more articulate. But I still think DeSantis is at a disadvantage against Trump in the EC unless there is a massive political realignment soon which I doubt.

      Dems will HATE any GOP nominee regardless of who it is in 2024 and say democracy is at risk and it’s the most important election EVAH! They’ll say the same thing again in 2026 and 2028.

      But I don’t think Dems are coordinating amongst prosecutors in various states. It’s just a state of mind among Dem prosecutors that they think alike just like most people in San Francisco think alike. It’s not conspiracy.

    426. jason says:

      Stacey Abrams says black men are too stupid to vote for her.

      Great closing argument in Georgia.

      Stacey Abrams explaining her poll numbers: “Unfortunately, this year, black men have been a very targeted population for misinformation. Not misinformation about what they want but about why they want what they deserve.”

    427. Robbie says:

      Marcus
      @MarcusHUSA

      Trumps GOP Gov enemy list and why:

      Kemp: Trump lost state, wouldn’t overturn the election

      Ducey: Trump lost state, wouldn’t overturn the election

      Sununu: Trump lost state, wouldn’t overturn the election

      DeSantis: Trump won state, but DeSantis going to win by much more.

      – This is Jason fraud’s enemy list as well.

    428. Robbie says:

      Pradheep J. Shanker
      @Neoavatara

      Trump’s an egotistical coward that would much rather have Democrats like Biden in power than ever putting aside rivalries in order to get Republicans elected.

      Don’t believe me…see Georgia 2020.

      – This is what attracts the low information dolts who worship Trump. He channels the pettiness they have with the world.

    429. Tgca says:

      I think Trump is considering running in 2024 and has decided to neutralize his main competition DeSantis with his childish comment. That’s what Trump does. He finds mocking names for his competition in an effort to try and demonize them.

      Trump is a narcissist and is not going to cede the GOP platform to someone else if he plans on running.

      DeSantis is also a narcissist and can’t help mocking his opponents so he should be a big boy and able to take it.

      Politics is NOT about nice people but who you think will do the best job and who has the best chance of being elected. As of now, I still think it’s Trump in both.

      But Trump is not going to change his petty nature any more than Clinton or Biden or Obama or GWB. They’re all too old and self-centered to do that just like some of our posters here at HHR.

    430. Robbie says:

      Rich Baris “The People’s Pundit”
      @Peoples_Pundit

      Folks, I don’t really care for whom you vote. But don’t delude yourselves into pretending it isn’t #NeverTrump behind the push for Ron DeSantis to fracture the party in a primary if and when Trump obviously runs.

      It most definitely is them to include McCarthy and McConnell.

      – Here’s Phil’s favorite pollster telling tall tales on Twitter to prop up Donnie. Why is Baris, a fraud, repeating what the voices in his head are saying to him? Because Richard Baris is a Trump grifter of the highest order. He’s a fraud and a hack. But those two qualities make someone a superstar in Trump world.

    431. jason says:

      But I still think DeSantis is at a disadvantage against Trump in the EC unless there is a massive political realignment soon which I doubt.”

      Yep, that is the 800-lb gorilla that the DeSantis bandwagon ignores.

      I will summarize. DeSantis can win as Trump. I don’t think he can win as DeSantis.

    432. Tgca says:

      441

      So Wobbie just called 75 million American voters “low information dolts?”

      You sound like Liz Cheney

      Now tell us which radical liberals you are campaigning for this cycle. You and Liz sync up on that yet?

    433. Robbie says:

      Will Chamberlain
      @willchamberlain

      “That’s Trump.”

      Yes – he’s undisciplined and narcissistic, which leads him to do horribly counterproductive things

      This is why a lot of serious MAGA types (myself included) prefer DeSantis

      – Studies show the white working class voters Jason fraud and Phil claim to know so well demand undisciplined candidates who have nothing better to do than attack a successful governor three days before his re-election.

    434. Robbie says:

      Tgca says:
      November 6, 2022 at 10:44 am
      441

      So Wobbie just called 75 million American voters “low information dolts?”

      – No, I called the Trump cultists like you who will defend and support him regardless of what he does low information dolts because you’re low information, conspiracy believing dolts.

    435. jason says:

      – This is Jason fraud’s enemy list as well.”

      Zzzzz…

      Amoral Scumbag would never support or vote for Desantis, everyone here knows that. Or ANY Republican for that matter, that is why he is here 2 days before the midterm to attack Trump and prop up the Dems.

      Remember, Amoral Scumbag calls DeSantis a TOTAL BUM, CLOWN and TRUMP CLONE.

      Amoral Scumbag is scared sh-tless the GOP will win the midterms and slow the Biden agenda he supports and voted for.

    436. jason says:

      a successful governor three days before his re-election.”

      You mean the TOTAL BUM, TRUMP CLONE and CLOWN governor.

      The one you supported a drug addict communist against?

      GFY, you lying POS.

    437. Phil says:

      LOL

      Want to dispute Baris’s polling record, Robbie?

      I didn’t think so.

      Maybe you have some Marist polls you’d like to drop on us this morning?

    438. jason says:

      Yes – he’s undisciplined and narcissistic”

      Zzzzzz……

    439. jason says:

      So Wobbie just called 75 million American voters “low information dolts?”

      Yes because the Democrats are so well educated and smart and know what is better for us.

    440. Robbie says:

      Douglas Lukasik
      @DouglasLukasik

      Btw, last night is total vindication for all of us who told everyone for months that Trump is petrified of DeSantis.

      Wetting himself scared. Good thing Trump is old enough for Depends!

      – I don’t totally agree with this.

      Instead, last night was a vindication for all of us who said Trump was whiny, fat b!tch who only cares about himself.

      Jason fraud, Phil, NYCmike, and the others can tell themselves fairy tales that Trump care about the party, but they’re lies.

      Trump cares solely about himself and would gladly burn the party down, just as he did in Georgia last year, if he can’t get his way.

    441. Phil says:

      The Trump pull with working class voters is well documented with the numbers.

      Not even debatable.

    442. jason says:

      Amoral Scumbag thinks Marist and PPP are the gold standard of pollsters.

      Baris, who has a much better record, not so much.

      Hilarious.

    443. Tgca says:

      447

      I don’t defend Trump’s behavior. See my post in 442. I’ve always thought Trump was a petty, narcissist showman going back to when I worked in NY and he was a major figurehead there in business. It’s who he is.

      I criticized his childish antics though often I find them humorous.

      I look at who I think will be the best leader and has the best chances to win so unless someone’s a mass murdering child molestor, I will still support their candidacy if I think they’re the better candidate regardless of how childish and narcissistic they are.

    444. Phil says:

      Robbie condemning Trump or anyone else for “not caring about the party” is f*cking hilarious. That’s rich.

      Is that why you didn’t bother to cast your vote for your Kentucky Republican governor…because you “cared about the party”?

      LOL

    445. jason says:

      Trump cares solely about himself and would gladly burn the party down,”

      Yeah, Amoral Scumbag never ‘burns the party down”.

      This is they guy who calls DeSantis a total bum and a clown. He calls Masters a Goebbels disciple. He calls Oz a snake oil salesman.

      Amoral Scumbag has yet to admit Biden is President or make ONE post critical of Biden. He has yet to make ONE post critical of anything Biden has done.
      He has yet to make ONE post critical of anything ANY Dem candidate has said or done.

      He only drives by to attack Trump and Republican candidates and Republican voters.

      But hey, Trump is the one burning down the R party.

      You can’t make this sh-t up.

    446. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      November 6, 2022 at 10:49 am
      LOL

      Want to dispute Baris’s polling record, Robbie?

      I didn’t think so.

      Maybe you have some Marist polls you’d like to drop on us this morning?

      – Baris is a Trump grifter who makes stuff up. If he’s the great MAGA pollster you believe, why doesn’t he work for actual candidates? Why is he always crowdsourcing to pay for his polls? He tells you what you want to hear so you believe it. And be honest, you’ve sent money to him, haven’t you.

      I’m reminded of late October 2020 when Baris had you convinced you Trump should’ve nominated Lagoa to the Supreme Court instead of Barrett because his “polling” told him it would help with Hispanics. LOL! As if anyone can name judges around the country. It was total nonsense, but you fell for it.

    447. jason says:

      ” than ever putting aside rivalries in order to get Republicans elected.”

      Yep, that is what Amoral Scumbag does here.

      Put aside rivalries.

      I love it here.

    448. Phil says:

      All I’ve said about the working-class voters is that Trump has unprecedented success with them for any Republican. DeSantis doesn’t. Maybe he could get there but he will have to work at it. Not there yet – if he’s the clown Robbie said he is maybe he won’t.

    449. Tgca says:

      For the record, I supported GWB too and I think he’s also a narcissistic, thin-skinned person. He NEVER admitted to any failings of his no matter what.

      What a surprise! Politicians with thin skin who think the world revolves around them and only they have the answers to the worlds problems.

      I think every US President was full of themselves to varying degrees, thinking they had all the answers and never admitting fault.

