July 18, 2021

    McAuliffe Leads Youngkin By 5% in VA

    Another poll from the race in Virginia that actually gives Terry McAuliffe the largest lead he has seen in a public poll to date. This poll comes from Spry Strategies.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Spry Strategies)
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 46%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 41%

    This poll was done July 6-9 among 600 likely voters.

    July 16, 2021

    DeSantis Leads Trump-Less GOP Field

    A new poll from Fabrizio Lee and Associates shows Ron DeSantis dominating the Republican field in the Presidential primary when Donald Trump is not included in the list of choices.

    Ron DeSantis 39%
    Mike Pence 15%
    Ted Cruz 7%
    Nikki Haley 4%
    Mitt Romney 3%
    Tim Scott 2%
    Kristi Noem 2%
    Mike Pompeo 2%
    Marco Rubio 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    Larry Hogan 1%
    Rick Scott 1%
    Josh Hawley <1%
    Chris Christie <1%

    This poll was done July 6-8 among 800 registered voters.

    July 14, 2021

    Youngkin Within 2% Of McAuliffe in VA

    We have another poll this election cycle that shows a tight contest in the race for Governor in Virginia. This one comes from The Trafalgar Group.

    GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Trafalgar)
    Terry McAuliffe (D) 47%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 45%

    This poll was done July 8-10 among 1104 registered voters. As part of the DC market, we manage to see quite a number of election ads for Virginia election races and I have to say, Youngkin has been all over it with mostly positive ads where I am sure he is trying to define himself before the Democrats can. His biggest challenge may be distancing himself far enough away from Trump….

    July 5, 2021

    Abbott Leads O-Rourke By Double Digits in TX

    The Dallas Morning News and The University of Texas Tyler released a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Texas that Greg Abott’s toughest challenge may come from the actor Matthew McConaughey.

    Greg Abbott (R-inc) 39%
    Matthew McConaughey 38%

    Greg Abbott (R-inc) 45%
    Beto O’Rourke (D) 33%

    This poll was done June 22-29 among 1090 registered voters.

    June 25, 2021

    DeSantis Leads GOP Field for President If Trump Chooses Not To Run

    A majority of Republicans have clearly learned nothing from the result of the 2020 Presidential election as should he run again in 2024, Donald Trump would get 55% of the Republican primary vote while no other candidate would even reach double digits in a new poll from McLaughlin and Associates.

    Donald Trump 55%
    Ron DeSantis 9%
    Mike Pence 8%
    Candace Owens 4%
    Ted Cruz 4%
    Nikki Haley 3%
    Mitt Romney 3%
    Marco Rubio 1%
    Tim Scott 1%
    John Kasich 1%
    Liz Cheney 1%
    Mike Pompeo 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    Rick Scott 1%
    Kristi Noem 0%

    Should Trump decide not to run and let his son run instead, Donald Trump Jr jumps to third place overall among Republicans while Ron DeSantis takes the top spot.

    Ron DeSantis 24%
    Mike Pence 19%
    Donald Trump Jr 15%
    Ted Cruz 6%
    Mitt Romney 5%
    Nikki Haley 4%
    Ivanka Trump 4%
    Candace Owens 3%
    Liz Cheney 2%
    Marco Rubio 2%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Mike Pompeo 1%
    Tim Scott 1%
    Tom Cotton 1%
    John Kasich 1%
    Rick Scott 1%

    This poll was done June 16-20 among likely voters. Meanwhile, Echelon Insights has a similar result for the Republican primary if Donald Trump decides not to run.

    Ron DeSantis 21%
    Mike Pence 14%
    Donald Trump, Jr 7%
    Nikki Haley 6%
    Ted Cruz 6%
    Mitt Romney 4%
    Marco Rubio 3%
    Tim Scott 2%
    Tucker Carlson 1%
    Greg Abbott 1%
    Kristi Noem 1%
    Rick Scott 1%
    Liz Cheney 1%
    Chris Christie 1%
    Mike Pompeo 0%
    Larry Hogan 0%
    Tom Cotton 0%
    Ben Sasse 0%
    Josh Hawley 0%

    This poll was done June 18-22 among registered primary voters.

    June 23, 2021

    Murphy Leads Ciattarelli By 15% in NJ, DeSantis Leads in Re-Election Bid in FL

    Jack Ciattarelli still has an uphill climb if he is hoping to take the gubernatorial seat in New Jersey away from the incumbent Phil Murphy according to a new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University.

    Phil Murphy (D-inc) 48%
    Jack Ciattarelli (R) 33%

    This poll was done June 9 -16 803 among registered voters. Meanwhile better news for Republicans in the state of Florida is a new poll from The Listener Group that has Ron DeSantis ahead of both Nikki Fried and Charlie Crist.

    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 55%
    Charlie Crist (D) 45%

    Ron DeSantis (R-inc) 60%
    Nikki Fried (D) 39%

    This poll was done June 21st among 716 likely voters.

    June 15, 2021

    McAuliffe Leads Youngkin By 4% in VA

    We have another new poll in the newly joined race for Governor in Virginia, this time from JMC Analytics, that shows Glenn Youngkin still holding Terry McAuliffe under 50%.

    Terry McAuliffe (D) 46%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 42%

    This poll was done June 9-12 among 550 likely voters.

    June 13, 2021

    McAuliffe Leads Youngkin By 2% in VA, Murphy Dominates Ciattarelli in NJ

    Hey look at this, an actual post with a poll. I figure now that the races in t0eh two gubernatorial races being held this year are now set, we should look ahead to the latest polling in the matchups in Virginia and New Jersey.

    I said it at the time in 2013, the Virginia Republican Party made a huge mistake when it nominated the extremist Ken Cuccinelli to take on Terry McAuliffe in the race for Governor. Terry McAuliffe was nothing more than a party hack at the time who should have been easy to defeat, but Republicans managed to choose the one Republican who had no chance of winning and sure enough, Cuccinelli lost. Now Terry McAuliffe can add former Governor to his resume as he is running for a second term (after sitting out a term per Virginia law). Fortunately Republicans may have found someone who can beat him this time in Glenn Youngkin if a new poll from WPA Intelligence is to be believed.

    Terry McAuliffe (D) 48%
    Glenn Youngkin (R) 46%

    This poll was done June 2-6 among 506 likely voters. Meanwhile int eh other state that is having a gubernatorial election, sitting Democratic Governor Phil Murphy is well ahead of Republican nominee according to a new poll from Rutgers University.

    Phil Murphy (D-inc) 52%
    Jack Ciattarelli (R) 26%

    This poll was done May 21-29 among registered voters.

    June 7, 2021

    Another Open Thread

    We hit four figures in comments on the last post, so here is another one.

    I’ll get back to posting real polls at some point.

    May 25, 2021

    Open Thread

    I see we need a new thread