      Even Lincoln was known to be a loquacious narcissist in the form of Clinton.

    450. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      November 6, 2022 at 10:56 am
      Robbie condemning Trump or anyone else for “not caring about the party” is f*cking hilarious. That’s rich.

      Is that why you didn’t bother to cast your vote for your Kentucky Republican governor…because you “cared about the party”?

      – Matt Bevin was a Trumpian fraud who had a 30% approval rating. He was an awful governor and I am glad I didn’t vote for that hack. His term was a failure. All he did was fight losing battles with the press just like your idol, Trump, did. Both lost. You do accept Trump lost, right?

      Bevin suggested recently he wants to run again and almost every member of the state legislature has said publicly they don’t want him to run. But by all means, Phil, you know all about politics here so you probably knew that, right?

      It’s the only time since 1996 I haven’t voted for a Republican on the ballot in Kentucky. You, on the other hand, do nothing but go RINO hunting in this forum.

      By the way, If JD Vance fits Ohio like a glove, why is DeWine going to run 10 points or more ahead of him?

    451. Phil says:

      Baris has clients all over the map in districts throughout the country, Robbie. Do some research

      Not only are you obsessive you are ignorant. Again, do a little research. It’s how he makes his living.

      And about the accuracy of his polling? Care to address that?

      Of course not.

    452. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      November 6, 2022 at 11:00 am
      All I’ve said about the working-class voters is that Trump has unprecedented success with them for any Republican. DeSantis doesn’t.

      – And after your boy Donnie loses in 2024, you’ll say the same thing in the leadup to 2028. You Trump forever cultists are going to say only Trump has proven he can win WWC (a lie) so we have to go with him again.

    453. Robbie says:

      Tgca says:
      November 6, 2022 at 10:56 am

      I’ve always thought Trump was a petty, narcissist showman

      I look at who I think will be the best leader

      – If you actually believe what you wrote in the first statement, there’s no way you can conclude Trump matches the second statement.

      However, we all know Trump supporters will just memory hole the first part and just say it’s Donnie trying to be funny.

    454. Phil says:

      Why is DeSantis running ten points ahead of Vance?

      First of all, it won’t be anything like 10 but here you go:

      Incumbency

      The Democratic candidate got no money from the Democratic Governors Fund

      Democrats went all in on the Senate race and have spent over 50 million on Ryan – 4-1 spending advantage.

      In other words, one candidate was challenged and the Democrats forfeited the other race.

      But you know all that.

      Absolutely Vance is a great fit for a state Trump carried by half a million votes – twice.

      This is too easy.

    455. Phil says:

      Sorry, Dewine not DeSantis.

    456. Robbie says:

      Phil says:
      November 6, 2022 at 11:05 am
      Baris has clients all over the map in districts throughout the country, Robbie. Do some research

      – Really? Name them. For which campaigns is he polling? Is he polling for the RNC? NRCC? NRSC? RGA? If he’s the MAGA-riffic pollster you claim, you can bet the constellation of shady Republican campaigns and candidates aligned with Trump would be using him. What about Kim Klacik and her grift operation? Nope. Not even Donnie is using him and he got his campaign to pay laughable Rasmussen to poll for him in early 2020.

      The only obsessive ignorants are those who fall for his pro-Trump grift.

    457. Phil says:

      Gibbs in Michigan 3 for starters. You know, the guy who took out the Never Trumper in the primary.

      Still haven’t gotten around to addressing his polling record I see.

    458. Robbie says:

      If JD Vance fits the state like a glove (he doesn’t), he’d winning the race like Katie Britt is in Alabama.

      He’s a jerk who’s run his campaign like a jerk. He bragged about cutting off all money to Ukraine. I guess he wants Tinfoil’s favorite Putin to do well. Of course, jerks win and so will Vance. He doesn’t fit the state like a glove, though. Dewine and Portman do.

      These jerk MAGA candidates that so many here have fallen in love with never realized there’s a difference between running a primary and running in a general election.

      Of course, Donnie is still running in the 2016 primary so why should his clones do anything different.

    459. Phil says:

      Joe Kent is another in Washington3. Marc Molinaro in NY19 is another. Those off the top of my head.

    460. Phil says:

      Vance will win Ohio by 7 or 8 points against a guy who spent over 50 million against him – but he doesn’t fit the state.

      Okeeeeeey

    461. Phil says:

      But but but but Vance is a jerk. Got it.

      BTW I see your heroin Liz endorsed Ryan.

    462. Cash Cow TM says:

      A NEWS STORY YOU MAY SOON HEAR FROM OUR NON-BIASED NEWS MEDIA:
      ***********************************************
      News Anchor Traci: “Now we go our election coverage reporter, Biff. What is this story about how Republicans seem to be going after so many Democrat candidates who are women?”

      Biff: “Well, Traci, it certainly seems that way. Republicans seem hell bent to target Democrat WOMEN governors this year. They are going all out to defeat governors Kathy Hochul in NY, Gretchen Whitmer in MI, Katie Hobbs in AZ. AND going after Democrat female senators, TOO!”

      “It is a NATIONWIDE thing. From the Democrat female senator in NH–Maggie Hassan–being heavily challenged, to Washington State’s Democrat Senator Patti Murray being targeted and in the GOP crosshairs. And the sitting Democrat female U.S Senator (who is also Hispanic) incumbent from NV–Catherine Cortez Masto–is also in the Republicans crosshairs.”

      News Anchor Traci: “And what is the position of Republicans on LBGTS candidates?”

      Biff: “Well, the fact is, for every Democrat LBGTQ candidate the Republicans have put up an opponent. Don’t forget that the Republicans absolutely HATE the Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney–who herself is a big lesbian.” I will let the viewers draw their own conclusions.”

      News Anchor Traci: “Biff, does this Republican onslaught against women spill over in the House of Representatives races as well?”

      Biff: “ABSOLUTELY, Traci. In the House, we see it in VA where incumbent Democrat women Abigail Spanberger and Jennifer Wexler are BOTH under constant attack.”

      News Anchor Traci: ‘That is SHOCKING, BIFF! Are the Republicans also disparaging the Asian-Americans, Native Americans, Hispanics, and Black candidates?”

      Biff: “Probably so, Traci. We know that the Republicans have VERY FEW Asian Americans, Native Americans and Hispanics on the ballot in November. And very FEW BLACK Republican candidates as well–other than Hershel Walker in GA.”

      News Anchor Traci: “Speaking of GA, what is l=the latest scandal on Hershel Walker?”

      Biff: Well, now we have not ONE but TWO more NEW Heshel Walker scandals. The first new scandal are unconfirmed reports that Walker actually helped PERFORM several dozen abortions in the operating room at a local hospital. Another unconfirmed report is that Hershel Walker HIMSELF was pregnant 5 years ago and he HIMSELF went to an abortion clinic and aborted his own child!”

    463. Phil says:

      Stacey Abrams blames her coming loss on black men who are believing “misinformation”

      Ok, thanks, Stacey.

    464. jason says:

      Vance is a great candidate who is going to win.

      He DOES fit Ohio like a glove because Trump won Ohio twice by half a million votes.

      The comparison with DeWine is BS. DeWine is the best known politician in Ohio having occupied just about every elected office there and is an incumbent governor with good ratings. Plus he is running against a complete dimwit like Nan Whaley.

      Tim Ryan might be a leftist fraud, but he is certainly a stronger candidate than Nan Whaley.

      So if DeWine runs 10 pts ahead of Vance it doesn’t mean Vance is a bad candidate.

      Vance was not my first choice, but the only reason Amoral Scumbag hates him is because he is endorsed by Trump.

      But hey, Amoral Scumbag does not tear down the R party.

      “He’s a jerk who’s run his campaign like a jerk”

    465. Tgca says:

      459 Wobbie

      Actually, Trump naming a Hispanic woman to SCOTUS would get great attention in the Latin community.

      Clearly, you fail to understand the cultural reaction to such an event. Perhaps you need to reach out to EML, our Expert on Latino culture to help you to better understand.

    466. Tgca says:

      466 Wobbie

      – If you actually believe what you wrote in the first statement, there’s no way you can conclude Trump matches the second statement.

      No! It makes perfect sense. Many leaders, whether in business or politics who are narcissistic have had great success. Narcissism by itself does not result in failure.

      Look at the leaders of many of these tech companies who’ve had great success with their ingenuity but are personally loathsome people. Same with entertainers.

    467. Gordon Allen says:

      Phil. We rarely disagree, but Trump does that to people.
      In 2014 2 years before the election what demonstrated success w working class voters had Trump exhibited? Uh,Zero.
      When DeSantis wins Tuesday how about we compare DeSantis working class votes w those of Trump in 2020 in the same state?
      Also my challenge to Jason.
      Can you name a single issue important to ” working class people
      who btw are culturally conservative, that differentiates Trump from DeSantis?
      Your premise is therefore founded on what evidence?

    468. Meldrim says:

      #475, very well done, Cow.

    469. jason says:

      When DeSantis wins Tuesday how about we compare DeSantis working class votes w those of Trump in 2020 in the same state?
      Also my challenge to Jason.
      Can you name a single issue important to ” working class people
      who btw are culturally conservative, that differentiates Trump from DeSantis?
      Your premise is therefore founded on what evidence?”

      This should be obvious but since you are a certified moron I will help you out.

      When DeSantis wins Tuesday how about we compare DeSantis working class votes w those of Trump in 2020 in the same state?”

      You can’t. In the first place working class voters in FL are not the issue for the GE. Working class voters in Florida are not the same as those in the midwest/rust belt, the job market is different, the issues are different. But even comparing Trump vs. Biden in a national election and DeSantis vs. Crist in a state election 2 years later is apples and oranges.

      Can you name a single issue important to ” working class people who btw are culturally conservative, that differentiates Trump from DeSantis?”

      Again, straw argument. I already said DeSantis has a much better chance winning a GE as Trump rather than as DeSantis. So if you are saying DeSantis is like Trump, fine. The problem is will voters trust DeSantis like they do Trump? So far there is no evidence DeSantis appeals to that demographic in the same way Trump does. If your point is that it could change, fine. I agree.

      Now go back to your video games and GFY.

    470. Tgca says:

      OMG! Thank God this didn’t happen in the good part of Philly, a.k.a. woke white elitist areas. Somebody’s chai latte drink could have been spilled in the mayhem.

      Nine Injured After Multiple Gunmen Open Fire Outside Philadelphia Bar

      https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/06/nine-injured-after-multiple-gunmen-open-fire-outside-philadelphia-bar/

    471. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Robbie
      Many of us have our differences with you politically. I, for one, am curious if you would provide us with your dispassionate predictions for Tuesday. Thanks. Sheeple,Jr.

    472. jason says:

      In 2014 2 years before the election what demonstrated success w working class voters had Trump exhibited? Uh,Zero.”

      Neville Allen says a lot of stupid sh-t, but this takes the cake.

      Trump was not running in 2014 and was not in office and was not a politician. So how could he have “success with working class voters”?

      DeSantis has been in elected office for a decade, and has 4 years as Governor of Florida.

    473. Wobbles says:

      for one, am curious if you would provide us with your dispassionate predictions for Tuesday. Thanks. Sheeple,Jr.”

      Sure.

      If Rs have a good night, it will be despite Trump.

      If they don’t, it will be Trump’s fault.

      I know, not very deep, but I do have the shallowest brain here, despite the competition.

    474. jason says:

      OMG! Thank God this didn’t happen in the good part of Philly,”

      Nah, that only happens in Bad Philadelphia, no worries.

    475. Tgca says:

      Working white class are NOT culturally conservative. Hogwash!

      They have generally been more independent-minded or slightly to moderate left, depending on how you define conservative but they were NOT conservative culturally.

      That’s like saying AA are culturally conservative. They have not been historically the last few decades.

      The working class has been abandoning the Dems of late because they have been taken for granted and used by and neglected by Dems in favor of illegal immigrants, trannies, and gays and labeled as RACIST and tested as expendable by Dems the last few years.

      They’re tired of it and sought Trump as an alternative, and are loyal to him because he has fought for them.

    476. Cash Cow TM says:

      News Anchor Traci: “And Biff, do you have anything more to say about those Rascally Republicans and the election next week?”

      Biff: “Sure do, Traci! Our research department is delving into Republican campaigns and have so far analyed elections from 1854 through 1920. In the first 66 years of their existence–spanning parts of TWO CENTURIES–NOT ONCE did the Republican party EVER ELECT ANY–not a single time–ANY female candidates for President, U.S. Senate, House of Representatives or any state governors! Wonder if this FACT will be remembered by voters as they cast their votes in 2022.”

      “Also, we have this disturbing recently breaking report: It seems that unnamed investigative reporters have found a surprising number of registered Republicans who DENY THAT WE EVEN HAD AN ELECTION IN 2020. UNBELIEVABLE!”

      “Back to you, Traci.”

    477. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      FINAL POLL:
      @wickinsights

      2022 #NHSen General Election
      (R) Don Bolduc 48%
      (D)* Maggie Hassan 48%
      Undecided 1%

      With Leaners:
      (R) Bolduc 49% (+1)
      (D)* Hassan 48%

      725 LV | 11/2-11/5
      LV Sample: D27/I43/R28 (R+1)

      https://my.wick.io/analysis/shared/item/FF64AE80-53D4-4044-AD93-C4EE89DDDDBF/view

    478. Tgca says:

      Many groups do not identify with certain facets of groups or cultures, especially liberal ones but it does not mean they embrace the culture or political leanings of others who also are against those facets.

      For example, AA and Latino men are very homophobic compared to other groups but it does not mean they are culturally conservative because of that one issue especially since they often identify with libs on many other issues that are antithetical to conservatism.

    479. Cash Cow TM says:

      BREAKING

      Ships at sea reporting this.
      Expected to reach U.S. in about two days.

      Watch full video.

      https://youtu.be/HAjF20yph90

    480. jason says:

      Final WaPo/ABC poll: GOP +2, 50/48, +6 on enthusiasm.

      One other factor in the GOP’s favor: Republicans continue to be more certain about voting, with 80 percent of Republican-leaning voters saying they are certain to vote or have already done so, slightly higher than 74 percent of Democratic-leaning voters. Certainty to vote among Democrats is eight percentage points lower than in 2018, while holding steady among Republicans.”

    481. Cash Cow TM says:

      More:

      https://video.search.yahoo.com/yhs/search;_ylt=AwrCxnbE9WdjHEsAswsPxQt.;_ylu=Y29sbwNiZjEEcG9zAzIEdnRpZAMEc2VjA3Nj?p=biggest+waves&type=fc_A30C76C6185_s58_g_e_d070122_n1009_c15&param1=7&param2=eJw1i0sOgjAQhq8yS01MmdKWRzmGK2NcVDpgQ6FEMBhP75BoJpl8%2F6sP%2FtrczheJqJRW19NtYs2qZtwjLFHmOYt29w1DmJnyAqWV2luu2laVaE3lOusrj%2FyIbN11mss9JW6%2FFsaXYxrTJ8ToMiMQDluYfNoWmFaQKLABNgrdwLvQR3DzHGmj%2BxDWzKhSqAIOw2Md4wliGAh6aod0hPbxTCNlEkuB%2B8HiOvcM%2Fwn5%2FpdJLSuhzBdXrkYI&hsimp=yhs-2212&hspart=fc&ei=UTF-8&fr=yhs-fc-2212&turl=https%3A%2F%2Ftse4.mm.bing.net%2Fth%3Fid%3DOVP.T0FzjCYONC3jP0voOnXMnwHgFo%26pid%3DApi%26w%3D296%26h%3D156%26c%3D7%26p%3D0&rurl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3D0TDUkV5RDsA&tit=BIGGEST+Waves+Ever+Caught+on+Camera&pos=2&vid=1e94c20a67fe77414b23a47c25f07c2c&sigr=a7Ha.N1YdrDU&sigt=gzcdj8Sz54Q9&sigi=jAzXnAD0HhLF

    482. Tgca says:

      488

      Well Thank God for that.

      It would be devastating to see a white elitist wokester spill their $7 chai latte on one of the homeless people sprawled out on the street or seating in Rittenhouse Square

    483. Cash Cow TM says:

      HEADLINES TODAY

      HERE IT COMES!
      Double digit day!

      Can’t wait until Monday and Tuesday!
      **************************************
      MSN
      13 stories about Trump, digs at Republicans, stories on growing anti-semitism in U.S.

      AOL
      11 such stories

    484. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Phil and jason:
      Maybe you can explain why 538/Silver today moved the Republican chances in the Senate from 55 to 53 and in the House from 85 to 82?
      I checked the toss-up Senate races and each one except for Ohio moved 1-2 points toward the Democrats.

    485. Phil says:

      I have no idea, Sheeple…probably because he is a hack?

    486. Tgca says:

      496

      I tell people the power of water is very daunting. I would never live directly on the water again after watching waves bounce in my yard, less than 20 feet from my bedroom window during hurricane Irma.

      I barely survived a flooding a few months after a storm flooded our street with like 8 inches of water for hours.

      A gallon of water is like 8.3 pounds so imagine the force behind millions of gallons of waters coming at you.

    487. Wes says:

      I swear, this guy on RRH is so obsessed with dooming GOP electoral prospects he has to see others doom on the Republicans even after he’s already done it:

      GERGOP
      November 6, 2022 at 1:08 pm | In reply to cinyc
      Are we privy to the “range” of opinions? Are there mods who are predicting a more doom-ish scenario for the GOP?

    488. Tgca says:

      Hochul’s new reason why to vote for her and ensure Zeldin never wins as NY Gubbernor.

      He will PARDON Trump even if all the GOOD WORK Leticia James is doing results in a NY conviction of Trump.

      See 2:20 mark of video.

      https://citizenfreepress.com/breaking/whoa-kathy-hochul-wasnt-prepared-for-this/

    489. Wes says:

      Right on cue, the other RRH doomed chimes in:

      MOSHEM
      November 6, 2022 at 1:42 pm
      Way too optimistic IMHO.

      DW, I know you occasionally post over there. Sometimes I think some of their posters are happy literally only if they’re miserable.

    490. Phil says:

      I really have to check out RRH sometime. There are people over there that are really something.

    491. Tgca says:

      Trafalgar poll on WI

      Gubbernor:
      GOP 49.6
      Dem. 48.0

      Senator:
      GOP. 50.1
      Dem 47.4

      • Conducted 11/02/22 – 11/04/22
      • 1095 Respondents
      • Likely General Election Voters
      • Response Rate: 1.37%
      • Margin of Error: 2.9%
      • Confidence: 95%

      https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/WI-Gen-Poll-Report-1105.pdf

    492. DW says:

      RRH is a place for moderate Republicans who dislike Trump. They tolerate Trump Republicans to a point, but they demand you have respect for the other side.

      That’s why I like posting here more, because I can tell the truth.

      And the truth is the results on Tuesday will be tragic–even if we get 255 house seats and 54 in the senate. Tragic because its true that roughly half the country are okay with the price of food getting doubled, price of gas doubled, a leftist government taking over the role of parenting of all children, open borders, high levels of crime, a weak military, and half the country is fine with voting for a party open to pressuring healthy boys into receiving castration, and teenage girls into receiving double-mastectomy.

      That is tragic.

    493. Gordon Allen says:

      TIna. We were lucky in Ian that only 18 inches flooded our garage,instead of 24.
      The former totaled the car we left behind,the latter would have flooded the house. We dodged a bullet.
      Speaking of bullets,Pompeo should get a bullet proof vest after backing DeSantis re the shot Trump took yesterday.
      Trump will now put Pompeo in the free fire zone

    494. Gordon Allen says:

      Maybe the problem here is the definition of ” working class”.
      It is far wider than huys and gals in hard hats at steel mills.
      I consider our entire Armada of landscapers here( in the 13 sq mile community as a whole), linesman, roofers,plumbers, pool cleaners,workers on farms,wait staff,bartenders,small office ,secretaries,nurses,fisherman…..working class.
      Here in Florida they overwhelmingly like DeSantis, and overall are VERY cultural conservative. Especially the whites and Hispanics, but some blacks as well.
      We must live on different planets.

    495. EML says:

      RRH is a place for moderate Republicans who dislike Trump. They tolerate Trump Republicans to a point, but they demand you have respect for the other side.
      ============================
      As I’ve said before, here I have TDS, there I’m a Trump sycophant.

      Despite being a supposedly Republican site that allows Dems but doesn’t allow Dem cheerleading, there’s an awful lot of anti-Republican idiocy that gets posted there. There are open Dem cheerleaders like oggoldy and jncca, along with a large number of anti-Trump bedwetters like ericsouthernill, gergop, and moshem.

    496. EML says:

      I swear, this guy on RRH is so obsessed with dooming GOP electoral prospects he has to see others doom on the Republicans even after he’s already done it:
      ====================================
      There are a few other major bedwetters over there who claim to be Republicans, but their posts are always doom and gloom (but these are fairly new names to me): calthrina950, welshtract, and userhn.

      I am upstater22, dw = dwp, and mnw = strawdog

    497. EML says:

      10 minute delay in Bills-Jets due to Skycam cable snapping in half.

    498. EML says:

      But don’t read RRH and take my election predictions!

    499. jason says:

      And the truth is the results on Tuesday will be tragic–even if we get 255 house seats and 54 in the senate. Tragic because its true that roughly half the country are okay with the price of food getting doubled, price of gas doubled, a leftist government taking over the role of parenting of all children, open borders, high levels of crime, a weak military, and half the country is fine with voting for a party open to pressuring healthy boys into receiving castration, and teenage girls into receiving double-mastectomy.

      That is tragic.”

      Well said. It is tragic. This election should not be close. Rs should win ALL the contested seats by comfortable margin. But unfortunately our educational system is turning out hundreds of thousands of socialists every year, and they have occupied the media and the government at all levels, and increasingly corporate America and even the military.

      But we, the opposition to this, are not united either, so there is not clear path to an alternative. We are divided into factions here at HHR that mirror society out there. We have RINO hunters bent on making the GOP a permanent minority party of 100% litmus tested true conservatives. We have a TDS faction bent not only on trying to deny the contribution that Trump has made to the GOP, but on disparaging and dismissing the voters that supported him. We don’t agree on our history or on the major cultural issues. We don’t agree on the role of America. We don’t agree on immigration and trade and even the role of government. I am not talking about an idiotic troll like Amoral Scumbag who is here just to shill for Dems, I am talking about the posters here that are actually Republicans and/or conservatives.

      When I say this I am not exempting myself. I understand I am as guilty as anyone else. I am just stating that IF we were more united on at least a common cause, and this unity was reflected in the general population, we might have a better chance of combating socialism and wokism.

      As it is, DW is right, and we are engaging in at best a delaying tactic.

    500. EML says:

      When I say this I am not exempting myself. I understand I am as guilty as anyone else. I am just stating that IF we were more united on at least a common cause, and this unity was reflected in the general population, we might have a better chance of combating socialism and wokism.

      As it is, DW is right, and we are engaging in at best a delaying tactic.
      ==========================
      My feeling is that very few people on either side actually understand what is going on right now. DW might be the only one here who actually gets it. Just like in Europe 100 years ago, we are engaged in a religious war. It’s the Christians vs the atheists.

      I understand that there are a number of Republicans here who are not Christians, but I am telling you that this is where the battle lines are being drawn. Do you want to protect Christian Western Civilization, which has created the greatest society that history has ever known, or do you want to cave in to the atheists and become like Cuba and North Korea. Atheism has a terrible track record of murder, oppression, and depravity.

      The true believer atheists are driven by hatred…hatred of God, hatred of Christians, hatred of Christianity and since Western Civilization is built on Christian principles, they just hate everything about it. They don’t care that we have built the greatest society ever. They hate it. So everything they see as Christian, they will oppose, no matter what that means. This is what shapes their beliefs. That is why they are so invested in murdering children. That is why they are so invested in being against law and order. That is why they are so invested in 57 genders. They see all these things as Christian so they are reflexively against it.

      If you want to be united, then you have to start understanding what we are standing against.

    501. Wes says:

      One correction, EML:

      Calthrina950 is pretty open about being an Indy, though he does tend to have a gloomy outlook on GOP electoral prospects. That may be a result of his living in the increasingly liberal black hole known as Colorado.

      I frequently lurk over there because of the assiduous updates of political news. I have never been tempted to create an account though because I don’t want to butt heads with those Napoleons called moderators over there.

    502. jason says:

      I am not religious or Christian, I don’t believe this is a Christian war or a Crusade.

      I do understand the war against religion is an integral part of the leftist game plan, as it has been by all socialist/communist regimes.

      But I think EML has narrowed the battle lines way too much. The scope is much wider than Christianity vs. Atheism.

    503. Wes says:

      That’s where you lose people, EML. Accusing atheism of murder, oppression, and depravity when religions can claim just as many victims of their excesses is not going to win converts to your cause.

      It’s actually blanket statements like that that affirm my decision to have no affiliation with religion.

    504. jason says:

      Like I said, we are so united…not

    505. jason says:

      White powder mailed to Kari Lake HQ. Staff member under medical care.

      Has Amoral Scumbag been here to blame Ultra Mega MAGA yet?

    506. EML says:

      That’s where you lose people, EML. Accusing atheism of murder, oppression, and depravity when religions can claim just as many victims of their excesses is not going to win converts to your cause.

      It’s actually blanket statements like that that affirm my decision to have no affiliation with religion.
      ================================
      I’m not trying to gain or convert anybody. I’m just laying out the playing field. Christianity has created the greatest society that history has ever known while atheists have shown themselves to be the worst people the world has ever known. 100 million people murdered by atheists in the 20th century. Choose your side.

    507. Wes says:

      I want the United States to be the country the Founding Fathers envisioned in the Constitution–which says, “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, nor prohibiting the free exercise thereof”–rather than a Christian nation or a Muslim nation or a Hindu nation or even an atheist nation.

      I don’t need a religious background to understand the deleterious nature of most of the Left’s socioeconomic agenda, and I have no desire to revisit a religion I left over a decade ago to put me on the right side of the issue.

      Rather than dividing us along the lines of Christians vs. atheists, wouldn’t it be better to include other groups than Christians as allies against a converted effort to remake America into something it has never been?

    508. jason says:

      Bill Kristol
      @BillKristol
      Straightforward from here:

      1. Rs take House narrowly, Ds hold Senate and key governors.

      2. D Senate lets Biden govern.

      3. R House good politically for Ds (cf. 1994, 2010).

      4. Trump runs, wins nomination.

      5. Biden doesn’t run, next gen D ticket (e.g. Buttigieg-Whitmer) ftw.

    509. EML says:

      I am not religious or Christian, I don’t believe this is a Christian war or a Crusade.
      =======================================
      It is not a Christian Crusade. It is an Atheist Crusade against other religions. Read up on Marxism and 20th century history. The entire point of Communism is to destroy all other religions. Western leftists, including the Democratic Party, have taken up this mantle.

    510. Wes says:

      Well, since you’ve literally decided to go full anti-atheist bigot, I guess all those Christian Nazis didn’t get the memo:

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religion_in_Nazi_Germany

    511. EML says:

      Yes, we allow people to choose their religion and practice freely —- unlike communist atheists, who kill anybody that practice another religion. Yet another reason why Christian society is far superior to atheist society.

      While we do not have a national religion, we (along with the rest of Western Civilization) are a decidedly Christian society. Our laws, customs, and holidays are all rooted in Christianity. Surprise, our biggest holidays such as Christmas, Easter, and Thanksgiving are all Christian in nature (and under attack from atheists). We will not cede our Christian nation to the atheist barbarians.

    512. Cash Cow TM says:

      “2022 #NHSen General Election
      (R) Don Bolduc 48%
      (D)* Maggie Hassan 48%
      Undecided 1%

      With Leaners:
      (R) Bolduc 49% (+1)
      (D)* Hassan 48%”

      The buses (D) in MA are starting their engines.

    513. jan says:

      #508. Pompeo wants to run for POTUS as well in 2024. He has made that very clear, including losing a ton of weight for those important photo ops. It could be he is backing DeSantis for two reasons: 1) looking for a VP gig or 2) speculates DeSantis would be an easier candidate to compete with than Trump.

      I personally think both DeSantis and Trump should cease insulting each other. First Ron called Trump a “moron.” Then of course Trump eventually shot shot back with “Desanctimonious.” Clever as that name may be there is nothing to be gained by mocking each other.

    514. EML says:

      Well, since you’ve literally decided to go full anti-atheist bigot, I guess all those Christian Nazis didn’t get the memo:
      ===============================
      It’s not bigoted to oppose atheists who murdered 100 million people in the 20th century, more than all other religions combined in the previous 20 centuries.

    515. Tgca says:

      I found a new fav performance. I love this.

      Damn! CATHOLICS rule baby! F*ck you Joe Biden!

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6_0n_3hSl8

    516. EML says:

      True believer atheists (as opposed to the…I don’t know what I believe or the I’m spiritual, but not religious loons) have proven themselves to be the worst group of people the world has ever known. Choose your side.

    517. DW says:

      Western Civilization was built on Judeo-Christian values like love your neighbor, don’t steal, don’t lie, don’t commit murder, be faithful to oaths you make, and so on. When these values are part of the warp and woof of a society, then that society can be prosperous and successful.

      Toss these things away, and do what the leftists in this country do, claiming all cultural expressions are equally valid, and suddenly they won’t argue against the practices done TODAY in the world, like female circumcision, where a pre-teen girl is held down to the ground and women from the village use a dirty razor blade to cut off the girl’s **** and sew shut her **** so that she can barely urinate the rest of her life and never enjoy the pleasures of intimacy. The left cannot bring themselves to condemn these practices, because they are indigenous to these foreign cultures. Similarly, the practice in some cultures of widow burning. A man dies, and so the wife is tied down alive to the funeral pyre and she is burned alive with her dead husband leaving the children orphans.

      In the past, when Christian missionaries entered a country that practiced this, they worked hard to get it outlawed so as to improve the society so they would value life and not leave so many orphans.

      But today’s left in America have no mechanism to argue against anything, and so they must destroy Western civilization by the denial of truth, denial of common sense, and the promotion of practices that are horrific.

      This is why they have no problem pressuring young boys to receive castration on the false promise that a surgeon can turn them into a girl.

      America has been a shining light for a long time, because in America, people affirm that you should love your neighbor and its wrong to do things like eat your neighbor. The left says, you can love your neighbor if you want, but if you want to be a cannibal and eat your neighbor, whose to say what’s right or wrong?

      That is the battlefield on which we are currently playing. Its not the same as saying you must be a Christian…but it is recognizing that there is right and wrong, and there is value to the Judeo-Christian values upon which the country was founded, and we are a better society for sticking to these values for the benefit of all.

    518. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #499 & 50 Phil

      Here is the answer to my question in the above posts. The Des Moines Register just posted this information.


      “Republicans preferred in Iowa’s 4 congressional races”

      I cannot get thru the paywall to see the sizes of the leads by the GOP candidates.

      Iowa is becoming Arkansas politically!

    519. DW says:

      Oh my…I am going to have to steer clear of RRH until after the election. The gloom and doom there is absurd…just one sample:

      “They are forecasting a tropical storm to impact central Florida as soon as Tuesday. Given how much of the Republican vote is concentrated on election day, I am slightly concerned.”

    520. Wes says:

      Sure, EML. You’re not being a bigot. You’re glossing over your own religion’s role and the broader role of religion in atrocities throughout history while demonizing literally the entirety of the non-religious as human monsters.

      It’s almost as if people commit crimes regardless of religious or non-religious affiliation.

      A man can highlight or ignore whatever facts he wants to justify his bigotry toward others.

    521. EML says:

      What are my religions atrocities? Did we murder 100 million people in the 20th century?

    522. SoHope says:

      Suspected anthrax mailed to Kari Lake’s office. One staffer under medical observation.

    523. DW says:

      Wes, of course there is a history of atrocities that have been committed in the name of religion–but these things were done in violation the values I mentioned, not because of them. In other words, there are always be evil people who will use religion as a false front to try to justify evil acts they commit.

    524. EML says:

      Atheists are welcome to participate in our society. You just have to recognize that we are a Christian society and that this is non-negotiable. If you want to live in an atheist society, you are free to move to Cuba, North Korea, China, or Russia. But you can’t have the USA. These are the battle lines that are being drawn. Leftist atheists are sending us down a path to war, just like they did in Europe in the 20th century.

    525. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      #534
      I found the article on the Selzer Poll’s findings for the four(4) Iowa Congressional races. To wit:

      District 1- R+9
      District 2- R+2
      District 3(AXNE)- R+3
      District 4- R with a double digit lead

      https://www.kcrg.com/2022/11/06/des-moines-registermediacom-iowa-poll-indicates-republican-strength-races-congress/

    526. jason says:

      wes, frankly I don’t think anything EML said reflects any bigotry.

      I agree with you on your greater point, which I also made, that the scope of this “war” is a lot wider and we need to incorporate non-religious people too.

      But I think you are going overboard as far as the intent of his posts.

    527. Tgca says:

      539

      Couldn’t agree more with you DW.

      Just like there will always be corrupt judges but the justice system is meant to be just and not corrupted by abusers within the justice system.

    528. Hugh says:

      I live in Broward county. The projected weather for Tuesday would only help Republicans. The West and Northern part of Florida are the most Republican parts. Second morning weather supposed to be pretty good. Motivated voters will have no problem getting out to vote. Less motivated voters are more likely to sit home. Should be a net plus to the GOP. Rain less than a quarter inch is projected in the evening.

    529. Cash Cow TM says:

      What will happen if there IS an R wave and Rs take House and Senate and win key governors and state legislature races?
      ##########################################

      1. Will Rs immediately begin arguing over who should lead each body of congress? (especially divided into groups who DO want Trump to lead the ticket in 2024 or those who definitely do NOT want that)?
      A. Yes
      B. No (I SAY NO)
      ******************************************
      Will there be a split in R members of congress regarding Trump possible candidacy in 2024?
      A. Yes
      B. No (I say no, but believe they should not push toxic Trump in 2024. He could not even defeat demented Joe in 2020 even when Biden campaigned from the basement and could not draw 50 people at any campaign stop.)
      __________________________________________
      2. Who will be “blamed” BY THE MEDIA for the D defeat?
      A. uneducated, troglodyte voters (MY BET)
      B. Trump
      C. threats of violence
      D. Putin’s invasion of Ukraine
      E. the party in the white house ALWAYS loses in off term elections- no big whoop
      _____________________________
      3. Who will be “blamed” BY THE DEMOCRATS for the D defeat?
      A. Biden
      B. Pelosi and Schumer
      C. left wing wacko of the party
      D. failure to get their message across to voters
      (MY PICK)
      _____________________________________

      4. Will the Ds do true course correction and alter their stance on key issues like:
      1. southern border crisis?
      2. war on fossil fuels?
      3. push on all the gender identity stu.ff?
      4. push for even bigger fed govt. and more spending?
      5. push for more things to get AA voters back in line?
      6. be more open to work with Rs in congress to solve U.S. problems?
      7. be more supporting of parents who want a say in their kids educations and what goes on in schools?
      8. back off of all the “Let’s get Trump” stu.ff?
      9. lie less and tell the truth mor often?
      (I say ABSOLUTELY NONE OF THESE!)
      ___________________________________________
      Who will the Ds in congress choose as their new minority leaders?
      1. stick with Schumer and a Pelosi clone (Stenny Hoyer?) (MY PICK)
      2. make big shift and pick someone more moderate?
      3. make shift and pick someone even more whacked like AOC and go full blown Bernie?
      ________________________________
      Will the MSM now become truly politically neutral in their reporting?
      A. Yes
      B. HA HA HA HA HA (MY PICK)

    530. Tgca says:

      540

      I could not agree more with my good friend and our resident Latino Expert EML, a.k.a. The Hispanic Whisperer.

      America was founded by people persecuted for their religious beliefs and the US is now and has always been a Christian nation. You cannot talk about the good America has strived to do around the world without embracing its religious influence in doing that good.

      Not all atheists are EVIL but it does appear those that have done the most evil, at least in the last century and a half were people who never respected or had a use for religion in their lives.

    531. jason says:

      Yahoo Headline.

      You REALLY can’t make this sh-t up.

      “US Muslim unease over possible OZ win in PA”

    532. EML says:

      I could not agree more with my good friend and our resident Latino Expert EML, a.k.a. The Hispanic Whisperer.
      ============================
      The world is ending. Make peace with your God while you still have time.

    533. Wes says:

      Jason, it’s almost as if people don’t appreciate being lumped in as participants in or enablers of mass atrocities simply because of their choice to believe in or not believe in a deity.

      EML specifically called atheists as the worst criminals in history when actually a broader view of history indicates humans will commit atrocities regardless of religious affiliation.

      You can argue he wasn’t being bigoted against atheists if you want. I interpreted it differently. I am not going to back down from my interpretation either since in each post I’ve read of his since that initial one, he has doubled down on his premise that atheists are evil.

      I’m not sorry if that offends you or him or anyone else.

    534. jan says:

      Rich Baris “The People’s Pundit”
      @Peoples_Pundit
      I’ve received at least a half dozen calls from GOP donors who have told me the contents of their conversations AND sitting members of Congress have confirmed it.

      @GOPLeader
      Kevin McCarthy and Paul Ryan have hatched a plan to defeat MAGA in 2024 and Ron DeSantis is the stool.

    535. EML says:

      1. B – No
      2. A – uneducated troglodytes
      3. A – Biden, kick him to the curb
      4. None – leftist politics is an atheist cult. They don’t care about facts, truth, science, or information.
      5. They are not going to change (yet). Although Pelosi and Schumer time is coming to an end. When Pelosi goes, it’s going to be a squad member (Clyburn and Hoyer are also too old). Senate might be Klobuchar.
      6. B

    536. Wes says:

      We’ve already discussed Baris’ unsourced conspiracy theory, Jan. Even on that thread, people called him out for lying.

    537. EML says:

      Saying I’m an anti-atheist bigot is like saying someone is an anti-Nazi bigot or an anti-slaveowner bigot. Atheists have proven themselves to be the worst that humanity has to offer. Sorry, not sorry, 100 million murders is not an oopsie. It’s part and parcel of being an atheist.

    538. Tgca says:

      548

      Yes! Take time daily to reflect with the Almighty regardless of when your time here will end. Make your Peace daily!

      I NEVAH let a day go by where I don’t spend time to reflect and give thanks for all the blessings in life. NEVAH!!

      If you can’t take a few minutes daily to reflect on and with your Maker, what is the point of life for Believers?

      You don’t have to read Bible chapter and verses or preach the good Word to others ad nauseam . Just reflecting with The Lord and giving thanks for your blessings in spite of all the challenges in life is enough I believe.

    539. DW says:

      I know for a fact that Wes is against stealing, against murder, and he wants criminals punished. He is for the rule of law, and he is against corruption, and so forth. So whether or not he is an atheist is not directly relevant to the question of whether or not he supports these American values that were based originally on Judea-Christian principles.

      I can understand the argument that some may make that in this way Wes is being inconsistent, but in the end, he much choose between accepting these values because they come from a deity and are therefore ideal, or accepting these values because they seem logical and have pragmatic value for society. Wes can positively uphold values that help society, even if he distances himself from the God many of us believe ordained these values.

      If I have misrepresented you Wes, please correct me.

    540. EML says:

      Wes is in favor of murdering children as a form of birth control for people who can’t keep their pants on, so I’m not so sure about your statement.

    541. DW says:

      EML, I didn’t say he was 100% with the Judeo-Christian ethic. But there is a difference between someone who accepts major portions of it, even for pragmatic value, and those who wish to tear everything down every aspect of civilized society.

    542. Tgca says:

      The problem with Wes on this issue if religion is he routinely ridicules and mocks belief in religion so I think challenging him on this is fair game.

      I’m not in Wes’ head so I don’t know how he really feels about religious people but I know what he says here about them. He has contempt for Believers.

      I don’t think most atheists are evil but it is unquestionable that atheists in history have been responsible for most of the worst atrocities, at least in sheer numbers, more so than religious folks who turned away from their religion to also commit atrocities, at least in the last few hundred years.

    543. Wes says:

      That is an outright lie, EML. I have stated on here before while I am pro choice I do not advocate abortion as a means of birth control for stupid decisions.

      I have said I am pro choice in the cases of rape, incest, and the life of the mother and feel the cutoff should be after the first trimester.

      You, sir, are a liar.

    544. Tgca says:

      556. Agreed!

      You will NEVAH convince me killing babies is something we can just “disagree on.” It’s is an act of pure EVIL!

      It is estimated that 500 million to a billion+ babies worldwide have been heinously slaughtered in the last 50+ years, more so than any wars in history.

      …and the act by which they were slaughtered was beyond humane. Burned with saline and ripped apart.

      God forgive us for ever accepting these cruel selfish acts of infanticide as a necessity for society.

    545. Wes says:

      I disagree with believers and have no interest in their beliefs beyond esoteric knowledge, Tg. People are free to believe what they want. It honestly doesn’t bother me either way so long as they respect the fact that I don’t accept their beliefs.

      In fact, DW is probably the poster I have expressed the most respect for. He has made no secret of his religious beliefs. I would not dream of mocking him or attacking him for them. I respect his having his faith even if I do not agree with that faith.

      Certainly I never have made any argument as specious and supercilious as EML’s anti-atheist screed on here. It’s as ridiculous as the argument I’ve heard from other atheists that religious people are guilty of the most evil atrocities in history.

      As I said earlier, people will ignore or highlight whatever argument the feel necessary in their quest to justify their bigotry.

    546. EML says:

      EML, I didn’t say he was 100% with the Judeo-Christian ethic. But there is a difference between someone who accepts major portions of it, even for pragmatic value, and those who wish to tear everything down every aspect of civilized society.
      ====================================
      I did try to distinguish earlier from the True Believer Atheists (who seem to be in control of the Democratic Party at the moment) and the “I don’t know” crowd. The True Believers hate everything about Western Civilization.

      The infuriating thing for me is that I see otherwise Christian people voting for Democrats. As I said, I don’t think people on either side actually understand what we are fighting for.

    547. EML says:

      It’s as ridiculous as the argument I’ve heard from other atheists that religious people are guilty of the most evil atrocities in history.
      =====================================
      It’s not even a contest. Atheists are demonstrably the worst offenders in the history of creation. The question is, when it comes down to it, which side are you on? Do you want to see Christian Western Civilization to continue to thrive, or do you want to succumb to the failure that is atheist societies like Cuba, China, and North Korea.

    548. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      “#LATEST
      @FiveThirtyEight
      Forecast:

      Chance of winning the Senate:
      Republicans 55%
      Democrats 45%
      .
      Chance of winning the House:
      Republicans 84%
      Democrats 16%”

    549. Cash Cow TM says:

      drudge

      “Permanent Daylight Saving Time will hurt health, experts say…”

      I refuse to click on the link.

      But I am sure it will lead to:

      1. racism
      2. killing of the glaciers
      (less sunlight due to clocks being turned back)
      3. will harm women
      4. will harm transgenders, drag queens, etc.
      5. more Republicans getting elected.

    550. Tgca says:

      To me saying you need to respect someone’s view on ABORTION is like saying you need to respect the views of child molestors or rapists or slave traffickers.

      I just can’t get there.

      We can agree to not debate it or argue over it but not to respectfully disagree over it conceptually.

      F*ck that chit!

    551. Bitterlaw says:

      I take a break for a few hours and then learn that Wes is a mass murderer. You just don’t really know people.

      As somebody who has fought with Wes many times, I feel confident in saying I don’t believe he has killed anybody. He doesn’t believe in God? Zzzzzzz. Maybe it opens up a slot for me to sneak into Heaven. Wes is no threat to the freedom to worship or not worship.

    552. Tgca says:

      Well, we are not going to agree with Wes on religion so we can debate it ad nauseam if so desired.

      But I think we can all AGREE though that Wes is going straight to Hell when it’s his time to depart this Earth.

      That we can all agree on me thinks.

    553. Cash Cow TM says:

      551. EML says:
      November 6, 2022 at 4:48 pm
      1. B – No
      2. A – uneducated troglodytes
      3. A – Biden, kick him to the curb
      4. None – leftist politics is an atheist cult. They don’t care about facts, truth, science, or information.
      5. They are not going to change (yet). Although Pelosi and Schumer time is coming to an end. When Pelosi goes, it’s going to be a squad member (Clyburn and Hoyer are also too old). Senate might be Klobuchar.
      6. B
      ________________________________
      EML,
      Thanks or playing regarding Cow Post #545/

      No prizes for being first.

    554. Tgca says:

      I don’t know anyone that thinks Wes is a murderer though I have heard unsubstantiated rumors about him unscrupulously putting emotionally unstable women in positions where they sought an ABORTION, at least on one occasion, by posters here years ago.

      I don’t know if that is true and would not want to believe it so but at the end of the day, the only person responsible for an UNFORCED ABORTION is the mother committing infanticide.

      I will give Wes the benefit of the doubt here but will challenge him to defend it when he makes egregious accusations against others for unwarranted claims, in a manner of tit for tat.

    555. Cash Cow TM says:

      FINALLY!

      A day or two ago, I had trouble finding ANY videos updating me about the fighting in Ukraine. All I was getting on my FB feed was old clips from Al Bundy and Married with Children. Now I am getting a lot of videos from 2017, 2021, etc.

      But I DO now see that the Russian Orks have lost an estimated 300,000 soldiers (dead, wounded or captured) and are approaching the loss of 10,000 tanks, armored personnel carriers, artillery pieces, etc.

      The Ukes are still inflicting lots of damage on the invaders.

    556. EML says:

      A friend brought it up to me the other day, and it was honestly something that I had never thought of (he said that this is the law in Scandinavian countries, but I have yet to verify).

      If women are allowed to unilaterally end an unwanted pregnancy via abortion, then men should be able to unilaterally renounce all rights and responsibilities to a child that they don’t want to take of. What say ye

    557. Wes says:

      I can agree you have your beliefs, Tg. That doesn’t make them true.

    558. EML says:

      Another thing typical of atheists is that they think of everyone else’s beliefs as beliefs while they think of their own beliefs as facts.

    559. Bitterlaw says:

      Wes makes very strong and personal arguments in many fights with posters. He did not make the most vile, vicious post in HHR history. Both can be true.

    560. Ruru says:

      Please – the primary explanation for the Dem losses on Tuesday will be that they simply didn’t communicate adequately. Better messaging required.

      And secondarily they didn’t mention “it’s all for the children’ enough.

    561. Bitterlaw says:

      All people have the capacity to suck and be mean.

    562. Wes says:

      Another thing typical of Christians is that they think of everyone else’s beliefs as beliefs while they think of their own beliefs as facts.

      Isn’t it amazing how little self-reflection you have, EML?

    563. Tgca says:

      575

      Don’t be so hard on yourself Bitter.

      I already forgave you.

      It’s what we Catholics do. Remember:

      To err is human, to forgive is divine.

    564. Tgca says:

      577

      I would not know about that personally but I’ll take your word for it.

    565. Tgca says:

      I think people have been desensitized to many things in society including ABORTION.

      Let me ask folks here this.

      If you believe ABORTION is murder and EVIL, then what say you about a friend or relative you have that performs ABORTIONS? Do you agree they are murderers and EVIL too?

      It’s not meant to be rhetorical either.

    566. EML says:

      Another thing typical of Christians is that they think of everyone else’s beliefs as beliefs while they think of their own beliefs as facts.

      Isn’t it amazing how little self-reflection you have, EML?
      =========================
      Actually no, I understand that Christians, Jews, Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, Taoists, Sikhs, Shintos, Jains, Zoroastrians, Rastafaris, etc, etc all have their own beliefs. In my experience, it is only atheists who think that their beliefs are facts.

    567. SanDiegoCitizen says:

      572. That is not true. Child support is a legal requirement in Scandinavian countries that cannot be waived and the government will enforce.

    568. Tgca says:

      572

      Funny you should say that because that’s always an argument I have to those that proclaim, my body, my choice.

      Why should my mental health (stress, frustration, depression, shame, etc) be impacted because someone is pregnant by me and wants to have the child and wants me to share the burden if parenthood?

      We talk about choice of the woman not to have to take on the burden of a child so why can’t men have that equal choice?

      If forcing parenthood on a woman is a mental health issue for her, why not is that also not a mental health issue for the father of the child?

      Why can’t he make choices to, in this case, the choice to not have responsibility for an unwanted child?

    569. BayernFan says:

      I’m not yet convinced a red wave is nigh. I still believe Dobbs is a monkey wrench. At my age I don’t take things for granted, and get nervous when everyone thinks things are in the bag about anything.

      Anecdotally, I went to a family wedding a week ago and my sister, her niece, and her niece’s husband were STILL fired up to vote Dem for the first time in their lives over Dobbs. I didn’t even bring it up. They did, and were upset the point of him having to leave the table when all I said was that Roe was wrongly decided and needed to be reversed, and that they should contact their state representative about the abortion issue.

      Anyway, I’m not embarrassed to admit I’m nervous about Tuesday’s results. Here is a piece by MSNBC (yeah yeah) about what I fear…..

      https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/2022-midterms-see-more-young-women-registering-vote-n1300528

    570. Bitterlaw says:

      Nice try. You own the most vile post in HHR history. I am glad you never aplogized for it because you can’t. Actually, you own at least 2 of the worst posts. Highlighting your Catholic faith reflects poorly upon you and Catholics.

    571. Tgca says:

      583

      Damn! Me and The Hispanic Whisperer are ONE on everything today.

      I have NEVAH believed my FAITH is fact and provable. I believe it is FAITH! That’s what makes it special, you have faith in your FAITH.

      Every atheist I’ve ever met smugly believes if it can’t be proven as a fact it’s not a fact, and therefore not true and just a belief, as if somehow, they won the debate on FAITH.

      I’ve spoken of this here before where I challenged a friend to prove love exists. He got annoyed when I challenged every example he made of its proof as nothing more than a belief love existed.

      If religion is nothing more than a belief so is the concept of love. It is not provable.

    572. Gordon Allen says:

      Apart from faith and belief,and the statistical
      of a Universe created by random event( almost literally impossible) ,tbe probability of their being no after life is a flip of the coin; there is,or there isn’t.
      If atheists are right we all just go to sleep; if they’ wrong,believers go to an eternal reward in heaven; non believers,well don’t for eternity. No appeal,or reconsideration possible.
      Weighing cost/ benefit sure doesn’t seem like a wise choice on practical grounds.
      I believe it actually by far the worst choice possible for a human. But it is an irrevocable one.

    573. Tgca says:

      587

      I recall people saying how horrible your comments to me were as well and one saying he would pray for us both.

      I don’t recall anyone agreeing with you which was worse.

      It’s your OPINION and not a FACT!

      You mind as well be posting that you are the smartest or best looking person at HHR.

    574. EML says:

      Bayern – will you be up at 6AM tomorrow for the draw? I am fully expecting Liverpool v Bayern.

    575. Bitterlaw says:

      Why does anybody care if Wes believes in any religion?

    576. jason says:

      If there is no red wave with the agenda and results the Dems are running on we are truly screwed.

      It’s possible the MSM has made people vote on Dobbs as their primary issue.

      I find it hard to believe.

      We will see.

    577. jason says:

      I find the religious discussion boring.

      I think people who don’t believe in God are irrational, but I don’t care if wes believes or not.

      I don’t follow any religion because I have my disagreements with all the religions I know a little about. Maybe there is one out there that I could join, but I am not going to spend a lot of time researching it at this point of my life.

    578. dblaikie says:

      I see we are dealing with a little theology here which is right in my comfort zone. First religious belief has nothing to with facts. After all science cannot quantify something that is beyond it’s scope. In other words to affirm your religious belief is to know that there are mysteries that are beyond our collective brains ability to comprehend or understand. God is the greatest mystery. The Lord’s existance is not something we can reduce down to a problem which can be solved in a lab through the Scientific Method. Therefore God is not a problem to be solved but a mystery to be celebrated, for those of us who believe.

      Belief in God is not about facts but about faith. Faith is about trust in the One who holds the mystery of the Cosmos.

      Finally just because I like the quote, I close with G.K. Chesterton who in his great book Orthodoxy reflected that there is far more truth poems and fairy tales than there is in science where the theories change constantly. Oh well, here is the quote, “the biggest problem with an Atheist is that they have no one to thank.”

    579. Bitterlaw says:

      Walt is the smartest and best looking. He has been learning for billions of years. Having met him, I can say he is very distinguished looking.

    580. Tgca says:

      589. Gordy

      I’ve outlined before how science can show the probability of life in the universe by chance does NOT appear probable despite what many in science believe, usually those not trained in math.

      One poster gave this ridiculous response about Occam’s Razor to disprove my point. I explained to that poster that Occam’s Razor is a philosophical belief and not a hard scientific method so it doesn’t apply as discrediting a scientific hypothesis based on probabilities. He never responded.

      There are some things beyond the human mind to comprehend but that has NEVER stopped the arrogance of man to believe he can understand all things.

    581. Bitterlaw says:

      On National Geographic Channel at 7:00 is a show about the Lost City of Mach Pichu.

      Jason hardest hit since it wasn’t lost when he grew up there.

    582. Tgca says:

      593

      Agreed! I caution arrogance by the GOP to believe people will see their view and vote en made for the GOP. That’s what was believed in 2012 with Obama vs Romney.

      I often find people will disappoint you in life.

      If the country were to keep Dems in power, it is a sign the US has made a turn away from everything it stood for historically and WE WILL go the way of Rome eventually, and whether Jadon likes it or not, my mockery of Amerika will become self-fulfilling.

    583. Tgca says:

      592

      It’s not about Wes believing in religion or not, that’s his choice. It’s about whether Wes is accurate about Believers.

      He has repeatedly ridiculed and mocked religion and Believers in the past. So unless he was just being provocative without being serious, or doing it in jest, he deserves to be challenged on the matter.

    584. Cash Cow TM says:

      “NEW YORK, Nov 3 (Openly) – History is in the making. For the first time, two openly gay candidates are competing for election to a U.S. congressional seat.”

      “Almost 680 candidates are on the ballot for the November elections, 18% more than in 2020, according to a report from the LGBTQ Victory Fund.

      Nine current members of the House and two of the Senate, Congress’s upper chamber, are openly gay, lesbian or bisexual. All of them are Democrats.

      No out LGBTQ+ Republican has been in Congress since Arizona’s Representative Jim Kolbe stepped down in 2007.”
      *****************************************

      Well, I’ll be damned.

      I always thought everyone knew that Congresswoman Liz Cheney was a lesbian.

    585. BayernFan says:

      EML…. I’ll record it. Lol

      I don’t care who Bayern draw. They haven’t seemed to have missed Lewandowski much.

    586. Bitterlaw says:

      A few “Jason was here” inscriptions at Machu Pichu. I think. I don’t read Qu’chua.

    587. Chicon says:

      Bitter, I believe the actual translation was “Lupita was here”…

    588. jason says:

      It says “Guacamaya loves jason”.

    589. Sheeple,Jr. says:

      Here is the just-released UNH Poll on the New Hampshire races. The PID is R+3.
      Senate- Hassan(D) up 50-48
      House District 1- Pappas(D)up 50/49
      House District 2- Kuster(D) +8
      Governor- Sununu(RINO)- +12

      https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1717&context=survey_center_polls

    590. Phil says:

      Ok, it’s prediction time. Here’s mine:

      Republicans pick up 22 House seats.

      Republicans net 2 Senate seats. GOP flips Georgia and Nevada and then wins one of Pennsylvania, Arizona, NH. Not sure which one.

    591. DW says:

      GOP should pick up ALL the senate seats including NY, CA, and OR, and 430 out of 435 house seats, because the Democrat party is open to castrating little boys and pressuring girls into mastectomies.

    592. jason says:

      Dave will probably have a prediction thread tomorrow.

      You guys will have to wait till tomorrow to see what the final election result will be when I post my numbers.

    593. DW says:

      I am going to go with

      House 250 Rs
      Senate 54 Rs

      Go big or go home. It should be much more but for half the country with rot for brains.

    594. Tgca says:

      I’m still working through my predictions. I will post my final numbers Wednesday morning.

    595. MrVito says:

      Gallup Party Affiliation
      With leaners

      Oct 3-20

      R 48
      D 42

      Will be my only post. Thought it might be interest someone.

    596. Bitterlaw says:

      Welcome back, Mr. Vito.

      GFY

    597. jason says:

      Hey Vito, why only one post?

    598. jason says:

      I had seen that Gallup party affiliation. I didn’t post it because I thought it was an outlier, hard to believe Rs are 48%, it would be a major realignment. But even if it is 44/44, it would be significant.

      Another thing that gives me hope is Biden’s approval rating. It is around 40%, most likely lower in most swing states.

      If you disapprove of Biden, why would you vote for people who will enable him further?

    599. DW says:

      Vito, I still praise our HHR administration as the only one to reduce the size of HHR government 100%. Hard for anyone else to top that.

    600. JeffP says:

      Just watched an 8 minute Daily Wire campaign video with Tudor Dixon and I am in love. What a sweetheart.

    601. jason says:

      Zzzzz….the Bitter-jason Administration was the golden age of government at HHR.

      Bitter, where do you think we should have our library?

    602. Bitterlaw says:

      MD stole the book.

    603. Phil says:

      Yes, Tudor is impressive, Jeff.

    604. Meldrim says:

      Hey, Mr. Vito, don’t go. Sock it to me!

    605. Meldrim says:

      #490, Cow, another great parody. But please note that Jeannette Rankin, a Republican woman from Montana (which gave women the same voting rights as men following a 1914 referendum) was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1916, four years prior to the ratification of the 19th Amendment.

    606. JeffP says:

      Tudor Dixon has the Muslim community in Detroit in full support of her. She had a serious sit down discussion with leaders the other day. She is very likable, intelligent, charismatic, and her background of being on TV and movies helps her tremendously. She’s a sweeter version of Kari Lake. I think she just might beat the big wretch.

    607. ReadyFirst says:

      Looking good for reps in FL so far, even if expected. Rep early vote has almost matched Dems VBM. Party Total – Early Voted – VBM Returned
      Rep 2,557,761 1,086,977 942,272
      Dem 2,524,775 598,485 1,105,886
      Oth 1,435,362 391,801 532,142

    608. ReadyFirst says:

      Those numbers current as of 11-8-22. I’ve never seen early vote lines as long as I saw yesterday.

    609. jason says:

      (R) J.D. Vance: 54% (+10)
      (D) Tim Ryan: 44%

      ? Trafalgar | 1,123 LV | 11/03-05

    610. jason says:

      Amoral Scumbag hardest hit

      Vance fits Ohio like a glove.

    611. jason says:

      Bitterlaw says:
      November 6, 2022 at 9:22 pm

      MD stole the book.”

      We can replace it.

      I mean the library to store our annals so researchers can dig deep into them.

      We could have our best posts inscribed on the walls…and we can record interviews in English and Quechua.

      I think a mural of me and Lupita would be a nice touch, just a suggestion of course.

    612. Cash Cow TM says:

      “Meldrim says:
      November 6, 2022 at 9:31 pm
      #490, Cow, another great parody. But please note that Jeannette Rankin, a Republican woman from Montana (which gave women the same voting rights as men following a 1914 referendum) was elected to the U.S. House of Repre…”

      Meldrim,

      As I former history teacher, I knew about Jeanette Rankin–but forgot she was elected prior to 1920.
      Good catch! (I failed to google)

      I did, though, remember about the woman was the first elected governor in the U.S. (Nellie Ross in WY in 1924).

      That is why I said 1854 until 1920.

      But, besides that, the MSM does not care about facts anyway.

    613. Cash Cow TM says:

      I hate it that Cow missed it when the Sock (Mr. Vito) posted.

      Cow misses that ol’ sock.

    614. Bitterlaw says:

      https://images.app.goo.gl/Dz7B36KPk2qjFZMKA

      Jason – The statue is finished. The problem is that we need to get it to the museum from Peru. Can Lupita pull 3000 pounds of bronze?

    615. Cash Cow TM says:

      I do not know if the R wave will be
      A. small
      B. moderate
      C. enormous

      But I am relishing it being big enough that the MSM, pollsters and Dumbocrats will eat a lot of crow.

      The bigger the wave,
      the more delightful it will be for Cow when I watch the results and the reactions of the despicable three groups listed above.
      *******************************************
      Besides a prediction thread,
      I think we (DAVE?) ought to ALSO have a prediction of what polls / pollsters will be off by the most and lay the biggest polling turd.

      Maybe the “winning” God-awful incorrect poll can be awarded a steaming pile of poop.

      Cow will gladly provide same.
      ###########################################

    616. DW says:

      Masto now in territory where they go 3-6:

      Incumbent polling – wins/losses going to back to 2010

      Below 43: All Lost.
      43 – 44.9, 3 Wins and 6 Losses
      45 – 46.9, 7 Wins and 3 Losses
      47 – 48.9, 13 Wins and 3 Losses
      49 or above: All Won.

      NV: Cortez-Masto 44.9 (was 45.1)
      GA: Warnock 46.8
      AZ: Kelly 48.2 (was 48.3)
      NH: Hassan 48.4 (was 47.8)
      WA: Murray 49.3
      CO: Bennet 49.3
      WI: Johnson 49.2 (was 49.4)
      IL: Duckworth 49.5
      OR: Wyden 51.0
      FL: Rubio 51.0
      CT: Blumenthal 52.7
      NY: Schumer 53.5